PiRate Ratings College Football–October 12-16, 2021

This Week’s PiRate Ratings Spreads

Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Louisiana	Appalachian St.	5.2	3.8	3.3
South Alabama	Georgia Southern	5.9	5.3	5.2
Memphis	Navy	8.1	9.2	8.7
Syracuse	Clemson	-16.5	-16.5	-18.6
North Texas	Marshall	-7.9	-7.7	-8.7
San Jose St.	San Diego St.	-5.6	-5.1	-7.0
Oregon	California	18.6	15.6	17.9
Northern Illinois	Bowling Green	17.3	15.3	17.0
North Carolina	Miami (Fla.)	2.0	3.3	4.0
Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	4.9	3.1	3.7
Kansas	Texas Tech	-16.2	-18.9	-20.6
Indiana	Michigan St.	1.1	0.8	2.0
Wisconsin	Army	11.6	11.6	13.6
Buffalo	Ohio U	11.4	9.4	9.6
South Carolina	Vanderbilt	21.0	21.5	21.6
South Florida	Tulsa	-3.3	-4.0	-3.3
Boston College	North Carolina St.	-0.2	0.9	0.8
Minnesota	Nebraska	-1.8	-1.3	-0.4
Miami (O)	Akron	24.2	23.7	24.1
Cincinnati	Central Florida	24.3	25.2	25.0
Virginia	Duke	16.7	17.2	18.0
Northwestern	Rutgers	3.0	1.1	2.1
Eastern Michigan	Ball St.	0.5	-1.2	-0.5
New Mexico	Colorado St.	-8.9	-9.0	-11.0
Colorado	Arizona	11.8	11.8	11.3
Boise St.	Air Force	8.0	7.4	7.6
Utah	Arizona St.	1.4	0.5	0.2
Wyoming	Fresno St.	0.8	-0.1	-0.4
Washington	UCLA	1.4	2.5	2.4
Louisiana-Monroe	Liberty	-29.5	-30.4	-32.9
Baylor	BYU	7.0	6.9	5.4
Missouri	Texas A&M	-12.1	-12.3	-13.0
Texas	Oklahoma St.	11.3	9.8	11.3
Oklahoma	TCU	14.9	14.0	13.9
Central Michigan	Toledo	2.9	2.2	2.9
Southern Miss.	UAB	-14.7	-13.8	-14.7
Iowa	Purdue	17.2	17.2	17.0
Mississippi St.	Alabama	-17.5	-16.4	-18.5
Western Michigan	Kent St.	1.7	0.6	1.3
Old Dominion	Western Kentucky	-9.1	-9.8	-9.6
Georgia	Kentucky	26.6	24.9	27.4
LSU	Florida	-5.9	-6.6	-5.9
Tennessee	Ole Miss	-4.9	-5.0	-4.8
Texas St.	Troy	-4.6	-7.0	-6.8
Kansas St.	Iowa St.	-10.8	-9.4	-11.4
Arkansas	Auburn	1.5	2.4	1.0
UTSA	Rice	16.8	17.5	17.0
UNLV	Utah St.	-1.9	-3.8	-2.2
UTEP	Louisiana Tech	-7.1	-6.7	-7.1
Washington St.	Stanford	-0.4	-0.2	-0.2
Nevada	Hawaii	10.8	12.5	11.1

