The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 11, 2017

Final 2016-17 College Football Ratings

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , — piratings @ 7:07 am

Congratulations to the Clemson Tigers.  Raspberries to the NCAA.

Sadly, the viewing numbers for the National Championship game were quite low.  Aside from not being available on free TV, the college game greatly needs changes to shorten its duration.

The National Championship Game took more than four hours to play (someone on local radio mentioned it took about an hour to play the last six minutes of the game!  The game finished past Midnight on the East Coast on a weeknight.  Many fans that hoped to see the entire game fell asleep before the conclusion, and Michigan Coach Jim Harbaugh admitted he was one of those that could not stay awake.

The college game needs massive change and quickly.  It is in danger of suffering from some of the same issues that have caused Major League Baseball to lose viewers.

Our recommendations for the college game include implementing many of the NFL rules:

1. No stoppage of the clock after first downs–implement a 2-minute warning for both halves.  The clock did not always stop after first downs in the college game.  That rule came in about 60 years ago.  At the time, college games lasted around 2 hours and 20 minutes in duration with about 110 plays from scrimmage.

2. Each team should receive 3 replay challenge flags per game for review.  Only the teams should instigate the reviewing of a play, except for scoring plays and plays involving a change of possession.

3. Halftime should be reduced to 12 minutes in duration

 

Other Rules Changes we advocate.

1. Pass interference returning to the same penalty as it is in the NFL.  Giving up 15 yards and a first down should never be a defensive option to use strategically.  Teams take advantage of this rule, especially late in the game, when a 15-yard advancement of the ball is disadvantageous.  This rule was changed in the 1980’s.

 

2. A player in possession of the ball should not down until he is touched.  A slippery surface should never be allowed to make a tackle for the defense.  A great catch by a receiver should not be the end of the play if no defensive player is there to stop him.

 

3. Overtimes should be changed to the current NFL OT rule, and ties should be allowed after 15 minutes.  If a playoff game ends in a regulation tie, regular sudden death overtime instead of the ridiculous 25-yard line overtime should be used.

 

The college game would be best served if the national average for scrimmage plays per game was about 120 and games did not exceed 3 hours in length.

We now step off our soapbox.  Here are our final ratings for the season.

