The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 9, 2022

PiRate Ratings–College Football for October 12-15, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 8:19 am

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
MarshallLouisiana5.05.73.7
West VirginiaBaylor-4.8-4.1-4.9
Central FloridaTemple29.427.932.2
SMUNavy12.312.213.0
Florida Int’l.UTSA-31.7-28.4-33.9
ToledoKent St.9.98.810.9
MassachusettsBuffalo-14.4-15.9-18.1
TennesseeAlabama-7.0-6.0-7.9
GeorgiaVanderbilt39.637.742.3
Virginia TechMiami (Fla.)-11.6-10.3-13.1
MichiganPenn St.10.69.510.8
KentuckyMississippi St.-4.6-3.1-3.3
DukeNorth Carolina-13.6-11.7-15.7
FloridaLSU-4.0-1.9-2.8
IndianaMaryland-9.7-10.5-12.0
SyracuseNorth Carolina St.-4.1-4.1-5.0
Ball St.Connecticut6.56.58.8
AkronCentral Michigan-12.4-13.4-15.0
PurdueNebraska17.016.416.9
Florida St.Clemson-4.6-5.0-5.2
East CarolinaMemphis4.53.65.2
South FloridaTulane-7.6-8.3-8.3
IllinoisMinnesota-6.6-5.2-7.7
Bowling GreenMiami (O)-5.6-8.8-8.3
Eastern MichiganNorthern Illinois-2.6-2.3-2.8
Coastal CarolinaOld Dominion8.39.310.0
Georgia SouthernJames Madison-4.2-6.3-7.9
Southern Miss.Arkansas St.7.26.36.5
BYUArkansas0.30.40.1
New Mexico St.New Mexico-10.6-8.7-10.2
ColoradoCalifornia-6.8-8.8-9.3
UtahUSC7.46.17.6
Oregon St.Washington St.6.75.16.0
WashingtonArizona15.015.816.1
Fresno St.San Jose St.4.73.23.3
TroyTexas St.15.915.516.7
Ole MissAuburn13.313.313.5
South AlabamaLouisiana-Monroe12.412.814.4
OklahomaKansas9.810.111.3
TCUOklahoma St.0.20.4-0.6
TexasIowa St.11.010.29.5
Western MichiganOhio4.93.53.8
Michigan St.Wisconsin-0.5-1.4-1.4
Middle TennesseeWestern Kentucky-11.9-11.2-13.0
UABCharlotte20.720.322.7
North TexasLouisiana Tech6.95.08.9
Florida AtlanticRice4.55.74.3
HawaiiNevada-8.7-9.0-7.8
Colorado St.Utah St.-6.1-5.2-6.6
Notre DameStanford14.615.416.6
UNLVAir Force-8.2-9.6-8.7

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBSFCSPiRate
ArmyColgate28.7
LibertyGardner-Webb29.7

Teams With Bye Weeks

Appalachian St.
Arizona St.
Boise St.
Boston College
Cincinnati
Georgia St.
Georgia Tech
Houston
Iowa
Kansas St.
Louisville
Missouri
Northwestern
Ohio St.
Oregon
Pittsburgh
Rutgers
San Diego St.
South Carolina
Texas A&M
Texas Tech
Tulsa
UCLA
UTEP
Virginia
Wake Forest
Wyoming

