The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 22, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 22, 2020

Spreads For Games Being Played Wednesday

 

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Xavier

Georgetown

2.6

Auburn

South Carolina

10.9

Louisville

Georgia Tech

13.6

Dayton

St. Bonaventure

16.9

Michigan

Penn St.

4.0

Mississippi St.

Arkansas

1.4

Richmond

La Salle

11.7

Rhode Island

Duquesne

4.3

Fordham

George Washington

0.3

Stony Brook

Binghamton

17.9

Hartford

UMBC

4.6

Albany

UMass Lowell

4.7

Notre Dame

Syracuse

3.2

Temple

Cincinnati

0.1

Marist

Manhattan

-4.2

Loyola (MD)

American

0.4

Lafayette

Army

9.7

Boston U

Navy

5.8

Evansville

Drake

-6.1

Chattanooga

Citadel

10.2

Mercer

Western Carolina

-2.0

Furman

Samford

16.3

Maine

Vermont

-15.9

Davidson

Saint Louis

3.3

George Mason

Massachusetts

5.9

Marshall

Western Kentucky

-0.2

Wofford

VMI

11.8

Holy Cross

Lehigh

-3.5

Northwestern St.

Stephen F. Austin

-10.5

Little Rock

Troy

10.0

Incarnate Word

Lamar

-7.1

Nicholls St.

Houston Baptist

16.4

Loyola (Chi)

Indiana St.

5.1

Texas A&M-CC

New Orleans

4.6

SMU

East Carolina

15.3

Bradley

Illinois St.

11.2

SE Louisiana

McNeese St.

-3.5

South Dakota St.

North Dakota St.

3.6

Virginia Tech

North Carolina

5.4

Seton Hall

Providence

11.4

Sam Houston St.

Abilene Christian

5.3

Tulsa

Memphis

-4.5

DePaul

Creighton

0.5

Pittsburgh

Boston College

10.9

Iowa

Rutgers

5.6

Vanderbilt

Alabama

-8.3

Southern Illinois

Northern Iowa

-6.6

Colorado St.

Fresno St.

4.4

California Baptist

Chicago St.

25.3

UC Davis

Cal St. Fullerton

5.1

Long Beach St.

UC Irvine

-9.6

UCSB

Cal St. Northridge

9.9

Nevada

UNLV

5.1

 

 

 

 

 

January 15, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 15, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:04 am

Power Conference & Top 25 Teams Playing Wednesday

 

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Butler

Seton Hall

4.8

South Carolina

Kentucky

-6.1

Syracuse

Boston College

10.3

Florida St.

Virginia

7.7

Georgetown

Creighton

1.7

Georgia

Tennessee

0.1

Duquesne

Fordham

16.0

North Carolina St.

Miami (Fla.)

6.8

East Carolina

Tulsa

-3.6

Saint Bonaventure

Massachusetts

6.8

Rutgers

Indiana

3.2

Saint Joseph’s

Rhode Island

-9.6

Baylor

Iowa St.

10.4

Marquette

Xavier

5.4

Oklahoma St.

Texas

4.0

Arkansas

Vanderbilt

13.0

Providence

St. John’s

3.4

Georgia Tech

Notre Dame

1.4

Alabama

Auburn

-2.3

Minnesota

Penn St.

2.8

Temple

Wichita St.

-1.6

Houston

SMU

8.0

Air Force

Boise St.

-0.7

Colorado St.

New Mexico

-0.1

UCLA

Stanford

-3.1

UNLV

San Jose St.

13.4

January 13, 2020

PiRate Ratings Bracketology For January 13, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 1:01 pm

Date

1/13/2020

Seed

Team

Team

Team

Team

Team

Team

1

Duke

Baylor

Gonzaga

Butler

2

San Diego St.

Auburn

Kansas

Michigan St.

3

West Virginia

Louisville

Oregon

Dayton

4

Wichita St.

Maryland

Florida St.

Kentucky

5

Villanova

Seton Hall

Ohio St.

Arizona

6

Michigan

Colorado

Stanford

Arkansas

7

Penn St.

Creighton

Memphis

Texas Tech

8

Wisconsin

Iowa

Marquette

BYU

9

Virginia

Indiana

Illinois

Purdue

10

Saint Mary’s

Houston

LSU

Oklahoma

11

Rutgers

VCU

Washington

Florida

Xavier

Georgetown

12

Liberty

Northern Iowa

Akron

Yale

13

Stony Brook

Western Carolina

Georgia St.

Stephen F Austin

14

New Mexico St.

Charlotte

Wright St.

William & Mary

15

UC-Irvine

Northern Colorado

Colgate

Belmont

16

North Dakota St.

Radford

Rider

Grambling

Bethune-Cookman

St. Francis (PA)

 

 

First Four Out

Virginia Tech

Duquesne

N. Carolina St.

Tennessee

 

 

Next Four Out

Oregon St.

TCU

Minnesota

Saint Louis

January 11, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 11, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:35 am

Power Conference & Top 25 Teams Playing Saturday

 

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Auburn

Georgia

10.5

Boston College

Georgia Tech

-1.0

BYU

Portland

21.6

California

Washington

-7.9

Central Florida

Cincinnati

-2.2

Dayton

Massachusetts

20.5

Duke

Wake Forest

21.4

East Carolina

SMU

-8.4

Illinois

Rutgers

4.5

Indiana

Ohio St.

-2.5

Iowa St.

Oklahoma

2.4

Kansas

Baylor

10.1

Kentucky

Alabama

8.1

Loyola Marymount

Gonzaga

-17.4

LSU

Mississippi St.

8.6

Missouri

Florida

0.1

New Mexico

Air Force

9.7

North Carolina

Clemson

5.9

Northwestern

Nebraska

5.2

Notre Dame

Louisville

-3.3

Ole Miss

Arkansas

-3.5

Oregon

Arizona St.

11.4

Penn St.

Wisconsin

4.4

Saint Mary’s

Santa Clara

14.2

San Diego St.

Boise St.

12.5

Seton Hall

Marquette

6.3

St. John’s

DePaul

3.6

Stanford

Washington St.

11.0

TCU

Oklahoma St.

3.8

Temple

Tulane

11.7

Tennessee

South Carolina

9.6

Texas

Kansas St.

5.5

Tulsa

Houston

-5.7

UCLA

USC

-1.1

Utah St.

Nevada

7.0

Vanderbilt

Texas A&M

5.8

Villanova

Georgetown

6.2

Virginia

Syracuse

6.8

Virginia Tech

North Carolina St.

1.3

West Virginia

Texas Tech

6.3

Wyoming

UNLV

-5.5

Xavier

Creighton

4.1

 

January 8, 2020

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For January 8, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:19 am

Power Conference & Top 25 Teams Playing Wednesday

 

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Alabama

Mississippi St.

3.4

Auburn

Vanderbilt

16.4

Boise St.

UNLV

6.0

Cincinnati

Tulsa

8.0

Connecticut

Tulane

11.0

Georgetown

St. John’s

5.0

Georgia Tech

Duke

-13.1

Indiana

Northwestern

11.1

Iowa St.

Kansas

-7.2

LSU

Arkansas

4.5

North Carolina

Pittsburgh

6.5

North Carolina St.

Notre Dame

5.5

San Jose St.

Nevada

-11.9

SMU

Central Florida

6.1

Texas

Oklahoma

1.4

Wake Forest

Florida St.

-6.4

Wisconsin

Illinois

3.8

Wyoming

San Diego St.

-18.6

Xavier

Seton Hall

0.7

 

January 6, 2020

PiRate Ratings Bracketology For January 6, 2020

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 11:00 am

 

Date

1/6/2020

Seed

Team

Team

Team

Team

Team

Team

1

Duke

Kansas

Butler

Gonzaga

2

Auburn

San Diego St.

Baylor

Oregon

3

Ohio St.

Michigan St.

Maryland

West Virginia

4

Florida St.

Dayton

Louisville

Michigan

5

Penn St.

Villanova

Wichita St.

Arizona

6

Seton Hall

Memphis

Kentucky

Marquette

7

Creighton

Colorado

Iowa

Arkansas

8

Virginia

Texas Tech

BYU

Saint Mary’s

9

Wisconsin

Xavier

Florida

Stanford

10

Indiana

Houston

Oklahoma

Washington

11

VCU

LSU

Rutgers

Oklahoma St.

Purdue

N. Carolina St.

12

Liberty

Furman

S. F. Austin

Louisiana Tech

13

Yale

Kent St.

Vermont

Wright St.

14

Loyola (Chi.)

New Mexico St.

Charleston

UCSB

15

Murray St.

Little Rock

Colgate

Winthrop

16

Montana

Rider

N. Dakota St.

St. Francis (NY)

Grambling

Morgan St.

First Four Out

DePaul

Georgetown

USC

Minnesota

Next Four Out

Utah St.

St. John’s

Georgia

Texas

 

December 24, 2019

PiRate Ratings College Basketball For Tuesday, December 24, 2019

Welcome to the inaugural post for the 2019-2020 College Basketball Season.  In past years, we did not issue power ratings until past January 1, because our ratings need a substantial sample size before the variance is negligible.

For those of you new to our basketball ratings, they are nothing like our football ratings.  We use an algorithm based on the Four Factors of basketball combined with schedule strength.  We spent a couple years testing out a system and tweaking the variables until we ended up with what we hope is accurate enough ratings to predict game outcome and maybe, if lucky, a comparison to the Nevada Spread.

