The Pi-Rate Ratings

December 12, 2018

PiRate Ratings Selections for December 15-21 Bowls and NFL Week 15

The Return of the Land Sharps

After taking a week off to regroup, our five Land Sharps are ready to return to their hopefully winning ways after ending the season on a sour note.  As bowl season begins, Cal Gal Tiffany has opened a commanding lead in return on investment, maintaining a healthy double digit percentage profit that has been rather consistent for the last several weeks.  Tiffany admits that she knows more about numbers than football strategy, so maybe we can learn something from her.  She likes underdogs, and she likes numbers that are a half-point higher than typical game outcomes.  In other words, she has played a lot of 3 1/2, 7 1/2, 10 1/2, 14 1/2, and 17 1/2 point underdogs this year.  Tiffy believes the books know what they are doing in setting the lines, and there is no way she can outsmart them by trying to figure out which team is better or worse than the line.  She goes simply by the numbers, and it has helped her take a large lead in our little contest.

Stewed Meat is in second place, but Stewed has been playing the B-team of selections this year, because Stewed plays other picks for real and does well enough to make it a full-time profession in Nevada.

Buckeye Michelle is very unhappy.  She believes Ohio State is the only team that can beat Alabama, and her Buckeyes will not get that chance.  She also is unhappy, because she was in first place at the start of November and now has a record just above .500 with no profit.  Michelle and Tiffany are friendly rivals who have known each other for 10 years, and Tiffy has given Michie the business in recent weeks.  Now to make you more unhappy–these two ladies are what you would call “smokin’ hot” and unfortunately,  for all but two of the male gender, are taken.  The funny thing is their guys are not really into football, as they follow the Cleveland Indians and Oakland Athletics and nothing else.  It’s the two ladies that occupy their woman caves to watch their games.

Dean615 was in the lead for a few weeks, but Dean says that a heavy November schedule made it hard to find time to study.  Dean says that he has had ample time to study the bowls.  Dean is the ex-football player who played in three bowl games and knows what it is like and believes he knows which teams are there to play and which just want to collect their bling packages and start their off seasons.

Friday Dog 13 is the renegade of our Land Sharps.  He has played a lot more favorites than underdogs, and it worked until No Fave November.  The Autumn winds raided his bank account, and sent him into the red at the wrong time of the year.  Friday Dog has had extracurricular issues this Autumn and also has not had a ton of time to devote to the lines as of late, but he should be able to study the bowls with more time.  You will see his theme in his first set of picks.  He is a fan of Mid-America.

And what about the PiRates themselves?  We have been contrarians to the Land Sharps.  When the Land Sharps began the season hot and profitable, the PiRates were sinking like rocks.  Then, after we noticed that our NFL teaser picks kept winning consistently, we began to add more teaser selections, and the last 5 weeks have been somewhat profitable.  Hopefully, this isn’t the kiss of death talking about it and including more of these selections.

Let’s start with the Land Sharps and their picks for the first week of bowl games.  All five made three selections.  Four of the five took the same team, and three of the five took another team, so take this for what you believe it is worth.  Also, a majority of the picks were on the underdogs.

#1) Cal Gal Tiffany

Season: 40-30-0 57.1%

Return on Investment: 10.0%

Georgia Southern -1 1/2 vs. Eastern Michigan

Western Michigan +12 1/2 vs. BYU

Tulane -3 1/2 vs. Louisiana

 

#2) Stewed Meat

Season: 38-32-3  54.3%

Return on Investment: 3.8%

North Texas +8 vs. Utah St.

Middle Tennessee +7 1/2 vs. Appalachian St.

Western Michigan +12 1/2 vs. BYU

 

#3) Buckeye Michelle

Season: 33-30-1  52.4%

Return on Investment: 0.0%

San Diego St. +3 vs. Ohio U

Tulane -3 1/2 vs. Louisiana

Western Michigan +12 1/2 vs. BYU

 

#4) Dean615

Season: 31-29-2  51.7%

Return on Investment: -1.5%

South Florida +2 1/2 vs. Marshall

Tulane -3 1/2 vs. Louisiana

Western Michigan +12 1/2 vs. BYU

 

#5) Friday Dog 13

Season: 36-35-1  50.7%

Return on Investment: -3.5%

Northern Illinois +2 1/2 vs. UAB

Toledo -5 1/2 vs. Florida International

Ohio U -2 1/2 vs. San Diego St.

 

The PiRate Rating Picks

For the bowl season, we have been experimenting with playing the underdogs with money line selections.  It is our hypothesis that if one plays the same amount on every bowl game by taking the underdog and the best money line odds you can get, that it could be very profitable.  Since we play with imaginary currency in an imaginary bank account, it does not hurt to play $100 on every bowl game by taking the underdog and finding the best odds.  If we lose every game, we are out $0, and if it wins, and returns a profit, then maybe the public will have knowledge for the future.  Therefore, you will see us picking the underdog to win every bowl game (not playoffs) this year and shopping for the best odds.

Here are the selections for the first week of games.

Favorite Underdog Moneyline Pick
Tulane Louisiana +155 Louisiana
Utah St. North Texas +275 North Texas
Fresno St. Arizona St. +167 Arizona St.
Georgia Southern Eastern Michigan +120 Eastern Michigan
Appalachian St. Middle Tennessee +235 Middle Tennessee
UAB Northern Illinois +125 Northern Illinois
Ohio U San Diego St. +135 San Diego St.
Marshall South Florida +125 South Florida
Toledo Florida Int’l. +195 Florida Int’l.
BYU Western Michigan +400 Western Michigan

NFL Teaser Picks to date:  26-12  68.4%

NFL 
10-point Teasers
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Chicago Green Bay 17 Green Bay
Minnesota Miami 17.5 Miami
Baltimore Tampa Bay 19.5 Tampa Bay
 

 

Team Team Total Pick
Kansas City L.A. Chargers 43 Over
Chicago Green Bay 35 Over
Minnesota Miami 34.5 Over

 

NFL 
13-point Teasers
Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
Detroit Buffalo 15.5 Buffalo
Tampa Bay Baltimore 5 Baltimore
Atlanta Arizona 23 Arizona
Cincinnati Oakland 16 Oakland
 

 

Favorite Underdog Spread Pick
San Francisco Seattle 8.5 Seattle
New England Pittsburgh 14.5 Pittsburgh
Philadelphia L.A. Rams 4 L.A. Rams
Tennessee N.Y. Giants 15.5 N.Y. Giants
 

 

Team Team Total Pick
Houston N.Y. Jets 28 Over
Cleveland Denver 32.5 Over
Buffalo Detroit 25 Over
Baltimore Tampa Bay 60 Under
 

 

Team Team Total Pick
Oakland Cincinnati 33 Over
N.Y. Giants Tennessee 30.5 Over
Washington Jacksonville 49 Under
Indianapolis Dallas 34 Over
 

 

Team Team Total Pick
Seattle San Francisco 57.5 Under
L.A. Rams Philadelphia 40.5 Over
Arizona Atlanta 31 Over
New Orleans Carolina 65 Under

Remember that all of our selections on this site are strictly for entertainment purposes only.  We do not wager actual currency or coinage on these games.  We are purely a group of math statistics lovers that also love and played sports.  Please do not wager real money based only on what we publish here.

 

 

 

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December 9, 2018

PiRate Ratings–College Football Bowls & Playoffs

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:58 am

All times given are Eastern Standard

Saturday December 15
New Mexico Bowl 2:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Utah St. North Texas 11.6 10.2 12.4
Cure Bowl 2:30 PM on CBSSN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Tulane Louisiana 9.3 7.5 7.3
Las Vegas Bowl 3:30 PM on ABC
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Fresno St. Arizona St. 2.8 3.7 3.4
Camellia Bowl 5:30 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Georgia Southern Eastern Michigan -4.7 -4.2 -4.3
New Orleans Bowl 9:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Appalachian St. Middle Tennessee -0.6 -0.7 -0.2
 

 

Tuesday December 18
Boca Raton Bowl 7:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
UAB Northern Illinois -0.6 0.7 -0.2
 

 

Wednesday December 19
Frisco Bowl 8:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
San Diego St. Ohio U -8.7 -9.8 -9.4
 

 

Thursday December 20
Gasparilla Bowl 8:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
South Florida Marshall -1.9 -2.8 -3.0
 

 

Friday December 21
Bahamas Bowl 12:30 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Toledo Florida Int’l. 9.8 7.9 9.3
Idaho Potato Bowl 4:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Western Michigan BYU -11.1 -10.0 -11.2
 

 

Saturday December 22 12:00 PM on ESPN
Birmingham Bowl
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Memphis Wake Forest -2.3 0.7 0.3
Armed Forces Bowl 3:30 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Houston Army -1.3 -1.5 -1.2
Dollar General Bowl 7:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Buffalo Troy 5.6 5.8 5.1
Hawaii Bowl 10:30 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Hawaii Louisiana Tech -3.3 -3.6 -4.0
 

 

Wednesday December 26
First Responder Bowl 1:30 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Boise St. Boston College -0.3 1.7 0.5
Quick Lane Bowl 5:15 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Minnesota Georgia Tech -11.4 -11.6 -11.4
Cheez-it Bowl 9:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
TCU California 0.4 1.2 -0.8
 

 

Thursday December 27 1:30 PM on ESPN
Independence Bowl
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Duke Temple 6.4 4.1 5.0
Pinstripe Bowl 5:15 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Wisconsin Miami (Fla.) -6.5 -7.5 -7.0
Texas Bowl 9:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Baylor Vanderbilt -0.4 -2.1 -1.1
 

 

Friday December 28
Music City Bowl 1:30 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Auburn Purdue 6.8 7.2 8.4
Camping World Bowl 5:15 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Syracuse West Virginia 1.0 0.8 1.2
Arizona Bowl 5:30 PM on CBSSN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Nevada Arkansas St. 3.6 2.2 1.6
Alamo Bowl 9:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Iowa St. Washington St. -3.3 -3.9 -3.6
 

 

Saturday December 29
Peach Bowl 12:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Florida Michigan -9.7 -9.9 -9.6
Belk Bowl 12:00 PM on ABC
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
South Carolina Virginia 5.9 4.8 6.6
Cotton Bowl 4:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Clemson Notre Dame 12.6 12.9 14.3
Orange Bowl 8:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Alabama Oklahoma 19.2 18.7 20.8
 