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Clemson 137.4 131.9 136.9 135.4
2 Alabama 134.5 128.2 134.6 132.4
3 Washington 132.2 125.1 131.5 129.6
4 Michigan 127.0 125.1 126.7 126.3
5 Oklahoma 126.5 124.4 126.5 125.8
6 LSU 126.6 121.9 126.3 124.9
7 Ohio St. 124.6 123.7 124.6 124.3
8 USC 124.2 119.4 122.7 122.1
9 Florida St. 123.2 117.5 122.6 121.1
10 Oklahoma St. 120.1 120.5 119.5 120.0
11 Penn St. 120.0 119.7 120.1 119.9
12 Louisville 120.2 116.9 119.8 119.0
13 Auburn 119.2 117.4 119.0 118.5
14 Virginia Tech 118.9 117.7 118.9 118.5
15 Wisconsin 118.8 116.9 119.3 118.3
16 Miami 119.1 114.1 119.1 117.4
17 Florida 115.5 115.7 114.3 115.2
18 Pittsburgh 116.0 112.1 115.2 114.4
19 North Carolina 115.9 110.6 115.4 114.0
20 Western Michigan 113.1 112.8 114.7 113.5
21 Stanford 115.2 109.6 115.0 113.3
22 Kansas St. 112.7 113.9 112.9 113.2
23 Tennessee 113.6 111.2 112.7 112.5
24 Washington St. 113.5 110.9 112.9 112.5
25 Colorado 113.6 110.1 113.5 112.4
26 Western Kentucky 112.4 110.4 113.8 112.2
27 Iowa 112.8 110.3 112.4 111.8
28 Texas A&M 112.1 111.2 111.2 111.5
29 Notre Dame 112.3 109.5 111.4 111.1
30 West Virginia 111.2 110.5 110.7 110.8
31 Utah 112.5 107.8 111.1 110.5
32 Temple 109.9 109.1 110.6 109.9
33 North Carolina St. 111.1 107.3 111.0 109.8
34 Georgia Tech 110.9 107.2 110.1 109.4
35 Northwestern 110.6 107.1 109.7 109.1
36 South Florida 109.5 107.8 110.1 109.1
37 Arkansas 110.8 106.3 110.0 109.1
38 Tulsa 108.0 109.2 108.5 108.6
39 BYU 109.8 106.1 109.7 108.5
40 Georgia 108.7 108.2 108.1 108.3
41 Minnesota 108.8 107.1 108.6 108.2
42 San Diego St. 107.0 105.6 109.0 107.2
43 TCU 107.0 108.6 105.9 107.2
44 Houston 106.8 105.8 107.7 106.8
45 Mississippi St. 107.7 105.8 106.5 106.7
46 Baylor 105.8 106.1 105.9 105.9
47 Nebraska 106.2 104.0 105.8 105.3
48 Michigan St. 105.1 104.3 103.9 104.4
49 Texas 104.1 105.7 103.0 104.3
50 UCLA 105.1 103.2 104.0 104.1
51 Navy 104.0 103.8 103.9 103.9
52 Indiana 103.7 104.6 103.2 103.8
53 Vanderbilt 105.2 102.2 103.9 103.8
54 Ole Miss 105.3 101.6 104.0 103.6
55 Memphis 104.4 102.3 103.8 103.5
56 Kentucky 103.4 103.4 103.0 103.3
57 Boise St. 102.5 103.8 103.1 103.1
58 Toledo 102.2 102.9 103.1 102.7
59 Oregon 103.7 101.7 102.6 102.7
60 Wake Forest 102.8 101.0 103.0 102.3
61 Texas Tech 102.2 101.6 101.3 101.7
62 California 103.9 97.7 101.7 101.1
63 Appalachian St. 100.0 101.2 101.6 100.9
64 Duke 101.3 100.3 100.7 100.8
65 Iowa St. 100.6 100.6 99.6 100.3
66 Missouri 99.9 98.6 98.6 99.1
67 Louisiana Tech 97.7 99.7 99.5 99.0
68 Air Force 98.2 100.0 98.6 98.9
69 Boston College 99.6 98.1 99.0 98.9
70 Oregon St. 100.6 96.2 99.5 98.8
71 Virginia 99.9 97.3 98.9 98.7
72 South Carolina 98.8 98.3 98.3 98.5
73 Arizona St. 99.0 97.4 97.3 97.9
74 Syracuse 98.9 95.6 97.2 97.3
75 Arkansas St. 95.8 98.2 97.7 97.2
76 Colorado St. 95.7 97.8 96.7 96.7
77 New Mexico 94.9 96.8 95.7 95.8
78 Maryland 95.7 97.6 94.1 95.8
79 Central Florida 95.0 96.3 95.5 95.6
80 Northern Illinois 94.6 95.9 95.5 95.3
81 Wyoming 94.4 94.5 95.5 94.8
82 Arizona 95.3 93.0 93.8 94.0
83 Army 91.3 96.8 92.6 93.6
84 Troy 91.3 95.2 93.2 93.2
85 Ohio 91.1 96.7 91.6 93.2
86 SMU 91.9 91.5 93.9 92.5
87 Cincinnati 92.0 92.8 91.7 92.2
88 Miami (O) 90.9 92.6 92.3 91.9
89 Old Dominion 89.6 92.5 90.8 91.0
90 Purdue 91.7 90.3 90.5 90.8
91 Illinois 91.6 88.8 90.4 90.3
92 UTSA 87.5 93.0 89.9 90.2
93 Idaho 87.7 92.0 90.0 89.9
94 Central Michigan 89.0 91.1 89.4 89.8
95 Utah St. 88.8 91.2 88.6 89.5
96 Nevada 88.2 90.2 88.7 89.1
97 Southern Mississippi 88.6 89.0 89.1 88.9
98 Eastern Michigan 87.4 89.5 88.1 88.3
99 East Carolina 87.6 89.0 87.6 88.1
100 Tulane 86.8 89.9 87.4 88.0
101 Kansas 87.0 91.0 85.1 87.7
102 Georgia Southern 86.3 87.4 87.9 87.2
103 Middle Tennessee 86.3 88.1 86.6 87.0
104 Bowling Green 86.3 87.4 86.5 86.7
105 UL-Lafayette 84.6 88.2 86.0 86.3
106 Rutgers 86.8 85.3 85.1 85.8
107 Ball St. 84.7 86.7 85.6 85.7
108 Kent St. 84.0 85.5 84.9 84.8
109 Connecticut 84.9 84.6 84.3 84.6
110 San Jose St. 84.1 84.2 84.0 84.1
111 Akron 81.8 86.9 82.7 83.8
112 UNLV 82.5 85.4 83.1 83.7
113 South Alabama 81.2 87.2 81.7 83.4
114 Hawaii 83.1 83.0 83.1 83.1
115 Florida International 81.2 85.4 81.8 82.8
116 Massachusetts 79.8 85.0 80.6 81.8
117 Rice 77.8 83.3 78.3 79.8
118 Georgia St. 77.6 82.0 79.4 79.7
119 Marshall 77.9 81.4 78.4 79.2
120 North Texas 77.5 80.5 77.9 78.7
121 Charlotte 76.3 81.9 76.9 78.4
122 Fresno St. 77.3 80.6 77.0 78.3
123 Buffalo 76.1 81.9 76.7 78.3
124 Florida Atlantic 75.0 79.5 77.1 77.2
125 UTEP 74.4 79.1 75.7 76.4
126 New Mexico St. 74.2 77.2 75.3 75.6
127 UL-Monroe 68.8 74.1 69.8 70.9
128 Texas St. 62.3 64.9 63.3 63.5

