The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 4, 2021

PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 5–October 7-11, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
SeattleLA Rams1.51.01.5
Atlanta (n)N.Y. Jets4.43.64.4
Tampa BayMiami10.29.48.6
CarolinaPhiladelphia5.96.45.9
WashingtonNew Orleans-9.6-7.1-10.3
JacksonvilleTennessee-5.6-4.1-5.5
MinnesotaDetroit10.911.410.3
PittsburghDenver4.23.43.8
CincinnatiGreen Bay-3.3-2.3-3.8
HoustonNew England-6.4-6.7-5.3
Las VegasChicago4.03.94.4
LA ChargersCleveland0.60.81.9
DallasN.Y. Giants7.58.67.3
ArizonaSan Francisco7.38.58.4
Kansas CityBuffalo-1.1-0.8-1.7
BaltimoreIndianapolis7.67.98.4

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
SeattleLA Rams55.5
Atlanta (n)N.Y. Jets49.5
Tampa BayMiami47.5
CarolinaPhiladelphia42.5
WashingtonNew Orleans43
JacksonvilleTennessee50.5
MinnesotaDetroit50
PittsburghDenver33
CincinnatiGreen Bay51
HoustonNew England43
Las VegasChicago43.5
LA ChargersCleveland47.5
DallasN.Y. Giants48.5
ArizonaSan Francisco52.5
Kansas CityBuffalo57
BaltimoreIndianapolis49.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo109.0108.8109.5109.124.53-1
New England99.698.798.999.117.51-3
Miami98.398.799.298.7201-3
N. Y. Jets91.191.892.091.720.51-3

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore105.9105.4106.0105.8253-1
Cleveland103.8104.1103.1103.724.53-1
Pittsburgh101.1100.4100.7100.7171-3
Cincinnati97.197.996.897.3243-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis101.3100.5100.6100.824.51-3
Tennessee99.199.198.999.0282-2
Jacksonville91.092.590.891.522.50-4
Houston90.789.591.090.425.51-3

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City104.9104.9104.8104.932.52-2
LA Chargers102.0102.4102.5102.3233-1
Denver100.099.999.999.9163-1
Las Vegas97.697.897.897.726.53-1

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas101.3102.4100.7101.5293-1
N.Y. Giants96.996.896.496.719.51-3
Philadelphia95.495.196.195.520.51-3
Washington94.895.394.594.9212-2

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay103.5103.1103.6103.4273-1
Minnesota100.8101.2100.2100.722.51-3
Chicago96.196.495.996.1172-2
Detroit93.092.892.992.927.50-4

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
New Orleans107.4105.4107.8106.9222-2
Tampa Bay106.4106.2105.8106.127.53-1
Carolina98.398.499.098.6223-1
Atlanta95.695.496.495.8291-3

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Arizona105.8106.8106.7106.4284-0
LA Rams106.0106.5105.9106.1283-1
Seattle104.5104.5104.4104.527.52-2
San Francisco101.5101.3101.2101.324.52-2

Playoff Projections begin next week!

September 5, 2021

PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 1

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:41 am

Week 1 PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Tampa BayDallas11.310.212.4
BuffaloPittsburgh7.78.68.5
CarolinaN.Y. Jets7.46.47.5
HoustonJacksonville5.01.55.6
TennesseeArizona3.83.43.4
WashingtonLA Chargers2.02.21.5
AtlantaPhiladelphia6.36.47.1
IndianapolisSeattle1.50.81.2
CincinnatiMinnesota-2.8-2.7-2.4
DetroitSan Francisco-5.8-5.9-6.0
Kansas CityCleveland7.37.48.8
New EnglandMiami5.34.23.6
N.Y. GiantsDenver1.31.91.1
New OrleansGreen Bay-0.8-3.1-0.1
LA RamsChicago8.08.07.7
Las VegasBaltimore-4.7-3.9-4.8

Week 1 PiRate Rating Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Tampa BayDallas54
BuffaloPittsburgh41.5
CarolinaN.Y. Jets46
HoustonJacksonville49
TennesseeArizona56.5
WashingtonLA Chargers43
AtlantaPhiladelphia48.5
IndianapolisSeattle53.5
CincinnatiMinnesota46
DetroitSan Francisco52
Kansas City
Cleveland55
New EnglandMiami40
N.Y. GiantsDenver38.5
New OrleansGreen Bay50.5
LA RamsChicago47
Las VegasBaltimore51

