The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 5, 2021

PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 1

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:41 am

Week 1 PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Tampa BayDallas11.310.212.4
BuffaloPittsburgh7.78.68.5
CarolinaN.Y. Jets7.46.47.5
HoustonJacksonville5.01.55.6
TennesseeArizona3.83.43.4
WashingtonLA Chargers2.02.21.5
AtlantaPhiladelphia6.36.47.1
IndianapolisSeattle1.50.81.2
CincinnatiMinnesota-2.8-2.7-2.4
DetroitSan Francisco-5.8-5.9-6.0
Kansas CityCleveland7.37.48.8
New EnglandMiami5.34.23.6
N.Y. GiantsDenver1.31.91.1
New OrleansGreen Bay-0.8-3.1-0.1
LA RamsChicago8.08.07.7
Las VegasBaltimore-4.7-3.9-4.8

Week 1 PiRate Rating Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Tampa BayDallas54
BuffaloPittsburgh41.5
CarolinaN.Y. Jets46
HoustonJacksonville49
TennesseeArizona56.5
WashingtonLA Chargers43
AtlantaPhiladelphia48.5
IndianapolisSeattle53.5
CincinnatiMinnesota46
DetroitSan Francisco52
Kansas City
Cleveland55
New EnglandMiami40
N.Y. GiantsDenver38.5
New OrleansGreen Bay50.5
LA RamsChicago47
Las VegasBaltimore51

Week 1 PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo107.1107.1107.5107.2240-0
New England101.2100.6100.6100.819.50-0
Miami98.999.499.999.420.50-0
N. Y. Jets92.493.593.393.122.50-0

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore105.1104.5105.5105.0250-0
Pittsburgh102.4101.5102.0102.017.50-0
Cleveland102.0102.0100.6101.525.50-0
Cincinnati94.795.494.294.823.50-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis102.3101.4101.8101.925.50-0
Tennessee100.6100.8100.6100.7290-0
Houston94.593.095.094.2270-0
Jacksonville92.094.091.992.7220-0

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City106.3106.4106.4106.429.50-0
LA Chargers99.799.899.799.724.50-0
Denver99.098.798.698.8180-0
Las Vegas97.397.797.797.6260-0

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas99.2100.197.999.1280-0
Washington98.699.198.298.618.50-0
N.Y. Giants97.397.696.797.220.50-0
Philadelphia94.894.795.595.0200-0

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay105.2104.8104.9105.0270-0
Minnesota100.0100.599.299.922.50-0
Chicago99.5100.099.699.7190-0
Detroit93.193.093.293.1280-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay107.5107.3107.3107.4260-0
New Orleans104.4101.7104.8103.623.50-0
Atlanta98.198.099.698.628.50-0
Carolina96.896.997.897.223.50-0

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams104.5105.0104.3104.6280-0
Seattle103.8103.7103.6103.7280-0
San Francisco101.9102.0102.1102.0240-0
Arizona99.8100.4100.2100.127.50-0

December 24, 2020

PiRate Picks for December 24-28, 2020

All NFL This Week

A minor profit last week led us to a conclusion. In December, our NFL picks have been somewhat more successful than our college picks. The Virus has added an intangible to game outcomes at the college level, while only mildly affecting NFL games. Additionally, once students left schools and finished their semesters virtually at home, the college football players were left isolated on little islands. Rather than desire to play meaningless bowl games for a little compensation of bowl bling, many desired to spend the Holidays at home with family and friends. Other than the Fiesta Bowl, where all players will receive PS5’s, maybe a better prize in their eyes than anything the FBS Playoffs can offer.

The NFL is a totally different story. Week 16 is usually the most crucial week of the regular season. The best teams usually need one more win to secure the playoff spot they will secure or make the playoffs. The eliminated teams begin to experiment with roster changes. The worst teams may sabotage their chances to win meaningless games at the end of the season, especially when there is a generational superstar ready to become the next John Elway.

Before you read this and say, “this will be an easy week!” realize something else. Those clever folks in Nevada with all the positive revenue streams know this bit of information and have adequately padded the spreads to reflect this information.

