The Pi-Rate Ratings

December 9, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 15: December 12-16, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Baltimore

N. Y. Jets

19.3

18.9

20.6

Detroit

Tampa Bay

1.2

-1.8

-2.0

Washington

Philadelphia

-6.6

-4.1

-4.0

Green Bay

Chicago

1.0

3.5

3.6

Cincinnati

New England

-12.2

-12.8

-11.9

Tennessee

Houston

4.0

4.3

4.7

Carolina

Seattle

-5.0

-5.0

-5.0

Kansas City

Denver

7.8

8.0

8.0

N. Y. Giants

Miami

5.7

5.5

5.8

Buffalo

Pittsburgh

5.3

5.7

5.2

Oakland

Jacksonville

4.1

4.0

4.3

Arizona

Cleveland

-3.9

-4.1

-3.6

San Francisco

Atlanta

13.7

14.5

15.3

Dallas

LA Rams

-1.5

-0.2

-1.2

LA Chargers

Minnesota

0.1

1.3

0.4

New Orleans

Indianapolis

11.2

8.3

9.2

 

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Baltimore

N. Y. Jets

45.5

Detroit

Tampa Bay

53.5

Washington

Philadelphia

42

Green Bay

Chicago

42.5

Cincinnati

New England

42

Tennessee

Houston

44.5

Carolina

Seattle

50

Kansas City

Denver

50

N. Y. Giants

Miami

52

Buffalo

Pittsburgh

37.5

Oakland

Jacksonville

43.5

Arizona

Cleveland

47

San Francisco

Atlanta

51.5

Dallas

LA Rams

47

LA Chargers

Minnesota

44

New Orleans

Indianapolis

50

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

107.8

108.4

107.8

108.0

19.5

10-3

Buffalo

101.8

102.8

102.8

102.5

17.5

9-4

N. Y. Jets

94.5

95.1

94.1

94.6

21

5-8

Miami

89.7

90.0

89.9

89.9

27.5

3-10

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

111.3

111.4

112.2

111.7

24.5

11-2

Pittsburgh

99.5

100.1

100.6

100.0

20

8-5

Cleveland

99.2

99.5

99.5

99.4

23

6-7

Cincinnati

93.2

93.1

93.4

93.2

22.5

1-12

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Tennessee

102.5

103.0

103.1

102.9

20.5

8-5

Houston

101.5

101.7

101.4

101.6

24

8-5

Indianapolis

99.1

100.1

99.6

99.6

23.5

6-7

Jacksonville

90.7

90.7

90.5

90.6

18

4-9

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

104.4

105.1

104.9

104.8

30.5

9-4

LA Chargers

104.1

104.0

103.4

103.8

22

5-8

Denver

99.7

100.1

99.9

99.9

19.5

5-8

Oakland

91.8

91.7

91.8

91.8

25.5

6-7

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

102.6

102.9

102.4

102.6

22

6-7

Philadelphia

101.0

99.4

99.0

99.8

24

6-7

N.Y. Giants

92.9

93.0

93.2

93.0

24.5

2-11

Washington

91.9

92.8

92.5

92.4

18

3-10

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.5

105.2

105.4

105.7

22

9-4

Green Bay

101.7

101.8

102.0

101.8

24.5

10-3

Chicago

103.2

100.8

100.9

101.6

18

7-6

Detroit

97.3

95.8

95.9

96.4

23.5

3-9-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

107.3

105.4

105.8

106.2

26.5

10-3

Tampa Bay

99.1

100.6

101.0

100.2

30

6-7

Atlanta

98.6

98.7

98.4

98.5

26

4-9

Carolina

95.2

95.0

95.2

95.1

26

5-8

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

109.3

110.2

110.7

110.1

25.5

11-2

LA Rams

106.6

105.6

106.1

106.1

25

8-5

Seattle

103.2

103.0

103.2

103.1

24

10-3

Arizona

92.8

92.9

93.4

93.0

24

3-9-1

 

The NFL Playoff Scenarios

There are numerous Playoff scenarios that can still greatly affect the remaining teams in the Playoff hunt.  After the end of Week 15, the scenarios will be easier to describe, and of course after Week 16, it will be cut and dry.  For now, here are the basics–just who wins in each scenario without going into explanations about which tiebreaker causes it.

 

Division Championships

 

AFC

If Buffalo wins at New England, and the teams finish tied for first, New England is AFC East Champs.

If Pittsburgh wins out and Baltimore loses out to finish tied at 11-5, Pittsburgh wins the AFC North Division.

If Houston and Tennessee finished tied at 10-6 or 9-7, Houston wins the AFC South Division.

Should Houston and Tennessee both finish 9-7, and Indianapolis wins their remaining three games to finish 9-7, Indianapolis would win the AFC South in a three-way tie.  Houston and Tennessee must split their two games and then lose the other game to both finish 9-7.

Kansas City has already clinched the AFC West Division.

 

NFC

If Dallas and Philadelphia finished tied at 8-8 or 7-9, Dallas wins the NFC East.

If Green Bay and Minnesota finish tied at 12-4 with Minnesota winning versus the Packers in Week 16, Green Bay wins the NFC North Division. If they both finish tied at 11-5, with Green Bay losing to either Chicago or Detroit plus Minnesota, then Minnesota wins the division.

If Chicago, Minnesota, and Green Bay finish in a three-way tie at 10-6, then Chicago wins the NFC North.

New Orleans has already clinched the NFC South.

If Seattle beats San Francisco in Week 17, and the two teams finish in a tie for first at 12-4, Seattle wins the NFC West Division. Seattle also wins a three-way tie with the 49ers and LA Rams for first at 11-5.

There is no scenario where the LA Rams can win the division, because if they win out to finish 11-5, then if San Francisco loses out to finish 11-5, that means Seattle will have had to win their Week 17 game with San Francisco to make then also 11-5, where they hold the tiebreaker.

