PiRate Ratings College Football For The Playoffs and Bowls

Spreads for Bowls and Playoff Semifinals

Team	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Dec. 21	Myrtle Beach
Appalachian St.	North Texas	28.0	27.3	28.7
Dec. 22	Idaho Potato
Tulane	Nevada	9.1	8.2	8.2
Dec 22	Boca Raton
Central Florida	BYU	-3.3	-3.2	-3.2
Dec 23	New Orleans
Louisiana Tech	Georgia Southern	-8.6	-8.8	-8.8
Dec 23	Montgomery
Memphis	Florida Atlantic	18.5	16.4	16.4
Dec 24	New Mexico
Houston	Hawaii	10.6	8.9	10.2
Dec 25	Camellia
Marshall	Buffalo	-6.3	-7.0	-7.5
Dec 26	Gasparilla
South Carolina	UAB	3.6	1.4	3.2
Dec 26	Cure
Coastal Carolina	Liberty	7.0	4.6	6.9
Dec 26	First Responder
UTSA	Louisiana	-20.5	-19.7	-19.9
Dec 26	LendingTree
Western Ky.	Georgia St.	-0.6	-0.4	-1.5
Dec 29	Cheez-It
Miami (Fla.)	Oklahoma St.	-2.7	0.5	-1.3
Dec 29	Alamo
Texas	Colorado	17.0	15.0	18.1
Dec 30	Duke’s Mayo
Wake Forest	Wisconsin	-13.7	-11.2	-13.9
Dec 30	Music City
Iowa	Missouri	15.6	15.7	16.7
Dec 30	Cotton
Oklahoma	Florida	-1.2	-1.2	-1.6
Dec 31	Armed Forces
Tulsa	Mississippi St.	-1.0	-1.6	-2.7
Dec 31	Liberty
Army (replaces Tenn.)	West Va.	-10.0	-8.2	-10.0
Dec 31	Arizona
Ball St.	San Jose St.	-1.6	-3.3	-1.9
Dec 31	Texas
TCU	Arkansas	8.3	6.6	8.6
Jan 1	Peach
Georgia	Cincinnati	7.8	7.7	8.8
Jan 1	Citrus
Auburn	Northwestern	3.3	2.4	0.7
Jan 1	Rose *
Alabama	Notre Dame	17.0	17.9	19.0
Jan 1	Sugar
Clemson	Ohio St.	0.0	1.7	0.2
Jan 2	Gator
N.C. State	Kentucky	-7.7	-7.0	-8.3
Jan 2	Outback
Ole Miss	Indiana	-8.0	-9.4	-10.3
Jan 2	Fiesta
Oregon	Iowa St.	-3.4	-4.2	-4.1
Jan 2	Orange
Texas A&M	North Carolina	2.1	2.1	2.5

Final Regular Season PiRate Ratings