 

Monday December 31
Redbox Bowl 3:00 PM on Fox
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Oregon Michigan St. -0.8 1.0 0.4
Military Bowl 12:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Virginia Tech Cincinnati 1.9 -0.2 1.0
Sun Bowl 2:00 PM on CBS
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Stanford Pittsburgh 5.3 4.2 6.1
Liberty Bowl 3:45 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Missouri Oklahoma St. 12.0 12.1 13.1
Holiday Bowl 7:00 PM on FS1
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Utah Northwestern 6.0 6.1 6.7
Gator Bowl 7:30 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
North Carolina St. Texas A&M -2.9 -2.7 -4.0
 

 

Tuesday January 1
Outback Bowl 12:00 PM on ESPN2
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Iowa Mississippi St. -7.5 -7.8 -9.3
Citrus Bowl 1:00 PM on ABC
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Kentucky Penn St. -6.7 -5.6 -6.5
Fiesta Bowl 1:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
LSU Central Florida 2.9 1.5 3.0
Rose Bowl 5:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Ohio St. Washington 6.9 7.1 6.6
Sugar Bowl 8:45 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Georgia Texas 14.9 14.3 17.1
 

 

Monday January 7
National Championship Game 8:00 PM on ESPN
Team 1 Team 2 PiRate Mean Bias
Bama or Okla. Clem or N. Dame

For those that need to know–these ratings include the list of star players that are sitting out their bowl so as not to risk injury prior to the 2019 NFL Draft.  For example, Will Grier will not play for West Virginia, and that is enough to switch the Mountaineers from favorite to underdog.  This includes a list through Saturday, December 9.

NOTE:  The PiRate Ratings will commence with college basketball coverage as soon as all the major conference teams have played their tenth game.  Our rating is meaningless until every team has played 10 games.

Once again, we have combined all three of our sub-ratings into one more accurate rating.  We will issue spreads on weekend games through the conference tournaments and then spreads on the conference tournament games.

Additionally, starting in Mid-January, we will see the return of our Bracketology Gurus, who in two years of existence have gotten all 68 teams in the tournament one year and 67 of the 68 teams in the other.  We hand-picked 12 not-so-angry men that love college basketball and devote about the same amount of time in analyzing college basketball data as we analyze Major League Baseball.

 

 

December 27, 2012

PiRate Picks For College and Pro Football: December 27, 2012-January 2, 2013

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 2:56 pm

This Week’s Selections

 

College

 

1. Duke +9 ½ vs. Cincinnati

 

2. UL-Monroe -7 vs. Ohio U

 

3. Rice +3 vs. Air Force

 

4. Navy +14 vs. Arizona St.

 

5. Texas +3 ½ vs. Oregon St.

 

6. L S U -5 vs. Clemson

 

7. Mississippi St. -2 vs. Northwestern

 

8. Northern Illinois +13 ½ vs. Florida St.

 

9. Florida -14 vs. Louisville

 

N F L

 

1. New York Jets +3 ½ vs. Buffalo

 

2. New England -10 vs. Miami

 

3. New York Giants -7 ½ vs. Philadelphia

 

4. Washington -3 vs. Dallas

 

5. Chicago -3 vs. Detroit

December 20, 2012

PiRate Picks For College and Pro Football: December 20-26, 2012

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:24 am

College Bowl Previews: December 20-26, 2012

 

Poinsettia Bowl at San Diego

 

Brigham Young vs. San Diego State

 

Line: BYU by 3                                             Totals: 47 ½

 

PiRate: BYU by 8.7                                      Vintage: San Diego St. by 1

 

 

Beef O’Brady’s Bowl at St. Petersburg

 

Central Florida vs. Ball State

 

Line: Central Florida by 7                           Totals: 61 ½

 

PiRate: Central Florida by 6.6                     Vintage: Central Florida by 5

 

 

New Orleans Bowl

 

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. East Carolina

 

Line: UL-Lafayette by 5                               Totals: 65 ½

 

PiRate: UL-Lafayette by 3.4                        Vintage: UL-Lafayette by 0.5

 

MAACO Bowl at Las Vegas

 

Washington vs. Boise State

 

Line: Boise St. by 5 ½                                   Totals: 44 ½

 

PiRate: Washington by 2.6                           Vintage: Boise St. by 2.5

 

Hawaii Bowl at Honolulu

 

Fresno State vs. S M U

 

Line: Fresno St. by 12 ½                               Totals: 59 ½

 

PiRate: Fresno St. by 9.7                              Vintage: Fresno St. by 17

 

Little Caesar’s Pizza Bowl at Detroit

 

Western Kentucky vs. Central Michigan

 

Line: Western Kentucky by 5 ½                  Totals: 57 ½

 

PiRate: Western Kentucky by 4.8               Vintage: Central Michigan by 1.5

 

 

This Week’s Selections

 

College

 

1. San Diego State +3 vs. Brigham Young

 

2. UL-Lafayette -5 vs. East Carolina

 

3. Boise St. -5 ½ vs. Washington

 

 

N F L

 

1. Atlanta -3 ½ vs. Detroit

 

2. Pittsburgh -3 ½ vs. Cincinnati

 

3. Philadelphia +7 vs. Washington

 

4. New York Giants -2 ½ vs. Baltimore

 

5. Minnesota +7 ½ vs. Houston

 

6. Arizona +5 ½ vs. Chicago

 

7. 6-point Teaser

Green Bay -6 ½ vs. Tennessee

Carolina -2 vs. Oakland

 

8. 6-point Teaser

Pittsburgh +2 ½ vs. Cincinnati

Indianapolis -5 vs. Kansas City

 

9. 6-point Teaser

Denver -7 vs. Cleveland

Minnesota +13 ½ vs. Houston

 

December 13, 2012

PiRate Picks For College and Pro Football–December 13-17, 2012

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:15 am

College

Bowl season kicks off Saturday with two games on the schedule.  Nevada and Arizona face off in the New Mexico Bowl in Tucson, and Toledo and Utah State play in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl in Boise.  We are going to pick every bowl game against the spread, but these are not “official picks” unless we indicate them as so.

 

New Mexico Bowl: Arizona -9 ½ vs. Nevada

PiRate Pick: Nevada

 

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Utah St. -10 ½ vs. Toledo

PiRate Pick: Toledo

 

PiRate 13-point Teaser

Nevada +22 ½ vs. Arizona

Toledo +23 ½ vs. Utah St.

Nevada and Arizona UNDER 89

Toledo and Utah St. OVER 45 ½

 

N F L

This has been one of those topsy-turvy seasons in the NFL, and our picks have followed that same trend.  We have a lousy week one week and then go 5-0 the next.  Overall, we are above the waterline, posting a small profit for the season, but we are not getting clients banned from sports books this year like we did in 2011.   We’re going with seven selections this week.

 

1. Cincinnati -4 ½ vs. Philadelphia

Bengals absolutely must win this game or they are almost assuredly out of the playoff race.  The Eagles showed signs of life last week, but can they do it two weeks in a row with nothing to play for?  We see Cinti winning by double-digits on the final Thursday night game of the season.

 

2. St. Louis -3 vs. Minnesota

Jeff Fisher-coached teams have a knack for shutting down opponents that must run the ball to succeed.  This Rams defense will not shut down Adrian Peterson, but they will lower his rushing average by one and a half to two yards per attempt.  Christian Ponder will not get it done, and the Rams will move above .500 and stay alive in the playoff race, while knocking the Vikings out of contention.

 

3. Buffalo +5 ½ vs. Seattle (game played in Toronto)

Seattle must travel 2,500 miles east to Ontario and play in a game three times zones ahead.  This comes after the Seahawks destroyed Arizona last week.  We see a major bounce this week and believe the Bills have a shot at the upset.  We’ll take the points here, thinking that if Seattle wins, it will be very close.  We just hope it doesn’t go to overtime.  Six points would kill us here.

 

4. 13-point Teaser

Cincinnati +8 ½ vs. Philadelphia

Chicago +16 vs. Green Bay

New York Giants +14 ½ vs. Atlanta

Tampa Bay +16 ½ vs. New Orleans

 

5. 13-point Teaser

New Orleans +9 ½ vs. Tampa Bay

St. Louis +10 vs. Minnesota

Cleveland +14 vs. Washington

Denver +10 ½ vs. Baltimore

 

6. 13-point Teaser

Indianapolis +22 vs. Houston

Carolina +16 vs. San Diego

Buffalo +18 ½ vs. Seattle

Pittsburgh +11 ½ vs. Dallas

 

7. 13-point Teaser

Dallas +14 ½ vs. Pittsburgh

Oakland +10 vs. Kansas City

New England +7 ½ vs. San Francisco

New York Jets +14 ½ vs. Tennessee

December 23, 2011

PiRate Picks For College And Pro Football–December 23-29, 2011

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:18 pm

Have Yourself A Merry Little Windfall, But Not From These Picks

Oh, what a festive weekend!  Even in these trying times for many, we all have something to be thankful for.  For us here at the PiRate Ratings, we are so thankful for our families and friends, of which there are many. 

 

Now, of course, if there is some secret Santa out there, we wouldn’t mind a really excellent closing to our NFL football ratings’ season.  By excellent, we are not talking about a particular team.  The PiRate Ratings have moved up to number two in the overall against the spread comparison in The Prediction Tracker, just a slice of a percentage behind number one.  Never mind, Santa.  You have a lot more to do in the next couple of days. We’ll have to try to reach your female friend, Lady Luck.

 

Okay, here are our merry picks this week.

