The PiRate Poll has been updated after the Conference Championship Games, and our ratings show something different from what the Playoff Committee will decide later today.
Our Retrodictive Ratings are our closest approximation to merit based rewards. It only factors who you beat, where you beat them, when you beat them, and in minimal fashion how you beat them. Here are our final Retro Ratings prior to the bowls and playoffs.
PiRate Retrodictive | |
# | Team |
1 | Clemson |
2 | Georgia |
3 | Oklahoma |
4 | Alabama |
5 | Ohio St. |
6 | Wisconsin |
7 | Central Florida |
8 | Penn St. |
9 | Auburn |
10 | Washington |
11 | Miami (Fla) |
12 | USC |
13 | Notre Dame |
14 | TCU |
15 | Virginia Tech |
16 | Oklahoma St. |
17 | Stanford |
18 | Michigan St. |
19 | Michigan |
20 | Washington St. |
21 | Northwestern |
22 | Memphis |
23 | LSU |
24 | North Carolina St. |
25 | Iowa |
26 | Louisville |
27 | Mississippi St. |
28 | Boston College |
29 | South Florida |
30 | Iowa St. |
31 | Boise St. |
32 | Toledo |
33 | Wake Forest |
34 | South Carolina |
35 | San Diego St. |
36 | Oregon |
37 | Florida Atlantic |
38 | Florida St. |
39 | Arizona St. |
40 | Texas A&M |
41 | Texas |
42 | West Virginia |
43 | Purdue |
44 | Georgia Tech |
45 | Kansas St. |
46 | Missouri |
47 | Arizona |
48 | Fresno St. |
49 | UCLA |
50 | Navy |
51 | Troy |
52 | Houston |
53 | Texas Tech |
54 | Utah |
55 | Army |
56 | Kentucky |
57 | Duke |
58 | SMU |
59 | Northern Illinois |
60 | Indiana |
61 | Virginia |
62 | North Texas |
63 | California |
64 | Ole Miss |
65 | Ohio |
66 | Pittsburgh |
67 | Central Michigan |
68 | Minnesota |
69 | Florida |
70 | Syracuse |
71 | Maryland |
72 | Wyoming |
73 | Marshall |
74 | Appalachian St. |
75 | Colorado |
76 | Colorado St. |
77 | Temple |
78 | Nebraska |
79 | Western Michigan |
80 | Tulane |
81 | Arkansas St. |
82 | Florida Int’l. |
83 | Akron |
84 | Southern Miss. |
85 | Vanderbilt |
86 | Buffalo |
87 | Arkansas |
88 | UAB |
89 | Tennessee |
90 | Utah St. |
91 | North Carolina |
92 | Eastern Michigan |
93 | Rutgers |
94 | Air Force |
95 | Louisiana Tech |
96 | Middle Tennessee |
97 | UTSA |
98 | Miami (O) |
99 | Cincinnati |
100 | Western Kentucky |
101 | Tulsa |
102 | UNLV |
103 | Baylor |
104 | New Mexico St. |
105 | BYU |
106 | East Carolina |
107 | Nevada |
108 | Georgia St. |
109 | Massachusetts |
110 | Connecticut |
111 | Illinois |
112 | Old Dominion |
113 | UL-Monroe |
114 | Bowling Green |
115 | New Mexico |
116 | Idaho |
117 | South Alabama |
118 | UL-Lafayette |
119 | Oregon St. |
120 | Hawaii |
121 | Coastal Carolina |
122 | Georgia Southern |
123 | Kansas |
124 | Kent St. |
125 | Ball St. |
126 | Rice |
127 | Charlotte |
128 | Texas St. |
129 | San Jose St. |
130 | UTEP |
While our ratings show that Alabama should be chosen ahead of Ohio State, we believe there will be too much pressure to take two SEC teams and leave out the Big Ten and Pac-12, especially when the Rose Bowl is one of the semifinal games.
Our ratings reflect a 34-point loss by Ohio State at a mediocre Iowa team combined with a home loss to Oklahoma, which slightly offsets their wins over Michigan State, Penn State, and Wisconsin. Alabama’s best wins were not as impressive as the Buckeyes, but as a whole, they did beat more decent teams, and the SEC is several points better than the Big Ten. Plus, their one loss was at Auburn, a team that had just blown Georgia off the Jordan-Hare Field. Truth be told, if the Committee deferred to the smart guys in Nevada, Alabama would be the number one seed in the playoffs.
