This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads
| Friday | November 30 | |||
| Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
| Mid-American Conference Championship Game @ Buffalo | ||||
| Buffalo | Northern Illinois | 5.9 | 6.9 | 7.0 |
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| Pac-12 Conference Championship Game @ Santa Clara, CA | ||||
| Washington | Utah | 5.4 | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| Saturday | November 24 | |||
| Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
| Big 12 Conference Championship Game @ Arlington, TX | ||||
| Oklahoma | Texas | 7.2 | 7.4 | 7.6 |
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| Sun Belt Conference Championship Game @ Appy St. | ||||
| Appalachian St. | Louisiana | 17.8 | 17.6 | 18.0 |
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| Conference USA Championship Game @ Middle Tennessee | ||||
| Middle Tennessee | UAB | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.8 |
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| American Athletic Conference Championship Game @ Central FL | ||||
| Central Florida | Memphis | 11.3 | 10.4 | 10.8 |
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| Southeastern Conference Championship Game @ Atlanta | ||||
| Alabama | Georgia | 12.8 | 13.4 | 13.3 |
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| Mountain West Conference Championship Game @ Boise St. | ||||
| Boise St. | Fresno St. | 2.7 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
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| Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game @ Charlotte, NC | ||||
| Clemson | Pittsburgh | 30.3 | 28.7 | 31.4 |
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| Big Ten Conference Championship Game @ Indianapolis, IN | ||||
| Ohio St. | Northwestern | 15.5 | 15.4 | 16.0 |
Other Saturday Games
| Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
| Virginia Tech | Marshall | 12.6 | 8.6 | 10.7 |
| North Carolina St. | East Carolina | 30.9 | 29.9 | 30.5 |
| South Carolina | Akron | 30.2 | 28.2 | 30.4 |
| California | Stanford | -5.2 | -5.0 | -5.2 |
| FBS | FCS | |
| Home | Visitor | PiRate |
| Iowa St. | Drake | 42.7 |
| Liberty | Norfolk St. | 26.5 |
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
| PiRate Ratings | |||||
| # | Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| 1 | Alabama | 141.3 | 139.7 | 143.1 | 141.4 |
| 2 | Clemson | 138.8 | 136.5 | 139.5 | 138.3 |
| 3 | Georgia | 128.6 | 126.3 | 129.8 | 128.2 |
| 4 | Ohio St. | 126.3 | 124.5 | 126.4 | 125.7 |
| 5 | Michigan | 125.9 | 124.5 | 126.3 | 125.5 |
| 6 | Notre Dame | 126.3 | 123.9 | 125.4 | 125.2 |
| 7 | Mississippi St. | 124.2 | 122.6 | 125.4 | 124.1 |
| 8 | Washington | 122.0 | 119.9 | 122.4 | 121.4 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | 121.5 | 120.2 | 121.3 | 121.0 |
| 10 | Missouri | 121.1 | 119.6 | 122.1 | 120.9 |
| 11 | Penn St. | 119.3 | 117.0 | 119.0 | 118.4 |
| 12 | L S U | 117.6 | 116.7 | 118.4 | 117.6 |
| 13 | Auburn | 116.8 | 115.6 | 118.1 | 116.8 |
| 14 | West Virginia | 117.3 | 116.1 | 116.5 | 116.6 |
| 15 | Iowa | 117.2 | 115.3 | 116.6 | 116.4 |
| 16 | Utah | 116.6 | 115.3 | 117.0 | 116.3 |
| 17 | Washington St. | 115.8 | 114.7 | 115.5 | 115.3 |