 

1. 13-point Teaser

Independence Bowl: Missouri +8 vs. North Carolina

Belk Bowl: Louisville +14 ½ vs. North Carolina State

Holiday Bowl: Texas +10 vs. California

Champ Sports Bowl: Florida State +10 vs. Notre Dame

 

2. 10-point Teaser

Oakland +12 ½ vs. Kansas City

Denver +7 vs. Buffalo

New England + ½ vs. Miami

 

3. 10-point Teaser

Baltimore – 2 ½ vs. Cleveland

Washington +3 ½ vs. Minnesota

Green Bay -2 vs. Chicago

 

4. 13-point Teaser

Tennessee +5 ½ vs. Jacksonville

Cincinnati +9 vs. Arizona

Giants +16 vs. Jets

Pittsburgh -1 vs. St. Louis

 

5. 13-point Teaser

Oakland & Kansas City OVER 29

Jacksonville & Tennessee OVER 27

Cincinnati & Arizona OVER 28

Cleveland & Baltimore OVER 25 ½

December 16, 2011

PiRate Picks For College And Pro Football–December 16-22, 2011

Filed under: PiRate Picks_College & Pro — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 12:19 pm

We Won’t Get Bowled Over With Too Many Selections

The bowl season commences Saturday with the New Mexico, Famous Idaho Potato, and New Orleans Bowl.  The Beef O’Brady’s, Poinsettia, and MAACO Bowls will be played in the next seven days, giving us a chance to play a troika of college selections.

 

We are going to throw a pair of NFL 13-point teasers to give us five quality selections for the week.

 

1. New Mexico Bowl: Wyoming +7 vs. Temple

This should be an exciting, hard-fought game won in the trenches.  Temple will attempt to grind it out in three yards and a cloud of dust running, while Wyoming will try to spread the field and force the Owls to defend 53 yards wide.  The Cowboy blocking corps will be pressed to protect their QB, and it will provide the viewer with an excellent contrast in styles.  We believe this game will be close, but Wyoming will be able to strike quickly with a cheap score.  We cannot see that happening for Temple, so we will take the underdogs and get a TD straight up.

 

2. Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Utah State -1 vs. Ohio U

Utah State had some rough outings early in the season, but the Aggies rebounded to win big down the stretch.  Truth be told, USU just might be the best team in the WAC right now.

 

When Ohio punter Paul Hershey tweeted his dislike for going to Boise for a bowl, it got a lot of press, but not many sports media writers read between the lines.  Hershey obviously was relaying his teammates reaction when they were overlooked for the Little Caesar’s Pizza Bowl.  We seriously question the desire of the Bobcats in this game, while Utah State is very happy to be playing at the blue field.

 

3. 13-point teaser

New Orleans Bowl: Louisiana-Lafayette +18 vs. San Diego St.

Beef O’Brady’s Bowl: Marshall +17 vs. Florida International

Poinsettia Bowl: T C U +3 vs. Louisiana Tech

MAACO Bowl: Boise State -1 vs. Arizona State.

 

4. 13-point NFL teaser

Green Bay – ½ vs. Kansas City

New Orleans +6 ½ vs. Minnesota

Seattle & Chicago OVER 22 ½

Tennessee +6 ½ vs. Indianapolis

 

5. 13-point NFL teaser

Cincinnati & St. Louis OVER 27

Detroit +12 vs. Oakland

New England +5 ½ vs. Denver

Arizona +6 ½ vs. Cleveland

December 10, 2011

PiRate Ratings: College Football Bowls 2011-12

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:19 pm

Check Back Monday For Round One Of Simulated College Playoffs

The first round of the 2011-12 college football simulated playoffs were simulated Friday, and the results will be posted Monday, December 12.  Check back to see which four teams won and which four lost as we pare down from the Dandy Dozen to the Elite Eight.

 

Now to get back to reality, here are the ratings for the real season—the one that ends with 34 dull bowls and one that means anything.

 

Even the old pre-BCS system would be preferable to the way things are today.  The New Year’s bowl games are not worth tuning in any more.  The one event that is meaningful on New Year’s is the NHL Winter Classic.

 

Let’s look at how New Year’s Day (actually January 2 this year) might have been if the old system was still in place.

 

Sugar Bowl:  L S U vs. Stanford

Cotton Bowl: Kansas State vs. Alabama

Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Wisconsin

Orange Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Clemson

 

These four games would all be meaningful, and three of the four could have played a part in the National Championship.  If Stanford upset LSU in the early game, then Alabama and Oklahoma State would still have a shot at the title, and all four teams could have ended up with one of the big four or five national championships.  In our opinion, it is better to have split champions than to exclude a team from having a chance.  It is much better for the bowls, because to be frank, we will not watch the first 34 bowls.  On New Year’s Day, we will have NFL Playoffs this year, but we will not watch the bowls on January 2; there is nothing entertaining about them, especially with one game being played against two 6-6 teams.

 

Final Regular Season PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

1

L S U

139.6

2

Alabama

135.1

3

Oklahoma St.

131.5

4

Southern Cal

130.9

5

Oregon

128.3

6

Stanford

127.2

7

Wisconsin

126.8

8

Arkansas

123.6

9

Oklahoma

121.6

10

Florida St.

120.3

11

Boise St.

120.0

12

Michigan

119.2

13

Michigan St.

118.9

14

TexasA&M

118.5

15

Georgia 

116.8

16

Baylor

116.8

17

Notre Dame

116.7

18

S. Carolina

115.9

19

T C U

114.5

20

Houston

114.4

21

Kansas St.

113.9

22

California

113.9

23

Clemson

113.6

24

Missouri

113.6

25

Texas

113.1

26

Nebraska

112.0

27

Virginia Tech

111.5

28

Vanderbilt

111.3

29

B Y U

111.0

30

Florida 

110.6

31

LouisianaTech

109.3

32

Utah

109.0

33

Arizona St.

108.9

34

Southern Miss.

108.8

35

Miami(FL)

108.8

36

Mississippi St.

108.7

37

Washington

108.5

38

Ohio St.

108.1

39

Nevada

107.6

40

W. Virginia

106.9

41

Cincinnati

106.5

42

Tulsa

106.4

43

Georgia Tech

105.8

44

N. Carolina St.

105.7

45

Penn St.

105.4

46

U C L A

105.4

47

BostonColl.

105.1

48

N. Carolina

105.0

49

Pittsburgh

104.6

50

Oregon St.

104.4

51

Iowa

104.3

52

Iowa St.

103.9

53

Louisville

103.7

54

Auburn

103.5

55

Northwestern

103.3

56

Virginia

102.8

57

Arizona

102.8

58

Washington St.

102.1

59

Tennessee

101.7

60

S. Florida

100.6

61

Air Force

100.4

62

WakeForest

100.3

63

Toledo

99.9

64

Temple

99.4

65

Rutgers

98.8

66

Utah St.

98.4

67

Purdue

98.3

68

Illinois

98.0

69

San Diego St.

97.3

70

Minnesota

97.2

71

Connecticut

97.1

72

TexasTech

96.9

73

Arkansas St.

95.8

74

Colorado

95.4

75

Wyoming

95.3

76

Western Michigan

95.3

77

Duke

95.3

78

Central Florida

95.2

79

Kentucky

94.9

80

Navy

94.9

81

Northern Illinois

94.8

82

San Jose St.

93.6

83

S M U

91.9

84

Maryland

91.6

85

East Carolina

91.4

86

Syracuse

91.2

87

Fresno St.

91.1

88

Hawaii

90.6

89

Miami(O)

90.2

90

WesternKy.

89.6

91

OhioU

89.3

92

FloridaInt’l

89.2

93

Kansas

89.1

94

Ole Miss

88.7

95

UL-Lafayette

86.8

96

UL-Monroe

86.0

97

U T E P

85.5

98

Marshall

84.9

99

North Texas

84.8

100

Bowling Green

84.2

101

Rice

83.9

102

Colorado St.

83.9

103

Army

83.5

104

Ball St.

82.9

105

Eastern Michigan

82.0

106

Indiana

82.0

107

Kent St.

81.9

108

Idaho

81.5

109

New Mexico St.

80.7

110

U A B

78.8

111

U N L V

76.9

112

Central Michigan

76.5

113

Buffalo

76.0

114

Troy

74.6

115

New Mexico

71.0

116

Tulane

70.5

117

Memphis

68.0

118

MiddleTennessee

67.2

119

FloridaAtlantic

64.0

120

Akron

57.4

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

FloridaState

5-3

8-4

120.3

Clemson   √

6-2

10-3

113.6

North CarolinaState

4-4

7-5

105.7

BostonCollege

3-5

4-8

105.1

WakeForest

5-3

6-6

100.3

Maryland

1-7

2-10

91.6

       
Coastal Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Virginia Tech

7-1

11-2

111.5

Miami-FL

3-5

6-6

108.8

Georgia Tech

5-3

8-4

105.8

North Carolina

3-5

7-5

105.0

Virginia

5-3

8-4

102.8

Duke

1-7

3-9

95.3

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

West Virginia   √

5-2

9-3

106.9

Cincinnati

5-2

9-3

106.5

Pittsburgh

4-3

6-6

104.6

Louisville

5-2

7-5

103.7

South Florida

1-6

5-7

100.6

Rutgers

4-3

8-4

98.8

Connecticut

3-4

5-7

97.1

Syracuse

1-6

5-7

91.2

 

Big Ten

       
Leaders Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Wisconsin   √

6-2

11-2

126.8

PennState

6-2

9-3

105.4

OhioState

3-5

6-6

108.1

Illinois

2-6

6-6

98.0

Purdue

4-4

6-6

98.3

Indiana

0-8

1-11

82.0

       
Legends Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Michigan

6-2

10-2

119.2

MichiganState

7-1

10-3

118.9

Nebraska

5-3

9-3

112.0

Iowa

4-4

7-5

104.3

Northwestern

3-5

6-6

103.3

Minnesota

2-6

3-9

97.2

 

Big 12

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

OklahomaState   √

8-1

11-1

131.5

Oklahoma

6-3

9-3

121.6

TexasA&M

4-5

6-6

118.5

Baylor

6-3

9-3

116.8

KansasState

7-2

10-2

113.9

Missouri

5-4

7-5

113.6

Texas

4-5

7-5

113.1

IowaState

3-6

6-6

103.9

TexasTech

2-7

5-7

96.9

Kansas

0-9

2-10

89.1

 

Conference USA

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Southern Mississippi   *

6-2

11-2

108.8

Central Florida

3-5

5-7

95.2

East Carolina

4-4

5-7

91.4

Marshall

5-3

6-6

84.9

U A B

3-5

3-9

78.8

Memphis

1-7

2-10

68.0

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Houston

8-0

12-1

114.4

Tulsa

7-1

8-4

106.4

S M U

5-3

7-5

91.9

U T E P

2-6

5-7

85.5

Rice

3-5

4-8

83.9

Tulane

1-7

2-11

70.5

 

Independents

       
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Notre Dame  

8-4

116.7

B Y U  

9-3

111.0

Navy  

4-7

95.4

Army  

3-8

83.0

 

Mid American Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Temple

5-3

8-4

99.4

Miami(O)

3-5

4-8

90.2

OhioU

6-2

9-4

89.3

Bowling Green

3-5

5-7

84.2

Kent St.

