The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 8, 2021

PiRate Picks For September 9-13, 2021

Last week’s opening picks missed, as Virginia Tech made Sam Howell look like Thurston Howell. Duke then failed to show up against Charlotte, and poof, our two picks were destroyed. Such is life when you wager on parlays that return the odds we look for when we place our imaginary wagers.

We have two more picks returning some fat odds this week, and maybe we’ll get lucky and hit on one. We will also tell you a week 1 tip for the NFL. Although we are here just for Money Line Parlays this year, it doesn’t mean we cannot give out a little interesting information.

Here are our two Money Line Parlays for Week two of the college season. We will eventually pick some NFL games, but Week one is not the time and place for that.

Parlay 1

Odds:+224
Must WinOpponent
VirginiaIllinois
RutgersSyracuse
MichiganWashington

Parlay 2

Odds:+180.56
Must WinOpponent
Mississippi St.North Carolina St.
TCUCalifornia

Here’s our tip for Week 1 of the NFL season. Underdogs of 1 to 3 points tend to win outright 50% of the time, but they also lose by less than 3 points another 8-10% of the time. That’s 58-60% success for wagering on 3-point Underdogs.

There are seven games as of this writing with a 3-point spread. The Dogs are:

Houston against Jacksonville

Arizona against Tennessee

Philadelphia against Atlanta

Indianapolis against Seattle

Cincinnati against Minnesota

Miami against New England

N.Y. Giants against Denver

November 13, 2020

Add On Game College Football — Sunday, November 15, 2020

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , — piratings @ 6:02 pm

Pirate Rating Spread For UCLA-California game added Friday, November 13 to be played Sunday, November 15.

HomeVisitorsPiRateMeanBias
UCLACalifornia-4.0-5.6-6.3

February 27, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For February 27, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:39 am

Thursday’s Games

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Austin Peay

Morehead St.

12.3

Belmont

Tennessee Tech

21.1

Cal Poly

UC Irvine

-11.5

Cal St. Bakersfield

UT Rio Grande Valley

2.3

California

Colorado

-9.9

Canisius

Iona

1.7

Charleston

Delaware

4.7

Charleston Southern

Gardner-Webb

-2.2

Fairleigh Dickinson

Bryant

0.4

Florida Atlantic

UTSA

2.7

Florida Gulf Coast

Jacksonville

-0.2

Florida Intl.

North Texas

-2.7

Gonzaga

San Diego

26.3

Grand Canyon

New Mexico St.

-5.9

Green Bay

Youngstown St.

3.5

Hampton

Radford

-7.2

Hawaii

Cal St. Fullerton

7.9

High Point

UNC Asheville

-2.0

Hofstra

Towson

6.9

Idaho St.

Portland St.

-3.2

Illinois Chicago

Detroit

7.1

IUPUI

Oakland

-4.4

Kennesaw St.

Liberty

-23.0

Little Rock

UL Monroe

10.3

Long Island

Wagner

9.1

Loyola Marymount

Pacific

-1.4

Merrimack

Central Connecticut

16.0

Miami (O)

Central Michigan

-0.6

Michigan

Wisconsin

6.6

Milwaukee

Cleveland St.

6.2

Murray St.

Eastern Kentucky

12.5

Nebraska

Ohio St.

-9.8

Niagara

Saint Peter’s

-4.1

North Alabama

NJIT

4.1

North Dakota St.

South Dakota St.

2.2

Northeastern

James Madison

12.5

Northern Arizona

Montana

-0.7

Northern Colorado

Idaho

17.4

Northwestern

Illinois

-6.8

Oral Roberts

Western Illinois

15.1

Oregon

Oregon St.

10.4

Presbyterian

Longwood

0.1

Purdue

Indiana

4.7

Sacramento St.

Montana St.

4.3

Sacred Heart

St. Francis (NY)

9.9

San Francisco

Portland

15.8

Santa Clara

Saint Mary’s

-6.3

South Carolina Upstate

Winthrop

-9.7

Southeast Missouri

Eastern Illinois

-5.0

Southern Utah

Eastern Washington

2.2

St. Francis (PA)

Mount St. Mary’s

9.2

Stetson

North Florida

-5.6

Tennessee St.

Jacksonville St.

2.8

UAB

Marshall

0.7

UC Riverside

UC Santa Barbara

-0.5

UCLA

Arizona St.

0.6

UNC Wilmington

Drexel

-0.5

USC

Arizona

-3.9

UT Martin

SIU-Edwardsville

4.5

Western Kentucky

Louisiana Tech

0.1

Wichita St.

Temple

9.7

 

Key TV Games On Thursday

 

Time (EST)

Network

Home

Visitor

7:00 PM

ESPN2

Michigan

Wisconsin

7:00 PM

FS1

Purdue

Indiana

8:00 PM

ESPN+

Murray St.

Eastern Kentucky

9:00 PM

ESPN+

North Dakota St.

South Dakota St.

10:00 PM

ESPN

USC

Arizona

11:00 PM

Pac12

UCLA

Arizona St.

 

 

 

January 26, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 26, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:14 am

Sunday’s Games

Home

Visitor

Spread

California

Stanford

-8.5

Connecticut

Tulsa

4.3

Creighton

Xavier

6.2

Drake

Missouri St.

3.4

Fairfield

Canisius

1.5

Houston

South Florida

13.4

Indiana

Maryland

-0.6

Iona

Monmouth

0.6

Manhattan

Rider

-0.3

Minnesota

Michigan St.

-2.4

Northern Iowa

Loyola (Chi)

5.7

Northwestern

Ohio St.

-7.7

Oregon

UCLA

13.6

Saint Louis

Fordham

13.9

Saint Peter’s

Niagara

6.7

Siena

Quinnipiac

4.0

UNLV

San Diego St.

-9.1

Valparaiso

Evansville

10.0

Wake Forest

Virginia

-1.3

 

Saturday Was Upset City

There were more than two dozen upsets Saturday in Division 1 college basketball.  While your favorite team in a power conference may have won, and you’re thinking that you don’t remember many upsets, let us tell you that many of them occurred in the Mid-Major conferences.  Because most of the Mid-Major conferences will be one-bid leagues, and the conference tournament champion will be the representative in the Big Dance, our bracketology must undergo massive restructuring in the #13 through 16 seeds.

