The Pi-Rate Ratings

August 12, 2022

Mountain West Conference Preview

The Mountain West Conference is the only Group of 5 league that didn’t have realignment issues in the past 12 months. Rumors abound that Boise State, Fresno State, and San Diego State could be on the radar screen with either the Pac-12 or Big 12 Conferences, but those are just rumors for now.

The MWC has enjoyed quite a bit of success in the last decade. Last year, eight MWC teams earned bowl bids. Two of the bowl games were cancelled due to Covid, but in the six bowl games played, MWC teams went 5-1. In the history of this league, MWC teams have won 57% of their bowl games. Only the SEC and the Sun Belt have better bowl game winning percentages in that time.

2022 should be another banner year for the league. Three teams have a chance to compete for the lone New Year’s 6 Bowl Bid.

Mountain West PiRate Ratings

Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.106.0104.9106.9105.9
Air Force100.9100.8102.3101.3
Utah St.95.495.896.695.9
Colorado St.88.589.889.089.1
Wyoming83.986.685.085.2
New Mexico80.381.079.080.1
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.103.2102.5104.5103.4
San Diego St.97.497.497.897.6
Nevada87.089.186.887.6
U N L V88.485.988.087.5
San Jose St.86.887.287.987.3
Hawaii78.580.079.379.2
MWC91.491.791.991.7

Mountain West Preseason Media Poll

Votes
#Mountain1st PlaceOverall
1Boise St.14151
2Air Force10136
3Utah St.3122
4Colorado St.190
5Wyoming060
6New Mexico029
#West1st PlaceOverall
1Fresno St.20160
2San Diego St.8148
3San Jose St.0105
4Nevada066
5UNLV058
6Hawaii051

The PiRate Rating are designed to be used for the next week of football games and not meant to be used to predict won-loss records. Nevertheless, here are the projected won-loss records.

Predicted Won-Loss Records

MountainConfOverall
Boise St.8-010-3
Air Force6-210-2
Utah St.6-28-4
Colorado St.3-55-7
Wyoming3-54-8
New Mexico0-82-10
WestConfOverall
Fresno St.7-110-3
San Diego St.6-29-3
San Jose St.4-46-6
UNLV3-55-7
Nevada2-65-7
Hawaii0-81-12

February 16, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Wednesday, February 16, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
FairfieldManhattan7.0
ArmyColgate-7.3
USC UpstatePresbyterian1.9
XavierSt. John’s8.0
RadfordCampbell-3.4
RutgersIllinois-5.7
AlabamaMississippi St.7.0
LafayetteLoyola (MD)-1.1
Holy CrossBoston U-8.5
AmericanNavy-10.4
HamptonNorth Carolina A&T-3.2
Gardner-WebbWinthrop4.0
Charleston SouthernUNC Asheville-9.7
LouisvilleMiami (Fla.)-0.9
Notre DameBoston College11.1
New HampshireVermont-9.5
Maryland Baltimore Co.Stony Brook2.3
NJITUMass Lowell-3.5
HartfordMaine10.4
BinghamtonAlbany0.7
StetsonJacksonville-3.1
Florida Gulf CoastKennesaw St.3.9
St. BonaventureMassachusetts10.3
Saint Joseph’sGeorge Mason-0.3
Western CarolinaFurman-12.7
MercerEast Tennessee St.1.5
The CitadelWofford-5.4
LSUGeorgia19.0
DuquesneGeorge Washington3.1
Stephen F. AustinChicago St.19.1
Eastern KentuckyNorth Alabama6.1
Saint LouisLa Salle16.4
MarquetteGeorgetown15.5
TarletonUtah Valley-2.5
UT Rio Grande ValleySeattle-6.7
North CarolinaPittsburgh14.4
LipscombJacksonville St.-5.1
Central ArkansasBellarmine-7.1
ValparaisoLoyola (Chi.)-11.0
DrakeEvansville15.6
ConnecticutSeton Hall4.9
AuburnVanderbilt14.6
NorthwesternPurdue-5.3
Texas TechBaylor0.0
TempleSMU-4.2
UT MartinMorehead St.-9.8
New Mexico St.Dixie St.14.8
California BaptistGrand Canyon-4.7
Air ForceBoise St.-11.7
Fresno St.UNLV5.7
PepperdineGonzaga-29.4

February 13, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Sunday, February 13, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
St. John’sConnecticut-3.7
Youngstown St.Robert Morris7.4
Wright St.Northern Kentucky5.2
PurdueMaryland14.8
MaineStony Brook-8.0
OaklandDetroit6.4
IonaMonmouth7.5
RiderSiena2.3
IllinoisNorthwestern9.8
Old DominionUAB-10.4
MilwaukeeGreen Bay3.7
QuinnipiacManhattan4.8
IowaNebraska16.9
UTEPMarshall6.8
Middle TennesseeCharlotte5.9
UNC GreensboroMercer5.1
Boise St.Colorado St.3.8
Loyola (Chi.)Northern Iowa8.2

Coming Tomorrow: Updated ratings in the morning and updated Bracketology in the afternoon.

January 28, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Friday, January 28, 2022

Friday’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorsSpread
Boston UColgate-1.1
Holy CrossLehigh-3.5
HarvardPennsylvania2.5
New HampshireStony Brook1.8
Air ForceWyoming-9.3
Northern KentuckyPurdue Fort Wayne2.2
DaytonRhode Island5.5
MonmouthCanisius12.6
RiderFairfield-3.3
Saint Peter’sManhattan7.1
SienaNiagara-1.5
BuffaloOhio2.3
ToledoAkron9.6
QuinnipiacMarist-0.9
Wright St.Cleveland St.0.8
Colorado St.UNLV10.7
New MexicoSan Jose St.10.1
Fresno St.Boise St.0.1