Week 1 PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo107.1107.1107.5107.2240-0
New England101.2100.6100.6100.819.50-0
Miami98.999.499.999.420.50-0
N. Y. Jets92.493.593.393.122.50-0

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore105.1104.5105.5105.0250-0
Pittsburgh102.4101.5102.0102.017.50-0
Cleveland102.0102.0100.6101.525.50-0
Cincinnati94.795.494.294.823.50-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis102.3101.4101.8101.925.50-0
Tennessee100.6100.8100.6100.7290-0
Houston94.593.095.094.2270-0
Jacksonville92.094.091.992.7220-0

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City106.3106.4106.4106.429.50-0
LA Chargers99.799.899.799.724.50-0
Denver99.098.798.698.8180-0
Las Vegas97.397.797.797.6260-0

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas99.2100.197.999.1280-0
Washington98.699.198.298.618.50-0
N.Y. Giants97.397.696.797.220.50-0
Philadelphia94.894.795.595.0200-0

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay105.2104.8104.9105.0270-0
Minnesota100.0100.599.299.922.50-0
Chicago99.5100.099.699.7190-0
Detroit93.193.093.293.1280-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay107.5107.3107.3107.4260-0
New Orleans104.4101.7104.8103.623.50-0
Atlanta98.198.099.698.628.50-0
Carolina96.896.997.897.223.50-0

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams104.5105.0104.3104.6280-0
Seattle103.8103.7103.6103.7280-0
San Francisco101.9102.0102.1102.0240-0
Arizona99.8100.4100.2100.127.50-0

January 11, 2021

PiRate Ratings–NFL Playoffs Divisional Round

Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Green BayLA Rams6.06.16.5
BuffaloBaltimore2.33.02.8
Kansas CityCleveland9.79.59.0
New OrleansTampa Bay0.2-0.1-0.3

Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Green BayLA Rams46.5
BuffaloBaltimore48
Kansas CityCleveland53.5
New OrleansTampa Bay58.5

Schedule

SaturdayJanuary 16
HomeVisitorNetworkTime (EST)
Green BayLA RamsFOX4:35 PM
BuffaloBaltimoreNBC8:15 PM
SundayJanuary 17
HomeVisitorNetworkTime (EST)
Kansas CityClevelandCBS3:05 PM
New OrleansTampa BayFOX6:40 PM

January 3, 2021

PiRate Ratings For NFL Wildcard Round

PiRate Ratings Spreads For Wildcard Round

Margins

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
BuffaloIndianapolis8.59.49.8
SeattleLA Rams3.03.33.1
WashingtonTampa Bay-9.0-9.1-9.9
TennesseeBaltimore-6.4-6.3-6.4
New OrleansChicago8.68.98.9
PittsburghCleveland4.54.64.4

Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
BuffaloIndianapolis49.5
SeattleLA Rams49.5
WashingtonTampa Bay51.5
TennesseeBaltimore55
New OrleansChicago46.5
PittsburghCleveland44.5

NFL Playoff Schedule–Wildcard Round

DayDateTime (ET)NetworkHomeVisitor
SatJan 91:05 PMCBSBuffaloIndianapolis
SatJan 94:40 PMFOXSeattleLA Rams
SatJan 98:15 PMNBCWashingtonTampa Bay
SunJan 101:05 PMESPNTennesseeBaltimore
SunJan 104:40 PMCBSNew OrleansChicago
SunJan 108:15 PMNBCPittsburghCleveland

