We’ve read your comments. A couple dozen came in over the weekend telling us to defer to the Land Sharps. Yes, all five of our guest selectors now have winning records for the season. You heard that right. Very few amateur handicappers can sustain a winning record against the spread plus the vigorish over the course of a couple of weeks, yet all five of our Land Sharps have done so after 6 weeks of the season.
As for your official PiRate picks, don’t ask. We are suffering through a malaise, so by popular demand, we will present the Land Sharp picks first and then follow with our ridiculous 25 selections for the week. We are going to just toss all the darts at once and hope 13 or more stick to the board.
You may notice that we are presenting this feature a day early this week. There is a valid reason. There is a Tuesday night college game, and one Sharp selected it.
This Week’s Sharps’ Selections
Cal Gal Tiffany
Season: 22-11 66.7% vs. the Spread with ROI of 30.0%
Central Florida -4 vs. Memphis
Virginia Tech -5 1/2 vs. North Carolina
Hawaii +14 1/2 vs. BYU
Buckeye Michelle
Season: 16-8-1 66.7% vs. the Spread with ROI of 28.8%
Hawaii +14 1/2 vs. BYU
Colorado +7 1/2 vs. USC
UTSA +13 1/2 vs. Louisiana Tech
South Carolina +3 vs. Texas A&M
Kansas St. +7 vs. Oklahoma St.
Friday Dog 13
Season: 15-9-1 62.5% vs. the Spread with ROI of 20.4%
Virginia Tech -5 1/2 vs. UNC
Fresno State -19 vs. Wyoming
Central Florida -4 vs. Memphis
Ole Miss -6 vs. Arkansas
Utah State -24 vs. UNLV
Florida -7 vs. Vanderbilt
Northwestern -4 vs. Nebraska
Stewed Meat
Season: 16-13 55.2% vs. the Spread with ROI of 5.9%
Arkansas St. +10 1/2 vs. Appalachian St.
Tennessee +15 1/2 vs. Auburn
Arizona +14 vs. Utah
Georgia -7 vs. LSU
Oregon +3 1/2 vs. Washington
Baylor +14 1/2 vs. Texas
Illinois +10 1/2 vs. Purdue
Central Florida -4 1/2 vs. Memphis
New Mexico Pk. vs. Colorado St.
Dean615
Season: 10-9 52.6% vs. the Spread with ROI of 0.5%
Notre Dame -20 1/2 vs. Pittsburgh
Iowa -4 1/2 vs. Indiana
Florida -7 vs. Vanderbilt
Texas Tech +7 1/2 vs. TCU
Tennessee +15 1/2 vs. Auburn
The Official PiRate Ratings Selections
We are going with an astronomical 25 selections this week, because we keep choosing about 7 each week out of 25 that we like, and we keep choosing the wrong 7. So, we are going with every selection we liked, since so many we didn’t choose in recent weeks were winners.
Picks vs. the Spread
Ole Miss -6 vs. Arkansas
Hawaii +14 1/2 vs. BYU
Coastal Carolina -4 1/2 vs. UL-Monroe
Central Florida -4 vs. Memphis
Virginia Tech -5 1/2 vs. North Carolina
Northwestern -4 vs. Nebraska
Washington -3 vs. Oregon
Penn St. -13 1/2 vs. Michigan St.
Army -14 1/2 vs. San Jose St.
Georgia Southern -16 1/2 vs. Texas St.
UTSA + 13 1/2 vs. Louisiana Tech
Colorado +7 1/2 vs. USC
10-point Teasers
All 3-game parlays at 11-10
Alabama -18 vs. Missouri
Tennessee +26 1/2 vs. Auburn
Hawaii +24 1/2 vs. BYU
Boston College -3 1/2 vs. Louisville
New Mexico +11 1/2 vs. Colorado St.
Eastern Michigan +11 1/2 vs. Toledo
Duke +12 vs. Georgia Tech
Iowa St. +17 vs. West Virginia
Georgia +3 vs. LSU
Maryland -14 vs. Rutgers
Miami (O) -1/2 vs. Kent St.
Northwestern +6 vs. Nebraska
Ohio St. -19 1/2 vs. Minnesota
UAB -6 vs. Rice
San Diego St. Pk vs. Air Force
Army -4 1/2 vs. San Jose St.
Texas A&M +8 vs. South Carolina
Texas -4 vs. Baylor
Arizona +24 vs. Utah
Florida +3 vs. Vanderbilt
Miami (Fla.) +4 vs. Virginia
Money Line Parlays
@ +191 $100 invested would return $291 with a win
Northwestern over Nebraska
UAB over Rice
South Florida over Tulsa
Boston College over Louisville
@+175 $100 invested would return $275 with a win
Central Florida over Memphis
San Diego St. over Air Force
Buffalo over Akron
Texas over Baylor
@+151 $100 invested would return $251 with a win
Florida over Vanderbilt
Western Michigan over Bowling Green
Georgia over LSU
Army over San Jose St.
|
NFL 10-point Teasers
|
(Totals) | @11-10 | 3-game parlays |
| Team | Team | Total | Pick |
| Philadelphia | N.Y. Giants | 34 | Over |
| Arizona | Minnesota | 33 | Over |
| Carolina | Washington | 35 | Over |
| Team | Team | Total | Pick |
| Indianapolis | N.Y. Jets | 35 | Over |
| Cincinnati | Pittsburgh | 63 | Under |
| L.A. Chargers | Cleveland | 33.5 | Over |
| Team | Team | Total | Pick |
| Chicago | Miami | 32 | Over |
| Jacksonville | Dallas | 30 | Over |
| San Francisco | Green Bay | 36 | Over |
NOTE: All wagers are strictly for entertainment purposes only. These are imaginary currencies invested in imaginary books. We do not bet on these games. While Stewed Meat is a professional, these are not the actual picks Stewed has invested real currency at a real book in Nevada.
Stewed is fortunate enough to receive the “Outlaw Line” before the Opening Line is issued. Stewed’s real strategy is to isolate odds that are off by at least 3 points and then play both sides of the key games.
For instance, if Team A is a 14 1/2 point favorite on the late Saturday night Outlaw Line, and Stewed believes the true spread should be 11, Stewed will put a 5-figure wager on Team B at +14 1/2. Then, after the opening line is listed at 12 because Stewed and other Sharps knew better, and then when the line lowers to 11 because many in the general public also think they know better, Stewed wagers the same 5-figure amount on Team A at -11.
If the actual game score comes in at 12, 13, or 14 (three very frequent game spreads), Stewed wins both wagers and makes a lot of profit. Otherwise, Stewed will win one of the two wagers, unless the spread is exactly 11 points, in which Stewed wins one wager and pushes on the other. All Stewed needs to do to turn a profit is to have a game come between the two spreads 1 out of every 19 games. This is wagering with a margin of safety that none of the rest of us amateurs can do.
The Pi-Rate Ratings 