So, in the end, the spreads are about as accurate in Week 16 as they are in Week 6. And, for our purposes, understanding that the numbers themselves are more important than the names attached to those numbers, we are issuing selections based on trying to “steal” an extra couple of percentage points in our favor. That small gain basically removes the vigorish that the books have. It still boils down to a 50-50 wager, so it is still highly speculative.

Our Christmas gift to you is knowledge. That knowledge is in our case an expert knowledge. Our expertise is knowing that we don’t know enough for you to take these selections and wager real money on the picks. This is an experiment in mathematics to be read for enjoyment and maybe to understand that without real inside information, none of us non-sharps can consistently pick winning selections.

As an FYI, the State of Tennessee legalized sports betting on November 1 of this year. According to Legal Sports Report, in the first 30 days, the citizens of the Volunteer State volunteered a record $131.4 million to the state’s four authorized sports books. Four more sports books, including the giant William Hill, will commence operations in Tennessee in 2021. These companies vacuum up money quickly, as a large majority of their customers get poor slowly. The state is very conservative, and the overwhelming majority disapprove of any tax, yet they willingly agree to pay the state exorbitant taxes in the way of gambling. Try showing this to an average sports bettor, and he or she will laugh at you, telling you that they can win money unlike when they pay taxes. Yet, if you look at their accounts, very few show a profit. We found one person willing to “experiment” for one calendar year. He usually allots himself $2,000 to play during the football season, and in most years, that two grand is gone by Thanksgiving. At the end of 2019, we convinced him to open an account with a broker and deposit the $2,000 and not bet for the 2020-2021 football season. When the Virus outbreak apparently doomed all sports for the year in March, he was able to stick to his convictions, thinking there would be no games to bet that money and lose. Simply reading a few periodicals on value investing, he quickly discovered an equal love for “wagering” on corporations in a sport where the bettor investor has the advantage.

He didn’t lose all his money by Thanksgiving. In fact, by the time he sat down to enjoy his moist and juicy turkey, his investment had already returned close to 18%. As 2020 limps to the finish line, his original $2,000 investment is now pushing $2,400. He doesn’t plan on withdrawing the money or placing the next $2,000 in one of the sports books. If you learn anything from this site, let it be this: If you have a couple decades or more remaining in your pre-retirement lives, or even if you have reached retirement age and figure on sticking around for another score or so, a buy and hold strategy in high-quality value stocks with a long history of positive earnings and dividends is going to make you a lot wealthier than betting on State to beat Tech by 7 1/2 points.

Merry Christmas to all, and to all a good night. Here are our selections for the week.

1. NFL 6 1/2 Point Teaser+160
SelectionOpponentSpread
MiamiLas Vegas+6.5
BuffaloNew England-0.5
New OrleansMinnesota-0.5


2. NFL 7 Point Teaser-130
SelectionOpponentSpread
Tampa BayDetroit-2.5
ClevelandN.Y. Jets-2.5


3. 7 Point Teaser-130
SelectionOpponentSpread
HoustonCincinnati-0.5
ChicagoJacksonville-0.5


4. 10 Point Teaser-110
SelectionOpponentSpread
Kansas CityAtlanta-0.5
IndianapolisPittsburgh+8
BaltimoreN.Y. Giants-1


5. 10- Point Teaser-110
SelectionOpponentSpread
CarolinaWashington+12
LA RamsSeattle+11
DallasPhiladelphia+12.5

