The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 16, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 19-22, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:54 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Appalachian St.Georgia St.2.24.02.2
Georgia TechVirginia-0.2-0.30.1
South AlabamaTroy0.30.20.1
TempleTulsa-14.3-11.9-16.4
Western KentuckyUAB5.04.95.8
TCUKansas St.6.06.05.9
ArmyLouisiana-Monroe13.613.213.4
Miami (Fla.)Duke18.214.819.0
South CarolinaTexas A&M1.60.50.7
RutgersIndiana4.13.83.2
Ohio St.Iowa22.722.725.5
Wake ForestBoston College15.914.817.1
LouisvillePittsburgh1.21.52.0
East CarolinaCentral Florida-7.5-8.8-7.8
LibertyBYU-9.7-6.7-7.8
NavyHouston-5.3-5.1-5.9
BuffaloToledo-6.3-5.3-6.2
Central MichiganBowling Green8.410.811.4
Kent St.Akron16.417.817.7
Miami (O)Western Michigan7.99.39.1
OhioNorthern Illinois-4.6-2.8-3.1
James MadisonMarshall5.36.39.3
Old DominionGeorgia Southern3.73.92.6
ClemsonSyracuse12.113.013.4
WyomingUtah St.-1.30.7-0.6
Colorado St.Hawaii11.511.211.2
New MexicoFresno St.-14.3-13.4-15.9
New Mexico St.San Jose St.-19.6-18.2-21.4
Ball St.Eastern Michigan2.73.33.3
Notre DameUNLV27.127.127.2
Oregon St.Colorado21.722.723.1
Louisiana TechRice-2.7-1.8-3.8
StanfordArizona St.4.32.52.3
CaliforniaWashington-6.0-6.5-5.8
OregonUCLA6.86.14.6
UTSANorth Texas12.312.011.5
Oklahoma St.Texas4.94.46.3
AlabamaMississippi St.16.717.018.4
LSUOle Miss0.01.10.7
BaylorKansas13.013.114.1
Texas TechWest Virginia4.83.85.8
SMUCincinnati-5.2-5.3-6.5
TulaneMemphis7.66.77.9
MissouriVanderbilt14.214.115.1
Texas St.Southern Miss.-3.3-2.5-2.3
MarylandNorthwestern20.819.822.0
CharlotteFlorida Int’l.18.216.619.1
WisconsinPurdue0.81.11.3
LouisianaArkansas St.11.19.911.6
UTEPFlorida Atlantic0.7-0.30.9
Air ForceBoise St.3.53.93.4
Penn St.Minnesota1.72.51.3
NevadaSan Diego St.-7.4-5.5-7.6

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBSFCSPiRate
TennesseeUT-Martin40.4

Teams With Byes

Arizona
Arkansas
Auburn
Coastal Carolina
Connecticut
Florida
Florida St.
Georgia
Illinois
Iowa St.
Kentucky
Massachusetts
Michigan
Michigan St.
Middle Tennessee
Nebraska
North Carolina
North Carolina St.
Oklahoma
South Florida
USC
Utah
Virginia Tech
Washington St.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Ohio St.132.9
2Georgia131.7
3Alabama129.7
4Michigan126.0
5Tennessee122.6
6Clemson120.1
7Oklahoma St.117.9
8Utah117.0
9Minnesota116.9
10Penn St.115.7
11Texas115.7
12Ole Miss115.6
13T C U115.4
14Mississippi St.115.3
15Purdue114.8
16Oregon114.8
17Arkansas113.7
18U S C113.5
19NC State113.3
20L S U113.1
21Baylor113.1
22Wisconsin112.9
23Kansas St.112.4
24Iowa112.3
25Florida St.112.2
26Maryland112.0
27U C L A111.9
28Kentucky111.9
29Texas A&M111.9
30Illinois111.8
31Notre Dame111.0
32Pittsburgh110.9
33Wake Forest110.8
34Cincinnati110.8
35Oklahoma110.4
36UCF110.4
37Syracuse110.3
38South Carolina109.8
39Louisville109.4
40Iowa St.109.3
41Michigan St.109.2
42Miami (Fla.)109.2
43Texas Tech108.6
44North Carolina108.3
45Oregon St.108.0
46Washington107.6
47BYU107.3
48West Virginia106.8
49Florida106.3
50Auburn105.2
51Washington St.104.0
52Missouri103.4
53Air Force103.1
54Tulane103.0
55Kansas102.7
56Stanford102.5
57Arizona St.102.5
58Boise St.102.4
59Nebraska102.3
60SMU102.1
61Houston101.6
62W. Kentucky100.3
63Toledo99.9
64East Carolina99.9
65Rutgers99.7
66Indiana99.0
67California98.4
68Memphis98.1
69U A B98.1
70James Madison97.9
71Boston College97.9
72Fresno St.97.7
73U T S A97.5
74Virginia97.2
75Georgia St.96.9
76Appalachian St.96.8
77Liberty96.2
78San Jose St.96.1
79Arizona95.7
80Troy95.4
81Virginia Tech95.2
82Duke94.9
83N. Illinois94.7
84Tulsa94.1
85Northwestern94.1
86Georgia Tech94.1
87Louisiana93.6
88Army93.5
89Marshall93.5
90South Alabama93.1
91Navy93.1
92Old Dominion93.0
93Coastal Carolina92.7
94Ga. Southern92.1
95Vanderbilt91.9
96USF91.8
97Miami (Ohio)91.8
98Buffalo91.5
99San Diego St.91.4
100Central Mich.91.4
101Utah St.91.3
102Kent St.89.9
103Southern Miss.88.9
104Ohio88.7
105Colorado88.5
106North Texas88.0
107Wyoming87.9
108Florida Atlantic87.9
109U N L V86.9
110Rice86.0
111U T E P85.8
112Ball St.85.6
113Middle Tennessee85.6
114Western Mich.85.5
115Arkansas St.85.2
116Eastern Mich.85.0
117Texas St.83.8
118Bowling Green83.7
119UL-Monroe83.1
120Colorado St.83.1
121Nevada82.0
122Connecticut81.2
123Louisiana Tech80.8
124Charlotte80.2
125New Mexico80.2
126Temple77.4
127Hawaii74.8
128Akron74.6
129New Mexico St.73.9
130Massachusetts70.2
131Florida Int’l.64.7