Thus, we will put out an update Bracketology later today, or basically as soon as we can clean up the mess and “un-muddle the water.”

 

 

 

 

 

January 19, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 19, 2020

Division 1 Basketball Games on Sunday

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Canisius

Rider

-0.8

Chicago State

Cal St. Bakersfield

-15.8

Cincinnati

East Carolina

16.9

Fordham

Davidson

-7.4

Illinois State

Loyola (Chi.)

-4.9

Maine

Binghamton

1.8

Marist

Iona

-4.5

Niagara

Siena

-2.2

North Dakota State

North Dakota

7.4

Rutgers

Minnesota

3.9

South Dakota

South Dakota State

-1.3

Southern Illinois

Drake

0.1

UCLA

California

6.5

UMKC

Grand Canyon

3.3

Wake Forest

Boston College

6.7

January 16, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 16, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:30 am

Power Conference & Top 25 Teams Playing Thursday

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Memphis

Cincinnati

4.7

Arizona

Utah

14.3

Arizona St.

Colorado

-1.7

BYU

San Diego

18.1

USC

California

11.0

Gonzaga

Santa Clara

18.4

Washington

Oregon St.

4.1

 

 

January 9, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 9, 2020

Power Conference Games & Top 25 Teams Playing Thursday

 

Home

Visitor

Spread

Michigan

Purdue

5.1

Wichita St.

Memphis

2.5

Michigan St.

Minnesota

12.1

Oregon

Arizona

1.2

Stanford

Washington

1.7

California

Washington St.

-0.1

Oregon St.

Arizona St.

4.7

Saint Mary’s

BYU

2.3

 

Coming Tomorrow–Updated Ratings and Bracketology

September 22, 2019

PiRate College Football Ratings: September 23, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Thursday

September 26

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Memphis

Navy

18.1

15.0

19.5

 

 

Friday

September 27

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Virginia Tech

Duke

1.3

1.8

1.6

Maryland

Penn St.

-4.3

-3.8

-4.7

Air Force

San Jose St.

15.5

14.7

17.1

 

 

Saturday

September 28

Home

Visitors

PiRate

Mean

Bias

California

Arizona St.

3.6

4.3

4.2

Wisconsin

Northwestern

15.0

15.7

16.3

Boston College

Wake Forest

-0.5

-0.1

-0.5

Central Florda

Connecticut

40.6

35.9

43.0

Western Michigan

Central Michigan

21.3

19.4

21.0

South Florida

SMU

-8.6

-7.4

-9.3

Miami (O)

Buffalo

1.9

-0.6

1.1

Temple

Georgia Tech

6.9

7.7

7.4

Florida St.

North Carolina St.

3.6

4.0

3.2

Baylor

Iowa St.

0.7

0.6

0.3

Toledo

BYU

-6.0

-5.6

-5.3

Massachusetts

Akron

-8.8

-6.7

-9.2

Michigan

Rutgers

28.4

26.4

29.1

Purdue

Minnesota

-0.9

-0.2

0.1

Georgia Southern

Louisiana

0.9

0.0

0.5

Iowa

Middle Tennessee

28.3

27.3

28.4

Wyoming

UNLV

13.1

13.0

13.5

Utah

Washington St.

6.7

5.9

6.6

New Mexico St.

Fresno St.

-20.3

-18.4

-21.1

Nevada

Hawaii

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

Oregon St.

Stanford

-6.5

-4.2

-7.5

Michigan St.

Indiana

13.4

14.6

14.9

North Carolina

Clemson

-29.2

-25.6

-29.3

South Carolina

Kentucky

6.3

6.0

7.4

Alabama

Ole Miss

37.1

34.3

39.1

Vanderbilt

Northern Illinois

10.6

10.5

9.3

TCU

Kansas

12.0

14.2

12.4

Oklahoma St.

Kansas St.

1.1

1.9

0.6

Auburn

Mississippi St.

7.0

9.2

7.0

Oklahoma

Texas Tech

19.7

18.6

20.6

Charlotte

Florida Atlantic

-0.3

1.1

-0.5

Notre Dame

Virginia

16.6

14.2

16.8

Appalachian St.

Coastal Carolina

21.0

17.9

21.1

Marshall

Cincinnati

-9.3

-8.2

-8.2

Old Dominion

East Carolina

0.3

-1.3

1.3

Liberty

New Mexico

9.2

7.3

10.5

Troy

Arkansas St.

7.7

8.1

7.2

Louisiana-Monroe

South Alabama

17.0

14.5

18.1

Southern Miss.

UTEP

31.1

23.6

30.8

Rice

Louisiana Tech

-8.9

-7.3

-9.8

Western Kentucky

UAB

1.7

0.4

2.2

Utah St.

Colorado St.

29.1

24.3

30.4

Nebraska

Ohio St.

-22.5

-19.6

-23.7

North Texas

Houston

0.8

-0.6

-0.8

Texas A&M (n)

Arkansas

23.8

21.2

23.3

Washington

USC

9.5

8.0

10.1

Arizona

UCLA

6.6

7.1

8.0

 

FBS vs. FCS

Home

Visitor

PiRate

Syracuse

Holy Cross

35

Pittsburgh

Delaware

29

Florida

Towson St.

36

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

1

Alabama

136.1

132.5

137.2

135.2

2

Clemson

134.9

131.6

135.8

134.1

3

Ohio St.

132.2

130.7

132.9

131.9

4

Georgia

127.7

126.0

128.3

127.3

5

L S U

126.5

123.9

125.5

125.3

6

Oklahoma

122.6

121.7

122.5

122.3

7

Notre Dame

121.0

119.0

121.2

120.4

8

Florida

121.4

118.5

120.8

120.2

9

Wisconsin

119.6

119.3

119.7

119.5

10

Auburn

119.2

117.4

118.8

118.5

11

Michigan St.

117.7

117.3

118.0

117.7

12

Texas A&M

118.3

116.6

117.0

117.3

13

Oregon

116.2

116.2

117.3

116.6

14

Michigan

117.1

115.0

117.2

116.4

15

Penn St.

