The College Football season kicks off a week earlier than normal this year thanks to the California Golden Bears playing the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at ANZ Stadium in Sydney, Australia. The chosen venue is the former site of the 2000 Summer Olympic Games, but in our opinion, this game would have been better placed in the Sydney Cricket Grounds, where the current Australian Football League Sydney Swans play. 48,000 seats are more than enough for these two teams, and ANZ Stadium holds around 80K. Past games in Australia have drawn fewer than 20,000 fans.
Here are the initial PiRate Retrodictive Rankings For 2016. Retrodictive refers to how teams have done so far to date, trying to rate the teams in order of who they have beaten and who has beaten them; they are not able to be used to predict the future, like our regular Predictive Ratings, which follow below. Obviously, with no games played to date, these rankings are not yet Retrodictive. Rather than re-list last year’s final Retrodictive Rankings, we have applied the updates to the 128 teams’ regular ratings to last year’s final rankings.
| PiRate Retrodictive | |
| # | Team |
| 1 | Oklahoma |
| 2 | LSU |
| 3 | Florida St. |
| 4 | Alabama |
| 5 | Tennessee |
| 6 | Clemson |
| 7 | Ohio St. |
| 8 | Michigan |
| 9 | USC |
| 10 | Oklahoma St. |
| 11 | Ole Miss |
| 12 | Stanford |
| 13 | Louisville |
| 14 | Washington |
| 15 | TCU |
| 16 | Oregon |
| 17 | Georgia |
| 18 | Notre Dame |
| 19 | North Carolina |
| 20 | Florida |
| 21 | Arkansas |
| 22 | Auburn |
| 23 | Pittsburgh |
| 24 | Iowa |
| 25 | Miami (Fla) |
| 26 | UCLA |
| 27 | Texas |
| 28 | Texas A&M |
| 29 | Michigan St. |
| 30 | Mississippi St. |
| 31 | Washington St. |
| 32 | Wisconsin |
| 33 | Baylor |
| 34 | West Virginia |
| 35 | Nebraska |
| 36 | Utah |
| 37 | Penn St. |
| 38 | Virginia Tech |
| 39 | Arizona St. |
| 40 | Houston |
| 41 | BYU |
| 42 | North Carolina St. |
| 43 | Arizona |
| 44 | Georgia Tech |
| 45 | Boise St. |
| 46 | Northwestern |
| 47 | South Florida |
| 48 | Kansas St. |
| 49 | San Diego St. |
| 50 | Boston College |
| 51 | Texas Tech |
| 52 | Cincinnati |
| 53 | Minnesota |
| 54 | Virginia |
| 55 | Missouri |
| 56 | Indiana |
| 57 | Western Michigan |
| 58 | Temple |
| 59 | Vanderbilt |
| 60 | Syracuse |
| 61 | Kentucky |
| 62 | Air Force |
| 63 | Navy |
| 64 | California |
| 65 | Colorado |
| 66 | Toledo |
| 67 | Wake Forest |
| 68 | South Carolina |
| 69 | Appalachian St. |
| 70 | Illinois |
| 71 | Iowa St. |
| 72 | Central Michigan |
| 73 | Memphis |
| 74 | Western Kentucky |
| 75 | Duke |
| 76 | Northern Illinois |
| 77 | Connecticut |
| 78 | Georgia Southern |
| 79 | Purdue |
| 80 | Maryland |
| 81 | Utah St. |
| 82 | Tulsa |
| 83 | Rutgers |
| 84 | Marshall |
| 85 | Bowling Green |
| 86 | Oregon St. |
| 87 | Arkansas St. |
| 88 | MTSU |
| 89 | Nevada |
| 90 | Southern Miss. |
| 91 | Louisiana Tech |
| 92 | East Carolina |
| 93 | Ohio |
| 94 | San Jose St. |
| 95 | SMU |
| 96 | Colorado St. |
| 97 | New Mexico |
| 98 | Army |
| 99 | Rice |
| 100 | Akron |
| 101 | Kansas |
| 102 | UNLV |
| 103 | Central Florida |
| 104 | Troy |
| 105 | Florida Atlantic |
| 106 | Florida Int’l. |
| 107 | Buffalo |
| 108 | Fresno St. |
| 109 | Ball St. |
| 110 | Old Dominion |
| 111 | Georgia St. |
| 112 | Tulane |
| 113 | Kent St. |
| 114 | UL-Lafayette |
| 115 | Wyoming |
| 116 | Miami (O) |
| 117 | Idaho |
| 118 | South Alabama |
| 119 | Massachusetts |
| 120 | UTEP |
| 121 | Hawaii |
| 122 | UTSA |
| 123 | Eastern Michigan |
| 124 | Charlotte |
| 125 | New Mexico St. |
| 126 | North Texas |
| 127 | UL-Monroe |
| 128 | Texas St. |
Here are the regular PiRate Ratings for the opening week of the season. In some cases, these ratings differ slightly from the ratings given during the conference previews of the last 10 days, the reason being that players have quit, been injured, or transferred since the data was first compiled.