Friday’s PiRate Ratings

#TeamPiRateConference
1Gonzaga124.3West Coast
2Arizona121.7Pac-12
3Baylor121.0Big 12
4Purdue119.8Big Ten
5Houston119.0American Athletic
6Kentucky119.0Southeastern
7Kansas118.8Big 12
8Auburn118.6Southeastern
9Villanova118.2Big East
10UCLA117.8Pac-12
11Duke117.2Atlantic Coast
12LSU117.0Southeastern
13Tennessee116.5Southeastern
14Illinois116.3Big Ten
15Texas Tech115.9Big 12
16Connecticut115.4Big East
17Texas115.2Big 12
18Alabama114.7Southeastern
19Michigan St.114.4Big Ten
20Iowa114.3Big Ten
21Ohio St.113.6Big Ten
22Xavier113.5Big East
23Michigan113.1Big Ten
24USC113.0Pac-12
25Indiana112.7Big Ten
26Wisconsin112.4Big Ten
27Oklahoma112.4Big 12
28Saint Mary’s112.4West Coast
29Arkansas112.1Southeastern
30Wake Forest111.9Atlantic Coast
31Seton Hall111.9Big East
32BYU111.8West Coast
33Marquette111.7Big East
34Florida111.6Southeastern
35North Carolina111.6Atlantic Coast
36Loyola Chicago111.5Missouri Valley
37San Francisco111.1West Coast
38UAB111.1Conference USA
39Iowa St.110.9Big 12
40Mississippi St.110.9Southeastern
41Colorado St.110.7Mountain West
42Virginia Tech110.5Atlantic Coast
43Oklahoma St.110.5Big 12
44Oregon110.5Pac-12
45San Diego St.110.4Mountain West
46Memphis110.2American Athletic
47Washington St.110.2Pac-12
48Murray St.110.2Ohio Valley
49Boise St.110.1Mountain West
50Providence109.8Big East
51West Virginia109.7Big 12
52SMU109.5American Athletic
53Northwestern109.1Big Ten
54Florida St.109.1Atlantic Coast
55Texas A&M109.1Southeastern
56Clemson109.0Atlantic Coast
57Utah St.109.0Mountain West
58Notre Dame108.7Atlantic Coast
59Missouri St.108.7Missouri Valley
60TCU108.7Big 12
61Davidson108.7Atlantic 10
62Belmont108.6Ohio Valley
63Creighton108.6Big East
64Kansas St.108.5Big 12
65Toledo108.5Mid-American
66Miami FL108.4Atlantic Coast
67Wyoming108.4Mountain West
68Maryland108.4Big Ten
69Saint Louis108.3Atlantic 10
70VCU108.2Atlantic 10
71South Dakota St.108.1Summit
72Cincinnati108.0American Athletic
73Iona107.8Metro Atlantic
74Vermont107.7America East
75St. John’s107.7Big East
76Dayton107.4Atlantic 10
77Penn St.107.4Big Ten
78Colorado107.4Pac-12
79Chattanooga107.4Southern
80UCF107.2American Athletic
81North Texas107.2Conference USA
82Fresno St.107.2Mountain West
83Wichita St.107.1American Athletic
84Furman107.1Southern
85St. Bonaventure107.0Atlantic 10
86Richmond106.8Atlantic 10
87Virginia106.7Atlantic Coast
88Louisiana Tech106.6Conference USA
89Syracuse106.6Atlantic Coast
90Santa Clara106.5West Coast
91Stanford106.4Pac-12
92Minnesota106.2Big Ten
93Vanderbilt105.9Southeastern
94Rutgers105.8Big Ten
95N.C. State105.5Atlantic Coast
96Louisville105.5Atlantic Coast
97Towson105.4Colonial Athletic
98DePaul105.3Big East
99Drake105.3Missouri Valley
100Ohio105.1Mid-American
101South Carolina105.0Southeastern
102Buffalo104.9Mid-American
103Rhode Island104.9Atlantic 10
104New Mexico St.104.6Western Athletic
105Bradley104.6Missouri Valley
106Liberty104.6Atlantic Sun
107Wagner104.5Northeast
108Nevada104.4Mountain West
109Northern Iowa104.4Missouri Valley
110Hofstra104.2Colonial Athletic
111Oakland104.2Horizon
112Mississippi104.2Southeastern
113Grand Canyon104.0Western Athletic
114Utah104.0Pac-12
115George Mason103.9Atlantic 10
116Monmouth103.6Metro Atlantic
117Wofford103.5Southern
118Tulane103.5American Athletic
119Utah Valley103.4Western Athletic
120UC Irvine103.4Big West
121Colgate103.3Patriot League
122Western Kentucky103.2Conference USA
123California103.0Pac-12
124UNLV103.0Mountain West
125Weber St.103.0Big Sky
126Georgia Tech103.0Atlantic Coast
127Butler102.9Big East
128Oral Roberts102.7Summit
129Jacksonville St.102.6Atlantic Sun
130Arizona St.102.6Pac-12
131South Alabama102.6Sun Belt
132Temple102.3American Athletic
133Seattle102.0Western Athletic
134Washington101.9Pac-12
135Princeton101.9Ivy League
136Southern Illinois101.9Missouri Valley
137Navy101.6Patriot League
138UC Santa Barbara101.6Big West
139Missouri101.5Southeastern
140Abilene Christian101.4Western Athletic
141Akron101.4Mid-American
142Boston College101.3Atlantic Coast
143Morehead St.101.3Ohio Valley
144Oregon St.101.2Pac-12
145Yale101.2Ivy League
146Florida Atlantic101.1Conference USA
147Middle Tennessee101.1Conference USA
148Montana St.100.9Big Sky
149Coastal Carolina100.8Sun Belt
150Nebraska100.8Big Ten
151Drexel100.7Colonial Athletic
152Tulsa100.7American Athletic
153Cal St. Fullerton100.6Big West
154Stephen F. Austin100.5Western Athletic
155UC Riverside100.5Big West
156Georgetown100.5Big East
157Delaware100.5Colonial Athletic
158Saint Joseph’s100.4Atlantic 10
159Southern Utah100.3Big Sky
160Longwood100.3Big South
161Pittsburgh100.3Atlantic Coast
162Sam Houston St.100.3Western Athletic
163Appalachian St.100.3Sun Belt
164Montana100.2Big Sky
165Loyola Marymount100.2West Coast
166San Diego100.2West Coast
167Massachusetts100.2Atlantic 10
168Texas St.100.1Sun Belt
169Hawaii100.0Big West
170Cleveland St.100.0Horizon
171Texas Southern100.0Southwestern Athletic
172North Dakota St.99.9Summit
173Brown99.9Ivy League
174Indiana St.99.7Missouri Valley
175Boston University99.7Patriot League
176UNC Greensboro99.6Southern
177Kent St.99.6Mid-American
178VMI99.6Southern
179East Carolina99.6American Athletic
180UTEP99.5Conference USA
181Louisiana99.4Sun Belt
182New Mexico99.4Mountain West
183Illinois St.99.3Missouri Valley
184Bellarmine99.2Atlantic Sun
185Rice99.2Conference USA
186Saint Peter’s99.2Metro Atlantic