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Ohio St.132.6
2Alabama130.9
3Georgia130.5
4Michigan124.3
5Tennessee120.9
6Clemson120.1
7Minnesota119.0
8Oklahoma St.118.1
9Utah117.3
10Penn St.117.0
11Mississippi St.116.9
12Texas116.1
13NC State115.8
14Ole Miss115.6
15Purdue115.5
16T C U115.1
17Oregon114.5
18Baylor113.9
19Wisconsin113.3
20U S C113.2
21Notre Dame113.0
22L S U112.6
23Maryland112.3
24Florida St.112.2
25Kansas St.112.1
26Iowa112.0
27Arkansas112.0
28U C L A111.6
29Texas A&M111.6
30Pittsburgh110.6
31Wake Forest110.5
32Cincinnati110.5
33Oklahoma110.4
34Kentucky110.3
35Miami (Fla.)109.7
36South Carolina109.5
37Illinois109.5
38BYU109.3
39Michigan St.109.2
40Louisville109.1
41North Carolina108.9
42Iowa St.108.9
43Syracuse108.5
44Texas Tech108.3
45Washington107.9
46UCF107.8
47Oregon St.107.5
48Florida106.7
49West Virginia106.3
50Auburn105.2
51Washington St.104.6
52Missouri103.1
53Kansas103.0
54Tulane102.7
55SMU102.4
56Boise St.102.2
57Arizona St.102.2
58Nebraska101.7
59Houston101.3
60Air Force100.9
61Stanford100.5
62East Carolina100.0
63W. Kentucky100.0
64Rutgers99.4
65James Madison99.3
66California99.1
67Indiana98.6
68Toledo98.6
69U A B98.5
70Memphis98.0
71U T S A98.0
72Boston College97.6
73Fresno St.97.5
74Liberty97.5
75Virginia96.9
76Georgia St.96.7
77Appalachian St.96.6
78Troy96.4
79San Jose St.96.3
80Coastal Carolina96.2
81Arizona95.3
82Virginia Tech95.0
83Marshall94.8
84Duke94.3
85Tulsa93.9
86Northwestern93.8
87Georgia Tech93.8
88Army93.7
89Vanderbilt93.6
90South Alabama93.5
91Miami (Ohio)93.0
92Navy92.9
93N. Illinois92.5
94Louisiana92.5
95USF92.1
96Utah St.91.4
97Kent St.91.2
98San Diego St.91.2
99Central Mich.91.2
100Ga. Southern90.7
101Buffalo90.3
102U N L V89.6
103Old Dominion89.5
104Southern Miss.89.1
105Western Mich.88.2
106Florida Atlantic88.1
107Colorado87.8
108Wyoming87.7
109Eastern Mich.87.5
110North Texas86.7
111Ohio86.6
112Middle Tennessee85.9
113Ball St.85.8
114Rice85.8
115U T E P85.6
116Arkansas St.85.0
117Nevada84.2
118Colorado St.83.0
119Bowling Green82.9
120New Mexico82.9
121Texas St.82.8
122UL-Monroe82.8
123Louisiana Tech82.3
124Connecticut81.0
125Temple81.0
126Charlotte79.8
127Akron75.1
128Hawaii72.7
129Massachusetts71.7
130New Mexico St.71.5
131Florida Int’l.64.2

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati110.3109.7111.5110.5
UCF107.4108.0108.1107.8
Tulane102.9102.4102.8102.7
SMU102.7101.9102.6102.4
Houston101.5100.7101.6101.3
East Carolina100.099.5100.4100.0
Memphis98.098.497.798.0
Tulsa94.293.594.193.9
Navy93.392.792.692.9
USF92.891.692.092.1
Temple81.083.078.981.0

AAC98.698.398.498.4

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson120.0120.0120.4120.1
NC State116.3115.3115.9115.8
Florida St.112.4112.0112.2112.2
Wake Forest110.5110.4110.6110.5
Louisville109.8109.0108.7109.1
Syracuse109.3108.2107.9108.5
Boston College97.698.696.597.6

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh111.6110.5109.7110.6
Miami (Fla.)110.3109.1109.7109.7
North Carolina108.9109.1108.9108.9
Virginia97.797.695.596.9
Virginia Tech95.795.893.695.0
Duke94.296.492.194.3
Georgia Tech94.594.392.793.8

ACC106.3106.2105.3105.9

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma St.118.7117.2118.5118.1
Texas117.0116.1115.2116.1
T C U115.9114.6115.0115.1
Baylor114.5113.4113.9113.9
Kansas St.112.8111.5112.1112.1
Oklahoma110.9109.8110.5110.4
Iowa St.109.0108.8108.8108.9
Texas Tech108.5107.3109.1108.3
West Virginia106.7106.3106.0106.3
Kansas104.1102.8102.2103.0

Big 12111.8110.8111.1111.2

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.132.8131.6133.5132.6
Michigan124.8123.7124.5124.3
Penn St.117.2117.2116.8117.0
Maryland112.5112.4112.2112.3
Michigan St.110.2108.9108.4109.2
Rutgers100.799.797.799.4
Indiana99.798.997.298.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota119.2118.5119.2119.0
Purdue116.2115.4114.7115.5
Wisconsin113.7113.3112.7113.3
Iowa113.1111.9111.0112.0
Illinois109.7110.3108.5109.5
Nebraska102.3102.0100.9101.7
Northwestern94.195.092.393.8

Big Ten111.9111.3110.7111.3

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky99.499.3101.2100.0
U A B98.098.299.498.5
U T S A98.197.298.798.0
Florida Atlantic87.888.987.688.1
North Texas86.685.987.786.7
Middle Tennessee85.586.186.285.9
Rice85.885.785.885.8
U T E P85.785.685.585.6
Louisiana Tech82.283.481.382.3
Charlotte79.880.479.279.8
Florida Int’l.63.966.362.364.2

CUSA86.687.086.886.8

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame113.4111.9113.8113.0
BYU109.9108.3109.6109.3
Liberty96.698.098.097.5
Army93.793.893.793.7
Connecticut81.282.379.581.0
Massachusetts72.072.870.271.7
New Mexico St.71.173.070.471.5