116.7

115.6

116.3

116.2

16

Utah

116.5

114.8

116.7

116.0

17

Missouri

116.3

113.9

116.6

115.6

18

Iowa

116.0

114.0

116.1

115.3

19

Washington

113.6

113.1

114.7

113.8

20

Mississippi St.

115.2

111.2

114.8

113.7

21

Washington St.

112.8

112.0

113.1

112.6

22

Iowa St.

112.4

112.7

112.3

112.5

23

Texas

112.4

112.5

112.4

112.4

24

Kansas St.

112.1

111.8

112.1

112.0

25

Central Florida

111.5

110.7

112.6

111.6

26

Oklahoma St.

110.1

110.7

109.7

110.2

27

South Carolina

110.8

109.0

110.4

110.1

28

Baylor

110.1

110.2

109.6

110.0

29

Minnesota

109.7

109.0

108.3

109.0

30

Maryland

109.4

108.8

108.6

108.9

31

California

107.6

107.5

108.9

108.0

32

Miami (Fla.)

107.6

106.8

108.5

107.6

33

U S C

107.1

108.1

107.6

107.6

34

Virginia

107.4

107.8

107.4

107.5

35

Nebraska

106.7

108.0

106.3

107.0

36

Arizona St.

107.0

106.2

107.6

107.0

37

Northwestern

107.6

106.6

106.4

106.9

38

Kentucky

107.5

106.0

106.0

106.5

39

Utah St.

106.3

105.3

107.7

106.4

40

Indiana

107.3

105.6

106.1

106.3

41

Pittsburgh

106.3

105.9

106.2

106.1

42

Syracuse

106.3

105.8

106.3

106.1

43

Boise St.

106.2

105.5

106.5

106.1

44

T C U

104.8

108.1

105.1

106.0

45

Purdue

105.8

105.8

105.3

105.6

46

Texas Tech

105.9

106.1

104.9

105.6

47

Memphis

105.3

105.1

106.4

105.6

48

Duke

105.5

105.0

105.4

105.3

49

Cincinnati

105.4

103.8

105.5

104.9

50

Appalachian St.

105.3

103.7

104.8

104.6

51

Stanford

105.0

104.0

104.8

104.6

52

Tennessee

105.0

104.8

103.2

104.3

53

Wake Forest

104.3

103.8

104.9

104.3

54

West Virginia

104.6

104.2

104.2

104.3

55

Virginia Tech

103.7

103.9

104.0

103.9

56

SMU

102.9

102.7

103.9

103.2

57

North Carolina

102.7

103.0

103.6

103.1

58

Arizona

102.5

102.7

102.8

102.7

59

Florida St.

102.6

102.8

102.4

102.6

60

North Carolina St.

102.0

101.8

102.3

102.0

61

Vanderbilt

102.6

101.3

101.3

101.7

62

Ole Miss

102.0

101.1

101.1

101.4

63

Army

101.2

101.3

100.8

101.1

64

Boston College

100.8

100.7

101.4

101.0

65

BYU

100.9

100.9

101.0

100.9

66

Tulane

100.2

100.7

100.8

100.6

67

Temple

100.4

99.4

101.4

100.4

68

Fresno St.

99.7

100.3

100.4

100.1

69

Western Michigan

100.4

99.2

100.4

100.0

70

Colorado

99.5

99.4

99.6

99.5

71

Louisiana

98.7

98.9

98.5

98.7

72

Air Force

97.8

99.0

98.7

98.5

73

San Diego St.

97.9

99.6

97.8

98.4

74

U C L A

98.9

98.5

97.8

98.4

75

Houston

96.1

97.2

98.7

97.3

76

Illinois

96.7

97.6

95.7

96.7

77

Georgia Southern

96.6

95.9

96.0

96.2

78

Kansas

95.9

96.9

95.7

96.2

79

Wyoming

95.2

97.2

95.6

96.0

80

Hawaii

95.7

97.3

94.9

96.0

81

Troy

95.8

96.1

94.9

95.6

82

Arkansas

95.5

96.4

94.7

95.6

83

Georgia Tech

96.0

94.1

96.5

95.5

84

Oregon St.

95.5

96.8

94.3

95.5

85

Louisville

95.9

95.6

95.1

95.5

86

North Texas

94.9

94.5

95.9

95.1

87

Southern Miss.

95.2

93.0

95.5

94.6

88

Marshall

93.6

93.1

94.8

93.8

89

Northern Illinois

93.9

92.8

94.0

93.6

90

Ohio

93.5

92.6

94.4

93.5

91

Tulsa

92.6

93.3

93.5

93.1

92

Toledo

91.9

92.3

92.7

92.3

93

South Florida

91.3

92.3

91.6

91.7

94

Louisiana Tech

91.5

91.3

91.7

91.5

95

Rutgers

91.7

91.6

91.1

91.5

96

Nevada

90.8

92.6

90.4

91.3

97

Navy

90.1

93.1

89.9

91.1

98

Arkansas St.

91.0

91.1

90.7

90.9

99

Florida Atlantic

90.5

89.8

91.2

90.5

100

Middle Tennessee

90.6

89.7

90.7

90.3

101

Eastern Michigan

89.5

89.9

90.2

89.9

102

Buffalo

89.0

89.6

89.9

89.5

103

Liberty

88.7

89.9

89.1

89.2

104

Florida Int’l.

89.1

88.7

89.2

89.0

105

U A B

87.8

89.7

88.5

88.7

106

Kent St.

88.1

88.1

88.6

88.3

107

Charlotte

87.7

88.4

88.2

88.1

108

Louisiana-Monroe

87.6

88.3

87.6

87.8

109

Miami (Ohio)

87.9

86.0

88.0

87.3

110

Western Kentucky

86.5

87.2

87.8

87.1

111

Ball St.

87.0

86.5

86.7

86.7

112

Coastal Carolina

86.4

87.8

85.7

86.6

113

Georgia St.

85.8

87.1

84.9

85.9

114

U N L V

85.1

87.2

85.1

85.8

115

San Jose St.