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Temple 109.9 109.1 110.6 109.9
South Florida 109.5 107.8 110.1 109.1
Central Florida 95.0 96.3 95.5 95.6
Cincinnati 92.0 92.8 91.7 92.2
East Carolina 87.6 89.0 87.6 88.1
Connecticut 84.9 84.6 84.3 84.6
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Tulsa 108.0 109.2 108.5 108.6
Houston 106.8 105.8 107.7 106.8
Navy 104.0 103.8 103.9 103.9
Memphis 104.4 102.3 103.8 103.5
SMU 91.9 91.5 93.9 92.5
Tulane 86.8 89.9 87.4 88.0
         
AAC Averages 98.4 98.5 98.7 98.6
         
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Clemson 137.4 131.9 136.9 135.4
Florida St. 123.2 117.5 122.6 121.1
Louisville 120.2 116.9 119.8 119.0
North Carolina St. 111.1 107.3 111.0 109.8
Wake Forest 102.8 101.0 103.0 102.3
Boston College 99.6 98.1 99.0 98.9
Syracuse 98.9 95.6 97.2 97.3
         
Coastal Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Virginia Tech 118.9 117.7 118.9 118.5
Miami 119.1 114.1 119.1 117.4
Pittsburgh 116.0 112.1 115.2 114.4
North Carolina 115.9 110.6 115.4 114.0
Georgia Tech 110.9 107.2 110.1 109.4
Duke 101.3 100.3 100.7 100.8
Virginia 99.9 97.3 98.9 98.7
         
ACC Averages 112.5 109.2 112.0 111.2
         
Big 12 Conference
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Oklahoma 126.5 124.4 126.5 125.8
Oklahoma St. 120.1 120.5 119.5 120.0
Kansas St. 112.7 113.9 112.9 113.2
West Virginia 111.2 110.5 110.7 110.8
TCU 107.0 108.6 105.9 107.2
Baylor 105.8 106.1 105.9 105.9
Texas 104.1 105.7 103.0 104.3
Texas Tech 102.2 101.6 101.3 101.7
Iowa St. 100.6 100.6 99.6 100.3
Kansas 87.0 91.0 85.1 87.7
         
Big 12 Averages 107.7 108.3 107.0 107.7
         
Big Ten Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Michigan 127.0 125.1 126.7 126.3
Ohio St. 124.6 123.7 124.6 124.3
Penn St. 120.0 119.7 120.1 119.9
Michigan St. 105.1 104.3 103.9 104.4
Indiana 103.7 104.6 103.2 103.8
Maryland 95.7 97.6 94.1 95.8
Rutgers 86.8 85.3 85.1 85.8
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Wisconsin 118.8 116.9 119.3 118.3
Iowa 112.8 110.3 112.4 111.8
Northwestern 110.6 107.1 109.7 109.1
Minnesota 108.8 107.1 108.6 108.2
Nebraska 106.2 104.0 105.8 105.3
Purdue 91.7 90.3 90.5 90.8
Illinois 91.6 88.8 90.4 90.3
         
