The Pi-Rate Ratings

August 16, 2022

Atlantic Coast Conference Preview

With all the rumored movement of teams from one conference to another, for now the Atlantic Coast Conference appears to be on solid ground. The league’s Grant of Rights deal with its members make it quite difficult, if not impossible for teams to exit the league. Under this deal, any team would have to forfeit all media revenue earned in another conference back to the ACC. An exit fee of $100 million or more would make leaving the ACC for the SEC or Big Ten financially unwise.

Of course, there are always loopholes that can be discovered by crafty legal departments, so impossible is not in the college football vocabulary. Impossible was a word associated with the words “beating Clemson” until last year. The Tigers failed to win the Atlantic Division for the first time 2014. Wake Forest was the surprise winner in the Atlantic, while Pittsburgh won the Coastal Division title. Wake Forest figured to be a contender for the division title again this year until last week, their starting quarterback, Sam Hartman, was ruled out indefinitely due to a non-football issue that required a surgical procedure. Hartman might return late in the season, but his loss will hit the Demon Deacons hard enough to take them out of the conference championship picture.

2022 will be the final year of divisional play in this league. Here are the preseason PiRate Ratings for the league.

ACC Preseason PiRate Ratings

Atlantic Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Clemson119.7119.5120.5119.9
NC State118.3117.3118.5118.0
Wake Forest113.9113.2113.2113.4
Florida St.111.7111.0110.9111.2
Louisville111.7110.5110.7110.9
Syracuse106.4104.8104.7105.3
Boston College100.5102.5100.2101.1
Coastal Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Pittsburgh115.9114.6114.2114.9
Miami (Fla.)115.1113.7114.9114.6
North Carolina108.0108.2107.5107.9
Virginia104.0104.2102.3103.5
Virginia Tech100.9101.398.4100.2
Georgia Tech95.695.593.694.9
Duke84.286.781.184.0
ACC107.6107.3106.5107.1

Preseason Official ACC Media Poll

Votes
#Atlantic1st PlaceOverall
1Clemson1111080
2North Carolina St.44959
3Wake Forest6783
4Louisville0591
5Florida St.2509
6Boston College1469
7Syracuse0201
#Coastal1st PlaceOverall
1Miami981036
2Pittsburgh38911
3North Carolina18823
4Virginia6667
5Virginia Tech3592
6Georgia Tech1343
7Duke0220
ChampionshipOverall
Clemson103
North Carolina St.38
Miami8
Wake Forest4
Pittsburgh3
Virginia3
Florida St.2
North Carolina2
Boston College1
Poll Taken Prior To Hartman’s Non-Football Medical Condition

The PiRate Ratings are designed to look at just the next week’s schedule of games and not to use to look forward. Nevertheless, here are the predicted won-loss records for the league.

Predicted Won-Loss Records

AtlanticConf.Overall
Clemson8-012-1
North Carolina St.7-111-1
Louisville5-38-4
Wake Forest4-48-4
Florida St.4-47-5
Syracuse2-64-8
Boston College1-74-8
CoastalConf.Overall
Miami7-110-3
Pittsburgh7-111-1
Virginia Tech4-48-4
North Carolina4-47-5
Virginia2-65-7
Georgia Tech1-72-10
Duke0-82-10

Clemson picked to win ACC Championship Game

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