PiRate Ratings College Football–October 5-8, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Central Florida	SMU	4.9	6.3	5.4
Rutgers	Nebraska	1.8	1.0	0.1
Memphis	Houston	-1.0	0.4	-1.4
Nevada	Colorado St.	6.5	7.5	6.4
San Jose St.	UNLV	2.8	5.3	4.1
Georgia Tech	Duke	2.9	0.4	3.2
Maryland	Purdue	-0.4	0.6	1.2
Virginia	Louisville	-7.5	-6.4	-8.3
Miami (Fla.)	North Carolina	6.1	4.6	5.8
Indiana	Michigan	-22.1	-21.8	-24.7
Bowling Green	Buffalo	3.4	-0.1	0.4
Pittsburgh	Virginia Tech	18.6	17.1	19.0
Georgia	Auburn	26.5	26.5	29.0
Boston College	Clemson	-18.0	-16.6	-19.3
Massachusetts	Liberty	-23.0	-24.0	-27.2
Michigan St.	Ohio St.	-17.0	-16.9	-19.5
Kentucky	South Carolina	6.8	8.2	8.0
North Carolina St.	Florida St.	7.3	6.7	7.6
Kansas	TCU	-9.0	-9.2	-10.6
Florida	Missouri	6.0	7.0	7.0
Cincinnati	South Florida	23.6	24.4	26.2
Georgia St.	Georgia Southern	7.1	6.6	8.3
Miami (O)	Kent St.	3.3	3.6	5.0
Western Michigan	Eastern Michigan	8.4	8.7	9.5
Texas St.	Appalachian St.	-15.9	-16.4	-17.5
Wake Forest	Army	15.2	14.8	14.9
Arkansas St.	James Madison	-7.6	-8.1	-11.4
Iowa St.	Kansas St.	-0.7	0.3	-0.4
Boise St.	Fresno St.	4.9	4.8	5.1
Ohio	Akron	9.9	11.7	11.9
Utah St.	Air Force	-9.4	-9.4	-9.7
Arizona	Oregon	-13.9	-13.3	-13.4
USC	Washington St.	10.8	10.6	10.9
UCLA	Utah	-6.3	-5.5	-6.5
Arizona St.	Washington	-4.6	-5.9	-5.3
Stanford	Oregon St.	-3.1	-4.9	-5.7
Louisiana-Monroe	Coastal Carolina	-10.3	-11.4	-12.8
Vanderbilt	Ole Miss	-20.1	-17.4	-20.1
LSU	Tennessee	0.8	-0.1	-0.4
Tulane	East Carolina	3.4	3.3	2.4
Oklahoma St.	Texas Tech	13.8	13.8	13.5
Oklahoma	Texas	2.1	2.0	3.4
Alabama	Texas A&M	25.0	23.6	25.3
Troy	Southern Miss.	6.9	7.0	8.3
Mississippi St.	Arkansas	4.5	4.8	3.5
Northwestern	Wisconsin	-12.3	-10.6	-12.7
Illinois	Iowa	-1.1	0.7	-0.6
Navy	Tulsa	-4.0	-4.2	-5.3
Central Michigan	Ball St.	8.9	9.8	11.3
Northern Illinois	Toledo	1.9	1.2	0.4
UAB	Middle Tennessee	12.1	11.3	12.4
UTSA	Western Kentucky	1.5	0.5	-0.3
Florida Int’l.	Connecticut	-13.8	-12.1	-13.2
Louisiana Tech	UTEP	-3.2	-1.7	-4.5
New Mexico	Wyoming	2.1	0.3	-0.2
Notre Dame	BYU	3.1	3.0	3.6
San Diego St.	Hawaii	25.2	23.6	24.9

Oklahoma-Texas played in Dallas / Notre Dame-BYU played in Las Vegas

No FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

Teams With Byes This Week

Baylor

California

Charlotte

Colorado

Florida Atlantic

Louisiana

Marshall

Minnesota

New Mexico St.

North Texas

Old Dominion

Penn St.

