The Pi-Rate Ratings

August 14, 2022

American Athletic Conference Preview

Just when a Group of 5 Conference is getting really good with maybe three teams strong enough to contend for a 2022-23 Playoff berth, said league is about to lose all three really good teams. Cincinnati broke through the insiders’ club last year, when the Bearcats ran the table in the regular season and became the first G5 school to receive a bid to the National Championship Playoffs. It was the second consecutive year that Cinti won every regular season game.

Alas, the Bearcats are headed to the Big 12 Conference. Going with them are the other two really good teams–Houston and Central Florida. A host of Conference USA teams will replace the really good teams, and this league will fall back in the Group of 5 pecking order.

This will be one interesting race this year. Houston and Cincinnati are not scheduled to play, but there is a decent chance they will face each other in game 13 in December.

American Athletic Conference Preseason PiRate Ratings

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati111.2110.3112.8111.4
Houston105.0104.7106.5105.4
UCF103.8104.5104.6104.3
SMU102.2101.3102.3101.9
East Carolina99.599.1100.499.7
Tulane98.697.797.998.1
Memphis97.097.596.997.1
Tulsa95.894.895.795.4
USF96.294.795.195.3
Navy92.992.191.392.1
Temple80.983.478.681.0
AAC98.598.298.498.3

American Athletic Conference Official Media Poll

Votes
#Team1st PlaceOverall
1Houston7243
2Cincinnati10242
3Central Florida7225
4SMU0187
5Memphis0162
6East Carolina0157
7Tulane0115
8Tulsa093
9South Florida071
10Navy061
11Temple028

The PiRate Ratings are designed to look at just the next week’s schedule of games and not to use to look forward. Nevertheless, here are the predicted won-loss records for the league.

AACConfOverall
Cincinnati8-012-1
Houston8-011-2
Central Florida7-110-2
SMU5-37-5
East Carolina4-46-6
Memphis3-56-6
Tulsa3-56-6
Tulane2-65-7
South Florida2-63-9
Navy2-63-9
Temple0-82-10

Cincinnati picked to win AAC Championship Game.

February 20, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Sunday, February 20, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
ButlerProvidence-3.7
Wichita St.Houston-8.3
WisconsinMichigan1.8
MaineNJIT-3.0
DetroitWright St.0.6
IonaFairfield11.2
CincinnatiTemple7.4
Central FloridaEast Carolina10.1
MilwaukeePurdue Fort Wayne-2.8
Northern IowaMissouri St.-1.4
MaristQuinnipiac6.6
SienaSaint Peter’s-2.4
ManhattanRider3.0
FordhamGeorge Mason-3.2
SMUMemphis-0.1
CreightonMarquette0.2
OaklandNorthern Kentucky6.9
Green BayCleveland St.-8.4
San Jose St.New Mexico-6.0
HartfordStony Brook0.5
Loyola (MD)Lehigh5.0
PurdueRutgers12.6
BellarmineJacksonville St.0.8
USCWashington St.5.0
MissouriMississippi St.-5.9

February 6, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Sunday, February 6, 2022

HomeVisitorsSpread
GeorgetownProvidence-7.1
Ohio St.Maryland9.3
NiagaraIona-7.5
CanisiusManhattan1.5
Purdue Fort WayneGreen Bay8.1
Missouri St.Loyola Chicago0.5
QuinnipiacMonmouth-4.7
Saint Peter’sMarist4.0
FairfieldSiena7.2
Cleveland St.Milwaukee10.4
San Diego St.Nevada11.2
StanfordWashington5.9
Miami (O)Akron-0.7
IowaMinnesota11.0
CincinnatiHouston-8.1
Fresno St.Wyoming2.0

January 30, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Sunday, January 30, 2022

