PiRate Ratings College Football–September 22-24, 2022

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Virginia Tech	West Virginia	-2.5	-1.5	-3.1
Georgia St.	Coastal Carolina	6.4	4.1	6.5
Syracuse	Virginia	10.4	9.4	11.3
Air Force	Nevada	19.1	17.1	20.3
UTEP	Boise St.	-18.4	-17.8	-19.3
Iowa St.	Baylor	-2.6	-1.3	-1.5
Kentucky	Northern Illinois	20.1	20.6	21.6
South Carolina	Charlotte	30.0	28.1	29.9
Temple	Massachusetts	9.2	11.2	9.4
Georgia	Kent St.	50.2	46.4	51.5
North Carolina	Notre Dame	-1.3	0.8	-1.4
Miami (Fla.)	Middle Tennessee	34.3	31.9	32.6
Michigan	Maryland	18.0	16.6	18.3
North Carolina St.	Connecticut	42.6	40.7	45.5
Penn St.	Central Michigan	29.7	27.6	26.7
Central Florida	Georgia Tech	17.1	18.1	19.9
Louisville	South Florida	16.9	16.9	16.6
Michigan St.	Minnesota	2.7	2.2	0.5
Wake Forest	Clemson	-11.2	-11.5	-12.2
Ohio St.	Wisconsin	15.2	13.8	16.7
Liberty	Akron	24.0	25.3	27.3
Florida St.	Boston College	17.1	14.9	17.7
Tennessee	Florida	15.6	14.4	16.1
Cincinnati	Indiana	13.2	13.3	17.7
East Carolina	Navy	16.2	16.9	19.2
Georgia Southern	Ball St.	9.9	8.4	10.4
Eastern Michigan	Buffalo	9.5	7.6	7.7
Appalachian St.	James Madison	8.6	8.4	6.1
Rutgers	Iowa	-9.2	-8.5	-10.3
Kansas	Duke	17.5	13.2	17.8
Northwestern	Miami (O)	8.6	7.1	3.9
Old Dominion	Arkansas St.	9.8	8.4	9.0
Colorado	UCLA	-12.0	-13.9	-14.7
BYU	Wyoming	28.7	24.5	27.2
New Mexico St.	Hawaii	5.1	5.7	3.8
Arizona St.	Utah	-11.5	-10.7	-12.5
Oregon St.	USC	1.6	0.5	1.5
San Diego St.	Toledo	4.5	3.2	3.2
Washington St.	Oregon	-7.7	-6.3	-6.1
California	Arizona	4.8	5.0	6.2
Washington	Stanford	8.0	11.7	11.3
Troy	Marshall	-1.5	-2.2	-0.4
South Alabama	Louisiana Tech	11.0	10.0	14.0
Mississippi St.	Bowling Green	30.3	29.7	29.4
Oklahoma	Kansas St.	13.4	14.1	14.6
Ole Miss	Tulsa	23.9	22.7	22.5
Alabama	Vanderbilt	37.1	35.0	39.9
SMU	TCU	-5.7	-4.9	-3.9
Texas Tech	Texas	-2.7	-3.3	-1.3
UL-Monroe	Louisiana	-9.6	-9.9	-12.7
Texas A&M (n)	Arkansas	-4.6	-1.7	-3.6
Houston	Rice	20.5	20.1	21.8
Memphis	North Texas	16.7	18.1	15.7
Tulane	Southern Miss.	17.4	15.9	16.2
Auburn	Missouri	8.5	6.7	8.3
Western Kentucky	Florida Int’l.	35.0	32.1	39.3
Utah St.	UNLV	1.0	3.4	1.7
Purdue	Florida Atlantic	31.5	28.9	29.4
LSU	New Mexico	33.8	32.5	33.9
San Jose St.	Western Michigan	-1.7	-2.4	-1.5

FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Illinois	Chattanooga	23.8
Ohio	Fordham	16.7
Texas St.	Houston Baptist	26.4
Pittsburgh	Rhode Island	32.0
Colorado St.	Sacramento St.	-3.0
UTSA	Texas Southern	37.2

Teams With Byes

Army

Fresno St.