#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg.	Conference
1	Alabama	139.5	140.2	141.5	140.4	SEC-W
2	Clemson	131.1	131.9	133.3	132.1	ACC
3	Ohio St.	131.1	130.2	133.2	131.5	BTen-E
4	Georgia	124.4	123.6	125.2	124.4	SEC-E
5	Florida	123.1	122.8	124.0	123.3	SEC-E
6	Notre Dame	122.5	122.3	122.5	122.4	ACC
7	Texas A&M	121.9	122.0	122.8	122.2	SEC-W
8	Oklahoma	121.9	121.5	122.3	121.9	B12
9	Iowa	119.7	119.3	121.4	120.1	BTen-W
10	Iowa St.	120.2	119.4	120.4	120.0	B12
11	N. Carolina	119.8	119.9	120.3	120.0	ACC
12	Wisconsin	118.9	117.2	120.0	118.7	BTen-W
13	Indiana	117.1	117.5	119.6	118.1	BTen-E
14	Cincinnati	118.1	117.4	118.0	117.8	AAC
15	Texas	117.0	115.8	116.9	116.6	B12
16	U S C	117.3	114.7	116.3	116.1	P12-S
17	Oregon	116.8	115.2	116.3	116.1	P12-N
18	Auburn	115.6	114.7	115.7	115.3	SEC-W
19	BYU	114.7	114.5	114.9	114.7	Ind.
20	L S U	114.2	113.4	115.1	114.2	SEC-W
21	Penn St.	114.3	113.1	115.1	114.2	BTen-E
22	Oklahoma St.	114.5	113.2	113.6	113.8	B12
23	Northwestern	112.2	112.3	114.9	113.2	BTen-W
24	Miami (Fla.)	110.8	112.7	111.3	111.6	ACC
25	UCF	110.4	110.3	110.7	110.5	AAC
26	T C U	110.5	109.3	110.9	110.3	B12
27	Arizona St.	110.2	109.7	110.0	109.9	P12-S
28	Utah	109.3	109.4	110.2	109.6	P12-S
29	Kentucky	109.1	109.0	110.1	109.4	SEC-E
30	Washington	109.4	108.0	109.8	109.1	P12-N
31	Ole Miss	109.1	108.1	109.3	108.8	SEC-W
32	Minnesota	107.5	108.0	109.2	108.2	BTen-W
33	Coastal Car.	107.0	107.6	107.7	107.4	SUN-E
34	U C L A	108.0	106.9	107.0	107.3	P12-S
35	Louisville	107.1	107.0	106.5	106.8	ACC
36	Pittsburgh	105.5	106.4	105.8	105.9	ACC
37	Tennessee	106.0	105.3	105.9	105.7	SEC-E
38	Miss. St.	105.6	105.0	106.2	105.6	SEC-W
39	Nebraska	105.2	104.7	106.5	105.5	BTen-W
40	Michigan	105.4	104.5	106.3	105.4	BTen-E
41	Louisiana	105.7	105.3	105.3	105.4	SUN-W
42	Wake Forest	104.7	105.5	105.5	105.3	ACC
43	California	105.4	105.1	105.1	105.2	P12-N
44	Virginia	104.6	105.0	105.1	104.9	ACC
45	Buffalo	104.3	105.2	104.9	104.8	MAC-E
46	W. Virginia	104.7	104.4	104.9	104.7	B12
47	Virginia Tech	103.9	104.5	104.9	104.4	ACC
48	Tulane	104.3	104.3	103.9	104.2	AAC
49	Missouri	104.1	103.7	104.7	104.2	SEC-E
50	Boise St.	104.2	104.2	103.8	104.1	MWC-M
51	Stanford	104.6	103.1	104.4	104.0	P12-N
52	Boston Coll.	103.6	103.9	104.2	103.9	ACC
53	Tulsa	104.6	103.4	103.5	103.8	AAC
54	Purdue	103.4	103.5	104.1	103.7	BTen-W
55	Memphis	104.4	103.1	102.6	103.4	AAC
56	Appal. St.	103.4	102.9	103.5	103.3	SUN-E
57	Oregon St.	103.0	102.6	102.0	102.5	P12-N
58	Arkansas	102.2	102.8	102.4	102.5	SEC-W
59	Washington St.	102.6	101.2	102.9	102.2	P12-N
60	Baylor	102.3	101.8	102.1	102.1	B12
61	NC State	101.4	101.9	101.8	101.7	ACC
62	Houston	102.3	100.9	101.2	101.5	AAC
63	Liberty	100.0	102.9	100.8	101.2	Ind.
64	Air Force	100.9	101.6	100.7	101.1	MWC-M
65	Colorado	101.0	101.8	99.8	100.9	P12-S
66	San Jose St.	99.9	101.6	100.5	100.7	MWC-W
67	Illinois	100.4	99.7	101.1	100.4	BTen-W
68	Kansas St.	100.4	99.6	100.7	100.2	B12
69	Rutgers	100.4	99.4	99.8	99.9	BTen-E
70	SMU	100.1	99.6	99.2	99.7	AAC