HomeVisitorsSpread
BrownCornell4.5
PurdueOhio St.9.2
East CarolinaCincinnati-5.9
Wright St.Purdue Fort Wayne4.4
Northern KentuckyCleveland St.-1.4
George WashingtonFordham-1.5
ProvidenceMarquette1.1
WisconsinMinnesota9.2
Fairleigh DickinsonCentral Connecticut1.3
BryantLong Island5.1
IonaSaint Peter’s11.1
Morgan St.Delaware St.14.1
St. Francis (NY)Wagner-11.8
DrakeLoyola (Chi.)-3.2
BradleyIndiana St.7.9
MassachusettsGeorge Mason8.7
SienaQuinnipiac0.4
ManhattanMarist-2.0
MonmouthNiagara8.5
RiderCanisius1.9
Boston CollegePittsburgh4.0
Southern IllinoisValparaiso5.8
BucknellLoyola (MD)-3.9
McNeese St.New Orleans0.7
Washington St.Colorado5.8

January 25, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Tuesday, January 25, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
Rhode IslandRichmond2.2
GeorgiaAlabama-15.0
DukeClemson12.1
IllilnoisMichigan St.5.4
VillanovaDePaul15.3
Northern KentuckyWright St.-0.7
CharlestonWilliam & Mary13.2
DaytonFordham12.4
YaleColumbia17.6
IonaSiena16.6
TempleCincinnati-3.1
Indiana St.Missouri St.-7.6
OhioNorthern Illinois16.5
Bowling GreenEastern Michigan6.8
Central MichiganAkron-11.6
Kent St.Western Michigan13.3
ToledoBuffalo5.4
Ball St.Miami (O)-2.5
BaylorKansas St.14.6
North Dakota St.St. Thomas7.6
PittsburghSyracuse-4.7
Loyola (Chi.)Southern Illinois12.3
RutgersMaryland1.4
MissouriAuburn-15.4
ConnecticutGeorgetown17.5
KentuckyMississippi St.11.3
TCUTexas-1.5
Colorado St.Nevada11.2
New MexicoFresno St.-4.9
Boise St.Wyoming5.1
OregonColorado6.8
Cal St. NorthridgeUCSB-7.3
San Jose St.Air Force-0.1
UCLAArizona-3.1

January 23, 2022

PiRate Ratings–NFL Conference Championships

Margins

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Kansas CityCincinnati7.97.78.3
LA RamsSan Francisco6.16.15.8

Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Kansas CityCincinnati55.5
LA RamsSan Francisco49.5

January 20, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Thursday, January 20, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
Florida St.North Florida20.7
ProvidenceGeorgetown12.1
PresbyterianWinthrop-3.7
IndianaPurdue-2.8
Bowling GreenAkron0.5
MassachusettsSaint Louis-4.8
MemphisSMU6.8
Tennessee TechSIU Edwardsville3.5
Morehead St.Belmont-5.2
Tennessee MartinAustin Peay1.4
Florida InternationalMarshall0.0
Florida AtlanticWestern Kentucky-3.0
North TexasCharlotte9.9
IUPUIWright St.-13.5
Georgia SouthernCoastal Carolina-0.6
Georgia St.Appalachian St.2.6
Western IllinoisSouth Dakota4.6
VMISamford5.8
UNC GreensboroChattanooga-4.8
DrexelElon8.6
DelawareWilliam & Mary15.5
James MadisonUNC Wilmington10.2
TowsonCharleston8.1
ColoradoUSC-3.1
Sam HoustonNew Mexico St.-5.0
Stephen F. AustinGrand Canyon-2.7
Little RockTexas St.-6.8
Louisiana MonroeTroy-0.6
FairfieldMonmouth-2.4
Southeast Missouri St.Tennessee St.1.1
Murray St.Eastern Illinois28.4
RiceOld Dominion2.8
Northern ArizonaMontana St.-7.3
Nicholls St.Northwestern St.14.2
New OrleansSE Louisiana3.2
Utah ValleyUT Rio Grande Valley12.1
Tarleton St.California Baptist4.3
Abilene ChristianSeattle4.2
Illinois ChicagoNorthern Kentucky2.4
MilwaukeeOakland-8.9
Green BayDetroit-6.2
Arkansas St.UT Arlington3.9
LouisianaSouth Alabama1.5
Oral RobertsNorth Dakota21.1
St. ThomasSouth Dakota St.-9.7
UMKCNorth Dakota St.0.6
Incarnate WordHouston Baptist3.1
Texas A&M-CCMcNeese St.7.0
ButlerConnecticut-8.2
Utah St.Boise St.0.6
Air ForceUNLV-6.3
CincinnatiTulsa8.2
UTEPUTSA12.6
Weber St.Idaho St.14.7
IdahoNorthern Colorado-7.1
Eastern WashingtonSacramento St.7.6
Dixie St.Lamar5.8
BYUSan Diego15.9
Saint Mary’sSanta Clara7.7
UC IrvineCal St. Fullerton8.1
UC San DiegoLong Beach St.2.5
Cal St. NorthridgeUC Davis-3.3
Cal St. BakersfieldHawaii-0.9
Portland St.Montana-2.4
GonzagaSan Francisco15.9
StanfordArizona-11.3
UtahUCLA-8.9
Loyola MarymountPepperdine10.7
Oregon St.Washington3.5