4-4

5-7

81.9

Buffalo

2-6

3-9

76.0

Akron

0-8

1-11

57.4

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Toledo

7-1

8-4

99.9

Western Michigan

5-3

7-5

95.3

Northern Illinois   * 

7-1

10-3

94.8

BallState

4-4

6-6

82.9

Eastern Michigan

4-4

6-6

82.0

Central Michigan

2-6

3-9

76.5

 

Mountain West Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

BoiseState

6-1

11-1

120.0

T C U   *

7-0

10-2

114.5

Air Force

3-4

7-5

100.4

San DiegoState

5-3

8-4

97.3

Wyoming

5-2

8-4

95.3

ColoradoState

1-6

3-9

83.9

UNLV

1-6

2-10

76.9

New Mexico

1-6

1-11

71.0

 

Pac-12 Conference

       
North Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Oregon   √

8-1

11-2

128.3

Stanford

8-1

11-1

127.2

California

4-5

7-5

113.9

Washington

5-4

7-5

108.5

OregonState

3-6

3-9

104.4

WashingtonState

2-7

4-8

102.1

       
South Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

U S C

7-2

10-2

130.9

Utah

4-5

7-5

109.0

ArizonaState

4-5

6-6

108.9

U C L A

5-4

6-7

105.4

Arizona

2-7

4-8

102.8

Colorado

2-7

3-10

95.4

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Georgia

7-1

10-3

116.8

South Carolina

6-2

10-2

115.9

Vanderbilt

2-6

6-6

111.3

Florida

3-5

6-6

110.6

Tennessee

1-7

5-7

101.7

Kentucky

2-6

5-7

94.9

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

L S U   √

8-0

13-0

139.6

Alabama

7-1

11-1

135.1

Arkansas

6-2

10-2

123.6

MississippiState

2-6

6-6

108.7

Auburn

4-4

7-5

103.5

Ole Miss

0-8

2-10

88.7

 

Sunbelt Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

ArkansasState   *

8-0

10-2

95.8

Western Kentucky

7-1

7-5

89.6

FloridaInternational

5-3

8-4

89.2

U.ofLouisiana

6-2

8-4

86.8

Louisiana-Monroe

3-5

4-8

86.0

North Texas

4-4

5-7

84.8

Troy

2-6

3-9

74.6

MiddleTennessee

1-7

2-10

67.2

FloridaAtlantic

0-8

1-11

64.0

 

Western Athletic Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

LouisianaTech   *

6-1

8-4

109.3

Nevada

5-2

7-5

107.6

UtahState

5-2

7-5

98.4

San JoseState

3-4

5-7

93.6

FresnoState

3-4

4-9

91.1

Hawaii

3-4

6-7

90.6

Idaho

1-6

2-10

81.5

New MexicoState

2-5

4-9

80.7

 

2011-12 PiRate Spreads For Bowls

     

PiRate Spread

 

 

Bowl Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

New Mexico Temple Wyoming

4.1

28-24

6 1/2

Famous Idaho Potato Utah State Ohio U

9.1

30-21

3   

New Orleans San Diego St. Louisiana-Lafayette

8.5

33-24

5   

Beef O’Brady’s Florida Int’l Marshall

5.3

24-19

4   

Poinsettia T C U Louisiana Tech

5.2

28-23

10 1/2

MAACO Boise St. Arizona St.

11.1

38-27

14   

Hawaii Southern Miss. Nevada

1.2

35-34

6   

Independence Missouri North Carolina

8.6

28-19

4 1/2

Little Caesar’s Pizza Purdue Western Mich.

3.0

31-28

2 1/2

Belk North Carolina St. Louisville

4.0

27-23

2 1/2

Military Air Force Toledo

0.5

35-34

-3   

Holiday California Texas

0.8

22-21

-3 1/2

Champs Sports Florida St. Notre Dame

4.6

26-21

3   

Alamo Baylor Washington

9.3

41-32

9   

Armed Forces B Y U Tulsa

4.6

38-33

2 1/2

Pinstripe Iowa St. Rutgers

3.1

27-24

-2   

Music City Mississippi St. Wake Forest

8.4

20-12

6 1/2

Insight Oklahoma Iowa

17.3

34-17

14   

Meineke Car Care of Texas Texas A&M Northwestern

16.2

44-28

10   

Sun Utah Georgia Tech

3.2

34-31

-3 1/2

Kraft Fight Hunger U C L A Illinois

7.4

28-21

-2 1/2

Liberty Vanderbilt Cincinnati

4.8

31-26

2 1/2

Chick-fil-A Auburn Virginia

0.7

24-23

1   

TicketCity Houston Penn State

9.0

29-20

5 1/2

Capital One South Carolina Nebraska

3.9

20-16

2   

Gator Florida Ohio St.

4.5

21-16

2   

Outback Michigan St. Georgia

2.1

30-28

-3 1/2

Rose Oregon Wisconsin

1.5

37-35

6   

Fiesta Oklahoma St. Stanford

4.3

42-38

3 1/2

Sugar Michigan Virginia Tech

7.7

24-16

2   

Orange Clemson West Virginia

6.7

31-24

3 1/2

Cotton Arkansas Kansas St.

9.7

34-24

7 1/2

BBVA Compass Pittsburgh S M U

12.7

27-14

5   

GoDaddy.com Arkansas St. Northern Illinois

1.0

29-28

1 1/2

National Championship L S U Alabama

6.5

16-9

1   

 

November 28, 2011

PiRate Ratings: College Football for December 1-10, 2011

It’s Open Season On Coaching Jobs

It started early this year.  New Mexico was forced to dismiss Mike Locksley early, and the Lobos were quick to name former Notre Dame coach Bob Davie as their new coach.  Ohio State’s job was available as soon as the Buckeyes lost their second game.  To say the brass in Columbus did not know who they wanted from the start was an “Urban” myth.

 

Ole Miss terminated Houston Nutt.  Arizona and Mike Stoops parted ways.  Joe Paterno lost his job over off the field issues.  Then, Bob Toledo was sent on his way from Tulane.

 

The floodgates soon opened, and by Sunday, the list of coaching vacancies had swelled.  At its worst, Akron fired Rob Ianello over the phone while he was driving to his mother’s funeral.  What a tasteless act!  A pox on the program, the Zips should be punished with 30 losing seasons in a row and a bankrupt athletic department.  How would any honest, hard-working coach ever want to sign on with the Zips?

 

If you ever wanted to find a living example of the Peter Principle, then look at Champaign-Urbana, Illinois.  Ron Zook proved for the second time that he is not up to the task of handling a major college football program.  The Illini dismissed Zook Sunday following their sixth consecutive loss after beginning the season 6-0 with talent strong enough to contend for the Leaders Division title.  Zook should be a recruiter and an assistant coach.  He admitted earlier this season that he did not know the score of more than one game when he made decisions to go for two points following a touchdown.

 

More vacancies are sure to come.  Rick Neuheisel is expected to be fired as soon as his UCLA Bruins lose at Oregon this week.  He could even lose his job if the Bruins upset the Ducks and earn a Rose Bowl bid.  With Meyer filling the Ohio State vacancy and former Michigan and West Virginia coach Rich Rodriguez filling the Arizona vacancy, the vacancy in Westwood becomes the cream of the crop if it indeed becomes a vacancy.  You have to believe the Penn State job will not be as enticing.

 

As The Leach Turns

Mike Leach, an honorary member of the PiRate Ratings, will be considered for many of the coaching vacancies this year.  Fans at Kansas, Ole Miss, Washington State, Arizona State, Tulane, Florida Atlantic, and UAB have already begun to talk about Leach being at or near the top of their wish list.  As soon as Neuheisel is let go at UCLA, Leach fever will break out in Westwood.

 

Leach does not understand the principle of tactfulness.  Like Howard Cosell, he tells it like it is, and the “good ole boys network” does not like 100% honesty coming forth from their employees.  It’s the company line or the unemployment line, and Leach is doing quite well as a sports talk show host.  Throw in a wrongful termination suit against Texas Tech (which appears to be justified) and a lawsuit against ESPN, and Ron Zook may have a better chance getting hired for one of these coaching vacancies. 

 

Gary Barnett took a Northwestern program that had been 0-11 or 1-10 over 50% of the time in the 20 years prior to his coming to Evanston.  He guided the Wildcats to the Rose Bowl.  He went to Boulder and guided Colorado to a Big 12 Championship, yet he found himself unemployed following an incident in which he used tactics to encourage a female placekicker to quit the team.  No school ever approached him following his termination, and Leach could very well be in the same boat.

 

The Big East Isn’t As Messy Now

After a wild week of games on the Eastern Seaboard, the race for the automatic bid to a BCS Bowl comes down to three teams in the Big East’s final weekend.  Louisville defeated South Florida to become one of the three finalists.  The Cardinals do not control their own destiny, and they will be on the sidelines anxiously awaiting the results of games to be played Thursday and Saturday.

 

West Virginia ventures to Tampa Thursday night to take on South Florida.  If the Mountaineers win, then Cincinnati is eliminated from the race.  If West Virginia loses, then Cincinnati would then control their own destiny.  The Bearcats host Connecticut Saturday.

 

If West Virginia and Cincinnati both win, then West Virginia is the Big East Champion in a three-way tiebreaker.  If West Virginia wins and Cincinnati loses to Connecticut, then Louisville is the winner in a two-way tiebreaker.  If West Virginia loses and Cincinnati wins, then Cincinnati bests Louisville in a two-way tiebreaker.  Of course, if both West Virginia and Cincinnati both lose, Louisville wins the conference outright.

