PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 16: December 21-23, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Tampa Bay	Houston	2.2	3.4	4.1
New England	Buffalo	9.2	8.9	8.4
San Francisco	LA Rams	5.9	7.7	7.7
Atlanta	Jacksonville	11.8	11.9	11.9
Tennessee	New Orleans	-4.0	-1.9	-2.4
Washington	N. Y. Giants	0.7	1.2	0.5
N. Y. Jets	Pittsburgh	-2.7	-2.7	-4.2
Miami	Cincinnati	-1.2	-0.8	-1.2
Indianapolis	Carolina	5.7	6.7	5.9
Cleveland	Baltimore	-10.8	-10.6	-11.5
LA Chargers	Oakland	12.7	12.7	12.1
Denver	Detroit	6.7	8.5	8.2
Seattle	Arizona	12.1	11.6	11.3
Philadelphia	Dallas	-0.6	-2.2	-2.3
Chicago	Kansas City	0.1	-2.9	-2.8
Minnesota	Green Bay	9.6	8.5	8.4

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Tampa Bay	Houston	54
New England	Buffalo	36.5
San Francisco	LA Rams	51.5
Atlanta	Jacksonville	44
Tennessee	New Orleans	46.5
Washington	N. Y. Giants	43
N. Y. Jets	Pittsburgh	41
Miami	Cincinnati	50
Indianapolis	Carolina	49
Cleveland	Baltimore	49
LA Chargers	Oakland	47.5
Denver	Detroit	42.5
Seattle	Arizona	49
Philadelphia	Dallas	47.5
Chicago	Kansas City	47.5
Minnesota	Green Bay	46.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	108.1	108.8	108.3	108.4	19.5	11-3
Buffalo	101.9	102.9	102.9	102.6	17	10-4
N. Y. Jets	94.2	94.8	93.8	94.3	21.5	5-9
Miami	89.2	89.4	89.2	89.3	27.5	3-11
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	111.6	111.7	112.5	112.0	25	12-2
Pittsburgh	99.4	100.0	100.5	99.9	19.5	8-6
Cleveland	97.9	98.1	98.0	98.0	24	6-8
Cincinnati	92.9	92.7	92.9	92.8	22.5	1-13
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Tennessee	102.0	102.4	102.4	102.3	20.5	8-6
Houston	102.0	102.3	102.1	102.2	24	9-5
Indianapolis	97.9	98.7	98.1	98.2	23	6-8
Jacksonville	91.3	91.4	91.3	91.3	18	5-9
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	105.2	106.0	105.9	105.7	30	10-4
LA Chargers	102.0	101.7	101.1	101.6	22	5-9
Denver	98.9	99.2	98.9	99.0	19	5-9
Oakland	91.2	91.0	91.0	91.1	25.5	6-8
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	104.8	105.1	104.8	104.9	23	7-7
Philadelphia	101.3	99.9	99.6	100.2	24.5	7-7
N.Y. Giants	93.4	93.6	93.9	93.6	24.5	3-11
Washington	91.6	92.3	91.9	91.9	18.5	3-11
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	108.6	107.5	107.7	108.0	22	10-4
Green Bay	102.0	102.0	102.3	102.1	24.5	11-3
Chicago	102.9	100.6	100.6	101.4	17.5	7-7
Detroit	95.1	93.7	93.7	94.2	23.5	3-10-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	108.5	106.8	107.3	107.5	26	11-3
Tampa Bay	101.3	102.7	103.2	102.4	30	7-7
Atlanta	100.6	100.8	100.7	100.7	26	5-9
Carolina	95.2	95.0	95.2	95.1	26	5-9
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	107.3	108.1	108.4	107.9	25.5	11-3
LA Rams	104.4	103.4	103.7	103.8	26	8-6
Seattle	103.2	103.0	103.2	103.1	24	11-3
Arizona	94.1	94.3	94.9	94.4	25	4-9-1

 

Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	Baltimore
2	New England
3	Kansas City
4	Houston
5	Buffalo
6	Pittsburgh

NFC Seeding
1	New Orleans
2	Seattle
3	Green Bay
4	Philadelphia
5	San Francisco
6	Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Kansas City over Pittsburgh

Buffalo over Houston

Green Bay over Minnesota

San Francisco over Philadelphia

Divisional Round

Baltimore over Buffalo

New England over Kansas City

New Orleans over San Francisco

Seattle over Green Bay

Conference Championship

Baltimore over New England

Seattle over New Orleans

Super Bowl 54

Seattle over Baltimore

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Picks For December 12-16, 2019

Davey19 Concludes College Football Regular Season With Second Perfect Slate In 3 Weeks!

Our experimental Davey19 forecast model went 3-0 last week during Conference Championship Week, correctly picking against the spread the AAC, Big 12, and Sun Belt Conference Championship Games.  This led to a final four weeks record of 22-8-1 or 73.3% against the spread, which is smashingly excellent.  It left the Davey19 system well in the black for the season.

We discovered quite early in the year that this system apparently works best on conference games in college football.  It was so-so with non-conference football and totally useless with NFL games.  So, because of that, Davey19 is being shut down for the college bowl season and the remainder of the NFL season.  We will continue to experiment with this system next year when the college teams play conference games, and then if we have another successful year, especially wiping up in November as the sample size increases, we may remove the “experimental” tag from the system name.

 

What you will get for the rest of the season are the regular PiRate Ratings selections, or in other words, the most useless but entertaining picks against the spread and the money line.  We are throwing caution to the wind coming up with picks so out in left field, that they are on top of the roof across the street from old Griffith Stadium in Washington.  For those of you under the age of 85 or not an architectural fan of old demolished baseball parks, it was over 400 feet to left field at Washington’s Griffith Stadium for most of its existence, until players like Harmon Killebrew, Roy Sievers, and Jim Lemon wore Washington Senators jerseys.  Therefore, the roof on top of the building over the left field wall was only reachable by visiting players like Jimmy Foxx and, of course, Mickey Mantle.