| PiRate Ratings | |||||
| # | Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| 1 | Tennessee | 127.7 | 121.8 | 128.4 | 126.0 |
| 2 | LSU | 127.6 | 121.1 | 126.8 | 125.2 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | 125.6 | 122.1 | 125.6 | 124.4 |
| 4 | Alabama | 126.5 | 119.0 | 125.0 | 123.5 |
| 5 | Clemson | 126.8 | 116.4 | 125.7 | 123.0 |
| 6 | Florida St. | 122.9 | 115.4 | 121.9 | 120.1 |
| 7 | Michigan | 120.0 | 118.0 | 120.4 | 119.5 |
| 8 | Mississippi St. | 120.1 | 115.9 | 119.7 | 118.6 |
| 9 | Stanford | 121.3 | 112.8 | 120.4 | 118.2 |
| 10 | Oklahoma St. | 117.5 | 118.8 | 117.5 | 117.9 |
| 11 | USC | 119.7 | 114.3 | 118.0 | 117.3 |
| 12 | Washington | 119.4 | 110.4 | 119.1 | 116.3 |
| 13 | Louisville | 118.6 | 111.8 | 118.0 | 116.1 |
| 14 | Texas | 114.4 | 118.0 | 114.4 | 115.6 |
| 15 | Pittsburgh | 117.1 | 111.7 | 116.4 | 115.1 |
| 16 | North Carolina | 117.4 | 109.2 | 117.1 | 114.6 |
| 17 | Auburn | 114.5 | 113.8 | 113.9 | 114.1 |
| 18 | TCU | 113.3 | 115.6 | 113.2 | 114.0 |
| 19 | Notre Dame | 116.2 | 111.0 | 114.8 | 114.0 |
| 20 | Florida | 113.5 | 116.8 | 111.1 | 113.8 |
| 21 | Arkansas | 116.4 | 110.3 | 114.2 | 113.7 |
| 22 | Miami | 116.6 | 108.0 | 115.9 | 113.5 |
| 23 | Ohio St. | 113.3 | 113.5 | 113.5 | 113.4 |
| 24 | Iowa | 114.6 | 110.9 | 114.2 | 113.2 |
| 25 | Georgia | 112.5 | 114.0 | 112.1 | 112.9 |
| 26 | Michigan St. | 113.1 | 112.4 | 111.1 | 112.2 |
| 27 | Oregon | 112.8 | 111.8 | 111.7 | 112.1 |
| 28 | Texas A&M | 112.1 | 111.4 | 112.0 | 111.8 |
| 29 | Virginia Tech | 111.0 | 110.8 | 111.5 | 111.1 |
| 30 | Ole Miss | 113.6 | 107.4 | 112.1 | 111.0 |
| 31 | Washington St. | 112.3 | 107.6 | 112.0 | 110.7 |
| 32 | UCLA | 110.9 | 110.2 | 110.3 | 110.5 |
| 33 | Houston | 110.1 | 108.3 | 111.9 | 110.1 |
| 34 | Baylor | 109.4 | 109.7 | 110.6 | 109.9 |
| 35 | Penn St. | 109.5 | 111.3 | 108.0 | 109.6 |
| 36 | Nebraska | 110.4 | 105.9 | 110.5 | 108.9 |
| 37 | Arizona St. | 108.7 | 109.2 | 107.7 | 108.6 |
| 38 | Utah | 111.4 | 105.3 | 108.9 | 108.5 |
| 39 | Wisconsin | 109.1 | 105.9 | 109.5 | 108.2 |
| 40 | BYU | 110.6 | 102.9 | 110.3 | 107.9 |
| 41 | South Florida | 108.3 | 105.7 | 109.5 | 107.8 |
| 42 | Northwestern | 109.7 | 103.5 | 108.1 | 107.1 |
| 43 | North Carolina St. | 108.0 | 104.7 | 107.6 | 106.8 |
| 44 | Georgia Tech | 108.1 | 104.2 | 107.4 | 106.6 |
| 45 | West Virginia | 106.6 | 106.1 | 106.0 | 106.2 |
| 46 | Arizona | 107.2 | 105.2 | 106.1 | 106.2 |
| 47 | Boise St. | 104.4 | 105.7 | 106.3 | 105.5 |
| 48 | Colorado | 107.0 | 102.1 | 107.0 | 105.4 |