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati110.6110.0111.8110.8
UCF109.9110.7110.6110.4
Tulane103.2102.7103.2103.0
SMU102.5101.7102.2102.1
Houston101.8101.0101.9101.6
East Carolina99.999.4100.399.9
Memphis98.198.597.898.1
Tulsa94.493.794.394.1
Navy93.592.993.093.1
USF92.591.391.691.8
Temple77.579.375.477.4

AAC98.598.398.498.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.0120.0120.4120.1
NC State113.9112.8113.2113.3
Florida St.112.4112.0112.2112.2
Wake Forest110.8110.7110.9110.8
Syracuse111.0110.0109.9110.3
Louisville110.1109.3109.0109.4
Boston College97.998.996.897.9

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh111.9110.8110.0110.9
Miami (Fla.)109.9108.7109.0109.2
North Carolina108.4108.6108.0108.3
Virginia98.097.995.897.2
Virginia Tech95.895.994.095.2
Duke94.796.993.094.9
Georgia Tech94.894.693.094.1

ACC106.4106.2105.4106.0

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma St.118.5117.0118.1117.9
Texas116.6115.7114.8115.7
T C U116.1114.8115.4115.4
Baylor113.8112.6113.0113.1
Kansas St.113.1111.8112.4112.4
Oklahoma110.9109.8110.5110.4
Iowa St.109.4109.2109.2109.3
Texas Tech108.8107.6109.4108.6
West Virginia107.1106.8106.6106.8
Kansas103.8102.5101.9102.7

Big 12111.8110.8111.1111.2

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.133.1131.9133.8132.9
Michigan126.3125.4126.2126.0
Penn St.116.0115.8115.4115.7
Maryland112.3112.1111.6112.0
Michigan St.110.2109.0108.5109.2
Rutgers101.0100.098.099.7
Indiana99.999.297.899.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota117.3116.3117.0116.9
Purdue115.6114.8114.0114.8
Wisconsin113.4112.9112.3112.9
Iowa113.4112.2111.3112.3
Illinois111.9112.5111.0111.8
Nebraska102.9102.6101.6102.3
Northwestern94.495.392.694.1

Big Ten112.0111.4110.8111.4

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky99.799.7101.6100.3
U A B97.797.898.898.1
U T S A97.696.897.997.5
North Texas87.887.388.988.0
Florida Atlantic87.788.687.387.9
Rice85.986.086.186.0
U T E P85.985.885.785.8
Middle Tennessee85.285.785.885.6
Louisiana Tech80.781.779.880.8
Charlotte80.180.879.880.2
Florida Int’l.64.466.763.164.7

CUSA86.687.086.886.8

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame111.6109.9111.6111.0
BYU108.0106.3107.5107.3
Liberty95.396.796.796.2
Army93.593.693.593.5
Connecticut81.382.479.881.2
New Mexico St.73.475.372.973.9
Massachusetts70.571.368.870.2