71	S. Carolina	100.5	98.8	99.7	99.7	SEC-E
72	Michigan St.	99.1	98.6	99.7	99.2	BTen-E
73	San Diego St.	98.5	99.5	98.8	98.9	MWC-W
74	Texas Tech	98.8	97.6	98.9	98.4	B12
75	Ball St.	98.2	98.3	98.6	98.4	MAC-W
76	Marshall	98.0	98.2	97.4	97.8	CUSA-E
77	Florida St.	97.9	97.2	97.7	97.6	ACC
78	U A B	96.9	97.4	96.5	96.9	CUSA-W
79	Wyoming	96.0	97.1	96.4	96.5	MWC-M
80	Nevada	95.2	96.1	95.6	95.7	MWC-W
81	Army	94.7	96.1	94.9	95.3	Ind.
82	Georgia Tech	95.7	95.2	94.8	95.2	ACC
83	E. Carolina	95.6	95.4	94.5	95.2	AAC
84	Maryland	95.2	95.2	95.0	95.1	BTen-E
85	Ohio	94.4	95.1	95.3	94.9	MAC-E
86	Arizona	94.1	92.5	92.9	93.2	P12-S
87	Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.5	93.0	93.1	SUN-E
88	Fresno St.	92.7	93.2	92.2	92.7	MWC-W
89	Hawaii	92.7	93.0	92.0	92.5	MWC-W
90	Western Mich.	91.6	93.3	92.4	92.4	MAC-W
91	Toledo	92.1	93.2	91.9	92.4	MAC-W
92	Troy	91.8	92.9	92.2	92.3	SUN-E
93	Central Mich.	92.0	92.1	92.2	92.1	MAC-W
94	Georgia St.	91.8	92.1	92.3	92.1	SUN-E
95	Miami (O)	92.4	91.5	92.1	92.0	MAC-E
96	Navy	92.7	91.4	90.7	91.6	AAC
97	W. Kentucky	91.2	91.7	90.8	91.2	CUSA-E
98	Kent St.	91.2	90.7	90.7	90.9	MAC-E
99	Syracuse	90.1	91.3	90.8	90.8	ACC
100	Duke	90.5	90.3	89.3	90.0	ACC
101	Colorado St.	89.5	90.3	89.5	89.8	MWC-M
102	Vanderbilt	88.3	87.5	87.4	87.8	SEC-E
103	Arkansas St.	87.6	88.2	87.0	87.6	SUN-W
104	Temple	87.9	87.6	86.3	87.3	AAC
105	Rice	88.1	86.2	87.2	87.2	CUSA-W
106	USF	87.8	86.5	86.2	86.8	AAC
107	Fla. Atlantic	85.9	86.8	86.2	86.3	CUSA-E
108	New Mexico	86.0	86.8	85.4	86.1	MWC-M
109	Florida Int’l.	85.7	85.5	85.3	85.5	CUSA-E
110	U T S A	85.2	85.6	85.4	85.4	CUSA-W
111	Eastern Mich.	83.8	85.6	84.5	84.6	MAC-W
112	Utah St.	84.4	84.1	83.5	84.0	MWC-M
113	La. Tech	83.6	84.2	83.6	83.8	CUSA-W
114	Charlotte	83.5	83.6	83.2	83.4	CUSA-E
115	Middle Tenn.	82.2	82.5	82.3	82.3	CUSA-E
116	Southern Miss.	82.3	82.8	81.8	82.3	CUSA-W
117	S. Alabama	81.8	82.7	81.7	82.1	SUN-W
118	N. Illinois	80.7	82.0	80.8	81.2	MAC-W
119	Texas St.	81.0	81.5	80.2	80.9	SUN-W
120	U N L V	79.5	80.6	78.7	79.6	MWC-W
121	Kansas	78.7	78.0	77.4	78.1	B12
122	North Texas	75.4	75.6	74.8	75.3	CUSA-W
123	U T E P	67.9	70.3	68.0	68.7	CUSA-W
124	Akron	67.5	69.2	66.1	67.6	MAC-E
125	UL-Monroe	68.0	67.9	66.5	67.5	SUN-W
126	Bowling Green	65.1	66.4	61.8	64.4	MAC-E
127	Mass.	61.7	67.5	59.9	63.0	Ind.

PiRate Rating By Conference

American Athletic Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	AAC	Overall
Cincinnati	118.1	117.4	118.0	117.8	6-0	9-0
UCF	110.4	110.3	110.7	110.5	5-3	6-3
Tulane	104.3	104.3	103.9	104.2	3-5	6-5
Tulsa	104.6	103.4	103.5	103.8	6-0	6-2
Memphis	104.4	103.1	102.6	103.4	5-3	7-3
Houston	102.3	100.9	101.2	101.5	3-3	3-4
SMU	100.1	99.6	99.2	99.7	4-3	7-3
E. Carolina	95.6	95.4	94.5	95.2	3-4	3-6
Navy	92.7	91.4	90.7	91.6	3-4	3-7
Temple	87.9	87.6	86.3	87.3	1-6	1-6
USF	87.8	86.5	86.2	86.8	0-7	1-8
AAC Avg.	100.7	100.0	99.7	100.1
Atlantic Coast Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	ACC	Overall
Clemson	131.1	131.9	133.3	132.1	8-1	10-1
Notre Dame	122.5	122.3	122.5	122.4	9-0	10-1