| 49 | San Diego St. | 104.9 | 102.2 | 108.2 | 105.1 |
| 50 | Boston College | 105.1 | 103.6 | 104.9 | 104.5 |
| 51 | Kansas St. | 103.1 | 107.5 | 102.5 | 104.4 |
| 52 | Vanderbilt | 106.9 | 100.7 | 105.1 | 104.3 |
| 53 | Minnesota | 104.8 | 102.8 | 104.7 | 104.1 |
| 54 | Texas Tech | 104.9 | 102.3 | 102.7 | 103.3 |
| 55 | Virginia | 104.4 | 101.2 | 103.8 | 103.1 |
| 56 | Syracuse | 105.2 | 101.0 | 103.1 | 103.1 |
| 57 | Indiana | 101.5 | 106.0 | 100.9 | 102.8 |
| 58 | Missouri | 103.0 | 101.8 | 102.5 | 102.5 |
| 59 | Western Michigan | 102.0 | 100.9 | 103.9 | 102.3 |
| 60 | Cincinnati | 101.5 | 102.7 | 102.5 | 102.3 |
| 61 | Temple | 102.2 | 101.2 | 103.1 | 102.2 |
| 62 | Maryland | 100.9 | 104.2 | 98.1 | 101.1 |
| 63 | Wake Forest | 102.3 | 99.2 | 101.5 | 101.0 |
| 64 | Tulsa | 99.7 | 102.2 | 100.4 | 100.8 |
| 65 | Kentucky | 100.4 | 102.3 | 99.2 | 100.6 |
| 66 | Toledo | 101.0 | 98.9 | 101.8 | 100.6 |
| 67 | Memphis | 102.7 | 97.8 | 100.8 | 100.5 |
| 68 | Central Michigan | 98.9 | 101.9 | 99.9 | 100.2 |
| 69 | Air Force | 99.9 | 100.2 | 100.1 | 100.1 |
| 70 | California | 104.7 | 93.3 | 101.0 | 99.7 |
| 71 | Duke | 99.4 | 100.7 | 98.0 | 99.4 |
| 72 | Iowa St. | 99.8 | 99.2 | 98.7 | 99.2 |
| 73 | Illinois | 100.6 | 97.2 | 99.8 | 99.2 |
| 74 | Navy | 99.2 | 99.0 | 98.6 | 99.0 |
| 75 | South Carolina | 99.0 | 99.3 | 98.1 | 98.8 |
| 76 | Northern Illinois | 97.3 | 98.9 | 98.4 | 98.2 |
| 77 | Purdue | 99.4 | 96.6 | 98.3 | 98.1 |
| 78 | Connecticut | 98.3 | 96.1 | 98.6 | 97.7 |
| 79 | Western Kentucky | 99.3 | 93.3 | 100.0 | 97.5 |
| 80 | Rutgers | 99.0 | 96.2 | 97.3 | 97.5 |
| 81 | Bowling Green | 96.7 | 94.7 | 97.3 | 96.2 |
| 82 | Appalachian St. | 95.5 | 95.7 | 97.1 | 96.1 |
| 83 | New Mexico | 94.3 | 97.6 | 95.6 | 95.9 |
| 84 | Oregon St. | 97.8 | 93.0 | 95.0 | 95.3 |
| 85 | Marshall | 92.5 | 96.9 | 94.3 | 94.6 |
| 86 | Utah St. | 93.2 | 97.1 | 93.0 | 94.4 |
| 87 | Nevada | 92.3 | 95.6 | 93.6 | 93.9 |
| 88 | Arkansas St. | 91.9 | 94.2 | 94.4 | 93.5 |
| 89 | Georgia Southern | 93.0 | 91.7 | 95.5 | 93.4 |
| 90 | SMU | 93.7 | 92.1 | 93.2 | 93.0 |
| 91 | Southern Mississippi | 92.7 | 92.1 | 93.8 | 92.9 |
| 92 | East Carolina | 91.6 | 94.6 | 91.7 | 92.6 |
| 93 | Middle Tennessee | 91.2 | 93.8 | 92.3 | 92.4 |
| 94 | Ohio | 88.7 | 98.2 | 90.1 | 92.4 |
| 95 | San Jose St. | 91.0 | 91.0 | 91.9 | 91.3 |
| 96 | UNLV | 89.0 | 93.6 | 89.1 | 90.6 |
| 97 | Kansas | 88.3 | 96.1 | 85.9 | 90.1 |
| 98 | Colorado St. | 88.2 | 90.6 | 89.0 | 89.3 |
| 99 | Army | 84.2 | 93.2 | 86.6 | 88.0 |