Big Ten Averages 107.4 106.1 106.7 106.7
         
Conference USA
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Kentucky 112.4 110.4 113.8 112.2
Old Dominion 89.6 92.5 90.8 91.0
Middle Tennessee 86.3 88.1 86.6 87.0
Florida International 81.2 85.4 81.8 82.8
Marshall 77.9 81.4 78.4 79.2
Charlotte 76.3 81.9 76.9 78.4
Florida Atlantic 75.0 79.5 77.1 77.2
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Louisiana Tech 97.7 99.7 99.5 99.0
UTSA 87.5 93.0 89.9 90.2
Southern Mississippi 88.6 89.0 89.1 88.9
Rice 77.8 83.3 78.3 79.8
North Texas 77.5 80.5 77.9 78.7
UTEP 74.4 79.1 75.7 76.4
         
CUSA Averages 84.8 88.0 85.8 86.2
         
FBS Independents
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Notre Dame 112.3 109.5 111.4 111.1
BYU 109.8 106.1 109.7 108.5
Army 91.3 96.8 92.6 93.6
Massachusetts 79.8 85.0 80.6 81.8
         
Independents Averages 98.3 99.4 98.6 98.7
         
Mid-American Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ohio 91.1 96.7 91.6 93.2
Miami (O) 90.9 92.6 92.3 91.9
Bowling Green 86.3 87.4 86.5 86.7
Kent St. 84.0 85.5 84.9 84.8
Akron 81.8 86.9 82.7 83.8
Buffalo 76.1 81.9 76.7 78.3
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Michigan 113.1 112.8 114.7 113.5
Toledo 102.2 102.9 103.1 102.7
Northern Illinois 94.6 95.9 95.5 95.3
Central Michigan 89.0 91.1 89.4 89.8
Eastern Michigan 87.4 89.5 88.1 88.3
Ball St. 84.7 86.7 85.6 85.7
         
MAC Averages 90.1 92.5 90.9 91.2
         
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Boise St. 102.5 103.8 103.1 103.1
Air Force 98.2 100.0 98.6 98.9
Colorado St. 95.7 97.8 96.7 96.7
New Mexico 94.9 96.8 95.7 95.8
Wyoming 94.4 94.5 95.5 94.8
Utah St. 88.8 91.2 88.6 89.5
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
San Diego St. 107.0 105.6 109.0 107.2
Nevada 88.2 90.2 88.7 89.1
San Jose St. 84.1 84.2 84.0 84.1
UNLV 82.5 85.4 83.1 83.7
Hawaii 83.1 83.0 83.1 83.1
Fresno St. 77.3 80.6 77.0 78.3
         
MWC Averages 91.4 92.8 91.9 92.0
         
Pac-12 Conference
North Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Washington 132.2 125.1 131.5 129.6
Stanford 115.2 109.6 115.0 113.3
Washington St. 113.5 110.9 112.9 112.5
Oregon 103.7 101.7 102.6 102.7
California 103.9 97.7 101.7 101.1
Oregon St. 100.6 96.2 99.5 98.8
         
South Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
USC 124.2 119.4 122.7 122.1
Colorado 113.6 110.1 113.5 112.4
Utah 112.5 107.8 111.1 110.5
UCLA 105.1 103.2 104.0 104.1
Arizona St. 99.0 97.4 97.3 97.9
Arizona 95.3 93.0 93.8 94.0
         
Pac-12 Averages 109.9 106.0 108.8 108.2
         
Southeastern Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Florida 115.5 115.7 114.3 115.2
Tennessee 113.6 111.2 112.7 112.5
Georgia 108.7 108.2 108.1 108.3
Vanderbilt 105.2 102.2 103.9 103.8
Kentucky 103.4 103.4 103.0 103.3
Missouri 99.9 98.6 98.6 99.1
South Carolina 98.8 98.3 98.3 98.5
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Alabama 134.5 128.2 134.6 132.4
LSU 126.6 121.9 126.3 124.9
Auburn 119.2 117.4 119.0 118.5
Texas A&M 112.1 111.2 111.2 111.5
Arkansas 110.8 106.3 110.0 109.1
Mississippi St. 107.7 105.8 106.5 106.7
Ole Miss 105.3 101.6 104.0 103.6
         