December 14, 2020

PiRate Ratings for NFL Week 15: December 17-21, 2020

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Las VegasLA Chargers4.64.74.4
DenverBuffalo-5.7-6.3-6.0
Green BayCarolina8.59.19.0
TennesseeDetroit8.38.79.1
IndianapolisHouston8.79.39.3
LA RamsN.Y. Jets21.721.423.0
AtlantaTampa Bay-2.3-3.2-3.2
MiamiNew England1.93.22.9
MinnesotaChicago-0.8-0.6-0.8
N.Y. GiantsCleveland-3.1-2.3-2.9
WashingtonSeattle-3.2-3.2-3.1
BaltimoreJacksonville18.418.418.4
ArizonaPhiladelphia7.17.17.5
New OrleansKansas City-3.7-4.4-4.1
DallasSan Francisco-5.4-4.9-5.5
CincinnatiPittsburgh-15.0-15.1-15.2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Las VegasLA Chargers52
DenverBuffalo40
Green BayCarolina52.5
TennesseeDetroit55
IndianapolisHouston51
LA RamsN.Y. Jets42
AtlantaTampa Bay57
MiamiNew England46.5
MinnesotaChicago42.5
N.Y. GiantsCleveland47
WashingtonSeattle50.5
BaltimoreJacksonville45
ArizonaPhiladelphia51.5
New OrleansKansas City52.5
DallasSan Francisco50.5
CincinnatiPittsburgh37.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo105.4106.1106.0105.92110-3
Miami100.7101.7101.1101.226.58-5
New England100.499.999.7100.0206-7
N. Y. Jets86.186.685.486.0180-13

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore107.3107.1107.2107.224.58-5
Pittsburgh104.0104.4104.3104.218.511-2
Cleveland99.699.7100.199.826.59-4
Cincinnati88.088.388.188.1192-10-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis105.1105.2105.3105.2259-4
Tennessee102.5102.6102.9102.7289-4
Houston97.997.497.497.6264-9
Jacksonville90.490.290.390.320.51-12

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.9110.2110.1110.12712-1
Las Vegas99.599.599.299.429.57-6
Denver98.398.398.598.4195-8
LA Chargers95.895.995.895.822.54-9

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Washington98.398.598.598.421.56-7
Philadelphia97.897.797.397.623.04-8-1
N.Y. Giants95.095.995.795.620.55-8
Dallas93.593.593.093.325.54-9

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay105.7105.8106.3105.92510-3
Chicago100.599.9100.2100.2186-7
Minnesota98.798.398.498.424.56-7
Detroit95.294.994.894.9275-8

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay105.7105.6106.1105.8318-5
New Orleans104.7104.3104.5104.525.510-3
Atlanta102.4101.5101.9101.9264-9
Carolina98.798.298.798.627.54-9

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams105.8106.0106.4106.1249-4
Seattle103.4103.7103.5103.6299-4
Arizona103.0102.7102.8102.828.57-6
San Francisco100.8100.4100.5100.6255-8

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Kansas City
2Buffalo
3Pittsburgh
4Tennessee
5Cleveland
6Baltimore
7Indianapolis

NFC Seeding
1Green Bay
2New Orleans
3Los Angeles
4Washington
5Seattle
6Tampa Bay
7Arizona

Wildcard Round
Buffalo over Indianapolis
Pittsburgh over Baltimore
Cleveland over Tennessee
Arizona over New Orleans
Los Angeles over Tampa Bay
Seattle over Washington

Divisional Round
Kansas City over Cleveland
Buffalo over Pittsburgh
Green Bay over Arizona
Los Angeles over Seattle

Conference Championship
Kansas City over Buffalo
Green Bay over Los Angeles

Super Bowl
Kansas City over Green Bay

November 23, 2020

PiRate Ratings–NFL For Week 12: November 26-30, 2020

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
DetroitHouston-3.2-2.9-3.5
DallasWashington2.72.82.8
PittsburghBaltimore2.43.23.1
AtlantaLas Vegas-0.1-1.4-0.7
BuffaloLA Chargers7.78.37.7
CincinnatiN.Y. Giants-3.1-3.5-3.5
DenverNew Orleans-7.9-7.7-8.0
Green BayChicago5.65.95.9
IndianapolisTennessee7.17.16.9
JacksonvilleCleveland-5.7-6.1-6.5
LA RamsSan Francisco3.64.64.7
MinnesotaCarolina2.83.12.8
N.Y. JetsMiami-10.2-10.4-11.1
New EnglandArizona0.0-0.2-0.4
Tampa BayKansas City-2.6-3.2-2.8
PhiladelphiaSeattle-3.3-3.7-4.1

