PiRate Ratings College Football–Selection Sunday

This Week’s College Football Game

December 11		PiRate	Mean	Bias
Army	Navy	11.2	11.4	10.4

Final Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Added Bowl Game*	Ball St.	Nevada
Bahamas	Middle Tennessee	Toledo
Cure	SMU	Appalachian St.
Boca	Kent St.	Liberty
New Mexico	UTEP	San Diego St.
Independence	BYU	UTSA
Lending Tree	Central Michigan	Marshall
L. A.	Utah St.	Oregon St.
New Orleans	UAB	Coastal Carolina
Myrtle Beach	Old Dominion	Georgia St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Western Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	North Texas	Air Force
Armed Forces	Tulsa	Army
Gasparilla	Louisville	Florida
Hawaii	Memphis	Hawaii
Camellia	Northern Illinois	Louisiana
Quick Lane	Eastern Michigan	Wyoming
Military	Virginia	East Carolina
Birmingham	Houston	South Carolina
First Responder	Western Kentucky	Missouri
Liberty	West Virginia	Mississippi St.
Holiday	North Carolina St.	UCLA
Guaranteed Rate	Maryland	Texas Tech
Fenway	Central Florida	Boston College
Pinstripe	Virginia Tech	Penn St.
Cheez-It	Clemson	Iowa St.
Alamo	Oklahoma	Oregon
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Tennessee
Music City	Purdue	Auburn
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Washington St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Miami (Fla.)	Arkansas
Tony The Tiger Sun	North Carolina	Arizona St.
Arizona	Miami (O)	Fresno St.
Citrus	Iowa	Kentucky
Outback	Minnesota	Texas A&M
Texas	Kansas St.	LSU
Peach	Pitt/Wake	Notre Dame
Fiesta	Michigan St.	Oklahoma St.
Rose	Ohio St.	Utah
Sugar	Baylor	Ole Miss
Cotton	Michigan	Georgia
Orange	Alabama	Cincinnati
Championship	Alabama	Georgia