FYI: Mantle’s  565 foot blast over the bleachers at Griffith was hit to left-center and landed on Oakdale Street three houses down from the ballpark.  The Yankees’ radio announcer said something to the effect that somebody should get out a tape measure to see how far the blast carried.  Thus, the term “Tape Measure Home Run” was coined.  Additionally, the ball might have traveled several feet more had it not grazed the edge of the football scoreboard.  I would cite the source for this, but this is from aged memory without actually looking it up.

Okay, now that we’ve diverted your attention away from our crazy, goofy, insane, but free picks, here is how we are progressing the rest of the way.  You will receive our expertly “It seemed like a good idea at the time” selections.  Don’t you dare use them to wager real money on games unless you also like to touch live electricity while swimming in a pool.  None of the PiRates have ever wagered a dollar on any of the selections that appear on this site.  While we do know that there are pros, even two Sharps, that use our site for information, they are using our regular weekly ratings and have different algorithms and rules to apply to them to make profits.  These different Sharps are using data completely different from each other, and from one of them (actually somebody in the public eye as a pro), this person plugged numbers into a computer for weeks before discovering this anomaly that led to about 65.2% success against the spread over the last 6 years.  We take great pain to never issue these picks on this site for two reasons.  First, this person told us this in confidence and revealing it publicly means the odds might change and ruin this person’s very hard work.  Second, the minute we recommend these picks, luck will turn the other way and make them stop working.

Therefore, we seldom if ever make straight selections against the spread or the totals that might second what the successful system also chooses.  We have fun devising teaser and money line parlays, looking for the big odds payout.  Davey19 is totally different, as it is a mechanical system for picking conference games in college with occasional non-conference games selected.  While there have been times where Davey19 and the Sharp have selected the same games, we have tried to censor those games from Davey19 when there are enough other games the system chooses.  For instance, one week Davey19 flagged 10 games, but we only issued 7, because the other three were games that the Sharp also keyed.

So, here are our strictly for fun parlays for week 15 of the NFL system.  There have been some highly successful weeks with these picks, but there have been even more losing weeks, so once again, please look at these just for fun and do not wager these selections based on reading them here.

 

10-Point Teasers @ 10-12

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Denver	Kansas City	0.5	Kansas City
Carolina	Seattle	4	Seattle
Jacksonville	Oakland	3.5	Oakland

 

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Arizona	Cleveland	7.5	Cleveland
Dallas	LA Rams	8.5	LA Rams
Indianapolis	New Orleans	1.5	New Orleans

 

 

13-Point Teasers @ 10-13

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Baltimore	N.Y. Jets	29.5	N.Y. Jets
Green Bay	Chicago	17.5	Chicago
Chicago	Green Bay	8.5	Green Bay
Minnesota	LA Chargers	15.5	LA Chargers

 

 

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
LA Chargers	Minnesota	10.5	Minnesota
San Francisco	Atlanta	24	Atlanta
Pittsburgh	Buffalo	15	Buffalo
Buffalo	Pittsburgh	11	Pittsburgh

 

7-Point Teaser @ 10-13

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
New England	Cincinnati	2	New England
Detroit	Tampa Bay	3.5	Tampa Bay

 

 

Money Line Parlays

#1–1 Game at +435

In other words, this is a major upset pick that we just have a feeling about due to the favorite having played three tough games in a row and an underdog that can score points and plays better on the road than at home.

Winner	Loser
Atlanta	San Francisco

 

#2–2 Games at +156

Winner	Loser
Tennessee	Houston
Philadelphia	Washington

 

#3–2 Games at +198

Winner	Loser
Cleveland	Arizona
Minnesota	LA Chargers

 

#4–3 Games at +224

Winner	Loser
Kansas City	Denver
New England	Cincinnati
Buffalo	Pittsburgh

 

#5–3 Games at +241

Winner	Loser
Green Bay	Chicago
LA Rams	Dallas
New Orleans	Indianapolis

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 14: December 5-9, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Chicago	Dallas	2.6	-0.6	-0.2
Atlanta	Carolina	3.3	3.5	2.8
Buffalo	Baltimore	-6.3	-5.3	-6.2
Cleveland	Cincinnati	8.0	8.4	8.1
Green Bay	Washington	13.6	13.0	13.7
Houston	Denver	8.1	8.0	8.1
Minnesota	Detroit	11.5	11.5	11.6
New Orleans	San Francisco	1.4	-1.4	-1.7
N. Y. Jets	Miami	8.5	8.8	8.1
Tampa Bay	Indianapolis	2.6	3.6	4.4
Jacksonville	LA Chargers	-4.3	-3.9	-3.5
Arizona	Pittsburgh	-3.6	-3.7	-3.6
New England	Kansas City	9.0	9.1	8.9
Oakland	Tennessee	-4.5	-5.2	-4.7
LA Rams	Seattle	4.2	3.0	3.1
Philadelphia	N. Y. Giants	12.1	10.4	9.7

 

Totals

 

Home	Visitor	Total
Chicago	Dallas	38
Atlanta	Carolina	51
Buffalo	Baltimore	42
Cleveland	Cincinnati	45.5
Green Bay	Washington	42.5
Houston	Denver	41
Minnesota	Detroit	47.5
New Orleans	San Francisco	49
N. Y. Jets	Miami	48.5
Tampa Bay	Indianapolis	51.5
Jacksonville	LA Chargers	39.5
Arizona	Pittsburgh	44
New England	Kansas City	51.5
Oakland	Tennessee	44
LA Rams	Seattle	50.5
Philadelphia	N. Y. Giants	49.5