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
DetroitHouston51.5
DallasWashington45.5
PittsburghBaltimore44
AtlantaLas Vegas54.5
BuffaloLA Chargers45
CincinnatiN.Y. Giants46.5
DenverNew Orleans44.5
Green BayChicago40
IndianapolisTennessee49
JacksonvilleCleveland44.5
LA RamsSan Francisco49
MinnesotaCarolina52
N.Y. JetsMiami47
New EnglandArizona50
Tampa BayKansas City58
PhiladelphiaSeattle53.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo102.2102.8102.2102.420.57-3
Miami100.3101.2100.6100.7276-4
New England99.599.198.999.220.54-6
N. Y. Jets88.188.887.588.1200-9

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Pittsburgh107.5108.1108.2107.91910-0
Baltimore107.1106.9107.1107.0256-4
Cleveland98.999.099.499.123.57-3
Cincinnati91.691.991.791.7232-7-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis104.8104.8104.8104.8237-3
Tennessee100.2100.2100.4100.3267-3
Houston99.599.099.299.225.53-7
Jacksonville91.290.990.991.0211-9

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.9110.3110.3110.226.59-1
Las Vegas102.9103.3103.2103.1276-4
LA Chargers97.597.597.597.524.53-7
Denver96.996.796.796.8184-6

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Philadelphia96.996.896.396.623.53-6-1
N.Y. Giants96.196.996.796.623.53-7
Dallas94.494.594.194.3253-7
Washington93.793.793.393.620.53-7

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay104.3104.2104.6104.4247-3
Chicago100.399.8100.2100.1165-5
Minnesota99.399.299.599.325.54-6
Detroit94.394.193.894.0264-6

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
New Orleans106.8106.4106.7106.626.58-2
Tampa Bay105.3105.1105.5105.331.57-4
Atlanta100.399.4100.099.927.53-7
Carolina99.098.599.198.926.54-7

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams103.9104.1104.6104.2247-3
Seattle102.7102.9102.8102.8307-3
Arizona102.5102.3102.3102.429.56-4
San Francisco102.2101.6101.9101.9254-6

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding

1. Pittsburgh

2. Kansas City

3. Buffalo

4. Indianapolis

5. Cleveland

6. Las Vegas

7. Tennessee

NFC Seeding

1. Los Angeles

2. Green Bay

3. New Orleans

4. New York

5. Seattle

6. Tampa Bay

7. Arizona

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Tennessee

Las Vegas over Buffalo

Cleveland over Indianapolis

Green Bay over Arizona

New Orleans over Tampa Bay

Seattle over New York

Division Playoff Round

Pittsburgh over Dallas

Kansas City over Cleveland

Los Angeles over Seattle

Green Bay over Los Angeles

Conference Championship Round

Kansas City over Pittsburgh

Los Angeles over Green Bay

Super Bowl

Kansas City over Los Angeles

November 16, 2020

PiRate Picks: NFL for November 19-23, 2020

PiRate Rating Spreads For Week 11

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
SeattleArizona1.72.01.6
ClevelandPhiladelphia3.53.84.4
IndianapolisGreen Bay2.72.82.4
New OrleansAtlanta6.46.76.2
WashingtonCincinnati0.1-0.4-0.6
CarolinaDetroit3.83.44.1
JacksonvillePittsburgh-13.2-13.9-13.8
BaltimoreTennessee10.911.111.3
HoustonNew England1.10.61.0
LA ChargersN.Y. Jets12.411.613.5
MinnesotaDallas8.88.89.9
Las VegasKansas City-4.7-4.7-4.8
Tampa BayLA Rams5.14.95.0
DenverMiami-3.3-4.6-4.1

PiRate Rating Totals For Week 11

HomeVisitorTotal
SeattleArizona60.5
ClevelandPhiladelphia48
IndianapolisGreen Bay46
New OrleansAtlanta56
WashingtonCincinnati46
CarolinaDetroit54
JacksonvillePittsburgh41.5
BaltimoreTennessee51
HoustonNew England46
LA ChargersN.Y. Jets42.5
MinnesotaDallas49.5
Las VegasKansas City52
Tampa BayLA Rams55.5
DenverMiami46