December 28, 2020

PiRate Ratings For NFL Week 17: January 3, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
BuffaloMiami9.39.19.7
ChicagoGreen Bay-4.7-5.3-5.4
CincinnatiBaltimore-14.7-14.2-14.4
ClevelandPittsburgh-1.0-1.1-0.9
DetroitMinnesota-4.4-4.3-4.3
IndianapolisJacksonville17.718.018.0
Kansas CityLA Chargers14.714.614.4
New EnglandN.Y. Jets8.16.97.3
N.Y. GiantsDallas-1.2-0.7-0.6
PhiladelphiaWashington-0.8-0.9-1.3
Tampa BayAtlanta6.87.57.5
CarolinaNew Orleans-5.1-5.1-4.9
HoustonTennessee-3.4-3.9-4.1
DenverLas Vegas-0.6-0.6-0.1
LA RamsArizona2.63.03.1
San FranciscoSeattle-2.4-3.3-3.2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
BuffaloMiami48
ChicagoGreen Bay45
CincinnatiBaltimore45.5
ClevelandPittsburgh44.5
DetroitMinnesota54.5
IndianapolisJacksonville47.5
Kansas CityLA Chargers48.5
New EnglandN.Y. Jets37.5
N.Y. GiantsDallas47
PhiladelphiaWashington43.5
Tampa BayAtlanta56
CarolinaNew Orleans53.5
HoustonTennessee56
DenverLas Vegas49
LA RamsArizona51
San FranciscoSeattle52.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Dec. 29, 2020
A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo109.2110.0110.1109.822.512-3
Miami101.4102.4101.9101.925.510-5
New England97.196.696.296.619.56-9
N. Y. Jets90.090.789.990.2182-13

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore107.9107.8108.0107.92510-5
Pittsburgh101.5101.8101.8101.71912-3
Cleveland99.099.299.499.225.510-5
Cincinnati92.292.692.692.420.54-10-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis104.7104.6104.5104.625.510-5
Tennessee101.5101.6101.8101.62910-5
Houston96.696.296.296.3274-11
Jacksonville88.588.188.088.2221-14

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.5109.6109.4109.526.514-1
Las Vegas99.199.098.698.929.57-8
Denver97.096.997.097.019.55-10
LA Chargers96.396.596.596.4226-9

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Washington97.797.697.597.6206-9
Dallas96.696.896.596.626.56-9
Philadelphia95.995.795.295.623.54-10-1
N.Y. Giants93.994.694.494.320.55-10

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay107.8108.0108.6108.124.512-3
Chicago102.1101.7102.2102.020.58-7
Minnesota97.396.796.696.826.56-9
Detroit91.991.491.391.5285-10

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay108.0108.0108.5108.23110-5
New Orleans105.8105.5105.8105.72711-4
Atlanta102.7102.0102.5102.4254-11
Carolina99.298.999.499.226.55-10

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Seattle104.2104.7104.7104.627.511-4
LA Rams102.9102.9103.0102.9239-6
Arizona101.8101.4101.4101.5288-7
San Francisco100.8100.4100.5100.6256-9

This Week’s Playoff Projections

A F C

1-Seed: Kansas City

2-Seed: Buffalo

3-Seed: Pittsburgh

4- Seed: Indianapolis

5-Seed: Baltimore

6-Seed: Cleveland

7-Seed: Tennessee

NFC

1-Seed: Green Bay

2- Seed: New Orleans

3-Seed: Seattle

4-Seed: Washington

5-Seed: Tampa Bay

6-Seed: LA Rams

7-Seed: Chicago

Wild Card Round

Buffalo over Tennessee

Cleveland over Pittsburgh

Baltimore over Indianapolis

New Orleans over Chicago

Seattle over LA Rams

Tampa Bay over Washington


Divisional Round

Cleveland over Kansas City

Buffalo over Baltimore

Green Bay over Tampa Bay

New Orleans over Seattle


Conference Championships

Buffalo over Cleveland

Green Bay over New Orleans


Super Bowl

Buffalo over Green Bay

December 24, 2020

PiRate Picks for December 24-28, 2020

All NFL This Week

A minor profit last week led us to a conclusion. In December, our NFL picks have been somewhat more successful than our college picks. The Virus has added an intangible to game outcomes at the college level, while only mildly affecting NFL games. Additionally, once students left schools and finished their semesters virtually at home, the college football players were left isolated on little islands. Rather than desire to play meaningless bowl games for a little compensation of bowl bling, many desired to spend the Holidays at home with family and friends. Other than the Fiesta Bowl, where all players will receive PS5’s, maybe a better prize in their eyes than anything the FBS Playoffs can offer.

The NFL is a totally different story. Week 16 is usually the most crucial week of the regular season. The best teams usually need one more win to secure the playoff spot they will secure or make the playoffs. The eliminated teams begin to experiment with roster changes. The worst teams may sabotage their chances to win meaningless games at the end of the season, especially when there is a generational superstar ready to become the next John Elway.

Before you read this and say, “this will be an easy week!” realize something else. Those clever folks in Nevada with all the positive revenue streams know this bit of information and have adequately padded the spreads to reflect this information.