| 18 | Miami | 115.8 | 114.4 | 115.4 | 115.2 |
| 19 | Florida | 115.2 | 113.6 | 115.7 | 114.8 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | 114.6 | 113.6 | 115.1 | 114.4 |
| 21 | Central Florida | 114.0 | 114.4 | 114.5 | 114.3 |
| 22 | Stanford | 114.5 | 112.3 | 114.5 | 113.8 |
| 23 | Texas | 114.3 | 112.8 | 113.7 | 113.6 |
| 24 | Iowa State | 113.5 | 111.8 | 112.9 | 112.7 |
| 25 | Georgia Tech | 113.1 | 111.9 | 112.7 | 112.6 |
| 26 | S. Carolina | 112.9 | 111.7 | 112.6 | 112.4 |
| 27 | Kentucky | 112.7 | 111.4 | 112.5 | 112.2 |
| 28 | Syracuse | 112.7 | 111.4 | 112.2 | 112.1 |
| 29 | N. Carolina St. | 112.5 | 111.6 | 111.7 | 111.9 |
| 30 | Fresno St. | 111.8 | 111.3 | 111.8 | 111.7 |
| 31 | Boise St. | 111.5 | 111.4 | 112.0 | 111.6 |
| 32 | Oregon | 111.2 | 110.9 | 111.8 | 111.3 |
| 33 | Michigan St. | 112.0 | 109.9 | 111.3 | 111.1 |
| 34 | Boston College | 111.6 | 109.4 | 111.1 | 110.7 |
| 35 | Utah St. | 109.7 | 110.9 | 110.6 | 110.4 |
| 36 | Northwestern | 110.7 | 109.2 | 110.4 | 110.1 |
| 37 | Arizona St. | 110.2 | 108.9 | 109.8 | 109.6 |
| 38 | Purdue | 110.0 | 108.3 | 109.7 | 109.3 |
| 39 | Pittsburgh | 109.5 | 108.7 | 109.0 | 109.1 |
| 40 | Oklahoma St. | 109.6 | 108.0 | 109.5 | 109.0 |
| 41 | Duke | 109.4 | 107.4 | 108.6 | 108.5 |
| 42 | Wisconsin | 109.3 | 106.9 | 108.4 | 108.2 |
| 43 | California | 108.3 | 106.3 | 108.3 | 107.6 |
| 44 | U S C | 107.1 | 105.6 | 106.2 | 106.3 |
| 45 | Texas Tech | 107.0 | 105.4 | 105.7 | 106.0 |
| 46 | Virginia | 106.2 | 106.1 | 105.4 | 105.9 |
| 47 | Vanderbilt | 105.7 | 105.7 | 106.1 | 105.9 |
| 48 | Temple | 105.5 | 105.8 | 106.1 | 105.8 |
| 49 | Wake Forest | 106.8 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.6 |
| 50 | T C U | 106.5 | 105.2 | 105.1 | 105.6 |
| 51 | Memphis | 104.7 | 106.0 | 105.7 | 105.5 |
| 52 | Nebraska | 105.4 | 104.2 | 104.9 | 104.8 |
| 53 | Kansas St. | 104.8 | 103.6 | 104.1 | 104.2 |
| 54 | Ohio U | 103.3 | 104.5 | 104.2 | 104.0 |
| 55 | Virginia Tech | 104.3 | 103.1 | 103.5 | 103.6 |
| 56 | Army | 103.1 | 103.8 | 103.3 | 103.4 |
| 57 | Cincinnati | 102.7 | 104.1 | 103.2 | 103.3 |
| 58 | Baylor | 103.8 | 102.2 | 103.4 | 103.1 |
| 59 | Florida St. | 103.7 | 102.4 | 102.8 | 102.9 |
| 60 | Ole Miss | 102.5 | 101.8 | 102.7 | 102.3 |
| 61 | Minnesota | 102.8 | 101.4 | 102.3 | 102.2 |
| 62 | Arizona | 102.1 | 100.7 | 102.4 | 101.7 |
| 63 | Maryland | 102.4 | 100.9 | 101.5 | 101.6 |
| 64 | BYU | 100.9 | 101.5 | 101.9 | 101.4 |
| 65 | Houston | 101.1 | 101.6 | 101.2 | 101.3 |
| 66 | Indiana | 101.4 | 100.2 | 101.1 | 100.9 |
| 67 | Buffalo | 99.6 | 101.6 | 100.9 | 100.7 |
| 68 | N. Carolina | 100.7 | 100.0 | 100.7 | 100.5 |
| 69 | Toledo | 99.4 | 100.9 | 99.6 | 100.0 |
| 70 | U C L A | 100.7 | 100.1 | 99.2 | 100.0 |
| 71 | Appalachian St. | 98.7 | 100.6 | 100.3 | 99.8 |
| 72 | Tennessee | 98.6 | 99.0 | 98.0 | 98.5 |
| 73 | Colorado | 98.4 | 98.5 | 98.5 | 98.5 |
| 74 | Kansas | 98.4 | 97.1 | 97.5 | 97.7 |
| 75 | Wyoming | 97.2 | 97.7 | 97.2 | 97.3 |
| 76 | Middle Tennessee | 96.2 | 98.2 | 97.4 | 97.3 |
| 77 | Miami (O) | 95.7 | 97.6 | 97.8 | 97.0 |
| 78 | U A B | 95.9 | 98.2 | 96.6 | 96.9 |
| 79 | Northern Illinois | 96.2 | 97.1 | 96.4 | 96.6 |
| 80 | N. Texas | 95.7 | 98.2 | 95.7 | 96.5 |
