| Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
| Tennessee | Cincinnati | 2.8 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Green Bay | San Francisco | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Tampa Bay | Los Angeles | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Kansas City | Buffalo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Home | Visitor | Total |
| Tennessee | Cincinnati | 51.5 |
| Green Bay | San Francisco | 52 |
| Tampa Bay | Los Angeles | 55.5 |
| Kansas City | Buffalo | 55 |
Spreads
| Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
| Green Bay | LA Rams | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.5 |
| Buffalo | Baltimore | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Kansas City | Cleveland | 9.7 | 9.5 | 9.0 |
| New Orleans | Tampa Bay | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
Totals
| Home | Visitor | Total |
| Green Bay | LA Rams | 46.5 |
| Buffalo | Baltimore | 48 |
| Kansas City | Cleveland | 53.5 |
| New Orleans | Tampa Bay | 58.5 |
| Saturday | January 16 | ||
| Home | Visitor | Network | Time (EST) |
| Green Bay | LA Rams | FOX | 4:35 PM |
| Buffalo | Baltimore | NBC | 8:15 PM |
| Sunday | January 17 | ||
| Home | Visitor | Network | Time (EST) |
| Kansas City | Cleveland | CBS | 3:05 PM |
| New Orleans | Tampa Bay | FOX | 6:40 PM |
Saturday, January 14, 2017
Game 1: Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons
Time: 4:35 PM EST
TV: Fox
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 4 1/2
Total Line: 51
PiRate Rating: Atlanta by 6.5
Mean Rating: Atlanta by 9.0
Bias Rating: Atlanta by 6.1
PiRate Total: 56
100 Simulations
Atlanta wins 63
Seattle wins 37
Average Score: Atlanta 29 Seattle 24
Outlier A: Atlanta 37 Seattle 16
Outlier B: Seattle 24 Atlanta 9
Game 2: Houston Texans at New England Patriots
Time: 8:15 PM EST
TV: CBS
Vegas Line: New England by 16
Total Line: 45
PiRate Rating: New England by 17.8
Mean Rating: New England by 15.5
Bias Rating: New England by 19.5
PiRate Total: 45
100 Simulations
New England wins 96
Houston wins 4
Average Score: New England 37 Houston 17
Outlier A: New England 56 Houston 7
Outlier B: Houston 24 New England 20
Sunday, January 15, 2017
Game 1: Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs
Time: 1:05 PM EST
TV: NBC
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2
Total Line: 45 1/2
PiRate Rating: Kansas City by 2.9
Mean Rating: Kansas City by 3.1
Bias Rating: Kansas City by 3.0
Total Line: 46
100 Simulations
Kansas City wins 53
Pittsburgh wins 47
Average Score: Kansas City 23 Pittsburgh 23 (KC 23.3 Pit 22.9)
Outlier A: Kansas City 27 Pittsburgh 10
Outlier B: Pittsburgh 34 Kansas City 13
Game 2: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys
Time: 4:40 PM EST
TV: Fox
Vegas Line: Dallas by 4
Total Line: 52
PiRate Rating: Dallas by 2.7
Mean Rating: Dallas by 3.5
Bias Rating: Dallas by 3.2
Total Line: 52
100 Simulations
Dallas wins 43
Green Bay wins 57
Average Score: Green Bay 33 Dallas 28
Outlier A: Dallas 34 Green Bay 20
Outlier B: Green Bay 38 Dallas 16
Note: Computer Simulations of the Divisional Playoff Round games will be published Friday after we can input better weather forecasts into the simulator.
| This Week’s Games | ||||
| Week Number: | Divisional Round | |||
| Date of Games: | January 16-17 | |||
| Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
| New England | Kansas City | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Arizona | Green Bay | 7.7 | 7.9 | 8.7 |
| Carolina | Seattle | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Denver | Pittsburgh | -0.8 | -1.5 | -1.2 |
Wildcard Playoff TV Schedule
|
Day |
Time (ET) |
Game |
TV |
Radio |
| Saturday, January 11 |
4:35 PM |
New Orleans @ Seattle |
Fox |
Westwood 1 |
| Saturday, January 11 |
8:15 PM |
Indianapolis @ New England |
CBS |
Westwood 1 |
| Sunday, January 12 |
1:05 PM |
San Francisco @ Carolina |
Fox |
Westwood 1 |
| Sunday, January 12 |
4:40 PM |
San Diego @ Denver |
CBS |
Westwood 1 |
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To find a local Westwood 1 radio affiliate, check this link: |
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http://westwoodonesports.com/stations/
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Weather Forecasts For Kickoff and Next 3-4 hours
Seattle—100% chance of rain, potentially heavy, and windy with a game time temperature in the mid to upper 40’s and falling slowly through the duration of the game
New England—60% chance of rain and gusty winds with temperatures holding steady near 50 throughout the game.
Carolina—Partly cloudy with a small rain chance and light winds with temperatures in the mid to upper 50’s during the course of the game.
Denver—Partly cloudy with a small rain chance and moderate wind gusts with temperatures at kickoff in the mid-40’s and falling into the 30’s during the game.
PiRate Spreads
| Home | Visitor |
PiRate |
Mean |
Bias |
| Seattle | New Orleans |
7.3 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
| New England | Indianapolis |
7.0 |
5.4 |
6.7 |
| Carolina | San Francisco |
-1.5 |
-2.0 |
-1.7 |
| Denver | San Diego |
7.3 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
Computer Simulations (100x)
New Orleans at Seattle
New Orleans wins: 14
Seattle wins: 86
Average Margin: Seattle 32.3 New Orleans 22.6
NO Outlier Win: 36-24
Sea Outlier Win: 44-13
Indianapolis at New England
Indianapolis Wins: 33
New England Wins: 67
Average Margin: New England 29.4 Indianapolis 23.1
Ind Outlier Win: 34-19
NE Outlier Win: 31-6
San Francisco at Carolina
San Francisco Wins: 64
Carolina Wins: 36
Average Margin: San Francisco 22.8 Carolina 18.6
SF Outlier Win: 30-10
Car Outlier Win: 21-6
San Diego at Denver
San Diego Wins: 49
Denver Wins: 51
Average Margin: San Diego 29.8 Denver 29.6
SD Outlier Win: 49-27
Den Outlier Win: 52-31
This one surprised us, but then again San Diego already won at Denver once before this season.
The Pi-Rate Ratings 