 

According to game theory, Louisville has two options to win the conference championship, while WVU and Cinti have just one.  So, Louisville is the favorite to get the BCS bowl bid.  Regardless of which team wins, that team will be the 10th and final BCS bowl selection, and they will play the ACC Champion in the Orange Bowl, which has the final pick this year.

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

#

Team

PiRate

1

L S U

137.8

2

Alabama

135.1

3

Southern Cal

130.9

4

Oregon

129.5

5

Stanford

127.2

6

Wisconsin

127.1

7

Oklahoma

126.8

8

Oklahoma St.

126.3

9

Arkansas

123.6

10

Florida St.

120.3

11

Houston

119.9

12

Boise St.

119.9

13

Michigan

119.2

14

Georgia 

118.6

15

Michigan St.

118.6

16

Texas A&M

118.5

17

Virginia Tech

116.8

18

Texas

116.8

19

Notre Dame

116.7

20

S. Carolina

115.9

21

Kansas St.

114.2

22

T C U

114.1

23

California

113.9

24

Missouri

113.6

25

Baylor

113.1

26

Nebraska

112.0

27

Vanderbilt

111.3

28

Florida 

110.6

29

B Y U

109.9

30

Louisiana Tech

109.3

31

Utah

109.0

32

Arizona St.

108.9

33

Miami (FL)

108.8

34

Mississippi St.

108.7

35

Washington

108.5

36

Clemson

108.3

37

Ohio St.

108.1

38

W. Virginia

106.8

39

Tulsa

106.4

40

Cincinnati

106.4

41

Georgia Tech

105.8

42

N. Carolina St.

105.7

43

Penn St.

105.4

44

Boston Coll.

105.1

45

N. Carolina

105.0

46

Pittsburgh

104.8

47

Oregon St.

104.4

48

Iowa

104.3

49

U C L A

104.2

50

Nevada

103.8

51

Louisville

103.7

52

Iowa St.

103.6

53

Auburn

103.5

54

Southern Miss.

103.3

55

Northwestern

103.3

56

Virginia

102.8

57

Arizona

102.8

58

Washington St.

102.1

59

Tennessee

101.7

60

S. Florida

100.7

61

Air Force

100.4

62

Wake Forest

100.3

63

Toledo

99.9

64

Temple

99.4

65

Utah St.

98.9

66

Rutgers

98.8

67

Purdue

98.3

68

Illinois

98.0

69

San Diego St.

97.2

70

Connecticut

97.2

71

Minnesota

97.2

72

Texas Tech

96.9

73

Wyoming

95.6

74

Navy

95.4

75

Colorado

95.4

76

Western Michigan

95.3

77

Duke

95.3

78

Central Florida

95.2

79

Northern Illinois

95.0

80

Kentucky

94.9

81

Arkansas St.

94.5

82

San Jose St.

93.6

83

S M U

91.9

84

Hawaii

91.7

85

Maryland

91.6

86

East Carolina

91.4

87

Fresno St.

91.2

88

Syracuse

91.0

89

Miami (O)

90.2

90

Western Ky.

89.6

91

Florida Int’l

89.2

92

Ohio U

89.1

93

Kansas

89.1

94

Ole Miss

88.7

95

UL-Lafayette

86.8

96

U T E P

85.5

97

Idaho

85.3

98

Marshall

84.9

99

UL-Monroe

84.8

100

Bowling Green

84.2

101

Rice

83.9

102

Colorado St.

83.6

103

Army

83.0

104

Ball St.

82.9

105

Eastern Michigan

82.0

106

Indiana

82.0

107

Kent St.

81.9

108

New Mexico St.

80.2

109

North Texas

79.3

110

U A B

78.8

111

U N L V

77.3

112

Central Michigan

76.5

113

Buffalo

76.0

114

Troy

75.9

115

Middle Tennessee

72.7

116

New Mexico

71.1

117

Tulane

70.5

118

Memphis

68.0

119

Florida Atlantic

65.2

120

Akron

57.4

 

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

* = team has clinched conference or division title

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

FloridaState

5-3

8-4

120.3

Clemson

6-2 *

9-3

108.3

North CarolinaState

4-4

7-5

105.7

BostonCollege

3-5

4-8

105.1

WakeForest

5-3

6-6

100.3

Maryland

1-7

2-10

91.6

       
Coastal Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Virginia Tech

7-1 *

11-1

116.8

Miami-FL

3-5

6-6

108.8

Georgia Tech

5-3

8-4

105.8

North Carolina

3-5

7-5

105.0

Virginia

5-3

8-4

102.8

Duke

1-7

3-9

95.3

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

West Virginia

4-2

8-3

106.8

Cincinnati

4-2

8-3

106.4

Pittsburgh

3-3

5-6

104.8

Louisville

5-2

7-5

103.7

South Florida

1-5

5-6

100.7

Rutgers

4-3

8-4

98.8

Connecticut

3-3

5-6

97.2

Syracuse

1-5

5-6

91.0

 

Big Ten

       
Leaders Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Wisconsin

6-2 *

10-2

127.1

Penn State

6-2

9-3

105.4

Ohio State

3-5

6-6

108.1

Illinois

2-6

6-6

98.0

Purdue

4-4

6-6

98.3

Indiana

0-8

1-11

82.0

       
Legends Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Michigan

6-2

10-2

119.2

Michigan State

7-1 *

10-2

118.6

Nebraska

5-3

9-3

112.0

Iowa

4-4

7-5

104.3

Northwestern

3-5

6-6

103.3

Minnesota

2-6

3-9

97.2

 

Big 12

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Oklahoma

6-2

9-2

126.8

Oklahoma State

7-1

10-1

126.3

Texas A&M

4-5

6-6

118.5

Texas

4-4

7-4

116.8

Kansas State

6-2

9-2

114.2

Missouri

5-4

7-5

113.6

Baylor

5-3

8-3

113.1

Iowa State

3-5

6-5

103.6

Texas Tech

2-7

5-7

96.9

Kansas

0-9

2-10

89.1

 

Conference USA

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Southern Mississippi

6-2 *

10-2

103.3

Central Florida

3-5

5-7

95.2

East Carolina

4-4

5-7

91.4

Marshall

5-3

6-6

84.9

U A B

3-5

3-9

78.8

Memphis

1-7

2-10

68.0

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Houston

8-0 *

12-0

119.9

Tulsa

7-1

8-4

106.4

S M U

5-3

7-5

91.9

U T E P

2-6

5-7

85.5

Rice

3-5

4-8

83.9

Tulane

1-7

2-11

70.5

 

Independents

       
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Notre Dame  

8-4

116.7

B Y U  

8-3

109.9

Navy  

4-7

95.4

Army  

3-8

83.0

 

Mid American Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Temple

5-3

8-4

99.4

Miami (O)

3-5

4-8

90.2

Ohio U

6-2 *

9-3

89.1

Bowling Green

3-5

5-7

84.2

Kent St.

4-4

5-7

81.9

Buffalo

2-6

3-9

76.0

Akron

0-8

1-11

57.4

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Toledo

7-1

8-4

99.9

Western Michigan

5-3

7-5

95.3

Northern Illinois

7-1 *

9-3

95.0

Ball State

4-4

6-6

82.9

Eastern Michigan

4-4

6-6

82.0

Central Michigan

2-6

3-9

76.5

 

Mountain West Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Boise State

5-1

10-1

119.9

T C U

6-0 *

9-2

114.1

Air Force

3-4

7-5

100.4

San Diego State

4-3

7-4

97.2

Wyoming

4-2

7-4

95.6

Colorado State

1-5

3-8

83.6

UNLV

1-5

2-9

77.3

New Mexico

1-5

1-10

71.1

 

Pac-12 Conference

       
North Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Oregon

8-1 *

10-2

129.5

Stanford

8-1

11-1

127.2

California

4-5

7-5

113.9

Washington

5-4

7-5

108.5

Oregon State

3-6

3-9

104.4

Washington State

2-7

4-8

102.1

       
South Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

U S C

7-2

10-2

130.9

Utah

4-5

7-5

109.0

Arizona State

4-5

6-6

108.9

U C L A

5-4 *

6-6

104.2

Arizona

2-7

4-8

102.8

Colorado

2-7

3-10

95.4

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Georgia

7-1 *

10-2

118.6

South Carolina

6-2

10-2

115.9

Vanderbilt

2-6

6-6

111.3

Florida

3-5

6-6

110.6

Tennessee

1-7

5-7

101.7

Kentucky

2-6

5-7

94.9

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

L S U

8-0 *

12-0

137.8

Alabama

7-1

11-1

135.1

Arkansas

6-2

10-2

123.6

Mississippi State

2-6

6-6

108.7

Auburn

4-4

7-5

103.5

Ole Miss

0-8

2-10

88.7

 

Sunbelt Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Arkansas State

7-0 *

9-2

94.5

Western Kentucky

7-1

7-5

89.6

Florida International

5-3

8-4

89.2

U. of Louisiana

6-2

8-4

86.8

Louisiana-Monroe

2-5

3-8

84.8

North Texas

3-4

4-7

79.3

Troy

2-5

3-8

75.9

Middle Tennessee

1-6

2-9

72.7

Florida Atlantic

0-7

1-10

65.2

 

Western Athletic Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

LouisianaTech

6-1 *

8-4

109.3

Nevada

4-2

6-5

103.8

Utah State

4-2

6-5

98.9

San Jose State

3-4

5-7

93.6

Hawaii

3-4

6-6

91.7

Fresno State

3-4

4-8

91.2

Idaho

1-5

2-9

85.3

New Mexico State

2-4

4-8

80.2

 

 

Final Regular Season Games (12/1 to 12/10)

This Week’s Games–PiRate Ratings

   

 

 

 

Thursday, December 1  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

West Virginia SOUTH FLORIDA

3.1

27-24

1   

   

 

 

 

Friday, December 2  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

Northern Illinois   (n) Ohio U

5.9

30-24

3   

OREGON U c l a

28.3

38-10

30 1/2

   

 

 

 

Saturday, December 3  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

CINCINNATI Connecticut

12.2

32-20

9 1/2

PITTSBURGH Syracuse

16.8

27-10

13   

KANSAS ST. Iowa St.