| 100 | Rice | 84.7 | 94.1 | 85.1 | 88.0 |
| 101 | Akron | 84.8 | 92.6 | 86.5 | 88.0 |
| 102 | Old Dominion | 85.8 | 89.2 | 86.4 | 87.1 |
| 103 | Central Florida | 85.9 | 88.6 | 85.9 | 86.8 |
| 104 | Florida Atlantic | 84.9 | 88.6 | 86.8 | 86.8 |
| 105 | Louisiana Tech | 85.4 | 88.6 | 86.0 | 86.7 |
| 106 | Troy | 83.6 | 90.2 | 85.2 | 86.4 |
| 107 | Florida International | 82.4 | 89.6 | 84.3 | 85.4 |
| 108 | Buffalo | 80.8 | 90.1 | 82.2 | 84.4 |
| 109 | Ball St. | 83.6 | 85.6 | 83.8 | 84.3 |
| 110 | Georgia St. | 81.7 | 87.1 | 83.9 | 84.2 |
| 111 | Fresno St. | 82.1 | 87.1 | 81.9 | 83.7 |
| 112 | Tulane | 82.2 | 86.1 | 82.0 | 83.4 |
| 113 | Miami (O) | 82.2 | 84.0 | 82.9 | 83.0 |
| 114 | Kent St. | 82.3 | 84.5 | 82.2 | 83.0 |
| 115 | Wyoming | 82.5 | 82.5 | 82.6 | 82.6 |
| 116 | UTSA | 78.4 | 87.1 | 80.9 | 82.2 |
| 117 | Idaho | 78.1 | 85.2 | 79.7 | 81.0 |
| 118 | UL-Lafayette | 76.3 | 86.8 | 78.7 | 80.6 |
| 119 | Eastern Michigan | 78.1 | 83.6 | 79.5 | 80.4 |
| 120 | South Alabama | 75.3 | 85.2 | 76.2 | 78.9 |
| 121 | Massachusetts | 75.0 | 84.5 | 76.2 | 78.6 |
| 122 | UTEP | 74.5 | 79.5 | 75.8 | 76.6 |
| 123 | Hawaii | 77.0 | 76.5 | 75.7 | 76.4 |
| 124 | Charlotte | 73.0 | 81.1 | 74.6 | 76.2 |
| 125 | New Mexico St. | 73.7 | 76.5 | 74.9 | 75.0 |
| 126 | North Texas | 74.0 | 76.6 | 73.7 | 74.8 |
| 127 | UL-Monroe | 67.9 | 73.3 | 68.3 | 69.8 |
| 128 | Texas St. | 68.8 | 69.5 | 69.5 | 69.3 |
PiRate Ratings By Conference
| American Athletic Conference | ||||
| East Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| South Florida | 108.3 | 105.7 | 109.5 | 107.8 |
| Cincinnati | 101.5 | 102.7 | 102.5 | 102.3 |
| Temple | 102.2 | 101.2 | 103.1 | 102.2 |
| Connecticut | 98.3 | 96.1 | 98.6 | 97.7 |
| East Carolina | 91.6 | 94.6 | 91.7 | 92.6 |
| Central Florida | 85.9 | 88.6 | 85.9 | 86.8 |
| West Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Houston | 110.1 | 108.3 | 111.9 | 110.1 |
| Tulsa | 99.7 | 102.2 | 100.4 | 100.8 |
| Memphis | 102.7 | 97.8 | 100.8 | 100.5 |
| Navy | 99.2 | 99.0 | 98.6 | 99.0 |
| SMU | 93.7 | 92.1 | 93.2 | 93.0 |
| Tulane | 82.2 | 86.1 | 82.0 | 83.4 |
| AAC Averages | 98.0 | 97.9 | 98.2 | 98.0 |
| Atlantic Coast Conference | ||||
| Atlantic Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Clemson | 126.8 | 116.4 | 125.7 | 123.0 |
| Florida St. | 122.9 | 115.4 | 121.9 | 120.1 |
| Louisville | 118.6 | 111.8 | 118.0 | 116.1 |
| North Carolina St. | 108.0 | 104.7 | 107.6 | 106.8 |
| Boston College | 105.1 | 103.6 | 104.9 | 104.5 |
| Syracuse | 105.2 | 101.0 | 103.1 | 103.1 |