187James Madison99.1Colonial Athletic
188Marist99.1Metro Atlantic
189Georgia St.99.1Sun Belt
190Old Dominion99.0Conference USA
191East Tennessee St.98.9Southern
192Miami OH98.9Mid-American
193Charlotte98.9Conference USA
194Arkansas St.98.8Sun Belt
195Fairfield98.7Metro Atlantic
196Charleston98.7Colonial Athletic
197Northern Colorado98.6Big Sky
198Georgia98.6Southeastern
199Valparaiso98.6Missouri Valley
200Winthrop98.6Big South
201Fordham98.5Atlantic 10
202Gardner Webb98.4Big South
203Bowling Green98.4Mid-American
204Bryant98.4Northeast
205Detroit Mercy98.4Horizon
206Wright St.98.3Horizon
207Tarleton St.98.3Western Athletic
208Troy98.2Sun Belt
209Eastern Washington98.1Big Sky
210Florida Gulf Coast98.0Atlantic Sun
211Campbell98.0Big South
212Penn97.9Ivy League
213Cornell97.9Ivy League
214Harvard97.9Ivy League
215Nicholls St.97.9Southland
216Southern97.7Southwestern Athletic
217Eastern Kentucky97.7Atlantic Sun
218Niagara97.6Metro Atlantic
219UT Arlington97.6Sun Belt
220South Florida97.6American Athletic
221Duquesne97.6Atlantic 10
222Kennesaw St.97.6Atlantic Sun
223Long Beach St.97.6Big West
224Mercer97.5Southern
225Howard97.5Mideastern Athletic
226Marshall97.5Conference USA
227Stony Brook97.4America East
228Norfolk St.97.4Mideastern Athletic
229Western Illinois97.3Summit
230UC Davis97.0Big West
231Cal Baptist97.0Western Athletic
232UNC Wilmington96.9Colonial Athletic
233Jacksonville96.7Atlantic Sun
234South Dakota96.7Summit
235New Hampshire96.7America East
236Cal St. Bakersfield96.6Big West
237Georgia Southern96.5Sun Belt
238UNC Asheville96.5Big South
239Purdue Fort Wayne96.4Horizon
240Portland96.4West Coast
241UMKC96.3Summit
242Northeastern96.2Colonial Athletic
243Ball St.96.1Mid-American
244Air Force96.1Mountain West
245FIU96.1Conference USA
246Northern Kentucky96.1Horizon
247Dartmouth96.0Ivy League
248UMBC96.0America East
249Youngstown St.95.9Horizon
250LIU95.8Northeast
251Samford95.8Southern
252Quinnipiac95.7Metro Atlantic
253La Salle95.7Atlantic 10
254UMass Lowell95.5America East
255Texas A&M Corpus Chris95.4Southland
256Mount St. Mary’s95.0Northeast
257Loyola MD94.8Patriot League
258Tennessee Tech94.8Ohio Valley
259The Citadel94.8Southern
260Elon94.7Colonial Athletic
261Alcorn St.94.6Southwestern Athletic
262Manhattan94.6Metro Atlantic
263George Washington94.5Atlantic 10
264Pacific94.4West Coast
265High Point94.4Big South
266Louisiana Monroe94.3Sun Belt
267Albany94.2America East
268North Carolina A&T94.1Big South
269Army94.1Patriot League
270Jackson St.94.1Southwestern Athletic
271UC San Diego94.0Big West
272Illinois Chicago93.8Horizon
273Eastern Michigan93.7Mid-American
274Pepperdine93.7West Coast
275UT Rio Grande Valley93.6Western Athletic
276Siena93.6Metro Atlantic
277Hartford93.5America East
278Canisius93.5Metro Atlantic
279St. Thomas93.4Summit
280New Orleans93.4Southland
281Portland St.93.3Big Sky
282North Alabama93.2Atlantic Sun
283Lipscomb93.1Atlantic Sun
284Radford93.1Big South
285Presbyterian93.1Big South
286SIU Edwardsville93.0Ohio Valley
287North Florida93.0Atlantic Sun
288Austin Peay93.0Ohio Valley
289Rider92.9Metro Atlantic
290Prairie View A&M92.9Southwestern Athletic
291Dixie St.92.8Western Athletic
292Coppin St.92.8Mideastern Athletic
293Binghamton92.8America East
294Southeastern Louisiana92.5Southland
295USC Upstate92.5Big South
296Milwaukee92.4Horizon
297North Carolina Central92.3Mideastern Athletic
298San Jose St.92.3Mountain West
299Robert Morris92.2Horizon
300Evansville92.2Missouri Valley
301St. Francis PA92.2Northeast
302Southeast Missouri St.92.1Ohio Valley
303Western Carolina92.0Southern
304Tennessee St.92.0Ohio Valley
305Merrimack91.8Northeast
306Cal Poly91.6Big West
307Lehigh91.6Patriot League
308McNeese St.91.6Southland
309Stetson91.5Atlantic Sun
310Denver91.5Summit
311Northern Illinois91.5Mid-American
312Little Rock91.4Sun Belt
313Sacramento St.91.4Big Sky
314NJIT91.2America East
315Florida A&M90.9Southwestern Athletic
316Lafayette90.8Patriot League
317Southern Miss90.8Conference USA
318Northern Arizona90.8Big Sky
319Sacred Heart90.7Northeast
320UTSA90.4Conference USA
321Tennessee Martin90.2Ohio Valley
322St. Francis NY90.2Northeast
323Morgan St.90.2Mideastern Athletic
324Green Bay90.1Horizon
325Cal St. Northridge90.0Big West
326Grambling St.89.5Southwestern Athletic
327Idaho89.4Big Sky
328Alabama St.89.4Southwestern Athletic
329William & Mary89.0Colonial Athletic
330Western Michigan89.0Mid-American
331Hampton88.6Big South
332Bucknell88.4Patriot League
333American88.4Patriot League
334Lamar88.3Western Athletic
335Central Michigan88.0Mid-American
336Central Arkansas87.8Atlantic Sun
337Bethune Cookman87.7Southwestern Athletic
338Central Connecticut87.7Northeast
339Maryland Eastern Shore87.7Mideastern Athletic
340South Carolina St.87.6Mideastern Athletic
341Alabama A&M87.5Southwestern Athletic
342Idaho St.87.3Big Sky
343Northwestern St.87.0Southland
344Columbia86.9Ivy League
345Fairleigh Dickinson86.5Northeast
346North Dakota86.3Summit
347Nebraska Omaha86.0Summit
348Chicago St.85.7Western Athletic
349Holy Cross85.6Patriot League
350Houston Baptist85.4Southland
351Charleston Southern85.1Big South
352Maine84.8America East
353Incarnate Word84.3Southland
354Eastern Illinois82.6Ohio Valley
355Arkansas Pine Bluff82.1Southwestern Athletic
356IUPUI80.3Horizon
357Delaware St.78.6Mideastern Athletic
358Mississippi Valley St.78.0Southwestern Athletic

