PiRate Ratings NFL Divisional Playoff Round–January 21-22, 2023

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Kansas City	Jacksonville	11.1	9.7	9.3
Philadelphia	N.Y. Giants	10.1	8.5	8.1
Buffalo	Cincinnati	5.5	4.9	4.1
San Francisco	Dallas	2.2	2.8	3.1

Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Kansas City	Jacksonville	51
Philadelphia	N.Y. Giants	45
Buffalo	Cincinnati	49.5
San Francisco	Dallas	47.5

PiRate Ratings NFL–Wildcard Round, January 14-16, 2023

Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Buffalo	Miami	11.7	11.4	11.6
Cincinnati	Baltimore	7.0	7.7	8.4
Jacksonville	LA Chargers	3.6	3.7	3.6
Minnesota	N.Y. Giants	5.4	4.3	4.1
San Francisco	Seattle	9.5	9.8	9.7
Tampa Bay	Dallas	-2.9	-3.3	-3.7

Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Buffalo	Miami	46
Cincinnati	Baltimore	42.5
Jacksonville	LA Chargers	48
Minnesota	N.Y. Giants	47.5
San Francisco	Seattle	42.5
Tampa Bay	Dallas	47.5

Final Regular Season PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	109.0	108.7	108.5	108.7	23.5	13-3
New England	103.1	102.9	103.1	103.0	20	8-9
Miami	100.3	100.3	99.9	100.2	22.5	9-8
N.Y. Jets	98.7	99.1	98.7	98.8	16.5	7-10
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Cincinnati	106.2	106.4	106.9	106.5	25.5	12-4
Baltimore	102.3	101.7	101.5	101.8	17	10-7
Pittsburgh	100.4	100.7	101.2	100.8	18.5	9-8
Cleveland	99.4	98.9	99.1	99.1	21	7-10
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	101.7	102.6	102.5	102.3	23	9-8
Tennessee	95.3	95.5	95.4	95.4	18.5	7-10
Indianapolis	92.4	92.2	91.9	92.2	21	4-12-1
Houston	89.9	91.0	90.6	90.5	20.5	3-13-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	109.7	109.2	108.7	109.2	28.5	14-3
LA Chargers	101.1	101.9	101.8	101.6	25	10-7
Las Vegas	98.8	98.8	98.6	98.7	25.5	6-11
Denver	97.5	98.1	97.0	97.5	17	5-12
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	105.9	105.6	105.9	105.8	26	12-5
Philadelphia	106.0	105.3	105.3	105.5	25	14-3
N.Y. Giants	97.5	98.4	98.7	98.2	20	9-7-1
Washington	96.9	96.4	96.7	96.7	17.5	8-8-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	102.9	102.4	102.8	102.7	22.5	8-9
Detroit	100.0	100.7	101.1	100.6	26	9-8
Minnesota	99.9	99.7	99.9	99.8	27.5	13-4
Chicago	90.5	90.7	90.3	90.5	21	3-14
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	101.1	100.2	100.6	100.6	17.5	7-10
Tampa Bay	100.0	99.3	99.3	99.5	21.5	8-9
Carolina	98.1	98.4	98.6	98.4	21.5	7-10
Atlanta	95.4	95.7	95.6	95.5	23	7-10
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	105.9	106.2	106.7	106.2	21	13-4
Seattle	99.3	99.4	100.0	99.6	21.5	9-8
LA Rams	99.3	98.8	98.5	98.9	20	5-12
Arizona	95.2	95.0	94.7	95.0	24	4-13

Playoff Projections (not using PiRate Ratings)

Wildcard Round
Buffalo over Miami
Cincinnati over Baltimore
LA Chargers over Jacksonville
San Francisco over Seattle
N.Y. Giants over Minnesota
Dallas over Tampa Bay
Divisional Round
Kansas City over LA Chargers
Buffalo over Cincinnati
N.Y. Giants over Philadelphia
San Francisco over Dallas
Conference Championship
Kansas City over Buffalo
San Francisco over N.Y. Giants
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Kansas City over San Francisco

PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 18–January 7-8, 2023

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Atlanta	Tampa Bay	-3.5	-2.5	-2.6
Buffalo	New England	8.5	8.3	8.0
Chicago	Minnesota	-6.1	-5.8	-6.3
Cincinnati	Baltimore	5.4	6.1	6.8
Green Bay	Detroit	7.3	6.2	6.3
Indianapolis	Houston	4.6	3.3	3.7
Jacksonville	Tennessee	9.8	10.9	11.3
Miami	N.Y. Jets	4.6	4.2	4.3
New Orleans	Carolina	6.6	5.4	5.8
Philadelphia	N.Y. Giants	9.8	8.1	7.8
Pittsburgh	Cleveland	1.9	2.7	2.8
Washington	Dallas	-8.5	-8.8	-9.1
Denver	LA Chargers	-2.0	-2.2	-3.2
Las Vegas	Kansas City	-7.5	-7.0	-6.7
San Francisco	Arizona	11.3	11.8	12.5
Seattle	LA Rams	3.1	3.6	4.5

Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Atlanta	Tampa Bay	44.5
Buffalo	New England	42.5
Chicago	Minnesota	49
Cincinnati	Baltimore	42.5
Green Bay	Detroit	49.5
Indianapolis	Houston	39.5
Jacksonville	Tennessee	41.5
Miami	N.Y. Jets	41
New Orleans	Carolina	41
Philadelphia	N.Y. Giants	46
Pittsburgh	Cleveland	39.5
Washington	Dallas	44.5
Denver	LA Chargers	41
Las Vegas	Kansas City	55
San Francisco	Arizona	44
Seattle	LA Rams	42.5

Week 18 PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	108.8	108.5	108.3	108.5	23	12-3
New England	103.3	103.1	103.3	103.2	19.5	8-8
Miami	100.3	100.3	99.9	100.2	23.5	8-8
N.Y. Jets	98.7	99.1	98.7	98.8	17.5	7-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Cincinnati	105.9	106.1	106.6	106.2	25.5	11-4
Baltimore	102.6	102.0	101.8	102.1	17	10-6
Cleveland	100.2	99.7	100.0	100.0	21	7-9
Pittsburgh	99.6	99.9	100.3	99.9	18.5	8-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	101.9	103.0	103.1	102.7	23	8-8
Tennessee	95.1	95.1	94.8	95.0	18.5	7-9
Indianapolis	92.7	92.5	92.3	92.5	20	4-11-1
Houston	89.6	90.7	90.2	90.1	19.5	2-13-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	109.0	108.5	108.0	108.5	29	13-3
LA Chargers	101.3	102.1	102.0	101.8	24.5	10-6
Las Vegas	99.5	99.5	99.3	99.4	26	6-10
Denver	97.3	97.9	96.8	97.3	16.5	4-12
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	106.9	106.7	107.1	106.9	26.5	12-4
Philadelphia	106.1	105.4	105.4	105.6	25.5	13-3
N.Y. Giants	97.4	98.3	98.6	98.1	20.5	9-6-1
Washington	95.9	95.3	95.5	95.6	18	7-8-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	103.6	103.1	103.6	103.4	23	8-8
Detroit	99.3	100.0	100.3	99.9	26.5	8-8
Minnesota	99.3	99.1	99.3	99.2	27.5	12-4
Chicago	91.1	91.3	90.9	91.1	21.5	3-13
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	101.9	101.0	101.5	101.5	18.5	7-9
Tampa Bay	100.2	99.5	99.5	99.7	21.5	8-8
Carolina	97.3	97.6	97.7	97.5	22.5	6-10
Atlanta	95.2	95.5	95.4	95.3	23	6-10
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	104.7	105.0	105.5	105.0	20.5	12-4
Seattle	99.3	99.4	100.0	99.6	22	8-8
LA Rams	99.3	98.8	98.5	98.9	20.5	5-11
Arizona	96.4	96.2	95.9	96.2	23.5	4-12

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	Cincinnati
3	Buffalo
4	Jacksonville
5	LA Chargers
6	Baltimore
7	New England
NFC Seeding
1	San Francisco
2	Dallas
3	Minnesota
4	Tampa Bay
5	Philadelphia
6	New York Giants
7	Green Bay

Wildcard Round
New England over Cincinnati
Baltimore over Buffalo
Jacksonville over LA Chargers
Green Bay over Dallas
N.Y. Giants over Minnesota
Tampa Bay over Philadelphia
Divisional Round
Kansas City over New England
Jacksonville over Baltimore
San Francisco over Green Bay
Tampa Bay over N.Y. Giants
Conference Championship
Kansas City over Jacksonville
San Francisco over Tampa Bay
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Kansas City over San Francisco

NFL Notice

The unfortunate event that took place in Cincinnati last night in the Monday Night Football game has affected the PiRate Ratings’ updating procedure. The game has now officially been canceled for this week, meaning the next NFL games will take place Saturday in Week 18.

The PiRate Ratings are formulated before the season with certain constants factored in the algorithms, and altering the schedule with two teams not playing has brought me to change the three ratings. The problem is in order to do so, I have to backdate the ratings to the last week of scheduled byes and recalculate the ratings to include an extra bye for Cincinnati and Buffalo.

During the Covid schedule changes, the games were canceled or the schedule was changed before any games were played, so it was easier to calculate new spreads, because the teams had not played. Having to calculate new spreads based on 30 teams playing and two not playing creates a logistical pile of work, and thus the ratings will not be available until late tonight or early tomorrow.