Wildcards

 

AFC

The Wildcard tiebreaker would come into play with three non-division winners ending with 10-6 or 9-7 records.

At 10-6, Pittsburgh and Buffalo would earn the Wildcards, while Tennessee would be eliminated at 10-6. If the three teams were 9-7, then Pittsburgh and Tennessee would earn the Wildcards, while Buffalo would be eliminated.

If New England were to lose out finishing tied at 10-6 with Tennessee and Pittsburgh,  while Buffalo wins the AFC East, then The Patriots miss the Playoffs while the Titans and Steelers are the Wildcards.

NFC

There is only a minor chance that the San Francisco 49ers or Seattle Seahawks would miss the Playoffs altogether. The 49ers would have to lose all three remaining games to have a very remote chance of missing the Playoffs, and the Seahawks would have to finish behind the Rams in the standings while finishing tied with the Bears at 10-6 to miss the Playoffs. For the 49ers to miss the Playoffs at 10-6, Minnesota and Los Angeles would have to finish 11-5 and Green Bay would have to finish 12-4 or 13-3. For the sake of making this a lot easier, let’s put both Seattle and San Francisco in the Playoffs, one as division champion and one as a wildcard, since the chance for both teams making the Playoffs is better than 97%.

The final wildcard spot would be up for grabs between Minnesota, Los Angeles, and Chicago. Since the Bears can only improve to 10-6 by winning out, let’s show the tiebreakers at 10-6. If Minnesota, Chicago, and Los Angeles all finish 10-6, then the Rams make it a trio from the NFC West in the Playoffs. Los Angeles also wins a tiebreaker at 11-5 with Minnesota.

The Rams also win the tiebreaker with Green Bay if Minnesota wins the North, and the Packers and Rams both finish 10-6.

The Bears can earn the Wildcard if they win out to finish 10-6 and LA finishes 9-7 or 8-8, while either Minnesota or Green Bay also finishes 10-6.

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 26, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For November 28-December 2, 2019

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:08 am

We are putting out this feature a couple days early this week for the obvious reason that in the United States, Thursday is Thanksgiving Day (for those two to three thousand of you reading this from South America, Europe, Africa, and Asia).

We received a request to show you what our results have been in picking games this year.  At first, we felt like this is something that should not be published for two reasons.  First, this is a downright terrible year for our selections, and I am sure that if I took the hours of time needed to calculate pretend money exchange, and then I pretended that each game considered of a $100 base for the wager, that the result would be quite negative.

On the other hand, I have done a couple weeks of calculating, and actually, the results are positive, especially on the Davey19 experimental selections.  And, mostly for this reason, I didn’t want to publish the results, because it would contribute to some guy or gal out there all of a sudden reading this with the false idea that we are smart here on the PiRate ship.  I am an old softie.  I don’t want to imagine somebody reading this post, thinking that this is the best advice since Benjamin Graham wrote The Intelligent Investor, and then proceed to lose the money that would pay for Christmas, their house note, and their car note.

Please, please, please, do not wager real money from information you read on this site.  Does it not speak volumes that nobody here in PiRate Land has ever bet $1 on anything published here?  Actually, the only “betting” any of us have ever done has been made on the premise that contrarian value investing of blue chip stocks will always post positive returns in a 10-year period.  If you want to take any advice from her today, it’s that as early as possible in your lifetime, try to invest regularly in your future and do so by reading as much as you can about what has worked for small individual investors for 130 years.

That said, please take the following with a grain of wet salt.  Last week’s Davey19 selections went 7-0.  Wagering the $100 in imaginary dollars on every game, your return on $700 invested would have been $1,400 with a return on investment of 100%.  

We looked back at the week before, and the Davey19 picks went 4-2-1 for a return on investment of 28.6% (700 invested and 900 returned).

As for the regular PiRate Picks, since each game has a different potential return, we are not going to spend all the time to figure out each week’s return, especially since we don’t want you thinking that we have discovered the elixir that some of the Smarts in Nevada and in the Caribbean drank from.

Last week, if you count each wager as a $100 wager, we issued 5 selections for $500.  The return on the wins at hot odds would have been $637 for a profit of $137 or a return on investment of 27.4%.

Without going back a couple months, I know for sure that some of our weekly picks would have cost you several C-notes.  So, once again, these picks cost you nothing, and you should consider the value to be worth your expense.

Here are our picks for this week.

PiRate Picks

7-point

Teasers

14-10

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Iowa

Nebraska

12.5

Nebraska

Missouri

Arkansas

5

Missouri

Boise St.

Colorado St.

6.5

Boise St.

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Appalachian St.

Troy

6

Appy St.

Illinois

Northwestern

2.5

Illinois

Purdue

Indiana

0.5

Indiana

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Marshall

Florida Int’l.

Pk

Marshall

Charlotte

Old Dominion

1.5

Charlotte

West. Kentucky

Middle Tenn.

1.5

West. Kentucky

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

UTEP

Rice

0.5

Rice

Florida Atlantic

Southern Miss.

1.5

Fla. Atlantic

North Carolina

NC St.

1

North Carolina

 

 

10-point

Teasers

10-12

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Texas

Texas Tech

Pk

Texas

Ball St.

Miami (O)

13

Miami (O)

Toledo

Central Michigan

0.5

Central Mich.

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Memphis

Cincinnati

1

Memphis

Arkansas St.

South Alabama

3

Arkansas St.

Notre Dame

Stanford

6

Notre Dame

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

North Texas

UAB

10

UAB

Georgia Southern

Georgia St.

17.5

Georgia St.

UCLA

California

12.5

California

 

 

13-point

Teasers

10-13

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Northern Illinois

Western Michigan

4.5

Western Mich.

Miss. State

Ole Miss

16

Ole Miss

Virginia

Virginia Tech

10.5

Va. Tech

TCU

West Virginia

Pk

TCU

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Kentucky

Louisville

16

Louisville

Michigan

Ohio St.

