The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 24, 2022

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:27 am
Date1/24/2022
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1ArizonaGonzagaAuburnBaylor
2HoustonVillanovaKansasPurdue
3KentuckyLSUWisconsinDuke
4IllinoisTexas TechUCLAXavier
5Michigan St.TennesseeAlabamaOhio St.
6ConnecticutTexasUSCProvidence
7BYULoyola (Chi.)Seton HallIowa St.
8MarquetteWake ForestNorth CarolinaIowa
9Colorado St.Saint Mary’sIndianaSan Francisco
10San Diego St.FloridaDavidsonMurray St.
11OregonFlorida St.Miami (Fla.)TCU
12UABChattanoogaMichiganCreightonVirginia TechWyoming
13IonaToledoVermontSouth Dakota St.
14WagnerNew Mexico St.TowsonOakland
15LibertyPrincetonSouth AlabamaUC-Riverside
16NavyMontana St.Texas SouthernLongwoodNorfolk St.Texas A&M-CC

Best of the Rest

69Boise St.
70Arkansas
71Texas A&M
72Mississippi St.
73Cincinnati
74Saint Louis
75Missouri St.
76Belmont

January 22, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Saturday, January 22, 2022

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 5:00 am
HomeVisitorsSpread
DukeSyracuse12.6
GeorgetownVillanova-14.5
Texas TechWest Virginia8.1
St. John’sSeton Hall-4.1
Boston CollegeVirginia Tech-7.5
MaineMaryland-Baltimore Co.-7.1
IUPUINorthern Kentucky-12.4
NortheasternHofstra-2.7
MinnesotaRutgers2.9
Rhode IslandGeorge Washington15.8
AuburnKentucky2.7
BostonLehigh10.8
New HampshireUMass Lowell4.0
Green BayOakland-11.7
Indiana St.Valparaiso3.3
VMIChattanooga-5.0
DelawareElon8.8
FloridaVanderbilt8.5
NavyArmy9.9
TexasOklahoma St.6.7
Holy CrossBucknell0.6
Central FloridaTulane8.2
Loyola (MD)American9.3
Middle TennesseeSouthern Miss.12.3
RadfordUNC Asheville-0.7
WinthropGardner-Webb3.9
Miami (Fla.)Florida St.1.2
DartmouthPrinceton-3.3
CornellHarvard0.9
ColumbiaBrown-9.9
Georgia St.Coastal Carolina1.3
FordhamDavidson-8.7
TowsonUNC Wilmington12.9
DrexelWilliam & Mary16.4
Western MichiganBowling Green-7.1
Air ForceColorado St.-11.8
LipscombKennesaw St.-2.2
VCUSaint Joseph’s10.6
OklahomaBaylor-4.8
Florida A&MAlcorn St.-1.5
RiceCharlotte4.3
Stephen F. AustinNew Mexico St.0.1
Sam HoustonGrand Canyon-2.1
PresbyterianLongwood-3.9
MilwaukeeDetroit-0.7
Arkansas St.Texas St.0.1
Little RockUT Arlington-3.1
Louisiana MonroeSouth Alabama-3.7
Georgia SouthernAppalachian St.-0.7
Western IllinoisSouth Dakota St.-6.5
UNLVSan Jose St.14.4
Loyola (Chi.)Missouri St.7.3
GramblingMississippi Valley St.15.2
Miami (O)Northern Illinois11.8
South CarolinaGeorgia9.4
Kansas St.Kansas-7.4
Iowa St.TCU6.0
Bethune-CookmanJackson St.-5.1
Morgan St.Howard-3.6
Nicholls St.SE Louisiana8.6
Long Beach St.UC Irvine-5.6
Morehead St.SIU Edwardsville11.2
Tennessee St.Austin Peay1.0
Maryland-Eastern ShoreSouth Carolina St.4.3
Louisiana TechUAB-1.5
Florida AtlanticMarshall5.1
Northern ArizonaMontana-6.8
Southern UtahIdaho St.15.8
Utah ValleyLamar17.4
Abilene ChristianCalifornia Baptist6.7
HamptonHigh Point-8.0
USC UpstateCharleston Southern9.6
LouisvilleNotre Dame1.2
NC St.Virginia1.0
PennsylvaniaYale-2.1
Jacksonville St.Florida Gulf Coast0.9
DenverOmaha6.4
East Tennessee St.The Citadel7.7
James MadisonCharleston3.3
Mississippi St.Mississippi9.5
Eastern IllinoisSoutheast Missouri St.-4.9
Delaware St.North Carolina Central-9.1
Texas A&M-CCHouston Baptist13.3
North AlabamaStetson3.7
La SalleRichmond-7.3
IowaPenn St.9.0
IdahoSacramento St.-1.1
Eastern WashingtonNorthern Colorado1.4
New OrleansNorthwestern St.8.7
Incarnate WordMcNeese-4.3
North Carolina A&TCampbell-1.4
UNC GreensboroSamford7.0
MercerWestern Carolina9.2
CreightonDePaul6.1
HoustonEast Carolina21.3
TennesseeLSU1.2
SouthernArkansas-Pine Bluff16.1
Norfolk St.Coppin St.6.9
North TexasOld Dominion10.5
ClemsonPittsburgh10.7
Northern IowaDrake2.8
AlabamaMissouri17.9
UtahUSC-5.4
Prairie View A&MAlabama St.6.2
Texas SouthernAlabama A&M13.0
Florida InternationalWestern Kentucky-5.3
AlbanyStony Brook0.1
VermontHartford16.6
NJITBinghamton2.2
Eastern KentuckyNorth Florida7.9
BellarmineJacksonville4.3
George MasonDayton-2.3
WoffordFurman1.9
AkronEastern Michigan11.4
PepperdineSan Francisco-14.4
WyomingNew Mexico13.1
Murray St.UT Martin23.2
Tarleton St.Seattle-0.5
Wake ForestNorth Carolina1.3
Illinois-ChicagoWright St.-0.9
LouisianaTroy3.0
BradleySouthern Illinois4.0
Oral RobertsNorth Dakota St.7.0
UMKCNorth Dakota12.0
St. ThomasSouth Dakota0.6
PacificSan Diego-2.2
ArkansasTexas A&M6.6
ColoradoUCLA-6.2
Cal St. FullertonUC San Diego8.4
Dixie St.UT Rio Grande Valley1.1
BYUPortland19.3
San Diego St.Boise St.4.5
Cal PolyHawaii-5.8
Cal St. NorthridgeUC Riverside-7.7
Portland St.Montana St.-3.1
Loyola MarymountSaint Mary’s-6.8
StanfordArizona St.5.7