The PiRates pray for a complete recovery for Damar Hamlin. All of us were watching the game live when it happened, and there were tears in all of our eyes. I, the PiRate Captain, have had a difficult time dealing with the passing of the Great Pirate, Mike Leach. Earlier in the day, seeing the Mississippi State football helmets in the Reliaquest Bowl was quite an emotional event. This also comes on the heels of the unfortunate death of an Iowa Hawkeye linebacker Jack Campbell’s grandfather being killed here in Nashville when he was struck by a van near Vanderbilt University while visiting for the Music City Bowl.

Both the cities of Buffalo and Cincinnati have their share of news-breaking fatalities. In Buffalo, in the past year, there has been a tragic mass killing and multiple weather-related deaths. In Cincinnati, it is from the past, as there was a major catastrophe of ticket-holders being crushed to death trying to get choice general admission seats at a Who concert at Riverfront Coliseum in 1979. And in another event where I was watching live on TV, on the opening day of the 1996 Major League Baseball season at Riverfront Stadium, home plate umpire John McSherry attempted to walk to the backstop trying to signal for help, and then he free fell to the ground similar to the way Hamlin fell last night. Efforts to revive him with conventional CPR were unsuccessful.

The hope is that the AED device that restarted Hamlin’s heart last night was able to do so before his brain was robbed of oxygen too long.

I am trained in CPR and other Civil Defense first aid. It is easy enough to learn the basics, including how to save a choking victim, how to save a drowning victim, and even how to deliver a baby in an emergency situation. If you are reading this, please consider learning these basics. Let’s hope that Mr. Hamlin recovers, and the nation becomes a better place because people took the initiative to learn first aid.

PiRate Ratings NFL Football Week 17–Dec. 29-Jan. 2

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tennessee	Dallas	-8.7	-8.3	-8.9
Atlanta	Arizona	1.8	2.5	2.6
Baltimore	Pittsburgh	7.8	7.1	6.5
Detroit	Chicago	7.1	7.4	8.0
Houston	Jacksonville	-6.2	-6.1	-6.4
Kansas City	Denver	16.1	15.0	16.0
New England	Miami	6.4	6.3	6.8
N.Y. Giants	Indianapolis	3.8	5.0	5.3
Philadelphia	New Orleans	10.8	11.2	10.9
Tampa Bay	Carolina	5.4	4.2	3.9
Washington	Cleveland	0.6	0.7	0.9
Las Vegas	San Francisco	-2.7	-3.0	-3.7
Seattle	N.Y. Jets	0.9	0.3	1.3
Green Bay	Minnesota	3.2	2.7	2.9
LA Chargers	LA Rams	-1.8	-0.5	-0.5
Cincinnati	Buffalo	-1.8	-1.4	-0.7

This Week’s Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Tennessee	Dallas	45
Atlanta	Arizona	47.5
Baltimore	Pittsburgh	36.5
Detroit	Chicago	48
Houston	Jacksonville	43.5
Kansas City	Denver	44.5
New England	Miami	43
N.Y. Giants	Indianapolis	39.5
Philadelphia	New Orleans	46
Tampa Bay	Carolina	42
Washington	Cleveland	40
Las Vegas	San Francisco	43.5
Seattle	N.Y. Jets	41.5
Green Bay	Minnesota	49.5
LA Chargers	LA Rams	45
Cincinnati	Buffalo	48.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	111.3	111.0	110.8	111.0	23	12-3
New England	103.4	103.2	103.4	103.3	19.5	7-8
N.Y. Jets	100.0	100.5	100.1	100.2	18.5	7-8
Miami	100.0	100.0	99.6	99.9	23.5	8-7
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Cincinnati	106.4	106.6	107.1	106.7	25.5	11-4
Baltimore	103.4	102.9	102.7	103.0	17.5	10-5
Pittsburgh	98.6	98.8	99.2	98.9	19	7-8
Cleveland	98.9	98.3	98.5	98.6	21.5	6-9
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	100.0	101.0	101.0	100.7	23.5	7-8
Tennessee	95.3	95.4	95.2	95.3	18.5	7-8
Indianapolis	94.5	94.3	94.2	94.3	19.5	4-10-1
Houston	91.3	92.5	92.1	91.9	20	2-12-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	109.6	109.1	108.8	109.2	28.5	12-3
LA Chargers	99.3	100.1	99.9	99.8	24.5	9-6
Las Vegas	99.4	99.4	99.2	99.3	24.5	6-9
Denver	96.5	97.1	95.8	96.5	16	4-11
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	107.8	107.2	107.3	107.4	26.5	13-2
Dallas	106.5	106.2	106.5	106.4	26.5	11-4
Washington	97.0	96.5	96.8	96.8	18.5	7-7-1
N.Y. Giants	95.4	96.3	96.5	96.1	20	8-6-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Green Bay	101.7	101.1	101.5	101.4	22.5	7-8
Minnesota	101.0	100.9	101.2	101.0	27	12-3
Detroit	97.4	98.0	98.3	97.9	26.5	7-8
Chicago	92.8	93.1	92.7	92.9	21.5	3-12
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	100.1	99.3	99.2	99.5	20.5	7-8
New Orleans	100.0	99.0	99.4	99.5	19.5	6-9
Carolina	97.2	97.6	97.8	97.5	21.5	6-9
Atlanta	95.1	95.5	95.4	95.3	23.5	5-10
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	104.6	104.9	105.4	104.9	19	11-4
LA Rams	101.1	100.6	100.4	100.7	20.5	5-10
Seattle	97.8	97.8	98.4	98.0	23	7-8
Arizona	96.3	96.0	95.7	96.0	24	4-11