Our Predictive ratings back us up on this point. However, the predictive ratings show that Ohio State is one of the four best teams at this point of the season. We are scratching our heads on why Oklahoma is so low in the predictive ratings, because they have been improving week by week. Unfortunately, they may have fallen between the cracks in how we update. We have a mechanical update based on statistics and the point in which an easy win was already guaranteed, and maybe OU kept missing out on extra points due to a few yards here or there.
PiRate Ratings | |||||
# | Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
1 | Alabama | 135.6 | 132.3 | 134.3 | 134.1 |
2 | Clemson | 132.8 | 129.9 | 132.6 | 131.8 |
3 | Ohio St. | 132.0 | 129.9 | 132.3 | 131.4 |
4 | Georgia | 130.6 | 129.9 | 131.2 | 130.6 |
5 | Auburn | 129.4 | 127.3 | 129.6 | 128.8 |
6 | Penn St. | 129.0 | 127.9 | 129.3 | 128.7 |
7 | Oklahoma | 128.2 | 126.7 | 129.4 | 128.1 |
8 | Washington | 126.6 | 124.4 | 126.6 | 125.9 |
9 | Wisconsin | 125.7 | 123.2 | 124.8 | 124.6 |
10 | Oklahoma St. | 120.6 | 119.9 | 121.0 | 120.5 |
11 | U S C | 120.4 | 119.5 | 120.1 | 120.0 |
12 | Stanford | 120.7 | 119.1 | 120.1 | 120.0 |
13 | Miami | 119.3 | 118.1 | 118.2 | 118.5 |
14 | L S U | 119.1 | 116.7 | 119.6 | 118.5 |
15 | Virginia Tech | 118.7 | 118.1 | 118.5 | 118.4 |
16 | Louisville | 117.9 | 116.9 | 117.8 | 117.5 |
17 | T C U | 117.9 | 116.4 | 118.0 | 117.4 |
18 | Florida St. | 116.9 | 115.9 | 115.4 | 116.1 |
19 | Notre Dame | 116.0 | 115.0 | 116.0 | 115.6 |
20 | N. Carolina St. | 115.9 | 115.1 | 115.7 | 115.6 |
21 | Michigan | 115.8 | 115.5 | 115.1 | 115.5 |
22 | Northwestern | 115.6 | 114.4 | 115.7 | 115.2 |
23 | Central Florida | 113.6 | 114.8 | 114.8 | 114.4 |
24 | Iowa | 114.1 | 114.4 | 113.3 | 114.0 |
25 | Memphis | 113.5 | 112.7 | 114.4 | 113.5 |
26 | Iowa State | 112.5 | 112.6 | 113.5 | 112.9 |
27 | Boston College | 112.8 | 112.4 | 112.9 | 112.7 |
28 | Washington St. | 113.3 | 111.2 | 112.8 | 112.4 |
29 | Mississippi St. | 112.4 | 112.4 | 112.0 | 112.3 |
30 | Texas | 111.8 | 112.1 | 112.4 | 112.1 |
31 | Kansas St. | 111.8 | 111.8 | 111.8 | 111.8 |
32 | Wake Forest | 112.2 | 110.5 | 112.3 | 111.7 |
33 | Oregon | 112.3 | 110.2 | 111.7 | 111.4 |
34 | Duke | 110.4 | 109.4 | 109.5 | 109.8 |
35 | Georgia Tech | 110.2 | 108.4 | 108.7 | 109.1 |
36 | South Florida | 109.0 | 108.2 | 109.3 | 108.8 |
37 | Missouri | 109.6 | 107.9 | 108.9 | 108.8 |
38 | West Virginia | 108.4 | 109.0 | 108.5 | 108.6 |
39 | Pittsburgh | 108.8 | 108.1 | 108.7 | 108.5 |