| Wake Forest | 102.3 | 99.2 | 101.5 | 101.0 |
| Coastal Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Pittsburgh | 117.1 | 111.7 | 116.4 | 115.1 |
| North Carolina | 117.4 | 109.2 | 117.1 | 114.6 |
| Miami | 116.6 | 108.0 | 115.9 | 113.5 |
| Virginia Tech | 111.0 | 110.8 | 111.5 | 111.1 |
| Georgia Tech | 108.1 | 104.2 | 107.4 | 106.6 |
| Virginia | 104.4 | 101.2 | 103.8 | 103.1 |
| Duke | 99.4 | 100.7 | 98.0 | 99.4 |
| ACC Averages | 111.6 | 107.0 | 110.9 | 109.9 |
| Big 12 Conference | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Oklahoma | 125.6 | 122.1 | 125.6 | 124.4 |
| Oklahoma St. | 117.5 | 118.8 | 117.5 | 117.9 |
| Texas | 114.4 | 118.0 | 114.4 | 115.6 |
| TCU | 113.3 | 115.6 | 113.2 | 114.0 |
| Baylor | 109.4 | 109.7 | 110.6 | 109.9 |
| West Virginia | 106.6 | 106.1 | 106.0 | 106.2 |
| Kansas St. | 103.1 | 107.5 | 102.5 | 104.4 |
| Texas Tech | 104.9 | 102.3 | 102.7 | 103.3 |
| Iowa St. | 99.8 | 99.2 | 98.7 | 99.2 |
| Kansas | 88.3 | 96.1 | 85.9 | 90.1 |
| Big 12 Averages | 108.3 | 109.6 | 107.7 | 108.5 |
| Big Ten Conference | ||||
| East Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Michigan | 120.0 | 118.0 | 120.4 | 119.5 |
| Ohio St. | 113.3 | 113.5 | 113.5 | 113.4 |
| Michigan St. | 113.1 | 112.4 | 111.1 | 112.2 |
| Penn St. | 109.5 | 111.3 | 108.0 | 109.6 |
| Indiana | 101.5 | 106.0 | 100.9 | 102.8 |
| Maryland | 100.9 | 104.2 | 98.1 | 101.1 |
| Rutgers | 99.0 | 96.2 | 97.3 | 97.5 |
| West Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Iowa | 114.6 | 110.9 | 114.2 | 113.2 |
| Nebraska | 110.4 | 105.9 | 110.5 | 108.9 |
| Wisconsin | 109.1 | 105.9 | 109.5 | 108.2 |
| Northwestern | 109.7 | 103.5 | 108.1 | 107.1 |
| Minnesota | 104.8 | 102.8 | 104.7 | 104.1 |
| Illinois | 100.6 | 97.2 | 99.8 | 99.2 |
| Purdue | 99.4 | 96.6 | 98.3 | 98.1 |
| Big Ten Averages | 107.6 | 106.0 | 106.7 | 106.8 |
| Conference USA | ||||
| East Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Western Kentucky | 99.3 | 93.3 | 100.0 | 97.5 |
| Marshall | 92.5 | 96.9 | 94.3 | 94.6 |
| Middle Tennessee | 91.2 | 93.8 | 92.3 | 92.4 |
| Old Dominion | 85.8 | 89.2 | 86.4 | 87.1 |
| Florida Atlantic | 84.9 | 88.6 | 86.8 | 86.8 |
| Florida International | 82.4 | 89.6 | 84.3 | 85.4 |
| Charlotte | 73.0 | 81.1 | 74.6 | 76.2 |
| West Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Southern Mississippi | 92.7 | 92.1 | 93.8 | 92.9 |
| Rice | 84.7 | 94.1 | 85.1 | 88.0 |
| Louisiana Tech | 85.4 | 88.6 | 86.0 | 86.7 |
| UTSA | 78.4 | 87.1 | 80.9 | 82.2 |
| UTEP | 74.5 | 79.5 | 75.8 | 76.6 |