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	Cincinnati
3	Buffalo
4	Jacksonville
5	Baltimore
6	LA Chargers
7	New England
NFC Seeding
1	Philadelphia
2	Minnesota
3	San Francisco
4	Tampa Bay
5	Dallas
6	New York Giants
7	Washington

Wildcard Round
Cincinnati over New England
Buffalo over LA Chargers
Jacksonville over Baltimore
Minnesota over Washington
San Francisco over N.Y. Giants
Dallas over Tampa Bay
Divisional Round
Kansas City over Jacksonville
Cincinnati over Buffalo
Philadelphia over Dallas
San Francisco over Minnesota
Conference Championship
Cincinnati over Kansas City
San Francisco over Philadelphia
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Cincinnati over San Francisco

PiRate Ratings NFL for Week 16: December 24-26, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
N.Y. Jets	Jacksonville	5.1	4.6	4.4
Baltimore	Atlanta	11.0	10.2	10.0
Carolina	Detroit	0.5	0.1	-0.4
Chicago	Buffalo	-15.3	-14.8	-14.8
Cleveland	New Orleans	3.3	4.0	3.9
Kansas City	Seattle	14.8	14.3	13.4
Minnesota	N.Y. Giants	9.0	8.0	8.2
New England	Cincinnati	-0.4	-0.5	-0.8
Tennessee	Houston	8.7	7.6	8.0
San Francisco	Washington	9.3	10.2	10.2
Dallas	Philadelphia	1.3	1.4	1.4
Pittsburgh	Las Vegas	2.2	2.4	3.0
Miami	Green Bay	2.1	3.1	2.3
LA Rams	Denver	2.0	1.1	2.0
Arizona	Tampa Bay	-0.6	0.3	0.4
Indianapolis	LA Chargers	1.0	0.0	0.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
N.Y. Jets	Jacksonville	43.5
Baltimore	Atlanta	42.5
Carolina	Detroit	47
Chicago	Buffalo	44.5
Cleveland	New Orleans	42.5
Kansas City	Seattle	53
Minnesota	N.Y. Giants	47
New England	Cincinnati	45
Tennessee	Houston	38.5
San Francisco	Washington	36
Dallas	Philadelphia	51
Pittsburgh	Las Vegas	45.5
Miami	Green Bay	46
LA Rams	Denver	34
Arizona	Tampa Bay	45.5
Indianapolis	LA Chargers	46.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	111.0	110.7	110.4	110.7	23	11-3
New England	103.5	103.4	103.6	103.5	19.5	7-7
N.Y. Jets	101.3	101.8	101.5	101.5	19.5	7-7
Miami	100.4	100.6	100.2	100.4	23.5	8-6
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Cincinnati	106.3	106.4	106.9	106.5	25.5	10-4
Baltimore	103.5	103.0	102.8	103.1	18.5	9-5
Cleveland	99.6	99.1	99.4	99.4	22.5	6-8
Pittsburgh	98.6	98.8	99.2	98.9	20	6-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	98.7	99.7	99.6	99.3	24	6-8
Tennessee	96.4	96.5	96.4	96.4	18.5	7-7
Indianapolis	95.9	95.7	95.8	95.8	21	4-9-1
Houston	90.2	91.4	90.9	90.8	20	1-12-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	109.6	109.1	108.8	109.2	29	11-3
Las Vegas	99.4	99.4	99.2	99.3	25.5	6-8
Denver	99.0	99.6	98.5	99.0	15	4-10
LA Chargers	97.9	98.7	98.3	98.3	25.5	8-6
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	108.0	107.5	107.7	107.7	25.5	13-1
Dallas	106.3	105.9	106.1	106.1	25.5	10-4
Washington	97.6	97.1	97.5	97.4	18	7-6-1
N.Y. Giants	95.2	96.1	96.2	95.8	20	8-5-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	101.2	101.1	101.5	101.2	27	11-3
Green Bay	101.3	100.5	100.9	100.9	22.5	6-8
Detroit	98.3	99.0	99.5	98.9	26	7-7
Chicago	93.1	93.4	93.1	93.2	21.5	3-11
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	100.0	99.0	98.8	99.3	21	6-8
New Orleans	99.3	98.2	98.5	98.7	20	5-9
Carolina	96.3	96.6	96.6	96.5	21	5-9
Atlanta	95.0	95.4	95.3	95.2	24	5-9
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	104.0	104.3	104.7	104.3	18	10-4
LA Rams	98.6	98.1	97.9	98.2	19	4-10
Seattle	97.8	97.8	98.4	98.0	24	7-7
Arizona	96.4	96.3	96.1	96.3	24.5	4-10