13.6

31-17

12   

Wyoming COLORADO ST.

9.5

24-14

5   

T C U U n l v

39.8

47-7

40 1/2

OKLAHOMA ST. Oklahoma

2.0

35-33

3   

Texas BAYLOR

1.2

29-28

-2 1/2

NEVADA Idaho

21.0

42-21

19   

BOISE ST. New Mexico

51.8

52-0

52   

B y u HAWAII

14.2

35-21

8   

Utah St. NEW MEXICO ST.

16.2

37-21

14   

SAN DIEGO ST. Fresno St.

8.5

33-24

6 1/2

ARKANSAS ST. Troy

21.1

34-13

13   

NORTH TEXAS Middle Tennessee

9.6

27-17

7   

Louisiana-Monroe FLORIDA ATLANTIC

17.1

34-17

11 1/2

HOUSTON Southern Miss.

19.6

41-21

16 1/2

L s u    (n) Georgia

17.7

35-17

10   

Virginia Tech    (n) Clemson

8.5

28-19

4 1/2

Wisconsin     (n) Michigan St.

8.5

35-26

7 1/2

   

 

 

 

Saturday, December 10  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

Navy     (n) Army

12.4

24-12

NL

 

Bowl Predictions

At this point of the season, we are no longer making predictions on bowl games.  Instead, we are perusing the media for incites into which way the bowls are leaning.  For instance, from sport talk radio this morning, we have heard the rumor that the Gator Bowl is going to go after Florida and Ohio State due to the Urban Meyer factor.  Thus, when we predict this matchup, it is no longer our true prediction, but our repetition of the rumor.  We do not rely on any online bowl speculations; we are looking for legitimate media reports.  If there are no specific reports concerning a particular bowl, then we do the speculating based on an educated guess.

 

Teams in Italics have already accepted the bowl bid

* = At-large Team

 

As of today, we are projecting 71 teams to be bowl eligible after this weekend.  The 70th spot will come down to a choice between Ball State and Illinois, unless something occurs with Penn State.  There is a move afoot for the bowls not to invite the Nittany Lions, but as of this writing, there is no legal means to do so.

 

Bowl

Conference

Conference

Team

Team

New Mexico

MWC #4

Pac12 #7 / WAC

San Diego St.

Temple *

Famous Idaho Potato

MAC #3

WAC

Toledo

Utah St.

New Orleans

Sunbelt #1

C-USA

U. of Louisiana

Marshall

Beef O’Brady’s

Big East #6

C-USA

South Florida

Florida Int’l *

Poinsettia

MWC #2

WAC

T C U

Louisiana Tech

MAACO

MWC #1

Pac 12 #5

Boise St.

Arizona St.

Hawaii

WAC

C-USA

Nevada

S M U

Independence

ACC #7

MWC #3

North Carolina

Wyoming

Little Caesar’s Pizza

Big 10 #8

MAC #2

Northwestern

Western Mich.

Belk

ACC #5

Big East #3

North Carolina St.

West Virginia

Military

ACC #8

Navy

Wake Forest

Air Force *

Holiday

Pac 12 #3

Big 12 #5

California

Baylor

Champs Sports

Big East #2

ACC #3

Notre Dame

Florida St.

Alamo

Big 12 #3

Pac 10 #2

Texas

Washington

Armed Forces

C-USA #3

B Y U

Tulsa

B Y U

Pinstripe

Big East #4

Big 12 #7

Rutgers

Iowa St.

Music City

SEC # 7

ACC #6

Mississippi St.

Virginia

Insight

Big 12 #4

Big 10 #4 or 5

Kansas St.

Iowa

Meineke Car Care of Texas

Big 12 #6

Big 10 #6

Texas A&M

Penn St.

Sun

ACC #4

Pac 12 #4

Georgia Tech

Utah

Kraft Fight Hunger

Pac 10 #6

Army/ACC

Ohio U *

Illinois *

Liberty

SEC#8-9/BigEast

C-USA #1

Vanderbilt

Southern Miss.

Chick-fil-A

SEC #5

ACC #2

Auburn

Clemson

TicketCity

Big 10 #7

C-USA

Purdue

Pittsburgh *

Capital One

Big 10 #2

SEC #2

Michigan St.

Arkansas

Gator

Big 10 #4 or 5

SEC #6

Ohio St.

Florida

Outback

SEC #3 or 4

Big 10 #3

South Carolina

Nebraska

Rose

BCS Pac12

BCS Big 10

Oregon

Wisconsin

Fiesta

BCS Big 12

BCS At-Large

Oklahoma St.

Stanford

Sugar

BCS SEC

BCS At-Large

Houston *

Michigan

Orange

BCS ACC

BCS At-Large

Virginia Tech

Cincinnati

Cotton

Big 12 #2

SEC #3 or 4

Oklahoma

Georgia

BBVA Compass

Big East#5/CUSA

SEC #8 or 9

Louisville

Western Ky. *

GoDaddy.com

Sunbelt # 2

MAC #1

Arkansas St.

Northern Illinois

National Championship

*** BCS #1 ***

*** BCS #2 ***

L S U

Alabama

 

 

*** Returning next week: Our computer simulated college football playoffs.  We will use the same formula we have used in past years—a 12-team college football playoff. 

November 21, 2011

PiRate Ratings: College Football for November 22-26, 2011

65 Bowl Eligible Teams—Need 70

Some of the lower-tier bowl committee members will have some very short fingernails this week.  There should be 67 bowl eligible teams this week.  However, Southern Cal is ineligible for postseason bowls, and Miami of Florida announced they will not accept any bowl bids this season.  That leaves a need for five more bowl-eligible teams. 

 

We here at the PiRate Cove believe there is nothing to worry about.  There are 10 teams that need one more win and five have a patsy left of their schedule.  All five of these one-more-win-needed teams should defeat their patsy.  Those five, with their patsy opponent in parentheses are: North Carolina State (Maryland), Purdue (Indiana), Air Force (Colorado St.), Tennessee (Kentucky), Mississippi State (Ole Miss).

 

Two definite additions will be the winner of the Syracuse-Pittsburgh game next week and the winner of this week’s Marshall-East Carolina game.  The Syracuse-Pitt loser can still get a sixth win; Pitt would have to win their Backyard Brawl against West Virginia, or Syracuse would have to beat Cincinnati.

 

Conference by Conference Analysis

ACC

The big news here isn’t which team is going to win the title; it is that Miami pulled itself from consideration for a bowl game.  The Hurricanes have issued a self-imposed bowl ban.  Might coach Al Golden take advantage of not having to worry about leaving his team in the lurch in December and bolt to the first place that wants him?  We wouldn’t be surprised if Penn State comes calling.  Ole Miss is a possibility as well.

 

Clemson is limping into the ACC Championship Game.  The Tigers may actually be the fourth or fifth best team in the league at the present time.

 

The Coastal Division championship will be decided in Charlottesville this week, as Virginia hosts Virginia Tech.  The winner of this game will have all the momentum, and we feel they will be the host team in the Orange Bowl.

 

North Carolina State is 6-5, but they own two wins over FCS teams.  Expect the Wolf Pack to become eligible with a win over Maryland.

 

1. Orange—Virginia Tech vs. Rutgers

2. Chick-fil-A—Clemson vs. Florida

3. Champs Sports—Florida State vs. Notre Dame

4. Sun—Georgia Tech vs. Arizona State

5. Belk—North Carolina vs. West Virginia

6. Music City—Virginia vs. Mississippi State

7. Independence—North Carolina State vs. Air Force

8. Military—Wake Forest vs. Western Michigan

 

Big East

Like this league or hate it (or just believe it should not have an automatic BCS bid), you have to laugh at the fact that all eight teams can still become bowl eligible.  We believe seven of the eight will be successful. Add Notre Dame to the mix here, as they will not finish high enough to earn a BCS bid, even if they upset Stanford.

 

The race for what will be the last BCS selection is up for grabs, with five teams still in contention.  West Virginia controls its own destiny.  If the Mountaineers defeat Pittsburgh and South Florida, they win all tiebreakers.  We do not believe they will win both games.

 

Cincinnati must defeat Syracuse and Connecticut to have a chance to grab the BCS bid.  Again, we do not see the Bearcats pulling off the feat.

 

Louisville and Pittsburgh are still alive in the race.  The Cardinals would have to defeat Connecticut and South Florida (both on the road) and hope for some help.  The Panthers would have to beat West Virginia and Syracuse. 

 

Rutgers has a home game with Cincinnati and a finale at Connecticut.  We believe the Scarlet Knights will win both to take the crown.

 

1. Orange—Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech

2. Champs Sports—Notre Dame vs. Florida State

3. Belk—West Virginia vs. North Carolina

4. Pinstripe—Pittsburgh vs. Texas

5. BVAA Compass—Cincinnati vs. Western Kentucky

6. Beef O’Brady’s—South Florida vs. Florida International

 

Big Ten

Wisconsin must defeat Penn State to secure the Leaders Division title, and we believe the Badgers will do it.

 

Michigan State has already secured the Legends Division crown, and the Spartans just might knock off UW in a rematch for the BCS bid.

 

Michigan should earn an at-large bid to a BCS bowl if they finally defeat Ohio State.  We believe they will.

 

There has been talk that the bowls should pass up Penn State, but we do not believe that will happen.

 

1. Rose—Michigan State vs. Oregon

2. Sugar—Michigan vs. Houston

3. Capital One—Wisconsin vs. Georgia

4. Outback—Nebraska vs. South Carolina

5. Gator—Penn State vs. Auburn

6. Insight—Iowa vs. Baylor

7. Meineke Car Care—Illinois vs. Missouri

8. TicketCity—Ohio St. vs. Marshall

9. Little Caesar’s—Purdue vs. Ohio U

10. Hawaii (at-large)—Northwestern vs. S M U

 

Big 12

In two days, this league self-destructed.  Gone are all chances for Oklahoma, while Oklahoma State needs two, and maybe three, SEC teams to lose.  Kansas State is still alive for an at-large BCS bowl, but we do not believe the Wildcats will get the invitation.

 

The other big stories this weekend will revolve around Texas and Texas A&M hooking up in College Station and Kansas and Missouri facing off at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.  This will be the last Big 12 games for the Aggies and Tigers, and it could be the final games in these long series for several years.