FBS vs. FCS Game

FBS	FCS	PiRate
Connecticut	Yale	2.5

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Georgia	135.0
2	Alabama	129.1
3	Ohio St.	126.3
4	Oklahoma	124.2
5	Cincinnati	122.0
6	Iowa St.	120.8
7	Iowa	119.5
8	Texas	118.8
9	Florida	118.5
10	Clemson	117.5
11	Ole Miss	116.9
12	Penn St.	116.9
13	Texas A&M	116.3
14	Auburn	115.6
15	Arizona St.	115.2
16	Arkansas	114.3
17	Michigan	114.1
18	Notre Dame	113.4
19	T C U	113.0
20	Utah	112.9
21	Oregon	112.8
22	U S C	112.4
23	Coastal Carolina	112.2
24	Kentucky	111.8
25	Baylor	111.4
26	Oklahoma St.	111.0
27	Nebraska	110.4
28	North Carolina	110.0
29	Oregon St.	109.9
30	Miami (Fla.)	109.8
31	U C L A	109.7
32	Wisconsin	109.7
33	Michigan St.	109.5
34	L S U	109.3
35	West Virginia	109.0
36	Wake Forest	109.0
37	Tennessee	109.0
38	Washington	108.9
39	Mississippi St.	108.7
40	NC State	108.3
41	BYU	107.9
42	Indiana	107.8
43	Liberty	107.4
44	Kansas St.	107.3
45	Virginia Tech	106.7
46	Louisiana	106.4
47	Minnesota	106.2
48	Pittsburgh	105.8
49	Boston College	105.8
50	Purdue	105.3
51	Appalachian St.	105.3
52	Boise St.	105.2
53	Stanford	104.9
54	Virginia	104.7
55	Houston	104.2
56	Maryland	103.0
57	Louisville	102.8
58	SMU	102.2
59	San Diego St.	102.0
60	Texas Tech	101.8
61	Washington St.	101.6
62	Florida St.	101.5
63	Nevada	101.3
64	Missouri	100.8
65	Fresno St.	100.6
66	Air Force	100.5
67	Army	100.4
68	UCF	100.2
69	Georgia Tech	99.8
70	Colorado	99.7
71	South Carolina	99.3
72	California	98.4
73	Miami (Ohio)	98.1
74	East Carolina	97.9
75	Wyoming	97.7
76	Rutgers	97.6
77	Syracuse	97.3
78	Northwestern	97.1
79	U A B	97.0
80	U T S A	96.8
81	Ball St.	96.3
82	Central Michigan	95.8
83	Toledo	95.6
84	Tulsa	95.3
85	Tulane	94.8
86	Kent St.	94.5
87	Hawaii	93.8
88	Buffalo	93.8
89	Georgia St.	93.6
90	San Jose St.	93.6
91	Illinois	93.5
92	Eastern Michigan	93.4
93	Western Michigan	93.2
94	Memphis	93.1
95	Colorado St.	93.0
96	Florida Atlantic	92.6
97	Marshall	92.0
98	Troy	91.7
99	South Alabama	91.4
100	Arizona	91.1
101	Duke	90.4
102	Utah St.	90.4
103	Louisiana Tech	89.7
104	Northern Illinois	88.8
105	USF	88.8
106	Georgia Southern	88.4
107	Western Kentucky	87.9
108	Navy	86.9
109	Middle Tennessee	86.5
110	Ohio	86.1
111	U N L V	85.3
112	Arkansas St.	83.5
113	Texas St.	83.1
114	Charlotte	83.1
115	Rice	82.3
116	Temple	81.5
117	North Texas	81.4
118	Vanderbilt	80.9
119	New Mexico	80.9
120	Southern Miss.	80.6
121	U T E P	80.3
122	Kansas	80.2
123	Florida Int’l.	77.7
124	Old Dominion	76.4
125	Akron	76.1
126	Bowling Green	74.8
127	UL-Monroe	74.5
128	New Mexico St.	71.0
129	UMass	71.0
130	Connecticut	70.1

