PiRate Ratings College Football–October 19-22, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Appalachian St.	Georgia St.	2.2	4.0	2.2
Georgia Tech	Virginia	-0.2	-0.3	0.1
South Alabama	Troy	0.3	0.2	0.1
Temple	Tulsa	-14.3	-11.9	-16.4
Western Kentucky	UAB	5.0	4.9	5.8
TCU	Kansas St.	6.0	6.0	5.9
Army	Louisiana-Monroe	13.6	13.2	13.4
Miami (Fla.)	Duke	18.2	14.8	19.0
South Carolina	Texas A&M	1.6	0.5	0.7
Rutgers	Indiana	4.1	3.8	3.2
Ohio St.	Iowa	22.7	22.7	25.5
Wake Forest	Boston College	15.9	14.8	17.1
Louisville	Pittsburgh	1.2	1.5	2.0
East Carolina	Central Florida	-7.5	-8.8	-7.8
Liberty	BYU	-9.7	-6.7	-7.8
Navy	Houston	-5.3	-5.1	-5.9
Buffalo	Toledo	-6.3	-5.3	-6.2
Central Michigan	Bowling Green	8.4	10.8	11.4
Kent St.	Akron	16.4	17.8	17.7
Miami (O)	Western Michigan	7.9	9.3	9.1
Ohio	Northern Illinois	-4.6	-2.8	-3.1
James Madison	Marshall	5.3	6.3	9.3
Old Dominion	Georgia Southern	3.7	3.9	2.6
Clemson	Syracuse	12.1	13.0	13.4
Wyoming	Utah St.	-1.3	0.7	-0.6
Colorado St.	Hawaii	11.5	11.2	11.2
New Mexico	Fresno St.	-14.3	-13.4	-15.9
New Mexico St.	San Jose St.	-19.6	-18.2	-21.4
Ball St.	Eastern Michigan	2.7	3.3	3.3
Notre Dame	UNLV	27.1	27.1	27.2
Oregon St.	Colorado	21.7	22.7	23.1
Louisiana Tech	Rice	-2.7	-1.8	-3.8
Stanford	Arizona St.	4.3	2.5	2.3
California	Washington	-6.0	-6.5	-5.8
Oregon	UCLA	6.8	6.1	4.6
UTSA	North Texas	12.3	12.0	11.5
Oklahoma St.	Texas	4.9	4.4	6.3
Alabama	Mississippi St.	16.7	17.0	18.4
LSU	Ole Miss	0.0	1.1	0.7
Baylor	Kansas	13.0	13.1	14.1
Texas Tech	West Virginia	4.8	3.8	5.8
SMU	Cincinnati	-5.2	-5.3	-6.5
Tulane	Memphis	7.6	6.7	7.9
Missouri	Vanderbilt	14.2	14.1	15.1
Texas St.	Southern Miss.	-3.3	-2.5	-2.3
Maryland	Northwestern	20.8	19.8	22.0
Charlotte	Florida Int’l.	18.2	16.6	19.1
Wisconsin	Purdue	0.8	1.1	1.3
Louisiana	Arkansas St.	11.1	9.9	11.6
UTEP	Florida Atlantic	0.7	-0.3	0.9
Air Force	Boise St.	3.5	3.9	3.4
Penn St.	Minnesota	1.7	2.5	1.3
Nevada	San Diego St.	-7.4	-5.5	-7.6

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Tennessee	UT-Martin	40.4

Teams With Byes

Arizona

Arkansas

Auburn

Coastal Carolina

Connecticut

Florida

Florida St.

Georgia

Illinois

Iowa St.

Kentucky

Massachusetts

Michigan

Michigan St.

Middle Tennessee

Nebraska

North Carolina

North Carolina St.