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	108.9	109.6	109.1	109.2	20.5	10-2
Buffalo	101.8	102.9	102.8	102.5	17.5	9-3
N. Y. Jets	94.9	95.6	94.7	95.1	21	4-8
Miami	89.5	89.7	89.5	89.6	27.5	3-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	111.1	111.1	112.0	111.4	24.5	10-2
Pittsburgh	99.5	100.0	100.4	99.9	20	7-5
Cleveland	99.2	99.5	99.5	99.4	23	5-7
Cincinnati	93.2	93.1	93.4	93.2	22.5	1-11
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	103.1	103.4	103.2	103.3	23	8-4
Tennessee	100.9	101.4	101.3	101.2	19.5	7-5
Indianapolis	99.3	100.1	99.6	99.7	22.5	6-6
Jacksonville	93.6	93.8	93.6	93.7	18.5	4-8
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	102.9	103.5	103.2	103.2	31	8-4
LA Chargers	101.0	100.7	100.1	100.6	21	4-8
Denver	98.1	98.4	98.1	98.2	18	4-8
Oakland	93.4	93.3	93.6	93.4	24.5	6-6
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	103.3	103.9	103.5	103.6	21	6-6
Philadelphia	102.0	100.4	100.0	100.8	24.5	5-7
N.Y. Giants	91.9	92.0	92.2	92.0	25	2-10
Washington	91.4	92.2	91.8	91.8	18	3-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.4	105.0	105.2	105.6	23	8-4
Green Bay	102.0	102.2	102.5	102.2	24.5	9-3
Chicago	103.0	100.3	100.3	101.2	17	6-6
Detroit	97.4	96.0	96.1	96.5	24.5	3-8-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.4	105.5	105.8	106.2	25	10-2
Tampa Bay	98.9	100.6	101.0	100.2	29	5-7
Atlanta	97.5	97.5	97.1	97.3	25.5	3-9
Carolina	96.6	96.5	96.8	96.6	25.5	5-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	109.0	109.9	110.5	109.8	24	10-2
LA Rams	105.5	104.3	104.7	104.8	25.5	7-5
Seattle	104.3	104.3	104.6	104.4	25	10-2
Arizona	93.0	93.2	93.8	93.3	24	3-8-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	Baltimore
2	New England
3	Houston
4	Kansas City
5	Buffalo
6	Pittsburgh
NFC Seeding
1	Seattle
2	New Orleans
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	San Francisco
6	Minnesota

Wildcard Round

Houston over Pittsburgh

Buffalo over Kansas City

Green Bay over Minnesota

San Francisco over Dallas

Divisional Round

Buffalo over Baltimore

Houston over New England

Seattle over San Francisco

New Orleans over Green Bay

Conference Championship

Houston over Buffalo

Seattle over New Orleans

Super Bowl 54

Seattle over Houston

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 13: November 28-December 2, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Margins

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Detroit	Chicago	-2.8	-1.2	-0.9
Dallas	Buffalo	8.4	7.9	8.0
Atlanta	New Orleans	-7.4	-5.1	-5.8
Cincinnati	N.Y. Jets	-2.5	-3.5	-2.4
Indianapolis	Tennessee	4.8	5.2	5.1
Miami	Philadelphia	-14.2	-12.4	-12.3
N.Y. Giants	Green Bay	-5.2	-5.0	-5.0
Pittsburgh	Cleveland	2.6	2.5	2.8
Carolina	Washington	10.9	10.1	11.0
Jacksonville	Tampa Bay	0.7	-0.9	-1.2
Baltimore	San Francisco	6.3	5.4	6.1
Arizona	LA Rams	-5.5	-3.7	-3.3
Denver	LA Chargers	-0.1	0.3	0.6
Kansas City	Oakland	8.1	8.6	7.8
Houston	New England	-4.1	-4.7	-4.6
Seattle	Minnesota	-0.1	1.3	1.2

 

Totals

Home	Visitor	Total
Detroit	Chicago	41.5
Dallas	Buffalo	38.5
Atlanta	New Orleans	50.5
Cincinnati	N.Y. Jets	44.5
Indianapolis	Tennessee	41
Miami	Philadelphia	50
N.Y. Giants	Green Bay	50.5
Pittsburgh	Cleveland	44
Carolina	Washington	43.5
Jacksonville	Tampa Bay	48.5
Baltimore	San Francisco	49.5
Arizona	LA Rams	49.5
Denver	LA Chargers	39
Kansas City	Oakland	55.5
Houston	New England	43.5
Seattle	Minnesota	48