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Buffalo
2	Kansas City
3	Cincinnati
4	Jacksonville
5	Baltimore
6	Miami
7	LA Chargers
NFC Seeding
1	Philadelphia
2	Minnesota
3	San Francisco
4	Tampa Bay
5	Dallas
6	New York Giants
7	Detroit

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over LA Chargers
Cincinnati over Miami
Jacksonville over Baltimore
Detroit over Minnesota
San Francisco over N.Y. Giants
Dallas over Tampa Bay
Divisional Round
Buffalo over Jacksonville
Cincinnati over Kansas City
Philadelphia over Detroit
San Francisco over Dallas
Conference Championship
Cincinnati over Buffalo
Philadelphia over San Francisco
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Philadelphia over Cincinnati

PiRate Ratings NFL For Week 15–December 15-19, 2022

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Seattle	San Francisco	1.1	1.0	1.6
Buffalo	Miami	14.1	13.6	13.9
Cleveland	Baltimore	-3.0	-3.3	-3.0
Minnesota	Indianapolis	10.5	10.9	11.6
New Orleans	Atlanta	7.7	6.2	6.8
Washington	N.Y. Giants	4.4	2.9	3.3
Carolina	Pittsburgh	0.1	0.3	0.1
Chicago	Philadelphia	-11.3	-10.7	-11.3
Houston	Kansas City	-18.9	-17.2	-18.2
Jacksonville	Dallas	-10.3	-8.9	-10.1
N.Y. Jets	Detroit	8.8	8.8	8.2
Denver	Arizona	5.2	5.6	4.4
LA Chargers	Tennessee	2.1	2.6	2.2
Tampa Bay	Cincinnati	1.3	0.3	-0.3
Las Vegas	New England	-1.4	-1.3	-2.1
Green Bay	LA Rams	5.0	4.6	5.0

This Week’s Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Seattle	San Francisco	43
Buffalo	Miami	45.5
Cleveland	Baltimore	43.5
Minnesota	Indianapolis	45.5
New Orleans	Atlanta	44
Washington	N.Y. Giants	38.5
Carolina	Pittsburgh	41
Chicago	Philadelphia	47
Houston	Kansas City	48.5
Jacksonville	Dallas	47.5
N.Y. Jets	Detroit	46.5
Denver	Arizona	39.5
LA Chargers	Tennessee	46
Tampa Bay	Cincinnati	44.5
Las Vegas	New England	44
Green Bay	LA Rams	41.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	111.3	111.0	110.8	111.0	22.5	10-3
New England	103.8	103.8	104.2	103.9	19	7-6
N.Y. Jets	102.3	102.9	102.7	102.6	20	7-6
Miami	100.1	100.3	99.8	100.1	23	8-5
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Cincinnati	105.2	105.3	105.8	105.4	24.5	9-4
Baltimore	104.4	104.0	103.9	104.1	20	9-4
Cleveland	98.7	98.1	98.3	98.4	23.5	5-8
Pittsburgh	98.2	98.3	98.6	98.4	20	5-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	97.4	98.4	98.1	98.0	23	5-8
Tennessee	96.4	96.5	96.4	96.4	19.5	7-6
Indianapolis	95.6	95.3	95.2	95.4	19.5	4-8-1
Houston	89.5	90.7	90.0	90.0	19.5	1-11-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	110.3	109.8	109.7	109.9	29	10-3
Las Vegas	99.1	99.0	98.6	98.9	25	5-8
Denver	98.8	99.3	98.2	98.8	15	3-10
LA Chargers	97.9	98.7	98.3	98.3	26.5	7-6
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	108.3	107.9	108.2	108.1	25.5	12-1
Dallas	107.6	107.2	107.6	107.5	24.5	10-3
Washington	98.3	97.8	98.3	98.2	18.5	7-5-1
N.Y. Giants	94.5	95.4	95.4	95.1	20	7-5-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	101.5	101.5	102.1	101.7	26	10-3
Green Bay	101.0	100.1	100.4	100.5	22.5	5-8
Detroit	97.3	97.9	98.3	97.8	26.5	6-7
Chicago	92.8	93.0	92.6	92.8	21.5	3-10
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	101.1	100.1	99.9	100.4	20	6-7
New Orleans	99.5	98.4	98.8	98.9	20	4-9
Carolina	96.7	97.1	97.2	97.0	21	5-8
Atlanta	94.8	95.2	95.0	95.0	24	5-8
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	103.6	103.8	104.1	103.8	18.5	9-4
LA Rams	98.9	98.5	98.4	98.6	19	4-9
Seattle	98.2	98.3	99.0	98.5	24.5	7-6
Arizona	96.6	96.6	96.4	96.5	24.5	4-9