85.3

87.3

84.6

85.7

116

Texas St.

83.0

83.9

82.8

83.2

117

New Mexico

82.0

85.1

81.0

82.7

118

East Carolina

82.0

84.1

81.5

82.5

119

Colorado St.

80.1

84.0

80.3

81.5

120

Central Michigan

81.1

81.9

81.4

81.4

121

Rice

80.0

81.5

79.3

80.3

122

Old Dominion

79.8

80.3

80.2

80.1

123

New Mexico St.

77.0

79.4

76.8

77.7

124

Akron

76.1

76.3

75.5

75.9

125

Texas-San Antonio

74.3

76.5

73.9

74.9

126

Connecticut

73.9

77.8

72.6

74.8

127

South Alabama

73.1

76.2

72.0

73.8

128

Bowling Green

72.1

71.8

71.9

72.0

129

U T E P

67.1

72.5

67.7

69.1

130

Massachusetts

65.3

67.6

64.3

65.7

 

 

American Athletic Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Central Florida

111.5

110.7

112.6

111.6

0-0

3-1

Cincinnati

105.4

103.8

105.5

104.9

0-0

2-1

Temple

100.4

99.4

101.4

100.4

0-0

2-1

South Florida

91.3

92.3

91.6

91.7

0-0

1-2

East Carolina

82.0

84.1

81.5

82.5

0-1

2-2

Connecticut

73.9

77.8

72.6

74.8

0-0

1-2

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

AAC

Overall

Memphis

105.3

105.1

106.4

105.6

0-0

3-0

SMU

102.9

102.7

103.9

103.2

0-0

4-0

Tulane

100.2

100.7

100.8

100.6

1-0

3-1

Houston

96.1

97.2

98.7

97.3

0-1

1-3

Tulsa

92.6

93.3

93.5

93.1

0-0

2-2

Navy

90.1

93.1

89.9

91.1

1-0

2-0

AAC Averages

96.0

96.7

96.5

96.4

 

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Clemson

134.9

131.6

135.8

134.1

2-0

4-0

Syracuse

106.3

105.8

106.3

106.1

0-1

2-2

Wake Forest

104.3

103.8

104.9

104.3

0-0

4-0

Florida St.

102.6

102.8

102.4

102.6

1-1

2-2

North Carolina St.

102.0

101.8

102.3

102.0

0-0

3-1

Boston College

100.8

100.7

101.4

101.0

1-0

3-1

Louisville

95.9

95.6

95.1

95.5

0-1

2-2

 

 

Coastal Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

ACC

Overall

Miami (Fla.)

107.6

106.8

108.5

107.6

0-1

2-2

Virginia

107.4

107.8

107.4

107.5

2-0

4-0

Pittsburgh

106.3

105.9

106.2

106.1

0-1

2-2

Duke

105.5

105.0

105.4

105.3

0-0

2-1

Virginia Tech

103.7

103.9

104.0

103.9

0-1

2-1

North Carolina

102.7

103.0

103.6

103.1

1-0

2-2

Georgia Tech

96.0

94.1

96.5

95.5

0-1

1-2

ACC Averages

105.4

104.9

105.7

105.3

 

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

B12

Overall

Oklahoma

122.6

121.7

122.5

122.3

0-0

3-0

Iowa St.

112.4

112.7

112.3

112.5

0-0

2-1

Texas

112.4

112.5

112.4

112.4

1-0

3-1

Kansas St.

112.1

111.8

112.1

112.0

0-0

3-0

Oklahoma St.

110.1

110.7

109.7

110.2

0-1

3-1

Baylor

110.1

110.2

109.6

110.0

0-0

3-0

T C U

104.8

108.1

105.1

106.0

0-0

2-1

Texas Tech

105.9

106.1

104.9

105.6

0-0

2-1

West Virginia

104.6

104.2

104.2

104.3

1-0

3-1

Kansas

95.9

96.9

95.7

96.2

0-1

2-2

Big 12 Averages

109.1

109.5

108.8

109.1

 

 

Big Ten Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Ohio St.

132.2

130.7

132.9

131.9

1-0

4-0

Michigan St.

117.7

117.3

118.0

117.7

1-0

3-1

Michigan

117.1

115.0

117.2

116.4

0-1

2-1

Penn St.

116.7

115.6

116.3

116.2

0-0

3-0

Maryland

109.4

108.8

108.6

108.9

0-0

2-1

Indiana

107.3

105.6

106.1

106.3

0-1

3-1

Rutgers

91.7

91.6

91.1

91.5

0-1

1-2

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

BTen

Overall

Wisconsin

119.6

119.3

119.7

119.5

1-0

3-0

Iowa

116.0

114.0

116.1

115.3

1-0

3-0

Minnesota

109.7

109.0

108.3

109.0

0-0

3-0

Nebraska

106.7

108.0

106.3

107.0

1-0

3-1

Northwestern

107.6

106.6

106.4

106.9

0-1

1-2

Purdue

105.8

105.8

105.3

105.6

0-0

1-2

Illinois

96.7

97.6

95.7

96.7

0-1

2-2

Big Ten Averages

111.0

110.4

110.6

110.6

 

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

Marshall

93.6

93.1

94.8

93.8

0-0

2-1

Florida Atlantic

90.5

89.8

91.2

90.5

0-0

2-2

Middle Tennessee

90.6

89.7

90.7

90.3

0-0

1-2

Florida Int’l.

89.1

88.7

89.2

89.0

0-2

1-3

Charlotte

87.7

88.4

88.2

88.1

0-0

2-2

Western Kentucky

86.5

87.2

87.8

87.1

1-0

1-2

Old Dominion

79.8

80.3

80.2

80.1

0-0

1-2

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

CUSA

Overall

North Texas

94.9

94.5

95.9

95.1

1-0

2-2

Southern Miss.

95.2

93.0

95.5

94.6

0-0

2-2

Louisiana Tech

91.5

91.3

91.7

91.5

1-0

3-1

U A B

87.8

89.7

88.5

88.7

0-0

3-0

Rice

80.0

81.5

79.3

80.3

0-0

0-4

Texas-San Antonio

74.3

76.5

73.9

74.9

0-1

1-3

U T E P

67.1

72.5

67.7

69.1

0-0

1-2

CUSA Averages

86.3

86.9

86.8

86.7

 

 

FBS Independents

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

Conf.