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	109.4	110.2	109.8	109.8	20.5	10-1
Buffalo	100.0	101.1	100.8	100.6	17.5	8-3
N. Y. Jets	96.5	97.4	96.5	96.8	21.5	4-7
Miami	87.4	87.6	87.3	87.4	26.5	2-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	111.3	111.3	112.4	111.7	25	9-2
Cleveland	99.7	100.1	100.2	100.0	23.5	5-6
Pittsburgh	99.3	99.7	100.0	99.6	20.5	6-5
Cincinnati	91.6	91.3	91.6	91.5	23	0-11
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	102.3	102.5	102.2	102.4	23	7-4
Indianapolis	101.0	101.9	101.5	101.5	22	6-5
Tennessee	99.2	99.6	99.4	99.4	19	6-5
Jacksonville	95.5	95.7	95.6	95.6	19	4-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	100.7	101.2	100.8	100.9	31	7-4
LA Chargers	101.1	100.9	100.3	100.7	21	4-7
Denver	98.0	98.2	97.9	98.0	18	3-8
Oakland	95.6	95.6	96.0	95.7	24.5	6-5
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	105.4	106.0	105.8	105.7	21	6-5
Philadelphia	104.1	102.5	102.2	102.9	23.5	5-6
N.Y. Giants	93.1	93.3	93.6	93.3	25.5	2-9
Washington	89.7	90.4	89.9	90.0	18	2-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.9	105.5	105.8	106.1	23	8-3
Chicago	102.9	100.0	99.9	100.9	17	5-6
Green Bay	100.8	100.9	101.1	100.9	25	8-3
Detroit	97.5	96.3	96.5	96.8	24.5	3-7-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.4	105.3	105.6	106.1	25	9-2
Tampa Bay	97.3	99.0	99.3	98.5	29.5	4-7
Carolina	98.0	98.0	98.4	98.1	25.5	5-6
Atlanta	97.5	97.7	97.3	97.5	25.5	3-8
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	108.5	109.4	109.8	109.2	24.5	10-1
Seattle	103.8	103.8	104.0	103.9	25	9-2
LA Rams	103.5	102.1	102.4	102.7	25.5	6-5
Arizona	95.0	95.4	96.1	95.5	24	3-7-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Baltimore
2	New England
3	Houston
4	Kansas City
5	Buffalo
6	Pittsburgh
NFC Seeding
1	San Francisco
2	New Orleans
3	Green Bay
4	Dallas
5	Seattle
6	Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Pittsburgh

Buffalo over Kansas City

Minnesota over Green Bay

Seattle over Dallas

Divisional Round

Baltimore over Buffalo

Houston over New England

San Francisco over Minnesota

Seattle over New Orleans

Conference Championship

Baltimore over Houston

San Francisco over Seattle

Super Bowl 54

Baltimore over San Francisco

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 11: November 14-18, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

 

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Cleveland	Pittsburgh	2.9	2.7	2.2
Carolina	Atlanta	7.2	7.2	8.3
Detroit	Dallas	-3.7	-5.4	-4.4
Indianapolis	Jacksonville	4.2	4.6	3.9
Miami	Buffalo	-8.0	-8.4	-8.2
Baltimore	Houston	3.3	2.9	4.1
Minnesota	Denver	10.5	8.9	9.4
Washington	N.Y. Jets	1.9	2.1	2.7
Tampa Bay	New Orleans	-8.2	-3.7	-3.6
San Francisco	Arizona	14.2	14.6	14.3
Oakland	Cincinnati	8.9	9.2	9.6
Philadelphia	New England	-1.0	-3.6	-3.4
LA Rams	Chicago	5.9	7.5	7.6
LA Chargers (n)	Kansas City	1.4	1.0	1.0

Chargers – Chiefs game will be played in Mexico City

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

Current NFL PiRate Ratings
A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	109.5	110.5	110.1	110.0	21.5	8-1
Buffalo	98.4	99.4	98.9	98.9	17	6-3
N. Y. Jets	91.8	92.6	91.4	91.9	21	2-7
Miami	88.0	88.4	88.2	88.2	25.5	2-7
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	105.1	105.0	106.0	105.4	25	7-2
Pittsburgh	99.7	100.2	100.6	100.1	21	5-4
Cleveland	99.6	99.8	99.8	99.7	23	3-6
Cincinnati	91.6	91.2	91.5	91.4	24	0-9
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	104.8	105.1	104.9	105.0	23	6-3
Indianapolis	99.4	100.2	99.7	99.8	22	5-4
Jacksonville	98.2	98.6	98.8	98.5	18.5	4-5
Tennessee	97.7	98.0	97.6	97.8	17.5	5-5
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Chargers	101.5	101.4	100.9	101.2	21.5	4-6
Kansas City	100.0	100.4	99.9	100.1	31.5	6-4
Denver	99.4	99.6	99.4	99.5	18	3-6
Oakland	97.4	97.5	98.1	97.7	25.5	5-4
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	105.1	105.6	105.1	105.3	21.5	5-4
Philadelphia	105.6	103.9	103.7	104.4	25	5-4
N.Y. Giants	92.5	92.8	93.0	92.8	26	2-8
Washington	91.3	92.1	91.6	91.7	17.5	1-8
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.9	105.5	105.8	106.1	22.5	7-3
Green Bay	103.3	103.4	103.7	103.5	25	8-2
Chicago	103.6	100.6	100.7	101.6	18	4-5
Detroit	98.9	97.7	98.2	98.3	25	3-5-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	107.6	105.1	105.4	106.0	24	7-2
Carolina	100.6	100.8	101.3	100.9	25	5-4
Tampa Bay	96.4	98.4	98.8	97.9	29.5	3-6
Atlanta	96.5	96.6	96.0	96.3	26	2-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	106.2	107.1	107.4	106.9	24	8-1
LA Rams	106.5	105.1	105.3	105.6	26	5-4
Seattle	102.4	102.4	102.6	102.5	26	8-2
Arizona	94.5	94.9	95.6	95.0	23.5	3-6-1

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Baltimore
3	Houston
4	Oakland
5	Pittsburgh
6	Kansas City
NFC Seeding
1	Seattle
2	Green Bay
3	New Orleans
4	Philadelphia
5	San Francisco
6	Minnesota

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Kansas City

Pittsburgh over Oakland

New Orleans over Minnesota

San Francisco over Philadelphia

Divisional Round

New England over Pittsburgh

Baltimore over Houston

Seattle over San Francisco

Green Bay over New Orleans

Conference Championship

New England over Baltimore

Seattle over Green Bay

Super Bowl 54

Seattle over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 10: November 7-11, 2019

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

 