Alphabetical

#TeamPiRateConference
140Abilene Christian101.4Western Athletic
244Air Force96.1Mountain West
141Akron101.4Mid-American
18Alabama114.7Southeastern
341Alabama A&M87.5Southwestern Athletic
328Alabama St.89.4Southwestern Athletic
267Albany94.2America East
261Alcorn St.94.6Southwestern Athletic
333American88.4Patriot League
163Appalachian St.100.3Sun Belt
2Arizona121.7Pac-12
130Arizona St.102.6Pac-12
29Arkansas112.1Southeastern
355Arkansas Pine Bluff82.1Southwestern Athletic
194Arkansas St.98.8Sun Belt
269Army94.1Patriot League
8Auburn118.6Southeastern
288Austin Peay93.0Ohio Valley
243Ball St.96.1Mid-American
3Baylor121.0Big 12
184Bellarmine99.2Atlantic Sun
62Belmont108.6Ohio Valley
337Bethune Cookman87.7Southwestern Athletic
293Binghamton92.8America East
49Boise St.110.1Mountain West
142Boston College101.3Atlantic Coast
175Boston University99.7Patriot League
203Bowling Green98.4Mid-American
105Bradley104.6Missouri Valley
173Brown99.9Ivy League
204Bryant98.4Northeast
332Bucknell88.4Patriot League
102Buffalo104.9Mid-American
127Butler102.9Big East
32BYU111.8West Coast
231Cal Baptist97.0Western Athletic
306Cal Poly91.6Big West
236Cal St. Bakersfield96.6Big West
153Cal St. Fullerton100.6Big West
325Cal St. Northridge90.0Big West
123California103.0Pac-12
211Campbell98.0Big South
278Canisius93.5Metro Atlantic
336Central Arkansas87.8Atlantic Sun
338Central Connecticut87.7Northeast
335Central Michigan88.0Mid-American
196Charleston98.7Colonial Athletic
351Charleston Southern85.1Big South
193Charlotte98.9Conference USA
79Chattanooga107.4Southern
348Chicago St.85.7Western Athletic
72Cincinnati108.0American Athletic
56Clemson109.0Atlantic Coast
170Cleveland St.100.0Horizon
149Coastal Carolina100.8Sun Belt
121Colgate103.3Patriot League
78Colorado107.4Pac-12
41Colorado St.110.7Mountain West
344Columbia86.9Ivy League
16Connecticut115.4Big East
292Coppin St.92.8Mideastern Athletic
213Cornell97.9Ivy League
63Creighton108.6Big East
247Dartmouth96.0Ivy League
61Davidson108.7Atlantic 10
76Dayton107.4Atlantic 10
157Delaware100.5Colonial Athletic
357Delaware St.78.6Mideastern Athletic
310Denver91.5Summit
98DePaul105.3Big East
205Detroit Mercy98.4Horizon
291Dixie St.92.8Western Athletic
99Drake105.3Missouri Valley
151Drexel100.7Colonial Athletic
11Duke117.2Atlantic Coast
221Duquesne97.6Atlantic 10
179East Carolina99.6American Athletic
191East Tennessee St.98.9Southern
354Eastern Illinois82.6Ohio Valley
217Eastern Kentucky97.7Atlantic Sun
273Eastern Michigan93.7Mid-American
209Eastern Washington98.1Big Sky
260Elon94.7Colonial Athletic
300Evansville92.2Missouri Valley
195Fairfield98.7Metro Atlantic
345Fairleigh Dickinson86.5Northeast
245FIU96.1Conference USA
34Florida111.6Southeastern
315Florida A&M90.9Southwestern Athletic
146Florida Atlantic101.1Conference USA
210Florida Gulf Coast98.0Atlantic Sun
54Florida St.109.1Atlantic Coast
201Fordham98.5Atlantic 10
82Fresno St.107.2Mountain West
84Furman107.1Southern
202Gardner Webb98.4Big South
115George Mason103.9Atlantic 10
263George Washington94.5Atlantic 10
156Georgetown100.5Big East
198Georgia98.6Southeastern
237Georgia Southern96.5Sun Belt
189Georgia St.99.1Sun Belt
126Georgia Tech103.0Atlantic Coast
1Gonzaga124.3West Coast
326Grambling St.89.5Southwestern Athletic
113Grand Canyon104.0Western Athletic
324Green Bay90.1Horizon
331Hampton88.6Big South
277Hartford93.5America East
214Harvard97.9Ivy League
169Hawaii100.0Big West
265High Point94.4Big South
110Hofstra104.2Colonial Athletic
349Holy Cross85.6Patriot League
5Houston119.0American Athletic
350Houston Baptist85.4Southland
225Howard97.5Mideastern Athletic
327Idaho89.4Big Sky
342Idaho St.87.3Big Sky
14Illinois116.3Big Ten
272Illinois Chicago93.8Horizon
183Illinois St.99.3Missouri Valley
353Incarnate Word84.3Southland
25Indiana112.7Big Ten
174Indiana St.99.7Missouri Valley
73Iona107.8Metro Atlantic
20Iowa114.3Big Ten
39Iowa St.110.9Big 12
356IUPUI80.3Horizon
270Jackson St.94.1Southwestern Athletic
233Jacksonville96.7Atlantic Sun
129Jacksonville St.102.6Atlantic Sun
187James Madison99.1Colonial Athletic
7Kansas118.8Big 12
64Kansas St.108.5Big 12
222Kennesaw St.97.6Atlantic Sun
177Kent St.99.6Mid-American
6Kentucky119.0Southeastern
253La Salle95.7Atlantic 10
316Lafayette90.8Patriot League
334Lamar88.3Western Athletic
307Lehigh91.6Patriot League
106Liberty104.6Atlantic Sun
283Lipscomb93.1Atlantic Sun
312Little Rock91.4Sun Belt
250LIU95.8Northeast
223Long Beach St.97.6Big West
160Longwood100.3Big South
181Louisiana99.4Sun Belt
266Louisiana Monroe94.3Sun Belt
88Louisiana Tech106.6Conference USA
96Louisville105.5Atlantic Coast
36Loyola Chicago111.5Missouri Valley
165Loyola Marymount100.2West Coast
257Loyola MD94.8Patriot League
12LSU117.0Southeastern
352Maine84.8America East
262Manhattan94.6Metro Atlantic
188Marist99.1Metro Atlantic
33Marquette111.7Big East
226Marshall97.5Conference USA
68Maryland108.4Big Ten
339Maryland Eastern Shore87.7Mideastern Athletic
167Massachusetts100.2Atlantic 10
308McNeese St.91.6Southland
46Memphis110.2American Athletic
224Mercer97.5Southern
305Merrimack91.8Northeast
66Miami FL108.4Atlantic Coast
192Miami OH98.9Mid-American
23Michigan113.1Big Ten
19Michigan St.114.4Big Ten
147Middle Tennessee101.1Conference USA
296Milwaukee92.4Horizon
92Minnesota106.2Big Ten
112Mississippi104.2Southeastern
40Mississippi St.110.9Southeastern
358Mississippi Valley St.78.0Southwestern Athletic