So, in the end, the spreads are about as accurate in Week 16 as they are in Week 6. And, for our purposes, understanding that the numbers themselves are more important than the names attached to those numbers, we are issuing selections based on trying to “steal” an extra couple of percentage points in our favor. That small gain basically removes the vigorish that the books have. It still boils down to a 50-50 wager, so it is still highly speculative.

Our Christmas gift to you is knowledge. That knowledge is in our case an expert knowledge. Our expertise is knowing that we don’t know enough for you to take these selections and wager real money on the picks. This is an experiment in mathematics to be read for enjoyment and maybe to understand that without real inside information, none of us non-sharps can consistently pick winning selections.

As an FYI, the State of Tennessee legalized sports betting on November 1 of this year. According to Legal Sports Report, in the first 30 days, the citizens of the Volunteer State volunteered a record $131.4 million to the state’s four authorized sports books. Four more sports books, including the giant William Hill, will commence operations in Tennessee in 2021. These companies vacuum up money quickly, as a large majority of their customers get poor slowly. The state is very conservative, and the overwhelming majority disapprove of any tax, yet they willingly agree to pay the state exorbitant taxes in the way of gambling. Try showing this to an average sports bettor, and he or she will laugh at you, telling you that they can win money unlike when they pay taxes. Yet, if you look at their accounts, very few show a profit. We found one person willing to “experiment” for one calendar year. He usually allots himself $2,000 to play during the football season, and in most years, that two grand is gone by Thanksgiving. At the end of 2019, we convinced him to open an account with a broker and deposit the $2,000 and not bet for the 2020-2021 football season. When the Virus outbreak apparently doomed all sports for the year in March, he was able to stick to his convictions, thinking there would be no games to bet that money and lose. Simply reading a few periodicals on value investing, he quickly discovered an equal love for “wagering” on corporations in a sport where the bettor investor has the advantage.

He didn’t lose all his money by Thanksgiving. In fact, by the time he sat down to enjoy his moist and juicy turkey, his investment had already returned close to 18%. As 2020 limps to the finish line, his original $2,000 investment is now pushing $2,400. He doesn’t plan on withdrawing the money or placing the next $2,000 in one of the sports books. If you learn anything from this site, let it be this: If you have a couple decades or more remaining in your pre-retirement lives, or even if you have reached retirement age and figure on sticking around for another score or so, a buy and hold strategy in high-quality value stocks with a long history of positive earnings and dividends is going to make you a lot wealthier than betting on State to beat Tech by 7 1/2 points.

Merry Christmas to all, and to all a good night. Here are our selections for the week.

1. NFL 6 1/2 Point Teaser+160
SelectionOpponentSpread
MiamiLas Vegas+6.5
BuffaloNew England-0.5
New OrleansMinnesota-0.5


2. NFL 7 Point Teaser-130
SelectionOpponentSpread
Tampa BayDetroit-2.5
ClevelandN.Y. Jets-2.5


3. 7 Point Teaser-130
SelectionOpponentSpread
HoustonCincinnati-0.5
ChicagoJacksonville-0.5


4. 10 Point Teaser-110
SelectionOpponentSpread
Kansas CityAtlanta-0.5
IndianapolisPittsburgh+8
BaltimoreN.Y. Giants-1


5. 10- Point Teaser-110
SelectionOpponentSpread
CarolinaWashington+12
LA RamsSeattle+11
DallasPhiladelphia+12.5

December 8, 2020

PiRate Ratings–NFL For Week 14: December 10-14, 2020

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
LA RamsNew England5.15.66.2
ChicagoHouston-0.5-0.8-0.8
CincinnatiDallas1.01.31.6
DetroitGreen Bay-9.3-9.6-10.4
MiamiKansas City-7.2-6.5-7.0
N.Y. GiantsArizona-2.7-1.6-1.7
Tampa BayMinnesota8.48.68.8
CarolinaDenver3.53.23.8
JacksonvilleTennessee-7.8-7.9-7.9
Las VegasIndianapolis-0.3-0.2-0.4
SeattleN.Y. Jets16.215.516.5
PhiladelphiaNew Orleans-7.8-7.7-8.7
LA ChargersAtlanta-6.0-5.3-6.0
San FranciscoWashington5.04.34.7
BuffaloPittsburgh-0.4-0.3-0.5
ClevelandBaltimore-5.9-5.6-5.3