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Buffalo
2	Kansas City
3	Cincinnati
4	Tennessee
5	Baltimore
6	Miami
7	LA Chargers
NFC Seeding
1	Philadelphia
2	Minnesota
3	San Francisco
4	Tampa Bay
5	Dallas
6	Washington
7	Detroit

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over LA Chargers
Cincinnati over Miami
Baltimore over Tennessee
Detroit over Minnesota
San Francisco over Washington
Dallas over Tampa Bay
Divisional Round
Buffalo over Baltimore
Cincinnati over Kansas City
Philadelphia over Detroit
Dallas over San Francisco
Conference Championship
Buffalo over Cincinnati
Philadelphia over Dallas
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Philadelphia over Buffalo

PiRate Ratings NFL Week 14–December 8-12, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Las Vegas	LA Rams	3.6	4.3	4.0
Buffalo	N.Y. Jets	11.7	11.0	11.2
Cincinnati	Cleveland	7.9	8.4	8.5
Dallas	Houston	20.9	19.3	20.9
Detroit	Minnesota	-4.3	-3.9	-4.3
N.Y. Giants	Philadelphia	-8.7	-7.3	-7.4
Pittsburgh	Baltimore	-4.6	-4.3	-4.1
Tennessee	Jacksonville	4.9	4.2	4.6
LA Chargers	Miami	0.2	0.6	0.5
San Francisco	Tampa Bay	1.0	2.3	2.8
Seattle	Carolina	6.7	6.7	7.6
Denver	Kansas City	-9.2	-8.2	-9.6
Arizona	New England	-2.0	-1.8	-2.1

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Margins

Home	Visitor	Total
Las Vegas	LA Rams	45.5
Buffalo	N.Y. Jets	44
Cincinnati	Cleveland	49.5
Dallas	Houston	43.5
Detroit	Minnesota	52
N.Y. Giants	Philadelphia	43
Pittsburgh	Baltimore	41
Tennessee	Jacksonville	41
LA Chargers	Miami	50.5
San Francisco	Tampa Bay	38.5
Seattle	Carolina	44.5
Denver	Kansas City	42
Arizona	New England	43.5

Week 14 Byes

Indianapolis

Washington

Chicago

Green Bay

Atlanta

New Orleans

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	111.5	111.3	111.2	111.3	23	9-3
New England	102.7	102.6	102.9	102.7	19	6-6
N.Y. Jets	102.3	102.8	102.5	102.5	21	7-5
Miami	100.4	100.7	100.3	100.5	23.5	8-4
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Cincinnati	105.0	105.0	105.4	105.1	25	8-4
Baltimore	104.7	104.4	104.4	104.5	20.5	8-4
Cleveland	99.1	98.6	98.9	98.9	24.5	5-7
Pittsburgh	98.1	98.1	98.3	98.2	20.5	5-7
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tennessee	98.5	98.7	98.7	98.6	18.5	7-5
Jacksonville	95.6	96.5	96.1	96.1	22.5	4-8
Indianapolis	95.3	95.0	94.9	95.1	19.5	4-8-1
Houston	89.0	90.2	89.3	89.5	19.5	1-10-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	110.4	109.9	110.0	110.1	28	9-3
Las Vegas	99.4	99.5	99.1	99.3	25.5	5-7
Denver	98.7	99.2	97.9	98.6	14	3-9
LA Chargers	97.6	98.3	97.8	97.9	27	6-6
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	108.4	108.0	108.6	108.3	24	9-3
Philadelphia	106.8	106.4	106.6	106.6	24	11-1
Washington	98.0	97.5	98.0	97.9	18.5	7-5-1
N.Y. Giants	96.2	97.1	97.2	96.8	19	7-4-1
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	102.8	102.9	103.6	103.1	26	10-2
Green Bay	100.7	99.8	100.1	100.2	22.5	5-8
Detroit	96.0	96.5	96.8	96.4	26	5-7
Chicago	92.5	92.7	92.3	92.5	21.5	3-10
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	103.3	102.3	102.1	102.6	20	6-6
New Orleans	99.2	98.1	98.5	98.6	20	4-9
Carolina	95.7	96.0	95.9	95.9	20.5	5-7
Atlanta	94.5	94.9	94.7	94.7	24	5-8
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	101.4	101.6	101.9	101.6	18.5	8-4
Seattle	99.4	99.6	100.5	99.9	24	7-5
LA Rams	98.8	98.2	98.1	98.4	20	3-9
Arizona	97.7	97.8	97.7	97.7	24.5	4-8

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Buffalo
2	Kansas City
3	Baltimore
4	Tennessee
5	Cincinnati
6	Miami
7	Las Vegas

NFC Seeding
1	Philadelphia
2	Minnesota
3	San Francisco
4	Tampa Bay
5	Dallas
6	Washington
7	New York Giants