Rice

South Alabama

Syracuse

Temple

West Virginia

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Alabama	132.2
2	Ohio St.	131.3
3	Georgia	130.2
4	Michigan	124.4
5	Clemson	119.3
6	Utah	118.7
7	Minnesota	118.7
8	Oklahoma St.	118.4
9	Tennessee	118.0
10	Penn St.	116.7
11	NC State	116.1
12	T C U	115.4
13	Oklahoma	115.2
14	Ole Miss	115.2
15	Purdue	115.2
16	Mississippi St.	115.1
17	L S U	115.1
18	Arkansas	113.8
19	Baylor	113.6
20	Oregon	113.2
21	Notre Dame	112.8
22	Texas	112.7
23	Maryland	112.6
24	U S C	112.6
25	Iowa	112.6
26	Cincinnati	112.4
27	Kentucky	112.2
28	Kansas St.	112.1
29	Florida St.	111.9
30	Wisconsin	111.1
31	Pittsburgh	110.7
32	Texas A&M	110.6
33	Miami (Fla.)	110.6
34	Michigan St.	110.5
35	U C L A	109.7
36	BYU	109.5
37	Illinois	109.2
38	Washington	109.2
39	Iowa St.	108.9
40	Wake Forest	108.5
41	Louisville	108.2
42	Syracuse	108.2
43	North Carolina	108.1
44	Oregon St.	107.8
45	Texas Tech	107.7
46	South Carolina	107.6
47	Florida	106.7
48	UCF	106.5
49	West Virginia	106.0
50	Auburn	105.8
51	Washington St.	104.9
52	SMU	104.0
53	Missouri	103.1
54	Kansas	102.8
55	Air Force	102.4
56	Nebraska	101.6
57	Tulane	101.4
58	East Carolina	101.3
59	Houston	101.2
60	Arizona St.	100.9
61	Boise St.	100.8
62	Stanford	100.2
63	W. Kentucky	100.2
64	Rutgers	99.6
65	Appalachian St.	99.3
66	Fresno St.	98.9
67	California	98.8
68	Indiana	98.5
69	Boston College	98.4
70	Virginia	98.3
71	Memphis	98.1
72	Liberty	98.0
73	U T S A	97.8
74	James Madison	97.8
75	Tulsa	97.2
76	U A B	97.1
77	Georgia St.	96.6
78	Arizona	96.6
79	Coastal Carolina	96.5
80	Toledo	96.4
81	Northwestern	96.2
82	Army	96.0
83	Troy	95.2
84	N. Illinois	95.0
85	Virginia Tech	94.9
86	Marshall	94.6
87	Duke	94.2
88	Vanderbilt	94.0
89	Georgia Tech	93.9
90	South Alabama	93.3
91	San Jose St.	93.2
92	Miami (Ohio)	93.1
93	San Diego St.	93.0
94	Central Mich.	92.5
95	Louisiana	92.3
96	U N L V	92.2
97	Kent St.	91.1
98	Western Mich.	91.0
99	Ga. Southern	90.8
100	USF	90.7
101	Southern Miss.	90.3
102	Utah St.	89.9
103	Navy	89.6
104	Old Dominion	89.3
105	Florida Atlantic	87.9
106	Middle Tennessee	87.7
107	Colorado	87.5
108	Buffalo	87.4
109	U T E P	86.8
110	North Texas	86.5
111	Wyoming	86.4
112	Arkansas St.	86.2
113	Bowling Green	86.1
114	Nevada	85.6
115	Rice	85.6
116	Ohio	85.4
117	Ball St.	85.0
118	Eastern Mich.	84.7
119	New Mexico	84.2
120	UL-Monroe	82.5
121	Colorado St.	81.8
122	Louisiana Tech	81.2
123	Temple	80.8
124	Connecticut	80.4
125	Texas St.	80.1
126	Charlotte	79.6
127	Akron	76.3
128	Hawaii	71.4
129	New Mexico St.	71.3
130	Massachusetts	71.2
131	Florida Int’l.	64.8