40 | Utah | 108.2 | 108.3 | 108.3 | 108.3 |
41 | Michigan St. | 107.5 | 108.1 | 108.6 | 108.1 |
42 | Arizona St. | 107.6 | 106.4 | 107.3 | 107.1 |
43 | S. Carolina | 107.5 | 106.8 | 106.5 | 106.9 |
44 | Texas A&M | 107.8 | 105.9 | 106.9 | 106.9 |
45 | Indiana | 105.5 | 105.6 | 105.9 | 105.7 |
46 | Ole Miss | 106.3 | 105.0 | 105.4 | 105.6 |
47 | Purdue | 105.4 | 105.3 | 105.9 | 105.5 |
48 | Kentucky | 106.2 | 105.5 | 104.8 | 105.5 |
49 | Arizona | 106.2 | 105.0 | 105.1 | 105.4 |
50 | Florida | 105.7 | 105.4 | 105.1 | 105.4 |
51 | Boise St. | 105.7 | 104.5 | 105.8 | 105.3 |
52 | Texas Tech | 105.2 | 104.9 | 104.8 | 105.0 |
53 | Toledo | 103.6 | 103.6 | 105.6 | 104.3 |
54 | California | 105.3 | 103.2 | 103.8 | 104.1 |
55 | U C L A | 104.1 | 103.3 | 103.5 | 103.6 |
56 | Colorado | 104.5 | 103.4 | 102.4 | 103.4 |
57 | Virginia | 103.1 | 102.1 | 103.4 | 102.9 |
58 | San Diego St. | 102.4 | 102.3 | 103.5 | 102.7 |
59 | Houston | 102.4 | 102.1 | 102.5 | 102.3 |
60 | N. Carolina | 102.9 | 102.0 | 102.0 | 102.3 |
61 | Syracuse | 102.0 | 100.8 | 101.1 | 101.3 |
62 | Florida Atlantic | 99.9 | 101.4 | 101.8 | 101.0 |
63 | Colo. State | 101.3 | 100.3 | 101.1 | 100.9 |
64 | Navy | 100.2 | 100.8 | 100.4 | 100.4 |
65 | Minnesota | 100.3 | 101.2 | 99.2 | 100.2 |
66 | Vanderbilt | 100.8 | 99.8 | 99.7 | 100.1 |
67 | Army | 99.8 | 99.8 | 100.1 | 99.9 |
68 | Troy | 99.3 | 99.4 | 99.3 | 99.3 |
69 | Arkansas | 99.4 | 98.5 | 99.2 | 99.1 |
70 | Fresno St. | 98.9 | 97.6 | 99.8 | 98.8 |
71 | Baylor | 98.1 | 99.4 | 98.2 | 98.6 |
72 | SMU | 97.5 | 98.0 | 97.8 | 97.8 |
73 | Appalachian St. | 97.7 | 96.5 | 97.9 | 97.4 |
74 | Ohio U | 96.3 | 97.9 | 97.1 | 97.1 |
75 | Temple | 96.3 | 96.8 | 96.7 | 96.6 |
76 | Tennessee | 97.3 | 95.9 | 95.3 | 96.2 |
77 | Northern Illinois | 95.7 | 95.6 | 96.7 | 96.0 |
78 | Western Michigan | 95.8 | 95.2 | 96.5 | 95.8 |
79 | Arkansas St. | 95.0 | 96.1 | 96.0 | 95.7 |
80 | Central Michigan | 95.1 | 95.4 | 96.0 | 95.5 |
81 | Nebraska | 94.9 | 95.4 | 94.4 | 94.9 |
82 | Wyoming | 95.5 | 94.6 | 94.6 | 94.9 |
83 | Eastern Michigan | 94.7 | 94.8 | 95.1 | 94.9 |
84 | Maryland | 94.5 | 95.8 | 93.9 | 94.7 |
85 | Utah St. | 95.0 | 94.3 | 94.7 | 94.7 |
86 | Tulane | 94.2 | 94.4 | 94.6 | 94.4 |
87 | Tulsa | 93.1 | 92.8 | 92.7 | 92.9 |
88 | Air Force | 92.2 | 92.5 | 92.2 | 92.3 |
89 | Marshall | 90.9 | 92.3 | 92.4 | 91.9 |
90 | Rutgers | 91.1 | 91.1 | 90.7 | 91.0 |
91 | Middle Tennessee | 89.2 | 90.3 | 90.3 | 89.9 |
92 | BYU | 90.0 | 89.9 | 89.9 | 89.9 |
93 | Florida Int’l. | 89.5 | 89.7 | 90.5 | 89.9 |
