PiRate Ratings College Football–Championship Week

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Champ 1	Champ 2	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Dec. 3 C-USA Championship Game–7 PM EST on CBSSN
UTSA	Western Kentucky	-1.5	-2.5	-3.5
Dec. 3 Pac-12 Championship Game–8 PM EST on ABC–Las Vegas
Utah	Oregon	8.1	7.3	6.6
Dec. 4 Big 12 Championship Game–12 PM EST on ABC–Arlington, TX
Oklahoma St.	Baylor	8.2	8.6	8.7
Dec. 4 MAC Championship Game–12 PM EST on ESPN–Detroit
Northern Illinois	Kent St.	-3.4	-5.7	-5.0
Dec. 4 Mountain West Championship Game–3 PM EST on FOX
San Diego St.	Utah St.	10.9	9.8	10.3
Dec. 4 Sun Belt Championship Game–3:30 PM EST on ESPN
Louisiana	Appalachian St.	3.4	2.5	1.9
Dec. 4 SEC Championship Game–4 PM EST on CBS–Atlanta
Georgia	Alabama	7.0	8.2	8.3
Dec. 4 AAC Championship Game–4 PM EST on ABC
Cincinnati	Houston	16.4	16.5	17.1
Dec. 4 Big Ten Championship Game–8 PM EST on FOX–Indianapolis
Michigan	Iowa	9.9	11.1	10.6
Dec. 4 ACC Championship Game–8 PM EST on ABC–Charlotte
Pittsburgh	Wake Forest	-1.9	-0.8	-1.8
Regular Season Game
Home	Visitor
California	USC	-0.4	2.8	1.8

