The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 23, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 27-29, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
North Carolina St.Virginia Tech21.119.822.3
Southern Miss.Louisiana-2.2-2.1-3.4
Washington St.Utah-10.2-8.9-10.9
BYUEast Carolina4.02.82.7
Florida Int’l.Louisiana Tech-10.3-9.0-10.6
NebraskaIllinois-6.0-6.9-6.4
ConnecticutBoston College-12.4-12.1-12.7
MarshallCoastal Carolina5.65.65.1
MassachusettsNew Mexico St.-0.1-1.4-1.4
AkronMiami (O)-12.5-13.8-14.3
South CarolinaMissouri10.39.711.7
TennesseeKentucky14.013.713.9
West VirginiaTCU-10.0-9.2-9.9
Florida St.Georgia Tech21.421.223.1
Penn St.Ohio St.-13.5-12.6-14.6
LouisvilleWake Forest2.11.41.0
SyracuseNotre Dame2.63.51.9
MichiganMichigan St.17.617.919.3
VirginiaMiami (Fla.)-4.6-3.7-5.4
Central FloridaCincinnati-0.50.7-1.0
IowaNorthwestern19.016.718.4
Eastern MichiganToledo-9.6-10.2-11.2
Georgia St.Old Dominion4.23.75.8
North CarolinaPittsburgh0.92.32.5
MinnesotaRutgers16.416.318.7
Arkansas St.South Alabama-6.0-5.2-6.5
Iowa St.Oklahoma1.52.41.7
ColoradoArizona St.-11.3-12.8-13.0
Boise St.Colorado St.23.822.424.7
RiceCharlotte12.812.213.4
ArizonaUSC-14.0-14.8-15.6
Fresno St.San Diego St.10.510.411.0
UCLAStanford10.412.413.2
CaliforniaOregon-14.4-13.8-13.6
HoustonSouth Florida13.013.614.3
TulsaSMU-6.0-5.8-6.2
Kansas St.Oklahoma St.-2.7-2.6-3.0
Texas TechBaylor1.01.12.3
Texas A&MOle Miss0.01.92.2
AuburnArkansas-5.0-4.9-6.5
NavyTemple17.214.818.4
Western KentuckyNorth Texas14.214.614.8
GeorgiaFlorida26.123.326.8
HawaiiWyoming-10.5-10.9-11.0
Florida AtlanticUAB-7.7-7.0-9.4
UTEPMiddle Tennessee3.12.62.4
San Jose St.Nevada16.815.918.8

Note: Georgia vs. Florida is neutral site game in Jacksonville

FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

FBSFCSPiRate
Appalachian St.Robert Morris43.8

Teams With Bye Weeks

Air Force
Alabama
Army
Ball St.
Bowling Green
Buffalo
Central Michigan
Clemson
Duke
Georgia Southern
Indiana
James Madison
Kansas
Kent St.
Liberty
Louisiana-Monroe
LSU
Maryland
Memphis
Mississippi St.
New Mexico
Northern Illinois
Ohio
Oregon St.
Purdue
Texas
Texas St.
Troy
Tulane
UNLV
Utah St.
UTSA
Vanderbilt
Washington
Western Michigan
Wisconsin

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Ohio St.134.7
2Georgia132.0
3Alabama130.2
4Michigan126.3
5Tennessee123.1
6Clemson119.7
7Penn St.118.2
8Oklahoma St.118.0
9Utah117.3
10T C U115.9
11L S U115.6
12Texas115.6
13Oregon115.3
14Mississippi St.114.8
15Minnesota114.1
16Arkansas114.0
17Wisconsin113.9
18Purdue113.8
19U S C113.8
20NC State113.6
21Baylor113.3
22Ole Miss113.1
23Florida St.112.5
24Kansas St.112.2
25Kentucky112.2
26Wake Forest112.1
27Illinois112.1
28Texas Tech111.7
29Texas A&M111.5
30U C L A111.4
31Notre Dame110.8
32Maryland110.8
33Oklahoma110.7
34Louisville110.6
35Syracuse110.5
36Cincinnati110.3
37South Carolina110.2
38Iowa109.9
39Pittsburgh109.7
40Iowa St.109.6
41Michigan St.109.5
42Oregon St.109.3
43North Carolina108.6
44Washington107.7
45UCF107.1
46Florida106.6
47Auburn105.5
48Miami (Fla.)105.3
49Washington St.104.3
50Tulane103.4
51Boise St.103.2
52West Virginia103.2
53BYU103.1
54East Carolina102.9
55Houston102.7
56Nebraska102.6
57Missouri102.6
58Arizona St.102.6
59Kansas102.6
60Stanford102.4
61SMU102.3
62Air Force102.3
63Liberty100.4
64W. Kentucky100.2
65Rutgers100.0
66Fresno St.99.6
67Appalachian St.99.1
68Indiana98.7
69Toledo98.5
70California98.3
71U A B98.2
72Duke98.1
73Virginia97.7
74Memphis97.5
75U T S A97.0
76Boston College96.3
77San Jose St.96.1
78James Madison96.0
79Arizona96.0
80Troy95.7
81Virginia Tech95.5
82Marshall95.4
83Northwestern94.8
84Army94.6
85Georgia St.94.3
86Louisiana94.3
87Tulsa93.8
88N. Illinois93.6
89Georgia Tech93.6
90Coastal Carolina93.0
91Ga. Southern92.9
92South Alabama92.8
93Buffalo92.8
94Old Dominion92.2
95Vanderbilt92.1
96USF92.1
97San Diego St.92.0
98Navy91.7
99Miami (Ohio)90.2
100Ohio89.9
101Utah St.89.9
102Wyoming89.3
103Kent St.89.3
104Southern Miss.89.2
105Central Mich.88.6
106North Texas88.2
107Florida Atlantic87.7
108Colorado87.2
109Western Mich.87.1
110U N L V87.1
111Bowling Green86.2
112U T E P86.0
113Rice85.9
114Middle Tennessee85.8
115Eastern Mich.85.7
116Ball St.85.2
117Arkansas St.84.4
118Texas St.83.5
119Colorado St.82.6
120UL-Monroe81.7
121Nevada81.5
122Connecticut81.4
123Louisiana Tech80.9
124New Mexico78.0
125Temple77.5
126Charlotte75.6
127Akron75.2
128Hawaii75.0
129New Mexico St.73.9
130Massachusetts70.4
131Florida Int’l.68.4