• An extra bowl game was added by the NCAA to ensure all 6-win teams could earn bowl invitations. This extra bowl will be played in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and will include two group of 5 teams.
• Teams in bold have officially accepted the bowl bid.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	133.8
2	Alabama	132.9
3	Ohio St.	130.4
4	Michigan	127.5
5	Notre Dame	121.9
6	Oklahoma St.	121.5
7	Utah	121.2
8	Oklahoma	120.4
9	Iowa St.	120.1
10	Cincinnati	119.6
11	Texas A&M	118.6
12	Clemson	117.2
13	Wisconsin	116.5
14	Ole Miss	116.2
15	Baylor	116.1
16	U C L A	115.0
17	Penn St.	114.8
18	Arkansas	114.7
19	Auburn	114.1
20	Pittsburgh	113.9
21	Kentucky	113.1
22	NC State	112.7
23	Mississippi St.	112.0
24	Tennessee	111.9
25	L S U	111.5
26	Purdue	111.4
27	Minnesota	111.1
28	Arizona St.	110.3
29	Oregon St.	110.3
30	North Carolina	110.2
31	Miami (Fla.)	110.1
32	BYU	109.8
33	Louisiana	109.7
34	Florida	109.6
35	West Virginia	109.4
36	Wake Forest	109.3
37	Kansas St.	109.3
38	Nebraska	109.3
39	Iowa	109.3
40	Appalachian St.	109.2
41	Washington St.	109.2
42	Oregon	109.0
43	Michigan St.	108.2
44	Texas	107.5
45	Boise St.	106.4
46	Houston	106.0
47	Nevada	105.4
48	Louisville	105.3
49	Florida St.	105.3
50	Coastal Carolina	104.7
51	California	104.6
52	Texas Tech	104.2
53	Fresno St.	104.1
54	Air Force	103.9
55	U S C	103.6
56	Virginia	103.4
57	Washington	103.1
58	Virginia Tech	102.6
59	Army	102.5
60	Central Michigan	102.1
61	T C U	101.8
62	SMU	101.8
63	Illinois	101.6
64	Western Kentucky	101.4
65	South Carolina	100.6
66	Missouri	100.3
67	East Carolina	100.0
68	Maryland	99.9
69	Utah St.	99.5
70	Toledo	99.4
71	Boston College	99.3
72	UCF	98.8
73	Tulsa	98.7
74	Georgia St.	98.7
75	Liberty	98.6
76	Colorado	98.6
77	Miami (Ohio)	98.4
78	San Diego St.	98.4
79	U A B	98.2
80	Syracuse	97.9
81	U T S A	97.7
82	Tulane	95.2
83	Georgia Tech	95.1
84	Memphis	94.6
85	Western Michigan	94.5
86	Stanford	94.3
87	Marshall	94.3
88	Rutgers	93.8
89	Ball St.	93.8
90	Indiana	93.3
91	Hawaii	92.9
92	Wyoming	92.4
93	Arizona	92.3
94	Eastern Michigan	92.1
95	Northwestern	91.9
96	Northern Illinois	91.7
97	Navy	91.5
98	Kent St.	90.4
99	North Texas	90.3
100	Middle Tennessee	90.2
101	South Alabama	89.8
102	Colorado St.	88.9
103	San Jose St.	88.6
104	Buffalo	88.3
105	Troy	88.0
106	USF	87.4
107	Georgia Southern	87.0
108	Florida Atlantic	86.3
109	Ohio	86.1
110	Kansas	85.7
111	Old Dominion	85.7
112	U N L V	85.2
113	U T E P	84.5
114	Vanderbilt	84.0
115	UL-Monroe	83.2
116	Texas St.	83.0
117	Arkansas St.	82.8
118	Duke	80.2
119	Rice	80.0
120	Louisiana Tech	79.7
121	New Mexico	78.0
122	Southern Miss.	77.6
123	Bowling Green	77.1
124	Charlotte	77.0
125	Akron	72.5
126	Temple	72.4
127	New Mexico St.	71.8
128	Connecticut	68.6
129	Florida Int’l.	65.9
130	UMass	64.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.3	118.9	120.7	119.6
Houston	105.9	105.4	106.6	106.0
SMU	101.7	101.5	102.1	101.8
East Carolina	99.8	99.5	100.8	100.0
UCF	99.0	97.7	99.8	98.8
Tulsa	98.5	98.5	99.1	98.7
Tulane	95.2	94.2	96.1	95.2
Memphis	94.1	94.3	95.3	94.6
Navy	91.3	91.1	92.1	91.5
USF	87.4	86.9	88.0	87.4
Temple	72.3	73.0	71.8	72.4
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.5	96.9
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.7	116.8	118.0	117.2
NC State	112.5	112.3	113.2	112.7
Wake Forest	109.3	109.1	109.6	109.3
Louisville	104.9	105.0	105.9	105.3
Florida St.	104.9	105.2	105.7	105.3
Boston College	99.4	99.2	99.3	99.3
Syracuse	98.0	98.0	97.8	97.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	113.4	114.3	114.2	113.9
North Carolina	109.7	109.7	111.1	110.2
Miami (Fla.)	110.4	109.8	110.2	110.1
Virginia	103.3	103.8	103.0	103.4
Virginia Tech	103.0	102.5	102.4	102.6
Georgia Tech	95.1	95.1	95.0	95.1
Duke	80.6	80.7	79.3	80.2
ACC Averages	104.4	104.4	104.6	104.5
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	121.8	121.5	121.3	121.5
Oklahoma	121.2	119.6	120.3	120.4
Iowa St.	120.8	119.4	120.1	120.1
Baylor	116.5	115.9	115.8	116.1
West Virginia	110.7	109.1	108.4	109.4
Kansas St.	110.1	109.3	108.5	109.3
Texas	108.5	106.8	107.2	107.5
Texas Tech	104.5	104.5	103.7	104.2
T C U	102.9	101.4	101.2	101.8
Kansas	87.4	85.7	83.9	85.7
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	130.0	130.0	131.3	130.4