94 | Nevada | 88.9 | 90.5 | 90.0 | 89.8 |
95 | Miami (O) | 88.7 | 90.7 | 89.9 | 89.8 |
96 | Oregon St. | 90.0 | 89.9 | 88.4 | 89.4 |
97 | Massachusetts | 88.9 | 88.4 | 89.0 | 88.8 |
98 | U T S A | 87.6 | 90.0 | 88.4 | 88.6 |
99 | Buffalo | 87.3 | 89.3 | 89.3 | 88.6 |
100 | Akron | 87.7 | 89.6 | 88.4 | 88.6 |
101 | Louisiana Tech | 87.3 | 88.9 | 88.1 | 88.1 |
102 | Southern Miss. | 87.5 | 88.5 | 88.1 | 88.0 |
103 | Illinois | 87.9 | 89.0 | 86.8 | 87.9 |
104 | W. Kentucky | 87.5 | 87.9 | 88.0 | 87.8 |
105 | N. Texas | 86.8 | 88.2 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
106 | U N L V | 86.2 | 87.7 | 86.3 | 86.8 |
107 | N. Mexico St. | 85.8 | 84.7 | 85.9 | 85.5 |
108 | Connecticut | 84.5 | 86.3 | 84.8 | 85.2 |
109 | Cincinnati | 83.9 | 85.7 | 84.6 | 84.7 |
110 | New Mexico | 84.4 | 84.4 | 84.9 | 84.6 |
111 | East Carolina | 83.2 | 84.5 | 83.3 | 83.7 |
112 | Kansas | 81.8 | 85.1 | 80.5 | 82.5 |
113 | UAB | 81.6 | 81.6 | 83.5 | 82.2 |
114 | Bowling Green | 81.5 | 82.6 | 81.8 | 82.0 |
115 | Hawaii | 81.8 | 82.9 | 81.1 | 81.9 |
116 | UL-Monroe | 81.9 | 82.8 | 81.0 | 81.9 |
117 | S. Alabama | 81.1 | 83.0 | 81.3 | 81.8 |
118 | Idaho | 80.8 | 81.6 | 81.7 | 81.3 |
119 | Old Dominion | 80.3 | 82.7 | 80.5 | 81.2 |
120 | Georgia St. | 80.9 | 81.0 | 80.6 | 80.9 |
121 | UL-Lafayette | 79.3 | 80.5 | 79.0 | 79.6 |
122 | Georgia Southern | 79.1 | 80.4 | 78.5 | 79.3 |
123 | Coastal Carolina | 74.5 | 75.7 | 75.3 | 75.2 |
124 | Kent St. | 73.9 | 75.4 | 74.2 | 74.5 |
125 | Rice | 72.6 | 74.1 | 73.0 | 73.2 |
126 | San Jose St. | 72.3 | 72.4 | 71.6 | 72.1 |
127 | Texas St. | 70.3 | 72.5 | 69.4 | 70.7 |
128 | Charlotte | 69.5 | 71.8 | 69.7 | 70.3 |
129 | U T E P | 67.9 | 70.7 | 67.9 | 68.9 |
130 | Ball St. | 65.7 | 67.7 | 66.4 | 66.6 |
Ratings by Conference
American Athletic Conference | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | AAC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Central Florida | 8-0 | 12-0 | 113.6 | 114.8 | 114.8 | 114.4 |
South Florida | 6-2 | 9-2 | 109.0 | 108.2 | 109.3 | 108.8 |
Temple | 4-4 | 6-6 | 96.3 | 96.8 | 96.7 | 96.6 |
Connecticut | 2-6 | 3-9 | 84.5 | 86.3 | 84.8 | 85.2 |
Cincinnati | 2-6 | 4-8 | 83.9 | 85.7 | 84.6 | 84.7 |
East Carolina | 2-6 | 3-9 | 83.2 | 84.5 | 83.3 | 83.7 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | AAC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Memphis | 7-1 | 10-2 | 113.5 | 112.7 | 114.4 | 113.5 |
Houston | 5-3 | 7-4 | 102.4 | 102.1 | 102.5 | 102.3 |
Navy | 4-4 | 6-5 | 100.2 | 100.8 | 100.4 | 100.4 |
SMU | 4-4 | 7-5 | 97.5 | 98.0 | 97.8 | 97.8 |