Our inspiration comes from baseball sabermetric genius Tom Tango aka Tango Tiger, who we would really love to meet one day after having traded some ideas via the Baseball-Fever site many years ago.  Tango created the Weighted On-Base Average, which is about as positively correlated to run scoring among the well-known sabermetric runs formulas.

Our basketball ratings apply weights to the four factors and then adjust these weights to schedule strength.  It takes about 1,750 games before schedule strength adjustment variance lowers to a minimum number in our calculating loop.  

Since we are beginning our ratings’ publication early this year, we have not yet decided on a set schedule for when we will release updated ratings.  

Starting in January, this is what we will present weekly in our basketball category.

  1. Twice Weekly Power Rating Updates

  2. Predicted Spreads of Games Played Between Power Conference Teams

  3. Weekly Bracketology Updates

  4. Occasional Editorial Or Other Written Information

We went back and looked at what our most read posts were for the 2018-19 season, and by far you chose our feature naming the top 20 candidates to move up to Power Conference head coaching jobs.  In that post, we rated Eric Musselman, then of Nevada, as not only the top coach that could potentially move up to a Power Conference job, we named him the overall best college basketball coach at the present time, ahead of all the legends still coaching.

We based that accolade on the fact that Musselman has improved the overall efficiency of close to 100% of the players he has coached at the college level that have also played for other Division 1 Head Coaches.

Musselman is living up to this accolade in his first year at Arkansas, where the Razorback players that played for another Division 1 Head Coach (either players he inherited at Arkansas or transfers from other teams) have enjoyed massive improvement in total efficiency, especially on the defensive side of the ball.

We will post a new list sometime in February.  Believe it or not, it takes longer to study efficiency ratings for players from one year to the next than it does to figure all the power ratings for 353 teams.

Here are our Opening PiRate Ratings for Christmas Eve, 2019

Power Ratings  12/24/19

 

#

Team

Conference

PiRate

1

Duke

Atlantic Coast

120.7

2

Kansas

Big 12

120.1

3

Ohio St.

Big Ten

119.6

4

Michigan St.

Big Ten

118.9

5

Gonzaga

West Coast

118.4

6

Louisville

Atlantic Coast

117.7

7

Maryland

Big Ten

116.3

8

Arizona

Pac-12

115.9

9

Baylor

Big 12

115.3

10

Dayton

Atlantic 10

115.0

11

Oregon

Pac-12

114.9

12

Butler

Big East

114.8

13

Auburn

Southeastern

114.6

14

Michigan

Big Ten

114.6

15

Florida St.

Atlantic Coast

114.3

16

Kentucky

Southeastern

114.0

17

Memphis

American Athletic

113.7

18

Seton Hall

Big East

113.6

19

San Diego St.

Mountain West

113.5

20

Villanova

Big East

113.5

21

Purdue

Big Ten

113.3

22

Iowa

Big Ten

113.3

23

Penn St.

Big Ten

113.1

24

West Virginia

Big 12

112.7

25

Marquette

Big East

112.6

26

BYU

West Coast

112.5

27

Florida

Southeastern

112.3

28

Texas Tech

Big 12

112.3

29

Indiana

Big Ten

112.1

30

Wichita St.

Big East

112.1

31

Houston

American Athletic

112.0

32

Xavier

Big East

111.8

33

Arkansas

Southeastern

111.7

34

Tennessee

Southeastern

111.6

35

LSU

Southeastern

111.5

36

Iowa St.

Big 12

111.5

37

North Carolina St.

Atlantic Coast

111.5

38

Utah St.

Mountain West

111.4

39

Saint Mary’s

West Coast

111.4

40

North Carolina

Atlantic Coast

111.4

41

Georgetown

Big East

111.3

42

Washington

Pac-12

111.1

43

Virginia

Atlantic Coast

111.1

44

Colorado

Pac-12

111.0

45

Minnesota

Big Ten

110.8

46

Illinois

Big Ten

110.8

47

Creighton

Big East

110.6

48

Oklahoma St.

Big 12

110.5

49

VCU

Atlantic 10

110.1

50

Rutgers

Big Ten

110.1

51

Oklahoma

Big 12

110.0

52

Temple

American Athletic

109.7

53

Wisconsin

Big Ten

109.7

54

Missouri

Southeastern

109.6

55

Alabama

Southeastern

109.4

56

Connecticut

American Athletic

109.2

57

Cincinnati

American Athletic

109.1

58

Stanford

Pac-12

109.0

59

Notre Dame

Atlantic Coast

108.8

60

Syracuse

Atlantic Coast

108.6

61

Mississippi St.

Southeastern

108.6

62

USC

Pac-12

108.5

63

Texas

Big 12

108.3

64

East Tennessee St.

Southern

108.3

65

Virginia Tech

Atlantic Coast

108.0

66

Duquesne

Atlantic 10

107.9

67

Liberty

Atlantic Sun

107.9

68

TCU

Big 12

107.9

69

DePaul

Big East

107.8

70

Yale

Ivy

107.7

71

Davidson

Atlantic 10

107.7

72

Oregon St.

Pac-12

107.7

73

St. John’s

Big East

107.5

74

Arizona St.

Pac-12

107.3

75

UNC Greensboro

Southern

107.2

76

Mississippi

Southeastern

107.1

77

Belmont

Ohio Valley

107.1

78

Pittsburgh

Atlantic Coast

107.1

79

Providence

Big East

107.0

80

Louisiana Tech

Conference USA

107.0

81

Rhode Island

Atlantic 10

107.0

82

Richmond

Atlantic 10

107.0

83

Northern Iowa

Missouri Valley

106.9

84

Furman

Southern

106.8

85

Miami (Fla.)

Atlantic Coast

106.8

86

Georgia

Southeastern

106.7

87

Vermont

American East

106.6

88

Western Kentucky

Conference USA

106.3

89

Kansas St.

Big 12

106.1

90

New Mexico

Mountain West

106.1

91

South Carolina

Southeastern

105.9

92

Clemson

Atlantic Coast

105.7

93

San Francisco

West Coast

105.6

94

Nevada

Mountain West

105.5

95

SMU

American Athletic

105.4

96

Harvard

Ivy

105.2

97

Saint Louis

Atlantic 10

105.1

98

Toledo

Mid-American

105.1

99

Kent St.

Mid-American

105.0

100

Wake Forest

Atlantic Coast

104.9

101

New Mexico St.

Western Athletic

104.8

102

Utah

Pac-12

104.8

103

Boise St.

Mountain West

104.6

104

Northwestern

Big Ten

104.5

105

Akron

Mid-American

104.5

106

UCLA

Pac-12

104.5

107

Georgia Tech

Atlantic Coast

104.4

108

Central Florida

American Athletic

104.3

109

Penn

Ivy

103.9

110

Wright St.

Horizon

103.8

111

Loyola (Chi.)

Missouri Valley

103.8

112

Ball St.

Mid-American

103.8

113

South Florida

American Athletic

103.6

114

Georgia St.

Sun Belt

103.3

115

Fresno St.

Mountain West

103.2

116

George Mason

Atlantic 10

103.1

117

Northern Colorado

Big Sky

102.7

118

Bradley

Missouri Valley

102.7

119

Northern Kentucky

Horizon

102.7

120

UC Irvine

Big West

102.6

121

Murray St.

Ohio Valley

102.6

122

Vanderbilt

Southeastern

102.6

123

Tulsa

American Athletic

102.5

124

Washington St.

Pac-12

102.5

125

North Texas

Conference USA

102.4

126

Radford

Big South

102.3

127

Nebraska

Big Ten

102.3

128

Eastern Washington

Big Sky

102.2

129

Boston College

Atlantic Coast

102.2

130

St. Bonaventure

Atlantic 10

102.1

131

Indiana St.

Missouri Valley

102.1

132

Buffalo

Mid-American

102.0

133

Wofford

Southern

101.9

134

Stephen F. Austin

Southland

101.9

135

Oral Roberts

Summit

101.8

136

UT Arlington

Southland

101.7

137

Hofstra

Colonial Athletic

101.6

138

Colorado St.

Mountain West

101.6

139

Appalachian St.

Sun Belt

101.6

140

Texas St.

Sun Belt

101.6

141

UTEP

Conference USA

101.5

142

Colgate

Patriot

101.5

143

Rider

Metro Atlantic

101.4

144

Missouri St.

Missouri Valley

101.4

145

Bowling Green

Mid-American

101.2

146

Northeastern

Colonial Athletic

101.1

147

Texas A&M

Southeastern

101.0

148

Pepperdine

West Coast

100.9

149

Drake

Missouri Valley

100.9

150

Charleston

Colonial Athletic

100.8

151

Towson

Colonial Athletic

100.8

152

La Salle

Atlantic 10

100.7

153

Stony Brook

American East

100.7

154

UC Santa Barbara

Big West

100.6

155

North Dakota St.

Summit

100.5

156

Southern Utah

Big Sky

100.5

157

Santa Clara

West Coast

100.4

158

Georgia Southern

Sun Belt

100.3

159

Coastal Carolina

Sun Belt

100.2

160

UAB

Conference USA

100.2

161

Florida Int’l.

Conference USA

100.2

162

California Baptist

Western Athletic

100.1

163

Valparaiso

Missouri Valley

100.1

164

Hawaii

Big West

100.0

165

Little Rock

Sun Belt

100.0

166

Northern Illinois

Mid-American

99.9

167

Delaware

Colonial Athletic

99.9

168

Western Carolina

Southern

99.9

169

Charlotte

Conference USA

99.6

170

Central Michigan

Mid-American

99.6

171

Sam Houston St.