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
LA RamsNew England45
ChicagoHouston44
CincinnatiDallas46.5
DetroitGreen Bay52
MiamiKansas City52.5
N.Y. GiantsArizona51
Tampa BayMinnesota57
CarolinaDenver44.5
JacksonvilleTennessee49.5
Las VegasIndianapolis52
SeattleN.Y. Jets48
PhiladelphiaNew Orleans48.5
LA ChargersAtlanta50.5
San FranciscoWashington47
BuffaloPittsburgh39.5
ClevelandBaltimore48

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo103.6104.2104.0104.0219-3
Miami100.7101.7101.1101.2268-4
New England101.5101.1100.9101.220.56-6
N. Y. Jets87.988.687.488.019.50-12

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore107.0106.8106.9106.9237-5
Cincinnati91.591.891.691.620.52-9-1
Cleveland99.699.7100.199.8259-3
Pittsburgh105.5106.0106.0105.818.511-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Houston100.299.899.9100.0264-8
Indianapolis103.4103.4103.4103.4248-4
Jacksonville91.591.491.691.5211-11
Tennessee101.3101.3101.5101.428.58-4

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Denver97.797.697.797.7184-8
Kansas City109.9110.2110.1110.126.511-1
Las Vegas101.1101.2101.0101.1287-5
LA Chargers94.994.994.794.823.53-9

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas92.092.091.591.8263-9
N.Y. Giants96.397.297.196.921.55-7
Philadelphia96.696.495.896.2233-8-1
Washington97.297.497.397.321.55-7

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Chicago98.297.597.797.8185-7
Detroit95.194.894.694.8275-7
Green Bay105.8105.9106.5106.1259-3
Minnesota98.998.698.898.725.56-6

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Atlanta103.0102.2102.7102.6274-8
Carolina99.298.899.499.226.54-8
New Orleans105.9105.6106.0105.825.510-2
Tampa Bay105.3105.1105.5105.331.57-5

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Arizona101.6101.3101.3101.429.56-6
LA Rams104.6104.7105.1104.824.58-4
San Francisco101.6101.2101.4101.425.55-7
Seattle101.5101.6101.4101.528.58-4

Playoff Projections

AFC Seedings

1Kansas City
2Pittsburgh
3Buffalo
4Indianapolis
5Cleveland
6Tennessee
7Baltimore

NFC Seedings

1New Orleans
2Green Bay
3Los Angeles
4Washington
5Tampa Bay
6Seattle
7Minnesota

Wildcard Round
Pittsburgh over Baltimore
Buffalo over Tennessee
Cleveland over Indianapolis
Green Bay over Minnesota
Los Angeles over Seattle
Tampa Bay over Washington

Divisional Round
Cleveland over Kansas City
Buffalo over Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay over New Orleans
Green Bay over Los Angeles

Conference Championship
Buffalo over Cleveland
Green Bay over Tampa Bay

Super Bowl
Green Bay over Buffalo

October 13, 2020

PiRate Ratings–NFL Football For Week 6: October 18-19, 2020

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:03 pm

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
CarolinaChicago1.21.11.2
JacksonvilleDetroit-1.4-1.9-1.7
MinnesotaAtlanta3.34.44.1
TennesseeHouston3.84.74.8
N.Y. GiantsWashington1.41.91.8
PittsburghCleveland2.93.52.6
PhiladelphiaBaltimore-11.7-12.0-13.1
IndianapolisCincinnati9.89.59.8
Tampa BayGreen Bay0.0-0.2-0.3
San FranciscoLA Rams1.50.50.5
MiamiN.Y. Jets11.011.212.1
New EnglandDenver5.55.65.5
DallasArizona0.00.4-0.4
BuffaloKansas City-6.2-5.9-6.4

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
CarolinaChicago43
JacksonvilleDetroit47.5
MinnesotaAtlanta53.5
TennesseeHouston49.5
N.Y. GiantsWashington44.5
PittsburghCleveland44
PhiladelphiaBaltimore49
IndianapolisCincinnati44.5
Tampa BayGreen Bay56
San FranciscoLA Rams51
MiamiN.Y. Jets47
New EnglandDenver36.5
DallasArizona56
BuffaloKansas City43.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
New England101.7101.5101.7101.6202-2
Buffalo100.5101.2100.6100.818.54-1
Miami98.599.598.398.827.52-3
N. Y. Jets89.089.887.788.819.50-5

