The Pi-Rate Ratings

December 27, 2021

PiRate Ratings–College Basketball 2021-22 Debut

Welcome bask to the PiRate Ratings College Basketball coverage for 2021-22. We are excited about a few new changes and the resumption of some old methods here this year. Today, we start our coverage with two posts. This one will include our initial ratings for the season of the 358 Division 1 teams. The post coming later today will include our opening Bracketology for the season.

Every week until Conference Tournament Championships commence, we plan on releasing updated ratings on Monday and Friday mornings (hopefully before Noon Eastern Time). We will issue updated Bracketology on Monday afternoons through Mid-February, at which time the updates will increase to two per week until March. Once the conference tournaments commence and surprise winners and losers emerge, we will begin to update the Bubble daily.

During the week, we will issue spreads of games between Power Conference teams. Because our method for coming up with game spreads is somewhat labor intensive and not 100% mechanical, it takes too long to calculate spreads on every game. Our method involves a game-specific home court advantage for each game, because when teams play more than once a week and fatigue must be adjusted for the road team in every game. Toss in the Covid issue, and home court advantage can move to 8-10 points. If the home team is in trouble, the visiting team might actually get points!

Also from time to time, we will issue commentary or analysis of the game. Our annual publication of top Low-Major and Mid-Major head coaches and top assistant coaches ready for the big time has been one of our most read annual publications, and because so many of the guys on our list are now coaching at big time schools, we expect this year’s edition will be expanded some. Expect that post in Mid-January.

By far our most read posts every year are our “Bracketnomic” reports for March Madness. We use technical data that has been back-tested for more than two decades, with some data back-tested to 1939, to attempt to isolate the true contenders for the National Championship. Baylor and Gonzaga were both on that list last year. Our own creation, The R+T Rating, has helped us locate favorites ripe for early NCAA Tournament upsets, and it has helped us locate sleeper teams that could surprise. In the past, we saw George Mason as a sleeper when they sneaked into the Final Four. We saw the same with Wichita State, Virginia Commonwealth, and Butler. But, there was a year where we not only picked 15-seed Florida Gulf Coast to upset 2-seed Georgetown, we said it could be by double digits. When FGCU ran the Hoyas into the ground that night, our ratings briefly received a national accolade, and many of you reading this today became subscribers to this site.

Without further adieu, here are our opening ratings for 2021-22. Thank you for stopping by. We hope you stick around for the season.

