PiRate Ratings College Football–October 27-29, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
North Carolina St.	Virginia Tech	21.1	19.8	22.3
Southern Miss.	Louisiana	-2.2	-2.1	-3.4
Washington St.	Utah	-10.2	-8.9	-10.9
BYU	East Carolina	4.0	2.8	2.7
Florida Int’l.	Louisiana Tech	-10.3	-9.0	-10.6
Nebraska	Illinois	-6.0	-6.9	-6.4
Connecticut	Boston College	-12.4	-12.1	-12.7
Marshall	Coastal Carolina	5.6	5.6	5.1
Massachusetts	New Mexico St.	-0.1	-1.4	-1.4
Akron	Miami (O)	-12.5	-13.8	-14.3
South Carolina	Missouri	10.3	9.7	11.7
Tennessee	Kentucky	14.0	13.7	13.9
West Virginia	TCU	-10.0	-9.2	-9.9
Florida St.	Georgia Tech	21.4	21.2	23.1
Penn St.	Ohio St.	-13.5	-12.6	-14.6
Louisville	Wake Forest	2.1	1.4	1.0
Syracuse	Notre Dame	2.6	3.5	1.9
Michigan	Michigan St.	17.6	17.9	19.3
Virginia	Miami (Fla.)	-4.6	-3.7	-5.4
Central Florida	Cincinnati	-0.5	0.7	-1.0
Iowa	Northwestern	19.0	16.7	18.4
Eastern Michigan	Toledo	-9.6	-10.2	-11.2
Georgia St.	Old Dominion	4.2	3.7	5.8
North Carolina	Pittsburgh	0.9	2.3	2.5
Minnesota	Rutgers	16.4	16.3	18.7
Arkansas St.	South Alabama	-6.0	-5.2	-6.5
Iowa St.	Oklahoma	1.5	2.4	1.7
Colorado	Arizona St.	-11.3	-12.8	-13.0
Boise St.	Colorado St.	23.8	22.4	24.7
Rice	Charlotte	12.8	12.2	13.4
Arizona	USC	-14.0	-14.8	-15.6
Fresno St.	San Diego St.	10.5	10.4	11.0
UCLA	Stanford	10.4	12.4	13.2
California	Oregon	-14.4	-13.8	-13.6
Houston	South Florida	13.0	13.6	14.3
Tulsa	SMU	-6.0	-5.8	-6.2
Kansas St.	Oklahoma St.	-2.7	-2.6	-3.0
Texas Tech	Baylor	1.0	1.1	2.3
Texas A&M	Ole Miss	0.0	1.9	2.2
Auburn	Arkansas	-5.0	-4.9	-6.5
Navy	Temple	17.2	14.8	18.4
Western Kentucky	North Texas	14.2	14.6	14.8
Georgia	Florida	26.1	23.3	26.8
Hawaii	Wyoming	-10.5	-10.9	-11.0
Florida Atlantic	UAB	-7.7	-7.0	-9.4
UTEP	Middle Tennessee	3.1	2.6	2.4
San Jose St.	Nevada	16.8	15.9	18.8

Note: Georgia vs. Florida is neutral site game in Jacksonville

FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Appalachian St.	Robert Morris	43.8

Teams With Bye Weeks

Air Force

Alabama

Army

Ball St.

Bowling Green

Buffalo

Central Michigan

Clemson

Duke

Georgia Southern

Indiana

James Madison

Kansas

Kent St.

Liberty

Louisiana-Monroe

LSU

Maryland

Memphis

Mississippi St.

New Mexico

Northern Illinois

Ohio

Oregon St.

Purdue

Texas

Texas St.

Troy

Tulane

UNLV

Utah St.