Overall

Notre Dame

121.0

119.0

121.2

120.4

x

2-1

Army

101.2

101.3

100.8

101.1

x

3-1

BYU

100.9

100.9

101.0

100.9

x

2-2

Liberty

88.7

89.9

89.1

89.2

x

2-2

New Mexico St.

77.0

79.4

76.8

77.7

x

0-4

Massachusetts

65.3

67.6

64.3

65.7

x

0-4

Indep. Averages

92.3

93.0

92.2

92.5

 

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Ohio

93.5

92.6

94.4

93.5

0-0

1-3

Buffalo

89.0

89.6

89.9

89.5

0-0

2-2

Kent St.

88.1

88.1

88.6

88.3

1-0

2-2

Miami (Ohio)

87.9

86.0

88.0

87.3

0-0

1-3

Akron

76.1

76.3

75.5

75.9

0-1

0-4

Bowling Green

72.1

71.8

71.9

72.0

0-1

1-3

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MAC

Overall

Western Michigan

100.4

99.2

100.4

100.0

0-0

2-2

Northern Illinois

93.9

92.8

94.0

93.6

0-0

1-2

Toledo

91.9

92.3

92.7

92.3

0-0

2-1

Eastern Michigan

89.5

89.9

90.2

89.9

0-0

3-1

Ball St.

87.0

86.5

86.7

86.7

0-0

1-3

Central Michigan

81.1

81.9

81.4

81.4

1-0

2-2

MAC Averages

87.5

87.3

87.8

87.5

 

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

Utah St.

106.3

105.3

107.7

106.4

1-0

2-1

Boise St.

106.2

105.5

106.5

106.1

1-0

4-0

Air Force

97.8

99.0

98.7

98.5

0-1

2-1

Wyoming

95.2

97.2

95.6

96.0

0-0

3-1

New Mexico

82.0

85.1

81.0

82.7

0-0

2-1

Colorado St.

80.1

84.0

80.3

81.5

0-0

1-3

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

MWC

Overall

Fresno St.

99.7

100.3

100.4

100.1

0-0

1-2

San Diego St.

97.9

99.6

97.8

98.4

0-1

3-1

Hawaii

95.7

97.3

94.9

96.0

0-0

3-1

Nevada

90.8

92.6

90.4

91.3

0-0

3-1

U N L V

85.1

87.2

85.1

85.8

0-0

1-2

San Jose St.

85.3

87.3

84.6

85.7

0-0

2-1

MWC Averages

93.5

95.0

93.6

94.0

 

 

Pac-12 Conference

North Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Oregon

116.2

116.2

117.3

116.6

1-0

3-1

Washington

113.6

113.1

114.7

113.8

0-1

3-1

Washington St.

112.8

112.0

113.1

112.6

0-1

3-1

California

107.6

107.5

108.9

108.0

1-0

4-0

Stanford

105.0

104.0

104.8

104.6

0-2

1-3

Oregon St.

95.5

96.8

94.3

95.5

0-0

1-2

 

 

South Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

P12

Overall

Utah

116.5

114.8

116.7

116.0

0-1

3-1

U S C

107.1

108.1

107.6

107.6

2-0

3-1

Arizona St.

107.0

106.2

107.6

107.0

0-1

3-1

Arizona

102.5

102.7

102.8

102.7

0-0

2-1

Colorado

99.5

99.4

99.6

99.5

1-0

3-1

U C L A

98.9

98.5

97.8

98.4

1-0

1-3

Pac-12 Averages

106.8

106.6

107.1

106.9

 

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

Georgia

127.7

126.0

128.3

127.3

1-0

4-0

Florida

121.4

118.5

120.8

120.2

2-0

4-0

Missouri

116.3

113.9

116.6

115.6

1-0

3-1

South Carolina

110.8

109.0

110.4

110.1

0-2

1-3

Kentucky

107.5

106.0

106.0

106.5

0-2

2-2

Tennessee

105.0

104.8

103.2

104.3

0-1

1-3

Vanderbilt

102.6

101.3

101.3

101.7

0-2

0-3

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SEC

Overall

Alabama

136.1

132.5

137.2

135.2

1-0

4-0

L S U

126.5

123.9

125.5

125.3

1-0

4-0

Auburn

119.2

117.4

118.8

118.5

1-0

4-0

Texas A&M

118.3

116.6

117.0

117.3

0-1

2-2

Mississippi St.

115.2

111.2

114.8

113.7

1-0

3-1

Ole Miss

102.0

101.1

101.1

101.4

1-0

2-2

Arkansas

95.5

96.4

94.7

95.6

0-1

2-2

SEC Averages

114.6

112.7

114.0

113.8

 

 

Sunbelt Conference

East Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Appalachian St.

105.3

103.7

104.8

104.6

0-0

3-0

Georgia Southern

96.6

95.9

96.0

96.2

0-0

1-2

Troy

95.8

96.1

94.9

95.6

0-0

2-1

Coastal Carolina

86.4

87.8

85.7

86.6

0-0

3-1

Georgia St.

85.8

87.1

84.9

85.9

0-1

2-2

 

 

West Division

Team

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Average

SBC

Overall

Louisiana

98.7

98.9

98.5

98.7

0-0

3-1

Arkansas St.

91.0

91.1

90.7

90.9

0-0

2-2

Louisiana-Monroe

87.6

88.3

87.6

87.8

0-0

1-2

Texas St.

83.0

83.9

82.8

83.2

1-0

1-3

South Alabama

73.1

76.2

72.0

73.8

0-0

1-3

SBC Averages

90.3

90.9

89.8

90.3

 

 

Conference Power Ratings

#

League

Average

1

SEC

113.8

2

BTen

110.6

3

B12

109.1

4

P12

106.9

5

ACC

105.3

6

AAC

96.4

7

MWC

94.0

8

Ind

92.5

9

SUN

90.3

10

MAC

87.5

11

CUSA

86.7

 

 

Top 5 Group of 5

1

Boise St.