Note: We have been receiving a large number of comments concerning the ratings, almost all from newcomers to his site. The overwhelming question most asked is why a team is ranked ahead of a team that beat them and is ahead of them in the conference standings. To those new to this site, our ratings are not rankings like the AP and Coaches’ polls. We are not grading teams based on what they have done so far . Our goal is to predict the future. Thus Alabama is rated ahead of Tennessee because it is this system’s prediction that the Tide would beat the Vols on a neutral field if they were to play this week.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati110.2109.6111.2110.3
UCF106.7107.3107.2107.1
Tulane103.4103.1103.6103.4
East Carolina102.8102.5103.4102.9
Houston102.8102.1103.1102.7
SMU102.6101.8102.5102.3
Memphis97.697.897.197.5
Tulsa94.193.593.893.8
USF92.891.691.992.1
Navy92.291.591.591.7
Temple77.579.275.677.5

AAC98.498.298.398.3

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.7119.5119.8119.7
NC State114.2113.1113.5113.6
Florida St.112.7112.3112.5112.5
Wake Forest112.0112.1112.2112.1
Louisville111.2110.5110.2110.6
Syracuse111.0110.2110.2110.5
Boston College96.497.295.296.3

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh110.8109.6108.8109.7
North Carolina108.7108.9108.3108.6
Miami (Fla.)106.0105.1104.8105.3
Duke97.999.896.598.1
Virginia98.498.496.497.7
Virginia Tech96.196.294.395.5
Georgia Tech94.494.192.493.6

ACC106.4106.2105.4106.0

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma St.118.6117.2118.2118.0
T C U116.6115.3115.9115.9
Texas116.5115.5114.7115.6
Baylor113.9112.7113.2113.3
Kansas St.112.9111.6112.2112.2
Texas Tech111.8110.8112.5111.7
Oklahoma111.2110.1110.8110.7
Iowa St.109.7109.5109.5109.6
West Virginia103.6103.1103.0103.2
Kansas103.7102.4101.7102.6

Big 12111.8110.8111.2111.3

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.134.9133.8135.6134.7
Michigan126.6125.7126.5126.3
Penn St.118.4118.2118.0118.2
Maryland111.2111.0110.2110.8
Michigan St.110.5109.3108.8109.5
Rutgers101.2100.398.4100.0
Indiana99.798.997.498.7

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota114.6113.6114.1114.1
Wisconsin114.3113.9113.4113.9
Purdue114.7113.8112.9113.8
Illinois112.2112.8111.3112.1
Iowa111.0109.7108.9109.9
Nebraska103.2102.9101.9102.6
Northwestern95.095.993.594.8

Big Ten112.0111.4110.8111.4

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky99.699.6101.4100.2
U A B97.897.999.098.2
U T S A97.296.397.497.0
North Texas87.987.589.188.2
Florida Atlantic87.688.487.187.7
U T E P86.086.085.986.0
Rice85.885.985.985.9
Middle Tennessee85.485.986.085.8
Louisiana Tech80.881.880.080.9
Charlotte75.576.275.075.6
Florida Int’l.68.070.366.968.4

CUSA86.586.986.786.7

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame111.4109.7111.4110.8
BYU103.8102.2103.2103.1
Liberty99.5100.8101.0100.4
Army94.594.794.794.6
Connecticut81.582.680.081.4
New Mexico St.73.475.372.973.9
Massachusetts70.771.569.070.4