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over Las Vegas
Miami over Baltimore
Cincinnati over Tennessee
Minnesota over N.Y. Giants
Washington over San Francisco
Dallas over Tampa Bay
Divisional Round
Buffalo over Miami
Kansas City over Cincinnati
Philadelphia over Washington
Dallas over Minnesota
Conference Championship
Buffalo over Kansas City
Philadelphia over Dallas
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Philadelphia over Buffalo

PiRate Ratings Pro Football–Week 13: December 1-5, 2022

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
New England	Buffalo	-5.7	-5.3	-4.6
Atlanta	Pittsburgh	-0.4	-0.1	-0.4
Baltimore	Denver	9.5	8.9	10.5
Chicago	Green Bay	-5.3	-4.0	-4.5
Detroit	Jacksonville	0.8	0.1	0.7
Houston	Cleveland	-7.0	-5.0	-5.9
Minnesota	N.Y. Jets	3.3	2.7	3.5
N.Y. Giants	Washington	0.6	2.3	1.9
Philadelphia	Tennessee	8.6	7.7	7.7
LA Rams	Seattle	2.6	1.9	0.9
San Francisco	Miami	6.3	6.0	6.5
Cincinnati	Kansas City	-3.5	-3.2	-2.9
Las Vegas	LA Chargers	3.9	2.9	2.8
Dallas	Indianapolis	12.1	12.0	12.7
Tampa Bay	New Orleans	7.2	7.5	7.1

This Week’s Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
New England	Buffalo	43
Atlanta	Pittsburgh	45.5
Baltimore	Denver	36.5
Chicago	Green Bay	44
Detroit	Jacksonville	48
Houston	Cleveland	44
Minnesota	N.Y. Jets	47
N.Y. Giants	Washington	37.5
Philadelphia	Tennessee	42.5
LA Rams	Seattle	43
San Francisco	Miami	41.5
Cincinnati	Kansas City	53
Las Vegas	LA Chargers	53
Dallas	Indianapolis	41.5
Tampa Bay	New Orleans	41

Byes This Week

Arizona

Carolina

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	111.1	110.8	110.5	110.8	23.5	8-3
New England	102.9	102.9	103.4	103.1	19.5	6-5
N.Y. Jets	102.3	102.9	102.7	102.6	21	7-4
Miami	100.9	101.3	101.0	101.1	23	8-3
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	104.9	104.6	104.8	104.8	21.5	7-4
Cincinnati	104.6	104.5	104.9	104.7	25	7-4
Cleveland	98.8	98.1	98.3	98.4	24.5	4-7
Pittsburgh	97.9	97.9	98.1	98.0	21	4-7
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tennessee	99.9	100.2	100.3	100.1	18.5	7-4
Jacksonville	96.8	97.8	97.5	97.4	22.5	4-7
Indianapolis	97.2	96.9	96.8	97.0	18.5	4-7-1
Houston	89.3	90.7	89.9	89.9	19.5	1-9-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	110.6	110.2	110.3	110.4	28	9-2
Las Vegas	99.1	99.0	98.5	98.9	26	4-7
LA Chargers	97.7	98.6	98.2	98.2	27	6-5
Denver	98.3	98.8	97.3	98.1	15	3-8
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	106.3	105.9	106.5	106.2	23	8-3
Philadelphia	105.4	104.9	105.0	105.1	24	10-1
Washington	97.9	97.3	97.8	97.7	18.5	7-5
N.Y. Giants	96.1	97.1	97.2	96.8	19	7-4
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	102.6	102.6	103.2	102.8	26	9-2
Green Bay	100.4	99.4	99.6	99.8	22.5	4-8
Detroit	94.6	95.0	95.2	94.9	25.5	4-7
Chicago	92.6	92.9	92.6	92.7	21.5	3-9
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	103.5	102.6	102.5	102.9	20.5	5-6
New Orleans	98.8	97.6	97.9	98.1	20.5	4-8
Carolina	95.3	95.6	95.5	95.5	20.5	5-7
Atlanta	94.5	94.9	94.7	94.7	24.5	5-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	104.2	104.3	104.5	104.3	18.5	7-4
Seattle	98.9	99.1	100.0	99.4	23.5	6-5
LA Rams	99.1	98.5	98.4	98.7	19.5	3-8
Arizona	97.2	97.3	97.2	97.2	24.5	4-8

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	Miami
3	Cincinnati
4	Tennessee
5	Buffalo
6	Baltimore
7	New York Jets

NFC Seeding
1	Philadelphia
2	Minnesota
3	San Francisco
4	Carolina
5	Dallas
6	Washington
7	New York Giants

Wildcard Round
Miami over New York Jets
Cincinnati over Baltimore
Buffalo over Tennessee
Minnesota over New York Giants
San Francisco over Washington
Dallas over Carolina
Divisional Round
Kansas City over Buffalo
Miami over Cincinnati
Philadelphia over Dallas
San Francisco over Minnesota
Conference Championship
Miami over Kansas City
San Francisco over Philadelphia
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Miami over San Francisco