| 81 | Air Force | 95.6 | 96.2 | 95.9 | 95.9 |
| 82 | Eastern Michigan | 95.2 | 96.6 | 95.5 | 95.8 |
| 83 | Arkansas | 96.7 | 94.3 | 95.7 | 95.6 |
| 84 | Marshall | 94.2 | 97.0 | 95.3 | 95.5 |
| 85 | Florida Atlantic | 94.4 | 95.6 | 94.8 | 94.9 |
| 86 | Nevada | 94.8 | 94.9 | 94.6 | 94.8 |
| 87 | San Diego St. | 94.6 | 94.7 | 94.8 | 94.7 |
| 88 | SMU | 94.2 | 93.7 | 93.2 | 93.7 |
| 89 | Tulane | 93.0 | 93.5 | 92.7 | 93.1 |
| 90 | Troy | 91.4 | 93.0 | 92.9 | 92.4 |
| 91 | Arkansas St. | 91.2 | 92.8 | 92.9 | 92.3 |
| 92 | Georgia Southern | 90.5 | 92.4 | 91.2 | 91.4 |
| 93 | Florida Int’l. | 89.6 | 93.0 | 90.3 | 91.0 |
| 94 | South Florida | 90.5 | 91.9 | 90.1 | 90.8 |
| 95 | Western Michigan | 89.8 | 91.4 | 90.7 | 90.7 |
| 96 | Tulsa | 90.0 | 89.8 | 90.0 | 89.9 |
| 97 | Louisiana Tech | 89.0 | 90.9 | 89.3 | 89.7 |
| 98 | Southern Miss. | 88.2 | 91.4 | 89.0 | 89.6 |
| 99 | Rutgers | 90.2 | 89.1 | 89.1 | 89.5 |
| 100 | Navy | 88.7 | 90.5 | 88.8 | 89.4 |
| 101 | Illinois | 89.6 | 89.0 | 88.6 | 89.1 |
| 102 | UL-Monroe | 85.9 | 86.7 | 86.5 | 86.4 |
| 103 | Akron | 85.6 | 86.5 | 85.1 | 85.8 |
| 104 | W. Kentucky | 84.1 | 87.0 | 84.7 | 85.3 |
| 105 | Louisiana | 83.3 | 85.5 | 84.8 | 84.5 |
| 106 | Colorado St. | 83.5 | 84.2 | 83.3 | 83.7 |
| 107 | U N L V | 83.2 | 84.1 | 83.3 | 83.5 |
| 108 | Oregon St. | 84.4 | 82.5 | 83.4 | 83.4 |
| 109 | Louisville | 83.9 | 83.3 | 82.7 | 83.3 |
| 110 | East Carolina | 83.1 | 83.2 | 82.7 | 83.0 |
| 111 | Charlotte | 81.8 | 84.4 | 82.7 | 83.0 |
| 112 | New Mexico | 82.6 | 83.3 | 81.8 | 82.6 |
| 113 | Hawaii | 82.2 | 83.8 | 81.7 | 82.6 |
| 114 | Massachusetts | 80.9 | 82.3 | 81.2 | 81.5 |
| 115 | Bowling Green | 80.5 | 81.4 | 80.9 | 80.9 |
| 116 | Old Dominion | 79.7 | 82.9 | 79.6 | 80.8 |
| 117 | San Jose St. | 80.4 | 81.3 | 79.8 | 80.5 |
| 118 | Ball St. | 79.9 | 81.9 | 79.7 | 80.5 |
| 119 | Liberty | 80.4 | 79.9 | 80.4 | 80.3 |
| 120 | Central Michigan | 79.0 | 81.0 | 79.0 | 79.7 |
| 121 | Kent St. | 78.9 | 80.0 | 78.9 | 79.3 |
| 122 | Coastal Carolina | 76.0 | 78.1 | 76.3 | 76.8 |
| 123 | Georgia St. | 75.6 | 77.2 | 75.6 | 76.1 |
| 124 | U T S A | 73.6 | 77.2 | 74.0 | 75.0 |
| 125 | South Alabama | 73.4 | 75.2 | 73.8 | 74.1 |
| 126 | Texas State | 72.8 | 75.2 | 73.1 | 73.7 |
| 127 | N. Mexico St. | 72.3 | 73.8 | 72.3 | 72.8 |
| 128 | Rice | 70.0 | 72.7 | 69.0 | 70.6 |
| 129 | Connecticut | 70.2 | 70.5 | 69.3 | 70.0 |
| 130 | U T E P | 68.8 | 71.8 | 68.6 | 69.7 |
PiRate Ratings By Conference
| American Athletic Conference | ||||||
| East Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | AAC | Overall |
| Central Florida | 114.0 | 114.4 | 114.5 | 114.3 | 8-0 | 11-0 |
| Temple | 105.5 | 105.8 | 106.1 | 105.8 | 7-1 | 8-4 |
| Cincinnati | 102.7 | 104.1 | 103.2 | 103.3 | 6-2 | 10-2 |
| South Florida | 90.5 | 91.9 | 90.1 | 90.8 | 3-5 | 7-5 |
| East Carolina | 83.1 | 83.2 | 82.7 | 83.0 | 1-7 | 3-8 |
| Connecticut | 70.2 | 70.5 | 69.3 | 70.0 | 0-8 | 1-11 |
| West Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | AAC | Overall |
| Memphis | 104.7 | 106.0 | 105.7 | 105.5 | 5-3 | 8-4 |
| Houston | 101.1 | 101.6 | 101.2 | 101.3 | 5-3 | 8-4 |
| SMU | 94.2 | 93.7 | 93.2 | 93.7 | 4-4 | 5-7 |
| Tulane | 93.0 | 93.5 | 92.7 | 93.1 | 5-3 | 6-6 |
| Tulsa | 90.0 | 89.8 | 90.0 | 89.9 | 2-6 | 3-9 |