Michigan	126.6	127.5	128.4	127.5
Penn St.	114.0	114.6	115.8	114.8
Michigan St.	108.0	108.1	108.6	108.2
Maryland	100.6	99.7	99.4	99.9
Rutgers	93.2	94.7	93.5	93.8
Indiana	93.3	93.0	93.4	93.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	116.1	115.9	117.3	116.5
Purdue	110.8	110.8	112.6	111.4
Minnesota	110.3	111.0	112.2	111.1
Nebraska	109.0	109.1	109.8	109.3
Iowa	109.1	108.9	109.9	109.3
Illinois	101.1	101.6	102.2	101.6
Northwestern	92.0	92.0	91.8	91.9
Big Ten Averages	108.2	108.4	109.0	108.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	100.3	101.7	102.2	101.4
Marshall	94.0	94.3	94.7	94.3
Middle Tennessee	89.7	90.2	90.7	90.2
Florida Atlantic	86.0	86.7	86.2	86.3
Old Dominion	84.8	85.9	86.3	85.7
Charlotte	76.6	77.2	77.2	77.0
Florida Int’l.	65.9	65.9	65.8	65.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	98.0	98.4	98.3	98.2
U T S A	97.2	98.0	98.0	97.7
North Texas	89.9	90.5	90.6	90.3
U T E P	84.2	85.2	84.0	84.5
Rice	80.1	80.1	79.8	80.0
Louisiana Tech	80.0	80.2	78.8	79.7
Southern Miss.	77.4	78.0	77.4	77.6
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	121.1	121.9	122.7	121.9
BYU	109.8	109.5	110.0	109.8
Army	102.5	102.5	102.5	102.5
Liberty	98.5	98.6	98.6	98.6
New Mexico St.	72.1	72.7	70.7	71.8
Connecticut	69.0	69.5	67.2	68.6
UMass	65.2	64.6	62.4	64.1
Indep. Averages	91.2	91.3	90.6	91.0
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.6	98.3	97.3	98.4
Kent St.	90.4	91.1	89.7	90.4
Buffalo	89.2	88.1	87.5	88.3
Ohio	86.0	86.5	85.9	86.1
Bowling Green	77.6	77.8	75.8	77.1
Akron	73.6	72.6	71.4	72.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Central Michigan	102.9	101.8	101.5	102.1
Toledo	99.8	99.4	98.9	99.4
Western Michigan	94.8	94.8	93.7	94.5
Ball St.	94.8	94.2	92.5	93.8
Eastern Michigan	93.4	92.1	90.8	92.1
Northern Illinois	92.5	91.7	90.9	91.7
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.1	106.3	106.7	106.4
Air Force	103.5	103.8	104.5	103.9
Utah St.	99.1	99.9	99.6	99.5
Wyoming	92.0	92.4	92.8	92.4
Colorado St.	89.1	88.9	88.8	88.9
New Mexico	78.5	78.3	77.1	78.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Nevada	105.0	106.0	105.3	105.4
Fresno St.	103.2	104.3	104.9	104.1
San Diego St.	98.6	98.4	98.1	98.4
Hawaii	93.0	92.9	92.8	92.9
San Jose St.	88.9	89.0	87.8	88.6
U N L V	85.3	85.0	85.4	85.2
MWC Averages	95.2	95.4	95.3	95.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon St.	109.9	110.5	110.6	110.3
Washington St.	108.6	109.6	109.4	109.2
Oregon	108.2	109.1	109.7	109.0
California	103.0	105.6	105.3	104.6
Washington	102.7	103.4	103.1	103.1
Stanford	94.2	94.8	94.0	94.3
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	120.9	121.3	121.3	121.2
U C L A	114.5	115.1	115.4	115.0
Arizona St.	109.8	110.5	110.8	110.3
U S C	103.7	103.4	103.6	103.6
Colorado	98.6	98.7	98.4	98.6
Arizona	92.2	92.3	92.3	92.3
Pac-12 Averages	105.5	106.2	106.2	106.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	133.4	133.6	134.4	133.8
Kentucky	112.6	113.6	113.1	113.1
Tennessee	111.8	111.7	112.0	111.9
Florida	109.2	110.1	109.4	109.6
South Carolina	101.1	100.7	100.2	100.6
Missouri	100.4	100.7	99.9	100.3
Vanderbilt	84.1	84.0	83.9	84.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	133.0	132.4	133.3	132.9
Texas A&M	118.4	118.8	118.5	118.6
Ole Miss	116.0	116.1	116.3	116.2
Arkansas	114.7	114.7	114.7	114.7
Auburn	114.3	113.7	114.4	114.1
Mississippi St.	111.8	112.1	112.0	112.0
L S U	111.1	111.8	111.7	111.5
SEC Averages	112.3	112.4	112.4	112.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	108.9	108.7	110.1	109.2
Coastal Carolina	105.5	103.8	104.6	104.7
Georgia St.	98.8	98.3	98.9	98.7
Troy	88.1	87.9	88.1	88.0
Georgia Southern	86.9	87.1	87.0	87.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	110.0	109.2	110.0	109.7
South Alabama	90.1	89.8	89.4	89.8
UL-Monroe	83.5	83.4	82.7	83.2
Texas St.	83.8	82.4	82.8	83.0
Arkansas St.	83.1	83.0	82.3	82.8
Sun Averages	93.9	93.4	93.6	93.6

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.4
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.5
4	Pac-12	106.0
5	Atlantic Coast	104.5
6	American Athletic	96.9
7	Mountain West	95.3
8	Sun Belt	93.6
9	Independents	91.0
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3