The Pi-Rate Ratings

August 29, 2015

2015 AFC West Preview

For Peyton Manning, this could be his final hurrah.  Might he go out the same way his boss went out in 1999?  John Elway retired following a Super Bowl win.  The Broncos window for winning is closing fast, and this will probably be Manning’s last chance to earn a second ring.  Denver made a lot of changes after their early playoff loss in 2014.  John Fox is out as coach, and Gary Kubiak is in.  Wade Phillips, the nomad defensive guru, is the new coordinator of a defense that was tough against the run but so-so against the pass.  Seven starters are gone, most notably tight end Julius Thomas.  Denver is still the favorite in the West, but their edge is razor slim over the Chiefs and Chargers.

Kansas City almost made the playoffs last year without a wide receiver catching a touchdown pass, and with their top defensive player leaving the team after a cancer diagnosis.  The Chiefs have the potential to be better this year, perhaps even better than they were in 2013, and there will be touchdown receptions from wide receivers this year.  Jeremy Maclin, the team’s key signee, should get several.  The defense will continue to be strong, and the Chiefs are within striking distance of overtaking their rivals to the west.

Oakland went through growing pains with a rookie quarterback last year, and the Raiders suffered through a 13th consecutive season without a winning record.  This once dominant team might be in its last year in Oakland, and could once again become the Los Angeles Raiders, making the O.co Coliseum “The Ark of the Lost Raiders.”  New head coach Jack Del Rio should lead to an improved defense, and if Carr can progress as a second year player, the Raiders could be moving up.  Of course, at 3-13, there isn’t much room to move down.

San Diego, like Oakland, is in a holding pattern.  The once Los Angeles Chargers may be the future Los Angeles Chargers, and teams in this situation seldom play consistent ball all season long.  Phillip Rivers returns after speculation that he might be dealt to Tennessee (before the Titans drafted Marcus Mariota).  Rivers has a little more to play with this year, as the Chargers acquired Jacoby Jones and Stevie Johnson.  It could be an interesting season in San Diego, but chances are better than 50-50 that the bolts will fall short of the playoffs.

DENVER BRONCOS

Broncos Starting Lineup
Offense
WR Demaryius Thomas
WR Emmanuel Sanders
WR Cody Latimer
TE Owen Daniels
LT Ty Sambrailo
LG Evan Mathis
C Matt Paradis
RG Louis Vasquez
RT Ryan Harris
QB Peyton Manning
HB C. J. Anderson
FB James Casey
   
Defense
DE Derek Wolfe/Vance Walker
DT Sylvester Williams
DE Malik Jackson
LB Von Miller
LB Brandon Marshall
LB Danny Trevathan
LB DeMarcus Ware
CB Aqib Talib
S T. J. Ward
S Darian Stewart
CB Chris Harris, Jr.
N5 Bradley Roby
   
Special
Kicker Brandon McManus
Punter Britton Colquitt
KR Omar Bolden
PR Omar Bolden
Denver Broncos
Head Coach Gary Kubiak
Off. Coordinator Rick Dennison
Def. Coordinator Wade Phillips
2014 W-L-T 12-4-0
Pts 30.1
Opp 22.1
   
Ratings  
PiRate 105.6
Mean 104.8
Bias 105.0
Average 105.1
   
Grades  
Running C+
Passing A
Vs. Run B
Vs. Pass A-
Special Teams C-
Coaching + Intangibles C
   
Predicted W-L 10-6-0
Division Rank 1
Conference Rank 3
Overall Rank 6
Postseason Yes

 

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Chiefs Starting Lineup
Offense
WR Jeremy Maclin
WR Albert Wilson
TE Travis Kelce
TE James O’Shaughnessy
LT Eric Fisher
LG Ben Grubbs
C Mitch Morse
RG Jeff Allen
RT Donald Stephenson
QB Alex Smith
HB Jamaal Charles
FB Anthony Sherman
   
Defense
DE Mike Devito
NT Jaye Howard/Dontari Poe
DE Allen Bailey
LB Justin Houston
LB Josh Mauga
LB Derrick Johnson
LB Tamba Hali
CB Phillip Gaines
S Ron Parker
S Eric Berry
CB Seam Smith/Jamell Fleming
N5 Husain Abdullah
   
Special
Kicker Cairo Santos
Punter Dustin Colquitt
KR Knile Davis
PR De’Anthony Thomas
Kansas City Chiefs
Head Coach Andy Reid
Off. Coordinator Doug Pederson
Def. Coordinator Bob Sutton
2014 W-L-T 9-7-0
Pts 22.1
Opp 17.6
   
Ratings  
PiRate 100.2
Mean 102.2
Bias 100.2
Average 100.9
   
Grades  
Running B+
Passing C
Vs. Run B-
Vs. Pass B-
Special Teams A
Coaching + Intangibles A-
   
