PiRate Ratings–College Football for October 12-15, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Marshall	Louisiana	5.0	5.7	3.7
West Virginia	Baylor	-4.8	-4.1	-4.9
Central Florida	Temple	29.4	27.9	32.2
SMU	Navy	12.3	12.2	13.0
Florida Int’l.	UTSA	-31.7	-28.4	-33.9
Toledo	Kent St.	9.9	8.8	10.9
Massachusetts	Buffalo	-14.4	-15.9	-18.1
Tennessee	Alabama	-7.0	-6.0	-7.9
Georgia	Vanderbilt	39.6	37.7	42.3
Virginia Tech	Miami (Fla.)	-11.6	-10.3	-13.1
Michigan	Penn St.	10.6	9.5	10.8
Kentucky	Mississippi St.	-4.6	-3.1	-3.3
Duke	North Carolina	-13.6	-11.7	-15.7
Florida	LSU	-4.0	-1.9	-2.8
Indiana	Maryland	-9.7	-10.5	-12.0
Syracuse	North Carolina St.	-4.1	-4.1	-5.0
Ball St.	Connecticut	6.5	6.5	8.8
Akron	Central Michigan	-12.4	-13.4	-15.0
Purdue	Nebraska	17.0	16.4	16.9
Florida St.	Clemson	-4.6	-5.0	-5.2
East Carolina	Memphis	4.5	3.6	5.2
South Florida	Tulane	-7.6	-8.3	-8.3
Illinois	Minnesota	-6.6	-5.2	-7.7
Bowling Green	Miami (O)	-5.6	-8.8	-8.3
Eastern Michigan	Northern Illinois	-2.6	-2.3	-2.8
Coastal Carolina	Old Dominion	8.3	9.3	10.0
Georgia Southern	James Madison	-4.2	-6.3	-7.9
Southern Miss.	Arkansas St.	7.2	6.3	6.5
BYU	Arkansas	0.3	0.4	0.1
New Mexico St.	New Mexico	-10.6	-8.7	-10.2
Colorado	California	-6.8	-8.8	-9.3
Utah	USC	7.4	6.1	7.6
Oregon St.	Washington St.	6.7	5.1	6.0
Washington	Arizona	15.0	15.8	16.1
Fresno St.	San Jose St.	4.7	3.2	3.3
Troy	Texas St.	15.9	15.5	16.7
Ole Miss	Auburn	13.3	13.3	13.5
South Alabama	Louisiana-Monroe	12.4	12.8	14.4
Oklahoma	Kansas	9.8	10.1	11.3
TCU	Oklahoma St.	0.2	0.4	-0.6
Texas	Iowa St.	11.0	10.2	9.5
Western Michigan	Ohio	4.9	3.5	3.8
Michigan St.	Wisconsin	-0.5	-1.4	-1.4
Middle Tennessee	Western Kentucky	-11.9	-11.2	-13.0
UAB	Charlotte	20.7	20.3	22.7
North Texas	Louisiana Tech	6.9	5.0	8.9
Florida Atlantic	Rice	4.5	5.7	4.3
Hawaii	Nevada	-8.7	-9.0	-7.8
Colorado St.	Utah St.	-6.1	-5.2	-6.6
Notre Dame	Stanford	14.6	15.4	16.6
UNLV	Air Force	-8.2	-9.6	-8.7

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Army	Colgate	28.7
Liberty	Gardner-Webb	29.7

Teams With Bye Weeks

Appalachian St.

Arizona St.

Boise St.

Boston College

Cincinnati

Georgia St.

Georgia Tech

Houston

Iowa

Kansas St.

Louisville

Missouri

Northwestern

Ohio St.

Oregon

Pittsburgh

Rutgers

San Diego St.