Independents91.191.490.791.1

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.594.093.593.0
Kent St.90.392.490.991.2
Buffalo88.991.290.990.3
Ohio85.487.586.986.6
Bowling Green83.582.782.682.9
Akron75.075.774.675.1

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo97.798.799.398.6
N. Illinois92.492.792.592.5
Central Mich.89.991.592.191.2
Western Mich.87.888.588.288.2
Eastern Mich.87.387.987.287.5
Ball St.85.286.485.885.8

MAC87.989.188.788.6

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Boise St.102.2101.5103.0102.2
Air Force100.7100.6101.4100.9
Utah St.91.291.291.991.4
Wyoming86.688.687.987.7
Colorado St.82.683.682.883.0
New Mexico83.283.382.182.9

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.97.796.998.097.5
San Jose St.95.596.297.296.3
San Diego St.91.490.991.291.2
U N L V90.088.490.289.6
Nevada83.885.383.584.2
Hawaii72.173.372.772.7

MWC89.790.090.290.0

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah117.0116.3118.6117.3
Oregon114.8114.2114.4114.5
U S C112.5113.2114.0113.2
U C L A111.0111.1112.8111.6
Washington107.5108.0108.3107.9
Oregon St.107.7106.8108.0107.5
Washington St.104.0104.7105.0104.6
Arizona St.102.0101.8102.8102.2
Stanford101.899.6100.1100.5
California98.798.899.999.1
Arizona95.595.295.295.3
Colorado88.987.087.687.8

Pac-12105.1104.7105.6105.1

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia130.6129.3131.6130.5
Tennessee120.7120.8121.2120.9
Kentucky109.8110.3110.7110.3
South Carolina109.7109.1109.8109.5
Florida106.1107.6106.5106.7
Missouri103.1103.5102.5103.1
Vanderbilt94.094.592.393.6

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama130.7129.9132.1130.9
Mississippi St.117.5116.4117.0116.9
Ole Miss116.5115.0115.2115.6
L S U113.2112.4112.3112.6
Arkansas112.6110.9112.5112.0
Texas A&M111.0111.6112.1111.6
Auburn106.2104.7104.7105.2

SEC113.0112.6112.9112.8

Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
James Madison97.199.1101.899.3
Georgia St.96.295.898.296.7
Appalachian St.95.496.897.496.6
Coastal Carolina95.396.496.996.2
Marshall94.495.394.794.8
Ga. Southern90.590.391.490.7
Old Dominion89.589.689.489.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy95.496.297.596.4
South Alabama92.693.394.593.5
Louisiana91.992.193.592.5
Southern Miss.88.889.389.389.1
Arkansas St.84.185.685.285.0
Texas St.82.083.383.282.8
UL-Monroe82.783.182.682.8

Sun Belt91.191.992.691.9

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.8
2Big Ten111.3
3Big 12111.2
4Atlantic Coast105.9
5Pac-12105.1
6American Athletic98.4
7Sun Belt91.9
8Independents91.1
9Mountain West90.0
10Mid-American88.6
11Conference USA86.8

This Week’s Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasUABMiami (O)
CureMarshallKent St.
FenwaySyracuseCincinnati
New MexicoWestern KentuckyWyoming
L.A.UtahSan Jose St.
Lending TreeBuffaloTexas St.
Las VegasWashington St.Texas A&M
FriscoIndiana 5California 5
Myrtle BeachMemphisLiberty
Famous Idaho PotatoBall St.Boise St.
Boca RatonCentral FloridaLouisville 5
New OrleansMiddle TennesseeAppalachian St.
Armed ForcesHoustonNorth Texas
IndependenceSMUBYU
GasparillaMiami (Fla)Auburn 5
HawaiiUTSAUNLV
Quick LaneWisconsinEastern Michigan
CamelliaToledoTroy
First ResponderIowa St.South Alabama
BirminghamSouth CarolinaNebraska 5
Guaranteed RateKansas St.Iowa
MilitaryPittsburghTulane
LibertyKansasLSU
HolidayNorth CarolinaOregon
TexasOklahoma[Air Force]
PinstripeGeorgia TechMinnesota
Cheez-ItNotre DameTexas
AlamoBaylorWashington
Duke’s MayoWake ForestPurdue
Tony the Tiger SunDukeOregon St.
ArizonaOhioSan Diego St.
OrangeNorth Carolina St.Tennessee
Music CityMarylandKentucky
SugarAlabamaOklahoma St.
TaxSlayerFlorida St.Arkansas
PeachGeorgiaClemson
FiestaOhio St.USC
Tampa BayIllinoisMississippi St.
CitrusPenn St.Florida
CottonOle MissCoastal Carolina
RoseMichiganUCLA
National ChampionshipOhio St.Clemson

5 after team name means projection to be in at 5-7

[Team] is at-large replacement when conference cannot fill an allotment

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