 

1. Fiesta—Oklahoma St. vs. Stanford

2. Cotton—Oklahoma vs. Arkansas

3. Alamo—Kansas St. vs. Utah

4. Insight—Baylor vs. Iowa

5. Holiday—Texas A&M vs. Washington

6. Meineke Car Care—Missouri vs. Illinois

7. Pinstripe—Texas vs. Pittsburgh

 

Pac-12

With Oregon losing, the Ducks can only play in the Rose Bowl if they win the Civil War game at home against Oregon State.  Stanford is still very much alive for a BCS Bowl, and a win over Notre Dame will secure one of the four at-large spots.

 

The South Division is the most interesting part of the conference race.  Southern Cal will win the division but will not play in the inaugural conference championship game.  The runner-up will get the nod, and three teams are still alive.

 

UCLA will win the spot with an upset over USC or if Utah loses to Colorado.  We say neither will occur.

 

Utah will win the spot if they defeat Colorado, USC beats UCLA, and Cal beats Arizona State.

 

Arizona State will win the spot if they defeat Cal and USC beats UCLA.

 

Arizona is not bowl eligible, but the Wildcats will announce Rich Rodriguez as their new coach.

 

1. Rose—Oregon vs. Michigan State

2. Fiesta—Stanford vs. Oklahoma State

3. Alamo—Utah vs. Kansas State

4. Holiday—Washington vs. Texas A&M

5. Sun—Arizona St. vs. Georgia Tech

6. MAACO—UCLA vs. T C U

7. Kraft Fight Hunger—California vs. Toledo

 

Southeastern

This is the most interesting of all conferences.  The big talk Sunday was the possibility that three teams could play in BCS Bowls because of a technicality in the rules.

 

If LSU beats Arkansas and then loses to Georgia by a slim margin in the SEC Championship, and if Alabama beats Auburn, Alabama will be number one in the BCS Poll, and LSU could fall only one spot to number two.  Alabama and LSU would then play for the National Championship, but Georgia, as SEC Champion, would be guaranteed a spot in the Sugar Bowl.  It could happen, but we believe LSU will be 13-0.

 

Three teams still need one more win to become bowl eligible.  Tennessee should defeat Kentucky, as they always do to get to 6-6.  Mississippi State should send Houston Nutt out of Oxford on a losing streak as the Bulldogs knock off Ole Miss.  However, we believe Vanderbilt will come up short at Wake Forest.  The Commodores are reeling after giving away bowl eligibility in Knoxville Saturday night.  As they say in Nashville, “Same Old Vandy.”

 

1. National Championship Game—L S U vs. Alabama

2. National Championship Game—Alabama vs. L S U

3. Capital One—Georgia vs. Wisconsin

4. Outback—South Carolina vs. Nebraska

5. Cotton—Arkansas vs. Oklahoma

6. Chick-fil-A—Florida vs. Clemson

7. Gator—Auburn vs. Penn State

8. Music City—Mississippi State vs. Virginia

9. Liberty—Tennessee vs. Southern Mississippi

10. BVAA Compass—XXX

 

Conference USA

Houston currently trails Boise State in the BCS rankings, but the Cougars have two remaining games against decent competition in Tulsa and then Southern Mississippi in the CUSA Championship Game, while Boise State has a home game against one of the five weakest teams (New Mexico) in the land.  Okay, Tulsa could defeat Houston and end this speculation, but we are going to go with the Cougars to improve to 13-0 and pass Boise State in the BCS Rankings.  Case Keenum should be invited to New York for the Heisman Trophy presentation, and Houston should get the conference’s first BCS bowl bid.

 

1. Sugar—Houston vs. Michigan

2. Liberty—Southern Mississippi vs. Tennessee

3. Hawaii—S M U vs. Northwestern

4. TicketCity—Marshall vs. Ohio State

5. Armed Forces—Tulsa vs. B Y U

6. Beef O’Brady’s—XXX

7. New Orleans—XXX

 

Independents

Army and Navy have already been eliminated from bowl eligibility, so the Military and Kraft Fight Hunger Bowls will have to find an at-large team to fill these spots.  We predict that the Mid-American Conference will have three extra bowl eligible teams with seven or more wins, and two of those MAC teams will replace Army and Navy.

 

Brigham Young has already accepted a bid to the Armed Forces Bowl, while Notre Dame counts in the Big East bowl allotments.

 

1. Armed Forces—B Y U

2. Military—XXX

3. Kraft Fight Hunger—XXX

 

Mid-American

Although the MAC has just two bowl guarantees, they will have at least four teams going to bowls, and we believe they will get a fifth team in this year.

 

Ohio has already won the East Division title, while Northern Illinois and Toledo are the two contenders in the West.  If NIU defeats Eastern Michigan, the Huskies are in.  If EMU upsets NIU, then Toledo can get in with a win over Ball State.

 

1. GoDaddy—Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State

2. Little Caesar’s—Ohio U vs. Purdue

3. Kraft Fight Hunger (at-large)—Toledo vs. California

4. Military (at-large)—Western Michigan vs. Wake Forest

5. New Orleans (at-large)—Temple vs. U. of Louisiana

 

Mountain West

Boise State is still alive for a BCS Bowl bid, but the Broncos’ computer rating will suffer when they host New Mexico in the season finale.  They could fall behind a 13-0 Houston team in both the human polls and computer ratings.

 

Air Force has two wins over FCS teams, so the 6-5 Falcons still need to defeat in-state rival Colorado State in Ft. Collins this weekend to earn a bowl bid.  We say it will happen.

 

1. MAACO—T C U vs. U C L A

2. Famous Idaho Potato—Boise State vs. Nevada

3. Poinsettia—San Diego State vs. Utah State

4. Independence—Air Force vs. North Carolina State

5. New Mexico—Wyoming vs. Louisiana Tech

 

Sunbelt

Arkansas State is the best team in the league’s short history.  The Red Wolves can become the first league team to win 10 regular season wins if they defeat Troy next week.

 

Louisiana (Lafayette) has never been to a bowl game, but the Ragin’ Cajuns should get that reward this year.

 

Florida International will get an at-large bid somewhere, because the Golden Panthers will have eight wins.  Western Kentucky should defeat Troy to finish 7-5 after starting 0-4.  Their only loss in the last eight would be to LSU, so the Hilltoppers should also get an at-large bowl bid.  It would be their first bowl as well.

 

1. GoDaddy—Arkansas State (already accepted) vs. Northern Illinois

2. New Orleans—U. of Lousiana vs. Temple

3. Beef O’Brady’s (at-large)—Florida International vs. South Florida

4. BVAA Compass (at-large)—Western Kentucky vs. Cincinnati

 

W A C

Without Boise State, this league has fallen a couple notches this year.  Louisiana Tech will win the conference championship this week when they defeat New Mexico State in Ruston.

 

Hawaii will dismiss Tulane this week, but they must also beat BYU to secure a spot in the Hawaii Bowl.  We smell an at-large invitation being mailed out.

 

1. New Mexico—Louisiana Tech vs. Wyoming

2. Famous Idaho Potato—Nevada vs. Boise State

3. Poinsettia—Utah State vs. San Diego State

4. Hawaii—XXX

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

# Team PiRate
1 L S U 136.5
2 Alabama 135.0
3 Oregon 129.0
4 Southern Cal 127.1
5 Oklahoma 127.1
6 Stanford 127.1
7 Oklahoma St. 126.3
8 Arkansas 124.9
9 Wisconsin 124.1
10 TexasA&M 121.5
11 Boise St. 120.3
12 Michigan 119.7
13 Florida St. 119.1
14 Michigan St. 118.3
15 Georgia  117.8
16 Notre Dame 116.8
17 Houston 115.8
18 Missouri 114.9
19 Texas 114.6
20 S. Carolina 114.4
21 Kansas St. 114.2
22 T C U 114.1
23 Utah 112.8
24 California 112.8
25 Virginia Tech 112.3
26 Miami(FL) 112.3
27 Florida  111.8
28 Nebraska 111.4
29 Baylor 111.0
30 Tulsa 110.5
31 Arizona St. 110.0
32 B Y U 109.9
33 Clemson 109.6
34 Penn St. 108.4
35 Mississippi St. 108.1
36 U C L A 108.0
37 Ohio St. 107.4
38 Virginia 107.3
39 Vanderbilt 107.1
40 W. Virginia 107.0
41 Washington 107.0
42 Georgia Tech 106.4
43 Cincinnati 106.1
44 N. Carolina St. 105.9
45 Iowa 104.9
46 LouisianaTech 104.9
47 Oregon St. 104.9
48 Pittsburgh 104.6
49 Nevada 104.6
50 WakeForest 104.5
51 N. Carolina 104.2
52 Arizona 103.9
53 Auburn 103.6
54 Washington St. 103.6
55 Northwestern 103.4
56 Iowa St. 103.3
57 Southern Miss. 103.1
58 S. Florida 102.9
59 Tennessee 102.9
60 Illinois 102.0
61 Rutgers 102.0
62 BostonColl. 101.6
63 Louisville 101.5
64 Temple 99.6
65 Toledo 99.4
66 TexasTech 99.0
67 Purdue 98.6
68 Air Force 98.6
69 Utah St. 98.1
70 San Diego St. 97.1
71 Northern Illinois 96.6
72 Duke 96.1
73 Navy 95.4
74 Wyoming 95.2
75 Central Florida 94.6
76 Arkansas St. 94.5
77 Connecticut 94.0
78 Kentucky 93.7
79 Western Michigan 93.6
80 Hawaii 93.5
81 Minnesota 93.2
82 S M U 93.0
83 San Jose St. 92.8
84 Fresno St. 92.0
85 East Carolina 91.9
86 Colorado 91.6
87 Maryland 91.4
88 Syracuse 91.3
89 Miami(O) 90.6
90 Ole Miss 89.3
91 FloridaInt’l 89.1
92 OhioU 88.7
93 WesternKy. 88.6
94 Kansas 87.8
95 U T E P 86.1
96 UL-Lafayette 85.7
97 Colorado St. 85.4
98 Idaho 85.3
99 UL-Monroe 84.8
100 New Mexico St. 84.6
101 Marshall 84.4
102 Ball St. 83.4
103 Army 83.0
104 Rice 82.8
105 Bowling Green 82.7
106 U A B 82.2
107 Kent St. 81.7
108 Indiana 81.7
109 Eastern Michigan 80.4
110 North Texas 79.3
111 Buffalo 77.5
112 U N L V 77.4
113 Troy 76.9
114 Central Michigan 76.5
115 MiddleTennessee 72.8
116 New Mexico 71.1
117 Tulane 68.7
118 Memphis 68.2
119 FloridaAtlantic 61.8
120 Akron 59.1