PiRate Ratings

#TeamPiRateConference
1Gonzaga122.6West Coast
2Baylor121.1Big 12
3Arizona120.7Pac-12
4Purdue120.3Big Ten
5Houston120.0American Athletic
6Kansas119.5Big 12
7Duke118.6Atlantic Coast
8LSU118.1Southeastern
9Tennessee117.9Southeastern
10UCLA117.5Pac-12
11Auburn117.4Southeastern
12Kentucky117.3Southeastern
13Illinois116.9Big Ten
14Alabama116.1Southeastern
15Villanova115.9Big East
16Ohio St.115.7Big Ten
17Michigan St.115.4Big Ten
18Michigan115.3Big Ten
19USC114.9Pac-12
20Texas Tech114.9Big 12
21Iowa114.8Big Ten
22Connecticut114.6Big East
23Texas114.5Big 12
24Xavier114.5Big East
25Seton Hall114.4Big East
26Virginia Tech113.8Atlantic Coast
27Florida113.6Southeastern
28Indiana113.3Big Ten
29Memphis113.3American Athletic
30Loyola Chicago113.1Missouri Valley
31BYU112.6West Coast
32Oklahoma112.3Big 12
33North Carolina112.0Atlantic Coast
34Colorado St.111.6Mountain West
35Florida St.111.6Atlantic Coast
36Wisconsin111.3Big Ten
37West Virginia111.3Big 12
38Arkansas111.2Southeastern
39San Francisco111.2West Coast
40Mississippi St.110.8Southeastern
41Clemson110.8Atlantic Coast
42Saint Mary’s110.8West Coast
43Northwestern110.8Big Ten
44Oklahoma St.110.7Big 12
45UAB110.5Conference USA
46San Diego St.110.0Mountain West
47Washington St.109.9Pac-12
48Louisville109.8Atlantic Coast
49Providence109.7Big East
50Iowa St.109.6Big 12
51Utah St.109.5Mountain West
52Maryland109.3Big Ten
53Boise St.109.1Mountain West
54UCF109.1American Athletic
55Belmont109.0Ohio Valley
56Oregon108.9Pac-12
57Creighton108.9Big East
58Davidson108.6Atlantic 10
59TCU108.5Big 12
60Richmond108.4Atlantic 10
61SMU108.4American Athletic
62Wichita St.108.4American Athletic
63Wake Forest108.2Atlantic Coast
64St. Bonaventure108.0Atlantic 10
65Murray St.107.9Ohio Valley
66Texas A&M107.8Southeastern
67Notre Dame107.8Atlantic Coast
68Minnesota107.7Big Ten
69Cincinnati107.7American Athletic
70Saint Louis107.6Atlantic 10
71St. John’s107.5Big East
72Utah107.5Pac-12
73DePaul107.4Big East
74Marquette107.4Big East
75Virginia107.3Atlantic Coast
76VCU107.3Atlantic 10
77Kansas St.107.2Big 12
78Syracuse107.2Atlantic Coast
79Rhode Island107.1Atlantic 10
80Buffalo107.1Mid-American
81South Dakota St.107.0Summit
82Penn St.107.0Big Ten
83Missouri St.107.0Missouri Valley
84Fresno St.106.9Mountain West
85Vanderbilt106.8Southeastern
86Wyoming106.7Mountain West
87Nevada106.7Mountain West
88Drake106.6Missouri Valley
89Iona106.6Metro Atlantic
90Colorado106.4Pac-12
91Santa Clara106.3West Coast
92Louisiana Tech105.8Conference USA
93Stanford105.7Pac-12
94Chattanooga105.7Southern
95Arizona St.105.7Pac-12
96Toledo105.7Mid-American
97South Carolina105.6Southeastern
98North Texas105.6Conference USA
99Ohio105.4Mid-American
100UC Irvine105.4Big West
101Vermont105.4America East
102Dayton105.3Atlantic 10
103Wofford105.2Southern
104Rutgers105.1Big Ten
105Miami FL105.0Atlantic Coast
106Mississippi104.8Southeastern
107Towson104.8Colonial Athletic
108New Mexico St.104.8Western Athletic
109Monmouth104.7Metro Atlantic
110N.C. State104.5Atlantic Coast
111Western Kentucky104.5Conference USA
112Georgia Tech104.4Atlantic Coast
113Wagner104.4Northeast
114Butler104.4Big East
115California104.3Pac-12
116Hofstra104.2Colonial Athletic
117Furman104.0Southern
118Abilene Christian103.9Western Athletic
119Grand Canyon103.7Western Athletic
120Northern Iowa103.7Missouri Valley
121Oakland103.5Horizon
122Georgetown103.5Big East
123Loyola Marymount103.2West Coast
124George Mason103.1Atlantic 10
125Utah Valley103.1Western Athletic
126UNLV102.9Mountain West
127Liberty102.7Atlantic Sun
128Boston College102.6Atlantic Coast
129Colgate102.6Patriot League
130Akron102.6Mid-American
131Southern Utah102.5Big Sky
132Princeton102.5Ivy League
133Navy102.4Patriot League
134Massachusetts102.2Atlantic 10
135Jacksonville St.102.2Atlantic Sun
136Southern Illinois102.1Missouri Valley
137UC Santa Barbara102.1Big West
138UC Riverside102.0Big West
139Nebraska101.9Big Ten
140Tulsa101.8American Athletic
141Oral Roberts101.6Summit
142James Madison101.5Colonial Athletic
143Weber St.101.5Big Sky
144Texas St.101.5Sun Belt
145Northeastern101.5Colonial Athletic
146Morehead St.101.5Ohio Valley
147Bradley101.4Missouri Valley
148Yale101.3Ivy League
149Miami OH101.3Mid-American
150Oregon St.101.2Pac-12
151Georgia St.101.2Sun Belt
152South Alabama101.1Sun Belt
153Cleveland St.101.1Horizon
154Marshall101.1Conference USA
155Kent St.101.0Mid-American
156Temple101.0American Athletic
157East Tennessee St.100.8Southern
158Boston University100.6Patriot League
159Stephen F. Austin100.6Western Athletic
160Bowling Green100.6Mid-American
161Delaware100.3Colonial Athletic
162Rice100.3Conference USA
163Washington100.3Pac-12
164Brown100.1Ivy League
165Missouri100.1Southeastern
166Eastern Kentucky100.1Atlantic Sun
167Tulane99.9American Athletic
168Pittsburgh99.9Atlantic Coast
169Appalachian St.99.9Sun Belt
170Coastal Carolina99.8Sun Belt
171Fairfield99.8Metro Atlantic
172Drexel99.6Colonial Athletic
173Harvard99.6Ivy League
174Florida Gulf Coast99.5Atlantic Sun
175Saint Joseph’s99.5Atlantic 10
176Texas Southern99.5Southwestern Athletic
177Georgia99.4Southeastern
178Montana St.99.4Big Sky
179Wright St.99.4Horizon
180North Dakota St.99.4Summit
181Charleston99.3Colonial Athletic
182Winthrop99.3Big South
183Seattle99.3Western Athletic
184UNC Greensboro99.2Southern
185UTEP99.2Conference USA
186East Carolina99.1American Athletic
187Longwood99.1Big South
188Old Dominion99.1Conference USA
189Tarleton St.99.1Western Athletic
190San Diego99.1West Coast
191Louisiana99.0Sun Belt
192Western Illinois98.9Summit
193Valparaiso98.9Missouri Valley
194Charlotte98.9Conference USA
195Duquesne98.8Atlantic 10
196Montana98.8Big Sky
197Indiana St.98.8Missouri Valley
198Campbell98.7Big South
199Middle Tennessee98.6Conference USA
200Niagara98.6Metro Atlantic
201New Hampshire98.5America East
202Cal St. Fullerton98.4Big West
203Northern Colorado98.3Big Sky
204Florida Atlantic98.2Conference USA
205Georgia Southern98.1Sun Belt
206Stony Brook98.1America East
207Cornell98.1Ivy League
208UC Davis98.0Big West
209Marist98.0Metro Atlantic
210Cal Baptist97.9Western Athletic
211UMass Lowell97.9America East
212Fordham97.8Atlantic 10
213Eastern Washington97.7Big Sky
214Detroit Mercy97.7Horizon
215UMKC97.6Summit
216Nicholls St.97.6Southland
217Mercer97.6Southern
218Northern Kentucky97.5Horizon
219Saint Peter’s97.5Metro Atlantic
220Jacksonville97.5Atlantic Sun
221Penn97.5Ivy League
222Louisiana Monroe97.5Sun Belt
223New Mexico97.5Mountain West
224Bellarmine97.5Atlantic Sun
225FIU97.4Conference USA
226Gardner Webb97.3Big South
227VMI97.2Southern
228Illinois St.97.1Missouri Valley
229Arkansas St.97.1Sun Belt
230Howard97.0Mideastern Athletic
231Sam Houston St.96.9Western Athletic
232Hawaii96.8Big West
233Bryant96.8Northeast
234Cal St. Bakersfield96.6Big West
235UMBC96.5America East
236Youngstown St.96.5Horizon
237South Florida96.5American Athletic
238Pepperdine96.4West Coast
239UNC Asheville96.2Big South
240Jackson St.96.1Southwestern Athletic
241Quinnipiac95.8Metro Atlantic
242Dartmouth95.8Ivy League
243UT Arlington95.8Sun Belt
244Pacific95.7West Coast
245Troy95.5Sun Belt
246South Dakota95.5Summit
247Samford95.4Southern
248La Salle95.4Atlantic 10
249Evansville95.3Missouri Valley
250UC San Diego95.3Big West
251The Citadel95.2Southern
252Portland St.95.1Big Sky
253Manhattan95.1Metro Atlantic
254St. Francis PA95.0Northeast
255Illinois Chicago95.0Horizon
256Norfolk St.94.9Mideastern Athletic
257Stetson94.9Atlantic Sun
258LIU94.9Northeast
259George Washington94.8Atlantic 10
260Southern94.8Southwestern Athletic
261Tennessee Tech94.4Ohio Valley
262Radford94.4Big South
263Milwaukee94.3Horizon
264Ball St.94.3Mid-American
265Merrimack94.2Northeast
266Portland94.2West Coast
267North Alabama94.1Atlantic Sun
268Purdue Fort Wayne94.0Horizon
269Kennesaw St.94.0Atlantic Sun
270Loyola MD93.9Patriot League
271Prairie View A&M93.8Southwestern Athletic
272High Point93.7Big South
273Lipscomb93.5Atlantic Sun
274Eastern Michigan93.5Mid-American
275Army93.4Patriot League
276NJIT93.4America East
277North Carolina A&T93.4Big South
278Long Beach St.93.4Big West
279San Jose St.93.3Mountain West
280Canisius93.3Metro Atlantic
281Austin Peay93.3Ohio Valley
282Presbyterian93.3Big South
283Texas A&M Corpus Chris93.2Southland
284Elon93.2Colonial Athletic
285Sacred Heart93.2Northeast
286North Florida93.1Atlantic Sun
287Hartford93.1America East
288UNC Wilmington93.0Colonial Athletic
289Albany93.0America East
290UT Rio Grande Valley92.9Western Athletic
291St. Thomas92.8Summit
292Siena92.7Metro Atlantic
293Air Force92.7Mountain West
294SIU Edwardsville92.5Ohio Valley
295Western Carolina92.5Southern
296Southern Miss92.4Conference USA
297Rider92.4Metro Atlantic
298Mount St. Mary’s92.4Northeast
299Cal Poly92.1Big West
300New Orleans92.1Southland
301Robert Morris92.0Horizon
302Dixie St.91.9Western Athletic
303Tennessee St.91.8Ohio Valley
304Cal St. Northridge91.8Big West
305Alcorn St.91.6Southwestern Athletic
306Lafayette91.5Patriot League
307Florida A&M91.5Southwestern Athletic
308Binghamton91.4America East
309Coppin St.91.2Mideastern Athletic
310Southeastern Louisiana91.1Southland
311Sacramento St.91.0Big Sky
312UTSA91.0Conference USA
313Bucknell90.9Patriot League
314Idaho St.90.7Big Sky
315Lamar90.7Western Athletic
316Green Bay90.7Horizon
317Little Rock90.7Sun Belt
318Northern Arizona90.6Big Sky
319McNeese St.90.4Southland
320St. Francis NY90.3Northeast
321Southeast Missouri St.90.2Ohio Valley
322North Carolina Central90.2Mideastern Athletic
323Morgan St.90.0Mideastern Athletic
324Northern Illinois89.7Mid-American
325American89.6Patriot League
326Lehigh89.4Patriot League
327Denver89.1Summit
328Maryland Eastern Shore88.9Mideastern Athletic
329USC Upstate88.8Big South
330Tennessee Martin88.6Ohio Valley
331Central Michigan88.6Mid-American
332Grambling St.88.5Southwestern Athletic
333Hampton88.4Big South
334Western Michigan88.3Mid-American
335Idaho88.1Big Sky
336Northwestern St.87.3Southland
337South Carolina St.87.2Mideastern Athletic
338Alabama A&M87.1Southwestern Athletic
339Central Connecticut86.9Northeast
340Nebraska Omaha86.9Summit
341William & Mary86.8Colonial Athletic
342Fairleigh Dickinson86.7Northeast
343Alabama St.86.7Southwestern Athletic
344North Dakota86.6Summit
345Holy Cross86.5Patriot League
346Bethune Cookman86.0Southwestern Athletic
347Columbia85.9Ivy League
348Central Arkansas85.5Atlantic Sun
349Charleston Southern85.2Big South
350Incarnate Word85.1Southland
351Houston Baptist84.7Southland
352Maine84.4America East
353Eastern Illinois84.3Ohio Valley
354Chicago St.82.7Western Athletic
355IUPUI82.6Horizon
356Arkansas Pine Bluff82.3Southwestern Athletic
357Delaware St.78.8Mideastern Athletic
358Mississippi Valley St.74.3Southwestern Athletic