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore110.0110.1110.7110.3254-1
Pittsburgh102.3102.9102.6102.6194-0
Cleveland100.8100.9101.5101.1254-1
Cincinnati94.294.594.294.3231-3-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis102.5102.5102.5102.521.53-2
Tennessee102.1102.4102.8102.424.54-0
Houston99.899.299.599.5251-4
Jacksonville92.592.192.192.2211-4

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City108.2108.6108.5108.4254-1
Las Vegas100.2100.5100.1100.3263-2
Denver98.297.998.298.116.51-3
LA Chargers97.897.998.598.120.51-4

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas98.598.598.098.3282-3
Philadelphia97.397.196.697.0241-3-1
N.Y. Giants93.093.592.993.223.50-5
Washington92.792.692.292.5211-4

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay106.0106.0106.5106.2244-0
Chicago100.8100.4101.0100.7174-1
Minnesota100.099.9100.2100.0251-4
Detroit95.495.595.395.426.51-3

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
New Orleans105.0104.5104.7104.728.53-2
Tampa Bay104.1103.8104.1104.0323-2
Carolina100.099.4100.199.9263-2
Atlanta98.297.097.597.628.50-5

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Seattle104.5105.0104.7104.8295-0
LA Rams103.2103.3103.9103.525.54-1
San Francisco102.6101.9102.4102.325.52-3
Arizona100.5100.1100.4100.3283-2

September 17, 2020

PiRate Picks for September 17-21

College Straight Wagers
SelectionOpponentLine
1.TulsaOklahoma St.+23.5
2. LibertyWestern Ky.+14.5
3. Boston Coll.Duke+6
4. Ga. SouthernFla. Atlantic1.5
5. MarshallAppy St.+5
6. SMUN. Texas14
7. UL-MonroeTexas St.+5.5
8. Wake ForestNC St.+2

9. Money Line Parlay @ +506.63
New Updated Odds: +523.50
Must WinOpponentPayout Odds
North CarolinaCharlottePpd.
UL-MonroeTexas St.+506.63
Wake ForestNC St.+523.50

NFL Straight Wagers
SelectionOpponentLine
10. CincinnatiCleveland+6
11. JacksonvilleTennessee+9

12. NFL 7-point Teaser Parlay @ +130
TeamTeamTotal
DetroitGreen BayOver 42.5
BuffaloMiamiUnder 48
Las VegasNew OrleansOver 42

13. NFL 6-point Teaser Parlay @ -110
TeamTeamTotal
ChicagoNY GiantsUnder 48
JacksonvilleTennesseeUnder 49

14. NFL 6-point Teaser Parlay @ -110
TeamTeamTotal
NY JetsSan FranciscoUnder 48
CarolinaTampa BayOver 41.5

15. NFL 6-point Teaser Parlay @ -110
TeamTeamTotal
WashingtonArizonaOver 41.5
Kansas CityLA ChargersOver 41.5

16. Money Line Parlay @ +127.46
Must WinOpponentPayout Odds
San FranciscoNY Jets
Kansas CityLA Chargers+127.46
Green BayDetroit

Remember: These selections are 100% free to the reader, and you should realize that they are not worth what you paid for. So, do not wager real money on these picks like they are advice, because they are anything but.

Last week’s picks: 2-3-0 with an imaginary loss of $120. If a certain place kicker for a real college team had been able to kick real field goals from inside 30 yards, we would have won an imaginary profit of $120.

November 14, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For November 14-18, 2019

Your 1962 New York Mets of Selections

The lovable 1962 New York Mets won 40 games in their initial season in Major League Baseball.  There were a couple of star players, and the rest of the roster belonged in the International League.  

That’s how our selections have fared this year.  A couple of times, we came up with some incredible wins on some long shot picks, but the rest of the time, our picks belonged in the bush leagues.

The good thing about the Mets was that eventually 1969 came, and they performed miracles in winning the World Series.  Of course, having player development that brought them Tom Seaver, Jerry Koosman, Nolan Ryan, Cleon Jones, Jerry Grote, and Bud Harrelson, as well as some nice acquisitions in Tommie Agee and Donn Clendenon, made their roster quite strong.  The PiRate Ratings have not developed any young talent in the last few weeks with hopes that a wagering week like 1969 will create a second miracle.