4

Ohio St.

Liberty

N. Mexico St.

0.5

Liberty

Wisconsin

Minnesota

15.5

Minnesota

 

 

Money Line

Parlays

#1  3-Teams

@+227

Winner

Loser

UAB

North Texas

Western Ky.

Middle Tenn.

Texas

Texas Tech

 

 

#2 3-Teams

@+207

Winner

Loser

Virginia Tech

Virginia

Rice

UTEP

Utah St.

New Mexico

 

 

#3 4-Teams

@+211

Winner

Loser

North Carolina

NC St.

Washington

Washington St.

Illinois

Northwestern

Temple

Connecticut

 

 

NFL 7-point

Teaser

14-10

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Jacksonville

Tampa Bay

8.5

Tampa Bay

Cleveland

Pittsburgh

9

Pittsburgh

Kansas City

Oakland

3

Kansas City

 

 

NFL 10-point

Teaser

10-12

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Detroit

Chicago

7.5

Chicago

Buffalo

Dallas

3.5

Dallas

Carolina

Washington

17

Washington

 

 

NFL 13-point

Teaser

10-13

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Tennessee

Indianapolis

10.5

Indianapolis

Cincinnati

N.Y. Jets

9.5

N.Y. Jets

N.Y. Giants

Green Bay

7

Green Bay

Denver

LA Chargers

10.5

LA Chargers

 

 

Davey19

Experimental and Mechanical Picks

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Mississippi St.

Ole Miss

3

Ole Miss

Virginia Tech

Virginia

2.5

Virginia Tech

Wake Forest

Syracuse

3.5

Wake Forest

Air Force

Wyoming

10.5

Wyoming

Rice

UTEP

6.5

Rice

UAB

North Texas

Pk

UAB

UCLA

California

2.5

California

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 25, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 13: November 28-December 2, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Detroit

Chicago

-2.8

-1.2

-0.9

Dallas

Buffalo

8.4

7.9

8.0

Atlanta

New Orleans

-7.4

-5.1

-5.8

Cincinnati

N.Y. Jets

-2.5

-3.5

-2.4

Indianapolis

Tennessee

4.8

5.2

5.1

Miami

Philadelphia

-14.2

-12.4

-12.3

N.Y. Giants

Green Bay

-5.2

-5.0

-5.0

Pittsburgh

Cleveland

2.6

2.5

2.8

Carolina

Washington

10.9

10.1

11.0

Jacksonville

Tampa Bay

0.7

-0.9

-1.2

Baltimore

San Francisco

6.3

5.4

6.1

Arizona

LA Rams

-5.5

-3.7

-3.3

Denver

LA Chargers

-0.1

0.3

0.6

Kansas City

Oakland

8.1

8.6

7.8

Houston

New England

-4.1

-4.7

-4.6

Seattle

Minnesota

-0.1

1.3

1.2

 

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Detroit

Chicago

41.5

Dallas

Buffalo

38.5

Atlanta

New Orleans

50.5

Cincinnati

N.Y. Jets

44.5

Indianapolis

Tennessee

41

Miami

Philadelphia

50

N.Y. Giants

Green Bay

50.5

Pittsburgh

Cleveland

44

Carolina

Washington

43.5

Jacksonville

Tampa Bay

48.5

Baltimore

San Francisco

49.5

Arizona

LA Rams

49.5

Denver

LA Chargers

39

Kansas City

Oakland

55.5

Houston

New England

43.5

Seattle

Minnesota

48

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

109.4

110.2

109.8

109.8

20.5

10-1

Buffalo

100.0

101.1

100.8

100.6

17.5

8-3

N. Y. Jets

96.5

97.4

96.5

96.8

21.5

4-7

Miami

87.4

87.6

87.3

87.4

26.5

2-9

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

111.3

111.3

112.4

111.7

25

9-2

Cleveland

99.7

100.1

100.2

100.0

23.5

5-6

Pittsburgh

99.3

99.7

100.0

99.6

20.5

6-5

Cincinnati

91.6

91.3

91.6

91.5

23

0-11

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

102.3

102.5

102.2

102.4

23

7-4

Indianapolis

101.0

101.9

101.5

101.5

22

6-5

Tennessee

99.2

99.6

99.4

99.4

19

6-5

Jacksonville

95.5

95.7

95.6

95.6

19

4-7

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

100.7

101.2

100.8

100.9

31

7-4

LA Chargers

101.1

100.9

100.3

100.7

21

4-7

Denver

98.0

98.2

97.9

98.0

18

3-8

Oakland

95.6

95.6

96.0

95.7

24.5

6-5

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

105.4

106.0

105.8

105.7

21

6-5

Philadelphia

104.1

102.5

102.2

102.9

23.5

5-6

N.Y. Giants

93.1

93.3

93.6

93.3

25.5

2-9

Washington

89.7

90.4

89.9

90.0

18

2-9

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.9

105.5

105.8

106.1

23

8-3

Chicago

102.9

100.0

99.9

100.9

17

5-6

Green Bay

100.8

100.9

101.1

100.9

25

8-3

Detroit

97.5

96.3

96.5

96.8

24.5

3-7-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

107.4

105.3

105.6

106.1

25

9-2

Tampa Bay

97.3

99.0

99.3

98.5

29.5

4-7

Carolina

98.0

98.0

98.4

98.1

25.5

5-6

Atlanta

97.5

97.7

97.3

97.5

25.5

3-8

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

108.5

109.4

109.8

109.2

24.5

10-1

Seattle

103.8

103.8

104.0

103.9

25

9-2

LA Rams

103.5

102.1

102.4

102.7

25.5

6-5

Arizona

95.0

95.4

96.1

95.5

24

3-7-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding

1

Baltimore

2

New England

3

Houston

4

Kansas City

5

Buffalo

6

Pittsburgh

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

San Francisco

2

New Orleans

3

Green Bay

4

Dallas

5

Seattle

6

Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Pittsburgh

Buffalo over Kansas City

Minnesota over Green Bay

Seattle over Dallas

 