PiRate Ratings Alphabetically

TeamPiRate
Abilene Christian103.9
Air Force92.7
Akron102.6
Alabama116.1
Alabama A&M87.1
Alabama St.86.7
Albany93.0
Alcorn St.91.6
American89.6
Appalachian St.99.9
Arizona120.7
Arizona St.105.7
Arkansas111.2
Arkansas Pine Bluff82.3
Arkansas St.97.1
Army93.4
Auburn117.4
Austin Peay93.3
Ball St.94.3
Baylor121.1
Bellarmine97.5
Belmont109.0
Bethune Cookman86.0
Binghamton91.4
Boise St.109.1
Boston College102.6
Boston University100.6
Bowling Green100.6
Bradley101.4
Brown100.1
Bryant96.8
Bucknell90.9
Buffalo107.1
Butler104.4
BYU112.6
Cal Baptist97.9
Cal Poly92.1
Cal St. Bakersfield96.6
Cal St. Fullerton98.4
Cal St. Northridge91.8
California104.3
Campbell98.7
Canisius93.3
Central Arkansas85.5
Central Connecticut86.9
Central Michigan88.6
Charleston99.3
Charleston Southern85.2
Charlotte98.9
Chattanooga105.7
Chicago St.82.7
Cincinnati107.7
Clemson110.8
Cleveland St.101.1
Coastal Carolina99.8
Colgate102.6
Colorado106.4
Colorado St.111.6
Columbia85.9
Connecticut114.6
Coppin St.91.2
Cornell98.1
Creighton108.9
Dartmouth95.8
Davidson108.6
Dayton105.3
Delaware100.3
Delaware St.78.8
Denver89.1
DePaul107.4
Detroit Mercy97.7
Dixie St.91.9
Drake106.6
Drexel99.6
Duke118.6
Duquesne98.8
East Carolina99.1
East Tennessee St.100.8
Eastern Illinois84.3
Eastern Kentucky100.1
Eastern Michigan93.5
Eastern Washington97.7
Elon93.2
Evansville95.3
Fairfield99.8
Fairleigh Dickinson86.7
FIU97.4
Florida113.6
Florida A&M91.5
Florida Atlantic98.2
Florida Gulf Coast99.5
Florida St.111.6
Fordham97.8
Fresno St.106.9
Furman104.0
Gardner Webb97.3
George Mason103.1
George Washington94.8
Georgetown103.5
Georgia99.4
Georgia Southern98.1
Georgia St.101.2
Georgia Tech104.4
Gonzaga122.6
Grambling St.88.5
Grand Canyon103.7
Green Bay90.7
Hampton88.4
Hartford93.1
Harvard99.6
Hawaii96.8
High Point93.7
Hofstra104.2
Holy Cross86.5
Houston120.0
Houston Baptist84.7
Howard97.0
Idaho88.1
Idaho St.90.7
Illinois116.9
Illinois Chicago95.0
Illinois St.97.1
Incarnate Word85.1
Indiana113.3
Indiana St.98.8
Iona106.6
Iowa114.8
Iowa St.109.6
IUPUI82.6
Jackson St.96.1
Jacksonville97.5
Jacksonville St.102.2
James Madison101.5
Kansas119.5
Kansas St.107.2
Kennesaw St.94.0
Kent St.101.0
Kentucky117.3
La Salle95.4
Lafayette91.5
Lamar90.7
Lehigh89.4
Liberty102.7
Lipscomb93.5
Little Rock90.7
LIU94.9
Long Beach St.93.4
Longwood99.1
Louisiana99.0
Louisiana Monroe97.5
Louisiana Tech105.8
Louisville109.8
Loyola Chicago113.1
Loyola Marymount103.2
Loyola MD93.9
LSU118.1
Maine84.4
Manhattan95.1
Marist98.0
Marquette107.4
Marshall101.1
Maryland109.3
Maryland Eastern Shore88.9
Massachusetts102.2
McNeese St.90.4
Memphis113.3
Mercer97.6
Merrimack94.2
Miami FL105.0
Miami OH101.3
Michigan115.3
Michigan St.115.4
Middle Tennessee98.6
Milwaukee94.3
Minnesota107.7
Mississippi104.8
Mississippi St.110.8
Mississippi Valley St.74.3
Missouri100.1
Missouri St.107.0
Monmouth104.7
Montana98.8
Montana St.99.4
Morehead St.101.5
Morgan St.90.0
Mount St. Mary’s92.4
Murray St.107.9
N.C. State104.5
Navy102.4
Nebraska101.9
Nebraska Omaha86.9
Nevada106.7
New Hampshire98.5
New Mexico97.5
New Mexico St.104.8
New Orleans92.1
Niagara98.6
Nicholls St.97.6
NJIT93.4
Norfolk St.94.9
North Alabama94.1
North Carolina112.0
North Carolina A&T93.4
North Carolina Central90.2
North Dakota86.6
North Dakota St.99.4
North Florida93.1
North Texas105.6
Northeastern101.5
Northern Arizona90.6
Northern Colorado98.3
Northern Illinois89.7
Northern Iowa103.7
Northern Kentucky97.5
Northwestern110.8
Northwestern St.87.3
Notre Dame107.8
Oakland103.5
Ohio105.4
Ohio St.115.7
Oklahoma112.3
Oklahoma St.110.7
Old Dominion99.1
Oral Roberts101.6
Oregon108.9
Oregon St.101.2
Pacific95.7
Penn97.5
Penn St.107.0
Pepperdine96.4
Pittsburgh99.9
Portland94.2
Portland St.95.1
Prairie View A&M93.8
Presbyterian93.3
Princeton102.5
Providence109.7
Purdue120.3
Purdue Fort Wayne94.0
Quinnipiac95.8
Radford94.4
Rhode Island107.1
Rice100.3
Richmond108.4
Rider92.4
Robert Morris92.0
Rutgers105.1
Sacramento St.91.0
Sacred Heart93.2
Saint Joseph’s99.5
Saint Louis107.6
Saint Mary’s110.8
Saint Peter’s97.5
Sam Houston St.96.9
Samford95.4
San Diego99.1
San Diego St.110.0
San Francisco111.2
San Jose St.93.3
Santa Clara106.3
Seattle99.3
Seton Hall114.4
Siena92.7
SIU Edwardsville92.5
SMU108.4
South Alabama101.1
South Carolina105.6
South Carolina St.87.2
South Dakota95.5
South Dakota St.107.0
South Florida96.5
Southeast Missouri St.90.2
Southeastern Louisiana91.1
Southern94.8
Southern Illinois102.1
Southern Miss92.4
Southern Utah102.5
St. Bonaventure108.0
St. Francis NY90.3
St. Francis PA95.0
St. John’s107.5
St. Thomas92.8
Stanford105.7
Stephen F. Austin100.6
Stetson94.9
Stony Brook98.1
Syracuse107.2
Tarleton St.99.1
TCU108.5
Temple101.0
Tennessee117.9
Tennessee Martin88.6
Tennessee St.91.8
Tennessee Tech94.4
Texas114.5
Texas A&M107.8
Texas A&M Corpus Chris93.2
Texas Southern99.5
Texas St.101.5
Texas Tech114.9
The Citadel95.2
Toledo105.7
Towson104.8
Troy95.5
Tulane99.9
Tulsa101.8
UAB110.5
UC Davis98.0
UC Irvine105.4
UC Riverside102.0
UC San Diego95.3
UC Santa Barbara102.1
UCF109.1
UCLA117.5
UMass Lowell97.9
UMBC96.5
UMKC97.6
UNC Asheville96.2
UNC Greensboro99.2
UNC Wilmington93.0
UNLV102.9
USC114.9
USC Upstate88.8
UT Arlington95.8
UT Rio Grande Valley92.9
Utah107.5
Utah St.109.5
Utah Valley103.1
UTEP99.2
UTSA91.0
Valparaiso98.9
Vanderbilt106.8
VCU107.3
Vermont105.4
Villanova115.9
Virginia107.3
Virginia Tech113.8
VMI97.2
Wagner104.4
Wake Forest108.2
Washington100.3
Washington St.109.9
Weber St.101.5
West Virginia111.3
Western Carolina92.5
Western Illinois98.9
Western Kentucky104.5
Western Michigan88.3
Wichita St.108.4
William & Mary86.8
Winthrop99.3
Wisconsin111.3
Wofford105.2
Wright St.99.4
Wyoming106.7
Xavier114.5
Yale101.3
Youngstown St.96.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East
TeamRating
Vermont105.4
New Hampshire98.5
Stony Brook98.1
UMass Lowell97.9
UMBC96.5
NJIT93.4
Hartford93.1
Albany93.0
Binghamton91.4
Maine84.4