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Oakland	LA Chargers	-1.2	-1.1	0.0
Tennessee	Kansas City	-0.2	-0.3	-0.2
Cleveland	Buffalo	3.7	3.0	3.4
Tampa Bay	Arizona	5.1	7.1	7.0
N.Y. Jets	N.Y. Giants	-2.1	-1.8	-3.5
New Orleans	Atlanta	17.4	14.6	15.9
Cincinnati	Baltimore	-7.5	-7.5	-8.2
Green Bay	Carolina	5.4	5.2	4.8
Chicago	Detroit	6.6	4.7	4.1
Indianapolis	Miami	15.6	16.0	16.0
Pittsburgh	LA Rams	-5.9	-4.0	-4.0
Dallas	Minnesota	0.4	2.7	2.1
San Francisco	Seattle	7.4	8.7	9.2

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Totals

 

Home	Visitor	Total
Oakland	LA Chargers	46.5
Tennessee	Kansas City	47
Cleveland	Buffalo	41
Tampa Bay	Arizona	53
N.Y. Jets	N.Y. Giants	46
New Orleans	Atlanta	51
Cincinnati	Baltimore	47.5
Green Bay	Carolina	51
Chicago	Detroit	43.5
Indianapolis	Miami	48.5
Pittsburgh	LA Rams	49
Dallas	Minnesota	43
San Francisco	Seattle	50

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

 

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	109.2	110.2	109.8	109.7	21.5	8-1
Buffalo	98.4	99.4	98.9	98.9	17.5	6-2
N. Y. Jets	91.2	92.0	90.6	91.3	20.5	1-7
Miami	87.6	87.9	87.6	87.7	26	1-7
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	103.8	103.6	104.6	104.0	24	6-2
Cleveland	99.6	99.8	99.8	99.7	23.5	2-6
Pittsburgh	98.6	99.1	99.4	99.0	22	4-4
Cincinnati	93.9	93.6	93.9	93.8	23.5	0-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Houston	104.5	104.8	104.6	104.7	23	6-3
Indianapolis	100.1	101.0	100.6	100.6	22.5	5-3
Jacksonville	97.9	98.3	98.5	98.2	18.5	4-5
Tennessee	97.5	97.8	97.4	97.6	16.5	4-5
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Chargers	101.6	101.5	101.0	101.3	21.5	4-5
Kansas City	100.2	100.6	100.1	100.3	30.5	6-3
Denver	99.1	99.3	99.1	99.2	18	3-6
Oakland	97.3	97.4	98.0	97.6	25	4-4
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Dallas	105.2	105.9	105.5	105.5	21	5-3
Philadelphia	105.3	103.6	103.4	104.1	25	5-4
N.Y. Giants	93.4	93.7	94.1	93.7	25.5	2-7
Washington	91.0	91.8	91.3	91.4	17.5	1-8
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Minnesota	106.8	105.2	105.4	105.8	22	6-3
Green Bay	103.2	103.2	103.4	103.3	25.5	7-2
Chicago	103.6	100.5	100.5	101.5	18.5	3-5
Detroit	98.9	97.8	98.4	98.4	25	3-4-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	109.4	106.8	107.3	107.8	24.5	7-1
Carolina	100.7	101.0	101.6	101.1	25.5	5-3
Tampa Bay	96.5	98.7	99.2	98.1	29.5	2-6
Atlanta	95.0	95.2	94.4	94.8	26.5	1-7
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
San Francisco	106.5	107.6	108.1	107.4	24	8-0
LA Rams	107.5	106.1	106.4	106.7	27	5-3
Seattle	102.1	101.9	101.9	102.0	26	7-2
Arizona	94.4	94.6	95.2	94.7	23.5	3-5-1

 

NFL Playoff Projections

 

AFC Seeding
1	New England
2	Baltimore
3	Houston
4	Kansas City
5	Buffalo
6	Pittsburgh

 

NFC Seeding
1	San Francisco
2	New Orleans
3	Green Bay
4	Philadelphia
5	Seattle
6	LA Rams

 

Wildcard Round

Houston over Pittsburgh

Kansas City over Buffalo

Green Bay over LA Rams

Seattle over Philadelphia

Divisional Round

New England over Kansas City

Baltimore over Houston

San Francisco over Seattle

New Orleans over Green Bay

Conference Championship

New England over Baltimore

New Orleans over San Francisco

Super Bowl 54

New Orleans over New England

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings Selections for The College Football National Championship Game & The NFL Wildcard Playoff Round

Final Land Sharp Selections

The Land Sharps are limping home to the finish, as the Bowl season did not go so well for our five friends.  Let’s give them all some props for faring so well during the regular season.  It isn’t easy to stay above the magic 52.4% success rate that a sports investor needs to return a profit, and all five did so throughout the regular season.

Now, here’s something else you should know.  If you are a regular reader here, you may recall just after the bowls and playoffs were announced, that we told you about our experiment in playing the Money Line on every bowl game and by investing the identical amount on the underdog to win outright.  We tested this out last year with a healthy profit.

If last year was a healthy profit, this year was a giant windfall!  Friends, this method drained the imaginary money from the imaginary sports book like it was Jesse and Frank James robbing it.  The return on investment was over 61%, as 16 of the 38 underdogs won outright, returning an average of $289 per upset.  If you had the funds and could afford to put down $10,000 on the Underdog on the 39 games (which became 38 after the postponement of the former Heart of Dallas Bowl), these money line wagers would have returned just under a quarter million dollars.  WOW!

Now, to make it even better.  Had you only played the 36 bowl games and not the two playoff games, you would have gone 16-20 and your return on investment would have been 76.5%!  Where else can you get a 76.5% return on your investment in 17 days?