Tulane | 3-5 | 5-7 | 94.2 | 94.4 | 94.6 | 94.4 |
Tulsa | 1-7 | 2-10 | 93.1 | 92.8 | 92.7 | 92.9 |
AAC Averages | 97.6 | 98.1 | 98.0 | 97.9 | ||
Atlantic Coast Conference | ||||||
Atlantic Division | ||||||
Team | ACC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Clemson | 7-1 | 12-1 | 132.8 | 129.9 | 132.6 | 131.8 |
Louisville | 4-4 | 8-4 | 117.9 | 116.9 | 117.8 | 117.5 |
Florida St. | 3-5 | 6-6 | 116.9 | 115.9 | 115.4 | 116.1 |
N. Carolina St. | 6-2 | 8-4 | 115.9 | 115.1 | 115.7 | 115.6 |
Boston College | 4-4 | 7-5 | 112.8 | 112.4 | 112.9 | 112.7 |
Wake Forest | 4-4 | 7-5 | 112.2 | 110.5 | 112.3 | 111.7 |
Syracuse | 2-6 | 4-8 | 102.0 | 100.8 | 101.1 | 101.3 |
Coastal Division | ||||||
Team | ACC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Miami | 7-1 | 10-2 | 119.3 | 118.1 | 118.2 | 118.5 |
Virginia Tech | 5-3 | 9-3 | 118.7 | 118.1 | 118.5 | 118.4 |
Duke | 3-5 | 6-6 | 110.4 | 109.4 | 109.5 | 109.8 |
Georgia Tech | 4-4 | 5-6 | 110.2 | 108.4 | 108.7 | 109.1 |
Pittsburgh | 3-5 | 5-7 | 108.8 | 108.1 | 108.7 | 108.5 |
Virginia | 3-5 | 6-6 | 103.1 | 102.1 | 103.4 | 102.9 |
N. Carolina | 1-7 | 3-9 | 102.9 | 102.0 | 102.0 | 102.3 |
ACC Averages | 113.1 | 112.0 | 112.6 | 112.6 | ||
Big 12 Conference | ||||||
Team | B12 | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Oklahoma | 8-1 | 12-1 | 128.2 | 126.7 | 129.4 | 128.1 |
Oklahoma St. | 6-3 | 9-3 | 120.6 | 119.9 | 121.0 | 120.5 |
T C U | 7-2 | 10-3 | 117.9 | 116.4 | 118.0 | 117.4 |
Iowa State | 5-4 | 7-5 | 112.5 | 112.6 | 113.5 | 112.9 |
Texas | 5-4 | 6-6 | 111.8 | 112.1 | 112.4 | 112.1 |
Kansas St. | 5-4 | 7-5 | 111.8 | 111.8 | 111.8 | 111.8 |
West Virginia | 5-4 | 7-5 | 108.4 | 109.0 | 108.5 | 108.6 |
Texas Tech | 3-6 | 6-6 | 105.2 | 104.9 | 104.8 | 105.0 |
Baylor | 1-8 | 1-11 | 98.1 | 99.4 | 98.2 | 98.6 |
Kansas | 0-9 | 1-11 | 81.8 | 85.1 | 80.5 | 82.5 |
Big 12 Averages | 109.6 | 109.8 | 109.8 | 109.8 | ||
Big Ten Conference | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | BTen | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Ohio St. | 8-1 | 11-2 | 132.0 | 129.9 | 132.3 | 131.4 |
Penn St. | 7-2 | 10-2 | 129.0 | 127.9 | 129.3 | 128.7 |
Michigan | 5-4 | 8-4 | 115.8 | 115.5 | 115.1 | 115.5 |
Michigan St. | 7-2 | 9-3 | 107.5 | 108.1 | 108.6 | 108.1 |
Indiana | 2-7 | 5-7 | 105.5 | 105.6 | 105.9 | 105.7 |
Maryland | 2-7 | 4-8 | 94.5 | 95.8 | 93.9 | 94.7 |
Rutgers | 3-6 | 4-8 | 91.1 | 91.1 | 90.7 | 91.0 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | BTen | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Wisconsin | 9-0 | 12-1 | 125.7 | 123.2 | 124.8 | 124.6 |