American Athletic
TeamRating
Houston120.0
Memphis113.3
UCF109.1
SMU108.4
Wichita St.108.4
Cincinnati107.7
Tulsa101.8
Temple101.0
Tulane99.9
East Carolina99.1
South Florida96.5

Atlantic 10
TeamRating
Davidson108.6
Richmond108.4
St. Bonaventure108.0
Saint Louis107.6
VCU107.3
Rhode Island107.1
Dayton105.3
George Mason103.1
Massachusetts102.2
Saint Joseph’s99.5
Duquesne98.8
Fordham97.8
La Salle95.4
George Washington94.8

Atlantic Coast
TeamRating
Duke118.6
Virginia Tech113.8
North Carolina112.0
Florida St.111.6
Clemson110.8
Louisville109.8
Wake Forest108.2
Notre Dame107.8
Virginia107.3
Syracuse107.2
Miami FL105.0
N.C. State104.5
Georgia Tech104.4
Boston College102.6
Pittsburgh99.9

Atlantic Sun
TeamRating
Liberty102.7
Jacksonville St.102.2
Eastern Kentucky100.1
Florida Gulf Coast99.5
Jacksonville97.5
Bellarmine97.5
Stetson94.9
North Alabama94.1
Kennesaw St.94.0
Lipscomb93.5
North Florida93.1
Central Arkansas85.5

Big 12
TeamRating
Baylor121.1
Kansas119.5
Texas Tech114.9
Texas114.5
Oklahoma112.3
West Virginia111.3
Oklahoma St.110.7
Iowa St.109.6
TCU108.5
Kansas St.107.2

Big East
TeamRating
Villanova115.9
Connecticut114.6
Xavier114.5
Seton Hall114.4
Providence109.7
Creighton108.9
St. John’s107.5
DePaul107.4
Marquette107.4
Butler104.4
Georgetown103.5

Big Sky
TeamRating
Southern Utah102.5
Weber St.101.5
Montana St.99.4
Montana98.8
Northern Colorado98.3
Eastern Washington97.7
Portland St.95.1
Sacramento St.91.0
Idaho St.90.7
Northern Arizona90.6
Idaho88.1

Big South
TeamRating
Winthrop99.3
Longwood99.1
Campbell98.7
Gardner Webb97.3
UNC Asheville96.2
Radford94.4
High Point93.7
North Carolina A&T93.4
Presbyterian93.3
USC Upstate88.8
Hampton88.4
Charleston Southern85.2

Big Ten
TeamRating
Purdue120.3
Illinois116.9
Ohio St.115.7
Michigan St.115.4
Michigan115.3
Iowa114.8
Indiana113.3
Wisconsin111.3
Northwestern110.8
Maryland109.3
Minnesota107.7
Penn St.107.0
Rutgers105.1
Nebraska101.9

Big West
TeamRating
UC Irvine105.4
UC Santa Barbara102.1
UC Riverside102.0
Cal St. Fullerton98.4
UC Davis98.0
Hawaii96.8
Cal St. Bakersfield96.6
UC San Diego95.3
Long Beach St.93.4
Cal Poly92.1
Cal St. Northridge91.8

Colonial Athletic
TeamRating
Towson104.8
Hofstra104.2
James Madison101.5
Northeastern101.5
Delaware100.3
Drexel99.6
Charleston99.3
Elon93.2
UNC Wilmington93.0
William & Mary86.8

Conference USA
TeamRating
UAB110.5
Louisiana Tech105.8
North Texas105.6
Western Kentucky104.5
Marshall101.1
Rice100.3
UTEP99.2
Old Dominion99.1
Charlotte98.9
Middle Tennessee98.6
Florida Atlantic98.2
FIU97.4
Southern Miss92.4
UTSA91.0

Horizon
TeamRating
Oakland103.5
Cleveland St.101.1
Wright St.99.4
Detroit Mercy97.7
Northern Kentucky97.5
Youngstown St.96.5
Illinois Chicago95.0
Milwaukee94.3
Purdue Fort Wayne94.0
Robert Morris92.0
Green Bay90.7
IUPUI82.6

Ivy League
TeamRating
Princeton102.5
Yale101.3
Brown100.1
Harvard99.6
Cornell98.1
Penn97.5
Dartmouth95.8
Columbia85.9

Metro Atlantic
TeamRating
Iona106.6
Monmouth104.7
Fairfield99.8
Niagara98.6
Marist98.0
Saint Peter’s97.5
Quinnipiac95.8
Manhattan95.1
Canisius93.3
Siena92.7
Rider92.4