Here are the final Land Sharp Picks for the National Championship Game.  Our Land Sharps made these selections earlier in the week when the going odds were:

Alabama – 5.5

Clemson +7

Over 59.5

Under 60 

 

Three of the Land Sharps selected Clemson and took the points

Cal Gal Tiffany, Dean615, and Stewed Meat

Two of the Land Sharps selected Alabama and gave the points

Buckeye Michelle and Friday Dog 13

 

Four of the Land Sharps took the OVER

Cal Gal Tiffany, Dean615, Buckeye Michelle, and Friday Dog 13

One Land Sharp took the UNDER

Stewed Meat

 

As for the PiRates, we issued our ratings earlier this week, and they showed that Alabama is favored by 1 to 2 points, so if you go by our ratings, the play would be Clemson but without a lot of confidence.  As for the Total, our estimate is basically right on the line, so we would lay off the total unless you tease it.

 

The PiRate Ratings NFL Wildcard Playoff Teasers

Once playoff season begins, there are fewer and fewer chances to play our successful teasers, but 2018 was a very good one for us, as our NFL Teasers returned a neat little imaginary profit.  We hope you understand that our wagering is only hypothetical, as no real currency ever changes hands, and we highly encourage you not to lose your mortgage payment by relying on our selections.

We have two 13-point teaser selections for this week’s Wildcard Round.  One is a four-team parlay on sides, and one is a four-team parlay on totals.  These parlays both have 12-10 odds.

Favorite	Underdog	Spread	Pick
Indianapolis	Houston	12	Houston
Dallas	Seattle	15	Seattle
Baltimore	L.A. Chargers	16	L.A. Chargers
Chicago	Philadelphia	19.5	Philadelphia

 

Team	Team	Total	Pick
Houston	Indianapolis	61.5	UNDER
Dallas	Seattle	30	OVER
Baltimore	L.A. Chargers	28.5	OVER
Chicago	Philadelphia	28	OVER

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for The Wildcard Playoff Round: January 5-6, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
Houston	Indianapolis	2.0	2.7	2.1	49.5
Dallas	Seattle	-1.6	-1.9	-2.8	44.5
Baltimore	L.A. Chargers	2.6	2.4	2.4	43
Chicago	Philadelphia	5.5	5.5	6.4	44.5

The Wildcard Playoff Schedule

Saturday,  January 5, 2019

4:35 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: ESPN

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans

 

8:15 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: Fox Network

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys

 

Sunday, January 6, 2109

1:05 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: CBS

Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens

 

4:40 PM Eastern Standard Time

TV: NBC

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears

 

For the Divisional Playoff Round

The lower remaining seed in the AFC will play at Kansas City on Saturday, January 12, on NBC at 4:35 PM EST

 

The higher remaining seed in the NFC will play at the Los Angeles Rams on Saturday, January 12, on Fox Network at 8:15 PM EST

 

The higher remaining seed in the AFC will play at New England on Sunday, January 13, on CBS at 1:05 PM EST

 

The lower remaining seed in the NFC will play at New Orleans on Sunday, January 13, on Fox Network at 4:40 PM EST

Ratings of the Playoff Teams

Playoff Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Total	W-L
New Orleans	112.3	112.3	112.3	112.3	27	13-3
Kansas City	106.8	107.0	106.6	106.8	30.5	12-4
LA Rams	106.5	106.7	106.3	106.5	29	13-3
Chicago	104.9	105.1	105.8	105.3	21.5	12-4
New England	105.0	105.1	104.9	105.0	22.5	11-5
Seattle	104.6	104.7	105.2	104.8	24	10-6
LA Chargers	104.3	105.0	104.8	104.7	23	12-4
Baltimore	104.5	104.9	104.7	104.7	20	10-6
Indianapolis	102.9	102.3	103.3	102.8	25.5	10-6
Houston	102.4	102.5	103.0	102.6	24	11-5
Philadelphia	102.4	102.6	102.5	102.5	23	9-7
Dallas	100.5	100.3	99.9	100.2	20.5	10-6

 

Note: The College Basketball Bracket Gurus will debut next week.  Most of the gurus are enjoying vacations this week and did not submit their data to us.

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast for Week 16: December 20-24, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Totals
Tennessee	Washington	6.9	7.5	6.8	41.5
L.A. Chargers	Baltimore	4.8	5.2	5.4	44.5
Dallas	Tampa Bay	7.2	6.8	5.7	44.5
Indianapolis	N.Y. Giants	9.0	8.5	9.4	47.5
Philadelphia	Houston	3.2	3.4	2.7	46.5
Miami	Jacksonville	-0.2	0.1	0.3	42
N.Y. Jets	Green Bay	-2.4	-3.3	-2.7	48
Cleveland	Cincinnati	4.8	4.8	5.6	47.5
Detroit	Minnesota	-1.2	-1.5	-1.6	44.5
New England	Buffalo	15.5	15.8	15.6	39.5
Carolina	Atlanta	3.5	3.5	4.0	50
San Francisco	Chicago	-6.7	-6.7	-7.7	45
Arizona	L.A. Rams	-10.5	-11.4	-10.9	47
New Orleans	Pittsburgh	8.0	7.8	8.0	50.5
Seattle	Kansas City	-0.2	-0.3	0.5	52.5
Oakland	Denver	-6.2	-6.0	-6.2	41

