The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 23, 2019

PiRate Ratings NCAA Tournament For Saturday, March 23, 2019

Filed under: College Basketball — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 4:57 am

Home

Rating

HCA

Visitor

Rating

Spread

LSU

114.6

0.0

Maryland

113.0

1.6

Kentucky

118.5

0.0

Wofford

113.9

4.6

Michigan

119.0

0.0

Florida

111.9

7.1

Florida St.

115.2

0.0

Murray St.

110.4

4.8

Gonzaga

123.1

0.0

Baylor

110.5

12.6

Michigan St.

120.9

0.0

Minnesota

110.2

10.7

Purdue

117.1

0.0

Villanova

111.8

5.3

Kansas

115.3

0.0

Auburn

115.7

-0.4

Saturday’s Schedule

TIME (ET)

GAME

TV

SITE

12:10 p.m.

(6) Maryland vs. (3) LSU

CBS

Jacksonville

Approx. 2:55 p.m.

(7) Wofford vs. (2) Kentucky

CBS

Jacksonville

5:15 p.m.

(10) Florida vs. (2) Michigan

CBS

Des Moines

6:10 p.m.

(12) Murray St. vs. (4) Florida St.

TNT

Hartford

7:10 p.m.

(9) Baylor vs. (1) Gonzaga

TBS

Salt Lake City

Approx. 8:00 p.m.

(10) Minnesota vs. (2) Michigan St.

CBS

Des Moines

Approx 8:55 p.m.

(6) Villanova vs. (3) Pudue

TNT

Hartford

Approx 9:55 p.m.

(5) Auburn vs. (4) Kansas

TBS

Salt Lake City

 

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2 Comments

  1. Ok, now I’m confused. When you dis your bracket picks, you had Maryland over LSU. Now your predicting LSU to win? Did I wrongly assume that your daily picks would match your bracket?

    Comment by rdt — March 23, 2019 @ 7:40 am

    • It might be a little confusing if you are not a long time regular here, and I apologize for not explaining the differences beforehand.

      The PiRate Ratings are mechanical ratings that are determined by mechanical means. Anybody with access to the algorithm could replicate it. The PiRate Bracketnomics System is an objective system using back-tested data that has been successful determining who should win NCAA Tournament games. Bracketnomics are not usable for the regular season.

      Think of Billy Beane and Money Ball. As Beane said so succinctly, and I will use calmer language, “My stuff doesn’t work in the playoffs.” Money Ball works because over the course of 162 games, teams will face 100 starting pitchers that would never appear as playoff starters if their team made the playoffs. Against the top pitchers like Verlander and Sale, small ball is the way to try to beat them. If you can get a couple runs in 6 innings you have a chance to win. If you play for the 3-run homer, you may win 1 out of 10 times against the stoppers.

      So, if you are picking bracket-winnners, use bracketnomics. The PiRate Ratings cannot be adjusted for tournament play; they are like any given day in the season.

      Comment by piratings — March 23, 2019 @ 8:25 am


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