| Navy | 88.7 | 90.5 | 88.8 | 89.4 | 2-6 | 3-9 |
| AAC Averages | 94.8 | 95.4 | 94.8 | 95.0 | ||
| Atlantic Coast Conference | ||||||
| Atlantic Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | ACC | Overall |
| Clemson | 138.8 | 136.5 | 139.5 | 138.3 | 8-0 | 12-0 |
| Syracuse | 112.7 | 111.4 | 112.2 | 112.1 | 6-2 | 9-3 |
| N. Carolina St. | 112.5 | 111.6 | 111.7 | 111.9 | 5-3 | 8-3 |
| Boston College | 111.6 | 109.4 | 111.1 | 110.7 | 4-4 | 7-5 |
| Wake Forest | 106.8 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.6 | 3-5 | 6-6 |
| Florida St. | 103.7 | 102.4 | 102.8 | 102.9 | 3-5 | 5-7 |
| Louisville | 83.9 | 83.3 | 82.7 | 83.3 | 0-8 | 2-10 |
| Coastal Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | ACC | Overall |
| Miami | 115.8 | 114.4 | 115.4 | 115.2 | 4-4 | 7-5 |
| Georgia Tech | 113.1 | 111.9 | 112.7 | 112.6 | 5-3 | 7-5 |
| Pittsburgh | 109.5 | 108.7 | 109.0 | 109.1 | 6-2 | 7-5 |
| Duke | 109.4 | 107.4 | 108.6 | 108.5 | 3-5 | 7-5 |
| Virginia | 106.2 | 106.1 | 105.4 | 105.9 | 4-4 | 7-5 |
| Virginia Tech | 104.3 | 103.1 | 103.5 | 103.6 | 4-4 | 5-6 |
| N. Carolina | 100.7 | 100.0 | 100.7 | 100.5 | 1-7 | 2-9 |
| ACC Averages | 109.2 | 108.0 | 108.6 | 108.6 | ||
| Big 12 Conference | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | B12 | Overall |
| Oklahoma | 121.5 | 120.2 | 121.3 | 121.0 | 8-1 | 11-1 |
| West Virginia | 117.3 | 116.1 | 116.5 | 116.6 | 6-3 | 8-3 |
| Texas | 114.3 | 112.8 | 113.7 | 113.6 | 7-2 | 9-3 |
| Iowa State | 113.5 | 111.8 | 112.9 | 112.7 | 6-3 | 7-4 |
| Oklahoma St. | 109.6 | 108.0 | 109.5 | 109.0 | 3-6 | 6-6 |
| Texas Tech | 107.0 | 105.4 | 105.7 | 106.0 | 3-6 | 5-7 |
| T C U | 106.5 | 105.2 | 105.1 | 105.6 | 4-5 | 6-6 |
| Kansas St. | 104.8 | 103.6 | 104.1 | 104.2 | 3-6 | 5-7 |
| Baylor | 103.8 | 102.2 | 103.4 | 103.1 | 4-5 | 6-6 |
| Kansas | 98.4 | 97.1 | 97.5 | 97.7 | 1-8 | 3-9 |
| Big 12 Averages | 109.7 | 108.2 | 109.0 | 109.0 | ||
| Big Ten Conference | ||||||
| East Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | BTen | Overall |
| Ohio St. | 126.3 | 124.5 | 126.4 | 125.7 | 8-1 | 11-1 |
| Michigan | 125.9 | 124.5 | 126.3 | 125.5 | 8-1 | 10-2 |
| Penn St. | 119.3 | 117.0 | 119.0 | 118.4 | 6-3 | 9-3 |
| Michigan St. | 112.0 | 109.9 | 111.3 | 111.1 | 5-4 | 7-5 |
| Maryland | 102.4 | 100.9 | 101.5 | 101.6 | 3-6 | 5-7 |
| Indiana | 101.4 | 100.2 | 101.1 | 100.9 | 2-7 | 5-7 |
| Rutgers | 90.2 | 89.1 | 89.1 | 89.5 | 0-9 | 1-11 |
| West Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | BTen | Overall |
| Iowa | 117.2 | 115.3 | 116.6 | 116.4 | 5-4 | 8-4 |
| Northwestern | 110.7 | 109.2 | 110.4 | 110.1 | 8-1 | 8-4 |
| Purdue | 110.0 | 108.3 | 109.7 | 109.3 | 5-4 | 6-6 |
| Wisconsin | 109.3 | 106.9 | 108.4 | 108.2 | 5-4 | 7-5 |
| Nebraska | 105.4 | 104.2 | 104.9 | 104.8 | 3-6 | 4-8 |
| Minnesota | 102.8 | 101.4 | 102.3 | 102.2 | 3-6 | 6-6 |
| Illinois | 89.6 | 89.0 | 88.6 | 89.1 | 2-7 | 4-8 |
| Big Ten Averages | 108.8 | 107.2 | 108.2 | 108.1 | ||
| Conference USA | ||||||
| East Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | CUSA | Overall |
| Middle Tennessee | 96.2 | 98.2 | 97.4 | 97.3 | 7-1 | 8-4 |
| Marshall | 94.2 | 97.0 | 95.3 | 95.5 | 6-2 | 8-3 |
| Florida Atlantic | 94.4 | 95.6 | 94.8 | 94.9 | 3-5 | 5-7 |