Northwestern | 7-2 | 9-3 | 115.6 | 114.4 | 115.7 | 115.2 |
Iowa | 4-5 | 7-5 | 114.1 | 114.4 | 113.3 | 114.0 |
Purdue | 4-5 | 6-6 | 105.4 | 105.3 | 105.9 | 105.5 |
Minnesota | 2-7 | 5-7 | 100.3 | 101.2 | 99.2 | 100.2 |
Nebraska | 3-6 | 4-8 | 94.9 | 95.4 | 94.4 | 94.9 |
Illinois | 0-9 | 2-10 | 87.9 | 89.0 | 86.8 | 87.9 |
Big Ten Averages | 108.5 | 108.3 | 108.3 | 108.4 | ||
Conference USA | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | CUSA | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Florida Atlantic | 8-0 | 10-3 | 99.9 | 101.4 | 101.8 | 101.0 |
Marshall | 4-4 | 7-5 | 90.9 | 92.3 | 92.4 | 91.9 |
Middle Tennessee | 4-4 | 6-6 | 89.2 | 90.3 | 90.3 | 89.9 |
Florida Int’l. | 5-3 | 8-4 | 89.5 | 89.7 | 90.5 | 89.9 |
W. Kentucky | 4-4 | 6-6 | 87.5 | 87.9 | 88.0 | 87.8 |
Old Dominion | 3-5 | 5-7 | 80.3 | 82.7 | 80.5 | 81.2 |
Charlotte | 1-7 | 1-11 | 69.5 | 71.8 | 69.7 | 70.3 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | CUSA | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
U T S A | 3-5 | 6-5 | 87.6 | 90.0 | 88.4 | 88.6 |
Louisiana Tech | 4-4 | 6-6 | 87.3 | 88.9 | 88.1 | 88.1 |
Southern Miss. | 6-2 | 8-4 | 87.5 | 88.5 | 88.1 | 88.0 |
N. Texas | 7-1 | 9-4 | 86.8 | 88.2 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
UAB | 6-2 | 8-4 | 81.6 | 81.6 | 83.5 | 82.2 |
Rice | 1-7 | 1-11 | 72.6 | 74.1 | 73.0 | 73.2 |
U T E P | 0-8 | 0-12 | 67.9 | 70.7 | 67.9 | 68.9 |
CUSA Averages | 84.2 | 85.6 | 85.0 | 84.9 | ||
FBS Independents | ||||||
Team | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average | |
Notre Dame | 9-3 | 116.0 | 115.0 | 116.0 | 115.6 | |
Army | 8-3 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 100.1 | 99.9 | |
Massachusetts | 4-8 | 88.9 | 88.4 | 89.0 | 88.8 | |
BYU | 4-9 | 90.0 | 89.9 | 89.9 | 89.9 | |
Indep. Averages | 98.7 | 98.3 | 98.7 | 98.6 | ||
Mid-American Conference | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | MAC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Ohio U | 5-3 | 8-4 | 96.3 | 97.9 | 97.1 | 97.1 |
Miami (O) | 4-4 | 5-7 | 88.7 | 90.7 | 89.9 | 89.8 |
Buffalo | 4-4 | 6-6 | 87.3 | 89.3 | 89.3 | 88.6 |
Akron | 6-2 | 7-6 | 87.7 | 89.6 | 88.4 | 88.6 |
Bowling Green | 2-6 | 2-10 | 81.5 | 82.6 | 81.8 | 82.0 |
Kent St. | 1-7 | 2-10 | 73.9 | 75.4 | 74.2 | 74.5 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | MAC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Toledo | 7-1 | 11-2 | 103.6 | 103.6 | 105.6 | 104.3 |
Northern Illinois | 6-2 | 8-4 | 95.7 | 95.6 | 96.7 | 96.0 |