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	112.1	111.6	113.6	112.4
UCF	106.1	106.8	106.7	106.5
SMU	104.3	103.4	104.3	104.0
Tulane	101.7	101.1	101.3	101.4
East Carolina	101.2	100.8	101.9	101.3
Houston	101.5	100.6	101.6	101.2
Memphis	98.0	98.5	97.7	98.1
Tulsa	97.3	96.7	97.5	97.2
USF	91.5	90.2	90.4	90.7
Navy	90.2	89.5	89.2	89.6
Temple	80.8	82.8	78.7	80.8
AAC	98.6	98.3	98.5	98.5
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.3	119.1	119.6	119.3
NC State	116.5	115.5	116.3	116.1
Florida St.	112.2	111.8	111.8	111.9
Wake Forest	108.6	108.4	108.5	108.5
Louisville	109.0	108.0	107.8	108.2
Syracuse	109.0	107.9	107.6	108.2
Boston College	98.3	99.5	97.3	98.4
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	111.7	110.5	109.9	110.7
Miami (Fla.)	111.1	109.9	110.7	110.6
North Carolina	108.1	108.3	107.9	108.1
Virginia	99.0	99.1	96.9	98.3
Virginia Tech	95.6	95.8	93.4	94.9
Duke	94.1	96.4	92.0	94.2
Georgia Tech	94.6	94.3	92.8	93.9
ACC	106.2	106.0	105.2	105.8
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	118.9	117.5	118.9	118.4
T C U	116.0	114.8	115.4	115.4
Oklahoma	115.7	114.6	115.3	115.2
Baylor	114.2	113.1	113.6	113.6
Texas	113.6	112.7	111.8	112.7
Kansas St.	112.8	111.5	112.1	112.1
Iowa St.	109.0	108.8	108.8	108.9
Texas Tech	108.0	106.7	108.4	107.7
West Virginia	106.4	106.0	105.7	106.0
Kansas	104.0	102.6	101.8	102.8
Big 12	111.8	110.8	111.2	111.3
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	131.5	130.2	132.2	131.3
Michigan	124.8	123.7	124.7	124.4
Penn St.	116.9	116.9	116.5	116.7
Maryland	112.7	112.7	112.6	112.6
Michigan St.	111.5	110.3	109.7	110.5
Rutgers	100.9	99.9	97.9	99.6
Indiana	99.7	98.9	97.0	98.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Minnesota	118.9	118.2	118.9	118.7
Purdue	116.0	115.1	114.3	115.2
Iowa	113.6	112.4	111.7	112.6
Wisconsin	111.7	111.1	110.5	111.1
Illinois	109.5	110.1	108.1	109.2
Nebraska	102.2	101.9	100.8	101.6
Northwestern	96.4	97.5	94.8	96.2
Big Ten	111.9	111.3	110.7	111.3
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
W. Kentucky	99.5	99.5	101.6	100.2
U T S A	98.0	97.0	98.3	97.8
U A B	96.7	96.7	97.9	97.1
Florida Atlantic	87.6	88.7	87.4	87.9
Middle Tennessee	87.1	87.9	88.0	87.7
U T E P	86.8	86.6	86.9	86.8
North Texas	86.4	85.7	87.5	86.5
Rice	85.6	85.5	85.6	85.6
Louisiana Tech	81.1	82.4	79.9	81.2
Charlotte	79.6	80.2	79.0	79.6
Florida Int’l.	64.4	67.0	63.0	64.8
CUSA	86.6	87.0	86.8	86.8
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	113.2	111.6	113.5	112.8
BYU	110.1	108.6	109.9	109.5
Liberty	96.8	98.4	98.7	98.0
Army	95.9	96.1	96.1	96.0
Connecticut	80.7	81.6	78.8	80.4
New Mexico St.	70.9	72.8	70.2	71.3
Massachusetts	71.8	72.4	69.5	71.2
Independents	91.3	91.6	91.0	91.3
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	91.5	94.0	93.7	93.1
Kent St.	90.3	92.4	90.7	91.1
Buffalo	85.9	88.4	88.0	87.4
Bowling Green	86.8	85.8	85.8	86.1
Ohio	84.2	86.4	85.7	85.4
Akron	76.2	76.8	75.8	76.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	95.5	96.5	97.1	96.4
N. Illinois	94.9	95.2	95.0	95.0
Central Mich.	91.0	92.8	93.6	92.5
Western Mich.	90.5	91.3	91.2	91.0
Ball St.	84.6	85.6	84.8	85.0
Eastern Mich.	84.6	85.1	84.2	84.7
MAC	88.0	89.2	88.8	88.7
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Air Force	102.1	102.1	103.0	102.4
Boise St.	100.9	100.1	101.5	100.8
Utah St.	89.8	89.7	90.3	89.9
Wyoming	85.3	87.3	86.6	86.4
New Mexico	84.5	84.6	83.4	84.2
Colorado St.	81.6	82.4	81.6	81.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	99.0	98.3	99.5	98.9
San Jose St.	92.4	93.2	94.0	93.2
San Diego St.	93.1	92.6	93.1	93.0
U N L V	92.6	90.9	92.9	92.2
Nevada	85.1	86.8	85.0	85.6
Hawaii	70.9	72.1	71.3	71.4
MWC	89.8	90.0	90.2	90.0
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	118.4	117.7	120.2	118.7
Oregon	113.6	112.9	113.0	113.2
U S C	112.0	112.6	113.3	112.6
U C L A	109.1	109.2	110.7	109.7
Washington	108.6	109.3	109.7	109.2
Oregon St.	107.8	107.1	108.4	107.8
Washington St.	104.2	105.0	105.4	104.9
Arizona St.	100.9	100.5	101.4	100.9
Stanford	101.7	99.3	99.7	100.2
California	98.4	98.5	99.6	98.8
Arizona	96.7	96.5	96.6	96.6
Colorado	88.6	86.7	87.3	87.5
Pac-12	105.0	104.6	105.4	105.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	130.3	128.9	131.3	130.2
Tennessee	117.8	117.9	118.2	118.0
Kentucky	111.6	112.3	112.8	112.2
South Carolina	107.9	107.1	107.7	107.6
Florida	106.1	107.6	106.5	106.7
Missouri	103.1	103.5	102.5	103.1
Vanderbilt	94.2	95.0	92.7	94.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	132.0	131.2	133.4	132.2
Ole Miss	116.3	114.5	114.8	115.2
Mississippi St.	115.8	114.6	115.0	115.1
L S U	115.6	114.8	114.8	115.1
Arkansas	114.3	112.7	114.5	113.8
Texas A&M	110.0	110.6	111.1	110.6
Auburn	106.8	105.4	105.3	105.8
SEC	113.0	112.6	112.9	112.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.9	99.5	100.3	99.3
James Madison	95.5	97.5	100.3	97.8
Georgia St.	96.1	95.6	98.2	96.6
Coastal Carolina	95.4	96.7	97.4	96.5
Marshall	94.2	95.1	94.5	94.6
Ga. Southern	90.6	90.5	91.4	90.8
Old Dominion	89.3	89.4	89.2	89.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Troy	94.3	95.0	96.3	95.2
South Alabama	92.4	93.1	94.3	93.3
Louisiana	91.7	91.9	93.3	92.3
Southern Miss.	89.9	90.5	90.5	90.3
Arkansas St.	85.4	86.9	86.4	86.2
UL-Monroe	82.6	82.8	82.1	82.5
Texas St.	79.5	80.6	80.3	80.1
Sun Belt	91.1	91.8	92.5	91.8

