The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 15, 2017

Red-White-Blue Ratings For Thursday’s NCAA Tournament Games

 

Team Team Red White Blue
Notre Dame Princeton 6 6 2
Virginia UNC-Wilmington 7 9 9
Butler Winthrop 10 9 10
Gonzaga South Dakota St. 24 21 15
West Virginia Bucknell 13 12 11
Florida East Tennessee St. 10 12 13
Minnesota Middle Tennessee 2 1 3
Northwestern Vanderbilt -1 -1 -5
Maryland Xavier -1 -1 -1
Villanova Mount St. Mary’s 22 23 21
Saint Mary’s VCU 5 6 4
Purdue Vermont 9 9 5
Florida St. Florida Gulf Coast 13 14 11
Wisconsin Virginia Tech 4 4 4
Arizona North Dakota 15 15 14
Iowa St. Nevada 6 6 6
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2 Comments

  1. Could you please explain how to read these ratings? Which team would be the pick? Are these confidence ratings?

    I’ve read what goes into them and I love it. Thank you!

    Comment by Wally — March 15, 2017 @ 9:38 am

    • The number below each color (Red-White-Blue) is the PiRate Rating Spread for each of the three ratings. In a regular season setting, there would be home and road teams, but in the NCAA Tournament, all games are neutral. So, look at the left column of teams (Notre Dame, Virginia, Butler…Wisconsin, Arizona, Iowa State. A positive number out to the side of each game indicates the team on the left is favored by that many points over their opponent to the right on the same line. If it is a negative number, then the opponent to the right is the favorite.

      For instance, Notre Dame is favored over Princeton by 6 points according to the Red Rating, 6 points according to the White Rating, and 2 points according to the Blue Rating. In the case of the Northwestern and Vanderbilt game, with the numbers -1, -1, and -5, this indicates that Vanderbilt is favored by 1, 1, and 5 points in the three ratings.

      Theses ratings are computer predictions using our three algorithms based on Four Factors and other data. We do not make claims as to what these spreads mean as it applies to the Las Vegas line, but many others that read our site have their own opinions on them. A couple have messaged us to let us know they clean up by using part of our ratings. We do not wager on games, so we do not take that leap of faith. It is our belief that no computerized model on its own can beat the books 60% of the time, and very few can beat it 52.4% of the time, which is the break even mark. You are free to use these ratings as you please, but please do not lose your shirt because of it.

      Comment by piratings — March 15, 2017 @ 10:38 am


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