Mid-American
TeamRating
Buffalo107.1
Toledo105.7
Ohio105.4
Akron102.6
Miami OH101.3
Kent St.101.0
Bowling Green100.6
Ball St.94.3
Eastern Michigan93.5
Northern Illinois89.7
Central Michigan88.6
Western Michigan88.3

Mideastern Athletic
TeamRating
Howard97.0
Norfolk St.94.9
Coppin St.91.2
North Carolina Central90.2
Morgan St.90.0
Maryland Eastern Shore88.9
South Carolina St.87.2
Delaware St.78.8

Missouri Valley
TeamRating
Loyola Chicago113.1
Missouri St.107.0
Drake106.6
Northern Iowa103.7
Southern Illinois102.1
Bradley101.4
Valparaiso98.9
Indiana St.98.8
Illinois St.97.1
Evansville95.3

Mountain West
TeamRating
Colorado St.111.6
San Diego St.110.0
Utah St.109.5
Boise St.109.1
Fresno St.106.9
Wyoming106.7
Nevada106.7
UNLV102.9
New Mexico97.5
San Jose St.93.3
Air Force92.7

Northeast
TeamRating
Wagner104.4
Bryant96.8
St. Francis PA95.0
LIU94.9
Merrimack94.2
Sacred Heart93.2
Mount St. Mary’s92.4
St. Francis NY90.3
Central Connecticut86.9
Fairleigh Dickinson86.7

Ohio Valley
TeamRating
Belmont109.0
Murray St.107.9
Morehead St.101.5
Tennessee Tech94.4
Austin Peay93.3
SIU Edwardsville92.5
Tennessee St.91.8
Southeast Missouri St.90.2
Tennessee Martin88.6
Eastern Illinois84.3

Pac-12
TeamRating
Arizona120.7
UCLA117.5
USC114.9
Washington St.109.9
Oregon108.9
Utah107.5
Colorado106.4
Stanford105.7
Arizona St.105.7
California104.3
Oregon St.101.2
Washington100.3

Patriot League
TeamRating
Colgate102.6
Navy102.4
Boston University100.6
Loyola MD93.9
Army93.4
Lafayette91.5
Bucknell90.9
American89.6
Lehigh89.4
Holy Cross86.5

Southeastern
TeamRating
LSU118.1
Tennessee117.9
Auburn117.4
Kentucky117.3
Alabama116.1
Florida113.6
Arkansas111.2
Mississippi St.110.8
Texas A&M107.8
Vanderbilt106.8
South Carolina105.6
Mississippi104.8
Missouri100.1
Georgia99.4

Southern
TeamRating
Chattanooga105.7
Wofford105.2
Furman104.0
East Tennessee St.100.8
UNC Greensboro99.2
Mercer97.6
VMI97.2
Samford95.4
The Citadel95.2
Western Carolina92.5

Southland
TeamRating
Nicholls St.97.6
Texas A&M Corpus Chris93.2
New Orleans92.1
Southeastern Louisiana91.1
McNeese St.90.4
Northwestern St.87.3
Incarnate Word85.1
Houston Baptist84.7

Southwestern Athletic
TeamRating
Texas Southern99.5
Jackson St.96.1
Southern94.8
Prairie View A&M93.8
Alcorn St.91.6
Florida A&M91.5
Grambling St.88.5
Alabama A&M87.1
Alabama St.86.7
Bethune Cookman86.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff82.3
Mississippi Valley St.74.3

Summit
TeamRating
South Dakota St.107.0
Oral Roberts101.6
North Dakota St.99.4
Western Illinois98.9
UMKC97.6
South Dakota95.5
St. Thomas92.8
Denver89.1
Nebraska Omaha86.9
North Dakota86.6

Sun Belt
TeamRating
Texas St.101.5
Georgia St.101.2
South Alabama101.1
Appalachian St.99.9
Coastal Carolina99.8
Louisiana99.0
Georgia Southern98.1
Louisiana Monroe97.5
Arkansas St.97.1
UT Arlington95.8
Troy95.5
Little Rock90.7

West Coast
TeamRating
Gonzaga122.6
BYU112.6
San Francisco111.2
Saint Mary’s110.8
Santa Clara106.3
Loyola Marymount103.2
San Diego99.1
Pepperdine96.4
Pacific95.7
Portland94.2

Western Athletic
TeamRating
New Mexico St.104.8
Abilene Christian103.9
Grand Canyon103.7
Utah Valley103.1
Stephen F. Austin100.6
Seattle99.3
Tarleton St.99.1
Cal Baptist97.9
Sam Houston St.96.9
UT Rio Grande Valley92.9
Dixie St.91.9
Lamar90.7
Chicago St.82.7

September 19, 2011

PiRate Ratings: College Football for September 22-24, 2011

Let’s tune in to our favorite radio drama serial—All My Expansions.  In today’s episode, the evil John Swofford has taken away two suitors, Syracuse and Pittsburgh, from his neighbor, John Marinatto.  That leaves Marinatto in a bit of purgatory with his comrade Dan Beebe.  Beebe has already lost a suitor, Texas A&M, to Mike Slive, and that western, swashbuckling, showman Larry Scott is going to rustle away the rest of Beebe’s prime cattle in Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, and Texas.

 

Tune in tomorrow to see if Baylor’s lawsuit against Texas A&M will have any effect on the SEC, or if it comes back to bite the Bears on the tush, leaving them out in the cold after every other conference shuns them.

 

We will find out if Texas Governor Rick Perry gets hit from Mitt Romney and Michelle Bachmann on his A&M to the SEC issue.  On second chance, they have so much ammunition on the Gardasil issue, a higher debt to GDP ratio in Texas than in California (that Perry has more than doubled since he has been governor), and the fact that Texas has the most minimum wage jobs per capita in the US.  So he can slide and continue to be just a former A&M yell leader.

 

Okay, political rants aside, there were some big games this past weekend.  Oklahoma went on the road and held Florida State at bay for most of the night.  Florida once again punished Tennessee in the Swamp.  Andrew Luck went on the road to Tucson and led Stanford to an impressive win.  Miami showed the nation that Ohio State will probably lose more games this season.  Temple almost upset Penn State.  Most of all, it is amazing to see a number of surprising 3-0 teams.  In the ACC, Clemson ended Auburn’s long winning streak, and the Tigers are 3-0.  North Carolina, without Butch Davis, is 3-0.  In the Big East, South Florida and West Virginia are only mildly surprising 3-0 teams, while you can say the same about Illinois and Michigan in the Big Ten.  Iowa State, Wyoming, Vanderbilt, and Florida International may be the four biggest surprise teams at 3-0.  The Cyclones own wins over Iowa and Connecticut.  The Cowboys won at Bowling Green.  Vanderbilt blew Ole Miss off the field, while Florida International beat Central Florida after beating Louisville.

 

Here are the rankings for the 120 FBS teams this week:

 

#

Team

PiRate

1

Oklahoma

133.8

2

Alabama

130.7

3

Stanford

130.4

4

L S U

128.7

5

Texas A&M

128.4

6

Oregon

125.3

7

Boise St.

125.0

8

Oklahoma St.

122.7

9

Wisconsin

122.5

10

Florida St.