Southland

99.6

172

Pacific

West Coast

99.6

173

UNLV

Mountain West

99.5

174

Winthrop

Big South

99.5

175

Ohio

Mid-American

99.4

176

San Diego

West Coast

99.4

177

California

Pac-12

99.4

178

South Dakota St.

Summit

99.3

179

Old Dominion

Conference USA

99.2

180

Marshall

Conference USA

99.0

181

North Florida

Atlantic Sun

99.0

182

South Dakota

Summit

98.9

183

William & Mary

Colonial Athletic

98.9

184

St. Francis (PA)

Northeast

98.8

185

Massachusetts

Atlantic 10

98.7

186

South Alabama

Sun Belt

98.7

187

Oakland

Horizon

98.7

188

Sacred Heart

Northeast

98.7

189

Tulane

American Athletic

98.6

190

Southern Illinois

Missouri Valley

98.6

191

Siena

Metro Atlantic

98.4

192

Dartmouth

Ivy

98.3

193

Iona

Metro Atlantic

98.2

194

Rice

Conference USA

98.1

195

Lafayette

Patriot

98.1

196

Eastern Illinois

Ohio Valley

98.1

197

Eastern Michigan

Mid-American

98.1

198

Sacramento St.

Big Sky

98.1

199

Austin Peay

Ohio Valley

98.0

200

UTSA

Conference USA

98.0

201

Omaha

Summit

97.8

202

Evansville

Missouri Valley

97.8

203

Loyola Marymount

West Coast

97.8

204

Lipscomb

Atlantic Sun

97.7

205

Florida Atlantic

Conference USA

97.6

206

Miami (O)

Mid-American

97.5

207

Portland St.

Big Sky

97.4

208

Air Force

Mountain West

97.4

209

Montana

Big Sky

97.4

210

Loyola (MD)

Patriot

97.4

211

Illinois St.

Missouri Valley

97.3

212

Chattanooga

Southern

97.2

213

Green Bay

Horizon

97.1

214

Samford

Southern

97.0

215

Princeton

Ivy

97.0

216

American

Patriot

96.9

217

Boston U

Patriot

96.9

218

Missouri-KC

Western Athletic

96.9

219

Bryant

Northeast

96.7

220

UC Riverside

Big West

96.7

221

Grand Canyon

Western Athletic

96.6

222

North Dakota

Summit

96.5

223

Columbia

Ivy

96.4

224

Arkansas St.

Sun Belt

96.3

225

Bucknell

Patriot

96.2

226

Nicholls St.

Southland

96.1

227

George Washington

Atlantic 10

96.1

228

Gardner-Webb

Big South

96.1

229

Canisius

Metro Atlantic

96.0

230

Brown

Ivy

96.0

231

Tennessee St.

Ohio Valley

96.0

232

Jacksonville

Atlantic Sun

96.0

233

Youngstown St.

Horizon

95.9

234

Illinois Chicago

Horizon

95.9

235

Albany

American East

95.9

236

Fairfield

Metro Atlantic

95.8

237

Seattle

Western Athletic

95.8

238

Monmouth

Metro Atlantic

95.8

239

Abilene Christian

Southland

95.8

240

James Madison

Colonial Athletic

95.7

241

Purdue Fort Wayne

Summit

95.7

242

Campbell

Big South

95.6

243

Prairie View A&M

Southwestern Athl.

95.6

244

UMass Lowell

American East

95.6

245

Montana St.

Big Sky

95.6

246

Cal St. Bakersfield

Western Athletic

95.6

247

Northern Arizona

Big Sky

95.5

248

Navy

Patriot

95.5

249

Long Island

Northeast

95.5

250

Drexel

Colonial Athletic

95.4

251

Southern Miss.

Conference USA

95.4

252

Saint Joseph’s

Atlantic 10

95.3

253

East Carolina

American Athletic

95.2

254

Milwaukee

Horizon

95.2

255

Fordham

Atlantic 10

95.2

256

Jacksonville St.

Ohio Valley

95.2

257

UC Davis

Big West

95.1

258

Lehigh

Patriot

95.0

259

UNC Asheville

Big South

94.9

260

Louisiana

Sun Belt

94.8

261

Utah Valley

Western Athletic

94.8

262

Quinnipiac

Metro Atlantic

94.8

263

McNeese St.

Southland

94.7

264

Middle Tennessee

Conference USA

94.6

265

Lamar

Southland

94.6

266

Texas Southern

Southwestern Athl.

94.4

267

Western Michigan

Mid-American

94.4

268

Louisiana Monroe

Sun Belt

94.3

269

Mercer

Southern

94.3

270

Weber St.

Big Sky

94.3

271

Cal St. Northridge

Big West

94.2

272

Troy

Sun Belt

94.1

273

UT Rio Grande Valley

Western Athletic

94.0

274

Portland

West Coast

93.9

275

Manhattan

Metro Atlantic

93.9

276

UM Baltimore Co.

American East

93.8

277

Morehead St.

Ohio Valley

93.8

278

NJIT

Atlantic Sun

93.8

279

VMI

Southern

93.7

280

New Orleans

Southland

93.5

281

New Hampshire

American East

93.3

282

Robert Morris

Northeast

93.2

283

Cal St. Fullerton

Big West

93.2

284

Cornell

Ivy

93.2

285

Mount St. Mary’s

Northeast

93.2

286

Saint Peter’s

Metro Atlantic

92.8

287

Bethune Cookman

Mideastern Athletic

92.5

288

Merrimack

Northeast

92.4

289

North Alabama

Atlantic Sun

92.3

290

Texas A&M CC

Southland

92.2

291

Grambling

Southwestern Athl.

92.1

292

Long Beach St.

Big West

91.9

293

Army

Patriot

91.9

294

Norfolk St.

Mideastern Athletic

91.9

295

Wyoming

Mountain West

91.8

296

Citadel

Southern

91.8

297

Fairleigh Dickinson

Northeast

91.6

298

Idaho St.

Big Sky

91.6

299

UNC Wilmington

Colonial Athletic

91.5

300

Detroit

Horizon

91.4

301

Longwood

Big South

91.3

302

UT-Martin

Ohio Valley

91.2

303

Coppin St.

Mideastern Athletic

91.2

304

SE Missouri

Ohio Valley

91.1

305

Western Illinois

Summit

91.0

306

IUPUI

Horizon

90.8

307

Morgan St.

Mideastern Athletic

90.8

308

Charleston Southern

Big South

90.5

309

Wagner

Northeast

90.3

310

St. Francis (NY)

Northeast

90.3

311

Elon

Colonial Athletic

90.1

312

Niagara

Metro Atlantic

90.0

313

Binghamton

American East

90.0

314

Central Arkansas

Southland

89.9

315

Hampton

Big South

89.8

316

Cleveland St.

Horizon

89.8

317

Denver

Summit

89.6

318

Hartford

American East

89.6

319

Alcorn St.

Southwestern Athl.

89.6

320

North Carolina Central

Mideastern Athletic

89.5

321

Cal Poly

Big West

89.3

322

North Carolina A&T

Mideastern Athletic

89.2

323

Florida Gulf Coast

Atlantic Sun

89.2

324

Florida A&M

Mideastern Athletic

89.2

325

Jackson St.

Southwestern Athl.

89.1

326

Eastern Kentucky

Ohio Valley

89.1

327

Stetson

Atlantic Sun

89.0

328

San Jose St.

Mountain West

89.0

329

Tennessee Tech

Ohio Valley

89.0

330

Southern

Southwestern Athl.

88.9

331

SE Louisiana

Southland

88.9

332

Idaho

Big Sky

88.5

333

Houston Baptist

Southland

88.3

334

Holy Cross

Patriot

88.2

335

Maine

American East

87.7

336

Alabama St.

Southwestern Athl.

87.3

337

Marist

Metro Atlantic

87.3

338

USC Upstate

Big South

87.3

339

South Carolina St.

Mideastern Athletic

86.7

340

High Point

Big South

86.5

341

Alabama A&M

Southwestern Athl.

86.4

342

Presbyterian

Big South

86.4

343

Kennesaw St.

Atlantic Sun

85.8

344

Northwestern St.

Southland

85.7

345

SIU Edwardsville

Ohio Valley

85.1

346

Arkansas Pine Bluff

Southwestern Athl.

84.8

347

Howard

Mideastern Athletic

83.9

348

Incarnate Word

Southland

83.4

349

MD Eastern Shore

Mideastern Athletic

82.1

350

Central Connecticut

Northeast

81.6

351

Delaware St.

Mideastern Athletic

81.2

352

Chicago St.

Western Athletic

80.3

353

Mississippi Valley St.

Southwestern Athl.

77.5

 

Alphabetical

 

#

Team

Conf.

PiRate

1

Abilene Christian

Southland

95.8

2

Air Force

Mountain West

97.4

3

Akron

Mid-American

104.5

4

Alabama

Southeastern

109.4

5

Alabama A&M

Southwestern Athl.

86.4

6

Alabama St.

Southwestern Athl.

87.3

7

Albany

American East

95.9

8

Alcorn St.

Southwestern Athl.

89.6

9

American

Patriot

96.9

10

Appalachian St.

Sun Belt

101.6

11

Arizona

Pac-12

115.9

12

Arizona St.

Pac-12

107.3

13

Arkansas

Southeastern

111.7

14

Arkansas Pine Bluff

Southwestern Athl.

84.8

15

Arkansas St.

Sun Belt

96.3

16

Army

Patriot

91.9

17

Auburn

Southeastern

114.6

18

Austin Peay

Ohio Valley

98.0

19

Ball St.