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	105.2	105.4	105.2	105.3	22.5	9-5
N. Y. Jets	94.9	94.4	94.5	94.6	24	4-10
Miami	94.6	94.3	94.4	94.4	23.5	7-7
Buffalo	92.7	92.7	92.6	92.6	17	5-9
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Pittsburgh	107.0	107.2	107.1	107.1	24	8-5-1
Baltimore	103.3	103.6	103.3	103.4	20.5	8-6
Cleveland	97.5	97.8	98.3	97.9	24	6-7-1
Cincinnati	95.3	95.5	95.1	95.3	23.5	6-8
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Indianapolis	103.1	102.5	103.5	103.0	25	8-6
Houston	102.3	102.4	102.9	102.5	24	10-4
Tennessee	98.7	98.8	98.6	98.7	19.5	8-6
Jacksonville	96.7	96.2	96.1	96.3	18.5	4-10
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	107.3	107.5	107.1	107.3	30	11-3
LA Chargers	105.0	105.8	105.7	105.5	24	11-3
Denver	99.8	99.7	99.7	99.7	19.5	6-8
Oakland	91.1	91.2	91.0	91.1	21.5	3-11
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	102.5	102.7	102.6	102.6	22.5	7-7
Dallas	100.6	100.4	100.0	100.3	19.5	8-6
N.Y. Giants	97.0	97.0	97.2	97.1	22.5	5-9
Washington	94.4	93.8	94.3	94.2	22	7-7
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Chicago	105.0	105.2	105.9	105.4	23	10-4
Minnesota	102.5	102.5	102.3	102.4	21	7-6-1
Green Bay	99.8	100.2	99.7	99.9	24	5-8-1
Detroit	98.8	98.6	98.2	98.5	23.5	5-9
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	112.5	112.5	112.6	112.5	26.5	12-2
Carolina	100.7	100.3	100.6	100.5	24	6-8
Atlanta	99.6	99.4	99.2	99.4	26	5-9
Tampa Bay	95.9	96.1	96.8	96.3	25	5-9
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	105.7	105.9	105.5	105.7	28.5	11-3
Seattle	104.1	104.2	104.7	104.3	22.5	8-6
San Francisco	95.4	95.4	95.2	95.3	22	4-10
Arizona	92.7	92.1	92.0	92.3	18.5	3-11

 

This Week’s Playoff Projections

These projections are not to be confused with how the seedings would be if the playoffs started today.  They forecast the final two weeks of games.

AFC Seeding
1	L.A. Chargers
2	New England
3	Houston
4	Pittsburgh
5	Kansas City
6	Tennessee

 

NFC Seeding
1	New Orleans
2	L.A. Rams
3	Chicago
4	Dallas
5	Seattle
6	Minnesota

 

Playoff Projections

Wildcard Round

Houston over Tennessee

Pittsburgh over Kansas City

Chicago over Minnesota

Seattle over Dallas

 

Divisional Round

L.A. Chargers over Houston

New England over Pittsburgh

New Orleans over Seattle

Chicago over L.A. Rams

 

Conference Championships

L.A. Chargers over New England

New Orleans over Chicago

 

Super Bowl LIII

L.A. Chargers over New Orleans

 

What Would Happen If…

There is a chance that both the Los Angeles Rams and the Los Angeles Chargers could host their conference championship games.  There has always been a chance that the New York Jets and New York Giants could one year host their conference championship games.  In the future, once they occupy the same new colossus mega stadium, the Rams and Chargers could host their conference championship games in the same year.

Conference Championship Games are always on Sundays.  What that means, is there is maybe a 5% chance that the Rams and Chargers could end up hosting on this day.  While it would be okay having both networks in the City of Angels on the same day for separate games, once these teams share a home field (and if the world ever comes to an end and the Jets and Giants host conference championship games), it will not be possible to have doubleheaders on the same field on the same day.

Can you imagine the logistical nightmare it would cause to have the AFC Championship Game at 10 AM Pacific Time, followed by the NFC Championship at 1:30 PM Pacific Time on the same field?  First of all, it would be impossible.  Everybody in the stands would have to be escorted out of the stadium, before ticket holders for the second game could enter.  There would be about 15 to 20 minutes max for this to happen.  Like I said, this is impossible.

Next, the field itself would have to be transformed with new logos, as well as having any field damage repaired.  In the case of a game in East Rutherford, NJ, what if the weather conditions were 35 degrees with rain?  After 60 minutes of action, the next game would inherit very sloppy field conditions.  I did say impossible.

Now, what if the first game ended regulation with the game tied, and this game became a repeat of the 1971 Miami-Kansas City game at the old Municipal Stadium up on the hill in Kansas City.   What if the first game didn’t end until 2:30 PM Pacific Time?  The second game network would have to fill over an hour of time waiting for a game to end, when 99.9% of the football watching public would be tuned to the other game.  Once again, it is impossible.

I haven’t even mentioned that the teams in the second game need time to warm up on the field.  15 to 20 minutes is not enough.  They need at least an hour.  If you have to make a decision a week before to change the start times of the games, the network brass at CBS and Fox get very upset.  They cannot just make impromptu changes to their schedule a week in advance.  Only very important breaking news makes it okay to alter a TV schedule one week in advance.  The networks would say “impossible.”

However impossible it is, there is a chance that it could happen.  So what would happen if it did?  Yes, there is a contingency plan in place to cover this possibility.  If the same stadium is to host both conference championship games, one will be moved to Monday Night.  Yep, there could be a conference championship on Monday Night Football, but it would not be the regular MNF crew or network.  If it was the AFC game, it would be on CBS, and if it was the NFC game, it would be on Fox.

You might ask, has a network other than ABC or ESPN ever televised a Monday Night game?  The answer is “yes.”