| Florida Int’l. | 89.6 | 93.0 | 90.3 | 91.0 | 6-2 | 8-4 |
| W. Kentucky | 84.1 | 87.0 | 84.7 | 85.3 | 2-6 | 3-9 |
| Charlotte | 81.8 | 84.4 | 82.7 | 83.0 | 4-4 | 5-7 |
| Old Dominion | 79.7 | 82.9 | 79.6 | 80.8 | 2-6 | 4-8 |
| West Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | CUSA | Overall |
| U A B | 95.9 | 98.2 | 96.6 | 96.9 | 7-1 | 9-3 |
| N. Texas | 95.7 | 98.2 | 95.7 | 96.5 | 5-3 | 9-3 |
| Louisiana Tech | 89.0 | 90.9 | 89.3 | 89.7 | 5-3 | 7-5 |
| Southern Miss. | 88.2 | 91.4 | 89.0 | 89.6 | 4-4 | 6-5 |
| U T S A | 73.6 | 77.2 | 74.0 | 75.0 | 2-6 | 3-9 |
| Rice | 70.0 | 72.7 | 69.0 | 70.6 | 1-7 | 2-11 |
| U T E P | 68.8 | 71.8 | 68.6 | 69.7 | 1-7 | 1-11 |
| CUSA Averages | 85.8 | 88.5 | 86.2 | 86.8 | ||
| FBS Independents | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | Conf. | Overall |
| Notre Dame | 126.3 | 123.9 | 125.4 | 125.2 | x | 12-0 |
| Army | 103.1 | 103.8 | 103.3 | 103.4 | x | 9-2 |
| BYU | 100.9 | 101.5 | 101.9 | 101.4 | x | 6-6 |
| Massachusetts | 80.9 | 82.3 | 81.2 | 81.5 | x | 4-8 |
| Liberty | 80.4 | 79.9 | 80.4 | 80.3 | x | 5-6 |
| N. Mexico St. | 72.3 | 73.8 | 72.3 | 72.8 | x | 3-9 |
| Indep. Averages | 94.0 | 94.2 | 94.1 | 94.1 | ||
| Mid-American Conference | ||||||
| East Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | MAC | Overall |
| Ohio U | 103.3 | 104.5 | 104.2 | 104.0 | 6-2 | 8-4 |
| Buffalo | 99.6 | 101.6 | 100.9 | 100.7 | 7-1 | 10-2 |
| Miami (O) | 95.7 | 97.6 | 97.8 | 97.0 | 6-2 | 6-6 |
| Akron | 85.6 | 86.5 | 85.1 | 85.8 | 2-6 | 4-7 |
| Bowling Green | 80.5 | 81.4 | 80.9 | 80.9 | 2-6 | 3-9 |
| Kent St. | 78.9 | 80.0 | 78.9 | 79.3 | 1-7 | 2-10 |
| West Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | MAC | Overall |
| Toledo | 99.4 | 100.9 | 99.6 | 100.0 | 5-3 | 7-5 |
| Northern Illinois | 96.2 | 97.1 | 96.4 | 96.6 | 6-2 | 7-5 |
| Eastern Michigan | 95.2 | 96.6 | 95.5 | 95.8 | 5-3 | 7-5 |
| Western Michigan | 89.8 | 91.4 | 90.7 | 90.7 | 5-3 | 7-5 |
| Ball St. | 79.9 | 81.9 | 79.7 | 80.5 | 3-5 | 4-8 |
| Central Michigan | 79.0 | 81.0 | 79.0 | 79.7 | 0-8 | 1-11 |
| MAC Averages | 90.3 | 91.7 | 90.7 | 90.9 | ||
| Mountain West Conference | ||||||
| Mountain Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | MWC | Overall |
| Boise St. | 111.5 | 111.4 | 112.0 | 111.6 | 7-1 | 10-2 |
| Utah St. | 109.7 | 110.9 | 110.6 | 110.4 | 7-1 | 10-2 |
| Wyoming | 97.2 | 97.7 | 97.2 | 97.3 | 4-4 | 6-6 |
| Air Force | 95.6 | 96.2 | 95.9 | 95.9 | 3-5 | 5-7 |
| Colorado St. | 83.5 | 84.2 | 83.3 | 83.7 | 2-6 | 3-9 |
| New Mexico | 82.6 | 83.3 | 81.8 | 82.6 | 1-7 | 3-9 |
| West Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | MWC | Overall |
| Fresno St. | 111.8 | 111.3 | 111.8 | 111.7 | 7-1 | 10-2 |
| Nevada | 94.8 | 94.9 | 94.6 | 94.8 | 5-3 | 7-5 |
| San Diego St. | 94.6 | 94.7 | 94.8 | 94.7 | 4-4 | 7-5 |
| U N L V | 83.2 | 84.1 | 83.3 | 83.5 | 2-6 | 4-8 |
| Hawaii | 82.2 | 83.8 | 81.7 | 82.6 | 5-3 | 8-5 |
| San Jose St. | 80.4 | 81.3 | 79.8 | 80.5 | 1-7 | 1-11 |
| MWC Averages | 93.9 | 94.5 | 93.9 | 94.1 | ||
| Pac-12 Conference | ||||||
| North Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | P12 | Overall |
| Washington | 122.0 | 119.9 | 122.4 | 121.4 | 7-2 | 9-3 |
| Washington St. | 115.8 | 114.7 | 115.5 | 115.3 | 7-2 | 10-2 |
| Stanford | 114.5 | 112.3 | 114.5 | 113.8 | 5-3 | 7-4 |