Oklahoma

South Florida

USC

Utah

Virginia Tech

Washington St.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	132.9
2	Georgia	131.7
3	Alabama	129.7
4	Michigan	126.0
5	Tennessee	122.6
6	Clemson	120.1
7	Oklahoma St.	117.9
8	Utah	117.0
9	Minnesota	116.9
10	Penn St.	115.7
11	Texas	115.7
12	Ole Miss	115.6
13	T C U	115.4
14	Mississippi St.	115.3
15	Purdue	114.8
16	Oregon	114.8
17	Arkansas	113.7
18	U S C	113.5
19	NC State	113.3
20	L S U	113.1
21	Baylor	113.1
22	Wisconsin	112.9
23	Kansas St.	112.4
24	Iowa	112.3
25	Florida St.	112.2
26	Maryland	112.0
27	U C L A	111.9
28	Kentucky	111.9
29	Texas A&M	111.9
30	Illinois	111.8
31	Notre Dame	111.0
32	Pittsburgh	110.9
33	Wake Forest	110.8
34	Cincinnati	110.8
35	Oklahoma	110.4
36	UCF	110.4
37	Syracuse	110.3
38	South Carolina	109.8
39	Louisville	109.4
40	Iowa St.	109.3
41	Michigan St.	109.2
42	Miami (Fla.)	109.2
43	Texas Tech	108.6
44	North Carolina	108.3
45	Oregon St.	108.0
46	Washington	107.6
47	BYU	107.3
48	West Virginia	106.8
49	Florida	106.3
50	Auburn	105.2
51	Washington St.	104.0
52	Missouri	103.4
53	Air Force	103.1
54	Tulane	103.0
55	Kansas	102.7
56	Stanford	102.5
57	Arizona St.	102.5
58	Boise St.	102.4
59	Nebraska	102.3
60	SMU	102.1
61	Houston	101.6
62	W. Kentucky	100.3
63	Toledo	99.9
64	East Carolina	99.9
65	Rutgers	99.7
66	Indiana	99.0
67	California	98.4
68	Memphis	98.1
69	U A B	98.1
70	James Madison	97.9
71	Boston College	97.9
72	Fresno St.	97.7
73	U T S A	97.5
74	Virginia	97.2
75	Georgia St.	96.9
76	Appalachian St.	96.8
77	Liberty	96.2
78	San Jose St.	96.1
79	Arizona	95.7
80	Troy	95.4
81	Virginia Tech	95.2
82	Duke	94.9
83	N. Illinois	94.7
84	Tulsa	94.1
85	Northwestern	94.1
86	Georgia Tech	94.1
87	Louisiana	93.6
88	Army	93.5
89	Marshall	93.5
90	South Alabama	93.1
91	Navy	93.1
92	Old Dominion	93.0
93	Coastal Carolina	92.7
94	Ga. Southern	92.1
95	Vanderbilt	91.9
96	USF	91.8
97	Miami (Ohio)	91.8
98	Buffalo	91.5
99	San Diego St.	91.4
100	Central Mich.	91.4
101	Utah St.	91.3
102	Kent St.	89.9
103	Southern Miss.	88.9
104	Ohio	88.7
105	Colorado	88.5
106	North Texas	88.0
107	Wyoming	87.9
108	Florida Atlantic	87.9
109	U N L V	86.9
110	Rice	86.0
111	U T E P	85.8
112	Ball St.	85.6
113	Middle Tennessee	85.6
114	Western Mich.	85.5
115	Arkansas St.	85.2
116	Eastern Mich.	85.0
117	Texas St.	83.8
118	Bowling Green	83.7
119	UL-Monroe	83.1
120	Colorado St.	83.1
121	Nevada	82.0
122	Connecticut	81.2
123	Louisiana Tech	80.8
124	Charlotte	80.2
125	New Mexico	80.2
126	Temple	77.4
127	Hawaii	74.8
128	Akron	74.6
129	New Mexico St.	73.9
130	Massachusetts	70.2
131	Florida Int’l.	64.7