Mid-American

103.8

20

Baylor

Big 12

115.3

21

Belmont

Ohio Valley

107.1

22

Bethune Cookman

Mideastern Athletic

92.5

23

Binghamton

American East

90.0

24

Boise St.

Mountain West

104.6

25

Boston College

Atlantic Coast

102.2

26

Boston U

Patriot

96.9

27

Bowling Green

Mid-American

101.2

28

Bradley

Missouri Valley

102.7

29

Brown

Ivy

96.0

30

Bryant

Northeast

96.7

31

Bucknell

Patriot

96.2

32

Buffalo

Mid-American

102.0

33

Butler

Big East

114.8

34

BYU

West Coast

112.5

35

Cal Poly

Big West

89.3

36

Cal St. Bakersfield

Western Athletic

95.6

37

Cal St. Fullerton

Big West

93.2

38

Cal St. Northridge

Big West

94.2

39

California

Pac-12

99.4

40

California Baptist

Western Athletic

100.1

41

Campbell

Big South

95.6

42

Canisius

Metro Atlantic

96.0

43

Central Arkansas

Southland

89.9

44

Central Connecticut

Northeast

81.6

45

Central Florida

American Athletic

104.3

46

Central Michigan

Mid-American

99.6

47

Charleston

Colonial Athletic

100.8

48

Charleston Southern

Big South

90.5

49

Charlotte

Conference USA

99.6

50

Chattanooga

Southern

97.2

51

Chicago St.

Western Athletic

80.3

52

Cincinnati

American Athletic

109.1

53

Citadel

Southern

91.8

54

Clemson

Atlantic Coast

105.7

55

Cleveland St.

Horizon

89.8

56

Coastal Carolina

Sun Belt

100.2

57

Colgate

Patriot

101.5

58

Colorado

Pac-12

111.0

59

Colorado St.

Mountain West

101.6

60

Columbia

Ivy

96.4

61

Connecticut

American Athletic

109.2

62

Coppin St.

Mideastern Athletic

91.2

63

Cornell

Ivy

93.2

64

Creighton

Big East

110.6

65

Dartmouth

Ivy

98.3

66

Davidson

Atlantic 10

107.7

67

Dayton

Atlantic 10

115.0

68

Delaware

Colonial Athletic

99.9

69

Delaware St.

Mideastern Athletic

81.2

70

Denver

Summit

89.6

71

DePaul

Big East

107.8

72

Detroit

Horizon

91.4

73

Drake

Missouri Valley

100.9

74

Drexel

Colonial Athletic

95.4

75

Duke

Atlantic Coast

120.7

76

Duquesne

Atlantic 10

107.9

77

East Carolina

American Athletic

95.2

78

East Tennessee St.

Southern

108.3

79

Eastern Illinois

Ohio Valley

98.1

80

Eastern Kentucky

Ohio Valley

89.1

81

Eastern Michigan

Mid-American

98.1

82

Eastern Washington

Big Sky

102.2

83

Elon

Colonial Athletic

90.1

84

Evansville

Missouri Valley

97.8

85

Fairfield

Metro Atlantic

95.8

86

Fairleigh Dickinson

Northeast

91.6

87

Florida

Southeastern

112.3

88

Florida A&M

Mideastern Athletic

89.2

89

Florida Atlantic

Conference USA

97.6

90

Florida Gulf Coast

Atlantic Sun

89.2

91

Florida Int’l.

Conference USA

100.2

92

Florida St.

Atlantic Coast

114.3

93

Fordham

Atlantic 10

95.2

94

Fresno St.

Mountain West

103.2

95

Furman

Southern

106.8

96

Gardner-Webb

Big South

96.1

97

George Mason

Atlantic 10

103.1

98

George Washington

Atlantic 10

96.1

99

Georgetown

Big East

111.3

100

Georgia

Southeastern

106.7

101

Georgia Southern

Sun Belt

100.3

102

Georgia St.

Sun Belt

103.3

103

Georgia Tech

Atlantic Coast

104.4

104

Gonzaga

West Coast

118.4

105

Grambling

Southwestern Athl.

92.1

106

Grand Canyon

Western Athletic

96.6

107

Green Bay

Horizon

97.1

108

Hampton

Big South

89.8

109

Hartford

American East

89.6

110

Harvard

Ivy

105.2

111

Hawaii

Big West

100.0

112

High Point

Big South

86.5

113

Hofstra

Colonial Athletic

101.6

114

Holy Cross

Patriot

88.2

115

Houston

American Athletic

112.0

116

Houston Baptist

Southland

88.3

117

Howard

Mideastern Athletic

83.9

118

Idaho

Big Sky

88.5

119

Idaho St.

Big Sky

91.6

120

Illinois

Big Ten

110.8

121

Illinois Chicago

Horizon

95.9

122

Illinois St.

Missouri Valley

97.3

123

Incarnate Word

Southland

83.4

124

Indiana

Big Ten

112.1

125

Indiana St.

Missouri Valley

102.1

126

Iona

Metro Atlantic

98.2

127

Iowa

Big Ten

113.3

128

Iowa St.

Big 12

111.5

129

IUPUI

Horizon

90.8

130

Jackson St.

Southwestern Athl.

89.1

131

Jacksonville

Atlantic Sun

96.0

132

Jacksonville St.

Ohio Valley

95.2

133

James Madison

Colonial Athletic

95.7

134

Kansas

Big 12

120.1

135

Kansas St.

Big 12

106.1

136

Kennesaw St.

Atlantic Sun

85.8

137

Kent St.

Mid-American

105.0

138

Kentucky

Southeastern

114.0

139

La Salle

Atlantic 10

100.7

140

Lafayette

Patriot

98.1

141

Lamar

Southland

94.6

142

Lehigh

Patriot

95.0

143

Liberty

Atlantic Sun

107.9

144

Lipscomb

Atlantic Sun

97.7

145

Little Rock

Sun Belt

100.0

146

Long Beach St.

Big West

91.9

147

Long Island

Northeast

95.5

148

Longwood

Big South

91.3

149

Louisiana

Sun Belt

94.8

150

Louisiana Monroe

Sun Belt

94.3

151

Louisiana Tech

Conference USA

107.0

152

Louisville

Atlantic Coast

117.7

153

Loyola (Chi.)

Missouri Valley

103.8

154

Loyola Marymount

West Coast

97.8

155

Loyola (MD)

Patriot

97.4

156

LSU

Southeastern

111.5

157

Maine

American East

87.7

158

Manhattan

Metro Atlantic

93.9

159

Marist

Metro Atlantic

87.3

160

Marquette

Big East

112.6

161

Marshall

Conference USA

99.0

162

Maryland

Big Ten

116.3

163

Massachusetts

Atlantic 10

98.7

164

McNeese St.

Southland

94.7

165

MD Eastern Shore

Mideastern Athletic

82.1

166

Memphis

American Athletic

113.7

167

Mercer

Southern

94.3

168

Merrimack

Northeast

92.4

169

Miami (Fla.)

Atlantic Coast

106.8

170

Miami (O)

Mid-American

97.5

171

Michigan

Big Ten

114.6

172

Michigan St.

Big Ten

118.9

173

Middle Tennessee

Conference USA

94.6

174

Milwaukee

Horizon

95.2

175

Minnesota

Big Ten

110.8

176

Mississippi

Southeastern

107.1

177

Mississippi St.

Southeastern

108.6

178

Mississippi Valley St.

Southwestern Athl.

77.5

179

Missouri

Southeastern

109.6

180

Missouri-KC

Western Athletic

96.9

181

Missouri St.

Missouri Valley

101.4

182

Monmouth

Metro Atlantic

95.8

183

Montana

Big Sky

97.4

184

Montana St.

Big Sky

95.6

185

Morehead St.

Ohio Valley

93.8

186

Morgan St.

Mideastern Athletic

90.8

187

Mount St. Mary’s

Northeast

93.2

188

Murray St.

Ohio Valley

102.6

189

Navy

Patriot

95.5

190

Nebraska

Big Ten

102.3

191

Nevada

Mountain West

105.5

192

New Hampshire

American East

93.3

193

New Mexico

Mountain West

106.1

194

New Mexico St.

Western Athletic

104.8

195

New Orleans

Southland

93.5

196

Niagara

Metro Atlantic

90.0

197

Nicholls St.

Southland

96.1

198

NJIT

Atlantic Sun

93.8

199

Norfolk St.

Mideastern Athletic

91.9

200

North Alabama

Atlantic Sun

92.3

201

North Carolina

Atlantic Coast

111.4

202

North Carolina A&T

Mideastern Athletic

89.2

203

North Carolina Central

Mideastern Athletic

89.5

204

North Carolina St.

Atlantic Coast

111.5

205

North Dakota

Summit

96.5

206

North Dakota St.

Summit

100.5

207

North Florida

Atlantic Sun

99.0

208

North Texas

Conference USA

102.4

209

Northeastern

Colonial Athletic

101.1

210

Northern Arizona

Big Sky

95.5

211

Northern Colorado

Big Sky

102.7

212

Northern Illinois

Mid-American

99.9

213

Northern Iowa

Missouri Valley

106.9

214

Northern Kentucky

Horizon

102.7

215

Northwestern

Big Ten

104.5

216

Northwestern St.

Southland

85.7

217

Notre Dame

Atlantic Coast

108.8

218

Oakland

Horizon

98.7

219

Ohio

Mid-American

99.4

220

Ohio St.