 

By Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

FloridaState

5-3

7-4

119.1

Clemson

6-2

9-2

109.6

North CarolinaState

3-4

6-5

105.9

WakeForest

5-3

6-5

104.5

BostonCollege

2-5

3-8

101.6

Maryland

1-6

2-9

91.4

       
Coastal Division

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Virginia Tech

6-1

10-1

112.3

Miami-FL

3-4

6-5

112.3

Virginia

5-2

8-3

107.3

Georgia Tech

5-3

8-3

106.4

North Carolina

2-5

6-5

104.2

Duke

1-6

3-8

96.1

 

Big East Conference

 

 

 

 

Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

West Virginia

3-2

7-3

107.0

Cincinnati

3-2

7-3

106.1

Pittsburgh

3-2

5-5

104.6

South Florida

1-4

5-5

102.9

Rutgers

4-2

8-3

102.0

Louisville

4-2

6-5

101.5

Connecticut

2-3

4-6

94.0

Syracuse

1-4

5-5

91.3

 

Big Ten

       
Leaders Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Wisconsin

5-2

9-2

124.1

PennState

6-1

9-2

108.4

OhioState

3-4

6-5

107.4

Illinois

2-5

6-5

102.0

Purdue

3-4

5-6

98.6

Indiana

0-7

1-10

81.7

       
Legends Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Michigan

5-2

9-2

119.7

MichiganState

6-1

9-2

118.3

Nebraska

4-3

8-3

111.4

Iowa

4-3

7-4

104.9

Northwestern

3-4

6-5

103.4

Minnesota

1-6

2-9

93.2

 

Big 12

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Oklahoma

5-2

8-2

127.1

OklahomaState

7-1

10-1

126.3

TexasA&M

4-4

6-5

121.5

Missouri

4-4

6-5

114.9

Texas

3-4

6-4

114.6

KansasState

6-2

9-2

114.2

Baylor

4-3

7-3

111.0

IowaState

3-4

6-4

103.3

TexasTech

2-6

5-6

99.0

Kansas

0-8

2-9

87.8

 

Conference USA

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Southern Mississippi

5-2

9-2

103.1

Central Florida

2-5

4-7

94.6

East Carolina

4-3

5-6

91.9

Marshall

4-3

5-6

84.4

U A B

3-5

3-8

82.2

Memphis

1-5

2-9

68.2

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Houston

7-0

11-0

115.8

Tulsa

7-0

8-3

110.5

S M U

4-3

6-5

93.0

U T E P

2-5

5-6

86.1

Rice

3-4

4-7

82.8

Tulane

1-7

2-10

68.7

 

Independents

       
Team

 

Overall

Rating

Notre Dame  

8-3

116.8

B Y U  

8-3

109.9

Navy  

4-7

95.4

Army  

3-8

83.0

 

Mid American Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Temple

4-3

7-4

99.6

Miami(O)

3-4

4-7

90.6

OhioU

5-2

8-3

88.7

Bowling Green

2-5

4-7

82.7

Kent St.

4-3

5-6

81.7

Buffalo

2-5

3-8

77.5

Akron

0-7

1-10

59.1

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Toledo

6-1

7-4

99.4

Northern Illinois

6-1

8-3

96.6

Western Michigan

4-3

6-5

93.6

BallState

4-3

6-5

83.4

Eastern Michigan

4-3

6-5

80.4

Central Michigan

2-6

3-9

76.5

 

Mountain West Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

BoiseState

4-1

9-1

120.3

T C U

6-0

9-2

114.1

Air Force

2-4

6-5

98.6

San DiegoState

3-3

6-4

97.1

Wyoming

4-1

7-3

95.2

ColoradoState

1-4

3-7

85.4

UNLV

1-4

2-8

77.4

New Mexico

1-5

1-10

71.1

 

Pac-12 Conference

       
North Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Oregon

7-1

9-2

129.0

Stanford

8-1

10-1

127.1

California

3-5

6-5

112.8

Washington

4-4

6-5

107.0

OregonState

3-5

3-8

104.9

WashingtonState

2-6

4-7

103.6

       
South Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

U S C

6-2

9-2

127.1

Utah

4-4

7-4

112.8

ArizonaState

4-4

6-5

110.0

U C L A

5-3

6-5

108.0

Arizona

2-6

3-8

103.9

Colorado

1-7

2-10

91.6

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

Georgia

7-1

9-2

117.8

South Carolina

6-2

9-2

114.4

Florida

3-5

6-5

111.8

Vanderbilt

2-6

5-6

107.1

Tennessee

1-6

5-6

102.9

Kentucky

1-6

4-7

93.7

       
West Division      
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

L S U

7-0

11-0

136.5

Alabama

6-1

10-1

135.0

Arkansas

6-1

10-1

124.9

MississippiState

1-6

5-6

108.1

Auburn

4-3

7-4

103.6

Ole Miss

0-7

2-9

89.3

 

Sunbelt Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

ArkansasState

7-0

9-2

94.5

FloridaInternational

4-3

7-4

89.1

Western Kentucky

6-1

6-5

88.6

U.ofLouisiana

6-2

8-3

85.7

Louisiana-Monroe

2-5

3-8

84.8

North Texas

3-4

4-7

79.3

Troy

2-4

3-7

76.9

MiddleTennessee

1-5

2-8

72.8

FloridaAtlantic

0-7

0-10

61.8

 

Western Athletic Conference

       
Team

Conf.

Overall

Rating

LouisianaTech

5-1

7-4

104.9

Nevada

4-1

6-4

104.6

UtahState

3-2

5-5

98.1

Hawaii

3-4

5-6

93.5

San JoseState

2-4

4-7

92.8

FresnoState

3-3

4-7

92.0

Idaho

1-5

2-9

85.3

New MexicoState

2-3

4-7

84.6

 

 

This Week’s Games–PiRate Ratings

   

 

 

 

Tuesday, November 22  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

OHIO U Miami (O)

0.6

27-26

8 1/2

   

 

 

 

Thursday, November 24  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

TEXAS A&M Texas

9.9

34-24

8   

   

 

 

 

Friday, November 25  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

Bowling Green BUFFALO

2.7

27-24

-1 1/2

NORTHERN ILLINOIS Eastern Michigan

19.2

40-21

20   

TEMPLE Kent St.

20.4

30-10

17   

WESTERN MICHIGAN Akron

37.5

48-10

28   

Toledo BALL ST.

13.2

37-24

12 1/2

SOUTH FLORIDA Louisville

4.4

24-20

3   

Houston TULSA

2.3

37-35

3   

NEBRASKA Iowa

9.5

24-14

9 1/2

WEST VIRGINIA Pittsburgh

4.9

28-23

7   

L S U Arkansas

14.6

35-20

12 1/2

UTAH Colorado

24.2

38-14

20 1/2

MIAMI (FL) Boston College

14.2

27-13

14 ½

CENTRAL FLORIDA U t e p

11.5

35-23

10   

ARIZONA ST. California

0.2

27-27 to ot

5 ½

   

 

 

 

Saturday, November 26  

PiRate Spread

 

 

Favorite Underdog

Score

Line

MICHIGAN Ohio St.

15.3

24-9

8   

Missouri   (n) Kansas

27.1

41-14

23 ½

Rutgers CONNECTICUT

5.5

30-24

3   

Cincinnati SYRACUSE

11.8

31-19

3   

Michigan St. NORTHWESTERN

11.9

40-28

6 1/2

Purdue INDIANA

14.4

35-21

7 1/2

Illinois MINNESOTA

5.8

28-22

10 1/2

Georgia GEORGIA TECH

8.9

33-24

6   

WAKE FOREST Vanderbilt

0.4

28-28 to ot

-1 1/2

SOUTH CAROLINA Clemson

7.3

28-21

4   

NORTH CAROLINA ST. Maryland

17.5

35-17

12 1/2

NORTH CAROLINA Duke

10.1

34-24

13   

Tennessee KENTUCKY

6.2

20-14

8   

BOISE ST. Wyoming

28.1

45-17

32   

Nevada UTAH ST.

3.5

31-27

-1 1/2

S M U Rice

13.2

34-21

14   

Alabama AUBURN

28.4

41-13

21   

OREGON Oregon St.

27.1

48-21

28   

Virginia Tech VIRGINIA

2.0

22-20

5   

WISCONSIN Penn St.

18.7

31-12

14 1/2

Baylor     (n) Texas Tech

12.0

40-28

12 1/2

Florida St. FLORIDA

4.3

30-26

2 1/2

East Carolina MARSHALL

4.5

35-30

1   

LOUISIANA TECH New Mexico St.

13.3

31-18

19   

SOUTHERN MISS. Memphis

37.4

40-3

35 1/2

Air Force COLORADO ST.

10.7

31-20

16 1/2

WASHINGTON Washington St.

6.4

27-21

6 1/2

MISSISSIPPI ST. Ole Miss

21.8

35-13

17 1/2

STANFORD Notre Dame

13.3

34-21

6 1/2

FRESNO ST. San Jose St.

2.2

27-25

6 1/2

OKLAHOMA Iowa St.

26.8

45-18

28   

San Diego St. U N L V

17.2

34-17

15   

SOUTHERN CAL U c l a

21.1

38-17

14 1/2

HAWAII Tulane

28.8

42-13

18   

WESTERN KENTUCKY Troy

14.7

27-12

6 1/2

ARIZONA Louisiana-Lafayette

21.2

42-21

14   

Florida Int’l MIDDLE TENNESSEE

13.3

27-14

9   

U a b FLORIDA ATLANTIC

17.4

34-17

6 1/2

 

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