The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 3, 2022

PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 5, October 6-10, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
DenverIndianapolis4.35.73.7
Green Bay (n)N.Y. Giants13.610.712.3
BuffaloPittsburgh17.918.218.2
ClevelandLA Chargers6.34.35.5
JacksonvilleHouston12.111.712.1
MinnesotaChicago11.39.710.8
New EnglandDetroit7.97.48.1
New OrleansSeattle9.88.78.1
N.Y. JetsMiami-4.0-3.9-4.8
Tampa BayAtlanta19.017.217.6
WashingtonTennessee0.3-1.0-0.5
CarolinaSan Francisco-7.4-7.1-7.9
ArizonaPhiladelphia-4.3-2.8-3.3
LA RamsDallas1.42.10.8
BaltimoreCincinnati2.12.42.3
Kansas CityLas Vegas8.37.99.3

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
DenverIndianapolis40.5
Green Bay (n)N.Y. Giants40
BuffaloPittsburgh45.5
ClevelandLA Chargers49.5
JacksonvilleHouston44
MinnesotaChicago41
New EnglandDetroit49
New OrleansSeattle42
N.Y. JetsMiami45
Tampa BayAtlanta50.5
WashingtonTennessee43
CarolinaSan Francisco39.5
ArizonaPhiladelphia47.5
LA RamsDallas45
BaltimoreCincinnati46
Kansas CityLas Vegas54.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo112.0112.1112.2112.123.53-1
Miami101.8102.2102.1102.020.53-1
New England99.599.4100.199.721.51-3
N.Y. Jets94.895.394.494.824.52-2

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Cincinnati105.5105.0105.4105.3232-2
Baltimore104.7104.4104.7104.6232-2
Cleveland101.7100.7100.9101.1222-2
Pittsburgh97.196.897.097.0221-3

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis99.198.798.998.9221-2-1
Tennessee98.498.798.498.5222-2
Jacksonville97.198.497.797.722.52-2
Houston88.089.888.688.821.50-3-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City109.0108.6109.2108.928.53-1
Las Vegas103.7103.7102.9103.4261-3
Denver100.4101.499.7100.518.52-2
LA Chargers98.499.498.398.727.52-2

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Philadelphia106.1105.5105.7105.823.54-0
Dallas104.5103.6104.6104.222.53-1
Washington95.694.794.895.1211-3
N.Y. Giants93.594.894.394.218.53-1

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay107.1105.5106.6106.421.53-1
Minnesota100.099.399.999.723.53-1
Detroit94.695.195.094.927.51-3
Chicago91.192.191.591.617.52-2

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay108.8107.9108.4108.4252-2
New Orleans100.198.799.499.420.51-3
Carolina94.494.794.394.5211-3
Atlanta92.393.293.392.925.52-2

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
San Francisco104.8104.8105.2104.918.52-2
LA Rams103.4103.1102.9103.122.52-2
Arizona98.999.799.499.3242-2
Seattle93.392.994.393.521.52-2

This Week’s NFL Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Kansas City
2Buffalo
3Cincinnati
4Tennessee
5Miami
6Baltimore
7LA Chargers
NFC Seeding
1Philadelphia
2Green Bay
3San Francisco
4Tampa Bay
5Dallas
6N.Y. Giants
7Minnesota

Wildcard Round
Buffalo over LA Chargers
Baltimore over Cincinnati
Miami over Tennessee
Green Bay over Minnesota
San Francisco over N.Y. Giants
Dallas over Tampa Bay

Divisional Round
Kansas City over Baltimore
Buffalo over Miami
Dallas over Philadelphia
San Francisco over Green Bay

Conference Championship
Kansas City over Buffalo
San Francisco over Dallas

Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Kansas City over San Francisco