| North Texas | 74.0 | 76.6 | 73.7 | 74.8 |
| CUSA Averages | 84.5 | 88.5 | 85.7 | 86.2 |
| FBS Independents | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Notre Dame | 116.2 | 111.0 | 114.8 | 114.0 |
| BYU | 110.6 | 102.9 | 110.3 | 107.9 |
| Army | 84.2 | 93.2 | 86.6 | 88.0 |
| Massachusetts | 75.0 | 84.5 | 76.2 | 78.6 |
| Independents Averages | 96.5 | 97.9 | 97.0 | 97.1 |
| Mid-American Conference | ||||
| East Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Bowling Green | 96.7 | 94.7 | 97.3 | 96.2 |
| Ohio | 88.7 | 98.2 | 90.1 | 92.4 |
| Akron | 84.8 | 92.6 | 86.5 | 88.0 |
| Buffalo | 80.8 | 90.1 | 82.2 | 84.4 |
| Miami (O) | 82.2 | 84.0 | 82.9 | 83.0 |
| Kent St. | 82.3 | 84.5 | 82.2 | 83.0 |
| West Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Western Michigan | 102.0 | 100.9 | 103.9 | 102.3 |
| Toledo | 101.0 | 98.9 | 101.8 | 100.6 |
| Central Michigan | 98.9 | 101.9 | 99.9 | 100.2 |
| Northern Illinois | 97.3 | 98.9 | 98.4 | 98.2 |
| Ball St. | 83.6 | 85.6 | 83.8 | 84.3 |
| Eastern Michigan | 78.1 | 83.6 | 79.5 | 80.4 |
| MAC Averages | 89.7 | 92.8 | 90.7 | 91.1 |
| Mountain West Conference | ||||
| Mountain Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Boise St. | 104.4 | 105.7 | 106.3 | 105.5 |
| Air Force | 99.9 | 100.2 | 100.1 | 100.1 |
| New Mexico | 94.3 | 97.6 | 95.6 | 95.9 |
| Utah St. | 93.2 | 97.1 | 93.0 | 94.4 |
| Colorado St. | 88.2 | 90.6 | 89.0 | 89.3 |
| Wyoming | 82.5 | 82.5 | 82.6 | 82.6 |
| West Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| San Diego St. | 104.9 | 102.2 | 108.2 | 105.1 |
| Nevada | 92.3 | 95.6 | 93.6 | 93.9 |
| San Jose St. | 91.0 | 91.0 | 91.9 | 91.3 |
| UNLV | 89.0 | 93.6 | 89.1 | 90.6 |
| Fresno St. | 82.1 | 87.1 | 81.9 | 83.7 |
| Hawaii | 77.0 | 76.5 | 75.7 | 76.4 |
| MWC Averages | 91.6 | 93.4 | 92.3 | 92.4 |
| Pac-12 Conference | ||||
| North Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Stanford | 121.3 | 112.8 | 120.4 | 118.2 |
| Washington | 119.4 | 110.4 | 119.1 | 116.3 |
| Oregon | 112.8 | 111.8 | 111.7 | 112.1 |
| Washington St. | 112.3 | 107.6 | 112.0 | 110.7 |
| California | 104.7 | 93.3 | 101.0 | 99.7 |
| Oregon St. | 97.8 | 93.0 | 95.0 | 95.3 |
| South Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| USC | 119.7 | 114.3 | 118.0 | 117.3 |
| UCLA | 110.9 | 110.2 | 110.3 | 110.5 |
| Arizona St. | 108.7 | 109.2 | 107.7 | 108.6 |
| Utah | 111.4 | 105.3 | 108.9 | 108.5 |
| Arizona | 107.2 | 105.2 | 106.1 | 106.2 |
| Colorado | 107.0 | 102.1 | 107.0 | 105.4 |
| Pac-12 Averages | 111.1 | 106.3 | 109.8 | 109.1 |