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Cincinnati	121.4	121.1	123.6	122.0
Houston	104.4	103.4	104.9	104.2
SMU	101.8	102.3	102.5	102.2
UCF	100.1	98.9	101.6	100.2
East Carolina	97.7	97.1	98.8	97.9
Tulsa	95.4	95.4	95.2	95.3
Tulane	95.1	93.6	95.7	94.8
Memphis	92.6	93.1	93.5	93.1
USF	89.1	88.4	89.0	88.8
Navy	87.0	86.5	87.3	86.9
Temple	80.8	82.1	81.6	81.5
AAC Averages	96.8	96.5	97.6	97.0
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	116.8	116.9	118.7	117.5
Wake Forest	109.2	108.5	109.4	109.0
NC State	108.6	108.0	108.2	108.3
Boston College	105.4	105.9	106.0	105.8
Louisville	102.4	102.1	103.8	102.8
Florida St.	101.3	101.5	101.7	101.5
Syracuse	97.4	97.5	97.1	97.3
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	109.3	109.5	111.1	110.0
Miami (Fla.)	110.3	109.2	110.1	109.8
Virginia Tech	107.4	106.3	106.4	106.7
Pittsburgh	105.5	106.3	105.7	105.8
Virginia	104.1	105.4	104.5	104.7
Georgia Tech	99.8	99.9	99.7	99.8
Duke	90.4	91.3	89.5	90.4
ACC Averages	104.8	104.9	105.1	105.0
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	125.4	123.3	124.0	124.2
Iowa St.	121.4	119.8	121.2	120.8
Texas	119.6	117.9	118.8	118.8
T C U	113.5	112.4	113.1	113.0
Baylor	112.0	111.4	110.7	111.4
Oklahoma St.	111.3	111.1	110.5	111.0
West Virginia	110.6	108.8	107.8	109.0
Kansas St.	107.6	107.5	106.8	107.3
Texas Tech	101.9	102.2	101.2	101.8
Kansas	82.7	80.3	77.6	80.2
Big 12 Averages	110.6	109.5	109.2	109.7
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	125.8	125.7	127.4	126.3
Penn St.	115.7	116.5	118.4	116.9
Michigan	113.4	114.4	114.6	114.1
Michigan St.	109.6	109.6	109.4	109.5
Indiana	107.6	107.4	108.4	107.8
Maryland	104.1	102.7	102.0	103.0
Rutgers	96.7	98.7	97.3	97.6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	119.1	118.8	120.6	119.5
Nebraska	110.0	110.4	110.7	110.4
Wisconsin	109.1	109.1	110.7	109.7
Minnesota	105.2	106.1	107.3	106.2
Purdue	104.9	104.5	106.6	105.3
Northwestern	97.2	97.3	96.9	97.1
Illinois	93.3	93.4	93.8	93.5
Big Ten Averages	108.0	108.2	108.9	108.4
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Florida Atlantic	91.9	93.2	92.8	92.6
Marshall	92.0	91.8	92.4	92.0
Western Kentucky	87.0	88.5	88.3	87.9
Middle Tennessee	86.2	86.1	87.2	86.5
Charlotte	82.1	83.2	83.9	83.1
Florida Int’l.	77.1	77.7	78.3	77.7
Old Dominion	75.9	76.7	76.7	76.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
U A B	96.9	97.0	97.1	97.0
U T S A	96.6	97.2	96.8	96.8
Louisiana Tech	89.9	90.4	88.9	89.7
Rice	82.3	82.2	82.3	82.3
North Texas	81.6	81.5	81.1	81.4
Southern Miss.	80.2	81.1	80.4	80.6
U T E P	80.3	81.2	79.3	80.3
CUSA Averages	85.7	86.3	86.1	86.0
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	112.7	113.3	114.1	113.4
BYU	108.0	107.4	108.3	107.9
Liberty	106.6	107.5	108.1	107.4
Army	100.5	100.5	100.1	100.4
New Mexico St.	71.4	72.1	69.6	71.0
UMass	72.2	71.6	69.3	71.0
Connecticut	70.6	71.3	68.4	70.1
Indep. Averages	91.7	92.0	91.1	91.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami (Ohio)	99.7	97.7	96.9	98.1
Kent St.	94.2	95.6	93.7	94.5
Buffalo	94.5	93.5	93.4	93.8
Ohio	85.5	86.6	86.3	86.1
Akron	77.5	76.0	74.8	76.1
Bowling Green	75.2	75.7	73.5	74.8
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ball St.	96.9	97.0	95.0	96.3
Central Michigan	96.7	95.4	95.2	95.8
Toledo	96.3	95.7	94.8	95.6
Eastern Michigan	95.0	93.2	92.0	93.4
Western Michigan	93.3	93.7	92.5	93.2
Northern Illinois	90.0	88.5	88.0	88.8
MAC Averages	91.2	90.7	89.7	90.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	105.0	104.8	105.7	105.2
Air Force	100.0	100.4	101.1	100.5
Wyoming	97.3	97.7	98.2	97.7
Colorado St.	92.8	92.9	93.4	93.0
Utah St.	90.1	91.0	90.1	90.4
New Mexico	81.3	81.5	79.9	80.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	102.3	101.8	101.9	102.0
Nevada	100.7	102.1	101.0	101.3
Fresno St.	99.5	100.9	101.6	100.6
Hawaii	93.9	93.6	93.9	93.8
San Jose St.	94.2	94.1	92.4	93.6
U N L V	85.7	84.8	85.4	85.3
MWC Averages	95.2	95.5	95.4	95.4
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oregon	111.9	112.8	113.8	112.8
Oregon St.	109.8	109.8	110.1	109.9
Washington	107.8	109.3	109.5	108.9
Stanford	104.5	105.4	104.7	104.9
Washington St.	101.2	102.2	101.5	101.6
California	96.3	100.2	98.9	98.4
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Arizona St.	114.6	115.4	115.6	115.2
Utah	113.0	112.9	112.8	112.9
U S C	112.1	112.0	113.0	112.4
U C L A	109.4	109.8	110.0	109.7
Colorado	100.2	99.7	99.2	99.7
Arizona	91.4	90.9	90.9	91.1
Pac-12 Averages	106.0	106.7	106.7	106.5
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia	134.5	134.6	136.1	135.0
Florida	117.7	119.2	118.5	118.5
Kentucky	110.9	112.7	111.7	111.8
Tennessee	109.0	108.7	109.2	109.0
Missouri	100.9	101.3	100.3	100.8
South Carolina	99.7	99.4	98.9	99.3
Vanderbilt	81.6	80.9	80.3	80.9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	129.2	128.3	129.9	129.1
Ole Miss	116.9	116.7	117.0	116.9
Texas A&M	116.0	116.6	116.3	116.3
Auburn	115.9	115.0	116.0	115.6
Arkansas	114.3	114.4	114.0	114.3
L S U	108.8	109.6	109.6	109.3
Mississippi St.	108.7	108.9	108.4	108.7
SEC Averages	111.7	111.9	111.9	111.8
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Coastal Carolina	112.7	110.9	112.8	112.2
Appalachian St.	104.8	104.5	106.6	105.3
Georgia St.	94.0	93.3	93.6	93.6
Troy	91.5	91.9	91.9	91.7
Georgia Southern	88.4	88.8	88.2	88.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisiana	107.1	105.3	106.9	106.4
South Alabama	91.8	91.6	90.9	91.4
Arkansas St.	83.7	84.1	82.8	83.5
Texas St.	84.4	82.4	82.6	83.1
UL-Monroe	75.1	75.1	73.2	74.5
Sun Averages	93.3	92.8	92.9	93.0