September 12, 2022

PiRate Ratings NFL Week 2, September 15-19, 2022

Filed under: Pro Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:50 pm

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Kansas CityLA Chargers10.08.911.2
BaltimoreMiami8.37.48.0
ClevelandN.Y. Jets14.312.314.3
DetroitWashington-0.40.70.0
JacksonvilleIndianapolis-8.6-6.5-8.3
New OrleansTampa Bay-6.2-7.1-6.3
N.Y. GiantsCarolina1.12.11.8
PittsburghNew England2.32.01.9
LA RamsAtlanta18.617.718.2
San FranciscoSeattle11.712.010.4
DallasCincinnati2.31.93.0
DenverHouston15.214.514.2
Las VegasArizona9.79.08.7
Green BayChicago18.014.916.5
BuffaloTennessee14.414.114.7
PhiladelphiaMinnesota6.15.55.0

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
Kansas CityLA Chargers54
BaltimoreMiami39.5
ClevelandN.Y. Jets45.5
DetroitWashington46.5
JacksonvilleIndianapolis47
New OrleansTampa Bay46.5
N.Y. GiantsCarolina41
PittsburghNew England44
LA RamsAtlanta47.5
San FranciscoSeattle41.5
DallasCincinnati49
DenverHouston42
Las VegasArizona50
Green BayChicago40.5
BuffaloTennessee46
PhiladelphiaMinnesota48.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo110.8110.9111.0110.923.51-0
New England99.799.7100.499.9210-1
Miami99.299.799.399.4191-0
N.Y. Jets92.693.492.092.7240-1

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore104.5104.1104.4104.320.51-0
Cincinnati104.8103.9104.2104.324.50-1
Cleveland103.8102.7103.3103.321.51-0
Pittsburgh99.098.799.399.0231-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis102.4101.7102.3102.1240-0-1
Tennessee99.499.899.399.522.50-1
Jacksonville90.892.291.191.4230-1
Houston88.290.288.889.021.50-0-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City108.3108.0108.9108.427.51-0
Las Vegas104.8104.7104.1104.5250-1
LA Chargers101.3102.1100.6101.426.51-0
Denver100.9102.2100.5101.220.50-1

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas104.1102.9104.1103.724.50-1
Philadelphia104.1103.1103.3103.5251-0
Washington97.496.997.297.2221-0
N.Y. Giants93.094.493.693.719.51-0

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay106.9105.0106.2106.0220-1
Minnesota101.1100.6101.4101.023.51-0
Detroit94.094.794.294.324.50-1
Chicago91.492.692.292.118.51-0

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay110.7110.1110.6110.525.51-0
New Orleans101.5100.0101.3100.9211-0
Carolina94.995.394.895.021.50-1
Atlanta89.990.890.390.3240-1

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams105.6105.4105.4105.523.50-1
San Francisco102.9102.6102.8102.721.50-1
Arizona97.698.297.897.9250-1
Seattle94.193.695.494.4201-0

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1Buffalo
2Kansas City
3Pittsburgh
4Indianapolis
5LA Chargers
6Miami
7Cincinnati

NFC Seeding
1Tampa Bay
2LA Rams
3Minnesota
4Philadelphia
5New Orleans
6Green Bay
7Washington

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over Cincinnati
Miami over Pittsburgh
LA Chargers over Indianapolis
LA Rams over Washington
Minnesota over Green Bay
Philadelphia over New Orleans

Divisional Round
Buffalo over Miami
Kansas City over LA Chargers
Tampa Bay over Philadelphia
Minnesota over LA Rams

Conference Championship
Buffalo over Kansas City
Tampa Bay over Minnesota

Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Buffalo over Tampa Bay

January 17, 2022

PiRate Ratings NFL Divisional Playoff Round

Margins

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
TennesseeCincinnati2.82.53.5
Green BaySan Francisco3.22.72.6
Tampa BayLos Angeles2.72.22.6
Kansas CityBuffalo0.91.31.1

Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
TennesseeCincinnati51.5
Green BaySan Francisco52
Tampa BayLos Angeles55.5
Kansas CityBuffalo55

January 10, 2022

PiRate Ratings NFL Playoffs–Wildcard Round

Saturday, January 15, 2022

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
BuffaloNew England1.61.41.5
CincinnatiLas Vegas10.710.810.1

HomeVisitorTotal
BuffaloNew England45.5
CincinnatiLas Vegas51

Sunday, January 16, 2022

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
DallasSan Francisco6.87.36.7
Kansas CityPittsburgh12.413.112.8
Tampa BayPhiladelphia10.09.78.9