 

Divisional Round

Baltimore over Buffalo

Houston over New England

San Francisco over Minnesota

Seattle over New Orleans

 

 

Conference Championship

Baltimore over Houston

San Francisco over Seattle

 

 

Super Bowl 54

Baltimore over San Francisco

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 18, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 12: November 21-25, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Houston

Indianapolis

4.5

3.9

3.9

Cleveland

Miami

15.1

15.1

15.5

Buffalo

Denver

2.5

3.4

3.2

Cincinnati

Pittsburgh

-5.0

-5.6

-5.7

Chicago

N.Y. Giants

12.9

9.6

9.4

N.Y. Jets

Oakland

-1.0

-0.1

-1.8

New Orleans

Carolina

13.1

10.8

10.9

Atlanta

Tampa Bay

6.5

5.0

4.3

Washington

Detroit

-6.3

-4.3

-5.3

Tennessee

Jacksonville

4.0

4.1

3.5

New England

Dallas

7.1

7.5

7.5

San Francisco

Green Bay

5.4

6.2

6.2

Philadelphia

Seattle

5.5

3.9

3.4

LA Rams

Baltimore

1.4

0.1

-0.7

 

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Houston

Indianapolis

45

Cleveland

Miami

48.5

Buffalo

Denver

36

Cincinnati

Pittsburgh

44

Chicago

N.Y. Giants

43.5

N.Y. Jets

Oakland

46.5

New Orleans

Carolina

48.5

Atlanta

Tampa Bay

55

Washington

Detroit

43.5

Tennessee

Jacksonville

36

New England

Dallas

43

San Francisco

Green Bay

49.5

Philadelphia

Seattle

50.5

LA Rams

Baltimore

50.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

109.6

110.5

110.2

110.1

21

9-1

Buffalo

98.9

100.0

99.6

99.5

17.5

7-3

N. Y. Jets

93.3

94.2

93.1

93.5

21.5

3-7

Miami

87.5

87.8

87.5

87.6

26

2-8

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

108.1

108.1

109.2

108.5

25

8-2

Cleveland

99.6

99.9

100.0

99.8

22.5

4-6

Pittsburgh

99.2

99.6

99.9

99.5

20.5

5-5

Cincinnati

91.7

91.4

91.7

91.6

23.5

0-10

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

102.4

102.6

102.3

102.5

23

6-4

Indianapolis

100.9

101.8

101.4

101.4

22

6-4

Tennessee

98.0

98.3

97.9

98.1

17.5

5-5

Jacksonville

97.0

97.3

97.4

97.2

18.5

4-6

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

100.4

100.9

100.5

100.6

31

7-4

LA Chargers

100.8

100.6

100.0

100.4

21

4-7

Denver

99.4

99.6

99.4

99.5

18.5

3-7

Oakland

97.3

97.3

97.9

97.5

25

6-4

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

105.5

106.0

105.7

105.7

22

6-4

Philadelphia

105.2

103.6

103.3

104.0

24.5

5-5

N.Y. Giants

92.8

93.1

93.3

93.1

26

2-8

Washington

89.5

90.2

89.6

89.8

18

1-9

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.6

105.2

105.5

105.8

23

8-3

Green Bay

103.6

103.7

104.0

103.8

25

8-2

Chicago

103.2

100.2

100.2

101.2

17.5

4-6

Detroit

98.7

97.5

97.8

98.0

25.5

3-6-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

107.9

105.7

106.1

106.6

24

8-2

Atlanta

99.3

99.5

99.1

99.3

25.5

3-7

Carolina

97.8

97.9

98.2

98.0

24.5

5-5

Tampa Bay

95.8

97.5

97.8

97.0

29.5

3-7

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

106.0

106.9

107.2

106.7

24.5

9-1

LA Rams

106.6

105.2

105.5

105.8

25.5

6-4

Seattle

102.7

102.7

102.9

102.8

26

8-2

Arizona

94.7

95.1

95.8

95.2

24

3-7-1

 

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding

1

Baltimore

2

New England

3

Indianapolis

4

Oakland

5

Buffalo

6

Kansas City

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

San Francisco

2

Green Bay

3

New Orleans

4

Dallas

5

Seattle

6

Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Oakland over Buffalo

New Orleans over Minnesota

Seattle over Dallas

 

 

Divisional Round

Kansas City over Baltimore

Oakland over New England

Seattle over San Francisco

Green Bay over New Orleans

 

 

Conference Championship

Oakland over Kansas City

Green Bay over Seattle

 

 

Super Bowl 54

Oakland over Green Bay

 

 

 

November 11, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 11: November 14-18, 2019

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:15 pm

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

 

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Cleveland

Pittsburgh

2.9

2.7

2.2

Carolina

Atlanta

7.2

7.2

8.3

Detroit

Dallas

-3.7

-5.4

-4.4

Indianapolis

Jacksonville

4.2

4.6

3.9

Miami

Buffalo

-8.0

-8.4

-8.2

Baltimore

Houston

3.3

2.9

4.1

Minnesota

Denver

10.5

8.9

9.4

Washington

N.Y. Jets

1.9

2.1

2.7

Tampa Bay

New Orleans

-8.2

-3.7

-3.6

San Francisco

Arizona

14.2

14.6

14.3

Oakland

Cincinnati

8.9

9.2

9.6

Philadelphia

New England

-1.0

-3.6

-3.4

LA Rams

Chicago

5.9

7.5

7.6

LA Chargers (n)