2

Memphis

3

SMU

4

UAB

5

Navy

 

Bowl & Playoff Projections

Bowl

Conf

Conf

Team

Team

Bahamas

MAC

CUSA

Eastern Michigan

Marshall

Frisco

AAC

At-large

SMU

[Utah St.]

Cure

AAC

SBC

Navy

Troy

New Mexico

CUSA

MWC

Southern Miss.

Nevada

Boca Raton

AAC

MAC

Memphis

Ohio

Camellia

MAC

SBC

Buffalo

Arkansas St.

Las Vegas

MWC #1

Pac-12

Hawaii

USC

New Orleans

CUSA

SBC #1

Louisiana Tech

Appalachian St.

Gasparilla

AAC

CUSA

Central Florida

UAB

Hawaii

BYU/MWC

AAC

BYU

Houston

Independence

ACC

SEC

Florida St.

[Western Michigan]

Quick Lane

ACC

Big Ten

Duke

Indiana

Military

ACC

AAC

Pittsburgh

Temple

Pinstripe

ACC

Big Ten

Syracuse

Nebraska

Texas

Big 12

SEC

Iowa St.

Kentucky

Holiday

Pac-12

Big Ten

California

Michigan

Cheez-It

Big 12

Pac-12

TCU

Arizona St.

Camping World

ACC

Big 12

Virginia

Kansas St.

Cotton

At-large

At-large

Boise St.

Auburn

First Responder

CUSA

Big 12

North Texas

[Fresno St.]

Redbox

Pac-12

Big Ten

Washington St.

Minnesota

Music City

SEC

ACC

[Colorado]

North Carolina St.

Orange

ACC

BTen/SEC

Notre Dame

LSU

Belk

ACC

SEC

Wake Forest

[Army]

Sun

ACC

Pac-12

Virginia Tech

Oregon

Liberty

Big 12

SEC

Baylor

[Boston College]

Arizona

SBC

MWC

Louisiana

San Diego St.

Alamo

Big 12

Pac-12

Oklahoma St.

Utah

Citrus

SEC

BTen/ACC

Iowa

Florida

Outback

Big Ten

SEC

Penn St.

Texas A&M

Rose

Big Ten

Pac-12

Wisconsin

Washington

Sugar

Big 12

SEC

Texas

Georgia

Birmingham

AAC

SEC

Cincinnati

[Miami (Fla.)]

Taxslayer/Gator

SEC

Big Ten

Mississippi St.

Michigan St.

Idaho Potato

MAC

MWC

Miami (O)

Wyoming

Armed Forces

Big Ten

MWC

Purdue

Air Force

Dollar General

MAC

SBC

Toledo

Georgia Southern

FBS PLAYOFFS

Fiesta

Top 4

Top 4

Oklahoma

Ohio St.

Peach

Top 4

Top 4

Alabama

Clemson

Champsionship

Fiesta

Peach

Ohio St.

Alabama

Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections

 

Key Games This Week

 

 

Memphis vs. Navy: The winner of this game will have a leg up in the AAC West, and with Central Florida losing at Pitt, there is a possibility that the Western Division champion could win the Conference Championship Game and have a shot at the New Year’s Six Bowl Bid.  Memphis has never been in a major bowl, although they had a team that should have gotten one in 1963, when the Tigers finished 9-0-1 and tied undefeated Ole Miss.  Navy has been in five major bowls, winning the Sugar Bowl in 1955 and the Orange Bowl in 1958, while losing the Cotton Bowl in 1963, when it was for a shot at the National Championship.

California vs. Arizona St.: Had Arizona State beaten Colorado Saturday, this would have been the top game of the day.  Cal is the last undefeated team in the Pac-12, and even if the Bears were to somehow run the table, they have little chance of making the Playoffs.  Still, this is a key game for the West Coast, as the more Cal continues to win, the better off for the Conference of Champions.

Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan: The winner of this game definitely has a path to bowl eligibility.  If CMU wins this game, Jim McElwain will start getting some notice as a potential Power 5 School head coach, because the Chippewas were picked to finish in last place in the MAC West.

Miami (Ohio) vs. Buffalo: The Bulls didn’t just upset Temple Saturday; they pummeled the Owls into submission.  Miami should have done what Indiana did under Lee Corso many years ago–The Wacky Hoosiers’ coach called time out in 1976 just to take a team picture under the scoreboard when his team led the Buckeyes 7-6.  Miami led Ohio State 5-0 in the first quarter.  Corso’s Hoosiers lost their game 47-7.  Miami lost 76-5.  Still, the Redhawks have a shot at bowl eligibility, but they may have to uspet Buffalo to get there.  This is a perfect sandwich game for Buffalo, as they have Ohio U next week.

Florida St. vs. North Carolina St: Two weeks ago, Willie Taggart was sledding on thin ice at Florida State.  After a win over Louisville, the Seminoles are 2-2, and a win over NC State just might lead the Seminoles on a path to bowl eligibility.  Taggart has always had slow turnarounds.  He did so at Western Kentucky and at South Florida.  He was only at Oregon for a season, and this is just year two in Tallahassee.  If the fans and boosters give him a little more time, he will turn the FSU program back into a top tier program.  Dave Doeren has done a credible job in Raleigh with the Wolfpack, but this is looking like a slight down year for NC St.  The winner of this game will get to bowl eligibility.

Baylor vs. Iowa St.: The winner of this game remains a contender for one of the two Big 12 Championship Game spots.  Baylor has yet to play up to its potential to this point of the season.  They have the talent to win double-digit games this year, but they could lose the next two if they don’t bring their “A-game” to this week’s and next week’s games.  Iowa St. took their frustrations out on a Louisiana-Monroe team that isn’t as bad as the 72-20 loss indicates.  This game should be one of the most entertaining games of the weekend.  

Purdue vs. Minnesota: The winner of this game stays in contention for a bowl game.  If Minnesota wins on the road, then the Gophers will have a chance to start the season 8-0 before Penn State comes to Minneapolis.  Purdue must win this game, or the Boilermakers will not have a path to 6-6.