HomeVisitorTotal
DallasSan Francisco54.5
Kansas CityPittsburgh47
Tampa BayPhiladelphia52

Monday, January 17, 2022

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
LA RamsArizona6.66.96.9

HomeVisitorTotal
LA RamsArizona53

January 3, 2022

PiRate Ratings–NFL For Week 18, January 8-9, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
DenverKansas City-7.4-7.7-8.0
PhiladelphiaDallas-2.1-2.6-1.2
DetroitGreen Bay-11.9-11.6-11.7
JacksonvilleIndianapolis-18.8-18.6-19.7
N.Y. GiantsWashington2.52.52.5
MinnesotaChicago7.07.27.1
HoustonTennessee-10.2-10.7-10.4
BaltimorePittsburgh6.97.16.5
ClevelandCincinnati-2.2-3.1-3.2
LA RamsSan Francisco5.96.16.0
Tampa BayCarolina17.317.517.5
ArizonaSeattle5.56.06.0
MiamiNew England-10.1-9.8-9.6
AtlantaNew Orleans-6.8-6.0-6.3
BuffaloN.Y. Jets22.221.821.9
Las VegasLA Chargers-3.6-3.5-3.4

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
DenverKansas City43.5
PhiladelphiaDallas51.5
DetroitGreen Bay53.5
JacksonvilleIndianapolis45.5
N.Y. GiantsWashington37
MinnesotaChicago41.5
HoustonTennessee47.5
BaltimorePittsburgh42.5
ClevelandCincinnati49
LA RamsSan Francisco50.5
Tampa BayCarolina49.5
ArizonaSeattle48.5
MiamiNew England38.5
AtlantaNew Orleans44.5
BuffaloN.Y. Jets49
Las VegasLA Chargers53

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
New England110.0110.0110.3110.12010-6
Buffalo108.1108.0108.3108.124.510-6
Miami97.497.798.197.718.58-8
N. Y. Jets88.488.788.888.724.54-12

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Cincinnati102.9103.5103.0103.126.510-6
Baltimore101.9101.5101.1101.5238-8
Cleveland98.798.497.898.322.57-9
Pittsburgh98.097.597.697.719.58-7-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis106.4106.4106.5106.4259-7
Tennessee102.9103.0103.4103.125.511-5
Houston90.790.390.990.7224-12
Jacksonville85.685.884.885.420.52-14

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City107.7108.0108.0107.92811-5
LA Chargers101.0101.0101.1101.0289-7
Denver98.498.398.098.215.57-9
Las Vegas94.895.195.295.0259-7

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas106.5107.3106.8106.929.511-5
Philadelphia101.9102.2103.1102.4229-7
N.Y. Giants95.194.894.594.817.54-12
Washington94.594.494.094.319.56-10

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay106.2106.2106.3106.22813-3
Minnesota100.9101.1100.8100.9247-9
Chicago95.995.995.795.817.56-10
Detroit92.392.692.792.525.52-13-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay107.4107.2107.2107.32912-4
New Orleans103.3102.3103.2102.9208-8
Atlanta94.594.394.994.624.57-9
Carolina92.692.292.292.420.55-11

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams107.1107.6107.5107.426.512-4
Arizona104.1104.3104.2104.225.511-5
San Francisco103.7104.0104.0103.9249-7
Seattle101.6101.3101.1101.3236-10

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Playoff Projections

If Season Ended Today
AFC
1Tennessee
2Kansas City
3Cincinnati
4Buffalo
5New England
6Indianapolis
7LA Chargers

NFC
1Green Bay
2LA Rams
3Tampa Bay
4Dallas
5Arizona
6San Francisco
7Philadelphia
Playoff Projection Seeds
AFC Seeding
1Tennessee
2Kansas City
3Buffalo
4Cincinnati
5New England
6Las Vegas
7Indianapolis

NFC Seeding
1Green Bay
2LA Rams
3Tampa Bay
4Dallas
5Arizona
6Philadelphia
7San Francisco
Wildcard Round
Kansas City over Indianapolis
Buffalo over Las Vegas
New England over Cincinnati
LA Rams over San Francisco
Philadelphia over Tampa Bay
Dallas over Arizona