| Southeastern Conference | ||||
| East Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Tennessee | 127.7 | 121.8 | 128.4 | 126.0 |
| Florida | 113.5 | 116.8 | 111.1 | 113.8 |
| Georgia | 112.5 | 114.0 | 112.1 | 112.9 |
| Vanderbilt | 106.9 | 100.7 | 105.1 | 104.3 |
| Missouri | 103.0 | 101.8 | 102.5 | 102.5 |
| Kentucky | 100.4 | 102.3 | 99.2 | 100.6 |
| South Carolina | 99.0 | 99.3 | 98.1 | 98.8 |
| West Division | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| LSU | 127.6 | 121.1 | 126.8 | 125.2 |
| Alabama | 126.5 | 119.0 | 125.0 | 123.5 |
| Mississippi St. | 120.1 | 115.9 | 119.7 | 118.6 |
| Auburn | 114.5 | 113.8 | 113.9 | 114.1 |
| Arkansas | 116.4 | 110.3 | 114.2 | 113.7 |
| Texas A&M | 112.1 | 111.4 | 112.0 | 111.8 |
| Ole Miss | 113.6 | 107.4 | 112.1 | 111.0 |
| SEC Averages | 113.9 | 111.1 | 112.9 | 112.6 |
| Sunbelt Conference | ||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| Appalachian St. | 95.5 | 95.7 | 97.1 | 96.1 |
| Arkansas St. | 91.9 | 94.2 | 94.4 | 93.5 |
| Georgia Southern | 93.0 | 91.7 | 95.5 | 93.4 |
| Troy | 83.6 | 90.2 | 85.2 | 86.4 |
| Georgia St. | 81.7 | 87.1 | 83.9 | 84.2 |
| Idaho | 78.1 | 85.2 | 79.7 | 81.0 |
| UL-Lafayette | 76.3 | 86.8 | 78.7 | 80.6 |
| South Alabama | 75.3 | 85.2 | 76.2 | 78.9 |
| New Mexico St. | 73.7 | 76.5 | 74.9 | 75.0 |
| UL-Monroe | 67.9 | 73.3 | 68.3 | 69.8 |
| Texas St. | 68.8 | 69.5 | 69.5 | 69.3 |
| Sun Belt Averages | 80.5 | 85.1 | 82.1 | 82.6 |
| PiRate Ratings By Conference | |||||
| # | League | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| 1 | Southeastern | 113.9 | 111.1 | 112.9 | 112.6 |
| 2 | Atlantic Coast | 111.6 | 107.0 | 110.9 | 109.9 |
| 3 | Pac-12 | 111.1 | 106.3 | 109.8 | 109.1 |
| 4 | Big 12 | 108.3 | 109.6 | 107.7 | 108.5 |
| 5 | Big Ten | 107.6 | 106.1 | 106.7 | 106.8 |
| 6 | American | 98.0 | 97.9 | 98.2 | 98.0 |
| 7 | Independents | 96.5 | 97.9 | 97.0 | 97.1 |
| 8 | Mountain West | 91.6 | 93.4 | 92.3 | 92.4 |
| 9 | Mid-American | 89.7 | 92.9 | 90.7 | 91.1 |
| 10 | Conference USA | 84.5 | 88.5 | 85.7 | 86.3 |
| 11 | Sunbelt | 80.5 | 85.1 | 82.1 | 82.6 |
PiRate Ratings Spreads For August 26, 2016
| Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
| Hawaii | California | -27.6 | -16.8 | -25.2 |
Bowl Projections
We erred when issuing bowl projections in our conference previews, completely forgetting that the current Rose Bowl tie-in calls for the Pac-12 and Big Ten to supply the highest rated teams not in the playoffs, rather than using the old BCS formula rules.
