The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 11, 2021

PiRate Ratings–NFL Playoffs Divisional Round

Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Green BayLA Rams6.06.16.5
BuffaloBaltimore2.33.02.8
Kansas CityCleveland9.79.59.0
New OrleansTampa Bay0.2-0.1-0.3

Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Green BayLA Rams46.5
BuffaloBaltimore48
Kansas CityCleveland53.5
New OrleansTampa Bay58.5

Schedule

SaturdayJanuary 16
HomeVisitorNetworkTime (EST)
Green BayLA RamsFOX4:35 PM
BuffaloBaltimoreNBC8:15 PM
SundayJanuary 17
HomeVisitorNetworkTime (EST)
Kansas CityClevelandCBS3:05 PM
New OrleansTampa BayFOX6:40 PM

January 9, 2017

NFL Ratings And Spreads For Divisional Playoff Round: January 14-15, 2017

Saturday, January 14, 2017

Game 1: Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

Time: 4:35 PM EST

TV: Fox

Vegas Line: Atlanta by 4 1/2

Total Line: 51

 

PiRate Rating: Atlanta by 6.5

Mean Rating: Atlanta by 9.0

Bias Rating: Atlanta by 6.1

PiRate Total: 56

 

100 Simulations

Atlanta wins 63

Seattle wins 37

Average Score: Atlanta 29  Seattle 24

Outlier A: Atlanta 37  Seattle 16

Outlier B: Seattle 24  Atlanta 9

 

Game 2: Houston Texans at New England Patriots

Time: 8:15 PM EST

TV: CBS

Vegas Line: New England by 16

Total Line: 45

 

PiRate Rating: New England by 17.8

Mean Rating: New England by 15.5

Bias Rating: New England by 19.5

PiRate Total: 45

 

100 Simulations

New England wins 96

Houston wins 4

Average Score: New England 37  Houston 17

Outlier A: New England 56  Houston 7

Outlier B: Houston 24  New England 20

 

Sunday, January 15, 2017

Game 1: Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs

Time: 1:05 PM EST

TV: NBC

Vegas Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2

Total Line: 45 1/2

 

PiRate Rating: Kansas City by 2.9 

Mean Rating: Kansas City by 3.1

Bias Rating: Kansas City by 3.0

Total Line: 46

 

100 Simulations

Kansas City wins 53

Pittsburgh wins 47

Average Score: Kansas City 23  Pittsburgh 23 (KC 23.3 Pit 22.9)

Outlier A: Kansas City 27  Pittsburgh 10

Outlier B: Pittsburgh 34  Kansas City 13

 

Game 2: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

Time: 4:40 PM EST

TV: Fox

Vegas Line: Dallas by 4

Total Line: 52

 

PiRate Rating: Dallas by 2.7 

Mean Rating: Dallas by 3.5

Bias Rating: Dallas by 3.2

Total Line: 52

 

100 Simulations

Dallas wins 43

Green Bay wins 57

Average Score: Green Bay 33  Dallas 28

Outlier A: Dallas 34  Green Bay 20

Outlier B: Green Bay 38  Dallas 16

January 12, 2016

PiRate Ratings Divisional Playoff Round Preview

Note: Computer Simulations of the Divisional Playoff Round games will be published Friday after we can input better weather forecasts into the simulator.

 

This Week’s Games
         
Week Number: Divisional Round      
Date of Games: January 16-17      
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
New England Kansas City 2.2 0.6 0.1
Arizona Green Bay 7.7 7.9 8.7
Carolina Seattle 0.4 1.2 1.9
Denver Pittsburgh -0.8 -1.5 -1.2

January 8, 2014

PiRate Ratings: NFL Divisional Playoff Round–January 11-12, 2014

Wildcard Playoff TV Schedule

Day

Time (ET)

Game

TV

Radio

Saturday, January 11

4:35 PM

New Orleans @ Seattle

Fox

Westwood 1

Saturday, January 11

8:15 PM

Indianapolis @ New England

CBS

Westwood 1

Sunday, January 12

1:05 PM

San Francisco @ Carolina

Fox

Westwood 1

Sunday, January 12

4:40 PM

San Diego @ Denver

CBS

Westwood 1

   

 

 

 

To find a local Westwood 1 radio affiliate, check this link:

http://westwoodonesports.com/stations/

 

Weather Forecasts For Kickoff and Next 3-4 hours

Seattle—100% chance of rain, potentially heavy, and windy with a game time temperature in the mid to upper 40’s and falling slowly through the duration of the game

 

New England—60% chance of rain and gusty winds with temperatures holding steady near 50 throughout the game.

 

Carolina—Partly cloudy with a small rain chance and light winds with temperatures in the mid to upper 50’s during the course of the game.

 

Denver—Partly cloudy with a small rain chance and moderate wind gusts with temperatures at kickoff in the mid-40’s and falling into the 30’s during the game.

 

 

PiRate Spreads

Home Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Seattle New Orleans

7.3

6.9

6.9

New England Indianapolis

7.0

5.4

6.7

Carolina San Francisco

-1.5

-2.0

-1.7

Denver San Diego

7.3

7.4

7.7

 

Computer Simulations (100x)

New Orleans at Seattle

New Orleans wins: 14

Seattle wins: 86

Average Margin: Seattle 32.3  New Orleans 22.6

NO Outlier Win: 36-24

Sea Outlier Win: 44-13

 

Indianapolis at New England

Indianapolis Wins: 33

New England Wins: 67

Average Margin: New England 29.4  Indianapolis 23.1

Ind Outlier Win: 34-19

NE Outlier Win: 31-6

 

San Francisco at Carolina

San Francisco Wins: 64

Carolina Wins: 36

Average Margin: San Francisco 22.8  Carolina 18.6

SF Outlier Win: 30-10

Car Outlier Win: 21-6

 

San Diego at Denver

San Diego Wins: 49

Denver Wins: 51

Average Margin: San Diego 29.8  Denver 29.6

SD Outlier Win: 49-27

Den Outlier Win: 52-31

This one surprised us, but then again San Diego already won at Denver once before this season.

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