Divisional Round
Tennessee over New England
Kansas City over Buffalo
Green Bay over Philadelphia
Dallas over LA Rams

Conference Championship
Kansas City over Tennessee
Green Bay over Dallas

Super Bowl 56 (LA)
Green Bay over Kansas City

December 27, 2021

PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 17, January 2-3, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
IndianapolisLas Vegas17.216.917.3
ChicagoN.Y. Giants3.33.63.7
N.Y. JetsTampa Bay-17.3-16.9-16.9
BuffaloAtlanta16.716.716.4
DallasArizona5.46.05.6
New OrleansCarolina13.713.114.0
WashingtonPhiladelphia-5.4-5.8-7.1
CincinnatiKansas City-2.2-2.2-2.7
New EnglandJacksonville25.224.626.0
TennesseeMiami5.04.54.1
LA ChargersDenver2.82.72.9
San FranciscoHouston16.016.616.1
SeattleDetroit12.311.611.4
BaltimoreLA Rams-2.2-3.1-3.6
Green BayMinnesota7.77.68.1
PittsburghCleveland0.1-0.30.2

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
IndianapolisLas Vegas50
ChicagoN.Y. Giants35
N.Y. JetsTampa Bay53.5
BuffaloAtlanta49
DallasArizona55
New OrleansCarolina41.5
WashingtonPhiladelphia41.5
CincinnatiKansas City53.5
New EnglandJacksonville38.5
TennesseeMiami44
LA ChargersDenver43.5
San FranciscoHouston47
SeattleDetroit46.5
BaltimoreLA Rams50.5
Green BayMinnesota52
PittsburghCleveland42

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
New England108.9108.7109.1108.9199-6
Buffalo108.2108.1108.4108.224.59-6
Miami99.299.6100.299.718.58-7
N. Y. Jets87.687.887.887.824.54-11

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Cincinnati102.7103.2102.6102.8269-6
Baltimore101.9101.4100.9101.423.58-7
Cleveland99.399.198.699.022.57-8
Pittsburgh97.496.896.897.019.57-7-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis107.7107.7108.0107.8259-6
Tennessee101.1101.1101.3101.225.510-5
Houston90.790.390.990.722.54-11
Jacksonville86.787.186.086.619.52-13

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City107.9108.3108.4108.227.511-4
Denver99.899.899.699.715.57-8
LA Chargers99.699.599.599.5288-7
Las Vegas93.593.893.793.7258-7

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas106.5107.3106.8106.929.511-4
Philadelphia101.9102.2103.1102.4228-7
N.Y. Giants95.194.894.594.817.54-11
Washington94.594.494.094.319.56-9

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay106.2106.2106.3106.22812-3
Minnesota100.9101.1100.8100.9247-8
Chicago95.995.995.795.817.55-10
Detroit92.392.692.792.524.52-12-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay107.4107.2107.2107.32911-4
New Orleans103.3102.3103.2102.920.57-8
Atlanta94.594.394.994.624.57-8
Carolina92.692.292.292.4215-10

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams107.1107.6107.5107.42711-4
Arizona104.1104.3104.2104.225.510-5
San Francisco103.7104.0104.0103.924.58-7
Seattle101.6101.3101.1101.3225-10

This Week’s Playoff Projections

If Season Ended Today
AFC
1Kansas City
2Tennessee
3Cincinnati
4Buffalo
5Indianapolis
6New England
7Baltimore

NFC
1Green Bay
2Dallas
3LA Rams
4Tampa Bay
5Arizona
6San Francisco
7Philadelphia
Playoff Projection Seeds
AFC Seeding
1Kansas City
2Tennessee
3Buffalo
4Cincinnati
5Indianapolis
6New England
7LA Chargers

NFC Seeding
1Green Bay
2LA Rams
3Tampa Bay
4Dallas
5Arizona
6Philadelphia
7San Francisco
Wildcard Round
Tennessee over LA Chargers
Buffalo over New England
Indianapolis over Cincinnati
LA Rams over San Francisco
Tampa Bay over Philadelphia
Dallas over Arizona