Conference Ratings

Rank	Conference	Rating
1	Southeastern	111.8
2	Big 12	109.7
3	Big Ten	108.4
4	Pac-12	106.5
5	Atlantic Coast	105.0
6	American Athletic	97.0
7	Mountain West	95.4
8	Sun Belt	93.0
9	Independents	91.6
10	Mid-American	90.5
11	Conference USA	86.0

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Team	Team
Bahamas	Florida Atlantic	Northern Illinois
Cure	SMU	Coastal Carolina
Boca	Louisiana	Air Force
New Mexico	UTEP	Wyoming
Independence	BYU	UAB
Lending Tree	Kent St.	San Jose St.
L. A.	San Diego St.	Arizona St.
New Orleans	Louisiana Tech	Liberty
Myrtle Beach	Charlotte	Appalachian St.
Famous Idaho Potato	Western Michigan	Boise St.
Frisco	Utah St.	Washington St.
Armed Forces	Army	Washington
Gasparilla	Western Ky.	Fresno St.
Hawaii	East Carolina	Hawaii
Camellia	Ball St.	South Alabama
Quick Lane	Central Michigan	Marshall
Military	Virginia	Houston
Birmingham	MTSU	Eastern Michigan
First Responder	Memphis	Kansas St.
Liberty	TCU	Arkansas
Holiday	North Carolina St.	Utah
Guaranteed Rate	Indiana	Texas Tech
Fenway	Central Florida	UTSA
Pinstripe	Pittsburgh	Rutgers
Cheez-It	Boston College	Baylor
Alamo	Iowa St.	UCLA
Duke’s Mayo	Wake Forest	Mississippi St.
Music City	Minnesota	Tennessee
Las Vegas	Wisconsin	Oregon St.
Tax Slayer Gator	Virginia Tech	Auburn
Tony The Tiger Sun	North Carolina	USC
Arizona	Toledo	Nevada
Citrus	Penn St.	Ole Miss
Outback	Michigan	Florida
Texas	Texas	Texas A&M
Peach	Clemson	Alabama
Fiesta	Notre Dame	Michigan St.
Rose	Oregon	Iowa
Sugar	Kentucky	Oklahoma St.
Cotton	Ohio St.	Cincinnati
Orange	Georgia	Oklahoma
Championship	Georgia	Ohio St.