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	136.7
2	Ohio St.	130.4
3	Alabama	129.9
4	Michigan	123.6
5	Oklahoma St.	123.0
6	Notre Dame	121.9
7	Oklahoma	120.4
8	Iowa St.	120.1
9	Cincinnati	119.6
10	Utah	118.7
11	Texas A&M	118.6
12	Clemson	117.2
13	Wisconsin	116.5
14	Ole Miss	116.2
15	U C L A	115.0
16	Penn St.	114.8
17	Arkansas	114.7
18	Baylor	114.6
19	Auburn	114.1
20	Iowa	113.2
21	Kentucky	113.1
22	NC State	112.7
23	Wake Forest	112.4
24	Mississippi St.	112.0
25	Tennessee	111.9
26	L S U	111.5
27	Purdue	111.4
28	Oregon	111.4
29	Minnesota	111.1
30	Pittsburgh	110.9
31	Arizona St.	110.3
32	Oregon St.	110.3
33	North Carolina	110.2
34	Miami (Fla.)	110.1
35	BYU	109.8
36	Appalachian St.	109.7
37	Florida	109.6
38	West Virginia	109.4
39	Kansas St.	109.3
40	Nebraska	109.3
41	Louisiana	109.3
42	Washington St.	109.2
43	Michigan St.	108.2
44	Texas	107.5
45	Boise St.	106.4
46	Houston	106.0
47	Nevada	105.4
48	Louisville	105.3
49	Florida St.	105.3
50	U S C	104.9
51	Coastal Carolina	104.7
52	Texas Tech	104.2
53	Fresno St.	104.1
54	Air Force	103.9
55	Virginia	103.4
56	California	103.3
57	San Diego St.	103.1
58	Washington	103.1
59	Virginia Tech	102.6
60	Army	102.5
61	Western Kentucky	102.3
62	Central Michigan	102.1
63	T C U	101.8
64	SMU	101.8
65	Illinois	101.6
66	South Carolina	100.6
67	Missouri	100.3
68	East Carolina	100.0
69	Maryland	99.9
70	Toledo	99.4
71	Boston College	99.3
72	UCF	98.8
73	Tulsa	98.7
74	Georgia St.	98.7
75	Liberty	98.6
76	Colorado	98.6
77	Miami (Ohio)	98.4
78	U A B	98.2
79	Syracuse	97.9
80	U T S A	96.8
81	Tulane	95.2
82	Georgia Tech	95.1
83	Utah St.	94.8
84	Memphis	94.6
85	Western Michigan	94.5
86	Stanford	94.3
87	Marshall	94.3
88	Rutgers	93.8
89	Ball St.	93.8
90	Kent St.	93.4
91	Indiana	93.3
92	Hawaii	92.9
93	Wyoming	92.4
94	Arizona	92.3
95	Eastern Michigan	92.1
96	Northwestern	91.9
97	Navy	91.5
98	North Texas	90.3
99	Middle Tennessee	90.2
100	South Alabama	89.8
101	Colorado St.	88.9
102	Northern Illinois	88.7
103	San Jose St.	88.6
104	Buffalo	88.3
105	Troy	88.0
106	USF	87.4
107	Georgia Southern	87.0
108	Florida Atlantic	86.3
109	Ohio	86.1
110	Kansas	85.7
111	Old Dominion	85.7
112	U N L V	85.2
113	U T E P	84.5
114	Vanderbilt	84.0
115	UL-Monroe	83.2
116	Texas St.	83.0
117	Arkansas St.	82.8
118	Duke	80.2
119	Rice	80.0
120	Louisiana Tech	79.7
121	New Mexico	78.0
122	Southern Miss.	77.6
123	Bowling Green	77.1
124	Charlotte	77.0
125	Akron	72.5
126	Temple	72.4
127	New Mexico St.	71.8
128	Connecticut	68.6
129	Florida Int’l.	65.9
130	UMass	64.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	119.3	118.9	120.7	119.6
Houston	105.9	105.4	106.6	106.0
SMU	101.7	101.5	102.1	101.8
East Carolina	99.8	99.5	100.8	100.0
UCF	99.0	97.7	99.8	98.8
Tulsa	98.5	98.5	99.1	98.7
Tulane	95.2	94.2	96.1	95.2
Memphis	94.1	94.3	95.3	94.6
Navy	91.3	91.1	92.1	91.5
USF	87.4	86.9	88.0	87.4
Temple	72.3	73.0	71.8	72.4
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.5	96.9
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.7	116.8	118.0	117.2
NC State	112.5	112.3	113.2	112.7
Wake Forest	112.3	112.1	112.8	112.4
Louisville	104.9	105.0	105.9	105.3
Florida St.	104.9	105.2	105.7	105.3
Boston College	99.4	99.2	99.3	99.3
Syracuse	98.0	98.0	97.8	97.9
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Pittsburgh	110.4	111.3	111.0	110.9
North Carolina	109.7	109.7	111.1	110.2
Miami (Fla.)	110.4	109.8	110.2	110.1
Virginia	103.3	103.8	103.0	103.4
Virginia Tech	103.0	102.5	102.4	102.6
Georgia Tech	95.1	95.1	95.0	95.1
Duke	80.6	80.7	79.3	80.2
ACC Averages	104.4	104.4	104.6	104.5
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma St.	123.2	123.0	122.9	123.0
Oklahoma	121.2	119.6	120.3	120.4
Iowa St.	120.8	119.4	120.1	120.1
Baylor	115.1	114.4	114.2	114.6
West Virginia	110.7	109.1	108.4	109.4
Kansas St.	110.1	109.3	108.5	109.3
Texas	108.5	106.8	107.2	107.5
Texas Tech	104.5	104.5	103.7	104.2
T C U	102.9	101.4	101.2	101.8
Kansas	87.4	85.7	83.9	85.7
Big 12 Averages	110.4	109.3	109.0	109.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	130.0	130.0	131.3	130.4
Michigan	122.8	123.7	124.4	123.6
Penn St.	114.0	114.6	115.8	114.8
Michigan St.	108.0	108.1	108.6	108.2
Maryland	100.6	99.7	99.4	99.9
Rutgers	93.2	94.7	93.5	93.8
Indiana	93.3	93.0	93.4	93.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	116.1	115.9	117.3	116.5
Iowa	112.9	112.7	113.9	113.2
Purdue	110.8	110.8	112.6	111.4
Minnesota	110.3	111.0	112.2	111.1
Nebraska	109.0	109.1	109.8	109.3
Illinois	101.1	101.6	102.2	101.6
Northwestern	92.0	92.0	91.8	91.9
Big Ten Averages	108.2	108.4	109.0	108.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	101.0	102.6	103.3	102.3
Marshall	94.0	94.3	94.7	94.3
Middle Tennessee	89.7	90.2	90.7	90.2
Florida Atlantic	86.0	86.7	86.2	86.3
Old Dominion	84.8	85.9	86.3	85.7
Charlotte	76.6	77.2	77.2	77.0
Florida Int’l.	65.9	65.9	65.8	65.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	98.0	98.4	98.3	98.2
U T S A	96.5	97.1	96.9	96.8
North Texas	89.9	90.5	90.6	90.3
U T E P	84.2	85.2	84.0	84.5
Rice	80.1	80.1	79.8	80.0
Louisiana Tech	80.0	80.2	78.8	79.7
Southern Miss.	77.4	78.0	77.4	77.6
CUSA Averages	86.0	86.6	86.4	86.3
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	121.1	121.9	122.7	121.9
BYU	109.8	109.5	110.0	109.8
Army	102.5	102.5	102.5	102.5
Liberty	98.5	98.6	98.6	98.6
New Mexico St.	72.1	72.7	70.7	71.8
Connecticut	69.0	69.5	67.2	68.6
UMass	65.2	64.6	62.4	64.1
Indep. Averages	91.2	91.3	90.6	91.0
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.6	98.3	97.3	98.4
Kent St.	93.2	94.2	92.8	93.4
Buffalo	89.2	88.1	87.5	88.3
Ohio	86.0	86.5	85.9	86.1
Bowling Green	77.6	77.8	75.8	77.1
Akron	73.6	72.6	71.4	72.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Central Michigan	102.9	101.8	101.5	102.1
Toledo	99.8	99.4	98.9	99.4
Western Michigan	94.8	94.8	93.7	94.5
Ball St.	94.8	94.2	92.5	93.8
Eastern Michigan	93.4	92.1	90.8	92.1
Northern Illinois	89.7	88.6	87.8	88.7
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	106.1	106.3	106.7	106.4
Air Force	103.5	103.8	104.5	103.9
Utah St.	94.4	95.2	94.7	94.8
Wyoming	92.0	92.4	92.8	92.4
Colorado St.	89.1	88.9	88.8	88.9
New Mexico	78.5	78.3	77.1	78.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Nevada	105.0	106.0	105.3	105.4
Fresno St.	103.2	104.3	104.9	104.1
San Diego St.	103.3	103.1	103.0	103.1
Hawaii	93.0	92.9	92.8	92.9
San Jose St.	88.9	89.0	87.8	88.6
U N L V	85.3	85.0	85.4	85.2
MWC Averages	95.2	95.4	95.3	95.3
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	110.5	111.6	112.2	111.4
Oregon St.	109.9	110.5	110.6	110.3
Washington St.	108.6	109.6	109.4	109.2
California	101.7	104.4	103.9	103.3
Washington	102.7	103.4	103.1	103.1
Stanford	94.2	94.8	94.0	94.3
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Utah	118.6	118.8	118.8	118.7
U C L A	114.5	115.1	115.4	115.0
Arizona St.	109.8	110.5	110.8	110.3
U S C	105.0	104.6	105.0	104.9
Colorado	98.6	98.7	98.4	98.6
Arizona	92.2	92.3	92.3	92.3
Pac-12 Averages	105.5	106.2	106.2	106.0
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	136.2	136.6	137.5	136.7
Kentucky	112.6	113.6	113.1	113.1
Tennessee	111.8	111.7	112.0	111.9
Florida	109.2	110.1	109.4	109.6
South Carolina	101.1	100.7	100.2	100.6
Missouri	100.4	100.7	99.9	100.3
Vanderbilt	84.1	84.0	83.9	84.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	130.2	129.4	130.2	129.9
Texas A&M	118.4	118.8	118.5	118.6
Ole Miss	116.0	116.1	116.3	116.2
Arkansas	114.7	114.7	114.7	114.7
Auburn	114.3	113.7	114.4	114.1
Mississippi St.	111.8	112.1	112.0	112.0
L S U	111.1	111.8	111.7	111.5
SEC Averages	112.3	112.4	112.4	112.4
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	109.2	109.2	110.6	109.7
Coastal Carolina	105.5	103.8	104.6	104.7
Georgia St.	98.8	98.3	98.9	98.7
Troy	88.1	87.9	88.1	88.0
Georgia Southern	86.9	87.1	87.0	87.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	109.7	108.7	109.5	109.3
South Alabama	90.1	89.8	89.4	89.8
UL-Monroe	83.5	83.4	82.7	83.2
Texas St.	83.8	82.4	82.8	83.0
Arkansas St.	83.1	83.0	82.3	82.8
Sun Averages	93.9	93.4	93.6	93.6