139Missouri101.5Southeastern
59Missouri St.108.7Missouri Valley
116Monmouth103.6Metro Atlantic
164Montana100.2Big Sky
148Montana St.100.9Big Sky
143Morehead St.101.3Ohio Valley
323Morgan St.90.2Mideastern Athletic
256Mount St. Mary’s95.0Northeast
48Murray St.110.2Ohio Valley
95N.C. State105.5Atlantic Coast
137Navy101.6Patriot League
150Nebraska100.8Big Ten
347Nebraska Omaha86.0Summit
108Nevada104.4Mountain West
235New Hampshire96.7America East
182New Mexico99.4Mountain West
104New Mexico St.104.6Western Athletic
280New Orleans93.4Southland
218Niagara97.6Metro Atlantic
215Nicholls St.97.9Southland
314NJIT91.2America East
228Norfolk St.97.4Mideastern Athletic
282North Alabama93.2Atlantic Sun
35North Carolina111.6Atlantic Coast
268North Carolina A&T94.1Big South
297North Carolina Central92.3Mideastern Athletic
346North Dakota86.3Summit
172North Dakota St.99.9Summit
287North Florida93.0Atlantic Sun
81North Texas107.2Conference USA
242Northeastern96.2Colonial Athletic
318Northern Arizona90.8Big Sky
197Northern Colorado98.6Big Sky
311Northern Illinois91.5Mid-American
109Northern Iowa104.4Missouri Valley
246Northern Kentucky96.1Horizon
53Northwestern109.1Big Ten
343Northwestern St.87.0Southland
58Notre Dame108.7Atlantic Coast
111Oakland104.2Horizon
100Ohio105.1Mid-American
21Ohio St.113.6Big Ten
27Oklahoma112.4Big 12
43Oklahoma St.110.5Big 12
190Old Dominion99.0Conference USA
128Oral Roberts102.7Summit
44Oregon110.5Pac-12
144Oregon St.101.2Pac-12
264Pacific94.4West Coast
212Penn97.9Ivy League
77Penn St.107.4Big Ten
274Pepperdine93.7West Coast
161Pittsburgh100.3Atlantic Coast
240Portland96.4West Coast
281Portland St.93.3Big Sky
290Prairie View A&M92.9Southwestern Athletic
285Presbyterian93.1Big South
135Princeton101.9Ivy League
50Providence109.8Big East
4Purdue119.8Big Ten
239Purdue Fort Wayne96.4Horizon
252Quinnipiac95.7Metro Atlantic
284Radford93.1Big South
103Rhode Island104.9Atlantic 10
185Rice99.2Conference USA
86Richmond106.8Atlantic 10
289Rider92.9Metro Atlantic
299Robert Morris92.2Horizon
94Rutgers105.8Big Ten
313Sacramento St.91.4Big Sky
319Sacred Heart90.7Northeast
158Saint Joseph’s100.4Atlantic 10
69Saint Louis108.3Atlantic 10
28Saint Mary’s112.4West Coast
186Saint Peter’s99.2Metro Atlantic
162Sam Houston St.100.3Western Athletic
251Samford95.8Southern
166San Diego100.2West Coast
45San Diego St.110.4Mountain West
37San Francisco111.1West Coast
298San Jose St.92.3Mountain West
90Santa Clara106.5West Coast
133Seattle102.0Western Athletic
31Seton Hall111.9Big East
276Siena93.6Metro Atlantic
286SIU Edwardsville93.0Ohio Valley
52SMU109.5American Athletic
131South Alabama102.6Sun Belt
101South Carolina105.0Southeastern
340South Carolina St.87.6Mideastern Athletic
234South Dakota96.7Summit
71South Dakota St.108.1Summit
220South Florida97.6American Athletic
302Southeast Missouri St.92.1Ohio Valley
294Southeastern Louisiana92.5Southland
216Southern97.7Southwestern Athletic
136Southern Illinois101.9Missouri Valley
317Southern Miss90.8Conference USA
159Southern Utah100.3Big Sky
85St. Bonaventure107.0Atlantic 10
322St. Francis NY90.2Northeast
301St. Francis PA92.2Northeast
75St. John’s107.7Big East
279St. Thomas93.4Summit
91Stanford106.4Pac-12
154Stephen F. Austin100.5Western Athletic
309Stetson91.5Atlantic Sun
227Stony Brook97.4America East
89Syracuse106.6Atlantic Coast
207Tarleton St.98.3Western Athletic
60TCU108.7Big 12
132Temple102.3American Athletic
13Tennessee116.5Southeastern
321Tennessee Martin90.2Ohio Valley
304Tennessee St.92.0Ohio Valley
258Tennessee Tech94.8Ohio Valley
17Texas115.2Big 12
55Texas A&M109.1Southeastern
255Texas A&M Corpus Chris95.4Southland
171Texas Southern100.0Southwestern Athletic
168Texas St.100.1Sun Belt
15Texas Tech115.9Big 12
259The Citadel94.8Southern
65Toledo108.5Mid-American
97Towson105.4Colonial Athletic
208Troy98.2Sun Belt
118Tulane103.5American Athletic
152Tulsa100.7American Athletic
38UAB111.1Conference USA
230UC Davis97.0Big West
120UC Irvine103.4Big West
155UC Riverside100.5Big West
271UC San Diego94.0Big West
138UC Santa Barbara101.6Big West
80UCF107.2American Athletic
10UCLA117.8Pac-12
254UMass Lowell95.5America East
248UMBC96.0America East
241UMKC96.3Summit
238UNC Asheville96.5Big South
176UNC Greensboro99.6Southern
232UNC Wilmington96.9Colonial Athletic
124UNLV103.0Mountain West
24USC113.0Pac-12
295USC Upstate92.5Big South
219UT Arlington97.6Sun Belt
275UT Rio Grande Valley93.6Western Athletic
114Utah104.0Pac-12
57Utah St.109.0Mountain West
119Utah Valley103.4Western Athletic
180UTEP99.5Conference USA
320UTSA90.4Conference USA
199Valparaiso98.6Missouri Valley
93Vanderbilt105.9Southeastern
70VCU108.2Atlantic 10
74Vermont107.7America East
9Villanova118.2Big East
87Virginia106.7Atlantic Coast
42Virginia Tech110.5Atlantic Coast
178VMI99.6Southern
107Wagner104.5Northeast
30Wake Forest111.9Atlantic Coast
134Washington101.9Pac-12
47Washington St.110.2Pac-12
125Weber St.103.0Big Sky
51West Virginia109.7Big 12
303Western Carolina92.0Southern
229Western Illinois97.3Summit
122Western Kentucky103.2Conference USA
330Western Michigan89.0Mid-American
83Wichita St.107.1American Athletic
329William & Mary89.0Colonial Athletic
200Winthrop98.6Big South
26Wisconsin112.4Big Ten
117Wofford103.5Southern
206Wright St.98.3Horizon
67Wyoming108.4Mountain West
22Xavier113.5Big East
145Yale101.2Ivy League
249Youngstown St.95.9Horizon

