The Pi-Rate Ratings

August 10, 2022

Mid-American Conference Preview

The MAC has been up and down for many years, rarely a middle of the pack conference among the non-elite. There was a time when Toledo and Miami of Ohio were regulars in the major polls. Miami actually beat Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina in three consecutive bowl games. The MAC has produced the New Year’s Day Bowl team that was guaranteed to the top Group of 5 team.

There have been years where this league was considerably weaker than the better Group of 5 conferences, and there have been a couple teams that have come and gone from the league. Over the Winter, the MAC appeared to be expanding to 14 teams with the additions of Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee State. The two Conference USA schools and rivals chose to remain where they were.

Here is the official media poll for the Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference
Votes
#East1st PlaceOverall
1Miami (O)20139
2Kent St.3116
3Buffalo078
4Ohio072
5Bowling Green171
6Akron028
#West1st PlaceOverall
1Northern Illinois11122
2Toledo9120
3Central Michigan4112
4Western Michigan056
5Eastern Michigan052
6Ball St.042
ChampionshipOverall
Northern Illinois9
Toledo6
Miami (O)5
Central Michigan4

Here are the preseason PiRate Ratings for the MAC.

Mid-American Conference
East Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
Miami (Ohio)91.594.594.393.4
Kent St.87.390.187.688.3
Bowling Green87.786.486.887.0
Ohio84.286.986.485.8
Buffalo83.085.784.784.4
Akron78.279.277.878.4
West Division
TeamPiRateMeanBiasAverage
N. Illinois97.898.298.398.1
Central Mich.93.095.396.394.9
Toledo93.494.695.394.4
Western Mich.92.193.493.593.0
Eastern Mich.88.388.988.088.4
Ball St.84.685.984.785.0
MAC88.489.989.589.3

The PiRate Ratings are predictive in nature. However, they are only designed to look forward one week. Nevertheless, here are the predicted won-loss records for the MAC.

EastMACOverall
Miami (O)7-18-5
Kent St.5-36-6
Ohio3-55-7
Bowling Green3-54-8
Buffalo1-73-9
Akron0-81-11
WestMACOverall
Northern Illinois8-011-2
Toledo6-28-4
Central Michigan6-28-4
Western Michigan5-37-5
Ball St.2-64-8
Eastern Michigan2-64-8

Northern Illinois picked to beat Miami (O) in the MAC Championship Game.

Coming Tomorrow: The Sun Belt Conference

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