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	112.4
2	Big 12	109.6
3	Big Ten	108.5
4	Pac-12	106.0
5	Atlantic Coast	104.5
6	American Athletic	96.9
7	Mountain West	95.3
8	Sun Belt	93.6
9	Independents	91.0
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.3

Playoff and Bowl Projections

Note: 83 teams gained bowl eligibility. There are spots for 82 teams. One team will be left out. As of today, we project Wyoming to be that team.

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Western Kentucky	Central Michigan
Cure	Memphis	Georgia St.
Boca	Liberty	Miami (O)
New Mexico	UTEP	Utah St.
Independence	BYU	UTSA
Lending Tree	Kent St.	Old Dominion
L. A.	Fresno St.	Arizona St.
New Orleans	UAB	Louisiana
Myrtle Beach	SMU	Coastal Carolina
Famous Idaho Potato	Eastern Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	Nevada	Ball St.
Armed Forces	Army	Marshall
Gasparilla	Virginia	Florida
Hawaii	Houston	San Diego St.
Camellia	Northern Illinois	Appalachian St/
Quick Lane	Toledo	Missouri
Military	Louisville	South Carolina
Birmingham	Central Florida	Auburn
First Responder	Tulsa	North Texas
Liberty	Kansas St.	Mississippi St.
Holiday	Virginia Tech	UCLA
Guaranteed Rate	Maryland	Middle Tennessee
Fenway	East Carolina	Boston College
Pinstripe	North Carolina	Penn St.
Cheez-It	Wake Forest	West Virginia
Alamo	Iowa St.	Oregon St.
Duke’s Mayo	North Carolina St.	Texas A&M
Music City	Purdue	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Oregon
Tax Slayer Gator	Clemson	Arkansas
Tony The Tiger Sun	Miami (Fla.)	Washington St.
Arizona	Western Michigan	Air Force
Citrus	Michigan St.	Ole Miss
Outback	Minnesota	Kentucky
Texas	Texas Tech	LSU
Peach	Pittsburgh	Ohio St.
Fiesta	Oklahoma	Notre Dame
Rose	Iowa	Utah
Sugar	Alabama	Baylor
Cotton	Michigan	Oklahoma St.
Orange	Georgia	Cincinnati
Championship	Georgia	Michigan