PiRate Ratings For Week 11

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo101.9102.5101.9102.120.57-3
Miami101.2102.3101.7101.727.56-3
New England99.799.599.399.520.54-5
N. Y. Jets87.988.687.087.8190-8

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore108.1108.1108.4108.2256-3
Pittsburgh106.7107.2107.2107.019.59-0
Cleveland98.598.698.998.7246-3
Cincinnati94.695.094.894.8252-6-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis104.9104.9104.9104.922.56-3
Tennessee99.299.099.199.1266-3
Houston99.398.698.898.925.52-7
Jacksonville92.091.891.991.9221-8

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.6110.0110.0109.925.58-1
Las Vegas102.9103.3103.2103.126.56-3
LA Chargers97.797.798.097.823.52-7
Denver96.095.695.695.718.53-6

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Philadelphia97.096.996.596.8243-5-1
N.Y. Giants95.896.696.496.323.53-7
Dallas93.293.292.693.024.52-7
Washington93.293.192.793.0212-7

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay104.2104.1104.5104.323.57-2
Minnesota100.5100.5101.0100.6254-5
Chicago100.099.599.999.8165-5
Detroit95.695.595.395.4274-5

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay105.9105.8106.3106.031.57-3
New Orleans105.8105.3105.5105.527.57-2
Atlanta100.9100.1100.8100.628.53-6
Carolina97.496.897.397.2273-7

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams103.3103.4103.8103.5246-3
Arizona102.8102.6102.8102.7306-3
Seattle102.4102.6102.3102.530.56-3
San Francisco101.9101.3101.6101.6254-6

NFL Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Pittsburgh
2Kansas City
3Indianapolis
4Miami
5Buffalo
6Las Vegas
7Baltimore

NFC Seeding
1Green Bay
2Los Angeles
3Tampa Bay
4Philadelphia
5New Orleans
6Arizona
7Seattle

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over Baltimore
Las Vegas over Indianapolis
Buffalo over Miami
Los Angeles over Seattle
Arizona over Tampa Bay
New Orleans over Philadelphia

Divisional Round
Pittsburgh over Las Vegas
Kansas City over Buffalo
Green Bay over Arizona
New Orleans over Los Angeles

Conference Championship
Pittsburgh over Kansas City
Green Bay over New Orleans

Super Bowl
Pittsburgh over Green Bay

September 10, 2020

PiRate Picks for September 10-14

Today marks the official beginning of our PiRate Ratings Just for Fun Selections against the spreads. For those of you new to this feature, we do not claim expertise in any of our pretend selections, and all selections are made with an imaginary bankroll of limitless wads of $100 bills.

In past years, our picks have returned imaginary profits with unreal returns on investment in excess of 50%. In other years, including last year, we have suffered unreal losses. Because no real money is transacted, we can be a little liberal with our numbers of selections, because winning or losing 5 games are no different than winning or losing 1 or 0 games when the money doesn’t really exist. No jokes about it being the same as reality.

Our two favorite types of plays are teasers and money line parlays. At the start of this crazy wagering season, we don’t have a lot of faith in money line parlays. We have no inside access to know how many “Navy” situations there are, where the Midshipmen obviously were not ready to play against BYU Monday night, and their head coach took the blame for not having any live hitting drills all through preseason practice.

The NFL may be the more logical way to go at the start of the season, and with the schedules so inconsistent in college football, the teams may prepare for the wrong opponent thanks to that nasty little virus. The NFL schedules look to be more consistent for now.

Without further adieu, here are our picks for College Week 2 and NFL Week 1.

Date:9/10-914
7-point Teaser+140
SelectionOpponentLine
Texas StateUTSA-2.5
TulaneSouth Alabama-1.5
SyracuseNorth Carolina+30

6-point Teaser-110
SelectionOpponentLine
Green BayMinnesota+8.5
New EnglandMiami-0.5

6-point Teaser-110
SelectionOpponentLine
AtlantaSeattle+8
IndianapolisJacksonville-2

6-point Teaser-110
SelectionOpponentLine
BaltimoreCleveland-2
BuffaloNY Jets-0.5

6-point Teaser-110
SelectionOpponentLine
San FranciscoArizona-1
PittsburghNY GiantsPk

Remember: The PiRates never wager real money on these picks, and we highly advise you to refrain as well. If you wager real money, please rely on a reliable service. You pay nothing for these picks, and they are still overpriced.