Divisional Round
Kansas City over Indianapolis
Buffalo over Tennessee
Green Bay over Dallas
LA Rams over Tampa Bay

Conference Championship
Kansas City over Buffalo
LA Rams over Green Bay

Super Bowl 56 (LA)
Kansas City over LA Rams

October 25, 2021

PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 8: October 28-November 1, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
ArizonaGreen Bay7.48.78.0
AtlantaCarolina1.11.11.9
BuffaloMiami17.416.717.2
ChicagoSan Francisco-1.8-1.4-1.8
ClevelandPittsburgh2.93.72.4
DenverWashington7.77.57.9
DetroitPhiladelphia-2.1-2.0-3.2
HoustonLA Rams-16.2-18.1-16.3
IndianapolisTennessee4.33.63.6
LA ChargersNew England3.95.25.0
MinnesotaDallas0.8-0.10.5
N.Y. JetsCincinnati-5.1-5.2-4.3
New OrleansTampa Bay1.80.52.9
SeattleJacksonville16.014.215.8
Kansas CityN.Y. Giants13.914.014.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
ArizonaGreen Bay53
AtlantaCarolina51
BuffaloMiami45.5
ChicagoSan Francisco38.5
ClevelandPittsburgh43.5
DenverWashington37
DetroitPhiladelphia47
HoustonLA Rams51.5
IndianapolisTennessee51.5
LA ChargersNew England43
MinnesotaDallas53
N.Y. JetsCincinnati47
New OrleansTampa Bay50
SeattleJacksonville47.5
Kansas CityN.Y. Giants50.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo110.1109.9110.5110.1254-2
New England101.8101.1101.4101.4193-4
Miami95.295.595.795.520.51-6
N. Y. Jets88.088.588.488.3221-5

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore105.2104.8105.1105.0255-2
Cincinnati102.6103.4102.7102.9255-2
Cleveland101.6101.7100.8101.425.54-3
Pittsburgh101.6100.9101.3101.3183-3

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis104.0103.5103.8103.8243-4
Tennessee103.0103.2103.5103.227.55-2
Jacksonville90.091.589.990.5231-5
Houston88.787.488.888.3241-6

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City102.3102.2102.0102.230.53-4
LA Chargers100.9101.2101.2101.1244-2
Las Vegas97.998.298.498.2275-2
Denver98.398.197.998.1173-4


N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas102.8103.9102.4103.030.55-1
Philadelphia95.895.796.596.0212-5
N.Y. Giants95.795.695.195.5202-5
Washington93.593.693.093.4202-5

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay103.8103.6104.0103.826.56-1
Minnesota100.6100.8100.0100.522.53-3
Chicago95.395.494.995.215.53-4
Detroit91.891.991.991.9260-7

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay110.2110.1109.8110.028.56-1
New Orleans107.8106.2108.2107.421.54-2
Atlanta96.396.297.496.628.53-3
Carolina95.194.995.195.122.53-4

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Arizona108.3109.3109.3109.026.57-0
LA Rams108.0108.5108.1108.227.56-1
Seattle103.2103.0102.9103.024.52-5
San Francisco100.4100.2100.0100.2232-4

This Week’s Playoff Projections

If Season Ended Today
AFC
1Cincinnati
2Las Vegas
3Tennessee
4Buffalo
5Baltimore
6LA Chargers
7Cleveland

NFC
1Arizona
2Tampa Bay
3Green Bay
4Dallas
5LA Rams
6New Orleans
7Minnesota
Playoff Projection Seeds
AFC Seeding
1LA Chargers
2Buffalo
3Baltimore
4Tennessee
5Cincinnati
6Las Vegas
7Cleveland

NFC Seeding
1Arizona
2Tampa Bay
3Green Bay
4Dallas
5LA Rams
6Minnesota
7New Orleans
Wildcard Round
Buffalo over Cleveland
Las Vegas over Baltimore
Cincinnati over Tennessee
Tampa Bay over New Orleans
Green Bay over Minnesota
LA Rams over Dallas

Divisional Round
LA Chargers over Las Vegas
Buffalo over Cincinnati
LA Rams over Arizona
Tampa Bay over Green Bay