Western Michigan | 4-4 | 6-6 | 95.8 | 95.2 | 96.5 | 95.8 |
Central Michigan | 6-2 | 8-4 | 95.1 | 95.4 | 96.0 | 95.5 |
Eastern Michigan | 3-5 | 5-7 | 94.7 | 94.8 | 95.1 | 94.9 |
Ball St. | 0-8 | 2-10 | 65.7 | 67.7 | 66.4 | 66.6 |
MAC Averages | 88.8 | 89.8 | 89.7 | 89.5 | ||
Mountain West Conference | ||||||
Mountain Division | ||||||
Team | MWC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Boise St. | 7-1 | 10-3 | 105.7 | 104.5 | 105.8 | 105.3 |
Colo. State | 5-3 | 7-5 | 101.3 | 100.3 | 101.1 | 100.9 |
Wyoming | 5-3 | 7-5 | 95.5 | 94.6 | 94.6 | 94.9 |
Utah St. | 4-4 | 6-6 | 95.0 | 94.3 | 94.7 | 94.7 |
Air Force | 4-4 | 5-7 | 92.2 | 92.5 | 92.2 | 92.3 |
New Mexico | 1-7 | 3-9 | 84.4 | 84.4 | 84.9 | 84.6 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | MWC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
San Diego St. | 6-2 | 10-2 | 102.4 | 102.3 | 103.5 | 102.7 |
Fresno St. | 7-1 | 9-4 | 98.9 | 97.6 | 99.8 | 98.8 |
Nevada | 3-5 | 3-9 | 88.9 | 90.5 | 90.0 | 89.8 |
U N L V | 4-4 | 5-7 | 86.2 | 87.7 | 86.3 | 86.8 |
Hawaii | 1-8 | 3-9 | 81.8 | 82.9 | 81.1 | 81.9 |
San Jose St. | 1-7 | 2-11 | 72.3 | 72.4 | 71.6 | 72.1 |
MWC Averages | 92.0 | 92.0 | 92.1 | 92.1 | ||
Pac-12 Conference | ||||||
North Division | ||||||
Team | P12 | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Washington | 7-2 | 10-2 | 126.6 | 124.4 | 126.6 | 125.9 |
Stanford | 7-2 | 9-4 | 120.7 | 119.1 | 120.1 | 120.0 |
Washington St. | 6-3 | 9-3 | 113.3 | 111.2 | 112.8 | 112.4 |
Oregon | 4-5 | 7-5 | 112.3 | 110.2 | 111.7 | 111.4 |
California | 2-7 | 5-7 | 105.3 | 103.2 | 103.8 | 104.1 |
Oregon St. | 0-9 | 1-11 | 90.0 | 89.9 | 88.4 | 89.4 |
South Division | ||||||
Team | P12 | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
U S C | 8-1 | 11-2 | 120.4 | 119.5 | 120.1 | 120.0 |
Utah | 3-6 | 6-6 | 108.2 | 108.3 | 108.3 | 108.3 |
Arizona St. | 6-3 | 7-5 | 107.6 | 106.4 | 107.3 | 107.1 |
Arizona | 5-4 | 7-5 | 106.2 | 105.0 | 105.1 | 105.4 |
U C L A | 4-5 | 6-6 | 104.1 | 103.3 | 103.5 | 103.6 |
Colorado | 2-7 | 5-7 | 104.5 | 103.4 | 102.4 | 103.4 |
Pac-12 Averages | 109.9 | 108.6 | 109.2 | 109.3 | ||
Southeastern Conference | ||||||
East Division | ||||||
Team | SEC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Georgia | 7-1 | 12-1 | 130.6 | 129.9 | 131.2 | 130.6 |
Missouri | 4-4 | 7-5 | 109.6 | 107.9 | 108.9 | 108.8 |
S. Carolina | 5-3 | 8-4 | 107.5 | 106.8 | 106.5 | 106.9 |
Kentucky | 4-4 | 7-5 | 106.2 | 105.5 | 104.8 | 105.5 |
Florida | 3-5 | 4-7 | 105.7 | 105.4 | 105.1 | 105.4 |