Therefore, we have moved Ohio State into the Rose Bowl in lieu of Alabama, which in turn caused us to rearrange several other bowls once Alabama was moved to an SEC only bowl.
We are sorry for the error. Here are the updated Bowl Projections.
| Bowl | Conferences | Team | vs. | Team | |
| New Mexico | MWC | CUSA | New Mexico | vs. | Rice |
| Las Vegas | Pac-12 | MWC | Arizona St. | vs. | Boise St. |
| Cure | AAC | SBC | [Army] | vs. | Troy |
| Camellia | MAC | SBC | North. Illinois | vs. | Ga. Southern |
| New Orleans | CUSA | SBC | W. Kentucky | vs. | Arkansas St. |
| Miami Beach | AAC | MAC | Tulsa | vs. | West. Michigan |
| Boca Raton | AAC | CUSA | [Cent. Michigan] | vs. | Southern Miss. |
| Poinsettia | MWC | BYU | San Diego St. | vs. | BYU |
| Idaho Potato | MAC | MWC | Bowling Green | vs. | UNLV |
| Bahamas | AAC/CUSA | MAC/CUSA | Memphis | vs. | Toledo |
| Armed Forces | Navy | Big 12 | Navy | vs. | [Arizona] |
| Dollar General | MAC | SBC | Ohio U | vs. | Appalachian St. |
| Hawaii | CUSA | MWC | Marshall | vs. | Air Force |
| St. Petersburg | AAC | ACC/ND | Houston | vs. | [Colorado] |
| Quick Lane | ACC/ND | Big Ten | Boston College | vs. | Wisconsin |
| Independence | SEC | ACC/ND | [UL-Lafayette] | vs. | Georgia Tech |
| Heart of Dallas | Big Ten | CUSA | Indiana | vs. | Middle Tenn. |
| Military | ACC/ND | AAC | N. Carolina St. | vs. | Temple |
| Holiday | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Penn St. | vs. | Oregon |
| Cactus | Big 12 | Pac-12 | [Maryland] | vs. | Utah |
| Pinstripe | ACC/ND | Big Ten | Virginia Tech | vs. | Northwestern |
| Russell Athletic | ACC/ND | Big 12 | Louisville | vs. | TCU |
| Foster Farms | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Minnesota | vs. | Washington St. |
| Texas | Big 12 | SEC | Baylor | vs. | Mississippi St. |
| Birmingham | AAC | SEC | Cincinnati | vs. | Texas A&M |
| Belk | ACC/ND | SEC | Miami (Fla) | vs. | Florida |
| Alamo | Big 12 | Pac-12 | Oklahoma St. | vs. | USC |
| Liberty | Big 12 | SEC | West Virginia | vs. | Ole Miss |
| Sun | ACC/ND | Pac-12 | Pittsburgh | vs. | UCLA |
| Arizona | CUSA/SBC | MWC/SBC | Louisiana Tech | vs. | Utah St. |
| Music City | ACC/ND/B10 | SEC | Nebraska | vs. | Auburn |
| Orange | ACC/ND | B10/SEC | Florida St. | vs. | Notre Dame |
| Citrus | ACC/ND/B10 | SEC | Iowa | vs. | Alabama |
| TaxSlayer | ACC/ND/B10 | SEC | North Carolina | vs. | Arkansas |
| Peach | Semifinal | Semifinal | Tennessee | vs. | Stanford |
| Fiesta | Semifinal | Semifinal | Michigan | vs. | Oklahoma |
| Outback | Big Ten | SEC | Michigan St. | vs. | Georgia |
| Cotton | At-Large | At-Large | Clemson | vs. | South Florida |
| Rose | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Washington | vs. | Ohio St. |
| Sugar | Big 12 | SEC | Texas | vs. | LSU |
| Nat’l Championship | Semifinal | Winners | Tennessee | vs. | Michigan |
Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections because the contracted conference will not have a bowl eligible team able to fill the slot.
The Pi-Rate Ratings 