This week, there is only one college game with Army and Navy facing off in Baltimore. Thus, we must make our selections only from the NFL schedule. We are throwing caution to the wind, as even though we have a small 6% profit for the season entering this week, we are not going to a stall to guarantee a winning season. We want to make that Return on Investment top 10%, and thus we are going with three parlays this week. Each parlay goes off at odds higher than +200, so winning just one of the three would add profit to our imaginary bankroll for the season.
|1. NFL Parlay at +220|
|Indianapolis over Houston|
|Detroit over Chicago|
|Tampa Bay over New Orleans|
Let us make sure you understand that we are aware of the Colts’ having to make major defensive changes after losing star D’Qwell Jackson for four games due to a suspension for Performance Enhancing substances. Jackson was the key to the Indy defense, but his loss has made this parlay a better play for us.
The way we see the Colts-Texans game is that Indy will outscore Houston and not have to worry about Jackson missing on the stop side. Houston has scored just 99 points in their last six games, while Indianapolis with Andrew Luck is a team capable of scoring 35 points in this game.
Detroit is ready to wrap up the NFC North Division, and this is a game the Lions should win handily. The Bears are limping home and might decide to pull a NY Jets this weekend, or at least we hope they might.
Tampa Bay is now a slight favorite to win the NFC South with second year quarterback Jameis Winston maturing into a potential star. The Bucs’ defense is not to be confused with Carolina’s, but TB should be able to match Drew Brees point for point and come up with one or two big plays to win.
|2. NFL Parlay at +248|
|Carolina over San Diego|
|Miami over Arizona|
The Panthers and Chargers are now out of the playoff race, and the only reason we believe Carolina will win this game is that San Diego has been forced to do a lot of travelling this season and must go 2,500 miles and three time zones this week. The game should be a fascinating close match.
Miami has a slim chance to earn a wildcard bid, but the Dolphins must win out and then get some help. Arizona is going nowhere, and they too must travel across the country.
|3. NFL Parlay at +211|
|N. Y. Jets over San Francisco|
|New England over Baltimore|
The key to this parlay is whether the Jets will show that Monday night was a fluke. Will the team show up for Todd Bowles and give him a chance to keep his job? Just a normal effort would be enough to lead NY to victory over a 49ers team that may be weaker than Cleveland at the present time.
We are throwing the Patriots into this parlay to bring the odds up over +200. Baltimore will not lay down in this game and allow New England to win going away, and the Pats will have to bring their A-game without Gronk. However, we believe (hope) the Pats realize they are now in a dogfight for the #1 seed and understand that this is a must-win game.