Predicted W-L 8-8-0
Division Rank 3
Conference Rank 8
Overall Rank 14
Postseason No

 

OAKLAND RAIDERS

Raiders Starting Lineup
Offense
WR Michael Crabtree
WR Amari Cooper
TE Mychal Rivera
TE Lee Smith
LT Donald Penn
LG Gabe Jackson
C Rodney Hudson
RG J’Marcus Webb
RT Menelik Watson
QB Derek Carr
HB Latavius Murray
FB Marcel Reece
   
Defense
DE Khalil Mack
DT Dan Williams
DT Justin Ellis
DE Justin Tuck
LB Ray Ray Armstrong
LB Curtis Lofton
LB Malcolm Smith
CB D. J. Hayden
S Charles Woodson
S Nate Allen
CB T. J. Carrie
N5  
   
Special
Kicker Sebastian Janikowski
Punter Marquette King
KR Trindon Holliday
PR Trindon Holliday
Oakland Raiders
Head Coach Jack Del Rio
Off. Coordinator Bill Musgrave
Def. Coordinator Ken Norton, Jr.
2014 W-L-T 3-13-0
Pts 15.8
Opp 28.3
   
Ratings  
PiRate 90.1
Mean 95.7
Bias 87.9
Average 91.2
   
Grades  
Running C
Passing B-
Vs. Run C
Vs. Pass D
Special Teams C-
Coaching + Intangibles C
   
Predicted W-L 4-12-0
Division Rank 4
Conference Rank 15
Overall Rank 31
Postseason No

 

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

Chargers Starting Lineup
Offense
WR Keenan Allen
WR Malcolm Floyd
WR Stevie Johnson
TE Antonio Gates/Ladarius Green
LT King Dunlap
LG Orlando Franklin
C Chris Watt
RG D. J. Fluker
RT Joe Barksdale
QB Phillip Rivers
HB Melvin Gordon
FB (NONE)
   
Defense
DE Kendall Reyes
NT Sean Lissemore
DT Corey Liuget
LB Jerry Attaochu
LB Manti Te’O
LB Donald Butler
LB Melvin Ingram
CB Brandon Flowers
S Jahleel Addae
S Eric Weddle
CB Jason Verrett
N5 Jimmy Wilson
   
Special
Kicker Nick Novak
Punter Mike Scifres
KR Jacoby Jones
PR Jacoby Jones
San Diego Chargers
Head Coach Mike McCoy
Off. Coordinator Frank Reich
Def. Coordinator John Pagano
2014 W-L-T 9-7-0
Pts 21.8
Opp 21.8
   
Ratings  
PiRate 100.8
Mean 101.7
Bias 100.1
Average 100.9
   
Grades  
Running C+
Passing A-
Vs. Run C
Vs. Pass C+
Special Teams B+
Coaching + Intangibles C
   
Predicted W-L 9-7-0
Division Rank 2
Conference Rank 7
Overall Rank 13
Postseason No

 

August 27, 2013

2013 AFC South Preview

2013 A F C South Preview

The PiRate Ratings kickoff our coverage of the National Football League with our AFC West Division preview.

 

We have added a new wrinkle to our coverage this year.  In the past, friends of ours have asked us if we knew how to recreate the exact colors of their favorite team so that they could print those colors on their computer.  We have found this information from multiple sites in the last couple of months, and we are going to show you the RGB numbers so you can replicate those colors.  These can be used in graphics programs, but it can easily be used in MS-Word and MS-Excel.

 

Here are the official colors for the AFC South

 

South

Color

Red

Green

Blue

Houston Texans

Dark Blue

0

19

63

 

Red

214

48

58

Indianapolis Colts

Royal Blue

0

35

149

 

White

255

255

255

Jacksonville Jaguars

Teal

0

105

131

 

Gold

184

139

0

 

Black

17

28

36

Tennessee Titans

Navy

0

33

71

 

Light Blue

75

146

219

 

2012 Final Standings & PiRate Ratings

AFC West

PiRate

Mean

Biased

WLT

Pts

Opp

Houston Texans

102.9

103.6

104.0

12-4-0

416

331

Indianapolis Colts

97.0

99.6

101.4

11-5-0

357

387

Tennessee Titans

92.6

93.2

93.6

6-10-0

330

471

Jacksonville Jaguars

90.5

90.5

90.5

2-14-0

255

444

 

 

2013 Preseason PiRate Ratings

 

 

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Biased

Houston Texans

105.4

105.7

106.0

Indianapolis Colts

101.3

100.5

101.5

Tennessee Titans

97.5

96.0

98.1

Jacksonville Jaguars

91.9

92.0

92.3

 

PiRate Previews

Team

Houston Texans

               
Head Coach

Gary Kubiak

O-Coord.

Rick Dennison

D-Coord.