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	110.6	110.0	111.8	110.8
UCF	109.9	110.7	110.6	110.4
Tulane	103.2	102.7	103.2	103.0
SMU	102.5	101.7	102.2	102.1
Houston	101.8	101.0	101.9	101.6
East Carolina	99.9	99.4	100.3	99.9
Memphis	98.1	98.5	97.8	98.1
Tulsa	94.4	93.7	94.3	94.1
Navy	93.5	92.9	93.0	93.1
USF	92.5	91.3	91.6	91.8
Temple	77.5	79.3	75.4	77.4
AAC	98.5	98.3	98.4	98.4
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	120.0	120.0	120.4	120.1
NC State	113.9	112.8	113.2	113.3
Florida St.	112.4	112.0	112.2	112.2
Wake Forest	110.8	110.7	110.9	110.8
Syracuse	111.0	110.0	109.9	110.3
Louisville	110.1	109.3	109.0	109.4
Boston College	97.9	98.9	96.8	97.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.9	110.8	110.0	110.9
Miami (Fla.)	109.9	108.7	109.0	109.2
North Carolina	108.4	108.6	108.0	108.3
Virginia	98.0	97.9	95.8	97.2
Virginia Tech	95.8	95.9	94.0	95.2
Duke	94.7	96.9	93.0	94.9
Georgia Tech	94.8	94.6	93.0	94.1
ACC	106.4	106.2	105.4	106.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.5	117.0	118.1	117.9
Texas	116.6	115.7	114.8	115.7
T C U	116.1	114.8	115.4	115.4
Baylor	113.8	112.6	113.0	113.1
Kansas St.	113.1	111.8	112.4	112.4
Oklahoma	110.9	109.8	110.5	110.4
Iowa St.	109.4	109.2	109.2	109.3
Texas Tech	108.8	107.6	109.4	108.6
West Virginia	107.1	106.8	106.6	106.8
Kansas	103.8	102.5	101.9	102.7
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.1	111.2
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	133.1	131.9	133.8	132.9
Michigan	126.3	125.4	126.2	126.0
Penn St.	116.0	115.8	115.4	115.7
Maryland	112.3	112.1	111.6	112.0
Michigan St.	110.2	109.0	108.5	109.2
Rutgers	101.0	100.0	98.0	99.7
Indiana	99.9	99.2	97.8	99.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	117.3	116.3	117.0	116.9
Purdue	115.6	114.8	114.0	114.8
Wisconsin	113.4	112.9	112.3	112.9
Iowa	113.4	112.2	111.3	112.3
Illinois	111.9	112.5	111.0	111.8
Nebraska	102.9	102.6	101.6	102.3
Northwestern	94.4	95.3	92.6	94.1
Big Ten	112.0	111.4	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.7	99.7	101.6	100.3
U A B	97.7	97.8	98.8	98.1
U T S A	97.6	96.8	97.9	97.5
North Texas	87.8	87.3	88.9	88.0
Florida Atlantic	87.7	88.6	87.3	87.9
Rice	85.9	86.0	86.1	86.0
U T E P	85.9	85.8	85.7	85.8
Middle Tennessee	85.2	85.7	85.8	85.6
Louisiana Tech	80.7	81.7	79.8	80.8
Charlotte	80.1	80.8	79.8	80.2
Florida Int’l.	64.4	66.7	63.1	64.7
CUSA	86.6	87.0	86.8	86.8
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	111.6	109.9	111.6	111.0
BYU	108.0	106.3	107.5	107.3
Liberty	95.3	96.7	96.7	96.2
Army	93.5	93.6	93.5	93.5
Connecticut	81.3	82.4	79.8	81.2
New Mexico St.	73.4	75.3	72.9	73.9
Massachusetts	70.5	71.3	68.8	70.2
Independents	90.5	90.8	90.1	90.5
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	90.5	92.7	92.1	91.8
Buffalo	90.1	92.4	92.0	91.5
Kent St.	89.1	91.0	89.6	89.9
Ohio	87.5	89.6	89.1	88.7
Bowling Green	84.0	83.5	83.5	83.7
Akron	74.7	75.2	73.9	74.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	98.9	100.1	100.6	99.9
N. Illinois	94.5	94.9	94.8	94.7
Central Mich.	89.9	91.7	92.5	91.4
Ball St.	85.1	86.3	85.5	85.6
Western Mich.	85.2	85.9	85.5	85.5
Eastern Mich.	84.9	85.4	84.6	85.0
MAC	87.9	89.1	88.6	88.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Air Force	102.8	102.7	103.7	103.1
Boise St.	102.4	101.7	103.2	102.4
Utah St.	91.1	91.1	91.7	91.3
Wyoming	86.8	88.8	88.1	87.9
Colorado St.	82.7	83.7	83.0	83.1
New Mexico	80.6	80.7	79.3	80.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	97.8	97.1	98.3	97.7
San Jose St.	95.4	96.0	96.9	96.1
San Diego St.	91.6	91.1	91.4	91.4
U N L V	87.4	85.8	87.4	86.9
Nevada	81.7	83.1	81.3	82.0
Hawaii	74.2	75.5	74.9	74.8
MWC	89.5	89.8	89.9	89.7
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.8	116.1	118.3	117.0
Oregon	115.1	114.5	114.7	114.8
U S C	112.7	113.4	114.3	113.5
U C L A	111.3	111.4	113.1	111.9
Oregon St.	108.1	107.4	108.6	108.0
Washington	107.3	107.6	107.8	107.6
Washington St.	103.6	104.1	104.4	104.0
Stanford	103.6	101.6	102.3	102.5
Arizona St.	102.3	102.1	103.1	102.5
California	98.2	98.1	99.0	98.4
Arizona	95.7	95.6	95.7	95.7
Colorado	89.4	87.7	88.5	88.5
Pac-12	105.3	105.0	105.8	105.4
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	131.9	130.6	132.7	131.7
Tennessee	122.3	122.4	123.1	122.6
Kentucky	111.4	111.9	112.4	111.9
South Carolina	110.0	109.4	110.1	109.8
Florida	105.8	107.3	105.9	106.3
Missouri	103.4	103.8	102.8	103.4
Vanderbilt	92.2	92.7	90.7	91.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.6	128.8	130.7	129.7
Ole Miss	116.5	115.0	115.2	115.6
Mississippi St.	115.9	114.8	115.3	115.3
Arkansas	114.2	112.6	114.3	113.7
L S U	113.5	113.0	112.9	113.1
Texas A&M	111.3	111.9	112.4	111.9
Auburn	106.2	104.7	104.7	105.2
SEC	113.2	112.8	113.1	113.0
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	95.9	97.7	100.2	97.9
Georgia St.	96.4	96.0	98.4	96.9
Appalachian St.	95.6	97.0	97.6	96.8
Marshall	93.1	93.9	93.4	93.5
Old Dominion	92.8	93.1	93.1	93.0
Coastal Carolina	92.0	92.9	93.2	92.7
Ga. Southern	91.7	91.7	93.0	92.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	94.6	95.3	96.4	95.4
Louisiana	92.9	93.2	94.5	93.6
South Alabama	92.4	93.0	94.0	93.1
Southern Miss.	88.6	89.1	89.1	88.9
Arkansas St.	84.3	85.8	85.4	85.2
Texas St.	82.8	84.2	84.3	83.8
UL-Monroe	82.9	83.4	83.1	83.1
Sun Belt	91.2	91.9	92.6	91.9