Independents90.791.090.390.7

Mid-American Conference

East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Buffalo91.493.793.592.8
Miami (Ohio)89.191.190.490.2
Ohio88.690.790.389.9
Kent St.88.790.488.989.3
Bowling Green86.386.086.286.2
Akron75.175.874.675.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo97.698.899.198.5
N. Illinois93.493.893.693.6
Central Mich.87.388.989.588.6
Western Mich.86.687.587.287.1
Eastern Mich.85.586.185.485.7
Ball St.84.885.985.085.2

MAC87.989.188.688.5

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.103.1102.5104.1103.2
Air Force102.1101.9102.8102.3
Utah St.89.789.890.189.9
Wyoming88.290.189.789.3
Colorado St.82.383.282.482.6
New Mexico78.578.477.178.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.99.699.1100.299.6
San Jose St.95.496.096.996.1
San Diego St.92.191.692.192.0
U N L V87.686.087.687.1
Nevada81.282.680.681.5
Hawaii74.375.775.275.0

MWC89.589.789.989.7

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah117.1116.4118.6117.3
Oregon115.5115.0115.4115.3
U S C113.0113.7114.6113.8
U C L A110.9110.9112.4111.4
Oregon St.109.4108.7109.9109.3
Washington107.4107.6108.0107.7
Washington St.103.9104.4104.7104.3
Arizona St.102.4102.2103.2102.6
Stanford103.5101.5102.2102.4
California98.198.198.898.3
Arizona96.095.996.096.0
Colorado88.186.487.287.2

Pac-12105.4105.1105.9105.5

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia132.2130.9133.0132.0
Tennessee122.8122.9123.6123.1
Kentucky111.7112.2112.7112.2
South Carolina110.2109.8110.6110.2
Florida106.1107.6106.2106.6
Missouri102.8103.1101.9102.6
Vanderbilt92.392.991.192.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.0129.3131.2130.2
L S U115.9115.4115.4115.6
Mississippi St.115.5114.3114.8114.8
Arkansas114.5112.9114.6114.0
Ole Miss114.1112.6112.7113.1
Texas A&M111.1111.5111.9111.5
Auburn106.5105.0105.0105.5

SEC113.3112.9113.2113.1

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.97.999.2100.199.1
James Madison94.295.898.096.0
Marshall94.895.895.695.4
Georgia St.93.893.595.694.3
Coastal Carolina92.393.293.593.0
Ga. Southern92.492.593.892.9
Old Dominion92.192.392.392.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy94.895.696.895.7
Louisiana93.594.095.394.3
South Alabama92.292.793.692.8
Southern Miss.88.889.489.589.2
Arkansas St.83.785.084.684.4
Texas St.82.683.983.983.5
UL-Monroe81.682.081.681.7

Sun Belt91.191.892.591.8

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.1
2Big Ten111.4
3Big 12111.3
4Atlantic Coast106.0
5Pac-12105.5
6American Athletic98.3
7Sun Belt91.8
8Independents90.7
9Mountain West89.7
10Mid-American88.5
11Conference USA86.7

Bowl & Playoff Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUTSABuffalo
CureTroyLiberty
FenwaySyracuseTulane
New MexicoNorth TexasWyoming
L.A.UtahBoise St.
Lending TreeMiami (O)South Alabama
Las VegasUSCArkansas
FriscoUtah St.Kansas
Myrtle BeachMarshallIowa St.
Famous Idaho PotatoToledoSan Jose St.
Boca RatonCoastal CarolinaAir Force
New OrleansUTEPLousiana
Armed ForcesHoustonWestern Kentucky
IndependenceSMUAppalachian St.
GasparillaFloridaEast Carolina
HawaiiUABFresno St.
Quick LaneEastern MichiganArmy
CamelliaBowling GreenSouthern Miss.
First ResponderStanfordBYU
BirminghamLouisvilleGeorgia Southern
Guaranteed RateTexas TechWisconsin
MilitaryDukeCentral Florida
LibertyBaylorOle Miss
HolidayVirginiaWashington
TexasOklahomaMississippi St.
PinstripeNotre DameNebraska
Cheez-ItTexasNorth Carolina St.
AlamoKansas St.UCLA
Duke’s MayoWake ForestMaryland
Tony the Tiger SunPittsburghOregon St.
ArizonaOhio USan Diego St.
OrangeAlabamaNorth Carolina
Music CityMinnesotaTexas A&M
SugarTennesseeOklahoma St.
TaxSlayerFlorida St.South Carolina
PeachGeorgiaClemson
FiestaOhio St.TCU
Tampa BayPurdueKentucky
CitrusIllinoisLSU
CottonPenn St.Cincinnati
RoseOregonMichigan
National ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

Note: For the first time this year more than 82 FBS teams were projected to be bowl eligible, and no 5-7 teams made this list. Five projected bowl eligible teams were omitted from this projection: Ball St., Middle Tennessee, Rice, UNLV, and Western Michigan.

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