Wade Phillips

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Projected Starting Lineup

Position

Player

 

Offense

Quarterback

Matt Schaub

Running Back

Arian Foster

Fullback

Greg Jones

Wide Receiver

Andre Johnson

Wide Receiver

DeAndre Hopkins

Tight End

Owen Daniels

Left Tackle

Duane Brown

Left Guard

Wade Smith

Center

Chris Myers

Right Guard

Brandon Brooks

Right Tackle

Derek Newton

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Defense

Left End

J. J. Watt

Nose Tackle

Earl Mitchell

Right End

Jared Crick

Left OLB

Brooks Reed

Left ILB

Brian Cushing

Right ILB

Joe Mays

Right OLB

Whitney Mercilus

Left CB

Kareem Jackson

Right CB

Johnathan Joseph

Strong Safety

Danieal Manning

Free Safety

Ed Reed

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Special Teams

Kicker

Randy Bullock

Punter

Shane Lechler

K-Return

Keshawn Martin

P-Return

Keshawn Martin

 

 

Predictions

 

Record

11-5

Division

1st

 

 

Team

Indianapolis Colts

               
Head Coach

Chuck Fagano

O-Coord.

Pep Hamilton

D-Coord.

Greg Manusky

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Projected Starting Lineup

Position

Player

 

Offense

Quarterback

Andrew Luck

Running Back

Vick Ballard

Fullback

Stanley Havili

Wide Receiver

Reggie Wayne

Wide Receiver

Darrius Heyward-Bey

Tight End

Dwayne Allen

Left Tackle

Anthony Castonzo

Left Guard

Donald Thomas

Center

Samson Satele

Right Guard

Mike McGlynn

Right Tackle

Gosder Cherilus

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Defense

Left End

Cory Redding

Nose Tackle

Aubrayo Franklin

Right Tackle

Ricky Jean-Francois

Sam LB

Erik Walden

Mike LB

Pat Angerer

Will LB

Jerrell Freeman

Rush LB

Robert Mathis

Left CB

Greg Toler

Right CB

Vontae Davis

Strong Safety

Antoine Bethea

Free Safety

LaRon Landry

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Special Teams

Kicker

Adam Vinatieri

Punter

Pat McAfee

K-Return

Kerwynn Williams

P-Return

Ty Hilton

 

 

Predictions

 

Record

9-7

Division

2nd

 

 

Team

Jacksonville Jaguars

               
Head Coach

Gus Bradley

O-Coord.

Jedd Fisch

D-Coord.

Bob Babich

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Projected Starting Lineup

Position

Player

 

Offense

Quarterback

Blaine Gabbert

Running Back

Maurice Jones-Drew

Fullback

Will Ta’ufo’ou

Wide Receiver

Cecil Shorts

Wide Receiver

Justin Blackmon

Tight End

Marcedes Lewis

Left Tackle

Eugene Monroe

Left Guard

Will Rackley

Center

Brad Meester

Right Guard

Uche Nwaneri

Right Tackle

Luke Joeckel

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Defense

Left End

Jason Babin

Left Tackle

Sen’Derrick Marks

Nose Tackle

Roy Miller

Right End

Tyson Alualu

Sam LB

Russell Allen

Mike LB

Paul Posluszny

Will LB

Geno Hayes

Left CB

Dwayne Gratz

Right CB

Alan Ball

Strong Safety

Johnathan Cyprien

Free Safety

Dwight Lowery

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Special Teams

Kicker

Josh Scobee

Punter

Bryan Anger

K-Return

Jordan Todman

P-Return

Jordan Shipley

 

 

Predictions

 

Record

3-13

Division

4th

 

 

Team

Tennessee Titans

               
Head Coach

Mike Munchak

O-Coord.

Dowell Loggains

D-Coord.

Jerry Gray

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Projected Starting Lineup

Position

Player

 

Offense

Quarterback

Jake Locker

Running Back

Chris Johnson

H-Back

Craig Stevens

Wide Receiver

Nate Washington

Wide Receiver

Kenny Britt

Tight End

Delanie Walker

Left Tackle

Michael Roos

Left Guard

Andy Levitre

Center

Fernando Velasco

Right Guard

Chance Warmack

Right Tackle

David Stewart

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Defense

Left End

Derrick Morgan

Left Tackle

Sammie Hill

Right Tackle

Jurrell Casey

Right End

Kamerion Wimbley

Sam LB

Akeem Ayers

Mike LB

Colin McCarthy

Will LB

Zach Brown

Left CB

Jason McCourty

Right CB

Alterraun Verner

Strong Safety

Bernard Pollard

Free Safety

Michael Griffin

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Special Teams

Kicker

Rob Bironas

Punter

Brett Kern

K-Return

Darius Reynaud

P-Return

Darius Reynaud

 

 

Predictions

 

Record

5-11

Division

3rd

 

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