Great Slate Of Games On TV Today

Time (ET)NetworkHomeVisitors
12:00 PMESPN2Texas TechWest Va.
1:00 PMCBSAuburnKentucky
1:30 PMCBSSNNavyArmy
2:00 PMESPNMiami (Fla.)Florida St.
3:00 PMESPN+OklahomaBaylor
3:30 PMCBSSNLoyola (Chi.)Missouri St.
4:00 PMESPN+Kansas St.Kansas
4:00 PMESPN2Iowa St.TCU
4:00 PMESPNUMississippi St.Ole Miss
6:00 PMESPNTennesseeLSU
8:00 PMACCNWake ForestNorth Carolina
8:30 PMSECNArkansasTexas A&M
9:30 PMCBSSNSan Diego St.Boise St.

January 21, 2022

PiRate Ratings Bracketology

Date1/21/2022
SeedTeamTeamTeamTeamTeamTeam
1ArizonaGonzagaHoustonBaylor
2AuburnVillanovaKansasKentucky
3PurdueLSUIllinoisTennessee
4DukeTexas TechConnecticutXavier
5WisconsinTexasUCLAOhio St.
6Loyola (Chi.)AlabamaIowaIowa St.
7Michigan St.USCIndianaSeton Hall
8MarquetteOklahomaFloridaProvidence
9BYUSan Diego St.North CarolinaMiami (Fla.)
10Colorado St.DavidsonCreightonWake Forest
11Saint Mary’sBoise St.West VirginiaOregonFlorida St.
12Murray St.UABChattanoogaTCUSan Francisco
13IonaVermontOhioTowson
14WagnerGrand CanyonSouth Dakota St.Oakland
15LibertyTexas St.UC-IrvinePrinceton
16NavyMontana St.LongwoodNorfolk St.Texas A&M-CCTexas Southern

Last Four Byes: Wake Forest, Saint Mary’s, Boise St., West Virginia

Last Four In: Oregon, Florida St., TCU, San Francisco

First Four Out: Wyoming, Mississippi St., Texas A&M, Michigan

Next Four Out: Belmont, Arkansas, Dayton, Fresno St.