Kansas City

1.4

1.0

1.0

Chargers – Chiefs game will be played in Mexico City

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

109.5

110.5

110.1

110.0

21.5

8-1

Buffalo

98.4

99.4

98.9

98.9

17

6-3

N. Y. Jets

91.8

92.6

91.4

91.9

21

2-7

Miami

88.0

88.4

88.2

88.2

25.5

2-7

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

105.1

105.0

106.0

105.4

25

7-2

Pittsburgh

99.7

100.2

100.6

100.1

21

5-4

Cleveland

99.6

99.8

99.8

99.7

23

3-6

Cincinnati

91.6

91.2

91.5

91.4

24

0-9

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

104.8

105.1

104.9

105.0

23

6-3

Indianapolis

99.4

100.2

99.7

99.8

22

5-4

Jacksonville

98.2

98.6

98.8

98.5

18.5

4-5

Tennessee

97.7

98.0

97.6

97.8

17.5

5-5

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

LA Chargers

101.5

101.4

100.9

101.2

21.5

4-6

Kansas City

100.0

100.4

99.9

100.1

31.5

6-4

Denver

99.4

99.6

99.4

99.5

18

3-6

Oakland

97.4

97.5

98.1

97.7

25.5

5-4

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

105.1

105.6

105.1

105.3

21.5

5-4

Philadelphia

105.6

103.9

103.7

104.4

25

5-4

N.Y. Giants

92.5

92.8

93.0

92.8

26

2-8

Washington

91.3

92.1

91.6

91.7

17.5

1-8

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.9

105.5

105.8

106.1

22.5

7-3

Green Bay

103.3

103.4

103.7

103.5

25

8-2

Chicago

103.6

100.6

100.7

101.6

18

4-5

Detroit

98.9

97.7

98.2

98.3

25

3-5-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

107.6

105.1

105.4

106.0

24

7-2

Carolina

100.6

100.8

101.3

100.9

25

5-4

Tampa Bay

96.4

98.4

98.8

97.9

29.5

3-6

Atlanta

96.5

96.6

96.0

96.3

26

2-7

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

106.2

107.1

107.4

106.9

24

8-1

LA Rams

106.5

105.1

105.3

105.6

26

5-4

Seattle

102.4

102.4

102.6

102.5

26

8-2

Arizona

94.5

94.9

95.6

95.0

23.5

3-6-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Baltimore

3

Houston

4

Oakland

5

Pittsburgh

6

Kansas City

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

Seattle

2

Green Bay

3

New Orleans

4

Philadelphia

5

San Francisco

6

Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Kansas City

Pittsburgh over Oakland

New Orleans over Minnesota

San Francisco over Philadelphia

 

 

Divisional Round

New England over Pittsburgh

Baltimore over Houston

Seattle over San Francisco

Green Bay over New Orleans

 

 

Conference Championship

New England over Baltimore

Seattle over Green Bay

 

 

Super Bowl 54

Seattle over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 7, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For November 7-11, 2019

Welcome to Thursday Comedy Relief.  It’s official now: this is the worst season in the 21st Century for PiRate Picks.  As we always tell you, these picks are free and maybe not worth what you pay for them.  In past years, we have had better access to information that has been unavailable to us, and so these picks are not going to be as reliable as when we were actually winning consistently.

We know that some of you reading this have discovered the little “secret” system in our regular weekly ratings that through super computer programming, you can come up with a half-dozen or so picks that are rewarding you with better than 62% wins.  It’s so secret, that we do not know the real particulars, and we unwisely recommended that you not tell us how you are doing it, because it might be too tempting to try it ourselves and then lose our mortgage payments (figuratively, since we burned our mortgage some time ago).

This is the absolute best week for college football to date.  This week’s games between Alabama and LSU, preceded by Minnesota and Penn State, and including Baylor-TCU, Iowa State-Oklahoma, and even including the best FCS game of the year and the celebration of the 150th anniversary of college football–undefeated Princeton versus undefeated Dartmouth at Yankee Stadium, we know that a lot of you love to add a little excitement when watching these top games.

Please, please, please, disregard our selections when considering whether or not you will wager on these games.  We are hitting 48% in our selections this year.  That’s total crappy status.  You cannot win at 48%, because even if you wager the exact opposite, at 52% you still lose.  None of your reading this feature are one of those folks with the supercomputer winning on 63+% of the wagers that our ratings somehow pop up 6-10 games per week, and our selections below are not part of that system.

 

This Week’s PiRate Picks

College Games

10-point Teasers

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Florida St.

Boston College

11

Boston College

Ohio St.

Maryland

32

Ohio St.

Michigan St.

Illinois

24.5

Illinois

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Florida

Vanderbilt

16.5

Florida

Ole Miss

N. Mexico St.

38.5

N. Mexico St.

Kentucky

Tennessee

11

Tennessee

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Georgia

Ole Miss

6.5

Georgia

Virginia

Georgia Tech

26

Georgia Tech

BYU

Liberty

27

Liberty

 

13-Point Teasers

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Texas Tech

West Virginia

15.5

West Virginia

Miami (Fla.)

Louisville

19.5

Louisville

Wake Forest

Virginia Tech

15.5

Virginia Tech

Penn St.

Minnesota

20

Minnesota

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Northwestern

Purdue

15.5

Purdue

Charlotte

UTEP

Pk

Charlotte

Baylor

TCU

10.5

TCU

Oklahoma

Iowa St.

1.5

Oklahoma

 

College Money Line Parlay –4 games at +268

 

Winner

Loser

Louisiana Tech

North Texas

Fresno St.

Utah St.

Notre Dame

Duke

Washington

Oregon St.

 

NFL Games

13-Point Teasers

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

LA Chargers

Oakland

14.5

Oakland

New Orleans

Atlanta

Pk

New Orleans

Cincinnati

Baltimore

3

Baltimore

Carolina

Green Bay

8

Green Bay

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Chicago

Detroit

15.5

Detroit

Miami

Indianapolis

2.5

Indianapolis

N.Y. Jets

N.Y. Giants

10.5

N.Y. Giants

Tampa Bay

Arizona

17.5

Arizona

 

Money Line Parlay –2 Games at +149

 

Winner

Loser

N.Y. Giants

N.Y. Jets

Green Bay

Carolina

 

 

Davey19 Experimental Picks

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Louisiana

Coastal Carolina

14.5

Coastal Carolina

Michigan St.