October 21, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 8: October 24-28, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Minnesota

Washington

19.2

16.5

17.7

Detroit

N.Y. Giants

8.5

6.8

7.2

Tennessee

Tampa Bay

4.8

2.7

1.9

Chicago

LA Chargers

8.3

4.6

5.8

Atlanta

Seattle

-4.7

-4.1

-4.8

Jacksonville

N.Y. Jets

9.6

9.0

10.7

Buffalo

Philadelphia

-2.0

1.2

1.1

LA Rams

Cincinnati

13.6

12.3

12.1

New Orleans

Arizona

16.8

13.3

13.1

Houston

Oakland

10.3

10.7

9.7

San Francisco

Carolina

5.0

6.1

5.7

Indianapolis

Denver

4.0

4.7

4.6

New England

Cleveland

14.2

15.1

14.6

Kansas City

Green Bay

-0.7

-0.3

-1.3

Pittsburgh

Miami

15.1

15.2

15.9

 

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Minnesota

Washington

41

Detroit

N.Y. Giants

48.5

Tennessee

Tampa Bay

44

Chicago

LA Chargers

41.5

Atlanta

Seattle

52

Jacksonville

N.Y. Jets

39.5

Buffalo

Philadelphia

43

LA Rams

Cincinnati

52

New Orleans

Arizona

48

Houston

Oakland

48

San Francisco

Carolina

47.5

Indianapolis

Denver

41

New England

Cleveland

44.5

Kansas City

Green Bay

56.5

Pittsburgh

Miami

48

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

111.0

112.2

111.8

111.7

21

7-0

Buffalo

99.4

100.6

100.1

100.0

17.5

5-1

N. Y. Jets

92.5

93.5

92.2

92.7

20.5

1-5

Miami

86.8

87.0

86.6

86.8

26.5

0-6

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

101.7

101.3

102.3

101.8

23

5-2

Cleveland

99.8

100.1

100.2

100.0

23.5

2-4

Pittsburgh

98.8

99.3

99.6

99.2

21.5

2-4

Cincinnati

93.6

93.4

93.8

93.6

24

0-7

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

103.9

104.2

103.8

104.0

23.5

4-3

Indianapolis

100.1

101.0

100.6

100.6

22.5

4-2

Jacksonville

99.1

99.5

99.9

99.5

19

3-4

Tennessee

98.1

98.4

98.0

98.2

15.5

3-4

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

100.7

101.2

100.6

100.8

30.5

5-2

LA Chargers

99.5

99.7

98.8

99.3

22

2-5

Denver

99.2

99.3

99.0

99.2

18.5

2-5

Oakland

96.6

96.6

97.1

96.8

24.5

3-3

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

104.1

104.7

104.1

104.3

20.5

4-3

Philadelphia

103.9

101.9

101.5

102.4

25.5

3-4

N.Y. Giants

94.1

94.5

95.0

94.5

24.5

2-5

Washington

91.2

92.2

91.6

91.7

18.5

1-6

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

107.4

105.7

106.2

106.5

22.5

5-2

Green Bay

104.5

104.5

104.9

104.6

26

6-1

Chicago

104.8

101.3

101.6

102.6

19.5

3-3

Detroit

99.5

98.4

99.2

99.1

24

2-3-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

108.2

105.2

105.6

106.3

24.5

6-1

Carolina

102.3

102.5

103.3

102.7

24.5

4-2

Tampa Bay

95.9

98.2

98.6

97.6

28.5

2-4

Atlanta

94.8

95.1

94.4

94.7

26.5

1-6

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

LA Rams

107.2

105.7

105.9

106.3

28

4-3

San Francisco

104.3

105.6

106.0

105.3

23

6-0

Seattle

102.5

102.2

102.2

102.3

25.5

6-1

Arizona

94.5

94.9

95.5

95.0

23.5

3-3-1

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Indianapolis

3

Kansas City

4

Baltimore

5

Buffalo

6

Houston

NFC Seeding

1

Green Bay

2

New Orleans

3

San Francisco

4

Dallas

5

Minnesota

6

LA Rams

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Houston

Buffalo over Baltimore

LA Rams over San Francisco

Minnesota over Dallas

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Green Bay over LA Rams

New Orleans over Minnesota

Conference Championship

New England over Kansas City

Green Bay over New Orleans

Super Bowl 54

New England over Green Bay

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January 8, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for The Divisional Playoff Round: January 12-13, 2019