Conference Championship
LA Chargers over Buffalo
LA Rams over Tampa Bay

Super Bowl 56 (LA)
LA Rams over LA Chargers

October 11, 2021

PiRate Ratings–NFL for Week 6, October 14-18, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
PhiladelphiaTampa Bay-9.6-9.5-8.1
Jacksonville (N)Miami-7.3-6.2-8.6
IndianapolisHouston13.013.512.2
ChicagoGreen Bay-3.8-3.0-4.0
WashingtonKansas City-5.8-5.4-5.8
CarolinaMinnesota0.1-0.21.5
BaltimoreLA Chargers5.64.55.0
DetroitCincinnati-1.2-1.8-0.7
N.Y. GiantsLA Rams-8.2-8.8-9.0
ClevelandArizona0.90.2-0.6
DenverLas Vegas6.56.56.4
New EnglandDallas0.1-1.9-0.2
PittsburghSeattle1.00.31.0
TennesseeBuffalo-7.1-6.9-7.8

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
PhiladelphiaTampa Bay49
Jacksonville (N)Miami44
IndianapolisHouston50
ChicagoGreen Bay43
WashingtonKansas City54
CarolinaMinnesota43.5
BaltimoreLA Chargers49.5
DetroitCincinnati50.5
N.Y. GiantsLA Rams48
ClevelandArizona53
DenverLas Vegas42
New EnglandDallas47.5
PittsburghSeattle44.5
TennesseeBuffalo52.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo110.6110.5111.3110.824.54-1
New England99.698.798.999.117.52-3
Miami96.496.897.396.8211-4
N. Y. Jets90.991.691.691.420.51-4

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore105.7105.1105.6105.5254-1
Cleveland103.7103.9103.0103.5263-2
Pittsburgh101.3100.6101.0101.0182-3
Cincinnati97.197.996.897.3243-2

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis101.5100.8101.0101.124.51-4
Tennessee100.5100.5100.5100.5283-2
Houston91.089.891.390.725.51-4
Jacksonville89.190.688.789.5230-5

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City103.6103.5103.3103.532.52-3
LA Chargers102.6103.1103.1102.924.54-1
Denver99.899.799.699.716.53-2
Las Vegas96.296.396.296.225.53-2

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas102.5103.6102.1102.7304-1
Philadelphia96.095.996.996.320.52-3
N.Y. Giants95.795.695.095.420.51-4
Washington94.895.194.594.821.52-3

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay103.5103.1103.6103.4274-1
Minnesota100.3100.599.5100.121.52-3
Chicago97.297.697.297.3163-2
Detroit93.593.593.693.526.50-5

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Tampa Bay108.6108.4108.0108.328.54-1
New Orleans107.4105.6107.8106.922.53-2
Carolina97.497.397.997.6223-2
Atlanta95.895.696.896.1292-3

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
LA Rams106.9107.4107.0107.127.54-1
Arizona105.8106.7106.6106.4275-0
Seattle103.3103.3103.0103.226.52-3
San Francisco101.5101.4101.3101.4232-3

This Week’s Playoff Projections

If the Playoffs Began Today

AFC
1LA Chargers
2Baltimore
3Buffalo
4Tennessee
5Cincinnati
6Las Vegas
7Denver

NFC
1Arizona
2Dallas
3Tampa Bay
4Green Bay
5LA Rams
6Chicago
7Carolina

Projected Playoff Positions

AFC Seeding
1Buffalo
2LA Chargers
3Cleveland
4Tennessee
5Baltimore
6Cincinnati
7Denver

NFC Seeding
1Tampa Bay
2Arizona
3Green Bay
4Dallas
5LA Rams
6Chicago
7Carolina

Projected Playoff Rounds

Wildcard Round
LA Chargers over Denver
Cleveland over Cincinnsti
Baltimore over Tennessee
Arizona over Carolina
Green Bay over Chicago
LA Rams over Dallas

Divisional Round
Buffalo over Baltimore
LA Chargers over Cleveland
Tampa Bay over LA Rams
Arizona over Green Bay