Big Ten

119.6

221

Oklahoma

Big 12

110.0

222

Oklahoma St.

Big 12

110.5

223

Old Dominion

Conference USA

99.2

224

Omaha

Summit

97.8

225

Oral Roberts

Summit

101.8

226

Oregon

Pac-12

114.9

227

Oregon St.

Pac-12

107.7

228

Pacific

West Coast

99.6

229

Penn

Ivy

103.9

230

Penn St.

Big Ten

113.1

231

Pepperdine

West Coast

100.9

232

Pittsburgh

Atlantic Coast

107.1

233

Portland

West Coast

93.9

234

Portland St.

Big Sky

97.4

235

Prairie View A&M

Southwestern Athl.

95.6

236

Presbyterian

Big South

86.4

237

Princeton

Ivy

97.0

238

Providence

Big East

107.0

239

Purdue

Big Ten

113.3

240

Purdue Fort Wayne

Summit

95.7

241

Quinnipiac

Metro Atlantic

94.8

242

Radford

Big South

102.3

243

Rhode Island

Atlantic 10

107.0

244

Rice

Conference USA

98.1

245

Richmond

Atlantic 10

107.0

246

Rider

Metro Atlantic

101.4

247

Robert Morris

Northeast

93.2

248

Rutgers

Big Ten

110.1

249

Sacramento St.

Big Sky

98.1

250

Sacred Heart

Northeast

98.7

251

Saint Joseph’s

Atlantic 10

95.3

252

Saint Louis

Atlantic 10

105.1

253

Saint Mary’s

West Coast

111.4

254

Saint Peter’s

Metro Atlantic

92.8

255

Sam Houston St.

Southland

99.6

256

Samford

Southern

97.0

257

San Diego

West Coast

99.4

258

San Diego St.

Mountain West

113.5

259

San Francisco

West Coast

105.6

260

San Jose St.

Mountain West

89.0

261

Santa Clara

West Coast

100.4

262

SE Louisiana

Southland

88.9

263

SE Missouri

Ohio Valley

91.1

264

Seattle

Western Athletic

95.8

265

Seton Hall

Big East

113.6

266

Siena

Metro Atlantic

98.4

267

SIU Edwardsville

Ohio Valley

85.1

268

SMU

American Athletic

105.4

269

South Alabama

Sun Belt

98.7

270

South Carolina

Southeastern

105.9

271

South Carolina St.

Mideastern Athletic

86.7

272

South Dakota

Summit

98.9

273

South Dakota St.

Summit

99.3

274

South Florida

American Athletic

103.6

275

Southern

Southwestern Athl.

88.9

276

Southern Illinois

Missouri Valley

98.6

277

Southern Miss.

Conference USA

95.4

278

Southern Utah

Big Sky

100.5

279

St. Bonaventure

Atlantic 10

102.1

280

St. Francis (NY)

Northeast

90.3

281

St. Francis (PA)

Northeast

98.8

282

St. John’s

Big East

107.5

283

Stanford

Pac-12

109.0

284

Stephen F. Austin

Southland

101.9

285

Stetson

Atlantic Sun

89.0

286

Stony Brook

American East

100.7

287

Syracuse

Atlantic Coast

108.6

288

TCU

Big 12

107.9

289

Temple

American Athletic

109.7

290

Tennessee

Southeastern

111.6

291

Tennessee St.

Ohio Valley

96.0

292

Tennessee Tech

Ohio Valley

89.0

293

Texas

Big 12

108.3

294

Texas A&M

Southeastern

101.0

295

Texas A&M CC

Southland

92.2

296

Texas Southern

Southwestern Athl.

94.4

297

Texas St.

Sun Belt

101.6

298

Texas Tech

Big 12

112.3

299

Toledo

Mid-American

105.1

300

Towson

Colonial Athletic

100.8

301

Troy

Sun Belt

94.1

302

Tulane

American Athletic

98.6

303

Tulsa

American Athletic

102.5

304

UAB

Conference USA

100.2

305

UC Davis

Big West

95.1

306

UC Irvine

Big West

102.6

307

UC Riverside

Big West

96.7

308

UC Santa Barbara

Big West

100.6

309

UCLA

Pac-12

104.5

310

UM Baltimore Co.

American East

93.8

311

UMass Lowell

American East

95.6

312

UNC Asheville

Big South

94.9

313

UNC Greensboro

Southern

107.2

314

UNC Wilmington

Colonial Athletic

91.5

315

UNLV

Mountain West

99.5

316

USC

Pac-12

108.5

317

USC Upstate

Big South

87.3

318

UT Arlington

Southland

101.7

319

UT Rio Grande Valley

Western Athletic

94.0

320

UT-Martin

Ohio Valley

91.2

321

Utah

Pac-12

104.8

322

Utah St.

Mountain West

111.4

323

Utah Valley

Western Athletic

94.8

324

UTEP

Conference USA

101.5

325

UTSA

Conference USA

98.0

326

Valparaiso

Missouri Valley

100.1

327

Vanderbilt

Southeastern

102.6

328

VCU

Atlantic 10

110.1

329

Vermont

American East

106.6

330

Villanova

Big East

113.5

331

Virginia

Atlantic Coast

111.1

332

Virginia Tech

Atlantic Coast

108.0

333

VMI

Southern

93.7

334

Wagner

Northeast

90.3

335

Wake Forest

Atlantic Coast

104.9

336

Washington

Pac-12

111.1

337

Washington St.

Pac-12

102.5

338

Weber St.

Big Sky

94.3

339

West Virginia

Big 12

112.7

340

Western Carolina

Southern

99.9

341

Western Illinois

Summit

91.0

342

Western Kentucky

Conference USA

106.3

343

Western Michigan

Mid-American

94.4

344

Wichita St.

Big East

112.1

345

William & Mary

Colonial Athletic

98.9

346

Winthrop

Big South

99.5

347

Wisconsin

Big Ten

109.7

348

Wofford

Southern

101.9

349

Wright St.

Horizon

103.8

350

Wyoming

Mountain West

91.8

351

Xavier

Big East

111.8

352

Yale

Ivy

107.7

353

Youngstown St.

Horizon

95.9

 

Ratings By Conference

 

#

American Athletic

PiRate

1

Memphis

113.7

2

Houston

112.0

3

Temple

109.7

4

Connecticut

109.2

5

Cincinnati

109.1

6

SMU

105.4

7

Central Florida

104.3

8

South Florida

103.6

9

Tulsa

102.5

10

Tulane

98.6

11

East Carolina

95.2

Avg

American Athletic

105.8

#

American East

PiRate

1

Vermont

106.6

2

Stony Brook

100.7

3

Albany

95.9

4

UMass Lowell

95.6

5

UM Baltimore Co.

93.8

6

New Hampshire

93.3

7

Binghamton

90.0

8

Hartford

89.6

9

Maine

87.7

Avg

American East

94.8

#

Atlantic 10

PiRate

1

Dayton

115.0

2

VCU

110.1

3

Duquesne

107.9

4

Davidson

107.7

5

Rhode Island

107.0

6

Richmond

107.0

7

Saint Louis

105.1

8

George Mason

103.1

9

St. Bonaventure

102.1

10

La Salle

100.7

11

Massachusetts

98.7

12

George Washington

96.1

13

Saint Joseph’s

95.3

14

Fordham

95.2

Avg.

Atlantic 10

103.6

#

Atlantic Coast

PiRate

1

Duke

120.7

2

Louisville

117.7

3

Florida St.

114.3

4

North Carolina St.

111.5

5

North Carolina

111.4

6

Virginia

111.1

7

Notre Dame

108.8

8

Syracuse

108.6

9

Virginia Tech

108.0

10

Pittsburgh

107.1

11

Miami (Fla.)

106.8

12

Clemson

105.7

13

Wake Forest

104.9

14

Georgia Tech

104.4

15

Boston College

102.2

Avg

Atlantic Coast

109.5

#

Atlantic Sun

PiRate

1

Liberty

107.9

2

North Florida

99.0

3

Lipscomb

97.7

4

Jacksonville

96.0

5

NJIT

93.8

6

North Alabama

92.3

7

Florida Gulf Coast

89.2

8

Stetson

89.0

9

Kennesaw St.

85.8

Avg

Atlantic Sun

94.5

#

Big 12

PiRate

1

Kansas

120.1

2

Baylor

115.3

3

West Virginia

112.7

4

Texas Tech

112.3

5

Iowa St.

111.5

6

Oklahoma St.

110.5

7

Oklahoma

110.0

8

Texas

108.3

9

TCU

107.9

10

Kansas St.

106.1

Avg

Big 12

111.5

#

Big East

PiRate

1

Butler

114.8

2

Seton Hall

113.6

3

Villanova

113.5

4

Marquette

112.6

5

Wichita St.

112.1

6

Xavier

111.8

7

Georgetown

111.3

8

Creighton

110.6

9

DePaul

107.8

10

St. John’s

107.5

11

Providence

107.0

Avg

Big East

111.2

#

Big Sky

PiRate

1

Northern Colorado

102.7

2

Eastern Washington

102.2

3

Southern Utah

100.5

4

Sacramento St.

98.1

5

Portland St.

97.4

6

Montana

97.4

7

Montana St.

95.6

8

Northern Arizona

95.5

9

Weber St.

94.3

10

Idaho St.