Vanderbilt | 1-7 | 5-7 | 100.8 | 99.8 | 99.7 | 100.1 |
Tennessee | 0-8 | 4-8 | 97.3 | 95.9 | 95.3 | 96.2 |
West Division | ||||||
Team | SEC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Alabama | 7-1 | 11-1 | 135.6 | 132.3 | 134.3 | 134.1 |
Auburn | 7-1 | 10-3 | 129.4 | 127.3 | 129.6 | 128.8 |
L S U | 6-2 | 9-3 | 119.1 | 116.7 | 119.6 | 118.5 |
Mississippi St. | 4-4 | 8-4 | 112.4 | 112.4 | 112.0 | 112.3 |
Texas A&M | 4-4 | 7-5 | 107.8 | 105.9 | 106.9 | 106.9 |
Ole Miss | 3-5 | 6-6 | 106.3 | 105.0 | 105.4 | 105.6 |
Arkansas | 1-7 | 4-8 | 99.4 | 98.5 | 99.2 | 99.1 |
SEC Averages | 112.0 | 110.7 | 111.3 | 111.3 | ||
Sunbelt Conference | ||||||
Team | SBC | Overall | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Troy | 7-1 | 10-2 | 99.3 | 99.4 | 99.3 | 99.3 |
Appalachian St. | 7-1 | 8-4 | 97.7 | 96.5 | 97.9 | 97.4 |
Arkansas St. | 6-2 | 7-4 | 95.0 | 96.1 | 96.0 | 95.7 |
N. Mexico St. | 4-4 | 6-6 | 85.8 | 84.7 | 85.9 | 85.5 |
UL-Monroe | 4-4 | 4-8 | 81.9 | 82.8 | 81.0 | 81.9 |
S. Alabama | 3-5 | 4-8 | 81.1 | 83.0 | 81.3 | 81.8 |
Idaho | 3-5 | 4-8 | 80.8 | 81.6 | 81.7 | 81.3 |
Georgia St. | 5-3 | 6-5 | 80.9 | 81.0 | 80.6 | 80.9 |
UL-Lafayette | 4-4 | 5-7 | 79.3 | 80.5 | 79.0 | 79.6 |
Georgia Southern | 2-6 | 2-10 | 79.1 | 80.4 | 78.5 | 79.3 |
Coastal Carolina | 2-6 | 3-9 | 74.5 | 75.7 | 75.3 | 75.2 |
Texas St. | 1-7 | 2-10 | 70.3 | 72.5 | 69.4 | 70.7 |
Sun Belt Averages | 83.8 | 84.5 | 83.8 | 84.1 |
PiRate Ratings By Conference | |||||
# | League | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
1 | ACC | 113.1 | 112.0 | 112.6 | 112.6 |
2 | SEC | 112.0 | 110.7 | 111.3 | 111.3 |
3 | BIG 12 | 109.6 | 109.8 | 109.8 | 109.8 |
4 | PAC-12 | 109.9 | 108.6 | 109.2 | 109.3 |
5 | BIG TEN | 108.5 | 108.3 | 108.3 | 108.4 |
6 | INDEP. | 98.7 | 98.3 | 98.7 | 98.6 |
7 | AAC | 97.6 | 98.1 | 98.0 | 97.9 |
8 | MWC | 92.0 | 92.0 | 92.1 | 92.1 |
9 | MAC | 88.8 | 89.8 | 89.7 | 89.5 |
10 | CUSA | 84.2 | 85.6 | 85.0 | 84.9 |
11 | Sun Belt | 83.8 | 84.5 | 83.8 | 84.1 |
Look for our bowl and playoff spreads following next week’s Army – Navy game.
If you didn’t see our Army-Navy spread last week, it is:
Philadelphia | PA | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
Army (n) | Navy | -0.4 | -1.0 | -0.3 |
Why the unique color purple?
This is what we call Love Purple. You can replicate it with the RGB of 69-0-169 and the Hex Code of 4500A9.
Love purple is the official logo color of our mom and pop company in Nashville. We are highly appreciative of all our supporters here, and we wish you a loving and joyous holiday season.