SEC Averages 111.5 109.3 110.8 110.5
         
Sunbelt Conference
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Appalachian St. 100.0 101.2 101.6 100.9
Arkansas St. 95.8 98.2 97.7 97.2
Troy 91.3 95.2 93.2 93.2
Idaho 87.7 92.0 90.0 89.9
Georgia Southern 86.3 87.4 87.9 87.2
UL-Lafayette 84.6 88.2 86.0 86.3
South Alabama 81.2 87.2 81.7 83.4
Georgia St. 77.6 82.0 79.4 79.7
New Mexico St. 74.2 77.2 75.3 75.6
UL-Monroe 68.8 74.1 69.8 70.9
Texas St. 62.3 64.9 63.3 63.5
         
Sun Belt Averages 82.7 86.1 84.2 84.3

PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 ACC Averages 112.5 109.2 112.0 111.2
2 SEC Averages 111.5 109.3 110.8 110.5
3 Pac-12 Averages 109.9 106.0 108.8 108.2
4 Big 12 Averages 107.7 108.3 107.0 107.7
5 Big Ten Averages 107.4 106.1 106.7 106.7
6 Indep. Averages 98.3 99.4 98.6 98.7
7 AAC Averages 98.4 98.5 98.7 98.6
8 MWC Averages 91.4 92.8 91.9 92.0
9 MAC Averages 90.1 92.5 90.9 91.2
10 CUSA Averages 84.8 88.0 85.8 86.2
11 Sun Belt Averages 82.7 86.1 84.2 84.3

Note–This breaks a long streak where the SEC finished as the highest-rated conference.  The ACC surpassed the SEC thanks to an incredible bowl season that included Clemson beating Alabama, Georgia Tech beating Kentucky, Virginia Tech beating Arkansas, and North Carolina State beating Vanderbilt.

Retrodictive Ratings

PiRate Retrodictive
# Team
1 Alabama
2 Clemson
3 Ohio St.
4 Washington
5 Oklahoma
6 Michigan
7 Florida St.
8 USC
9 Wisconsin
10 Penn St.
11 LSU
12 Stanford
13 Western Michigan
14 Oklahoma St.
15 Florida
16 Virginia Tech
17 Colorado
18 Miami (Fla)
19 Louisville
20 Auburn
21 Tennessee
22 West Virginia
23 Western Kentucky
24 Kansas St.
25 South Florida
26 Pittsburgh
27 Utah
28 Georgia Tech
29 Washington St.
30 Tulsa
31 Minnesota
32 Texas A&M
33 Iowa
34 Nebraska
35 North Carolina
36 Appalachian St.
37 San Diego St.
38 BYU
39 Boise St.
40 Temple
41 Houston
42 Georgia
43 Northwestern
44 Troy
45 Air Force
46 North Carolina St.
47 Toledo
48 Arkansas
49 Navy
50 Memphis
51 Baylor
52 Kentucky
53 Old Dominion
54 Vanderbilt
55 Ole Miss
56 Mississippi St.
57 TCU
58 New Mexico
59 California
60 Louisiana Tech
61 Wake Forest
62 Colorado St.
63 Wyoming
64 Idaho
65 Boston College
66 Indiana
67 Notre Dame
68 Arkansas St.
69 Texas
70 UCLA
71 Central Florida
72 South Carolina
73 Oregon
74 Arizona St.
75 Maryland
76 Oregon St.
77 Army
78 Ohio
79 Eastern Michigan
80 Texas Tech
81 Missouri
82 Syracuse
83 Middle Tennessee
84 Southern Miss.
85 Duke
86 Michigan St.
87 SMU
88 Northern Illinois
89 Iowa St.
90 UTSA
91 Hawaii
92 UL-Lafayette
93 Central Michigan
94 Georgia Southern
95 Arizona
96 Miami (O)
97 South Alabama
98 Illinois
99 Cincinnati
100 Tulane
101 Akron
102 Utah St.
103 Virginia
104 Purdue
105 Bowling Green
106 San Jose St.
107 Nevada
108 North Texas
109 East Carolina
110 UNLV
111 Ball St.
112 Rutgers
113 UL-Monroe
114 Kent St.
115 Kansas
116 Georgia St.
117 Connecticut
118 Charlotte
119 UTEP
120 New Mexico St.
121 Florida Int’l.
122 Marshall
123 Rice
124 Massachusetts
125 Florida Atlantic
126 Fresno St.
127 Texas St.
128 Buffalo

 

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