UTSA

Vanderbilt

Washington

Western Michigan

Wisconsin

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	134.7
2	Georgia	132.0
3	Alabama	130.2
4	Michigan	126.3
5	Tennessee	123.1
6	Clemson	119.7
7	Penn St.	118.2
8	Oklahoma St.	118.0
9	Utah	117.3
10	T C U	115.9
11	L S U	115.6
12	Texas	115.6
13	Oregon	115.3
14	Mississippi St.	114.8
15	Minnesota	114.1
16	Arkansas	114.0
17	Wisconsin	113.9
18	Purdue	113.8
19	U S C	113.8
20	NC State	113.6
21	Baylor	113.3
22	Ole Miss	113.1
23	Florida St.	112.5
24	Kansas St.	112.2
25	Kentucky	112.2
26	Wake Forest	112.1
27	Illinois	112.1
28	Texas Tech	111.7
29	Texas A&M	111.5
30	U C L A	111.4
31	Notre Dame	110.8
32	Maryland	110.8
33	Oklahoma	110.7
34	Louisville	110.6
35	Syracuse	110.5
36	Cincinnati	110.3
37	South Carolina	110.2
38	Iowa	109.9
39	Pittsburgh	109.7
40	Iowa St.	109.6
41	Michigan St.	109.5
42	Oregon St.	109.3
43	North Carolina	108.6
44	Washington	107.7
45	UCF	107.1
46	Florida	106.6
47	Auburn	105.5
48	Miami (Fla.)	105.3
49	Washington St.	104.3
50	Tulane	103.4
51	Boise St.	103.2
52	West Virginia	103.2
53	BYU	103.1
54	East Carolina	102.9
55	Houston	102.7
56	Nebraska	102.6
57	Missouri	102.6
58	Arizona St.	102.6
59	Kansas	102.6
60	Stanford	102.4
61	SMU	102.3
62	Air Force	102.3
63	Liberty	100.4
64	W. Kentucky	100.2
65	Rutgers	100.0
66	Fresno St.	99.6
67	Appalachian St.	99.1
68	Indiana	98.7
69	Toledo	98.5
70	California	98.3
71	U A B	98.2
72	Duke	98.1
73	Virginia	97.7
74	Memphis	97.5
75	U T S A	97.0
76	Boston College	96.3
77	San Jose St.	96.1
78	James Madison	96.0
79	Arizona	96.0
80	Troy	95.7
81	Virginia Tech	95.5
82	Marshall	95.4
83	Northwestern	94.8
84	Army	94.6
85	Georgia St.	94.3
86	Louisiana	94.3
87	Tulsa	93.8
88	N. Illinois	93.6
89	Georgia Tech	93.6
90	Coastal Carolina	93.0
91	Ga. Southern	92.9
92	South Alabama	92.8
93	Buffalo	92.8
94	Old Dominion	92.2
95	Vanderbilt	92.1
96	USF	92.1
97	San Diego St.	92.0
98	Navy	91.7
99	Miami (Ohio)	90.2
100	Ohio	89.9
101	Utah St.	89.9
102	Wyoming	89.3
103	Kent St.	89.3
104	Southern Miss.	89.2
105	Central Mich.	88.6
106	North Texas	88.2
107	Florida Atlantic	87.7
108	Colorado	87.2
109	Western Mich.	87.1
110	U N L V	87.1
111	Bowling Green	86.2
112	U T E P	86.0
113	Rice	85.9
114	Middle Tennessee	85.8
115	Eastern Mich.	85.7
116	Ball St.	85.2
117	Arkansas St.	84.4
118	Texas St.	83.5
119	Colorado St.	82.6
120	UL-Monroe	81.7
121	Nevada	81.5
122	Connecticut	81.4
123	Louisiana Tech	80.9
124	New Mexico	78.0
125	Temple	77.5
126	Charlotte	75.6
127	Akron	75.2
128	Hawaii	75.0
129	New Mexico St.	73.9
130	Massachusetts	70.4
131	Florida Int’l.	68.4

Note: We have been receiving a large number of comments concerning the ratings, almost all from newcomers to his site. The overwhelming question most asked is why a team is ranked ahead of a team that beat them and is ahead of them in the conference standings. To those new to this site, our ratings are not rankings like the AP and Coaches’ polls. We are not grading teams based on what they have done so far . Our goal is to predict the future. Thus Alabama is rated ahead of Tennessee because it is this system’s prediction that the Tide would beat the Vols on a neutral field if they were to play this week.