January 18, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Basketball–Tuesday, January 18, 2022

HomeVisitorsSpread
Saint Peter’sCanisius7.4
West VirginiaBaylor-6.5
AkronWestern Michigan16.2
OklahomaKansas-4.0
Ohio St.IUPUI34.9
ConnecticutButler14.2
DaytonSt. Bonaventure0.8
MonmouthIona-0.9
VCUDavidson0.8
ManhattanNiagara-0.8
East CarolinaCentral Florida-4.6
Miami (Fla.)North Carolina-3.9
StetsonFlorida Gulf Coast-3.0
LibertyJacksonville8.2
Eastern KentuckyLipscomb6.9
BellarmineNorth Alabama7.0
Eastern MichiganKent St.-3.7
ToledoBall St.14.9
Miami (O)Ohio-1.2
ArkansasSouth Carolina10.1
MississippiMissouri9.1
MichiganMaryland7.7
HoustonSouth Florida24.1
EvansvilleLoyola (Chi.)-15.7
FordhamRichmond-5.3
Central ArkansasJacksonville St.-12.5
Northern IllinoisBowling Green-6.1
TexasKansas St.10.0
Florida St.Duke-4.8
NorthwesternWisconsin-0.5
Texas TechIowa St.6.3
VanderbiltTennessee-7.1
SyracuseClemson1.5
Boise St.Air Force18.2
Cal St. BakersfieldCal Poly6.7
Fresno St.Utah St.1.3

September 22, 2021

PiRate Picks For September 23-27, 2021

A Weekend of Despair

We hope you have read numerous times on this site that we do not wager real money on the selections you see here in this weekly feature. We always encourage you to do the same. It is for this reason that we were able to sleep peacefully this week after the incredibly unlucky fortunes that destroyed what could have been a second incredibly successful weekend.

The weekend started out with a nice parlay win as Kansas State beat Nevada and Troy beat Southern Miss. to return a nice $282 on our imaginary $100 wager. The combo parlay with one college game and one pro game was next. Mississippi State had to beat Memphis, and they should have done so. The officials in the game admitted to making a major mistake in the game, and there was a blatant oversight on the same play. Memphis scored the decisive touchdown returning a punt that had already been signaled as dead by the back judge. At the same time, the punt returner wore number four. Nothing wrong with that, but he was not the only number four in the game for the Tigers. Had the mistake not been made, Mississippi State wins the game, and when Denver won the next day, that parlay would have been a winner of $226.42 on the imaginary $100 wagered to guarantee a winning weekend.

On Sunday, Seattle led Tennessee by two touchdowns in the fourth quarter, and Kansas City led Baltimore by 11 in the fourth quarter. The other parts of the final two parlays had already won. Tennessee scored twice to tie the Seahawks where they went on to win in overtime to kill one parlay, and Baltimore pulled off a minor miracle to beat Kansas City by a point to kill the other one.

Even with the three heartbreakers losing, we are out nothing. No stress means we can return to picking games this week with the same imaginary bank account that never runs out of $100 investment opportunities.

When the opening lines came out, we immediately spotted a huge mistake in one college game. It was the spread in the Georgia-Vanderbilt game, as it opened at 30 1/2 or 31 depending on the books in question. The bookmakers made a big mistake, and within five minutes, that spread had moved to 35. The mistake they made was assuming that Vanderbilt would get about three points for home field advantage. SEC fans and bettors know that Georgia fans will make Vanderbilt Stadium a sea of red. Somewhere either side of 90% will be rooting for the Bulldogs, making this a home game on their opponent’s field. Vanderbilt’s quarterbacks will have to use hand signals on their home field. Georgia is really the home team, and poof, the line may still be low at 35. We don’t issue straight wagers against the line these days. But, we came oh so close to issuing a special bulletin Sunday night when we saw that incredibly low number.

We spent a couple hours looking over the money lines this week looking for certain in-house data to come up with the games we wanted to play. This was a difficult week, because we didn’t particularly like the schedule in either college or pro football. In the end, in order to get our parlays up above +120, we had to go with multiple very long shot combinations at very large odds.

We are going with five selections this week, one of which is not a parlay, but just one single upset pick. Three of our parlays include three games each; we prefer to play two-game parlays, especially when using NFL teams, where it is hard to pick the winners of three games all that often. So, when you look at these picks below, realize they are long shots. Please don’t wager real money on these games unless you have other research data that our selections merely verify.

This Week’s Parlays

Date:Sept 23-27
Odds:+205
Must WinOpponent
Kansas St.Oklahoma St.