NFL Divisional Playoff Round Ratings and Information

 

Saturday, January 12, 2019

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs

Time: 4:35 PM Eastern Standard

TV: NBC

Pirate Ratings Spreads

PiRate: Kansas City by 6.4 

Mean: Kansas City by 7.2

Bias: Kansas City by 5.7

Total: 55

Expected Score: Kansas City 31  Indianapolis 24

———————————————————————————-

Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams

Time: 8:15 PM Eastern Standard

TV: Fox 

Pirate Ratings Spreads

PiRate:  Los Angeles by 8.5

Mean: Los Angeles by 8.8

Bias: Los Angeles by 8.8

Total: 49.5

Expected Score: Los Angeles 30  Dallas 21

—————————————————————————-

Sunday, January 13, 2019

Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots

Time: 1:05 PM Eastern Standard

TV: CBS

PiRate Ratings Spreads

PiRate: New England by 3.5

Mean: New England by 2.8

Bias: New England by 2.7

Total: 45.5

Expected Score: New England 24  Los Angeles 21

———————————————————————————-

Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints

Time: 4:40 PM Eastern Standard

TV: Fox

PiRate Ratings Spreads

PiRate: New Orleans by 12.8 

Mean: New Orleans by 12.5

Bias: New Orleans by 12.4

Total: 49

Expected Score: New Orleans 31  Philadelphia 17

December 31, 2018

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for The Wildcard Playoff Round: January 5-6, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias Total
Houston Indianapolis 2.0 2.7 2.1 49.5
Dallas Seattle -1.6 -1.9 -2.8 44.5
Baltimore L.A. Chargers 2.6 2.4 2.4 43
Chicago Philadelphia 5.5 5.5 6.4 44.5

The Wildcard Playoff Schedule

Saturday,  January 5, 2019

4:35 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: ESPN

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans

 

8:15 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: Fox Network

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys

 

Sunday, January 6, 2109

1:05 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: CBS

Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens

 

4:40 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: NBC

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears

 

For the Divisional Playoff Round

The lower remaining seed in the AFC will play at Kansas City on Saturday, January 12, on NBC at 4:35 PM EST

 

The higher remaining seed in the NFC will play at the Los Angeles Rams on Saturday, January 12, on Fox Network at 8:15 PM EST

 

The higher remaining seed in the AFC will play at New England on Sunday, January 13, on CBS at 1:05 PM EST

 

The lower remaining seed in the NFC will play at New Orleans on Sunday, January 13, on Fox Network at 4:40 PM EST

Ratings of the Playoff Teams

Playoff Team PiRate Mean Bias Avg. Total W-L
New Orleans 112.3 112.3 112.3 112.3 27 13-3
Kansas City 106.8 107.0 106.6 106.8 30.5 12-4
LA Rams 106.5 106.7 106.3 106.5 29 13-3
Chicago 104.9 105.1 105.8 105.3 21.5 12-4
New England 105.0 105.1 104.9 105.0 22.5 11-5
Seattle 104.6 104.7 105.2 104.8 24 10-6
LA Chargers 104.3 105.0 104.8 104.7 23 12-4
Baltimore 104.5 104.9 104.7 104.7 20 10-6
Indianapolis 102.9 102.3 103.3 102.8 25.5 10-6
Houston 102.4 102.5 103.0 102.6 24 11-5
Philadelphia 102.4 102.6 102.5 102.5 23 9-7
Dallas 100.5 100.3 99.9 100.2 20.5 10-6

 

Note: The College Basketball Bracket Gurus will debut next week.  Most of the gurus are enjoying vacations this week and did not submit their data to us.