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	110.2	109.6	111.2	110.3
UCF	106.7	107.3	107.2	107.1
Tulane	103.4	103.1	103.6	103.4
East Carolina	102.8	102.5	103.4	102.9
Houston	102.8	102.1	103.1	102.7
SMU	102.6	101.8	102.5	102.3
Memphis	97.6	97.8	97.1	97.5
Tulsa	94.1	93.5	93.8	93.8
USF	92.8	91.6	91.9	92.1
Navy	92.2	91.5	91.5	91.7
Temple	77.5	79.2	75.6	77.5
AAC	98.4	98.2	98.3	98.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.7	119.5	119.8	119.7
NC State	114.2	113.1	113.5	113.6
Florida St.	112.7	112.3	112.5	112.5
Wake Forest	112.0	112.1	112.2	112.1
Louisville	111.2	110.5	110.2	110.6
Syracuse	111.0	110.2	110.2	110.5
Boston College	96.4	97.2	95.2	96.3
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	110.8	109.6	108.8	109.7
North Carolina	108.7	108.9	108.3	108.6
Miami (Fla.)	106.0	105.1	104.8	105.3
Duke	97.9	99.8	96.5	98.1
Virginia	98.4	98.4	96.4	97.7
Virginia Tech	96.1	96.2	94.3	95.5
Georgia Tech	94.4	94.1	92.4	93.6
ACC	106.4	106.2	105.4	106.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.6	117.2	118.2	118.0
T C U	116.6	115.3	115.9	115.9
Texas	116.5	115.5	114.7	115.6
Baylor	113.9	112.7	113.2	113.3
Kansas St.	112.9	111.6	112.2	112.2
Texas Tech	111.8	110.8	112.5	111.7
Oklahoma	111.2	110.1	110.8	110.7
Iowa St.	109.7	109.5	109.5	109.6
West Virginia	103.6	103.1	103.0	103.2
Kansas	103.7	102.4	101.7	102.6
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	134.9	133.8	135.6	134.7
Michigan	126.6	125.7	126.5	126.3
Penn St.	118.4	118.2	118.0	118.2
Maryland	111.2	111.0	110.2	110.8
Michigan St.	110.5	109.3	108.8	109.5
Rutgers	101.2	100.3	98.4	100.0
Indiana	99.7	98.9	97.4	98.7
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	114.6	113.6	114.1	114.1
Wisconsin	114.3	113.9	113.4	113.9
Purdue	114.7	113.8	112.9	113.8
Illinois	112.2	112.8	111.3	112.1
Iowa	111.0	109.7	108.9	109.9
Nebraska	103.2	102.9	101.9	102.6
Northwestern	95.0	95.9	93.5	94.8
Big Ten	112.0	111.4	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.6	99.6	101.4	100.2
U A B	97.8	97.9	99.0	98.2
U T S A	97.2	96.3	97.4	97.0
North Texas	87.9	87.5	89.1	88.2
Florida Atlantic	87.6	88.4	87.1	87.7
U T E P	86.0	86.0	85.9	86.0
Rice	85.8	85.9	85.9	85.9
Middle Tennessee	85.4	85.9	86.0	85.8
Louisiana Tech	80.8	81.8	80.0	80.9
Charlotte	75.5	76.2	75.0	75.6
Florida Int’l.	68.0	70.3	66.9	68.4
CUSA	86.5	86.9	86.7	86.7
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	111.4	109.7	111.4	110.8
BYU	103.8	102.2	103.2	103.1
Liberty	99.5	100.8	101.0	100.4
Army	94.5	94.7	94.7	94.6
Connecticut	81.5	82.6	80.0	81.4
New Mexico St.	73.4	75.3	72.9	73.9
Massachusetts	70.7	71.5	69.0	70.4
Independents	90.7	91.0	90.3	90.7
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Buffalo	91.4	93.7	93.5	92.8
Miami (Ohio)	89.1	91.1	90.4	90.2
Ohio	88.6	90.7	90.3	89.9
Kent St.	88.7	90.4	88.9	89.3
Bowling Green	86.3	86.0	86.2	86.2
Akron	75.1	75.8	74.6	75.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.6	98.8	99.1	98.5
N. Illinois	93.4	93.8	93.6	93.6
Central Mich.	87.3	88.9	89.5	88.6
Western Mich.	86.6	87.5	87.2	87.1
Eastern Mich.	85.5	86.1	85.4	85.7
Ball St.	84.8	85.9	85.0	85.2
MAC	87.9	89.1	88.6	88.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	103.1	102.5	104.1	103.2
Air Force	102.1	101.9	102.8	102.3
Utah St.	89.7	89.8	90.1	89.9
Wyoming	88.2	90.1	89.7	89.3
Colorado St.	82.3	83.2	82.4	82.6
New Mexico	78.5	78.4	77.1	78.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	99.6	99.1	100.2	99.6
San Jose St.	95.4	96.0	96.9	96.1
San Diego St.	92.1	91.6	92.1	92.0
U N L V	87.6	86.0	87.6	87.1
Nevada	81.2	82.6	80.6	81.5
Hawaii	74.3	75.7	75.2	75.0
MWC	89.5	89.7	89.9	89.7
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.1	116.4	118.6	117.3
Oregon	115.5	115.0	115.4	115.3
U S C	113.0	113.7	114.6	113.8
U C L A	110.9	110.9	112.4	111.4
Oregon St.	109.4	108.7	109.9	109.3
Washington	107.4	107.6	108.0	107.7
Washington St.	103.9	104.4	104.7	104.3
Arizona St.	102.4	102.2	103.2	102.6
Stanford	103.5	101.5	102.2	102.4
California	98.1	98.1	98.8	98.3
Arizona	96.0	95.9	96.0	96.0
Colorado	88.1	86.4	87.2	87.2
Pac-12	105.4	105.1	105.9	105.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	132.2	130.9	133.0	132.0
Tennessee	122.8	122.9	123.6	123.1
Kentucky	111.7	112.2	112.7	112.2
South Carolina	110.2	109.8	110.6	110.2
Florida	106.1	107.6	106.2	106.6
Missouri	102.8	103.1	101.9	102.6
Vanderbilt	92.3	92.9	91.1	92.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.0	129.3	131.2	130.2
L S U	115.9	115.4	115.4	115.6
Mississippi St.	115.5	114.3	114.8	114.8
Arkansas	114.5	112.9	114.6	114.0
Ole Miss	114.1	112.6	112.7	113.1
Texas A&M	111.1	111.5	111.9	111.5
Auburn	106.5	105.0	105.0	105.5
SEC	113.3	112.9	113.2	113.1
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.9	99.2	100.1	99.1
James Madison	94.2	95.8	98.0	96.0
Marshall	94.8	95.8	95.6	95.4
Georgia St.	93.8	93.5	95.6	94.3
Coastal Carolina	92.3	93.2	93.5	93.0
Ga. Southern	92.4	92.5	93.8	92.9
Old Dominion	92.1	92.3	92.3	92.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	94.8	95.6	96.8	95.7
Louisiana	93.5	94.0	95.3	94.3
South Alabama	92.2	92.7	93.6	92.8
Southern Miss.	88.8	89.4	89.5	89.2
Arkansas St.	83.7	85.0	84.6	84.4
Texas St.	82.6	83.9	83.9	83.5
UL-Monroe	81.6	82.0	81.6	81.7
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.5	91.8