Illinois

15

Illinois

Boise St.

Wyoming

13.5

Wyoming

Alabama

LSU

5.5

Alabama

Troy

Georgia Southern

3

Georgia Southern

Kentucky

Tennessee

1

Tennessee

Louisiana Tech

North Texas

5

Louisiana Tech

 

 

November 4, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 10: November 7-11, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Oakland

LA Chargers

-1.2

-1.1

0.0

Tennessee

Kansas City

-0.2

-0.3

-0.2

Cleveland

Buffalo

3.7

3.0

3.4

Tampa Bay

Arizona

5.1

7.1

7.0

N.Y. Jets

N.Y. Giants

-2.1

-1.8

-3.5

New Orleans

Atlanta

17.4

14.6

15.9

Cincinnati

Baltimore

-7.5

-7.5

-8.2

Green Bay

Carolina

5.4

5.2

4.8

Chicago

Detroit

6.6

4.7

4.1

Indianapolis

Miami

15.6

16.0

16.0

Pittsburgh

LA Rams

-5.9

-4.0

-4.0

Dallas

Minnesota

0.4

2.7

2.1

San Francisco

Seattle

7.4

8.7

9.2

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

 

Home

Visitor

Total

Oakland

LA Chargers

46.5

Tennessee

Kansas City

47

Cleveland

Buffalo

41

Tampa Bay

Arizona

53

N.Y. Jets

N.Y. Giants

46

New Orleans

Atlanta

51

Cincinnati

Baltimore

47.5

Green Bay

Carolina

51

Chicago

Detroit

43.5

Indianapolis

Miami

48.5

Pittsburgh

LA Rams

49

Dallas

Minnesota

43

San Francisco

Seattle

50

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

109.2

110.2

109.8

109.7

21.5

8-1

Buffalo

98.4

99.4

98.9

98.9

17.5

6-2

N. Y. Jets

91.2

92.0

90.6

91.3

20.5

1-7

Miami

87.6

87.9

87.6

87.7

26

1-7

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

103.8

103.6

104.6

104.0

24

6-2

Cleveland

99.6

99.8

99.8

99.7

23.5

2-6

Pittsburgh

98.6

99.1

99.4

99.0

22

4-4

Cincinnati

93.9

93.6

93.9

93.8

23.5

0-8

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

104.5

104.8

104.6

104.7

23

6-3

Indianapolis

100.1

101.0

100.6

100.6

22.5

5-3

Jacksonville

97.9

98.3

98.5

98.2

18.5

4-5

Tennessee

97.5

97.8

97.4

97.6

16.5

4-5

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

LA Chargers

101.6

101.5

101.0

101.3

21.5

4-5

Kansas City

100.2

100.6

100.1

100.3

30.5

6-3

Denver

99.1

99.3

99.1

99.2

18

3-6

Oakland

97.3

97.4

98.0

97.6

25

4-4

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

105.2

105.9

105.5

105.5

21

5-3

Philadelphia

105.3

103.6

103.4

104.1

25

5-4

N.Y. Giants

93.4

93.7

94.1

93.7

25.5

2-7

Washington

91.0

91.8

91.3

91.4

17.5

1-8

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.8

105.2

105.4

105.8

22

6-3

Green Bay

103.2

103.2

103.4

103.3

25.5

7-2

Chicago

103.6

100.5

100.5

101.5

18.5

3-5

Detroit

98.9

97.8

98.4

98.4

25

3-4-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

109.4

106.8

107.3

107.8

24.5

7-1

Carolina

100.7

101.0

101.6

101.1

25.5

5-3

Tampa Bay

96.5

98.7

99.2

98.1

29.5

2-6

Atlanta

95.0

95.2

94.4

94.8

26.5

1-7

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

106.5

107.6

108.1

107.4

24

8-0

LA Rams

107.5

106.1

106.4

106.7

27

5-3

Seattle

102.1

101.9

101.9

102.0

26

7-2

Arizona

94.4

94.6

95.2

94.7

23.5

3-5-1

 

NFL Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Baltimore

3

Houston

4

Kansas City

5

Buffalo

6

Pittsburgh

 

NFC Seeding

1

San Francisco

2

New Orleans

3

Green Bay

4

Philadelphia

5

Seattle

6

LA Rams

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Pittsburgh

Kansas City over Buffalo

Green Bay over LA Rams

Seattle over Philadelphia

 

 

Divisional Round

New England over Kansas City

Baltimore over Houston

San Francisco over Seattle

New Orleans over Green Bay

 

 

Conference Championship

New England over Baltimore

New Orleans over San Francisco

 

 

Super Bowl 54

New Orleans over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

October 28, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 9: October 31-November 4, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Arizona

San Francisco

-9.7

-10.9

-11.1

Jacksonville (n)

Houston

-4.1

-3.9

-3.0

Buffalo

Washington

9.8

9.6

9.5

Carolina

Tennessee

5.5

5.3

6.3

Philadelphia

Chicago

4.3

5.7

5.2

Kansas City

Minnesota

-4.2

-2.2

-3.1

Miami

N.Y. Jets

-3.6

-4.1

-3.2

Pittsburgh

Indianapolis

1.5

1.1

1.8

Oakland

Detroit

0.4

1.6

1.3

Seattle

Tampa Bay

9.6

7.2

6.9

Denver

Cleveland

2.1

1.8

1.5

LA Chargers

Green Bay

-2.8

-3.1

-4.2

Baltimore

New England

-6.0

-7.6

-6.2

N.Y. Giants

Dallas

-7.3

-7.3

-6.2

 

Totals

Home

Visitor

Total

Arizona

San Francisco

47

Jacksonville (n)