Odds:+259.50
Must WinOpponent
Eastern MichiganTexas St.
Michigan St.Nebraska
MemphisUTSA

Odds:+217.69
Must WinOpponent
Michigan St.Nebraska
Boston CollegeMissouri

Odds:+157.86
Must WinOpponent
CarolinaHouston
Kansas CityLA Chargers
Las VegasMiami

Odds:+208.86
Must WinOpponent
ArizonaJacksonville
BuffaloWashington
SeattleMinnesota

March 29, 2021

PiRate Ratings Elite 8 Spreads

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 10:38 am
FavoriteUnderdogSpread
HoustonOregon St.9.0
BaylorArkansas5.1
GonzagaUSC9.3
MichiganUCLA6.4

PiRate Ratings Bracketnomics Update

Houston, Baylor, Gonzaga, and Michigan are the four remaining teams that possess the analytics criteria that 93% of the last 30 national champions possessed. Gonzaga and Michigan have the overall best criteria, but most of Michigan’s statistical outcomes includes injured star Isaiah Livers. Houston lacks overall schedule strength, but a win tonight over Oregon State and then a Final Four win over Baylor would give the Cougars the last needed piece of the puzzle in a national title game. Baylor misses on only one main criteria point as well as a couple minor points.

Obviously, the Pac-12 strength of schedules needed to be tweeked upward by a few points, and the Covid issues probably disguised the league’s resurrection. The Big Ten and Big 12 were overrated this year, while the SEC and ACC were somewhat overrated. The fact that the Elite 8 has three Pac-12 teams, and one team each from the Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, West Coast, and American Athletic speaks a lot about the balance in basketball this year. The Western half of the country was the better half this year for the first time in more than a decade, maybe in the 21st Century.

March 21, 2021

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament Spreads

Sunday, March 21, 2021

FavoriteUnderdogSpread
BaylorWisconsin5.4
VillanovaNorth Texas5.7
ArkansasTexas Tech1.9
FloridaOral Roberts9.9
IllinoisLoyola (Chi.)6.2
Oklahoma St.Oregon St.5.6
West VirginiaSyracuse2.8
HoustonRutgers7.1

March 19, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Friday, March 19, 2021

FavoriteUnderdogSpread
BaylorHartford22.0
WisconsinNorth Carolina0.3
VillanovaWinthrop8.1
PurdueNorth Texas7.4
Texas TechUtah St.2.3
ArkansasColgate8.4
FloridaVirginia Tech2.1
Ohio St.Oral Roberts16.1
IllinoisDrexel20.5
Loyola (Chi.)Georgia Tech2.7
TennesseeOregon St.7.6
Oklahoma St.Liberty8.2
San Diego St.Syracuse2.8
West VirginiaMorehead St.11.6
RutgersClemson1.9
HoustonCleveland St.17.9

February 24, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
DavidsonSt. Bonaventure-1.0
George MasonGeorge Washington6.5
Saint Joseph’sDayton-8.8
La SalleDuquesne-4.3
South FloridaTemple3.8
MemphisTulane11.7
TulsaCincinnati1.2
Wake ForestClemson-6.0
VirginiaNC St.8.7
Miami (Fla.)Florida St.-12.5
North CarolinaMarquette8.9
ButlerSeton Hall-6.7
CreightonDePaul13.6
ProvidenceXavier-0.8
Southern UtahNorthern Arizona11.8
LongwoodHampton8.8
RutgersIndiana3.1
Ball St.Kent St.-4.6
UNC CentralNorth Carolina A&T2.8
Norfolk StDelaware St.14.2
Air ForceNew Mexico0.1
UNLVFresno St.5.8
Boston UniversityHoly Cross5.4
Loyola (MD)American3.6
Mississippi St.South Carolina3.5
ArkansasAlabama-2.0
VanderbiltTennessee-6.8
FurmanThe Citadel12.8
MercerChattanooga2.5
UNCGWestern Carolina11.9
Northwestern St.Stephen F. Austin-7.4
SE LouisianaMcNeese4.2
Texas A&M-CCNew Orleans-0.4
NichollsHouston Baptist10.5
Incarnate WordLamar4.5
Abilene ChristianSam Houston St.8.1
SouthernAlabama A&M6.4
Alcorn St.Alabama St.5.7

February 16, 2021

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Spreads

February 16, 2021

HomeVisitorSpread
Rhode IslandDayton3.1
Saint LouisLa Salle14.1
TulsaTemple3.9
Oklahoma St.Iowa St.12.0
ConnecticutProvidence4.4
St. John’sXavier0.3
MarylandNebraska8.9
PurdueMichigan St.6.3
IllinoisNorthwestern11.8
GeorgiaMissouri-3.6
ArkansasFlorida2.8
Santa ClaraLoyola Marymount-0.7
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