91.6

11

Idaho

88.5

#

Big Sky

96.7

#

Big South

PiRate

1

Radford

102.3

2

Winthrop

99.5

3

Gardner-Webb

96.1

4

Campbell

95.6

5

UNC Asheville

94.9

6

Longwood

91.3

7

Charleston Southern

90.5

8

Hampton

89.8

9

USC Upstate

87.3

10

High Point

86.5

11

Presbyterian

86.4

Avg

Big South

92.7

#

Big Ten

PiRate

1

Ohio St.

119.6

2

Michigan St.

118.9

3

Maryland

116.3

4

Michigan

114.6

5

Purdue

113.3

6

Iowa

113.3

7

Penn St.

113.1

8

Indiana

112.1

9

Minnesota

110.8

10

Illinois

110.8

11

Rutgers

110.1

12

Wisconsin

109.7

13

Northwestern

104.5

14

Nebraska

102.3

Avg

Big Ten

112.1

#

Big West

PiRate

1

UC Irvine

102.6

2

UC Santa Barbara

100.6

3

Hawaii

100.0

4

UC Riverside

96.7

5

UC Davis

95.1

6

Cal St. Northridge

94.2

7

Cal St. Fullerton

93.2

8

Long Beach St.

91.9

9

Cal Poly

89.3

Avg

Big West

96.0

#

Colonial Athletic

PiRate

1

Hofstra

101.6

2

Northeastern

101.1

3

Charleston

100.8

4

Towson

100.8

5

Delaware

99.9

6

William & Mary

98.9

7

James Madison

95.7

8

Drexel

95.4

9

UNC Wilmington

91.5

10

Elon

90.1

Avg

Colonial Athletic

97.6

#

Conference USA

PiRate

1

Louisiana Tech

107.0

2

Western Kentucky

106.3

3

North Texas

102.4

4

UTEP

101.5

5

UAB

100.2

6

Florida Int’l.

100.2

7

Charlotte

99.6

8

Old Dominion

99.2

9

Marshall

99.0

10

Rice

98.1

11

UTSA

98.0

12

Florida Atlantic

97.6

13

Southern Miss.

95.4

14

Middle Tennessee

94.6

Avg

Conference USA

99.9

#

Horizon

PiRate

1

Wright St.

103.8

2

Northern Kentucky

102.7

3

Oakland

98.7

4

Green Bay

97.1

5

Youngstown St.

95.9

6

Illinois Chicago

95.9

7

Milwaukee

95.2

8

Detroit

91.4

9

IUPUI

90.8

10

Cleveland St.

89.8

Avg

Horizon

96.1

#

Ivy

PiRate

1

Yale

107.7

2

Harvard

105.2

3

Penn

103.9

4

Dartmouth

98.3

5

Princeton

97.0

6

Columbia

96.4

7

Brown

96.0

8

Cornell

93.2

Avg

Ivy

99.7

#

Metro Atlantic

PiRate

1

Rider

101.4

2

Siena

98.4

3

Iona

98.2

4

Canisius

96.0

5

Fairfield

95.8

6

Monmouth

95.8

7

Quinnipiac

94.8

8

Manhattan

93.9

9

Saint Peter’s

92.8

10

Niagara

90.0

11

Marist

87.3

Avg

Metro Atlantic

94.9

#

Mid-American

PiRate

1

Toledo

105.1

2

Kent St.

105.0

3

Akron

104.5

4

Ball St.

103.8

5

Buffalo

102.0

6

Bowling Green

101.2

7

Northern Illinois

99.9

8

Central Michigan

99.6

9

Ohio

99.4

10

Eastern Michigan

98.1

11

Miami (O)

97.5

12

Western Michigan

94.4

Avg

Mid-American

100.9

#

Mideastern Athletic

PiRate

1

Bethune Cookman

92.5

2

Norfolk St.

91.9

3

Coppin St.

91.2

4

Morgan St.

90.8

5

North Carolina Central

89.5

6

North Carolina A&T

89.2

7

Florida A&M

89.2

8

South Carolina St.

86.7

9

Howard

83.9

10

MD Eastern Shore

82.1

11

Delaware St.

81.2

Avg

Mideastern Athletic

88.0

#

Missouri Valley

PiRate

1

Northern Iowa

106.9

2

Loyola (Chi.)

103.8

3

Bradley

102.7

4

Indiana St.

102.1

5

Missouri St.

101.4

6

Drake

100.9

7

Valparaiso

100.1

8

Southern Illinois

98.6

9

Evansville

97.8

10

Illinois St.

97.3

Avg

Missouri Valley

101.2

#

Mountain West

PiRate

1

San Diego St.

113.5

2

Utah St.

111.4

3

New Mexico

106.1

4

Nevada

105.5

5

Boise St.

104.6

6

Fresno St.

103.2

7

Colorado St.

101.6

8

UNLV

99.5

9

Air Force

97.4

10

Wyoming

91.8

11

San Jose St.

89.0

Avg

Mountain West

102.1

#

Northeast

PiRate

1

St. Francis (PA)

98.8

2

Sacred Heart

98.7

3

Bryant

96.7

4

Long Island

95.5

5

Robert Morris

93.2

6

Mount St. Mary’s

93.2

7

Merrimack

92.4

8

Fairleigh Dickinson

91.6

9

Wagner

90.3

10

St. Francis (NY)

90.3

11

Central Connecticut

81.6

Avg

Northeast

92.9

#

Ohio Valley

PiRate

1

Belmont

107.1

2

Murray St.

102.6

3

Eastern Illinois

98.1

4

Austin Peay

98.0

5

Tennessee St.

96.0

6

Jacksonville St.

95.2

7

Morehead St.

93.8

8

UT-Martin

91.2

9

SE Missouri

91.1

10

Eastern Kentucky

89.1

11

Tennessee Tech

89.0

12

SIU Edwardsville

85.1

Avg

Ohio Valley

94.7

#

Pac-12

PiRate

1

Arizona

115.9

2

Oregon

114.9

3

Washington

111.1

4

Colorado

111.0

5

Stanford

109.0

6

USC

108.5

7

Oregon St.

107.7

8

Arizona St.

107.3

9

Utah

104.8

10

UCLA

104.5

11

Washington St.

102.5

12

California

99.4

Avg

Pac-12

108.0

#

Patriot

PiRate

1

Colgate

101.5

2

Lafayette

98.1

3

Loyola (MD)

97.4

4

American

96.9

5

Boston U

96.9

6

Bucknell

96.2

7

Navy

95.5

8

Lehigh

95.0

9

Army

91.9

10

Holy Cross

88.2

Avg

Patriot

95.8

#

Southeastern

PiRate

1

Auburn

114.6

2

Kentucky

114.0

3

Florida

112.3

4

Arkansas

111.7

5

Tennessee

111.6

6

LSU

111.5

7

Missouri

109.6

8

Alabama

109.4

9

Mississippi St.

108.6

10

Mississippi

107.1

11

Georgia

106.7

12

South Carolina

105.9

13

Vanderbilt

102.6

14

Texas A&M

101.0

Avg

Southeastern

109.0

#

Southland

PiRate

1

Stephen F. Austin

101.9

2

UT Arlington

101.7

3

Sam Houston St.

99.6

4

Nicholls St.

96.1

5

Abilene Christian

95.8

6

McNeese St.

94.7

7

Lamar

94.6

8

New Orleans

93.5

9

Texas A&M CC

92.2

10

Central Arkansas

89.9

11

SE Louisiana

88.9

12

Houston Baptist

88.3

13

Northwestern St.

85.7

14

Incarnate Word

83.4

Avg

Southland

93.3

#

Southern

PiRate

1

East Tennessee St.

108.3

2

UNC Greensboro

107.2

3

Furman

106.8

4

Wofford

101.9

5

Western Carolina

99.9

6

Chattanooga

97.2

7

Samford

97.0

8

Mercer

94.3

9

VMI

93.7

10

Citadel

91.8

Avg

Southern

99.8

#

Southwestern Athletic

PiRate

1

Prairie View A&M

95.6

2

Texas Southern

94.4

3

Grambling

92.1

4

Alcorn St.

89.6

5

Jackson St.

89.1

6

Southern

88.9

7

Alabama St.

87.3

8

Alabama A&M

86.4

9

Arkansas Pine Bluff

84.8

10

Mississippi Valley St.

77.5

Avg

Southwestern Athletic

88.6

#

Summit

PiRate

1

Oral Roberts

101.8

2

North Dakota St.

100.5

3

South Dakota St.

99.3

4

South Dakota

98.9

5

Omaha

97.8

6

North Dakota

96.5

7

Purdue Fort Wayne

95.7

8

Western Illinois

91.0

9

Denver

89.6

Avg

Summit

96.8

#

Sun Belt

PiRate

1

Georgia St.

103.3

2

Appalachian St.

101.6

3

Texas St.

101.6

4

Georgia Southern

100.3

5

Coastal Carolina

100.2

6

Little Rock

100.0

7

South Alabama

98.7

8

Arkansas St.

96.3

9

Louisiana

94.8

10

Louisiana Monroe

94.3

11

Troy

94.1

Avg

Sun Belt

98.7

#

Western Athletic

PiRate

1

New Mexico St.

104.8

2

California Baptist

100.1

3

Missouri-KC

96.9

4

Grand Canyon

96.6

5

Seattle

95.8

6

Cal St. Bakersfield

95.6

7

Utah Valley

94.8

8

UT Rio Grande Valley

94.0

9

Chicago St.