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.8
2	Big Ten	111.3
3	Big 12	111.3
4	Atlantic Coast	105.8
5	Pac-12	105.0
6	American Athletic	98.5
7	Sun Belt	91.8
8	Independents	91.3
9	Mountain West	90.0
10	Mid-American	88.7
11	Conference USA	86.8

2022 Debut of Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Rice	Western Michigan
Cure	Middle Tennessee	Southern Miss.
Fenway	Notre Dame	Central Florida
New Mexico	UTSA	New Mexico
L.A.	Oregon St.	San Jose St.
Lending Tree	Kent St.	Marshall
Las Vegas	USC	LSU
Frisco	{Kansas}	BYU
Myrtle Beach	{Iowa St.}	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Boise St.	Ball St.
Boca Raton	{Texas Tech}	Coastal Carolina
New Orleans	Troy	UAB
Armed Forces	Houston	Western Kentucky
Independence	SMU	Army
Gasparilla	[South Carolina]	Memphis
Hawaii	UNLV	UTEP
Quick Lane	{Liberty}	Eastern Michigan
Camellia	Miami (O)	South Alabama
First Responder	Tulsa	{Wyoming}
Birmingham	North Texas	[Louisville]
Guaranteed Rate	Texas	[Wisconsin]
Military	Pittsburgh	Tulane
Liberty	Baylor	{Washington St.}
Holiday	UCLA	Syracuse
Texas	Oklahoma	Texas A&M
Pinstripe	North Carolina	Purdue
Cheez-It	Duke	Kansas St.
Alamo	Oklahoma St.	Oregon
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Maryland
Tony the Tiger	Miami (Fla.)	Washingon
Arizona	Air Force	Toledo
Orange	North Carolina St.	Tennessee
Music City	Iowa	Florida
Sugar	TCU	Ole Miss
TaxSlayer	Mississippi St.	Florida St.
Peach	Alabama	Clemson
Fiesta	Ohio St.	Georgia
Tampa Bay	Minnesota	Kentucky
Citrus	Illinois	Arkansas
Cotton	Penn St.	Cincinnati
Rose	Utah	Michigan
National Championship	Alabama	Ohio St.

{Team} = At-large replacement when team not available

[Team] = Team projected to be 5-7 but receive bid due to highest APR scores