121.3

11

Notre Dame

120.6

12

Arkansas

119.9

13

Florida 

119.2

14

S. Carolina

116.8

15

Nebraska

116.3

16

Miss. State

115.9

17

Miami

115.1

18

Va. Tech

114.7

19

Arizona St.

114.4

20

Utah

114.2

21

Missouri

114.0

22

Southern Cal

113.0

23

Michigan

112.8

24

Texas

112.5

25

Michigan St.

111.8

26

Georgia 

111.5

27

Clemson

111.2

28

Penn State

110.8

29

Washington

110.4

30

California

110.2

31

Auburn

109.9

32

T C U

109.1

33

W. Virginia

108.9

34

Tennessee

108.9

35

Arizona

108.7

36

Illinois

108.6

37

Texas Tech

108.3

38

Maryland

107.6

39

Baylor

107.4

40

Iowa

107.2

41

Cincinnati

107.1

42

Pittsburgh

106.6

43

N.C. State

106.4

44

N. Carolina

106.3

45

S. Florida

105.3

46

Georgia Tech

104.9

47

Oregon St.

104.8

48

Washington St.

104.5

49

Ohio State

104.2

50

Vanderbilt

103.9

51

B Y U

103.8

52

Air Force

103.6

53

S.D. State

103.2

54

Tulsa

102.7

55

Navy

102.6

56

Iowa State

102.4

57

U C L A

102.2

58

Wake Forest

101.8

59

Colorado

101.5

60

Kansas St.

100.8

61

Connecticut

100.3

62

Northwestern

100.1

63

Nevada

99.6

64

Houston

99.3

65

S M U

99.1

66

Minnesota

99.0

67

Virginia

98.8

68

Duke

98.6

69

Boston Coll.

98.2

70

Hawaii

97.0

71

Utah St.

96.6

72

Purdue

96.5

73

E C U

96.4

74

Central Florida

96.2

75

Ole Miss

96.0

76

Kentucky

95.4

77

Rutgers

95.0

78

Southern Miss.

94.5

79

Toledo

94.0

80

Syracuse

93.9

81

Fresno St.

93.9

82

Florida Int’l

93.8

83

San Jose St.

92.8

84

La.Tech

92.4

85

Western Michigan

92.3

86

Miami (O)

92.2

87

Temple

91.9

88

Louisville

91.9

89

Kansas

91.1

90

Rice

90.9

91

Ohio U

90.8

92

Arkansas St.

90.8

93

Colorado St.

90.8

94

Northern Illinois

90.7

95

Wyoming

89.7

96

Army

86.8

97

UL-Monroe

85.9

98

Bowling Green

85.5

99

Idaho

85.4

100

Troy

85.1

101

UNLV

84.4

102

Indiana

83.9

103

Tulane

83.5

104

Marshall

83.5

105

Central Mich.

80.6

106

U A B

80.5

107

U T E P

80.1

108

Ball St.

79.5

109

New Mexico

79.0

110

New Mexico St.

78.8

111

Buffalo

76.9

112

UL-Lafayette

76.6

113

Middle Tennessee

76.6

114

Kent St.

76.1

115

N. Texas

73.1

116

Western Ky.

73.1

117

Eastern Mich.

72.9

118

Florida Atlantic

69.1

119

Akron

66.5

120

Memphis

64.2

 

Here they are by conference.

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Florida State

0-0

2-1

121.3

Clemson

0-0

3-0

111.2

Maryland

1-0

1-1

107.6

North Carolina State

0-1

2-1

106.4

Wake Forest

1-0

2-1

101.8

Boston College

0-1

0-3

98.2

       
Coastal Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Miami-FL

0-1

1-1

115.1

Virginia Tech

0-0

3-0

114.7

North Carolina

1-0

3-0

106.3

Georgia Tech

0-0

3-0

104.9

Virginia

0-1

2-1

98.8

Duke

1-0

1-2

98.6

 

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

West Virginia

0-0

3-0

108.9

Cincinnati

0-0

2-1

107.1

Pittsburgh

0-0

2-1

106.6

South Florida

0-0

3-0

105.3

Connecticut

0-0

1-2

100.3

Rutgers

0-0

1-1

95.0

Syracuse

0-0

2-1

93.9

Louisville

0-0

2-1

91.9

 

 

Big Ten

       
Leaders Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Wisconsin

0-0

3-0

122.5

Penn State

0-0

2-1

110.8

Illinois

0-0

3-0

108.6

Ohio State

0-0

2-1

104.2

Purdue

0-0

2-1

96.5

Indiana

0-0

1-2

83.9

       
Legends Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Nebraska

0-0

3-0

116.3

Michigan

0-0

3-0

112.8

Michigan State

0-0

2-1

111.8

Iowa

0-0

2-1

107.2

Northwestern

0-0

2-1

100.1

Minnesota

0-0

1-2

99.0

 

 

Big 12

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Oklahoma

0-0

2-0

133.8

Texas A&M

0-0

2-0

128.4

Oklahoma State

0-0

3-0

122.7

Missouri

0-0

2-1

114.0

Texas

0-0

3-0

112.5

Texas Tech

0-0

2-0

108.3

Baylor

0-0

2-0

107.4

Iowa State

0-0

3-0

102.4

Kansas State

0-0

2-0

100.8

Kansas

0-0

2-1

91.1

 

 

Conference USA

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

East Carolina

0-0

0-2

96.4

Central Florida

0-0

2-1

96.2

Southern Mississippi

0-1

2-1

94.5

Marshall

1-0

1-2

83.5

U A B

0-1

0-2

80.5

Memphis

0-0

1-2

64.2

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Tulsa

1-0

1-2

102.7

Houston

0-0

3-0

99.3

S M U

1-0

2-1

99.1

Rice

0-0

1-1

90.9

Tulane

1-1

2-1

83.5

U T E P

0-1

2-1

80.1

 

 

Independents

       
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Notre Dame  

1-2

120.6

B Y U  

1-2

103.8

Navy  

2-1

102.6

Army  

1-2

86.8

 

 

Mid American Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Miami (O)

0-0

0-2

92.2

Temple

1-0

2-1

91.9

Ohio U

0-0

3-0

90.8

Bowling Green

0-0

2-1

85.5

Buffalo

0-1

1-2

76.9

Kent St.

0-0

0-3

76.1

Akron

0-1

0-3

66.5

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Toledo

0-0

1-2

94.0

Western Michigan

1-0

2-1

92.3

Northern Illinois

0-0

1-2

90.7

Central Michigan

0-1

1-2

80.6

Ball State

1-0

2-1

79.5

Eastern Michigan

0-0

2-1

72.9

 

 