Nebraska

Oklahoma St.

UAB

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	135.3
2	Alabama	129.5
3	Ohio St.	128.8
4	Michigan	124.6
5	Oklahoma	120.7
6	Clemson	119.7
7	Tennessee	118.2
8	Penn St.	118.2
9	NC State	117.1
10	Wisconsin	116.6
11	Oklahoma St.	116.5
12	Minnesota	116.4
13	Utah	116.3
14	Ole Miss	115.8
15	Purdue	115.2
16	Michigan St.	115.2
17	Arkansas	115.1
18	L S U	114.9
19	Miami (Fla.)	114.8
20	Baylor	114.6
21	Pittsburgh	114.3
22	Mississippi St.	113.5
23	Kentucky	113.4
24	Oregon	113.0
25	Florida St.	112.5
26	Texas	112.5
27	Iowa	112.4
28	Cincinnati	112.2
29	Texas A&M	111.8
30	U S C	111.6
31	Notre Dame	111.3
32	BYU	111.0
33	T C U	110.7
34	Maryland	110.0
35	Oregon St.	109.8
36	Iowa St.	109.7
37	Kansas St.	109.6
38	Washington	108.7
39	Syracuse	108.3
40	Louisville	108.1
41	U C L A	107.7
42	North Carolina	107.7
43	Texas Tech	107.5
44	South Carolina	107.0
45	UCF	106.6
46	Auburn	106.2
47	Florida	105.9
48	Wake Forest	105.6
49	Illinois	105.5
50	West Virginia	104.5
51	SMU	104.4
52	Boise St.	104.2
53	Washington St.	103.3
54	Kansas	102.8
55	Tulane	102.7
56	Houston	102.4
57	Air Force	102.3
58	Arizona St.	101.8
59	Fresno St.	101.7
60	East Carolina	101.7
61	Stanford	101.4
62	Missouri	101.4
63	Virginia	100.9
64	Nebraska	100.3
65	Rutgers	100.1
66	Indiana	99.9
67	Appalachian St.	99.7
68	Virginia Tech	99.6
69	U A B	98.9
70	Boston College	98.9
71	California	98.7
72	W. Kentucky	98.5
73	Army	98.4
74	Memphis	98.3
75	Liberty	98.2
76	U T S A	97.1
77	Georgia St.	96.8
78	Northwestern	96.6
79	Arizona	96.3
80	Marshall	95.8
81	Tulsa	95.8
82	N. Illinois	95.6
83	San Diego St.	95.2
84	Vanderbilt	95.2
85	James Madison	95.0
86	Louisiana	94.8
87	Toledo	94.5
88	USF	94.3
89	Coastal Carolina	93.6
90	Western Mich.	93.2
91	Central Mich.	93.2
92	Miami (Ohio)	92.5
93	Troy	92.0
94	South Alabama	91.4
95	Georgia Tech	91.2
96	Colorado	91.2
97	U N L V	91.2
98	Old Dominion	90.8
99	Ga. Southern	90.3
100	Utah St.	90.2
101	Duke	89.6
102	Kent St.	89.0
103	Eastern Mich.	88.8
104	San Jose St.	88.3
105	Florida Atlantic	88.3
106	Southern Miss.	88.1
107	Navy	87.2
108	Wyoming	87.2
109	Bowling Green	86.7
110	Nevada	86.5
111	Ohio	85.4
112	Middle Tennessee	84.8
113	Arkansas St.	84.8
114	New Mexico	84.6
115	Colorado St.	84.1
116	North Texas	83.9
117	Ball St.	83.7
118	Buffalo	83.5
119	U T E P	83.2
120	Rice	82.6
121	Louisiana Tech	82.2
122	UL-Monroe	82.0
123	Texas St.	80.9
124	Charlotte	80.2
125	Temple	79.6
126	Connecticut	77.2
127	Akron	75.1
128	New Mexico St.	73.9
129	Hawaii	72.5
130	Massachusetts	72.2
131	Florida Int’l.	65.5