80.3

Avg

Western Athletic

95.4

#

West Coast

PiRate

1

Gonzaga

118.4

2

BYU

112.5

3

Saint Mary’s

111.4

4

San Francisco

105.6

5

Pepperdine

100.9

6

Santa Clara

100.4

7

Pacific

99.6

8

San Diego

99.4

9

Loyola Marymount

97.8

10

Portland

93.9

Avg

West Coast

104.0

 

All the PiRates wish you a Merry Christmas

or

A Happy Chanukah

or 

A Happy Kwanzaa

or 

A Festive Yule

or

A Happy Remaining Days of December

or 

Just A Plain and Simple Happy Existence

Thank You for continuing to visit the PiRate Ratings, and remember all information here is free and worth exactly what you paid for it.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 14, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For November 14-18, 2019

Your 1962 New York Mets of Selections

The lovable 1962 New York Mets won 40 games in their initial season in Major League Baseball.  There were a couple of star players, and the rest of the roster belonged in the International League.  

That’s how our selections have fared this year.  A couple of times, we came up with some incredible wins on some long shot picks, but the rest of the time, our picks belonged in the bush leagues.

The good thing about the Mets was that eventually 1969 came, and they performed miracles in winning the World Series.  Of course, having player development that brought them Tom Seaver, Jerry Koosman, Nolan Ryan, Cleon Jones, Jerry Grote, and Bud Harrelson, as well as some nice acquisitions in Tommie Agee and Donn Clendenon, made their roster quite strong.  The PiRate Ratings have not developed any young talent in the last few weeks with hopes that a wagering week like 1969 will create a second miracle.

On the other hand, this has historically been the week that our ratings have enjoyed the most over the last 10 years.  The third week of November has brought us our highest return on imaginary investment (our picks are for entertainment purposes and never actually wagered on by us) of the season.

Three years ago, we hit on some outrageous parlays and outright picks against the spread, making a slight ROI on the year into a windfall profit margin.  Two years ago, we turned a slight deficit on the year into a nice profit that when combined with the bowl season gave us another year in the black.  Last year, we went from large deficit to almost break even after this week.

You can see the trend.  Every year, this week turned the momentum in our direction, but each year, this week reversed more malaise than the previous season.  In 2019, we find ourselves so deep in the whole that even the best ever finish on this week will still leave us well in the red.

So, remember, even though  this week has been rather successful for us in the past, please DO NOT WAGER your money on what you will read below.  If we have not faith in these picks, why should you?

Disclaimer: This does not apply to those handful of Smarts that somehow take our spreads and other data and make money off them somehow in Nevada and in the Caribbean.  How you do it, we do not know.  But, we do know that a group of Smarts uses our ratings and consistently beats the books.  

This week, we are going to issue a few less choices overall, but this is because we feel the heat on us.  This has been a winning week so many times for us that we spent an extra 10 minutes or so per selection looking them over.  We found a couple of special teasers that cross over the important spread numbers.  We isolated on some money line parlays that we feel strong about.

As for our experimental Davey19 system, the biggest difference in the line and its predicted score just so happened to pop up this week.  There is a reason for this.  The oddsmakers definitely consider psychological factors when making the line.  Davey19 has no personality.  Davey is a computer program with no emotion.  

What game are we talking about?  The Iowa-Minnesota game in Iowa City has the Gophers playing on the road in a tough environment coming off their monumental home win over Penn State.  The oddsmakers have Iowa favored in this game as a trap for Minnesota.  Davey19 strictly picks games when its experimental spread differs from the line by more than 3.5 points.  Davey19 says Minnesota is a touchdown better than Iowa at Kinnick Stadium.  That’s a full 10 points different.  Minnesota might indeed suffer a letdown, but 10 points of letdown is a lot.  And, the Gophers aren’t just playing a game following an upset win.  They have a lot more to play for now.  They have the Playoffs in their sites, and for now, every game is the biggest game in school history since Sandy Stephens, Roger Hagberg, and Bobby Bell played for the #3 Gophers against #1 Iowa in 1960.  Yes, this is the biggest game in Minnesota history since they played Iowas 59 years ago and basically secured the national championship with a convincing win over the #1 team.

Without further adieu, here are our picks for the week.

 

PiRate Picks

College Money Line Parlays

 

#1–3 Games at +142

Winner

Loser

Virginia Tech

Georgia Tech

Georgia Southern

UL-Monroe

Middle Tennessee

Rice

 

#2–3 Games at +148

Winner

Loser

Marshall

Louisiana Tech

Florida

Missouri

Kansas St.

West Virginia

 

#3–4 Games at +133

Winner

Loser

Michigan

Michigan St.

Kentucky

Vanderbilt

Duke

Syracuse

Texas A&M

South Carolina

 

#4–2 Games at +134

Winner

Loser

Notre Dame

Navy

Georgia

Auburn

 

#5–3 Games at +151

Winner

Loser

Memphis

Houston

Air Force

Colorado St.

Louisville

N. Carolina St.

 

NFL 10-Point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Minnesota

Denver

0.5

Minnesota

Oakland

Cincinnati

0.5

Oakland

Chicago

LA Rams

3.5

LA Rams

 

NFL 13-Point Teaser

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Cleveland

Pittsburgh

16

Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay

New Orleans

7.5

New Orleans

Atlanta

Carolina

7.5

Carolina

Washington

N.Y. Jets

14.5

N.Y. Jets

 

Davey19

An Experimental College Football Selection System

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Fresno St.

San Diego St.

1

San Diego St.

Ball St.

Central Michigan

2.5

Ball St.

USC

California

6.5

USC

TCU

Texas Tech

3.5

Texas Tech

Southern Miss.

UTSA

17

UTSA

LSU

Ole Miss

21

Ole Miss

Iowa

Minnesota

3

Minnesota

 

 

 

October 4, 2019

PiRate Ratings Special Money Line Play(s)

Last week, our special money line parlays delivered mixed results.  If you chose to play Duke and Baylor in your upset parlay, you enjoyed a nice bonanza.  If you added or chose Kansas State or Indiana, then your imaginary investment was shredded.

We did not issue any money line parlay picks in our regular weekly picks yesterday.  We decided to save them for this post.  We just want to stress that these selections are totally off the wall long shots at odds of better than +150.  In other words, they are not likely to win, even though they always look handsome on paper.

We have chosen three college parlays and one NFL parlay this week.  Take a look.

 

Money Line Parlay #1  Odds: +160

San Diego State over Colorado State

UAB over Rice

Texas over West Virginia

Miami (Fla.) over Virginia Tech

 

 

Money Line Parlay #2  Odds: +162

Auburn over Florida

North Carolina over Georgia Tech

Maryland over Rutgers

 

 

Money Line Parlay #3  Odds: +198

Colorado over Arizona

Eastern Michigan over Central Michigan

Oklahoma State over Texas Tech

 

 

Money Line Parlay #4  Odds: +230

Chicago over Oakland

New Orleans over Tampa Bay

LA Chargers over Denver

 

 

October 3, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For October 3-7, 2019

Yet another week went by with mixed results here on the PiRate ship.  Our original picks began the weekend on a high note, as we hit on outright Money Line upsets by Duke and by Baylor.  Indiana even looked promising for awhile, before Michigan State proved too much for the Hoosiers.  Then, what we gained on Saturday, we gave back on Sunday.

The Davey19 experimental system had another successful week, bringing the total for the year back into the black.  When we use this formula, many times we look at the plays and feel apprehensive about publishing them, but they have proven to be winners so far this year.

Today, our concentration is more on the number and less on the teams involved.  Certainly, the teams involve matter, as getting 7 1/2 points for a winless team wouldn’t be worth a hoot against a top 5 team.  But, when it comes to games that are not considered blowout games, we are going to go heavy on the ones that cross multiple frequent numbers most prevalent in football outcomes.

By the way, do you know which numbers we speak of?  There are separate sets of numbers for college and for NFL games.  Let’s look at college first.

About 35% of all FBS football games end with the winner beating the loser by 3, 4, 7, 10, 14, 17, or 21 points.  Those 7 margins make up better than 1/3 of all game outcomes.  When we refer to crossing numbers, this means we can play a teaser of 6, 6 1/2, 7, 10, or 13 points and cross multiple frequent margins.

For example, let’s say that Team A is listed as a 2 1/2 point underdog to Team B.  If we were to play Team A in a 10-point teaser as part of a 3-game parlay, we’d be allowed to move that spread from 2 1/2 to 12 1/2.  Doing so crosses 3, 4, 7, and 10, four of the most frequent margins in football games.  Crossing four numbers is quite nice.  

If Team B is a favorite over Team A by 2 1/2 and you play Team A in a 6-point, 2-game teaser, you can make Team A go from a 2 1/2 point to an 8 1/2 point underdog, crossing 3, 4, and 7.  In this instance crossing three frequent margins is wonderful when only having to win two games on a parlay.

When it comes to NFL games, the frequency of margins has changed quite a bit since 2015, when the extra point attempt was moved back to the 18 yard line and more teams began going for two-point conversions.

Today’s NFL sees a lot of games decided by 5 or 6 points.  Prior to 2015, more games ended by 10 and 4 points than today.  The advantage is now more in the smart bettor’s favor than it used to be.  42% of all NFL games end with a margin of 3, 4, 5. 6, or 7 points.  So, being able to cross these five margins in a teaser is an incredible opportunity if you can find a tossup game and tease it past that magical number 7.  Or, if you think you have a team that is a sure outright winner and is favored by more than 7 points, if you can tease that number to 2 1/2 or less, you are gaining a large advantage.  Professional gambling author John Ferguson, known by the nom deplum of Stanford Wong made the Teaser play that moves through 3 and 7 point margins quite famous, and today, this is called a Wong Teaser.  Wong’s favorite teaser play was a 6-point tease of favorites of 7 1/2, 8, or 8 1/2 points down to 1 1/2, 2, or 2 1/2 points, and a 6-point tease of underdogs of 1 1/2, 2, or 2 1/2 points to 7 1/2, 8, or 8 1/2 points.