Georgia Southern vs. Louisiana: Why do we call this a key game?  These two teams are stronger than you realize.  The Ragin’ Cajuns just trounced Ohio in Athens, while Georgia Southern is hiding in ambush at 1-2 with losses to undefeated Minnesota and unbelievable LSU.  The Eagles had an extra week to prepare for this game, while UL may be looking forward to their game with Appy State the following week.  The winner of this game will most definitely play a 13th game and maybe even a 14th game.

Utah vs. Washington St.: The loser of this game will have a two-game losing streak, after the two teams lost to the Los Angeles teams.  Utah’s loss at USC was surprising but not shocking.  If you didn’t stay up and watch the Washington State-UCLA game, you might not believe that Washington State scored 63 points.  Quarterback Anthony Gordon threw for 570 yards and nine touchdowns. However, it wasn’t good enough.  UCLA scored 67 points and came from 25 points down to pull off one of the most incredible upsets of the season.  The Bruins had scored 14 points in each of their first three games.  The winner of this game stays in contention for their division title, while the loser is looking at a December bowl.

Nevada vs. Hawaii: This game is for first place in the MAC West.  Hawaii usually plays much better at home than on the road, and playing in Reno gives Nevada a larger than normal home field advantage.  Nevada still has road games with Utah State, Wyoming, San Diego State, and Fresno State.  This is a must win game for the Wolf Pack if they are to make it to the MAC Championship Game.  A Rainbow Warrior win in this game, and it could be lights out for the rest of the division.

Oklahoma St. vs. Kansas St.: Chris Klieman came to the Little Apple having won back to back FCS National Championships at North Dakota State.  He has a personal winning streak of 24 games.  Kansas State had the week off after winning at Mississippi State, and now they entertain the Cowboys, who are coming off a tough loss at Texas.  If KSU wins this game in Stillwater, they then play three consecutive home games against three top contenders.  If Okie St. wins, then they stay in contention for the Big 12 Championship Game.

Auburn vs. Mississippi St.: It’s hard to think about a division game with a potential New Years’s Day Bowl participant as a potential sandwich game, but Auburn faces the Bulldogs between road games against Texas A&M and Florida.  This is the perfect chance for Mississippi State to pull off a big upset.  Auburn may not have enough offensive firepower to exploit State’s vulnerabilities on defense.  Of course, the Tiger defensive line is strong enough to hold the Bullies to less than 17 points, and Auburn will score 20 or more in this game.

Nebraska vs. Ohio St.: The last time the Buckeyes came to Lincoln, Nebraska suffered one of its most devastating home losses ever, losing 56-14.  Last year in Columbus, Nebraska came very close to pulling off the big upset.  Can the Cornhuskers have a shot in this game?  Last year’s Ohio State team was struggling a little bit when Nebraska played at the Horseshoe.  The Ohio State offense should make this game look more like the 2017 game in Lincoln.

Washington vs. USC: If the Trojans can leave Seattle with a win this weekend, Clay Helton might be able to begin to think about renewing his satellite TV subscription at his SoCal home for 2020.  A loss might put UW two games behind Cal, which would almost eliminate the Huskies from the North Division title race.  So, this is a must-win game for UW.

Note: Some of you (several somes of you) have contacted us through our other site wanting to know more information about the “Sharps” that are friends of the PiRate Ratings.  In Friday’s post here, we gave out a 5-game money line parlay with +250 odds that we inferred based on information given to us by one of our friends in Nevada.

So, the parlay won in theory.  If you did not heed our warning and actually played this one, you too won big on Saturday.

Unfortunately, this will not be a recurring thing here.  We cannot reveal the information we receive from Vegas, because the Sharps playing these parlays also have a service where they charge for their advice.  The specific Sharp that gave us this pick has asked not to be identified, and we are fine with that.  After all, we do not condone actual betting of money on sporting events.  Whether this parlay won or not, we were guaranteed not to win or lose, since we did not play it.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

August 31, 2017

Money Line Parlay Picks for August 31-September 4, 2017

If you have been following the PiRate Ratings for a few years, you will know that we have issued selections on games every year since this page was created. Over the course of many football seasons, our money line parlay selections have been the most popular feature we have published. There is good reason for this–they have been successful. Last year, our selections returned better than 8% on investment, which was so-so, but it was still a winning season, making it three successful seasons in a row.
Regular readers here may also remember that our money line parlay selections have tended to perform their best in October and November, so keep that in mind if you use our free advice as a wagering tool. You should know this (and if you are a regular you have read this many times in this feature–we NEVER wager on sports contests. This is strictly an exercise in mathematical fun, which makes it so much easier for us to publish these parlays.

The true opening week of the football season does not give us NFL regular season games, so we have a reduced amount of games available in our menu. Therefore, we are issuing just one parlay for this week.

This parlay gives us a calculated odd of +138, so for every $100 of imaginary bank account we invest, if this parlay wins we will receive $238 back ($138 + the $100 we invested). Of course if this play loses, then we lose the $100 of imaginary investment.
Without further adieu, here is our selection for Labor Day Weekend.

1. Money Line Parlay at +138
Ohio State over Indiana
Nebraska over Arkansas St.
North Carolina over California
Georgia over Appalachian St.
Alabama over Florida St.

If you are interested in knowing how we calculate the odds of our parlays, we use offshore books only in finding the best overall odds for the games we wish to play. Since we do not work for these sports books, we will not give them free advertising and name names. However, if you look at offshore money line odds online at any of numerous sites, it should not be that difficult to find one particular site with the most favorable odds. Most sites have a money line parlay calculator, and if not, you can find this at many different sites. Parlay odds can be figured by doing some math, but you can save a lot of time by using these calculators.

We always round down to the nearest whole dollar when calculating the payout odds of the parlays. In actuality, today’s parlay should return $238.46 for every $100 invested (or $138.46 profit) rather than $238.