| Oregon | 111.2 | 110.9 | 111.8 | 111.3 | 5-4 | 8-4 |
| California | 108.3 | 106.3 | 108.3 | 107.6 | 4-4 | 7-4 |
| Oregon St. | 84.4 | 82.5 | 83.4 | 83.4 | 1-8 | 2-10 |
| South Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | P12 | Overall |
| Utah | 116.6 | 115.3 | 117.0 | 116.3 | 6-3 | 9-3 |
| Arizona St. | 110.2 | 108.9 | 109.8 | 109.6 | 5-4 | 7-5 |
| U S C | 107.1 | 105.6 | 106.2 | 106.3 | 4-5 | 5-7 |
| Arizona | 102.1 | 100.7 | 102.4 | 101.7 | 4-5 | 5-7 |
| U C L A | 100.7 | 100.1 | 99.2 | 100.0 | 3-6 | 3-9 |
| Colorado | 98.4 | 98.5 | 98.5 | 98.5 | 2-7 | 5-7 |
| Pac-12 Averages | 107.6 | 106.3 | 107.4 | 107.1 | ||
| Southeastern Conference | ||||||
| East Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | SEC | Overall |
| Georgia | 128.6 | 126.3 | 129.8 | 128.2 | 7-1 | 11-1 |
| Missouri | 121.1 | 119.6 | 122.1 | 120.9 | 4-4 | 8-4 |
| Florida | 115.2 | 113.6 | 115.7 | 114.8 | 5-3 | 9-3 |
| S. Carolina | 112.9 | 111.7 | 112.6 | 112.4 | 4-4 | 6-5 |
| Kentucky | 112.7 | 111.4 | 112.5 | 112.2 | 5-3 | 9-3 |
| Vanderbilt | 105.7 | 105.7 | 106.1 | 105.9 | 3-5 | 6-6 |
| Tennessee | 98.6 | 99.0 | 98.0 | 98.5 | 2-6 | 5-7 |
| West Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | SEC | Overall |
| Alabama | 141.3 | 139.7 | 143.1 | 141.4 | 8-0 | 12-0 |
| Mississippi St. | 124.2 | 122.6 | 125.4 | 124.1 | 4-4 | 8-4 |
| L S U | 117.6 | 116.7 | 118.4 | 117.6 | 5-3 | 9-3 |
| Auburn | 116.8 | 115.6 | 118.1 | 116.8 | 3-5 | 7-5 |
| Texas A&M | 114.6 | 113.6 | 115.1 | 114.4 | 5-3 | 8-4 |
| Ole Miss | 102.5 | 101.8 | 102.7 | 102.3 | 1-7 | 5-7 |
| Arkansas | 96.7 | 94.3 | 95.7 | 95.6 | 0-8 | 2-10 |
| SEC Averages | 114.9 | 113.7 | 115.4 | 114.6 | ||
| Sunbelt Conference | ||||||
| East Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | SBC | Overall |
| Appalachian St. | 98.7 | 100.6 | 100.3 | 99.8 | 7-1 | 9-2 |
| Troy | 91.4 | 93.0 | 92.9 | 92.4 | 7-1 | 9-3 |
| Georgia Southern | 90.5 | 92.4 | 91.2 | 91.4 | 6-2 | 9-3 |
| Coastal Carolina | 76.0 | 78.1 | 76.3 | 76.8 | 2-6 | 5-7 |
| Georgia St. | 75.6 | 77.2 | 75.6 | 76.1 | 1-7 | 2-10 |
| West Division | ||||||
| Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | SBC | Overall |
| Arkansas St. | 91.2 | 92.8 | 92.9 | 92.3 | 5-3 | 8-4 |
| UL-Monroe | 85.9 | 86.7 | 86.5 | 86.4 | 4-4 | 6-6 |
| Louisiana | 83.3 | 85.5 | 84.8 | 84.5 | 5-3 | 7-5 |
| South Alabama | 73.4 | 75.2 | 73.8 | 74.1 | 2-6 | 3-9 |
| Texas State | 72.8 | 75.2 | 73.1 | 73.7 | 1-7 | 3-9 |
| Sun Belt Averages | 83.9 | 85.7 | 84.7 | 84.8 | ||
Conference Ratings
| PiRate Ratings By Conference | |||||
| # | League | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
| 1 | SEC | 114.9 | 113.7 | 115.4 | 114.6 |
| 2 | B12 | 109.7 | 108.2 | 109.0 | 109.0 |
| 3 | ACC | 109.2 | 108.0 | 108.6 | 108.6 |
| 4 | BTEN | 108.8 | 107.2 | 108.2 | 108.1 |
| 5 | PAC12 | 107.6 | 106.3 | 107.4 | 107.1 |
| 6 | AAC | 94.8 | 95.4 | 94.8 | 95.0 |
| 7 | MWC | 93.9 | 94.5 | 93.9 | 94.1 |
| 8 | IND | 94.0 | 94.2 | 94.1 | 94.1 |
| 9 | MAC | 90.3 | 91.7 | 90.7 | 90.9 |
| 10 | CUSA | 85.8 | 88.5 | 86.2 | 86.8 |
| 11 | SUN | 83.9 | 85.7 | 84.7 | 84.8 |
Top Group of 5
Central Florida will get the New Year’s 6 Bowl Bid with a win over Memphis this week in the CUSA Championship Game. If Memphis pulls off the upset, then UCF could still sneak in depending on how the loss looks.