South Carolina

Texas A&M

Texas Tech

Tulsa

UCLA

UTEP

Virginia

Wake Forest

Wyoming

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Ohio St.	132.6
2	Alabama	130.9
3	Georgia	130.5
4	Michigan	124.3
5	Tennessee	120.9
6	Clemson	120.1
7	Minnesota	119.0
8	Oklahoma St.	118.1
9	Utah	117.3
10	Penn St.	117.0
11	Mississippi St.	116.9
12	Texas	116.1
13	NC State	115.8
14	Ole Miss	115.6
15	Purdue	115.5
16	T C U	115.1
17	Oregon	114.5
18	Baylor	113.9
19	Wisconsin	113.3
20	U S C	113.2
21	Notre Dame	113.0
22	L S U	112.6
23	Maryland	112.3
24	Florida St.	112.2
25	Kansas St.	112.1
26	Iowa	112.0
27	Arkansas	112.0
28	U C L A	111.6
29	Texas A&M	111.6
30	Pittsburgh	110.6
31	Wake Forest	110.5
32	Cincinnati	110.5
33	Oklahoma	110.4
34	Kentucky	110.3
35	Miami (Fla.)	109.7
36	South Carolina	109.5
37	Illinois	109.5
38	BYU	109.3
39	Michigan St.	109.2
40	Louisville	109.1
41	North Carolina	108.9
42	Iowa St.	108.9
43	Syracuse	108.5
44	Texas Tech	108.3
45	Washington	107.9
46	UCF	107.8
47	Oregon St.	107.5
48	Florida	106.7
49	West Virginia	106.3
50	Auburn	105.2
51	Washington St.	104.6
52	Missouri	103.1
53	Kansas	103.0
54	Tulane	102.7
55	SMU	102.4
56	Boise St.	102.2
57	Arizona St.	102.2
58	Nebraska	101.7
59	Houston	101.3
60	Air Force	100.9
61	Stanford	100.5
62	East Carolina	100.0
63	W. Kentucky	100.0
64	Rutgers	99.4
65	James Madison	99.3
66	California	99.1
67	Indiana	98.6
68	Toledo	98.6
69	U A B	98.5
70	Memphis	98.0
71	U T S A	98.0
72	Boston College	97.6
73	Fresno St.	97.5
74	Liberty	97.5
75	Virginia	96.9
76	Georgia St.	96.7
77	Appalachian St.	96.6
78	Troy	96.4
79	San Jose St.	96.3
80	Coastal Carolina	96.2
81	Arizona	95.3
82	Virginia Tech	95.0
83	Marshall	94.8
84	Duke	94.3
85	Tulsa	93.9
86	Northwestern	93.8
87	Georgia Tech	93.8
88	Army	93.7
89	Vanderbilt	93.6
90	South Alabama	93.5
91	Miami (Ohio)	93.0
92	Navy	92.9
93	N. Illinois	92.5
94	Louisiana	92.5
95	USF	92.1
96	Utah St.	91.4
97	Kent St.	91.2
98	San Diego St.	91.2
99	Central Mich.	91.2
100	Ga. Southern	90.7
101	Buffalo	90.3
102	U N L V	89.6
103	Old Dominion	89.5
104	Southern Miss.	89.1
105	Western Mich.	88.2
106	Florida Atlantic	88.1
107	Colorado	87.8
108	Wyoming	87.7
109	Eastern Mich.	87.5
110	North Texas	86.7
111	Ohio	86.6
112	Middle Tennessee	85.9
113	Ball St.	85.8
114	Rice	85.8
115	U T E P	85.6
116	Arkansas St.	85.0
117	Nevada	84.2
118	Colorado St.	83.0
119	Bowling Green	82.9
120	New Mexico	82.9
121	Texas St.	82.8
122	UL-Monroe	82.8
123	Louisiana Tech	82.3
124	Connecticut	81.0
125	Temple	81.0
126	Charlotte	79.8
127	Akron	75.1
128	Hawaii	72.7
129	Massachusetts	71.7
130	New Mexico St.	71.5
131	Florida Int’l.	64.2

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	110.3	109.7	111.5	110.5
UCF	107.4	108.0	108.1	107.8
Tulane	102.9	102.4	102.8	102.7
SMU	102.7	101.9	102.6	102.4
Houston	101.5	100.7	101.6	101.3
East Carolina	100.0	99.5	100.4	100.0
Memphis	98.0	98.4	97.7	98.0
Tulsa	94.2	93.5	94.1	93.9
Navy	93.3	92.7	92.6	92.9
USF	92.8	91.6	92.0	92.1
Temple	81.0	83.0	78.9	81.0
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.4	98.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	120.0	120.0	120.4	120.1
NC State	116.3	115.3	115.9	115.8
Florida St.	112.4	112.0	112.2	112.2
Wake Forest	110.5	110.4	110.6	110.5
Louisville	109.8	109.0	108.7	109.1
Syracuse	109.3	108.2	107.9	108.5
Boston College	97.6	98.6	96.5	97.6
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.6	110.5	109.7	110.6
Miami (Fla.)	110.3	109.1	109.7	109.7
North Carolina	108.9	109.1	108.9	108.9
Virginia	97.7	97.6	95.5	96.9
Virginia Tech	95.7	95.8	93.6	95.0
Duke	94.2	96.4	92.1	94.3
Georgia Tech	94.5	94.3	92.7	93.8
ACC	106.3	106.2	105.3	105.9

Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.7	117.2	118.5	118.1
Texas	117.0	116.1	115.2	116.1
T C U	115.9	114.6	115.0	115.1
Baylor	114.5	113.4	113.9	113.9
Kansas St.	112.8	111.5	112.1	112.1
Oklahoma	110.9	109.8	110.5	110.4
Iowa St.	109.0	108.8	108.8	108.9
Texas Tech	108.5	107.3	109.1	108.3
West Virginia	106.7	106.3	106.0	106.3
Kansas	104.1	102.8	102.2	103.0
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.1	111.2

Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	132.8	131.6	133.5	132.6
Michigan	124.8	123.7	124.5	124.3
Penn St.	117.2	117.2	116.8	117.0
Maryland	112.5	112.4	112.2	112.3
Michigan St.	110.2	108.9	108.4	109.2
Rutgers	100.7	99.7	97.7	99.4
Indiana	99.7	98.9	97.2	98.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	119.2	118.5	119.2	119.0
Purdue	116.2	115.4	114.7	115.5
Wisconsin	113.7	113.3	112.7	113.3
Iowa	113.1	111.9	111.0	112.0
Illinois	109.7	110.3	108.5	109.5
Nebraska	102.3	102.0	100.9	101.7
Northwestern	94.1	95.0	92.3	93.8
Big Ten	111.9	111.3	110.7	111.3

Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.4	99.3	101.2	100.0
U A B	98.0	98.2	99.4	98.5
U T S A	98.1	97.2	98.7	98.0
Florida Atlantic	87.8	88.9	87.6	88.1
North Texas	86.6	85.9	87.7	86.7
Middle Tennessee	85.5	86.1	86.2	85.9
Rice	85.8	85.7	85.8	85.8
U T E P	85.7	85.6	85.5	85.6
Louisiana Tech	82.2	83.4	81.3	82.3
Charlotte	79.8	80.4	79.2	79.8
Florida Int’l.	63.9	66.3	62.3	64.2
CUSA	86.6	87.0	86.8	86.8

FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	113.4	111.9	113.8	113.0
BYU	109.9	108.3	109.6	109.3
Liberty	96.6	98.0	98.0	97.5
Army	93.7	93.8	93.7	93.7
Connecticut	81.2	82.3	79.5	81.0
Massachusetts	72.0	72.8	70.2	71.7
New Mexico St.	71.1	73.0	70.4	71.5
Independents	91.1	91.4	90.7	91.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	91.5	94.0	93.5	93.0
Kent St.	90.3	92.4	90.9	91.2
Buffalo	88.9	91.2	90.9	90.3
Ohio	85.4	87.5	86.9	86.6
Bowling Green	83.5	82.7	82.6	82.9
Akron	75.0	75.7	74.6	75.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	97.7	98.7	99.3	98.6
N. Illinois	92.4	92.7	92.5	92.5
Central Mich.	89.9	91.5	92.1	91.2
Western Mich.	87.8	88.5	88.2	88.2
Eastern Mich.	87.3	87.9	87.2	87.5
Ball St.	85.2	86.4	85.8	85.8
MAC	87.9	89.1	88.7	88.6

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	102.2	101.5	103.0	102.2
Air Force	100.7	100.6	101.4	100.9
Utah St.	91.2	91.2	91.9	91.4
Wyoming	86.6	88.6	87.9	87.7
Colorado St.	82.6	83.6	82.8	83.0
New Mexico	83.2	83.3	82.1	82.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	97.7	96.9	98.0	97.5
San Jose St.	95.5	96.2	97.2	96.3
San Diego St.	91.4	90.9	91.2	91.2
U N L V	90.0	88.4	90.2	89.6
Nevada	83.8	85.3	83.5	84.2
Hawaii	72.1	73.3	72.7	72.7
MWC	89.7	90.0	90.2	90.0

Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	117.0	116.3	118.6	117.3
Oregon	114.8	114.2	114.4	114.5
U S C	112.5	113.2	114.0	113.2
U C L A	111.0	111.1	112.8	111.6
Washington	107.5	108.0	108.3	107.9
Oregon St.	107.7	106.8	108.0	107.5
Washington St.	104.0	104.7	105.0	104.6
Arizona St.	102.0	101.8	102.8	102.2
Stanford	101.8	99.6	100.1	100.5
California	98.7	98.8	99.9	99.1
Arizona	95.5	95.2	95.2	95.3
Colorado	88.9	87.0	87.6	87.8
Pac-12	105.1	104.7	105.6	105.1

Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	130.6	129.3	131.6	130.5
Tennessee	120.7	120.8	121.2	120.9
Kentucky	109.8	110.3	110.7	110.3
South Carolina	109.7	109.1	109.8	109.5
Florida	106.1	107.6	106.5	106.7
Missouri	103.1	103.5	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	94.0	94.5	92.3	93.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.7	129.9	132.1	130.9
Mississippi St.	117.5	116.4	117.0	116.9
Ole Miss	116.5	115.0	115.2	115.6
L S U	113.2	112.4	112.3	112.6
Arkansas	112.6	110.9	112.5	112.0
Texas A&M	111.0	111.6	112.1	111.6
Auburn	106.2	104.7	104.7	105.2
SEC	113.0	112.6	112.9	112.8

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
James Madison	97.1	99.1	101.8	99.3
Georgia St.	96.2	95.8	98.2	96.7
Appalachian St.	95.4	96.8	97.4	96.6
Coastal Carolina	95.3	96.4	96.9	96.2
Marshall	94.4	95.3	94.7	94.8
Ga. Southern	90.5	90.3	91.4	90.7
Old Dominion	89.5	89.6	89.4	89.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	95.4	96.2	97.5	96.4
South Alabama	92.6	93.3	94.5	93.5
Louisiana	91.9	92.1	93.5	92.5
Southern Miss.	88.8	89.3	89.3	89.1
Arkansas St.	84.1	85.6	85.2	85.0
Texas St.	82.0	83.3	83.2	82.8
UL-Monroe	82.7	83.1	82.6	82.8
Sun Belt	91.1	91.9	92.6	91.9

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.8
2	Big Ten	111.3
3	Big 12	111.2
4	Atlantic Coast	105.9
5	Pac-12	105.1
6	American Athletic	98.4
7	Sun Belt	91.9
8	Independents	91.1
9	Mountain West	90.0
10	Mid-American	88.6
11	Conference USA	86.8

This Week’s Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	UAB	Miami (O)
Cure	Marshall	Kent St.
Fenway	Syracuse	Cincinnati
New Mexico	Western Kentucky	Wyoming
L.A.	Utah	San Jose St.
Lending Tree	Buffalo	Texas St.
Las Vegas	Washington St.	Texas A&M
Frisco	Indiana 5	California 5
Myrtle Beach	Memphis	Liberty
Famous Idaho Potato	Ball St.	Boise St.
Boca Raton	Central Florida	Louisville 5
New Orleans	Middle Tennessee	Appalachian St.
Armed Forces	Houston	North Texas
Independence	SMU	BYU
Gasparilla	Miami (Fla)	Auburn 5
Hawaii	UTSA	UNLV
Quick Lane	Wisconsin	Eastern Michigan
Camellia	Toledo	Troy
First Responder	Iowa St.	South Alabama
Birmingham	South Carolina	Nebraska 5
Guaranteed Rate	Kansas St.	Iowa
Military	Pittsburgh	Tulane
Liberty	Kansas	LSU
Holiday	North Carolina	Oregon
Texas	Oklahoma	[Air Force]
Pinstripe	Georgia Tech	Minnesota
Cheez-It	Notre Dame	Texas
Alamo	Baylor	Washington
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Purdue
Tony the Tiger Sun	Duke	Oregon St.
Arizona	Ohio	San Diego St.
Orange	North Carolina St.	Tennessee
Music City	Maryland	Kentucky
Sugar	Alabama	Oklahoma St.
TaxSlayer	Florida St.	Arkansas
Peach	Georgia	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	USC
Tampa Bay	Illinois	Mississippi St.
Citrus	Penn St.	Florida
Cotton	Ole Miss	Coastal Carolina
Rose	Michigan	UCLA
National Championship	Ohio St.	Clemson

5 after team name means projection to be in at 5-7

[Team] is at-large replacement when conference cannot fill an allotment

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