March 12, 2017

Selection Sunday Ayem–March 12, 2017

Like Xmas Day For A Basketball Junkie

5:30 PM Eastern DAYLIGHT Time cannot come quickly enough.  Today is the day fans of 68 teams get to open their March Madness presents.  Most of the teams that will be dancing know they are in, be it with an automatic bid or a for sure at-large bid.  The Bubble has shrunk to just a few teams, and our Bracketology Gurus believe they have the 68 teams this morning before any games are played today.  Only the seeding may be altered by today’s games, but they agree in 100% unison that the teams we will list are the 68 teams that will continue to pursue their National Championship dreams.

THE FINAL BUBBLE

California

Illinois St.

Iowa

Kansas St.

Rhode Island

Syracuse

USC

Vanderbilt

Wake Forest

Xavier

Room at the Inn for six of these 10 teams, so which six make it, and which 4 are number one seeds in the NIT?

The six we have in are (alphabetically): Kansas State, Rhode Island, USC, Vanderbilt, Wake Forest, and Xavier.

The four that will need tissues to wipe their tears are: California, Illinois State, Iowa, and Syracuse

The one that the Gurus believe should be in over one that should be out is Illinois State rather than USC.  However, the Gurus are selecting based on how they predict the Selection Committee will select, and even through the rules state that teams are not chosen within a conference by conference basis, subconsciously the members will look and see that they cannot exclude both Cal and the Trojans.  USC’s win over SMU is the reason the men of Troy get in over the men of Berkeley.

 

There are six games left to be played, and the seed lines could change based on who wins, but the Committee does not change their final seedings within the last two hours, so the final scores of some of the games will be official after the final seeding has been done.  Thus, the AAC and Big Ten Championship Games will still be underway when the final seeds are completed.  Only the name of the Sun Belt Conference Champion will have to be added late, and the Committee can already put the first letter of that champion on the board–a “T” (Texas State or Troy).

 

Here is today’s schedule.

American Athletic Conference Championship
Seed Team W-L vs. Seed Team W-L Time TV
1 SMU 29-4 vs. 2 Cincinnati 29-4 3:15 PM ESPN
                 
Atlantic 10 Conference Championship
Seed Team W-L vs. Seed Team W-L Time TV
4 Rhode Island 23-9 vs. 2 VCU 26-7 12:30 PM CBS
                 
Big Ten Conference Championship
Seed Team W-L vs. Seed Team W-L Time TV
8 Michigan 23-11 vs. 2 Wisconsin 25-8 3:00 PM CBS
                 
Ivy League Conference Championship
Seed Team W-L vs. Seed Team W-L Time TV
1 Princeton 22-6 vs. 3 Yale 18-10 12:00 PM ESPN2
                 
Southeastern Conference Championship
Seed Team W-L vs. Seed Team W-L Time TV
1 Kentucky 28-5 vs. 3 Arkansas 25-8 1:00 PM ESPN
                 
Sun Belt Conference Championship
Seed Team W-L vs. Seed Team W-L Time TV
4 Texas St. 20-12 vs. 6 Troy 21-14 2:00 PM ESPN2
                 
Selection Sunday
5:30 PM EDT on CBS
 
NCAA Tournament
First Four: March 14-15
                 
Second Round: March 16-17
                 
Third Round: March 18-19
                 
Sweet 16: March 23-24
                 
Elite Eight: March 25-26
                 
Final Four: April 1
                 
National Championship: April 3

The Bracketology Gurus Field of 68

  1. Villanova, Gonzaga, Kansas, North Carolina
  2. Duke, Arizona, Kentucky, Oregon
  3. Baylor, Louisville, Florida St., UCLA
  4. West Virginia, Butler, Notre Dame, Cincinnati
  5. Florida, Iowa St., Virginia, Purdue
  6. Wisconsin, SMU, Minnesota, Michigan
  7. Creighton, Arkansas, Saint Mary’s, Wichita St.
  8. Maryland, Miami (Fla.), VCU, Virginia Tech
  9. Northwestern, Oklahoma St., Dayton, Seton Hall
  10. Michigan St., South Carolina, Marquette, Providence
  11. Middle Tennessee, Xavier, Vanderbilt, USC, Wake Forest
  12. UNC-Wilmington, Nevada, Vermont, Rhode Island, Kansas St.
  13. Bucknell, Princeton, Winthrop, East Tennessee St.
  14. Florida Gulf Coast, New Mexico St., Iona, Northern Kentucky
  15. Texas Southern, Kent State, Jacksonville St., North Dakota
  16. Texas St., UNC-Central, New Orleans, South Dakota St., UC-Davis, Mount St. Mary’s

Last Four Byes: Marquette, Providence, Vanderbilt, Xavier

Last Four In (Dayton Bound): USC vs. Wake Forest, Rhode Island vs. Kansas St.

First Four Out (#1 Seeds in NIT): California, Illinois St., Iowa, and Syracuse

 

Coming Next:  We go dark for 48 hours.  Tuesday morning, we will premier PiRate Bracketnomics for 2017 with a total primer on how we handle our bracket picking and outright winners of games for you that failed to heed our warnings and chose to wager your hard-earned dollars in Vegas or offshore.  FWIW, we have heard from a half-dozen of you that you have found something in our Blue Ratings that have made you handsome profits this year.  We hope that continues for you, but please do not rely on just our ratings to wager money with books in Vegas.  We don’t want the guilt trip when you cannot pay your April Mortgage or car payment.

In addition to Bracketnomics, we will also give you all the raw data to use for yourself.  We will have a spreadsheet of all 68 teams with their Four Factors, their PiRate Specific Ratings, and then follow that up with how the teams fit in our Final Four footprint.  We have backtested the data we use as far back as each statistic allows us to do, and we will include that in our preview.

Tell all your friends to check us out.  The Tuesday preview is our most visited entry of the year, even more than our Super Bowl and College Playoff National Championship football editions.

 

But remember our axiom: We are just a bunch of math nerds doing this for fun.  Please wager responsibly, or like us just wager a lunch with your friend.  Also, remember that you have a better chance of being abducted by aliens from space while being struck by lightning, as you hold the winning Power Ball and Mega Millions lottery tickets while getting a kiss from a supermodel (all at the same time) than you do of picking a perfect bracket.

Note: Special Congrats go to Renato Nunez on his impressive home run at Hohokam Park yesterday against the Rangers.

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