December 28, 2018

PiRate Ratings Selections for December 29- January 1 Bowls and NFL Week 17

This is a very busy day here on the PiRate ship, as we will debut our 2018-19 version of PiRate Ratings Basketball later today.

The Land Sharps have been coming down to Earth since their blistering hot November, as December has not been kind to our five friends.  At the same time, the PiRate Ratings picks have continued to win in December, especially the Bowl game Money Lines, where we have experimented with playing the underdog in every game and finding the most favorable underdog Money Line odds.  With underdogs winning all three games on Thursday, the Return on Investment for this system to date is now 64.16%!  This includes a push in the Boston College and Boise State game that was cancelled due to severe lightning.

This Week’s Land Sharp Picks

Cal Gal Tiffany

Nevada -1 vs. Arkansas St.

Central Florida +8 vs. LSU

Texas +14 vs. Georgia

 

Stewed Meat

Mississippi St. -7 vs. Auburn

Penn St. -6 vs. Kentucky

Texas +14 vs. Georgia

 

Dean 615

Florida +6 vs. Michigan

Notre Dame +12.5 vs. Clemson

Oklahoma +15 vs. Alabama

 

Buckeye Michelle

Oklahoma St. +9 vs. Missouri

Ohio State – 6.5 vs. Washington

Texas +14 vs. Georgia

 

Friday Dog 13

Auburn -3 vs. Purdue

Michigan -5.5 vs. Florida

Clemson -12 vs. Notre Dame

 

The PiRate Ratings Picks

10-point Teasers
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Houston Jacksonville 17 Jacksonville
Green Bay Detroit 19 Detroit
New England N.Y. Jets 24.5 N.Y. Jets
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Minnesota Chicago 14.5 Chicago
Kansas City Oakland 24.5 Oakland
Philadelphia Washington 17.5 Washington
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
L.A. Rams San Francisco 0.5 L.A.Rams
L.A. Chargers Denver 17 Denver
Tennessee Indianapolis 7 Indianapolis
Team Team Total Pick
Houston Jacksonville 50 UNDER
Green Bay Detroit 34.5 OVER
Atlanta Tampa Bay 61.5 UNDER
Team Team Total Pick
New England N.Y. Jets 35 OVER
Chicago Minnesota 30 OVER
Oakland Kansas City 42.5 OVER
Team Team Total Pick
Philadelphia Washington 32 OVER
L.A.Rams San Francisco 38.5 OVER
L.A. Chargers Denver 31.5 OVER
13-point Teasers
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
New Orleans Carolina 21.5 Carolina
Miami Buffalo 8 Buffalo
Pittsburgh Cincinnati 3 Pittsburgh
Baltimore Cleveland 18.5 Cleveland
Team Team Total Pick
Pittsburgh Cincinnati 58.5 UNDER
Cleveland Baltimore 27.5 OVER
Arizona Seattle 25.5 OVER
Indianapolis Tennessee 30.5 OVER
Favorite Underdog Moneyline Pick
Michigan Florida +210 Florida
South Carolina Virginia +185 Virginia
Nevada Arkansas St. +105 Arkansas St.
Clemson Notre Dame +380 Notre Dame
Alabama Oklahoma +490 Oklahoma
Cincinnati Virginia Tech +195 Virginia Tech
Stanford Pittsburgh +195 Pittsburgh
Oregon Michigan St. +120 Michigan St.
Missouri Oklahoma St. +315 Oklahoma St.
Utah Northwestern +255 Northwestern
Texas A&M North Carolina St. +248 North Carolina St.
Mississippi St. Iowa +245 Iowa
LSU Central Florida +260 Central Florida
Penn St. Kentucky +220 Kentucky
Ohio St. Washington +220 Washington
Georgia Texas +410 Texas

 

Remember: Neither the Land Sharps or the PiRates wager real money on the selections presented here at this site.  We recommend you do the same.  This is for entertainment purposes only.

Check back at this site Friday afternoon for our first college basketball report of the season, featuring our top 25, picks of games involving teams in power conferences, and a little something else.

 

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