N. Carolina	119.8	119.9	120.3	120.0	7-3	8-3
Miami (Fla.)	110.8	112.7	111.3	111.6	7-2	8-2
Louisville	107.1	107.0	106.5	106.8	3-7	4-7
Pittsburgh	105.5	106.4	105.8	105.9	5-5	6-5
Wake Forest	104.7	105.5	105.5	105.3	3-4	4-4
Virginia	104.6	105.0	105.1	104.9	4-5	5-5
Virginia Tech	103.9	104.5	104.9	104.4	5-5	5-6
Boston Coll.	103.6	103.9	104.2	103.9	5-5	6-5
NC State	101.4	101.9	101.8	101.7	7-3	8-3
Florida St.	97.9	97.2	97.7	97.6	2-6	3-6
Georgia Tech	95.7	95.2	94.8	95.2	3-6	3-7
Syracuse	90.1	91.3	90.8	90.8	1-9	1-10
Duke	90.5	90.3	89.3	90.0	1-9	2-9
ACC Avg.	106.0	106.3	106.2	106.2
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	B12	Overall
Oklahoma	121.9	121.5	122.3	121.9	6-2	8-2
Iowa St.	120.2	119.4	120.4	120.0	8-1	8-3
Texas	117.0	115.8	116.9	116.6	5-3	6-3
Oklahoma St.	114.5	113.2	113.6	113.8	6-3	7-3
T C U	110.5	109.3	110.9	110.3	5-4	6-4
W. Virginia	104.7	104.4	104.9	104.7	4-4	5-4
Baylor	102.3	101.8	102.1	102.1	2-7	2-7
Kansas St.	100.4	99.6	100.7	100.2	4-5	4-6
Texas Tech	98.8	97.6	98.9	98.4	3-6	4-6
Kansas	78.7	78.0	77.4	78.1	0-8	0-9
Big 12 Avg.	106.9	106.1	106.8	106.6
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Ohio St.	131.1	130.2	133.2	131.5	5-0	6-0
Indiana	117.1	117.5	119.6	118.1	6-1	6-1
Penn St.	114.3	113.1	115.1	114.2	4-5	4-5
Michigan	105.4	104.5	106.3	105.4	2-4	2-4
Rutgers	100.4	99.4	99.8	99.9	3-6	3-6
Michigan St.	99.1	98.6	99.7	99.2	2-5	2-5
Maryland	95.2	95.2	95.0	95.1	2-3	2-3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average	BTen	Overall
Iowa	119.7	119.3	121.4	120.1	6-2	6-2
Wisconsin	118.9	117.2	120.0	118.7	3-3	3-3
Northwestern	112.2	112.3	114.9	113.2	6-1	6-2
Minnesota	107.5	108.0	109.2	108.2	3-4	3-4
Nebraska	105.2	104.7	106.5	105.5	3-5	3-5
Purdue	103.4	103.5	104.1	103.7	2-4	2-4
Illinois	100.4	99.7	101.1	100.4	2-6	2-6
Big Ten Avg.	109.3	108.8	110.4	109.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
Marshall	98.0	98.2	97.4	97.8	4-1	7-2
W. Kentucky	91.2	91.7	90.8	91.2	4-3	5-6
Fla. Atlantic	85.9	86.8	86.2	86.3	4-2	5-3
Florida Int’l.	85.7	85.5	85.3	85.5	0-3	0-5
Charlotte	83.5	83.6	83.2	83.4	2-2	2-4
Middle Tenn.	82.2	82.5	82.3	82.3	2-4	3-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	CUSA	Overall
U A B	96.9	97.4	96.5	96.9	3-1	6-3
Rice	88.1	86.2	87.2	87.2	2-3	2-3
U T S A	85.2	85.6	85.4	85.4	5-2	7-4
La. Tech	83.6	84.2	83.6	83.8	4-2	5-4
Southern Miss.	82.3	82.8	81.8	82.3	2-4	3-7
North Texas	75.4	75.6	74.8	75.3	3-4	4-5
U T E P	67.9	70.3	68.0	68.7	0-4	3-5
CUSA Avg.	85.1	85.4	84.8	85.1
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
BYU	114.7	114.5	114.9	114.7	x	10-1
Liberty	100.0	102.9	100.8	101.2	x	9-1
Army	94.7	96.1	94.9	95.3	x	9-2
Mass.	61.7	67.5	59.9	63.0	x	0-4
Ind. Avg.	92.8	95.3	92.6	93.6
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Buffalo	104.3	105.2	104.9	104.8	5-0	5-1
Ohio	94.4	95.1	95.3	94.9	2-1	2-1
Miami (O)	92.4	91.5	92.1	92.0	2-1	2-1
Kent St.	91.2	90.7	90.7	90.9	3-1	3-1
Akron	67.5	69.2	66.1	67.6	1-5	1-5
Bowling Green	65.1	66.4	61.8	64.4	0-5	0-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Ball St.	98.2	98.3	98.6	98.4	5-1	6-1
