The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 2, 2022

PiRate Ratings College Football–October 5-8, 2022

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 1:22 pm

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

HomeVisitorPiRateMeanBias
Central FloridaSMU4.96.35.4
RutgersNebraska1.81.00.1
MemphisHouston-1.00.4-1.4
NevadaColorado St.6.57.56.4
San Jose St.UNLV2.85.34.1
Georgia TechDuke2.90.43.2
MarylandPurdue-0.40.61.2
VirginiaLouisville-7.5-6.4-8.3
Miami (Fla.)North Carolina6.14.65.8
IndianaMichigan-22.1-21.8-24.7
Bowling GreenBuffalo3.4-0.10.4
PittsburghVirginia Tech18.617.119.0
GeorgiaAuburn26.526.529.0
Boston CollegeClemson-18.0-16.6-19.3
MassachusettsLiberty-23.0-24.0-27.2
Michigan St.Ohio St.-17.0-16.9-19.5
KentuckySouth Carolina6.88.28.0
North Carolina St.Florida St.7.36.77.6
KansasTCU-9.0-9.2-10.6
FloridaMissouri6.07.07.0
CincinnatiSouth Florida23.624.426.2
Georgia St.Georgia Southern7.16.68.3
Miami (O)Kent St.3.33.65.0
Western MichiganEastern Michigan8.48.79.5
Texas St.Appalachian St.-15.9-16.4-17.5
Wake ForestArmy15.214.814.9
Arkansas St.James Madison-7.6-8.1-11.4
Iowa St.Kansas St.-0.70.3-0.4
Boise St.Fresno St.4.94.85.1
OhioAkron9.911.711.9
Utah St.Air Force-9.4-9.4-9.7
ArizonaOregon-13.9-13.3-13.4
USCWashington St.10.810.610.9
UCLAUtah-6.3-5.5-6.5
Arizona St.Washington-4.6-5.9-5.3
StanfordOregon St.-3.1-4.9-5.7
Louisiana-MonroeCoastal Carolina-10.3-11.4-12.8
VanderbiltOle Miss-20.1-17.4-20.1
LSUTennessee0.8-0.1-0.4
TulaneEast Carolina3.43.32.4
Oklahoma St.Texas Tech13.813.813.5
Oklahoma Texas2.12.03.4
AlabamaTexas A&M25.023.625.3
TroySouthern Miss.6.97.08.3
Mississippi St.Arkansas4.54.83.5
NorthwesternWisconsin-12.3-10.6-12.7
IllinoisIowa-1.10.7-0.6
NavyTulsa-4.0-4.2-5.3
Central MichiganBall St.8.99.811.3
Northern IllinoisToledo1.91.20.4
UABMiddle Tennessee12.111.312.4
UTSAWestern Kentucky1.50.5-0.3
Florida Int’l.Connecticut-13.8-12.1-13.2
Louisiana TechUTEP-3.2-1.7-4.5
New MexicoWyoming2.10.3-0.2
Notre Dame BYU3.13.03.6
San Diego St.Hawaii25.223.624.9
Oklahoma-Texas played in Dallas / Notre Dame-BYU played in Las Vegas

No FBS vs. FCS Games This Week

Teams With Byes This Week

Baylor
California
Charlotte
Colorado
Florida Atlantic
Louisiana
Marshall
Minnesota
New Mexico St.
North Texas
Old Dominion
Penn St.
Rice
South Alabama
Syracuse
Temple
West Virginia