Houston

42.5

Buffalo

Washington

35

Carolina

Tennessee

41

Philadelphia

Chicago

44.5

Kansas City

Minnesota

52.5

Miami

N.Y. Jets

46.5

Pittsburgh

Indianapolis

43.5

Oakland

Detroit

49

Seattle

Tampa Bay

54.5

Denver

Cleveland

41.5

LA Chargers

Green Bay

48

Baltimore

New England

44

N.Y. Giants

Dallas

45.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

111.0

112.2

111.8

111.7

21

8-0

Buffalo

98.2

99.1

98.5

98.6

17.5

5-2

N. Y. Jets

92.3

93.2

91.9

92.5

20.5

1-6

Miami

86.8

87.0

86.6

86.8

26

0-7

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

102.0

101.6

102.6

102.1

23

5-2

Cleveland

99.8

100.1

100.2

100.0

23.5

2-5

Pittsburgh

98.6

99.1

99.4

99.0

21.5

3-4

Cincinnati

93.6

93.3

93.6

93.5

23.5

0-8

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

103.4

103.6

103.2

103.4

23.5

5-3

Indianapolis

100.1

101.0

100.6

100.6

22

5-2

Jacksonville

99.3

99.8

100.2

99.8

19

4-4

Tennessee

98.0

98.4

98.0

98.1

16

4-4

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

99.9

100.3

99.7

100.0

30.5

5-3

LA Chargers

100.0

99.8

99.1

99.6

22

3-5

Denver

98.9

99.0

98.7

98.9

18

2-6

Oakland

96.8

96.9

97.4

97.0

24.5

3-4

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Dallas

104.4

105.0

104.4

104.6

20.5

4-3

Philadelphia

105.1

103.4

103.1

103.8

25.5

4-4

N.Y. Giants

94.2

94.6

95.2

94.7

25

2-6

Washington

91.5

92.4

92.0

92.0

17.5

1-7

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

107.1

105.5

105.8

106.2

22

6-2

Green Bay

104.8

104.9

105.3

105.0

26

7-1

Chicago

103.8

100.7

100.8

101.8

19

3-4

Detroit

99.4

98.3

99.0

98.9

24.5

3-3-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

109.1

106.5

107.0

107.5

24.5

7-1

Carolina

100.5

100.7

101.3

100.8

25

4-3

Tampa Bay

96.0

98.2

98.6

97.6

29

2-5

Atlanta

94.7

94.9

94.1

94.5

26.5

1-7

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

106.8

108.1

108.7

107.9

24

7-0

LA Rams

107.2

105.8

106.1

106.4

27

5-3

Seattle

102.6

102.4

102.5

102.5

25.5

7-1

Arizona

94.1

94.1

94.6

94.3

23

3-4-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Indianapolis

3

Baltimore

4

Kansas City

5

Houston

6

Jacksonville

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

New Orleans

2

San Francisco

3

Green Bay

4

Dallas

5

Minnesota

6

LA Rams

 

Wildcard Round

Jacksonville over Baltimore

Houston over Kansas City

Green Bay over LA Rams

Minnesota over Dallas

 

Divisional Round

New England over Jacksonville

Indianapolis over Houston

New Orleans over Minnesota

San Francisco over Green Bay

 

Conference Championship

New England over Indianapolis

New Orleans over San Francisco

 

Super Bowl 54

New England over New Orleans

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

October 24, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For October 24-28, 2019

It couldn’t last.  Our winning streak ended soon after it began, and both the PiRate Picks and Experimental Davey19 picks fell to the losing side last week.  We’re back at it again hoping that maybe if you see a game you have thought about wagering real money on the outcome, you will see that we agree with you, and you will quickly forget playing that game.

Remember, the PiRates do not wager real money on football games, and we encourage you not to use our picks as handicapping aids if you happen to play for real.  These picks are free and are priced exactly where they need to be.

PiRate Picks

This week, we add a new twist that hasn’t been shown here in several years.  We are going to make a few 6-point teaser picks (2-game parlays @ 10-11 odds)

College 6-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Connecticut

Massachusetts

4

UConn

Memphis

Tulsa

4.5

Memphis

 

College 6-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Texas A&M

Mississippi St.

4.5

Texas A&M

Iowa

Northwestern

4

Iowa

 

College 6-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Miami (Fla.)

Pittsburgh

0.5

Pittsburgh

Arkansas St.

Texas St.

5.5

Arkansas St.

 

College 10-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

SMU

Houston

4

SMU

Central Michigan

Buffalo

7.5

Buffalo

Purdue

Illinois

20

Illinois

 

College 10-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Liberty

Rutgers

17

Rutgers

Rice

Southern Miss.

0.5

Southern Miss

Wyoming

Nevada

4

Wyoming

 

College 10-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Fresno St.

Colorado St.

4.5

Fresno St

Georgia Southern

N. Mexico St.

4.5

Ga. Southern

Iowa St.

Oklahoma St.

0.5

Iowa St.

 

College 10-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Ohio

Ball St.

7.5

Ball St.

Oklahoma

Kansas St.

13.5

Oklahoma

Minnesota

Maryland

6.5

Minnesota

 

College 10-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Texas

TCU

11.5

TCU

Ohio St.

Wisconsin

4.5

Ohio St.

LSU

Auburn

0.5

LSU

 

College 13-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Troy

Georgia St.

12

Georgia St.

Penn St.

Michigan St.

19.5

Michigan St.

Middle Tennessee

Florida Int’l.