When Ferguson made big money betting these types of teasers, the books offered much fairer odds on them, until more people picked up on this and began to win too much.  Now, you can get -110 odds on 2-game, 6-point teasers.  You have to put up $11 for every $10 the books put up.  We are not in the business of advertising for any company, so we won’t tell you the name, but if you do your research, you can still find a place where a 2-game, 6-point teaser has +100 odds, which means they put up dollar for dollar what you put up.

We have heard from a few of you that anxiously await these picks to come out every Thursday morning in the Central US.  Hopefully, you heed our advice and never wager real money on our published suggestions (And if you do, maybe it is to convince you not to play the games we picked!).

Even though our Davey19 experimental program is showing a profit for the year, the number of weeks it has been tried is still too small to mean much.  Our regular system had a multi-year run of success, but this year, it stinks.  So, just because Davey19 has a multi-week run of success, it could just as easily stink this week.  

Let’s get on with it.  Here are our selections for the week.  Once again–we never wager real money on these picks.  We are math geeks, and numbers are our friends.  We will make a statement that some people have taught their children how to love math by using applications like this and others using money to teach them how important math is.

 

PiRate Ratings Picks

 

10-point Teasers

 

#1

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Duke

Pittsburgh

15

Pittsburgh

Toledo

Western Michigan

12

Western Michigan

Ole Miss

Vanderbilt

17 1/2

Vanderbilt

Our feeling on this one is that Pittsburgh is vastly underrated with close losses to Penn State and Virginia.  Their listless win over Delaware can be excused as a sandwich game between the big upset of Central Florida and the conference game with Duke.

We believe that Western Michigan has about a 55-60% chance of winning this game outright, so making Toledo a double-digit favorite entices us to take the Broncos in this one.

An admission: we typically never play either way on a game involving Vanderbilt.  Our captain has inside connections with the program, and he feels that it wouldn’t be right to issue picks either way on the Commodores.  However, this week, this game becomes a prime pick, and the Captain has no inside information here.  This is purely a comparison of personnel, as well as production so far.  The Captain says that Vanderbilt’s opening troika of games with Northern Illinois in Game 4 basically made it a certainty that they would open 1-3 and become devalued.  Ole Miss’s defense is going to suffer a letdown against the Vanderbilt offense.  The Rebels have reached that point where the players pretty much know that the season is going to head south in October and November.  Meanwhile, Vanderbilt has a gimme game next week with UNLV and will not be looking forward past the next play in this game.  Ole Miss must play at Missouri, against Texas A&M, and at Auburn the next three weeks.  With LSU and Mississippi State coming at the end of the year, the chances of making it to bowl eligibility are about 1-2%.  Vanderbilt must win this game so that the UNLV game next week really matters.  A win Saturday virtually guarantees getting back to .500 the next week and with three definitely winnable games left on the schedule.  The SEC needs one of the bottom five teams to step up and gain bowl eligibility, and unless Missouri wins their challenge to ineligibility before December, the Commodores have the most favorable path to 6-6.

 

#2

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Florida

Auburn

7 1/2

Auburn

Miami (Fla.)

Virginia Tech

4

Miami

Oklahoma St.

Texas Tech

Pk

Oklahoma St.

 

We have been looking at the Florida-Auburn game since last Saturday night.  Our statistics and schedule strength show Auburn to be a legitimate touchdown or more favorite in this game, so getting more than that magical 7 points is quite appealing.

Teasing Miami from two touchdowns to 4 points brings us through the numbers 14, 10, and 7, and until Virginia Tech looks like a team with players that care, we will always look at teasing in their opponents’ favor.

Oklahoma State should beat Texas Tech 8 out of 10 times, so we are hoping that getting the Cowboys as a Pick’em will work, and this won’t be one of those two other times.

 

#3

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Penn St.

Purdue

18

Penn St.

Iowa

Michigan

6 1/2

Michigan

Washington

Stanford

6 1/2

Washington

 

We are not the type of player that plays a 4-touchdown favorite over a conference opponent, but with Purdue’s injury issues, we almost went with Penn State in a straight play at -28 over the Boilermakers.  However, we went the safer route and teased this under 21 points.  James Franklin may call off the dogs and allow PU a backdoor cover, but 18 points feels safe.

The Iowa-Michigan game was one of those really tough calls.  We hoped Iowa would pick up a little more Sharp support being undefeated, while Michigan has not won any big games under Jim Harbaugh.  Alas,  not enough Sharp money came in on Iowa, and the margin didn’t move to the 2 1/2 points we wanted.  We still like this number giving Michigan 6 1/2 points to play with, which does move the margin through two crucial numbers.  The fact that our ratings show that Michigan has about a 60% chance of winning the game, we’ll take the 6 1/2 points like it is bonus points for the true spread.

We get to move through 14, 10, and 7 in the Washington-Stanford game, and in our analysis, we believe the Huskies can blow the Cardinal off the field.  As a matter of fact, the Davey19 formula could be used to take UW outright at -16 1/2, but it was so close that we did not include it in this week’s Davey19 picks.

 

#4

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Tulane

Army

13

Army

Kansas St.

Baylor

12

Baylor

Nebraska

Northwestern

17 1/2

Northwestern

 

Tulane has become the sexy new Group of 5 favorite among the media, especially the ladies and gentlemen at ESPN and Fox Sports.  Army has yet to fire on all cylinders this year, but we don’t see the Green Wave going to West Point and winning by two touchdowns.

The Kansas State-Baylor game is strictly a numbers’ play.  Moving 2 to 12 goes through 3, 4, 7, and 10.  We don’t particularly love Baylor’s chances of winning after the emotional home upset of Iowa State, but 12 points from 2 are too much to turn down.

The same thing applies to Nebraska and Northwestern.  Neither team looks strong enough to blow out the other.  17 1/2 moves the spread through 10, 14, and 17, and in addition, we think the Cornhuskers should be favored by about 4 points.  So, this becomes more like a 13-point tease at a 10-point price.

 

#5

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Ohio

Buffalo

13

Buffalo

Iowa St.

TCU

13

TCU

Western Kentucky

Old Dominion

13 1/2

Old Dominion

 

These three plays are 100% about the numbers and not the teams after you factor in that these games are fairly evenly matched.  Ohio has been a disappointment so far, but their schedule has been a bit more than the Bobcats could handle to this point.  Additionally, this is a major revenge game for Buffalo, and it is a must-win game if the Bulls are to remain alive in the MAC-East.  Moving the line through 4, 7, and 10 is just gravy.

Iowa State and TCU might split 10 games, so getting the Horned Frogs and 13 is another great numbers’ play.

Western Kentucky has moved up from near the bottom to near the top in the CUSA East Division race, and the big upset over UAB last week means the Hilltoppers are now a contender in the division race.  However, teams that pull off big home upsets in conference games that go on the road the next week as a road favorite in a conference game have poor records covering the spread.  WKU may win this game, but not by two touchdowns.  

 

#6

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

UTSA

UTEP

11 1/2

UTEP

North Carolina

Georgia Tech

1/2

North Carolina

Rice

UAB

1

UAB

 

UTSA and UTEP could combine their rosters and still struggle to finish 3-9, so when one of these weak teams can be forced into a double-digit situation that crosses all the lower key numbers (3, 4, 7, and 10), we jump on this one.

Teasing the Tar Heels is the only way to go in this game.  North Carolina will bounce some after falling short against Clemson, but Georgia Tech is likely to go 0-8 in ACC play this year trying to move from the triple option philosophy to the standard style of play.  That’s usually a three-year transition process.  We’ll put enough faith in Mack Brown to get his Carolina team ready enough to win this game, even if just by a couple points.

The Rice-UAB spread should probably be larger than it is, and we were enticed to look twice at playing UAB straight up.  Teasing the Blazers into an underdog is too good to pass up in this one.

 

13-point Teaser

#7

Team

Team

Total

Pick

Arizona

Cincinnati

34

Over

Minnesota

N.Y. Giants

30 1/2

Over

Tennessee

Buffalo

25 1/2

Over

San Francisco

Cleveland

33 1/2

Over

 

We had to choose one 13-point teaser and go with NFL Totals.  It can be hard to find action in a 13-point teaser of totals, but it is possible, so we are going with one.

The reasoning behind this play is that NFL games have smaller standard deviations of point totals in games.  The books have to be careful with totals that are too low in an environment where offenses have the advantage over defenses.  Thus, moving them by 13 points back in the direction where they probably need to be makes these games enticing.  Other than that, we don’t have a lot else to go on in these plays.  We chose these four games because our own internal ratings show that all four games should be played in the 38-45 point total range.

Davey19

Davey19 is a mechanical system using multiple rules that would take much too long to explain.  And, if it proves to be successful, we aren’t about to explain it to the rest of the world.

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Kansas St.

Baylor

1

Kansas St.

Eastern Michigan

Central Michigan

5 1/2

Eastern Michigan

SMU

Tulsa

13 1/2

Tulsa

Auburn

Florida

2 1/2

Auburn

LSU

Utah St.

28

Utah St.

Carolina

Jacksonville

3 1/2

Jacksonville

Kansas City

Indianapolis

11 1/2

Indianapolis

New England

Washington

15 1/2

Washington

Philadelphia

N. Y. Jets

14 1/2

N.Y. Jets

 

 

 

 

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