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.1
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Atlantic Coast	106.0
5	Pac-12	105.5
6	American Athletic	98.3
7	Sun Belt	91.8
8	Independents	90.7
9	Mountain West	89.7
10	Mid-American	88.5
11	Conference USA	86.7

Bowl & Playoff Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Buffalo
Cure	Troy	Liberty
Fenway	Syracuse	Tulane
New Mexico	North Texas	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Miami (O)	South Alabama
Las Vegas	USC	Arkansas
Frisco	Utah St.	Kansas
Myrtle Beach	Marshall	Iowa St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Toledo	San Jose St.
Boca Raton	Coastal Carolina	Air Force
New Orleans	UTEP	Lousiana
Armed Forces	Houston	Western Kentucky
Independence	SMU	Appalachian St.
Gasparilla	Florida	East Carolina
Hawaii	UAB	Fresno St.
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Army
Camellia	Bowling Green	Southern Miss.
First Responder	Stanford	BYU
Birmingham	Louisville	Georgia Southern
Guaranteed Rate	Texas Tech	Wisconsin
Military	Duke	Central Florida
Liberty	Baylor	Ole Miss
Holiday	Virginia	Washington
Texas	Oklahoma	Mississippi St.
Pinstripe	Notre Dame	Nebraska
Cheez-It	Texas	North Carolina St.
Alamo	Kansas St.	UCLA
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger Sun	Pittsburgh	Oregon St.
Arizona	Ohio U	San Diego St.
Orange	Alabama	North Carolina
Music City	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Sugar	Tennessee	Oklahoma St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	South Carolina
Peach	Georgia	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	TCU
Tampa Bay	Purdue	Kentucky
Citrus	Illinois	LSU
Cotton	Penn St.	Cincinnati
Rose	Oregon	Michigan
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

Note: For the first time this year more than 82 FBS teams were projected to be bowl eligible, and no 5-7 teams made this list. Five projected bowl eligible teams were omitted from this projection: Ball St., Middle Tennessee, Rice, UNLV, and Western Michigan.

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