10.5

Fla. Intl

South Carolina

Tennessee

17.5

Tennessee

 

NFL 10-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Minnesota

Washington

6.5

Minnesota

N.Y. Giants

Detroit

3

Detroit

Tampa Bay

Tennessee

7.5

Tennessee

 

NFL 10-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

LA Chargers

Chicago

6

Chicago

N.Y. Jets

Jacksonville

4

Jacksonville

Philadelphia

Buffalo

8.5

Buffalo

 

NFL 10-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

LA Rams

Cincinnati

3

LA Rams

New Orleans

Arizona

0.5

New Orleans

Oakland

Houston

3

Houston

 

NFL 10-point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Denver

Indianapolis

4.5

Indianapolis

New England

Cleveland

3

New England

Miami

Pittsburgh

4.5

Pittsburgh

 

Davey19 Selections

College Picks Against The Spread

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Connecticut

Massachusetts

10

UMass

Purdue

Illinois

10

Illinois

Central Florida

Temple

11

Temple

Buffalo

Central Michigan

2.5

Buffalo

Liberty

Rutgers

7.5

Rutgers

Marshall

Western Kentucky

5

Western Kentucky

Iowa St.

Oklahoma St.

10.5

Oklahoma St.

Ball St.

Ohio

2.5

Ball St.

North Texas

Charlotte

4.5

Charlotte

 

Note: For those of you that play for real, please be aware that in both college and pro football this weekend, Miami is playing Pittsburgh at Heinz Stadium.  Don’t confuse the games on the card.

The Pitt Panthers and Miami of Florida Hurricanes face off Saturday at Noon Eastern Daylight Time.  The Steelers host the Dolphins on Monday Night at 8:20 PM Eastern Daylight Time.

 

And, as a reminder, next Sunday’s NFL games will kick off in Standard Time.  Daylight Savings Time goes to bed Sunday morning at 2 AM, November 3.  It never ceases to amaze us as to how many 9 to 5 workers fail to notice that one of their car’s headlights, taillights, brake lights, or signal lights is not working, until after the clocks are set back in the Fall, and they drive home from work in the dark. 

Please check all your lights before you turn your clock back an hour.  Darkness at 4:30 PM always leads to increased traffic accidents in large cities, so play it safe and prepare by becoming a better defensive driver.  The life you save, may be mine.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

October 14, 2019

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 7: October 17-21, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Denver

Kansas City

-0.8

-0.9

-0.4

N.Y. Giants

Arizona

4.0

4.2

4.3

Indianapolis

Houston

-2.3

-1.7

-2.1

Buffalo

Miami

16.6

18.0

18.1

Detroit

Minnesota

-4.1

-3.1

-2.4

Green Bay

Oakland

9.7

9.5

9.2

Cincinnati

Jacksonville

-1.2

-1.8

-1.4

Atlanta

LA Rams

-5.8

-3.6

-3.7

Washington

San Francisco

-10.2

-10.5

-11.5

Tennessee

LA Chargers

1.4

1.5

2.2

Seattle

Baltimore

5.5

5.8

5.0

Chicago

New Orleans

2.3

2.0

2.1

Dallas

Philadelphia

-0.1

2.7

2.3

N.Y. Jets

New England

-13.0

-13.0

-13.7

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New England

109.3

110.4

109.9

109.9

21.5

6-0

Buffalo

99.8

101.2

100.8

100.6

18

4-1

N. Y. Jets

93.8

94.9

93.7

94.1

21.5

1-4

Miami

86.2

86.2

85.7

86.0

26

0-5

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Baltimore

100.7

100.2

101.1

100.7

23

4-2

Cleveland

99.5

99.8

99.9

99.7

23.5

2-4

Pittsburgh

98.5

99.0

99.3

98.9

21.5

2-4

Cincinnati

94.4

94.2

94.8

94.5

24

0-6

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Houston

104.5

104.8

104.6

104.7

23

4-2

Indianapolis

99.2

100.1

99.5

99.6

22

3-2

Jacksonville

98.1

98.5

98.7

98.4

19

2-4

Tennessee

97.9

98.2

97.9

98.0

15

2-4

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Kansas City

104.2

104.6

103.9

104.2

31

4-2

Denver

100.5

100.7

100.5

100.6

19.5

2-4

LA Chargers

99.5

99.7

98.7

99.3

21.5

2-4

Oakland

97.1

97.2

97.8

97.4

23.5

3-2

 

 

N F C

East

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Philadelphia

105.3

103.2

102.9

103.8

25.5

3-3

Dallas

102.2

102.9

102.2

102.4

20.5

3-3

N.Y. Giants

94.7

95.2

95.8

95.2

24.5

2-4

Washington

91.1

92.1

91.5

91.6

19

1-5

 

 

North

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

Minnesota

106.6

104.7

105.0

105.5

21.5

4-2

Green Bay

103.8

103.7

104.0

103.8

25

5-1

Chicago

105.9

102.5

102.9

103.8

19

3-2

Detroit

100.0

99.1

100.1

99.8

23

2-2-1

 

 

South

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

New Orleans

106.6

103.5

103.8

104.6

23.5

5-1

Carolina

102.0

102.2

103.0

102.4

24.5

4-2

Tampa Bay

95.6

97.9

98.3

97.3

28.5

2-4

Atlanta

96.5

97.0

96.4

96.6

27.5

1-5

 

 

West

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Avg

Totals

W-L

San Francisco

104.3

105.6

106.0

105.3

23.5

5-0

LA Rams

105.3

103.6

103.7

104.2

28

3-3

Seattle

103.2

103.0

103.1

103.1

25.5

5-1

Arizona

93.7

94.0

94.5

94.1

23.5

2-3-1

 

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding

1

New England

2

Houston

3

Kansas City

4

Baltimore

5

Buffalo

6

Indianapolis

 

 

NFC Seeding

1

San Francisco

2

New Orleans

3

Green Bay

4

Philadelphia

5

Seattle

6

Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Indianapolis

Buffalo over Baltimore

Green Bay over Minnesota

Seattle over Philadelphia

 

 

Divisional Round

New England over Buffalo

Houston over Kansas City

San Francisco over Seattle

New Orleans over Green Bay

 

 

Conference Championship

New England over Houston

San Francisco over New Orleans

 

 

Super Bowl 54

San Francisco over New England

 

 

 

Older Posts »

Blog at WordPress.com.