Conference Championship
Buffalo over LA Chargers
Tampa Bay over Arizona

Super Bowl 56 (LA)
Tampa Bay over Buffalo

October 4, 2021

PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 5–October 7-11, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
SeattleLA Rams1.51.01.5
Atlanta (n)N.Y. Jets4.43.64.4
Tampa BayMiami10.29.48.6
CarolinaPhiladelphia5.96.45.9
WashingtonNew Orleans-9.6-7.1-10.3
JacksonvilleTennessee-5.6-4.1-5.5
MinnesotaDetroit10.911.410.3
PittsburghDenver4.23.43.8
CincinnatiGreen Bay-3.3-2.3-3.8
HoustonNew England-6.4-6.7-5.3
Las VegasChicago4.03.94.4
LA ChargersCleveland0.60.81.9
DallasN.Y. Giants7.58.67.3
ArizonaSan Francisco7.38.58.4
Kansas CityBuffalo-1.1-0.8-1.7
BaltimoreIndianapolis7.67.98.4

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

HomeVisitorTotal
SeattleLA Rams55.5
Atlanta (n)N.Y. Jets49.5
Tampa BayMiami47.5
CarolinaPhiladelphia42.5
WashingtonNew Orleans43
JacksonvilleTennessee50.5
MinnesotaDetroit50
PittsburghDenver33
CincinnatiGreen Bay51
HoustonNew England43
Las VegasChicago43.5
LA ChargersCleveland47.5
DallasN.Y. Giants48.5
ArizonaSan Francisco52.5
Kansas CityBuffalo57
BaltimoreIndianapolis49.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Buffalo109.0108.8109.5109.124.53-1
New England99.698.798.999.117.51-3
Miami98.398.799.298.7201-3
N. Y. Jets91.191.892.091.720.51-3

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Baltimore105.9105.4106.0105.8253-1
Cleveland103.8104.1103.1103.724.53-1
Pittsburgh101.1100.4100.7100.7171-3
Cincinnati97.197.996.897.3243-1

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Indianapolis101.3100.5100.6100.824.51-3
Tennessee99.199.198.999.0282-2
Jacksonville91.092.590.891.522.50-4
Houston90.789.591.090.425.51-3

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Kansas City104.9104.9104.8104.932.52-2
LA Chargers102.0102.4102.5102.3233-1
Denver100.099.999.999.9163-1
Las Vegas97.697.897.897.726.53-1

N F C
EastPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Dallas101.3102.4100.7101.5293-1
N.Y. Giants96.996.896.496.719.51-3
Philadelphia95.495.196.195.520.51-3
Washington94.895.394.594.9212-2

NorthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Green Bay103.5103.1103.6103.4273-1
Minnesota100.8101.2100.2100.722.51-3
Chicago96.196.495.996.1172-2
Detroit93.092.892.992.927.50-4

SouthPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
New Orleans107.4105.4107.8106.9222-2
Tampa Bay106.4106.2105.8106.127.53-1
Carolina98.398.499.098.6223-1
Atlanta95.695.496.495.8291-3

WestPiRateMeanBiasAvgTotalsW-L
Arizona105.8106.8106.7106.4284-0
LA Rams106.0106.5105.9106.1283-1
Seattle104.5104.5104.4104.527.52-2
San Francisco101.5101.3101.2101.324.52-2

Playoff Projections begin next week!

August 14, 2021

Mid-American Conference Preview

There wasn’t much MACtion in the Mid-American Conference in 2020.  Covid limited MAC play to a minimum number of games with two teams playing just three games, one other playing four times, one team playing eight games, and the rest playing five to seven times.

In the end, two teams emerged as the clear cut best in the league–Buffalo in the East and Ball State in the West.  Ball St. defeated the 5-0 Bulls in the MAC Championship Game, and then both teams won their bowl games, Buffalo over Marshall in the Camellia Bowl, and Ball St. over San Jose St. in the Arizona Bowl.