On the other hand, this has historically been the week that our ratings have enjoyed the most over the last 10 years.  The third week of November has brought us our highest return on imaginary investment (our picks are for entertainment purposes and never actually wagered on by us) of the season.

Three years ago, we hit on some outrageous parlays and outright picks against the spread, making a slight ROI on the year into a windfall profit margin.  Two years ago, we turned a slight deficit on the year into a nice profit that when combined with the bowl season gave us another year in the black.  Last year, we went from large deficit to almost break even after this week.

You can see the trend.  Every year, this week turned the momentum in our direction, but each year, this week reversed more malaise than the previous season.  In 2019, we find ourselves so deep in the whole that even the best ever finish on this week will still leave us well in the red.

So, remember, even though  this week has been rather successful for us in the past, please DO NOT WAGER your money on what you will read below.  If we have not faith in these picks, why should you?

Disclaimer: This does not apply to those handful of Smarts that somehow take our spreads and other data and make money off them somehow in Nevada and in the Caribbean.  How you do it, we do not know.  But, we do know that a group of Smarts uses our ratings and consistently beats the books.  

This week, we are going to issue a few less choices overall, but this is because we feel the heat on us.  This has been a winning week so many times for us that we spent an extra 10 minutes or so per selection looking them over.  We found a couple of special teasers that cross over the important spread numbers.  We isolated on some money line parlays that we feel strong about.

As for our experimental Davey19 system, the biggest difference in the line and its predicted score just so happened to pop up this week.  There is a reason for this.  The oddsmakers definitely consider psychological factors when making the line.  Davey19 has no personality.  Davey is a computer program with no emotion.  

What game are we talking about?  The Iowa-Minnesota game in Iowa City has the Gophers playing on the road in a tough environment coming off their monumental home win over Penn State.  The oddsmakers have Iowa favored in this game as a trap for Minnesota.  Davey19 strictly picks games when its experimental spread differs from the line by more than 3.5 points.  Davey19 says Minnesota is a touchdown better than Iowa at Kinnick Stadium.  That’s a full 10 points different.  Minnesota might indeed suffer a letdown, but 10 points of letdown is a lot.  And, the Gophers aren’t just playing a game following an upset win.  They have a lot more to play for now.  They have the Playoffs in their sites, and for now, every game is the biggest game in school history since Sandy Stephens, Roger Hagberg, and Bobby Bell played for the #3 Gophers against #1 Iowa in 1960.  Yes, this is the biggest game in Minnesota history since they played Iowas 59 years ago and basically secured the national championship with a convincing win over the #1 team.

Without further adieu, here are our picks for the week.

 

PiRate Picks

College Money Line Parlays

 

#1–3 Games at +142

Winner

Loser

Virginia Tech

Georgia Tech

Georgia Southern

UL-Monroe

Middle Tennessee

Rice

 

#2–3 Games at +148

Winner

Loser

Marshall

Louisiana Tech

Florida

Missouri

Kansas St.

West Virginia

 

#3–4 Games at +133

Winner

Loser

Michigan

Michigan St.

Kentucky

Vanderbilt

Duke

Syracuse

Texas A&M

South Carolina

 

#4–2 Games at +134

Winner

Loser

Notre Dame

Navy

Georgia

Auburn

 

#5–3 Games at +151

Winner

Loser

Memphis

Houston

Air Force

Colorado St.

Louisville

N. Carolina St.

 

NFL 10-Point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Minnesota

Denver

0.5

Minnesota

Oakland

Cincinnati

0.5

Oakland

Chicago

LA Rams

3.5

LA Rams

 

NFL 13-Point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Cleveland

Pittsburgh

16

Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay

New Orleans

7.5

New Orleans

Atlanta

Carolina

7.5

Carolina

Washington

N.Y. Jets

14.5

N.Y. Jets

 

Davey19

An Experimental College Football Selection System

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Fresno St.

San Diego St.

1

San Diego St.

Ball St.

Central Michigan

2.5

Ball St.

USC

California

6.5

USC

TCU

Texas Tech

3.5

Texas Tech

Southern Miss.

UTSA

17

UTSA

LSU

Ole Miss

21

Ole Miss

Iowa

Minnesota

3

Minnesota

 

 

 

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