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

RankTeamRating
1Alabama132.2
2Ohio St.131.3
3Georgia130.2
4Michigan124.4
5Clemson119.3
6Utah118.7
7Minnesota118.7
8Oklahoma St.118.4
9Tennessee118.0
10Penn St.116.7
11NC State116.1
12T C U115.4
13Oklahoma115.2
14Ole Miss115.2
15Purdue115.2
16Mississippi St.115.1
17L S U115.1
18Arkansas113.8
19Baylor113.6
20Oregon113.2
21Notre Dame112.8
22Texas112.7
23Maryland112.6
24U S C112.6
25Iowa112.6
26Cincinnati112.4
27Kentucky112.2
28Kansas St.112.1
29Florida St.111.9
30Wisconsin111.1
31Pittsburgh110.7
32Texas A&M110.6
33Miami (Fla.)110.6
34Michigan St.110.5
35U C L A109.7
36BYU109.5
37Illinois109.2
38Washington109.2
39Iowa St.108.9
40Wake Forest108.5
41Louisville108.2
42Syracuse108.2
43North Carolina108.1
44Oregon St.107.8
45Texas Tech107.7
46South Carolina107.6
47Florida106.7
48UCF106.5
49West Virginia106.0
50Auburn105.8
51Washington St.104.9
52SMU104.0
53Missouri103.1
54Kansas102.8
55Air Force102.4
56Nebraska101.6
57Tulane101.4
58East Carolina101.3
59Houston101.2
60Arizona St.100.9
61Boise St.100.8
62Stanford100.2
63W. Kentucky100.2
64Rutgers99.6
65Appalachian St.99.3
66Fresno St.98.9
67California98.8
68Indiana98.5
69Boston College98.4
70Virginia98.3
71Memphis98.1
72Liberty98.0
73U T S A97.8
74James Madison97.8
75Tulsa97.2
76U A B97.1
77Georgia St.96.6
78Arizona96.6
79Coastal Carolina96.5
80Toledo96.4
81Northwestern96.2
82Army96.0
83Troy95.2
84N. Illinois95.0
85Virginia Tech94.9
86Marshall94.6
87Duke94.2
88Vanderbilt94.0
89Georgia Tech93.9
90South Alabama93.3
91San Jose St.93.2
92Miami (Ohio)93.1
93San Diego St.93.0
94Central Mich.92.5
95Louisiana92.3
96U N L V92.2
97Kent St.91.1
98Western Mich.91.0
99Ga. Southern90.8
100USF90.7
101Southern Miss.90.3
102Utah St.89.9
103Navy89.6
104Old Dominion89.3
105Florida Atlantic87.9
106Middle Tennessee87.7
107Colorado87.5
108Buffalo87.4
109U T E P86.8
110North Texas86.5
111Wyoming86.4
112Arkansas St.86.2
113Bowling Green86.1
114Nevada85.6
115Rice85.6
116Ohio85.4
117Ball St.85.0
118Eastern Mich.84.7
119New Mexico84.2
120UL-Monroe82.5
121Colorado St.81.8
122Louisiana Tech81.2
123Temple80.8
124Connecticut80.4
125Texas St.80.1
126Charlotte79.6
127Akron76.3
128Hawaii71.4
129New Mexico St.71.3
130Massachusetts71.2
131Florida Int’l.64.8

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Cincinnati112.1111.6113.6112.4
UCF106.1106.8106.7106.5
SMU104.3103.4104.3104.0
Tulane101.7101.1101.3101.4
East Carolina101.2100.8101.9101.3
Houston101.5100.6101.6101.2
Memphis98.098.597.798.1
Tulsa97.396.797.597.2
USF91.590.290.490.7
Navy90.289.589.289.6
Temple80.882.878.780.8

AAC98.698.398.598.5

Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.3119.1119.6119.3
NC State116.5115.5116.3116.1
Florida St.112.2111.8111.8111.9
Wake Forest108.6108.4108.5108.5
Louisville109.0108.0107.8108.2
Syracuse109.0107.9107.6108.2
Boston College98.399.597.398.4

Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh111.7110.5109.9110.7
Miami (Fla.)111.1109.9110.7110.6
North Carolina108.1108.3107.9108.1
Virginia99.099.196.998.3
Virginia Tech95.695.893.494.9
Duke94.196.492.094.2
Georgia Tech94.694.392.893.9

ACC106.2106.0105.2105.8

Big 12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Oklahoma St.118.9117.5118.9118.4
T C U116.0114.8115.4115.4
Oklahoma115.7114.6115.3115.2
Baylor114.2113.1113.6113.6
Texas113.6112.7111.8112.7
Kansas St.112.8111.5112.1112.1
Iowa St.109.0108.8108.8108.9
Texas Tech108.0106.7108.4107.7
West Virginia106.4106.0105.7106.0
Kansas104.0102.6101.8102.8

Big 12111.8110.8111.2111.3

Big Ten Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Ohio St.131.5130.2132.2131.3
Michigan124.8123.7124.7124.4
Penn St.116.9116.9116.5116.7
Maryland112.7112.7112.6112.6
Michigan St.111.5110.3109.7110.5
Rutgers100.999.997.999.6
Indiana99.798.997.098.5

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Minnesota118.9118.2118.9118.7
Purdue116.0115.1114.3115.2
Iowa113.6112.4111.7112.6
Wisconsin111.7111.1110.5111.1
Illinois109.5110.1108.1109.2
Nebraska102.2101.9100.8101.6
Northwestern96.497.594.896.2

Big Ten111.9111.3110.7111.3

Conference USA
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
W. Kentucky99.599.5101.6100.2
U T S A98.097.098.397.8
U A B96.796.797.997.1
Florida Atlantic87.688.787.487.9
Middle Tennessee87.187.988.087.7
U T E P86.886.686.986.8
North Texas86.485.787.586.5
Rice85.685.585.685.6
Louisiana Tech81.182.479.981.2
Charlotte79.680.279.079.6
Florida Int’l.64.467.063.064.8

CUSA86.687.086.886.8

FBS Independents
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Notre Dame113.2111.6113.5112.8
BYU110.1108.6109.9109.5
Liberty96.898.498.798.0
Army95.996.196.196.0
Connecticut80.781.678.880.4
New Mexico St.70.972.870.271.3
Massachusetts71.872.469.571.2