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.0
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	111.2
4	Atlantic Coast	106.0
5	Pac-12	105.4
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Sun Belt	91.9
8	Independents	90.5
9	Mountain West	89.7
10	Mid-American	88.5
11	Conference USA	86.8

This Week’s Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UTSA	Buffalo
Cure	Coastal Carolina	BYU
Fenway	Pittsburgh	Central Florida
New Mexico	Rice	Fresno St.
L.A.	Utah	Boise St.
Lending Tree	Ball St.	Marshall
Las Vegas	USC	Mississippi St.
Frisco	Utah St.	Western Kentucky
Myrtle Beach	Middle Tennessee	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Eastern Michigan	San Jose St.
Boca Raton	Georgia Southern	Stanford 5
New Orleans	North Texas	Troy
Armed Forces	Houston	Texas St.
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	Duke	Washington St.
Hawaii	UTEP	Air Force
Quick Lane	Ohio U	Liberty
Camellia	Toledo	South Alabama
First Responder	UAB	UNLV
Birmingham	Southern Miss.	Old Dominion
Guaranteed Rate	Wisconsin	Wyoming
Military	Louisville 5	Tulane
Liberty	Oklahoma	LSU
Holiday	Syracuse	UCLA
Texas	Kansas	Florida
Pinstripe	Notre Dame	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Miami (Fla.)	Texas
Alamo	Kansas St.	Washington
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Purdue
Tony the Tiger Sun	North Carolina St.	Oregon St.
Arizona	Miami (O)	San Diego St.
Orange	North Carolina	Alabama
Music City	Maryland	Texas A&M
Sugar	Tennessee	Oklahoma St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	South Carolina
Peach	Georgia	TCU
Fiesta	Ohio St.	Clemson
Tampa Bay	Illinois	Kentucky
Citrus	Penn St.	Arkansas
Cotton	Ole Miss	Cincinnati
Rose	Oregon	Michigan
National Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.

“5″ after team name indicates a team with an expected 5-7 record that has a high enough APR score to earn a bowl bid over other 5-7 schools.

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