Mountain West Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Boise State

0-0

2-0

125.0

T C U

1-0

2-1

109.1

Air Force

0-1

1-1

103.6

San Diego State

0-0

3-0

103.2

Colorado State

1-0

2-1

90.8

Wyoming

0-0

3-0

89.7

UNLV

0-0

1-2

84.4

New Mexico

0-1

0-3

79.0

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

       
North Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Stanford

1-0

3-0

130.4

Oregon

0-0

2-1

125.3

Washington

0-0

2-1

110.4

California

0-0

3-0

110.2

Oregon State

0-0

0-2

104.8

Washington State

0-0

2-1

104.5

       
South Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Arizona State

0-0

2-1

114.4

Utah

0-1

2-1

114.2

Southern Cal

1-0

3-0

113.0

Arizona

0-0

1-2

108.7

U C L A

0-0

1-2

102.2

Colorado

0-0

1-2

101.5

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Florida

1-0

3-0

119.2

South Carolina

1-0

3-0

116.8

Georgia

0-1

1-2

111.5

Tennessee

0-1

2-1

108.9

Vanderbilt

1-0

3-0

103.9

Kentucky

0-0

2-1

95.4

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Alabama

0-0

3-0

130.7

L S U

1-0

3-0

128.7

Arkansas

0-0

3-0

119.9

Mississippi State

0-2

1-2

115.9

Auburn

1-0

2-1

109.9

Ole Miss

0-1

1-2

96.0

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Florida International

1-0

3-0

93.8

Arkansas State

0-0

1-2

90.8

Louisiana-Monroe

0-0

1-2

85.9

Troy

0-0

0-2

85.1

U.of Louisiana

0-0

2-1

76.6

Middle Tennessee

0-0

0-2

76.6

North Texas

0-1

0-3

73.1

Western Kentucky

0-0

0-3

73.1

Florida Atlantic

0-0

0-2

69.1

 

 

Western Athletic Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Nevada

1-0

1-1

99.6

Hawaii

0-0

1-2

97.0

Utah State

0-0

1-1

96.6

Fresno State

0-0

1-2

93.9

San Jose State

0-1

0-3

92.8

Louisiana Tech

0-0

1-2

92.4

Idaho

0-0

1-2

85.4

New Mexico State

0-0

1-2

78.8

 

 

And, here are the PiRate Rating Spreads for this week with the opening lines.

 

This Week’s Games–PiRate Ratings

   

 

 

 

Thursday, September 22  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

CINCINNATI North Carolina St.

3.7

27-23

NL

   

 

 

 

Friday, September 23  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

B Y U Central Florida

11.6

24-12

4   

   

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

Saturday, September 24  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

OHIO ST. Colorado

6.7

27-20

16 1/2

DUKE Tulane

18.1

35-17

10   

SYRACUSE Toledo

2.9

24-21

3 1/2

EAST CAROLINA U a b

18.9

35-16

NL

SOUTH FLORIDA U t e p

28.7

42-13

26   

ILLINOIS Western Michigan

20.3

30-10

15 1/2

RUTGERS Ohio U

8.2

31-23

17 1/2

PENN ST. Eastern Michigan

41.9

48-6

30   

MIAMI (FL) Kansas St.

18.3

28-10

11 1/2

S m u MEMPHIS

32.4

52-20

21 1/2

MARYLAND Temple

18.7

39-20

10   

MICHIGAN ST. Central Michigan

33.7

44-10

23   

Georgia OLE MISS

12.0

29-17

6 1/2

MIAMI (O) Bowling Green

9.2

28-19

7   

Army BALL ST.

4.3

24-21

5 1/2

Virginia Tech MARSHALL

28.2

42-14

20   

ALABAMA Arkansas

14.8

35-20

12 1/2

WASHINGTON California

3.2

31-28

1    

L s u WEST VIRGINIA

16.3

30-14

6   

MICHIGAN San Diego St.

13.6

35-21

9 1/2

GEORGIA TECH North Carolina

1.6

28-26

4 1/2

Florida KENTUCKY

20.8

31-10

11   

Notre Dame PITTSBURGH

11.0

35-24

3 1/2

Florida St. CLEMSON

6.6

31-24

3   

SAN JOSE ST. New Mexico St.

16.5

27-10

NL

Fresno St. IDAHO

5.5

28-22

7   

Connecticut BUFFALO

20.9

31-10

12 1/2

OREGON ST. U c l a

6.1

30-24

1 1/2

TEXAS TECH Nevada

12.2

35-23

15 1/2

SOUTH CAROLINA Vanderbilt

16.4

33-17

18 1/2

MISSISSIPPI ST. Louisiana Tech

27.0

48-21

18   

BAYLOR Rice

19.5

41-21

19 1/2

VIRGINIA Southern Miss.

7.8

28-20

1 1/2

TEXAS A&M Oklahoma St.

9.2

45-36

3   

Nebraska WYOMING

23.6

44-20

25 1/2

OKLAHOMA Missouri

23.3

37-14

19 1/2

UTAH ST. Colorado St.

8.3

28-20

7 1/2

BOISE ST. Tulsa

25.8

50-24

27   

Oregon ARIZONA

13.1

38-25

16   

ARIZONA ST. Southern Cal

4.9

21-16

1 1/2

AUBURN Florida Atlantic

44.8

59-14

31 1/2

IOWA Louisiana-Monroe

25.3

35-10

21 1/2

TROY Middle Tennessee

11.5

28-16

9   

Indiana NORTH TEXAS

7.8

35-37

6 1/2

FLORIDA INT’L Louisiana-Lafayette

20.2

34-14

19   

 

September 18, 2011

Are You Ready For The Big 128?

College football conference realignment is in full swing, and ‘tis the season to play our favorite party game—The Football Merry Go-‘Round.

 

The Big 12 is now close to becoming comatose.  Only a miracle will save this league.  It may survive in name only, much like the American Basketball Association was reborn.  The ball was the only surviving remnant from the original ABA.

 

The Big East is now on death watch.  Losing Syracuse and Pittsburgh may not be the only defections.  TCU may reconsider its admission.  Rutgers and West Virginia may be on the radar of other leagues.

 

The ACC, SEC, Big Ten, and Pac-12 will survive and become the four superconferences.  The Big East could survive but become a second tier league with what’s left over in the Mountain West and Western Athletic Conference and what’s left of Conference USA after that league is raided by other leagues.

 

Many fans are claiming that this realignment will ruin the college game.  We disagree.  If you believe that leagues should remain pat, then are you in favor of a Southern Conference that includes Alabama, Florida, Duke, Sewanee, Tulane, VMI, and Washington & Lee?  They were all part of the SC when that league had more than 20 members.

 

Do you miss the Border Conference, with Hardin-Simmons, Arizona State, and Texas Tech dominating the league?  You don’t recall Hardin-Simmons?  They played in three bowl games—in less than three weeks one year! (look it up)

 

What about that Skyline Conference?  Haven’t heard of that one either?  It really existed.  Denver was a member, and we’re not talking about the Broncos.  Denver left the Rocky Mountain States Conference to join the Skyline; that nasty Skyline Conference put the RMSC out of business.

 

Do you think the NFL ruined the professional game when it realigned?  Is it important that the Arizona Cardinals used to be in the NFC East, and the Atlanta Falcons used to be in the NFC West?  No, the game is now one of America’s biggest industries.

 

College football realignment will make the game better.  We can see a scenario where the conferences become quasi-divisions in one 128-team league.  Imagine eight, 16-team divisions.  Could you see something else springing from a league with eight divisions, like maybe PLAYOFFS?

 

There are 120 FBS teams in 2011, and three more are planned for 2012.  Texas State and Texas-San Antonio will join the WAC next year, while U Mass will join the MAC as its 14th member.  There is room for five more FCS schools to move up to FBS, and we have selectively chosen Villanova, Maine, Appalachian State, Georgia Southern, and William & Mary to move up.

 

Now, let’s get the carousel moving.  We will go ahead and place Oklahoma and Oklahoma State in the Pac-12, moving that league to 14.

 

Add Syracuse and Pittsburgh to the ACC, making it 14 for that loop.

 

Texas A&M is so already an SEC member, the 2012 league schedule is being made up with 13 teams.

 

T C U is supposed to go to the Big East next year, so let’s keep that intact.  The Big East is now at seven teams.