PiRate Ratings By Conference

America East
TeamRating
Vermont107.7
Stony Brook97.4
New Hampshire96.7
UMBC96.0
UMass Lowell95.5
Albany94.2
Hartford93.5
Binghamton92.8
NJIT91.2
Maine84.8
American Athletic
TeamRating
Houston119.0
Memphis110.2
SMU109.5
Cincinnati108.0
UCF107.2
Wichita St.107.1
Tulane103.5
Temple102.3
Tulsa100.7
East Carolina99.6
South Florida97.6
Atlantic 10
TeamRating
Davidson108.7
Saint Louis108.3
VCU108.2
Dayton107.4
St. Bonaventure107.0
Richmond106.8
Rhode Island104.9
George Mason103.9
Saint Joseph’s100.4
Massachusetts100.2
Fordham98.5
Duquesne97.6
La Salle95.7
George Washington94.5
Atlantic Coast
TeamRating
Duke117.2
Wake Forest111.9
North Carolina111.6
Virginia Tech110.5
Florida St.109.1
Clemson109.0
Notre Dame108.7
Miami FL108.4
Virginia106.7
Syracuse106.6
N.C. State105.5
Louisville105.5
Georgia Tech103.0
Boston College101.3
Pittsburgh100.3
Atlantic Sun
TeamRating
Liberty104.6
Jacksonville St.102.6
Bellarmine99.2
Florida Gulf Coast98.0
Eastern Kentucky97.7
Kennesaw St.97.6
Jacksonville96.7
North Alabama93.2
Lipscomb93.1
North Florida93.0
Stetson91.5
Central Arkansas87.8
Big 12
TeamRating
Baylor121.0
Kansas118.8
Texas Tech115.9
Texas115.2
Oklahoma112.4
Iowa St.110.9
Oklahoma St.110.5
West Virginia109.7
TCU108.7
Kansas St.108.5
Big East
TeamRating
Villanova118.2
Connecticut115.4
Xavier113.5
Seton Hall111.9
Marquette111.7
Providence109.8
Creighton108.6
St. John’s107.7
DePaul105.3
Butler102.9
Georgetown100.5
Big Sky
TeamRating
Weber St.103.0
Montana St.100.9
Southern Utah100.3
Montana100.2
Northern Colorado98.6
Eastern Washington98.1
Portland St.93.3
Sacramento St.91.4
Northern Arizona90.8
Idaho89.4
Idaho St.87.3
Big South
TeamRating
Longwood100.3
Winthrop98.6
Gardner Webb98.4
Campbell98.0
UNC Asheville96.5
High Point94.4
North Carolina A&T94.1
Radford93.1
Presbyterian93.1
USC Upstate92.5
Hampton88.6
Charleston Southern85.1
Big Ten
TeamRating
Purdue119.8
Illinois116.3
Michigan St.114.4
Iowa114.3
Ohio St.113.6
Michigan113.1
Indiana112.7
Wisconsin112.4
Northwestern109.1
Maryland108.4
Penn St.107.4
Minnesota106.2
Rutgers105.8
Nebraska100.8
Big West
TeamRating
UC Irvine103.4
UC Santa Barbara101.6
Cal St. Fullerton100.6
UC Riverside100.5
Hawaii100.0
Long Beach St.97.6
UC Davis97.0
Cal St. Bakersfield96.6
UC San Diego94.0
Cal Poly91.6
Cal St. Northridge90.0
Colonial Athletic
TeamRating
Towson105.4
Hofstra104.2
Drexel100.7
Delaware100.5
James Madison99.1
Charleston98.7
UNC Wilmington96.9
Northeastern96.2
Elon94.7
William & Mary89.0
Conference USA
TeamRating
UAB111.1
North Texas107.2
Louisiana Tech106.6
Western Kentucky103.2
Florida Atlantic101.1
Middle Tennessee101.1
UTEP99.5
Rice99.2
Old Dominion99.0
Charlotte98.9
Marshall97.5
FIU96.1
Southern Miss90.8
UTSA90.4
Horizon
TeamRating
Oakland104.2
Cleveland St.100.0
Detroit Mercy98.4
Wright St.98.3
Purdue Fort Wayne96.4
Northern Kentucky96.1
Youngstown St.95.9
Illinois Chicago93.8
Milwaukee92.4
Robert Morris92.2
Green Bay90.1
IUPUI80.3
Ivy League
TeamRating
Princeton101.9
Yale101.2
Brown99.9
Penn97.9
Cornell97.9
Harvard97.9
Dartmouth96.0
Columbia86.9
Metro Atlantic
TeamRating
Iona107.8
Monmouth103.6
Saint Peter’s99.2
Marist99.1
Fairfield98.7
Niagara97.6
Quinnipiac95.7
Manhattan94.6
Siena93.6
Canisius93.5
Rider92.9
Mid-American
TeamRating
Toledo108.5
Ohio105.1
Buffalo104.9
Akron101.4
Kent St.99.6
Miami OH98.9
Bowling Green98.4
Ball St.96.1
Eastern Michigan93.7
Northern Illinois91.5
Western Michigan89.0
Central Michigan88.0
Mideastern Athletic
TeamRating
Howard97.5
Norfolk St.97.4
Coppin St.92.8
North Carolina Central92.3
Morgan St.90.2
Maryland Eastern Shore87.7
South Carolina St.87.6
Delaware St.78.6
Missouri Valley
TeamRating
Loyola Chicago111.5
Missouri St.108.7
Drake105.3
Bradley104.6
Northern Iowa104.4
Southern Illinois101.9
Indiana St.99.7
Illinois St.99.3
Valparaiso98.6
Evansville92.2
Mountain West
TeamRating
Colorado St.110.7
San Diego St.110.4
Boise St.110.1
Utah St.109.0
Wyoming108.4
Fresno St.107.2
Nevada104.4
UNLV103.0
New Mexico99.4
Air Force96.1
San Jose St.92.3
Northeast
TeamRating
Wagner104.5
Bryant98.4
LIU95.8
Mount St. Mary’s95.0
St. Francis PA92.2
Merrimack91.8
Sacred Heart90.7
St. Francis NY90.2
Central Connecticut87.7
Fairleigh Dickinson86.5
Ohio Valley
TeamRating
Murray St.110.2
Belmont108.6
Morehead St.101.3
Tennessee Tech94.8
SIU Edwardsville93.0
Austin Peay93.0
Southeast Missouri St.92.1
Tennessee St.92.0
Tennessee Martin90.2
Eastern Illinois82.6
Pac-12
TeamRating
Arizona121.7
UCLA117.8
USC113.0
Oregon110.5
Washington St.110.2
Colorado107.4
Stanford106.4
Utah104.0
California103.0
Arizona St.102.6
Washington101.9
Oregon St.101.2
Patriot League
TeamRating
Colgate103.3
Navy101.6
Boston University99.7
Loyola MD94.8
Army94.1
Lehigh91.6
Lafayette90.8
Bucknell88.4
American88.4
Holy Cross85.6
Southeastern
TeamRating
Kentucky119.0
Auburn118.6
LSU117.0
Tennessee116.5
Alabama114.7
Arkansas112.1
Florida111.6
Mississippi St.110.9
Texas A&M109.1
Vanderbilt105.9
South Carolina105.0
Mississippi104.2
Missouri101.5
Georgia98.6
Southern
TeamRating
Chattanooga107.4
Furman107.1
Wofford103.5
UNC Greensboro99.6
VMI99.6
East Tennessee St.98.9
Mercer97.5
Samford95.8
The Citadel94.8
Western Carolina92.0
Southland
TeamRating
Nicholls St.97.9
Texas A&M Corpus Chris95.4
New Orleans93.4
Southeastern Louisiana92.5
McNeese St.91.6
Northwestern St.87.0
Houston Baptist85.4
Incarnate Word84.3
Southwestern Athletic
TeamRating
Texas Southern100.0
Southern97.7
Alcorn St.94.6
Jackson St.94.1
Prairie View A&M92.9
Florida A&M90.9
Grambling St.89.5
Alabama St.89.4
Bethune Cookman87.7
Alabama A&M87.5
Arkansas Pine Bluff82.1
Mississippi Valley St.78.0
Summit
TeamRating
South Dakota St.108.1
Oral Roberts102.7
North Dakota St.99.9
Western Illinois97.3
South Dakota96.7
UMKC96.3
St. Thomas93.4
Denver91.5
North Dakota86.3
Nebraska Omaha86.0
Sun Belt
TeamRating
South Alabama102.6
Coastal Carolina100.8
Appalachian St.100.3
Texas St.100.1
Louisiana99.4
Georgia St.99.1
Arkansas St.98.8
Troy98.2
UT Arlington97.6
Georgia Southern96.5
Louisiana Monroe94.3
Little Rock91.4
West Coast
TeamRating
Gonzaga124.3
Saint Mary’s112.4
BYU111.8
San Francisco111.1
Santa Clara106.5
Loyola Marymount100.2
San Diego100.2
Portland96.4
Pacific94.4
Pepperdine93.7
Western Athletic
TeamRating
New Mexico St.104.6
Grand Canyon104.0
Utah Valley103.4
Seattle102.0
Abilene Christian101.4
Stephen F. Austin100.5
Sam Houston St.100.3
Tarleton St.98.3
Cal Baptist97.0
UT Rio Grande Valley93.6
Dixie St.92.8
Lamar88.3
Chicago St.85.7