Independents90.590.890.190.5

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)90.592.792.191.8
Buffalo90.192.492.091.5
Kent St.89.191.089.689.9
Ohio87.589.689.188.7
Bowling Green84.083.583.583.7
Akron74.775.273.974.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo98.9100.1100.699.9
N. Illinois94.594.994.894.7
Central Mich.89.991.792.591.4
Ball St.85.186.385.585.6
Western Mich.85.285.985.585.5
Eastern Mich.84.985.484.685.0

MAC87.989.188.688.5

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Air Force102.8102.7103.7103.1
Boise St.102.4101.7103.2102.4
Utah St.91.191.191.791.3
Wyoming86.888.888.187.9
Colorado St.82.783.783.083.1
New Mexico80.680.779.380.2

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.97.897.198.397.7
San Jose St.95.496.096.996.1
San Diego St.91.691.191.491.4
U N L V87.485.887.486.9
Nevada81.783.181.382.0
Hawaii74.275.574.974.8

MWC89.589.889.989.7

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah116.8116.1118.3117.0
Oregon115.1114.5114.7114.8
U S C112.7113.4114.3113.5
U C L A111.3111.4113.1111.9
Oregon St.108.1107.4108.6108.0
Washington107.3107.6107.8107.6
Washington St.103.6104.1104.4104.0
Stanford103.6101.6102.3102.5
Arizona St.102.3102.1103.1102.5
California98.298.199.098.4
Arizona95.795.695.795.7
Colorado89.487.788.588.5

Pac-12105.3105.0105.8105.4

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia131.9130.6132.7131.7
Tennessee122.3122.4123.1122.6
Kentucky111.4111.9112.4111.9
South Carolina110.0109.4110.1109.8
Florida105.8107.3105.9106.3
Missouri103.4103.8102.8103.4
Vanderbilt92.292.790.791.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama129.6128.8130.7129.7
Ole Miss116.5115.0115.2115.6
Mississippi St.115.9114.8115.3115.3
Arkansas114.2112.6114.3113.7
L S U113.5113.0112.9113.1
Texas A&M111.3111.9112.4111.9
Auburn106.2104.7104.7105.2

SEC113.2112.8113.1113.0

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
James Madison95.997.7100.297.9
Georgia St.96.496.098.496.9
Appalachian St.95.697.097.696.8
Marshall93.193.993.493.5
Old Dominion92.893.193.193.0
Coastal Carolina92.092.993.292.7
Ga. Southern91.791.793.092.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy94.695.396.495.4
Louisiana92.993.294.593.6
South Alabama92.493.094.093.1
Southern Miss.88.689.189.188.9
Arkansas St.84.385.885.485.2
Texas St.82.884.284.383.8
UL-Monroe82.983.483.183.1

Sun Belt91.291.992.691.9

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern113.0
2Big Ten111.4
3Big 12111.2
4Atlantic Coast106.0
5Pac-12105.4
6American Athletic98.4
7Sun Belt91.9
8Independents90.5
9Mountain West89.7
10Mid-American88.5
11Conference USA86.8

This Week’s Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUTSABuffalo
CureCoastal CarolinaBYU
FenwayPittsburghCentral Florida
New MexicoRiceFresno St.
L.A.UtahBoise St.
Lending TreeBall St.Marshall
Las VegasUSCMississippi St.
FriscoUtah St.Western Kentucky
Myrtle BeachMiddle TennesseeAppalachian St.
Famous Idaho PotatoEastern MichiganSan Jose St.
Boca RatonGeorgia SouthernStanford 5
New OrleansNorth TexasTroy
Armed ForcesHoustonTexas St.
IndependenceSMUArmy
GasparillaDukeWashington St.
HawaiiUTEPAir Force
Quick LaneOhio ULiberty
CamelliaToledoSouth Alabama
First ResponderUABUNLV
BirminghamSouthern Miss.Old Dominion
Guaranteed RateWisconsinWyoming
MilitaryLouisville 5Tulane
LibertyOklahomaLSU
HolidaySyracuseUCLA
TexasKansasFlorida
PinstripeNotre DameMinnesota
Cheez-ItMiami (Fla.)Texas
AlamoKansas St.Washington
Duke’s MayoWake ForestPurdue
Tony the Tiger SunNorth Carolina St.Oregon St.
ArizonaMiami (O)San Diego St.
OrangeNorth CarolinaAlabama
Music CityMarylandTexas A&M
SugarTennesseeOklahoma St.
TaxSlayerFlorida St.South Carolina
PeachGeorgiaTCU
FiestaOhio St.Clemson
Tampa BayIllinoisKentucky
CitrusPenn St.Arkansas
CottonOle MissCincinnati
RoseOregonMichigan
National ChampionshipGeorgiaOhio St.

5″ after team name indicates a team with an expected 5-7 record that has a high enough APR score to earn a bowl bid over other 5-7 schools.

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