 

The Pac-14 will not settle at 14 and Commissioner Larry Scott is a showman.  He wants Texas and Texas Tech, but we do not believe he would allow Texas to bring the Longhorn Network along.  So, let’s say he adds just Texas Tech.  He needs one more team to make a 16-team book.  So, which western team is the logical choice?  How about Boise State?  Put the Broncos in the super conference and you have our first 16-team super league.

 

The SEC cannot stand pat at 13.  They must have 14 quickly, and they eventually must get to 16 before they are left out of the big bonanza.  Missouri is the obvious choice for team number 14, and the Tigers bring in two new Top 20 markets in St. Louis and Kansas City (as well as Chicago to some extent, because the Chicago media market reaches into parts of the downstate that follow Missouri).  The SEC holds at 14 while trying to come up with the big deal of the day.

 

The ACC courts Texas and even allows the Longhorns to include their network for home games, but Deloss Dodds says “no thanks.”  He thinks he can make a deal with the Pac-12 before it becomes the Pac-16, but he is left out due to that network thing.  So, for now, Texas must go independent and signs a long-term deal to play Notre Dame.  There is even discussion to make it a home-and-home two-games per year deal.

 

The ACC needs two more teams, and they rob the Big East once again.  John Swafford had already plucked two big football programs in Pitt and Syracuse, but it almost goes unnoticed that these schools also have exceptional basketball programs, which the ACC cherishes.  So, Swafford grabs two more great multi-sport programs—Louisville and Connecticut.  The ACC now holds at 16.

 

The Big Ten has to get involved before there are no more teams to grab.  They have to add four to get to 16.  Of course, they want Notre Dame, and Texas might come along since the two schools are now joined at the hip.  However, enough teams in the Big Ten are animus toward the Irish and their multiple refusals to enter the league in the past.  So, Notre Dame does not come, and Texas stays independent.  Jim Delany adds Rutgers and West Virginia, thus rendering the Big East a minor conference unable to retain an automatic BCS Bowl invitation.  The Big Ten is at 14 and needing to add two teams quickly before there are no quality teams left.  Before the Big East can try to salvage their league, Delany reaches out to Kansas and Kansas State.  The Big Ten has their 16 teams.

 

The Big East has to act quickly or put up the “going out of business sign.”  They keep TCU because the Horned Frogs have no place to go.  They add Baylor and Iowa State, the last two teams from the Big 12.  They accept Villanova and Maine coming up from the FCS ranks.  They beg Temple to come back, and the Owls do so.  Then, they raid CUSA and pluck Central Florida, SMU, Houston, Rice, UAB, East Carolina, Memphis, and Tulsa.  They now have 16 members but no automatic BCS Bowl bid.

 

The SEC has yet to add their final two teams, and there are no viable options left other than Cincinnati and South Florida.  No, wait a minute!  Mike Slive has just pulled off the big shocker.  He offers Notre Dame a deal they cannot turn down—naming one of the new divisions, “The Rockne Division.” Texas is forced to come along and abandon their Longhorn network in favor of an even greater SEC network.  The SEC has pulled off the major deal.  This 16-team league stays the king of them all, and the payout to its 16 member institutions moves north of 30 million dollars annually.

 

The remaining independents, Army, Navy, and BYU realize that they may be forced to play three or four FCS games each year to fill out a schedule, so they quickly look to join a conference.  Army and Navy go to the Mid-American Conference, and then Marshall comes along as well, giving the MAC 16 teams.  BYU moves to the new league that has formed with former WAC and MWC teams.

 

Louisiana Tech leaves the WAC to move to a league with teams closer to home, so they join Conference USA, which will not be CUSA much longer.  The league merges with the Sunbelt Conference, becoming the Southern 16 Conference.  It becomes 16 teams with the addition of Georgia Southern, Appalachian State, and William & Mary.

 

The WAC and Mountain West Conferences realize that if they merge, they too will have a 16-team loop.  The new Great Western Conference is born.

 

So, there you have eight 16-team leagues.  Four super conferences receive automatic BCS Bowl bids.  There are five BCS bowls for now, so the top six teams after the four automatic bids are issued receive at-large bids.  The Cotton Bowl ups its payment and becomes the 6th BCS bowl, returning to its prominence of yesteryear.

 

Now, there are 12 spots for BCS Bowl teams.  The grand reward is ready to be implemented, a 12-team playoff with the four super conference champions getting first round byes.

 

 Let’s look at the new conferences one-by-one.

 

The Super Conferences

 

A C C

Atlantic: Boston College, Clemson, Connecticut, Florida State, Maryland, North Carolina State, Syracuse, and Wake Forest

Coastal: Duke, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Miami, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Virginia, and Virginia Tech

 

Big 16

Leaders: Illinois, Indiana, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, West Virginia, and Wisconsin

 

Legends: Iowa, Kansas, Kansas State, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Northwestern

 

S E C 

Rockne:  Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Kentucky, Notre Dame, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Vanderbilt

 

Bryant: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, LSU, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Texas, and Texas Tech

 

Pac-16:

Mountain: Arizona, Arizona State, Boise State, Colorado, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, and Utah

 

Coastal: California, Oregon, Oregon State, Southern Cal, Stanford, UCLA, Washington, and Washington State

 

Non-Automatic Qualifying Conferences

 

Big East

East: Central Florida, Cincinnati, East Carolina, Maine, South Florida, Temple, UAB, and Villanova

 

West: Baylor, Houston, Iowa State, Memphis, Rice, SMU, TCU, and Tulsa

 

Mid-American

East: Akron, Army, Buffalo, Kent State, Marshall, Massachusetts, Navy, Ohio U

 

West: Ball State, Bowling Green, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Miami (O), Northern Illinois, Toledo, Western Michigan

 

Southern 16

East: Appalachian State, Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Georgia Southern, Middle Tennessee, Troy, Western Kentucky, and William & Mary

 

West: Arkansas State, Louisiana, Louisiana Monroe, Louisiana Tech, North Texas, Southern Miss, Tulane, and Tulsa

 

Great Western

East: Air Force, Colorado State, New Mexico, New Mexico State, Texas-San Antonio, Texas State, Utah State, and Wyoming

 

West: Fresno State, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, San Diego State, San Jose State, UNLV, and Utah State

 

Here is a sample look at what the 2015 season could bring with this divisional alignment and a 12-team playoff.

 

Automatic Qualifiers

A C C Champion: Florida State 12-1  seeded 2

Big Ten Champion: Nebraska 11-2  seeded 3

S E C Champion: Alabama 12-1  seeded 1

Pac-16 Champion: Southern Cal 11-2  seeded 4

 

8 At-Large Teams

  5. Florida 11-2

  6. Michigan 10-2

  7. Oregon 11-2

  8. Oklahoma 10-2

  9. Notre Dame 10-2

10. Pittsburgh 10-2

11. T C U 13-0

12. L S U 9-3

 

First Round

L S U at Florida

T C U at Michigan

Pittsburgh at Oregon

Notre Dame at Oklahoma

 

Second Round

Highest seeded first round winner at Southern Cal

2nd highest seeded first round winner at Nebraska

2nd lowest seeded first round winner at Florida State

Lowest seeded first round winner at Alabama

 

Semifinals

Lowest remaining seed at highest remaining seed

3rd highest remaining seed at 2nd highest remaining seed

 

National Championship Game

Two Remaining Teams at predetermined location like current Super Bowl

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