It is a misnomer to believe that Monday Night Football on ABC in 1970 was the first time that NFL games were played and televised on Monday night.  Before there was MNF featuring Howard Cosell, CBS televised a handful of NFL games on Monday night during the 1960’s.  The games started at 9:30 PM Eastern Time, but because games concluded in 2 1/2 hours in those days, they were finished at Midnight.  One of the best games in this group was a 1968 game between an unbeaten Dallas team and a Green Bay Packer team coached by Phil Bengston, who was not having a rough time replacing Vince Lombardi, as the Packers were 2-3-1, but still in the race in the weak NFL Central Division.

Dallas led 10-0, and Green Bay looked more like an expansion team in the opening quarter plus.   Then, the great Bart Starr took the aging Packers on his shoulder and guided them back like it was 1966 again.  Starr threw three touchdown passes in the next quarter plus, and Green Bay took a 21-10 lead.  Starr threw another TD pass in the fourth quarter, and the Packers once again owned the Cowboys with a 28-17 win.

The American Football League also played a couple of Monday Night games in the 1960s, televised on NBC.  One notable game involved Broadway Joe Namath and the New York Jets playing host to the Houston Oilers in a game that would put the winner in first place in the AFL East at the midway point of the season.  Namath was victimized with a pick six by Zeke Moore early in the game, and he was somewhat of a disappointment that night with additional interceptions, but he also completed multiple long bomb passes to speedster Don Maynard, and the Jets pulled out the victory thanks to Jim Turner kicking four field goals, a couple from near midfield (goalposts were on the goalline then and not on the end line like today).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PiRate Ratings NFL Forecast For Week 5: October 4-8, 2018

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Total
New England	Indianapolis	12.0	14.1	11.9	43.5
Buffalo	Tennessee	-2.8	-2.9	-2.8	37
Pittsburgh	Atlanta	2.9	2.9	2.0	46.5
N.Y. Jets	Denver	2.4	2.2	2.7	44.5
Kansas City	Jacksonville	4.6	5.2	4.7	47.5
Detroit	Green Bay	2.7	1.8	3.2	49.5
Cleveland	Baltimore	-5.0	-5.7	-4.5	47
Carolina	N.Y. Giants	9.1	8.8	9.7	41.5
Cincinnati	Miami	5.5	6.6	5.6	44.5
L.A. Chargers	Oakland	8.7	9.0	8.5	45.5
San Francisco	Arizona	3.7	5.4	4.4	42
Philadelphia	Minnesota	2.9	2.6	2.5	44
Seattle	L.A. Rams	-4.4	-5.9	-5.2	47.5
Houston	Dallas	1.7	1.5	1.7	44
New Orleans	Washington	6.6	7.6	6.8	47

Chicago and Tampa Bay have Byes

This Week’s PiRate Ratings 

A F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New England	104.8	105.3	104.7	104.9	20.5	2-2
Miami	97.4	96.9	97.5	97.2	21.5	3-1
N. Y. Jets	97.3	96.9	97.1	97.1	23	1-3
Buffalo	93.4	93.4	93.0	93.2	16.5	1-3
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Baltimore	103.8	104.5	104.0	104.1	23	3-1
Pittsburgh	103.4	103.3	102.6	103.1	22.5	1-2-1
Cincinnati	99.9	100.4	100.0	100.1	23	3-1
Cleveland	96.2	96.3	97.0	96.5	24	1-2-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Jacksonville	104.0	103.9	104.4	104.1	21	3-1
Tennessee	98.6	98.8	98.3	98.6	20.5	3-1
Houston	98.4	98.2	97.9	98.1	24.5	1-3
Indianapolis	95.8	94.3	95.8	95.3	23	1-3
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Kansas City	105.7	106.1	106.0	105.9	26.5	4-0
LA Chargers	100.4	101.1	100.4	100.7	23.5	2-2
Denver	98.0	97.7	97.4	97.7	21.5	2-2
Oakland	94.7	95.1	94.9	94.9	22	1-3
N F C
East	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Philadelphia	101.5	101.5	101.0	101.3	22.5	2-2
Washington	101.4	100.4	101.4	101.1	21.5	2-1
Dallas	99.2	99.1	98.7	99.0	19.5	2-2
N.Y. Giants	96.5	96.4	96.5	96.5	19.5	1-3
North	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
Chicago	102.2	101.9	102.9	102.3	20.5	3-1
Minnesota	101.7	101.9	101.5	101.7	21.5	1-2-1
Detroit	100.1	100.1	100.2	100.1	26	1-3
Green Bay	99.9	100.8	99.6	100.1	23.5	2-1-1
South	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
New Orleans	105.0	105.0	105.2	105.1	25.5	3-1
Atlanta	103.5	103.5	103.6	103.5	24	1-3
Carolina	102.7	102.2	103.1	102.7	22	2-1
Tampa Bay	94.9	94.7	95.4	95.0	24	2-2
West	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Totals	W-L
LA Rams	108.3	109.4	109.0	108.9	25.5	4-0
Seattle	100.9	100.5	100.8	100.7	22	2-2
San Francisco	95.9	96.5	96.1	96.2	23.5	1-3
Arizona	94.7	93.7	94.2	94.2	18.5	0-4

 

Playoff Projections

AFC Seeding
1	Kansas City
2	New England
3	Cincinnati
4	Tennessee
5	Baltimore
6	Jacksonville

 

NFC Seeding
1	L.A. Rams
2	New Orleans
3	Chicago
4	Philadelphia
5	Carolina
6	Green Bay

 

Wildcard Round

Jacksonville over Cincinnati

Baltimore over Tennessee

Green Bay over Chicago

Philadelphia over Carolina

 

Divisional Round

Kansas City over Jacksonville

Baltimore over New England

Los Angeles over Green Bay

Philadelphia over New Orleans

 

Conference Championship

Kansas City over Baltimore

Los Angeles over Philadelphia

 

Super Bowl 53

Los Angeles over Kansas City