The Pi-Rate Ratings

December 12, 2019

PiRate Ratings Picks For December 12-16, 2019

Davey19 Concludes College Football Regular Season With Second Perfect Slate In 3 Weeks!

Our experimental Davey19 forecast model went 3-0 last week during Conference Championship Week, correctly picking against the spread the AAC, Big 12, and Sun Belt Conference Championship Games.  This led to a final four weeks record of 22-8-1 or 73.3% against the spread, which is smashingly excellent.  It left the Davey19 system well in the black for the season.

We discovered quite early in the year that this system apparently works best on conference games in college football.  It was so-so with non-conference football and totally useless with NFL games.  So, because of that, Davey19 is being shut down for the college bowl season and the remainder of the NFL season.  We will continue to experiment with this system next year when the college teams play conference games, and then if we have another successful year, especially wiping up in November as the sample size increases, we may remove the “experimental” tag from the system name.

 

What you will get for the rest of the season are the regular PiRate Ratings selections, or in other words, the most useless but entertaining picks against the spread and the money line.  We are throwing caution to the wind coming up with picks so out in left field, that they are on top of the roof across the street from old Griffith Stadium in Washington.  For those of you under the age of 85 or not an architectural fan of old demolished baseball parks, it was over 400 feet to left field at Washington’s Griffith Stadium for most of its existence, until players like Harmon Killebrew, Roy Sievers, and Jim Lemon wore Washington Senators jerseys.  Therefore, the roof on top of the building over the left field wall was only reachable by visiting players like Jimmy Foxx and, of course, Mickey Mantle.

FYI: Mantle’s  565 foot blast over the bleachers at Griffith was hit to left-center and landed on Oakdale Street three houses down from the ballpark.  The Yankees’ radio announcer said something to the effect that somebody should get out a tape measure to see how far the blast carried.  Thus, the term “Tape Measure Home Run” was coined.  Additionally, the ball might have traveled several feet more had it not grazed the edge of the football scoreboard.  I would cite the source for this, but this is from aged memory without actually looking it up.

Okay, now that we’ve diverted your attention away from our crazy, goofy, insane, but free picks, here is how we are progressing the rest of the way.  You will receive our expertly “It seemed like a good idea at the time” selections.  Don’t you dare use them to wager real money on games unless you also like to touch live electricity while swimming in a pool.  None of the PiRates have ever wagered a dollar on any of the selections that appear on this site.  While we do know that there are pros, even two Sharps, that use our site for information, they are using our regular weekly ratings and have different algorithms and rules to apply to them to make profits.  These different Sharps are using data completely different from each other, and from one of them (actually somebody in the public eye as a pro), this person plugged numbers into a computer for weeks before discovering this anomaly that led to about 65.2% success against the spread over the last 6 years.  We take great pain to never issue these picks on this site for two reasons.  First, this person told us this in confidence and revealing it publicly means the odds might change and ruin this person’s very hard work.  Second, the minute we recommend these picks, luck will turn the other way and make them stop working.

Therefore, we seldom if ever make straight selections against the spread or the totals that might second what the successful system also chooses.  We have fun devising teaser and money line parlays, looking for the big odds payout.  Davey19 is totally different, as it is a mechanical system for picking conference games in college with occasional non-conference games selected.  While there have been times where Davey19 and the Sharp have selected the same games, we have tried to censor those games from Davey19 when there are enough other games the system chooses.  For instance, one week Davey19 flagged 10 games, but we only issued 7, because the other three were games that the Sharp also keyed.

So, here are our strictly for fun parlays for week 15 of the NFL system.  There have been some highly successful weeks with these picks, but there have been even more losing weeks, so once again, please look at these just for fun and do not wager these selections based on reading them here.

 

10-Point Teasers @ 10-12

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Denver

Kansas City

0.5

Kansas City

Carolina

Seattle

4

Seattle

Jacksonville

Oakland

3.5

Oakland

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Arizona

Cleveland

7.5

Cleveland

Dallas

LA Rams

8.5

LA Rams

Indianapolis

New Orleans

1.5

New Orleans

 

 

13-Point Teasers @ 10-13

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

Baltimore

N.Y. Jets

29.5

N.Y. Jets

Green Bay

Chicago

17.5

Chicago

Chicago

Green Bay

8.5

Green Bay

Minnesota

LA Chargers

15.5

LA Chargers

 

 

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

LA Chargers

Minnesota

10.5

Minnesota

San Francisco

Atlanta

24

Atlanta

Pittsburgh

Buffalo

15

Buffalo

Buffalo

Pittsburgh

11

Pittsburgh

 

7-Point Teaser @ 10-13

Favorite

Underdog

Spread

Pick

New England

Cincinnati

2

New England

Detroit

Tampa Bay

3.5

Tampa Bay

 

 

Money Line Parlays

#1–1 Game at +435

In other words, this is a major upset pick that we just have a feeling about due to the favorite having played three tough games in a row and an underdog that can score points and plays better on the road than at home.

Winner

Loser

Atlanta

San Francisco

 

#2–2 Games at +156

Winner

Loser

Tennessee

Houston

Philadelphia

Washington

 

#3–2 Games at +198

Winner

Loser

Cleveland

Arizona

Minnesota

LA Chargers

 

#4–3 Games at +224

Winner

Loser

Kansas City

Denver

New England

Cincinnati

Buffalo

Pittsburgh

 

#5–3 Games at +241

Winner

Loser

Green Bay

Chicago

LA Rams

Dallas

New Orleans

Indianapolis

 

 

 

 

 

 

2 Comments

  1. DUDE!!!! You nailed the Falcons ML!!! Not that I bet it cause that would be dumb right? Thanks!!!!!!

    Comment by R — December 15, 2019 @ 5:07 pm

    • Hey, thanks, but remember that a broken clock is right twice a day!

      Comment by piratings — December 18, 2019 @ 8:02 am


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