PiRate Ratings — NFL For Week 12: November 24-28, 2022

This Week’s Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Detroit	Buffalo	-14.8	-14.3	-14.0
Dallas	N.Y. Giants	13.6	12.2	13.1
Minnesota	New England	2.3	2.1	2.0
Carolina	Denver	-2.6	-3.0	-1.6
Cleveland	Tampa Bay	-1.9	-1.8	-1.8
Jacksonville	Baltimore	-6.4	-5.1	-6.0
Miami	Houston	14.6	13.2	14.0
N.Y. Jets	Chicago	11.2	11.4	11.2
Tennessee	Cincinnati	-1.6	-0.7	-1.0
Washington	Atlanta	6.4	5.5	6.2
Arizona	LA Chargers	2.9	2.3	2.8
Seattle	Las Vegas	3.2	3.5	5.3
Kansas City	LA Rams	14.3	14.5	14.7
San Francisco	New Orleans	8.0	9.3	9.0
Philadelphia	Green Bay	8.0	8.7	8.6
Indianapolis	Pittsburgh	4.3	4.1	4.2

This Week’s Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Detroit	Buffalo	49
Dallas	N.Y. Giants	42
Minnesota	New England	44.5
Carolina	Denver	35.5
Cleveland	Tampa Bay	45
Jacksonville	Baltimore	43
Miami	Houston	42.5
N.Y. Jets	Chicago	42.5
Tennessee	Cincinnati	44.5
Washington	Atlanta	44
Arizona	LA Chargers	51.5
Seattle	Las Vegas	47.5
Kansas City	LA Rams	48.5
San Francisco	New Orleans	42
Philadelphia	Green Bay	43.5
Indianapolis	Pittsburgh	39.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Buffalo	111.5	111.3	111.1	111.3	23.5	7-3
New England	103.1	103.2	103.8	103.4	19	6-4
N.Y. Jets	101.6	102.1	101.8	101.8	21	6-4
Miami	100.9	101.1	100.9	101.0	23	7-3
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	105.3	105.0	105.4	105.2	21	7-3
Cincinnati	104.5	104.2	104.6	104.4	25.5	6-4
Cleveland	98.7	97.9	98.0	98.2	24.5	3-7
Pittsburgh	96.9	96.8	96.9	96.9	21	3-7
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tennessee	100.0	100.5	100.6	100.3	19	7-3
Indianapolis	98.2	98.0	98.0	98.1	18.5	4-6-1
Jacksonville	96.4	97.4	96.9	96.9	22	3-7
Houston	89.3	90.9	90.0	90.0	19.5	1-8-1
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	110.5	110.1	110.2	110.3	28.5	8-2
Denver	99.6	100.2	98.7	99.5	15	3-7
Las Vegas	98.9	98.8	98.1	98.6	25	3-7
LA Chargers	97.5	98.3	97.8	97.9	27	5-5
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	106.5	106.1	106.9	106.5	23	7-3
Philadelphia	105.4	105.0	105.1	105.2	22.5	9-1
Washington	97.9	97.3	97.8	97.7	19	6-5
N.Y. Giants	95.9	96.9	96.8	96.5	19	7-3
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	102.4	102.3	102.8	102.5	25.5	8-2
Green Bay	100.4	99.3	99.5	99.7	21	4-7
Detroit	94.2	94.5	94.6	94.4	25.5	4-6
Chicago	93.3	93.7	93.5	93.5	21.5	3-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tampa Bay	103.6	102.8	102.8	103.1	20.5	5-5
New Orleans	99.0	97.8	98.2	98.3	22	4-7
Atlanta	94.5	94.9	94.7	94.7	25	5-6
Carolina	94.0	94.2	94.1	94.1	20.5	4-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	104.0	104.1	104.2	104.1	20	6-4
Seattle	99.1	99.3	100.4	99.6	22.5	6-4
LA Rams	99.2	98.6	98.5	98.8	20	3-7
Arizona	97.4	97.6	97.6	97.5	24.5	4-7

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Baltimore
2	Kansas City
3	Miami
4	Tennessee
5	Buffalo
6	New England
7	Cincinnati

NFC Seeding
1	Philadelphia
2	Minnesota
3	San Francisco
4	Tampa Bay
5	Dallas
6	New York Giants
7	Seattle

Wildcard Round
Kansas City over Cincinnati
New England over Miami
Buffalo over Tennessee
Seattle over Minnesota
New York Giants over San Francisco
Dallas over Tampa Bay
Divisional Round
Baltimore over New England
Kansas City over Buffalo
Philadelphia over Seattle
Dallas over New York Giants
Conference Championship
Kansas City over Baltimore
Philadelphia over Dallas
Super Bowl 57 (Glendale, AZ)
Kansas City over Philadelphia