Western Mich.	91.6	93.3	92.4	92.4	4-2	4-2
Toledo	92.1	93.2	91.9	92.4	4-2	4-2
Central Mich.	92.0	92.1	92.2	92.1	3-3	3-3
Eastern Mich.	83.8	85.6	84.5	84.6	2-4	2-4
N. Illinois	80.7	82.0	80.8	81.2	0-6	0-6
MAC Avg.	87.8	88.5	87.6	88.0
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Boise St.	104.2	104.2	103.8	104.1	5-0	5-2
Air Force	100.9	101.6	100.7	101.1	2-2	3-3
Wyoming	96.0	97.1	96.4	96.5	2-4	2-4
Colorado St.	89.5	90.3	89.5	89.8	1-3	1-3
New Mexico	86.0	86.8	85.4	86.1	2-5	2-5
Utah St.	84.4	84.1	83.5	84.0	1-5	1-5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
San Jose St.	99.9	101.6	100.5	100.7	6-0	7-0
San Diego St.	98.5	99.5	98.8	98.9	4-2	4-4
Nevada	95.2	96.1	95.6	95.7	6-2	6-2
Fresno St.	92.7	93.2	92.2	92.7	3-3	3-3
Hawaii	92.7	93.0	92.0	92.5	4-4	4-4
U N L V	79.5	80.6	78.7	79.6	0-6	0-6
MWC Avg.	93.3	94.0	93.1	93.5
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
Oregon	116.8	115.2	116.3	116.1	3-2	4-2
Washington	109.4	108.0	109.8	109.1	3-1	3-1
California	105.4	105.1	105.1	105.2	1-3	1-3
Stanford	104.6	103.1	104.4	104.0	4-2	4-2
Oregon St.	103.0	102.6	102.0	102.5	2-5	2-5
Washington St.	102.6	101.2	102.9	102.2	1-3	1-3
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	Conf.	Overall
U S C	117.3	114.7	116.3	116.1	5-0	5-1
Arizona St.	110.2	109.7	110.0	109.9	2-2	2-2
Utah	109.3	109.4	110.2	109.6	3-2	3-2
U C L A	108.0	106.9	107.0	107.3	3-4	3-4
Colorado	101.0	101.8	99.8	100.9	3-1	4-1
Arizona	94.1	92.5	92.9	93.2	0-5	0-5
P12 Avg.	106.8	105.8	106.4	106.4
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Georgia	124.4	123.6	125.2	124.4	7-2	7-2
Florida	123.1	122.8	124.0	123.3	8-2	8-3
Kentucky	109.1	109.0	110.1	109.4	4-6	4-6
Tennessee	106.0	105.3	105.9	105.7	3-7	3-7
Missouri	104.1	103.7	104.7	104.2	5-5	5-5
S. Carolina	100.5	98.8	99.7	99.7	2-8	2-8
Vanderbilt	88.3	87.5	87.4	87.8	0-9	0-9
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SEC	Overall
Alabama	139.5	140.2	141.5	140.4	10-0	11-0
Texas A&M	121.9	122.0	122.8	122.2	8-1	8-1
Auburn	115.6	114.7	115.7	115.3	6-4	6-4
L S U	114.2	113.4	115.1	114.2	5-5	5-5
Ole Miss	109.1	108.1	109.3	108.8	4-5	4-5
Miss. St.	105.6	105.0	106.2	105.6	3-7	3-7
Arkansas	102.2	102.8	102.4	102.5	3-7	3-7
SEC Avg.	111.7	111.2	112.1	111.7
Sunbelt Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Coastal Car.	107.0	107.6	107.7	107.4	8-0	11-0
Appal. St.	103.4	102.9	103.5	103.3	6-2	8-3
Georgia Sou.	92.7	93.5	93.0	93.1	4-4	7-5
Georgia St.	91.8	92.1	92.3	92.1	4-4	5-4
Troy	91.8	92.9	92.2	92.3	3-6	5-6
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Avg	SBC	Overall
Louisiana	105.7	105.3	105.3	105.4	7-1	9-1
Arkansas St.	87.6	88.2	87.0	87.6	2-6	4-7
S. Alabama	81.8	82.7	81.7	82.1	3-5	4-7
Texas St.	81.0	81.5	80.2	80.9	2-6	2-10
UL-Monroe	68.0	67.9	66.5	67.5	0-7	0-10
Sun Avg.	91.1	91.4	90.9	91.2

Conference Ratings

#	League	Avg
1	SEC	111.7
2	BTen	109.5
3	B12	106.6
4	P12	106.4
5	ACC	106.2
6	AAC	100.1
7	Ind.	93.6
8	MWC	93.5
9	Sun	91.2
10	MAC	88.0
11	CUSA	85.1