January 17, 2022

PiRate Ratings NFL Divisional Playoff Round

Margins

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
TennesseeCincinnati2.82.53.5
Green BaySan Francisco3.22.72.6
Tampa BayLos Angeles2.72.22.6
Kansas CityBuffalo0.91.31.1

Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
TennesseeCincinnati51.5
Green BaySan Francisco52
Tampa BayLos Angeles55.5
Kansas CityBuffalo55

January 16, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Sunday, January 16, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 4:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
VillanovaButler16.8
Ohio St.Penn St.8.7
Wichita St.Cincinnati2.5
Boston UNavy-0.8
MaineBinghamton-3.8
IonaNiagara10.4
LafayetteArmy-2.1
AmericanBucknell1.3
MaristMonmouth-3.5
QuinnipiacFairfield-0.7
ManhattanCanisius4.0
RiderSaint Peter’s-2.0
MinnesotaIowa-4.4
Southern Miss.Louisiana Tech-13.5
St. John’sGeorgetown9.1
LehighLoyola (MD)-1.8
Illinois St.Bradley-2.9

January 12, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, January 12, 2022

HomeVisitorsSpread
XavierVillanova0.3
RadfordLongwood-2.3
Wake ForestDuke-5.6
Michigan St.Minnesota11.1
FloridaLSU-2.9
TulsaTemple3.3
Central FloridaMemphis-1.5
CincinnatiEast Carolina10.9
Morehead St.UT Martin13.9
North Carolina A&THampton7.7
Gardner-WebbPresbyterian9.1
CampbellCharleston Southern16.3
Notre DameClemson0.9
VermontStony Brook11.1
AlbanyUMass Lowell-2.2
NJITUMBC0.9
Rhode IslandSaint Joseph’s8.0
FordhamDuquesne1.9
Western CarolinaChattanooga-13.5
WoffordSamford10.7
FurmanEast Tennessee St.8.3
UNC WilmingtonElon1.2
Mississippi St.Georgia15.0
Norfolk St.Delaware St.18.6
USC UpstateHigh Point-1.8
Colorado St.Utah St.3.9
Wichita St.Tulane9.0
SMUSouth Florida15.2
Missouri St.Southern Illinois7.5
DrakeIllinois St.10.8
BradleyEvansville9.4
ConnecticutSt. John’s10.6
LouisvilleNC St.7.3
VirginiaVirginia Tech-1.8
Boston CollegeGeorgia Tech0.6
Kansas St.TCU2.1
ArkansasMissouri12.5
NorthwesternMaryland4.1
PacificSanta Clara-8.5
WashingtonCalifornia-0.8
California BaptistDixie St.8.6
SeattleUtah Valley-1.1
NevadaBoise St.-1.2
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