Independents91.391.691.091.3

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.594.093.793.1
Kent St.90.392.490.791.1
Buffalo85.988.488.087.4
Bowling Green86.885.885.886.1
Ohio84.286.485.785.4
Akron76.276.875.876.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Toledo95.596.597.196.4
N. Illinois94.995.295.095.0
Central Mich.91.092.893.692.5
Western Mich.90.591.391.291.0
Ball St.84.685.684.885.0
Eastern Mich.84.685.184.284.7

MAC88.089.288.888.7

Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Air Force102.1102.1103.0102.4
Boise St.100.9100.1101.5100.8
Utah St.89.889.790.389.9
Wyoming85.387.386.686.4
New Mexico84.584.683.484.2
Colorado St.81.682.481.681.8

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Fresno St.99.098.399.598.9
San Jose St.92.493.294.093.2
San Diego St.93.192.693.193.0
U N L V92.690.992.992.2
Nevada85.186.885.085.6
Hawaii70.972.171.371.4

MWC89.890.090.290.0

Pac-12 Conference
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Utah118.4117.7120.2118.7
Oregon113.6112.9113.0113.2
U S C112.0112.6113.3112.6
U C L A109.1109.2110.7109.7
Washington108.6109.3109.7109.2
Oregon St.107.8107.1108.4107.8
Washington St.104.2105.0105.4104.9
Arizona St.100.9100.5101.4100.9
Stanford101.799.399.7100.2
California98.498.599.698.8
Arizona96.796.596.696.6
Colorado88.686.787.387.5

Pac-12105.0104.6105.4105.0

Southeastern Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Georgia130.3128.9131.3130.2
Tennessee117.8117.9118.2118.0
Kentucky111.6112.3112.8112.2
South Carolina107.9107.1107.7107.6
Florida106.1107.6106.5106.7
Missouri103.1103.5102.5103.1
Vanderbilt94.295.092.794.0

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Alabama132.0131.2133.4132.2
Ole Miss116.3114.5114.8115.2
Mississippi St.115.8114.6115.0115.1
L S U115.6114.8114.8115.1
Arkansas114.3112.7114.5113.8
Texas A&M110.0110.6111.1110.6
Auburn106.8105.4105.3105.8

SEC113.0112.6112.9112.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Appalachian St.97.999.5100.399.3
James Madison95.597.5100.397.8
Georgia St.96.195.698.296.6
Coastal Carolina95.496.797.496.5
Marshall94.295.194.594.6
Ga. Southern90.690.591.490.8
Old Dominion89.389.489.289.3

West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Troy94.395.096.395.2
South Alabama92.493.194.393.3
Louisiana91.791.993.392.3
Southern Miss.89.990.590.590.3
Arkansas St.85.486.986.486.2
UL-Monroe82.682.882.182.5
Texas St.79.580.680.380.1

Sun Belt91.191.892.591.8

Conference Ratings

RankConferenceRating
1Southeastern112.8
2Big Ten111.3
3Big 12111.3
4Atlantic Coast105.8
5Pac-12105.0
6American Athletic98.5
7Sun Belt91.8
8Independents91.3
9Mountain West90.0
10Mid-American88.7
11Conference USA86.8

2022 Debut of Bowl Projections

BowlTeamTeam
BahamasRiceWestern Michigan
CureMiddle TennesseeSouthern Miss.
FenwayNotre DameCentral Florida
New MexicoUTSANew Mexico
L.A.Oregon St.San Jose St.
Lending TreeKent St.Marshall
Las VegasUSCLSU
Frisco{Kansas}BYU
Myrtle Beach{Iowa St.}Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho PotatoBoise St.Ball St.
Boca Raton{Texas Tech}Coastal Carolina
New OrleansTroyUAB
Armed ForcesHoustonWestern Kentucky
IndependenceSMUArmy
Gasparilla[South Carolina]Memphis
HawaiiUNLVUTEP
Quick Lane{Liberty}Eastern Michigan
CamelliaMiami (O)South Alabama
First ResponderTulsa{Wyoming}
BirminghamNorth Texas[Louisville]
Guaranteed RateTexas[Wisconsin]
MilitaryPittsburghTulane
LibertyBaylor{Washington St.}
HolidayUCLASyracuse
TexasOklahomaTexas A&M
PinstripeNorth CarolinaPurdue
Cheez-ItDukeKansas St.
AlamoOklahoma St.Oregon
Duke’s MayoWake ForestMaryland
Tony the TigerMiami (Fla.)Washingon
ArizonaAir ForceToledo
OrangeNorth Carolina St.Tennessee
Music CityIowaFlorida
SugarTCUOle Miss
TaxSlayerMississippi St.Florida St.
PeachAlabamaClemson
FiestaOhio St.Georgia
Tampa BayMinnesotaKentucky
CitrusIllinoisArkansas
CottonPenn St.Cincinnati
RoseUtahMichigan
National ChampionshipAlabamaOhio St.

{Team} = At-large replacement when team not available

[Team] = Team projected to be 5-7 but receive bid due to highest APR scores

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