Should UCF fall by a considerable margin because Mackenzie Milton is out for the season, then Boise State could move above the Golden Knights should the Broncos defeat Fresno State for the second time.
Should Fresno State beat Boise State, and Memphis beat Central Florida, then there could be some issues with the awarding of Bowl Bids. Because Army doesn’t play Navy until December 8, and the announcement of the bowl bids is December 3, then Army could be excluded even if they blowout Navy by 50 points. In this instance, Central Florida would probably still get the bid at 11-1. Had Army defeated Duke at the beginning of the season, then at 11-1 with a loss only to Oklahoma (a game they came close to winning), then the Bowl Committee would have been in a heap of trouble, having to make alternate announcements pending what Army did versus Navy.
At 10-2, Army may still get a chance to play a Power 5 opponent in a bowl game. Coach Jeff Monken would be a cinch to be offered a Power 5 job if he was not in the Paul Johnson mode. Monken’s triple option offense is stronger than Georgia Tech’s this year, and his defense is considerably better.
Playoff and Bowl Projections
This week, you will see many of the bowl projection sites beginning to come to agreement on the top bowl games. No doubt, almost every projection will have Alabama in the Cotton Bowl against either Oklahoma or Ohio State, while Clemson and Notre Dame will be in the Orange Bowl.
We thought about this for a long time Saturday night as Clemson and Alabama continued to dominate. It looked so much like the Playoffs could be narrowed to two teams. However, we thought about something. Georgia is not going to lay over and die for the Crimson Tide to roll over. The Bulldogs have a bad taste in their mouth from last year, where they could smell the National Championship Trophy in the second half of the title game, before some freshman named Tua came off the bench in the second half and looked like a combination of Joe Montana, Brett Favre, John Elway, and Doug Flutie.
We have noticed the teams that have given Alabama the most trouble through the Nick Saban years. These teams have physical defenses and offenses with dual-threat quarterbacks that can act as another running back while still passing like stars. Think about Cam Newton, Johnny Manziel, or DeShaun Watson. Even Chad Kelly had legs and could take off and run. These are the teams that gave the Crimson Tide the most trouble in the last decade.
In the last few weeks, Alabama’s defense has been exposed by this read and react style of offense. The Citadel’s triple option basically embarrassed Alabama in the first half. Auburn’s spread option offense did some damage, but Jarrett Stidham does not have the legs to motor on the keeper like the QBs that have outscored Alabama to victory.
Here’s the thing. Just like Alabama last year, Georgia has their not-so-secret weapon sitting on the bench waiting to be this year’s Tua Tagovailoa. Freshman sensation Justin Fields possesses the same skills as Newton, Manziel, and Watson. He has the potential to lead Georgia to an upset victory and totally throw the FBS Playoffs into disarray.