Buffalo faced a minor rebuild on the offensive end with four new starters needed to replace the best receiving corps in the league, but the Bulls were hit with a very late blow in the Spring.  Coach Lance Leipold had been a candidate for multiple Power 5 coaching gigs in December, but he came up short on all of them.  Then, after Kansas fired Les Miles, Leipold was offered and accepted the job in Lawrence.  Former Dallas Cowboys secondary coach and Michigan co-defensive coordinator Maurice “Mo” Linguist has developed a reputation for being an incredible recruiter, and he should bring some fine talent to The Queen City.

There’s an additional irony to the MAC East, as co-favorite Ohio U had a late head coaching change.  Legendary coach Frank Solich stepped down due to health concerns, and offensive coordinator Tim Albin takes over.  Albin has not been a head coach since 1999, but that Northwestern Oklahoma State team finished 13-0 and won the NAIA football championship.

Kent State and Miami of Ohio have the same head coaches they had last year.  Fans of Kent State are excited about Coach Sean Lewis’s up-tempo offense.  In their abbreviated season, The Golden Flashes averaged almost 50 points per game and more than 600 total yards per game.  Miami’s season ended after playing just three games, but the Redhawks penned the lone loss on the conference champs, topping Ball State by a touchdown. 

Akron and Bowling Green bring up the rear in the East.  Akron won the head-to-head matchup last year, but the two teams combined to go 1-10, both giving up more than 40 points per game.

The race in the MAC West should be one of the most competitive races of any FBS division.  A case could be made for five of the six teams to earn a piece of the first place this year, and only Northern Illinois figures not to challenge for supremacy.

Defending champs Ball State returns the bulk of its starting 22 players from last year, but the Cardinals won four of their five regular season games by seven points or less.  Rarely does a team repeat that feat from year to year.  Usually, if the team isn’t vastly better, they lose a couple of the types of games they won the year before.

Central Michigan and Toledo figure to be much improved in 2021.  Both schools return almost their entire starting lineups on both sides of the ball.  Keep an eye out for these very experienced and talented squads in September games against Power 5 opponents.  CMU plays Missouri, while Toledo takes on Notre Dame.  

Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan return a majority of their 2020 starters but with every player getting a free extra year, having 16 returning starters is almost below average.

Northern Illinois, once the best Group of 5 program in America, has fallen on hard times.  The Huskies went 0-6 last year and figure to be underdogs in almost every game against FBS competition this year.

Here is how the MAC media voted in the preseason poll:

2021 MAC Football Preseason Poll

(First Place Votes in Parentheses)

East Division

1. Kent State (11) – 112 points

2. Ohio (2) – 96 points

3. Miami (5) – 94 points

4. Buffalo (4) – 93 points

5. Akron – 39 points

6. Bowling Green – 28 points

West Division

1. Ball State (11) – 114 points

2. Toledo (7) – 104 points

3. Western Michigan (4) – 103 points

4. Central Michigan – 68 points

5. Eastern Michigan – 44 points

6. Northern Illinois – 29 points

MAC Football Championship Game Winner: Ball State (7), Toledo (5), Kent State (4), Western Michigan (3), Buffalo (2), Miami (1)

The preseason PiRate Ratings differ somewhat.

Mid-American Conference
East Division

TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)101.999.298.199.7
Buffalo98.597.597.998.0
Ohio92.294.494.093.5
Kent St.91.393.490.591.7
Akron81.879.678.179.8
Bowling Green71.672.168.870.8

West Division

Team
PiRateMeanBiasAverage
Central Michigan100.599.199.599.7
Ball St.98.498.395.597.4
Toledo97.596.795.896.7
Eastern Michigan93.191.289.891.4
Western Michigan91.291.690.191.0
Northern Illinois89.387.086.187.5

MAC Averages92.391.790.491.4

The PiRate Ratings are not designed to pick seasonal won-loss records, but we use them any way to make predictions just for fun.

MAC EastConf.Overall
Miami (Ohio)6-28-5*
Buffalo5-37-5
Ohio5-37-5
Kent St.4-45-7
Akron1-72-10
Bowling Green0-81-11

MAC WestConf.Overall
Central Michigan6-28-5
Toledo6-29-3
Ball St.6-28-4
Eastern Michigan5-38-4
Western Michigan2-63-9
Northern Illinois2-63-9
* Miami (Ohio) picked to win MAC Championship Game

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