Coming Later Today: Updated Bracketology

January 25, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Tuesday, January 25, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 3:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
Rhode IslandRichmond2.2
GeorgiaAlabama-15.0
DukeClemson12.1
IllilnoisMichigan St.5.4
VillanovaDePaul15.3
Northern KentuckyWright St.-0.7
CharlestonWilliam & Mary13.2
DaytonFordham12.4
YaleColumbia17.6
IonaSiena16.6
TempleCincinnati-3.1
Indiana St.Missouri St.-7.6
OhioNorthern Illinois16.5
Bowling GreenEastern Michigan6.8
Central MichiganAkron-11.6
Kent St.Western Michigan13.3
ToledoBuffalo5.4
Ball St.Miami (O)-2.5
BaylorKansas St.14.6
North Dakota St.St. Thomas7.6
PittsburghSyracuse-4.7
Loyola (Chi.)Southern Illinois12.3
RutgersMaryland1.4
MissouriAuburn-15.4
ConnecticutGeorgetown17.5
KentuckyMississippi St.11.3
TCUTexas-1.5
Colorado St.Nevada11.2
New MexicoFresno St.-4.9
Boise St.Wyoming5.1
OregonColorado6.8
Cal St. NorthridgeUCSB-7.3
San Jose St.Air Force-0.1
UCLAArizona-3.1

December 27, 2021

A New Sun Bowl

With Miami of Florida having to back out of the Sun Bowl and Boise State having to back out of the Arizona Bowl due to multiple positive Covid cases, The Arizona Bowl has been cancelled, and the Sun Bowl has now extended an invitation to Central Michigan to face Washington State. Below are the new PiRate Ratings spreads for that game.

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Washington St.Central Michigan7.29.39.4

August 16, 2021

Mountain West Coast Conference Preview

Like every other conference in 2020, the Mountain West Conference was forced to make some eleventh hour changes, delaying the start of the season to late October.  One team, Colorado State, played just four games.  Several teams made it to six games.  A couple played seven times, and no team played double digit games.

Divisional play was cancelled last year, with the top two finishers facing off in the MWC Championship Game.  San Jose State finished first with a 6-0 league record, while Boise State finished a half-game back at 5-0.  In the MWC Championship Game, the Spartans bested the Broncos by two touchdowns.

Normalcy returns in 2021, as the teams return to divisional play.  At the preseason meetings the MWC Media voted their predicted order of finish for the season.  Here is how it turned out:

Mountain West Conference Preseason Media Poll
Mountain Division1st PlOverall
Boise St.23148
Wyoming2115
Air Force104
Colorado St.72
Utah St.47
New Mexico39
West Division1st PlOverall
Nevada19141
San Jose St.5121
San Diego St.96
Fresno St.185
Hawaii56
UNLV26

Here is the PiRate Ratings Preview for the MWC

Boise State breaks in a new head coach, after Bryan Harsin left for Auburn.  The Broncos return 16 starters including their starting quarterback and two excellent receivers.  New coach Andy Avalos needs to get more consistency out of the Boise State offense.  The defense is good enough to win games for the Broncos as long as the offense tops 30 points.

One of these years, Wyoming is going to put it all together and take the Mountain Division flag.  Coach Craig Bohl has what looks like his best team since he arrived in Laramie, and this could be the year the Cowboys challenge for the division title.  The Wyoming defense should challenge for the league lead in points allowed and total yards allowed.

AIr Force led the MWC in scoring defense last year, while the option offense was off and on.  When an option style team has a veteran quarterback, they usually perform a little better than the previous season.  However, even though quarterback Haaziq Daniels returns to start, he will play behind an offensive line that must replace all five starters.  The Falcon defense is going to need to come out with a lot of stalled opponent drives if AFA is going to compete for the division flag.

Colorado State has had a lot of turnover the last couple of seasons with three different head coaches.  Current coach and former Boston College head man Steve Addazio didn’t get much of a chance to coach in Fort Collins in his first year, going just 1-3.  He has an experienced squad returning, but the Rams have a tough schedule.  Competing for a winning record may be two seasons away at the least.

Utah State won just one time last year, a 14-point victory over New Mexico.  Once considered an offensive firepower, the Aggies are anything but that these days.  USU must break in a new quarterback, three new pass catchers, and a new running back, and the offense is going to struggle at times after averaging just 15.5 points per game last year.  The defense was mediocre in 2020, and it could be weaker this year, so the Aggies are not likely to enjoy a winning season.

New Mexico lost their first five games but was competitive in four of those games last year.  The Lobos ended the season with wins over Wyoming and Fresno State, and they return 14 starters.  They are a good quarterback away from contending for a bowl game this year.

In the West Division, the Nevada Wolf Pack clearly begins the season as the team to beat for the championship.  The Wolf Pack have the far and away best quarterback in the league and one of the top five in the nation in Carson Strong.  Give Strong a highly competent receiving corps, and Nevada should ride their version of the Air Raid offense to more than 35 points per game this year.  The good news for the Pack is their defense should be somewhat improved this year after surrendering just 23 points per game last year.  Keep an eye on this team; they have two road games against Power Five conference opponents, and they play Boise State on the road.  It would not be a shock if Nevada pulled off upsets in any or all of these games, assuming they count as upsets.

Nevada will have to compete with San Jose State and San Diego State for the West Division title, as both the Spartans and Aztecs are quite talented.  San Jose State went undefeated in the regular season and topped Boise State in the MWC title game, but they fell to a hot Ball State team in the Arizona Bowl.  The Spartans return their entire starting defense, while the offense returns the second best quarterback in the league in Nick Starkel, playing behind an offensive line that returns all five regulars.  Other than a game at USC in September, the Spartans have a chance to win the rest.  The November 6 game at Nevada might decide the division title.

San Diego State began to play defense in 2020 like the Aztecs were known for a decade ago, giving up 17.8 points per game and finishing third nationally in yards allowed at 283.5 per game.  SDSU doesn’t have the experienced quarterback like the other two contenders, but the Aztec defense should be even stronger in 2021.  

Fresno State had an off year at 3-3, and the Bulldogs concluded 2020 with a 49-39 loss to New Mexico.  Things weren’t as bad as they appeared to be for this team.  They suffered the most logistical nightmare of any team thanks to Covid.  The program totally shut down for more than six months, and after beating Utah State on November 14, they prepared to play for three weeks only to find out late each week that their game had been cancelled.  Additionally, after October’s home game win over Colorado State, they had to play their final four games on the road. Second year coach Kalen DeBoer welcomes back an experienced roster.  DeBoer went 67-3 in his previous stint as a head coach at NAIA power Sioux Falls.  Expect the Bulldogs to begin a trek back toward regular contention for the MWC championship.  Having to play at Oregon and at UCLA in September and then making a trip to Hawaii in early October could task the roster a tad too much, but FSU could easily sneak into contention .

Hawaii cannot be discounted as a dark horse in the West Division race.  Todd Graham guided the Rainbow Warriors to a 5-4 record that included a New Mexico Bowl win over Houston last year.  The UH offense was consistent, but the defense was not.  Expect a better defensive performance this year, and the offense should be strong once again.  UH will be handicapped a bit this year having to play seven road games, while their home games will be played in a retrofitted practice field on campus, while waiting for Aloha Stadium to be rebuilt.  The practice field will serve as the home field for the next three years.

UNLV wore the collar in 2020, going 0-6 in Coach Marcus Arroyo’s first season.  The Rebels will be interesting to watch this year, even if the total level of talent isn’t ready to compete in the MWC.  While 10 starters return to the weakest defense in the league, and a couple of  players that missed 2020 will be back to make the defense stronger, the focus will be on the offense, namely at quarterback.  