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	111.8	111.2	113.5	112.2
UCF	106.1	106.8	106.8	106.6
SMU	104.5	103.8	104.9	104.4
Tulane	103.1	102.4	102.5	102.7
Houston	102.5	101.7	103.1	102.4
East Carolina	101.4	101.1	102.5	101.7
Memphis	98.2	98.6	98.0	98.3
Tulsa	96.0	95.4	96.0	95.8
USF	95.0	93.8	94.1	94.3
Navy	88.2	87.2	86.3	87.2
Temple	79.6	81.9	77.3	79.6
AAC	98.8	98.5	98.6	98.6
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	119.6	119.5	120.1	119.7
NC State	117.4	116.4	117.5	117.1
Florida St.	112.8	112.2	112.4	112.5
Syracuse	109.1	108.0	107.9	108.3
Louisville	108.9	107.7	107.7	108.1
Wake Forest	105.9	105.5	105.4	105.6
Boston College	98.7	100.3	97.7	98.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Fla.)	115.3	114.1	114.9	114.8
Pittsburgh	115.2	114.1	113.7	114.3
North Carolina	107.6	107.9	107.6	107.7
Virginia	101.6	101.6	99.6	100.9
Virginia Tech	100.1	100.6	98.0	99.6
Georgia Tech	92.1	91.7	89.9	91.2
Duke	89.6	92.2	87.0	89.6
ACC	106.7	106.5	105.7	106.3
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	120.9	120.1	121.1	120.7
Oklahoma St.	117.1	115.6	116.9	116.5
Baylor	115.2	114.0	114.5	114.6
Texas	113.1	112.2	112.1	112.5
T C U	111.7	110.2	110.4	110.7
Iowa St.	109.5	109.7	110.0	109.7
Kansas St.	110.5	109.0	109.4	109.6
Texas Tech	107.9	106.4	108.3	107.5
West Virginia	105.1	104.7	103.6	104.5
Kansas	104.2	102.4	101.8	102.8
Big 12	111.5	110.4	110.8	110.9
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	129.2	127.5	129.9	128.8
Michigan	125.0	123.8	125.0	124.6
Penn St.	118.3	118.2	118.1	118.2
Michigan St.	116.2	115.1	114.4	115.2
Maryland	110.1	110.1	109.8	110.0
Rutgers	101.3	100.7	98.3	100.1
Indiana	101.1	100.4	98.3	99.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	117.0	116.6	116.2	116.6
Minnesota	116.5	115.9	116.9	116.4
Purdue	116.3	115.1	114.2	115.2
Iowa	113.5	112.2	111.6	112.4
Illinois	105.9	106.5	104.2	105.5
Nebraska	100.9	100.6	99.5	100.3
Northwestern	96.9	98.0	94.8	96.6
Big Ten	112.0	111.5	110.8	111.4
Conference USA
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	98.3	98.5	99.9	98.9
W. Kentucky	97.7	97.6	100.2	98.5
U T S A	97.6	96.2	97.5	97.1
Florida Atlantic	87.8	89.2	87.8	88.3
Middle Tennessee	84.0	85.2	85.3	84.8
North Texas	84.0	83.0	84.8	83.9
U T E P	83.4	83.0	83.1	83.2
Rice	83.0	82.6	82.3	82.6
Louisiana Tech	82.1	83.6	80.9	82.2
Charlotte	79.9	80.9	79.7	80.2
Florida Int’l.	65.2	68.0	63.4	65.5
CUSA	85.7	86.2	85.9	85.9
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	111.9	110.1	112.0	111.3
BYU	111.6	109.8	111.5	111.0
Army	98.2	98.6	98.5	98.4
Liberty	96.8	98.6	99.1	98.2
Connecticut	77.8	78.7	75.1	77.2
New Mexico St.	73.5	75.3	72.8	73.9
Massachusetts	72.9	73.3	70.4	72.2
Independents	91.8	92.1	91.3	91.7
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	90.8	93.4	93.4	92.5
Kent St.	88.1	90.4	88.4	89.0
Bowling Green	87.2	86.2	86.6	86.7
Ohio	84.2	86.3	85.6	85.4
Buffalo	82.1	84.6	84.0	83.5