What if Georgia beat Alabama? Assuming Clemson easily dismisses Pittsburgh, then Clemson would be number one, Georgia and Notre Dame would be number two and three in either order, and Alabama would fall to number four. Ohio State and Oklahoma would be left out. Forget Central Florida. Even if Bama beats Georgia, Northwestern beats Ohio State, and Texas beats Oklahoma, a Georgia team at 11-2 would get into the playoffs before UCF.
If Georgia were to upset Alabama, then four SEC teams would most likely make the NY6 bowls. The Bulldogs and Tide would make the playoffs. Florida would most likely make the Peach Bowl, and LSU would probably edge out Penn State and others for the Sugar Bowl.
There are 81 bowl eligible teams as of today. Virginia Tech is a win over Marshall this weekend from becoming bowl eligible and making it 82. Liberty can get to 6-6 with a win over Norfolk State, but they have already been eliminated from bowl eligibility as a transition team to FBS once 78 teams became bowl eligible.
If you are a fan of a Mountain West, Mid-American, or Sun Belt Conference team that is 6-6 today, you better cheer hard for Marshall to knock off Virginia Tech. There are already three teams too many for the bowls, and if the Hokies win, they will jump over any of the Group of 5 teams hoping to land in a bowl. Teams like Eastern Michigan, Miami of Ohio, Wyoming, and Louisiana-Monroe are holding out for a miracle. At most one of these teams will make it to a bowl, and if Virginia Tech wins this weekend, all four are likely to have empty envelopes. Eastern Michigan could still top Western Michigan, but the Broncos have a larger fan base than the Eagles.
What you see below is our look at the bowls should Georgia beat Alabama. You can look at all the others on the Internet to see what it would look like if the status quo remains, but we believe you will want to read this alternative look.
| Bowl | Conferences | Team 1 | Team 2 | |
| New Mexico | MWC | CUSA | Utah St. | Louisiana Tech |
| Cure | AAC | SBC | Memphis | Troy |
| Las Vegas | MWC | Pac-12 | Boise St. | Arizona St. |
| Camellia | MAC | SBC | Northern Illinois | Appalachian St. |
| New Orleans | CUSA | SBC | Southern Miss. | Louisiana |
| Boca Raton | AAC | CUSA | South Florida | Florida Int’l. |
| Frisco | AAC | At-Large | Tulane | [Army] |
| Gasparilla | AAC | CUSA | [Duke] | UAB |
| Bahamas | MAC | CUSA | Toledo | North Texas |
| Idaho Potato | MAC | MWC | Ohio U | Nevada |
| Birmingham | AAC | SEC | Cincinnati | [Wake Forest] |
| Armed Forces | AAC | Big 12 | Houston | TCU |
| Dollar General | MAC | SBC | Buffalo | Georgia Southern |
| Hawaii | CUSA | MWC | Middle Tennessee | Hawaii |
| Heart of Dallas | Big Ten | CUSA | [Western Michigan] | Marshall |
| Quick Lane | ACC | Big Ten | Boston College | Purdue |
| Cactus | Big 12 | Pac-12 | Baylor | [San Diego St.] |
| Independence | ACC | SEC | Virginia | [BYU] |
| Pinstripe | ACC | Big Ten | Pittsburgh | Wisconsin |
| Texas | Big 12 | SEC | Iowa St. | Mississippi St. |
| Music City | ACC/Big Ten | SEC | Georgia Tech | Missouri |
| Camping World | ACC | Big 12 | Syracuse | West Virginia |
| Arizona | MWC | SBC | Fresno St. | Arkansas St. |
| Alamo | Big 12 | Pac-12 | Texas | Utah |
| Belk | ACC | SEC | North Carolina St. | South Carolina |
| Peach | At-large | At-large | Michigan | Florida |
| Military | AAC | ACC | Temple | Virginia Tech |
| Sun | ACC | Pac-12 | Miami (Fla.) | California |
| San Francisco | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Minnesota | Stanford |
| Liberty | Big 12 | SEC | Oklahoma St. | Vanderbilt |
| Holiday | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Iowa | Oregon |
| Gator | ACC/Big Ten | SEC | Northwestern | Auburn |
| Outback | Big Ten | SEC | Michigan St. | Texas A&M |
| Fiesta | At-large | At-large | Central Florida | Washington St. |
| Citrus | ACC/Big Ten | SEC | Penn St. | Kentucky |
| Rose | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Ohio St. | Washington |
| Sugar | Big 12 | SEC | Oklahoma | LSU |
| FBS PLAYOFFS | ||||
| Cotton | Notre Dame | Georgia | ||
| Orange | Clemson | Alabama | ||
| Championship Game | Georgia | Alabama | ||
| Teams in [Brackets] are at-large selections | ||||