Tate Martell was the Gatorade National Player of the Year as a senior at Bishop Gorman High School in Las Vegas.  Martell took a circuitous route home after committing to multiple colleges and playing for both Ohio State and Miami of Florida.  He has one year to show NFL scouts that he is worthy of being drafted.  If he can live up to expectations, Martell could challenge Starkel as second best passer in the league.  If not, UNLV could struggle to win a conference game this year.

Here are the preseason PiRate Ratings for the MWC

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.9103.3104.3103.9
Wyoming97.798.499.598.5
Air Force96.496.396.996.5
Colorado St.88.888.889.389.0
Utah St.85.686.685.285.8
New Mexico85.886.285.285.7
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
San Jose St.100.8101.199.0100.3
San Diego St.100.699.9100.2100.2
Nevada98.499.798.498.8
Fresno St.93.795.796.795.3
Hawaii94.894.194.794.6
U N L V85.884.384.684.9
MWC Averages94.494.594.594.5

The PiRate Ratings are designed only to predict the next game for each team and not to look forward past that game, but just for fun, here are our predictions for 2021.

MWC MountainConf.Overall
Boise St.7-18-5
Wyoming6-210-2
Air Force4-47-5
New Mexico3-56-6
Colorado St.2-64-8
Utah St.1-73-9
MWC WestConf.Overall
San Jose St.6-210-3*
Nevada6-28-4
San Diego St.5-38-4
Hawaii4-47-6
Fresno St.3-55-7
UNLV1-72-10
* San Jose St. wins MWC Championship Game

March 13, 2021

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:43 am
Date3/13/2021
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1GonzagaBaylorMichiganIllinois
2Ohio St.AlabamaIowaOklahoma St.
3HoustonArkansasKansasTexas
4Florida St.PurdueWest VirginiaVirginia
5TennesseeCreightonColoradoVillanova
6OregonUSCTexas TechMissouri
7LSUOklahomaWisconsinClemson
8BYUFloridaLoyola (Chi.)North Carolina
9RutgersSan Diego St.Virginia TechConnecticut
10St. BonaventureGeorgia TechVCUMaryland
11Wichita St.Michigan St.UCLALouisville
12Western Ky.WinthropSyracuseDrakeUtah St.Ole Miss
13UCSBLibertyUNCGColgate
14BuffaloMorehead St.Abilene ChristianE. Washington
15Cleveland St.Grand CanyonOral RobertsDrexel
16IonaMount St. Mary’sAppalachian St.HartfordNorfolk St.Prairie View A&M

First Four Out–Alternates

69 Saint Louis

70 Colorado St.

71 Boise St.

72 Xavier

Potential Bubble Busters: Memphis. Georgetown, and Oregon St.

March 5, 2021

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Date3/5/2021
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1GonzagaMichiganBaylorIllinois
2Ohio St.AlabamaIowaWest Virginia
3VillanovaKansasArkansasHouston
4PurdueFlorida St.TexasOklahoma St.
5Texas TechCreightonVirginiaUSC
6ColoradoOklahomaTennesseeWisconsin
7MissouriClemsonFloridaBYU
8OregonVirginia TechSan Diego St.LSU
9MarylandLoyola (Chi.)RutgersUCLA
10ConnecticutNorth CarolinaLouisvilleSt. Bonaventure
11Georgia TechVCUColorado St.Boise St.
12Western Ky.ToledoDrakeMichigan St.XavierWichita St.
13UCSBColgateBelmontWinthrop
14LibertyUNCGAbilene ChristianS. Dakota St.
15E. WashingtonSienaVermontCleveland St.
16Grand CanyonJames MadisonTexas St.WagnerPrairie ViewNorfolk St.

The Outside Looking In

69Saint Louis
70Seton Hall
71SMU
72Mississippi
73Syracuse
74Utah State
75Duke
76Stanford
77Indiana
78Louisiana Tech
79Memphis
80St. John’s

September 18, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For September 19-23, 2019

Well, hello there.  Welcome to the worst sports picks on the Internet in 2019.  These last two weeks have been so monumentally terrible, that one must go back to 1982 to find a worse two weeks for our selections.  Why have we gone from so good in 2018 to so rotten this year?  If we only knew the answer to that question.

One thing we noticed is that our parlays have been 67% correct, or in other words, we are hitting on all but one game in each parlay.  Or, in other words, if we had re-arranged our picks, we could have in theory won well over half of these selections.  There’s the rub.  When you pick parlays, you have to be 100% right to win your parlay.

We have decided to stick with what has worked for us in the past and hope to improve enough to get back into the black before the end of the year.  It’s going to be a tough hill to climb, but we issue our selections without any stress.

Why is this stress free?  We NEVER wager real money on our selections.  We are in this for fun, and we have always advised you to do the same.  Even in years where our picks would have in theory returned you more than 40% on your investment, we never took ourselves seriously enough to have faith in these choices.

You have had your weekly forewarning.  DO NOT WAGER REAL MONEY ON THESE PICKS!

Odds as of 2:00 PM EDT on Wednesday, September 18

 

Selection #1: 10-point Teaser, 3 teams at 10-12

 

Houston + 15 1/2 vs. Tulane

Boston College +3 vs. Rutgers

Louisiana-Monroe +29 vs. Iowa St.

 

Selection #2: 10-point Teaser, 3 teams at 10-12

 

Northwestern +19 1/2 vs. Michigan St.

TCU + 1/2 vs. SMU

Wyoming +13 1/2 vs. Tulsa

 

Selection #3: 10-point Teaser, 3 teams at 10-12

 

New Mexico St. +15 vs. New Mexico

Oklahoma St. +15 1/2 vs. Texas

Nevada -4 1/2 vs. UTEP

 

Selection #4: 10-point Teaser, 3 teams at 10-12

 

Jacksonville + 11 1/2 vs. Tennessee

Green Bay +2 vs. Denver

Cincinnati +16 vs. Buffalo

 

Selection #5: 10-point Teaser, 3 teams at 10-12

 

Carolina +7 1/2 vs. Arizona

Seattle +6 vs. New Orleans

San Francisco +3 1/2 vs. Pittsburgh

 

Selection #6: 10-point Teaser, 3 teams at 10-12

 

Tennessee & Jacksonville OVER 29

New England & NY Jets OVER 33 1/2

Dallas & Miami UNDER 57 1/2

 

Selection #7: Money Line Parlay, 2 teams at +152

 

Syracuse over Western Michigan

North Carolina over Appalachian St.

 

Selection #8: Money Line Parlay, 3 teams at +137

 

Louisiana Tech over Florida Int’l.

TCU over SMU

Arizona St. over Colorado

 

Selection #9: Money Line Parlay, 3 teams at +180

 

Boston College over Rutgers

Texas A&M over Auburn

UAB over South Alabama

 

Davey19

The experimental Davey19 model took it on the chin as well last week, and it went into the red for the season.  This week, we double-checked the information to make sure we interpreted the statistical data correctly, and it looks like we made no mistakes in the calculations last week.  The picks just plain stunk.

 

Here are Davey19’s selections as we play it a little more conservatively.

 

  1. Stanford & Oregon UNDER 58 1/2

  2. Air Force & Boise St. UNDER 55

  3. Northwestern +9 1/2 vs. Michigan St.

  4. Illinois +13 1/2 vs. Nebraska

  5. Ole Miss -2 vs. California

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