Akron	75.3	75.8	74.3	75.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
N. Illinois	95.5	95.8	95.5	95.6
Toledo	93.7	94.7	95.2	94.5
Western Mich.	92.6	93.6	93.5	93.2
Central Mich.	91.6	93.5	94.4	93.2
Eastern Mich.	88.6	89.1	88.6	88.8
Ball St.	83.4	84.5	83.4	83.7
MAC	87.8	89.0	88.6	88.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	104.3	103.3	104.9	104.2
Air Force	101.9	101.9	103.2	102.3
Utah St.	89.9	90.1	90.6	90.2
Wyoming	85.9	88.3	87.3	87.2
New Mexico	84.7	85.2	83.8	84.6
Colorado St.	83.9	84.7	83.9	84.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Fresno St.	101.6	100.9	102.6	101.7
San Diego St.	95.2	94.9	95.4	95.2
U N L V	91.8	89.7	91.9	91.2
San Jose St.	87.8	88.2	89.0	88.3
Nevada	85.9	87.8	85.9	86.5
Hawaii	71.9	73.2	72.6	72.5
MWC	90.4	90.7	90.9	90.7
Pac-12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	116.2	115.1	117.8	116.3
Oregon	113.4	112.8	112.8	113.0
U S C	111.1	111.7	112.1	111.6
Oregon St.	109.7	109.2	110.6	109.8
Washington	107.9	108.9	109.2	108.7
U C L A	107.3	107.2	108.7	107.7
Washington St.	102.7	103.4	103.7	103.3
Arizona St.	101.6	101.4	102.3	101.8
Stanford	102.9	100.3	100.9	101.4
California	98.2	98.3	99.5	98.7
Arizona	96.4	96.3	96.3	96.3
Colorado	92.2	90.3	91.0	91.2
Pac-12	105.0	104.6	105.4	105.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	135.3	133.8	136.9	135.3
Tennessee	118.0	118.1	118.6	118.2
Kentucky	112.6	113.4	114.1	113.4
South Carolina	107.5	106.5	107.1	107.0
Florida	105.3	106.8	105.5	105.9
Missouri	101.6	102.0	100.4	101.4
Vanderbilt	95.3	96.3	93.8	95.2
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.4	128.4	130.7	129.5
Ole Miss	116.9	115.1	115.5	115.8
Arkansas	115.6	113.8	116.0	115.1
L S U	115.5	114.6	114.7	114.9
Mississippi St.	114.5	112.9	113.1	113.5
Texas A&M	111.0	112.1	112.4	111.8
Auburn	107.2	105.7	105.7	106.2
SEC	113.3	112.8	113.2	113.1
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	98.3	100.0	100.7	99.7
Georgia St.	96.3	95.5	98.5	96.8
Marshall	95.3	96.4	95.7	95.8
James Madison	92.7	94.6	97.6	95.0
Coastal Carolina	92.4	94.0	94.5	93.6
Old Dominion	90.8	90.9	90.8	90.8
Ga. Southern	90.3	89.8	90.8	90.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	93.9	94.2	96.1	94.8
Troy	91.3	91.7	92.9	92.0
South Alabama	90.6	91.1	92.4	91.4
Southern Miss.	87.7	88.4	88.3	88.1
Arkansas St.	84.0	85.5	84.8	84.8
UL-Monroe	82.3	82.4	81.4	82.0
Texas St.	80.3	81.4	81.0	80.9
Sun Belt	90.5	91.1	91.8	91.1

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	113.1
2	Big Ten	111.4
3	Big 12	110.9
4	Atlantic Coast	106.3
5	Pac-12	105.0
6	American Athletic	98.6
7	Independents	91.7
8	Sun Belt	91.1
9	Mountain West	90.7
10	Mid-American	88.4
11	Conference USA	85.9

Playoff Projections

1.) Georgia

2.) Ohio St.

3.) Alabama

4.) Oklahoma

Most Likely Top Group of 5 Team

For Automatic New Year’s 6 Bowl Game

1.) Coastal Carolina

2.) Cincinnati

3.) Appalachian St.

4.) Tulane

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