The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 17, 2016

College Football Ratings & Spreads For October 20-22, 2016

Another Hot Seat Burns

Purdue dismissed Darrell Hazell as head coach yesterday, even though the Boilermakers are off to a 3-3 start and have been more competitive in their games this year than in recent seasons. This brings to three the number of coaches that were replaced in the first half of the season (Les Miles–LSU & Ron Turner–Florida International), not counting Art Briles and Baylor.

Firing a coach in mid-season allows a school to officially, but quietly, begin its coaching search ahead of the schools that have already decided to go with a new regime but have yet to make the announcement official. LSU, FIU, and Purdue can now begin reaching out to agents of prospective coaches to feel out the situation. Coach X, who is 5-1 at a Group of 5 School this year would never say he was interested in any job other than the one he currently has, but Coach X’s agent, Johnny Slickster, has already begun to talk to schools about interviewing his client as well as telling them in a general manner what basic details would have to be included in a contract.

Prime Candidates

The three schools with openings for 2017 will no doubt balloon to seven to 12 schools by the time we exchange our Christmas and Hanukkah gifts this year, so who are the prime candidates to see their incomes climb from six to seven figures?

Basically, three types of candidates earn head coaching jobs in college football–head coaches at smaller schools than the one in question, top coordinators from successful schools, and NFL coaches that have recently lost their jobs. Occasionally, a smaller Group of 5 program will hire a coach from FCS ranks, and a former head coach will get another chance to come back into coaching, but most of the available jobs go to one of the three types described above. Today we will look at the head coaches at smaller schools.

In the past, Miami of Ohio was called “The Cradle of Coaches.” This MAC program produced a Hall of Fame class in its own. Among the legends that coached at the Oxford, Ohio, school were Paul Brown, Sid Gillman, Woody Hayes, Bo Schembechler, Ara Parseghian, Weeb Ewbank, Sean Payton, John Harbaugh, Jim Tressel, Bill Mallory, John Pont, and Colonel Red Blaik.

While the Red Hawks are not producing legends any more, their conference has become a breeding grounds for Power 5 teams. It should be no different this year, as Western Michigan’s P.J. Fleck could be the top candidate for multiple jobs. Fleck has stated that he believes too many coaches fail to see how good they have it where they currently are and make a mistake moving up. Other than Al McGuire, who stayed at Marquette for years after being offered multiple jobs every season, there are not too many American males that have turned down the doubling or tripling of their salary to remain in a smaller job. Kalamazoo, Michigan, is a nice northern town, but places like Baton Rouge, Louisiana, Austin, Texas, or Los Angeles, are very livable too, especially when they come with four million dollar contracts.

Jason Candle at Toledo, John Bonamego at Central Michigan, and Chris Creighton at Eastern Michigan could all be on the radar as well. Creighton has maneuvered the EMU into position to go to a bowl this year, and the Eagles have only been bowling one time, back in 1987.

The Sun Belt Conference has chiefly supplied coaches from Arkansas State in recent years, and the guys they sent on to bigger places have done quite well, including Gus Malzahn, Hugh Freeze, and Bryan Harsin. It’s time to spread the wealth of wizards to other locations, and there are some prime candidates this year. Scott Satterfield at Appalachian State could get some feelers. Troy’s Neal Brown will draw interest, and Idaho’s Paul Petrino will be on some schools’ lists, especially since his program will drop to FCS in two years.

In Conference USA, Jeff Brohm is a hot commodity at the present, but there are other potential candidates in this league. Marshall’s Doc Holliday may only have an interest in one other job, which is not about to become open any time soon, but his recruiting ability could earn him a look at Purdue. Bobby Wilder from Old Dominion could be an option for a larger school, while North Texas’s Seth Littrell is probably a couple years away from becoming a hot commodity.

In the Mountain West, Tony Sanchez is a Las Vegas man, so he may not be ready to leave UNLV after two years. The Rebels have not completely turned the corner, but a sneaky bowl-eligible season when they were picked to finish near the bottom could put Sanchez on some radar screens. The coach that appears to be a rising star from the MWC is Wyoming’s Craig Bohl.  Bohl built North Dakota State into the Alabama of the FCS, and he could get some offers from the Big 12, Pac-12, and even Big Ten.
Then, there is the American Athletic Conference, where Houston’s Tom Herman could be the leading candidate at multiple big-time programs. Herman could stay in Houston if the Cougars were told they were going to be selected by the Big 12, but at this point in time, it is starting to look like the Big 12 will stay as they are. South Florida’s Willie Taggart and Temple’s Matt Rhule should get opportunities to talk to bigger schools.

There are three other Group of 5 coaches that could draw specialty interest if certain jobs became available. Navy’s Ken Niumatalolo, Tulane’s Willie Fritz, and Army’s Jeff Monken may not get the opportunity to interview at a big-time state school, because these three coaches are triple option coaches. There are not many schools in the Power 5 Conferences that would consider going to the archaic system of running the ball 85% of the time, but a place like Purdue, Vanderbilt, or Kansas might be willing to try it out. You cannot ask for too much more from Paul Johnson, who has guided Georgia Tech to seven bowls in eight years, including a top 10 finish and Orange Bowl win.

We will add two more men that could probably go to a Power 5 team and win, but that we feel will not get the opportunity to do so. Akron’s Terry Bowden and New Mexico’s Bob Davie once coached at big-time programs. Bowden led Auburn to multiple SEC West championships, while Davie took over for Lou Holtz at Notre Dame.

How Good is Bama

We frequently get asked by people that know us to compare a team with team’s from the past. Recently, an Alabama fan asked us how good this Tide team was compared to those from the past. He was only asking to compare to past Tide teams, but we like to go one further. How good is this Alabama team among all the teams in college football history?

The obvious answer is that the 2016 Alabama team would beat the 1962 Green Bay Packers or the 1970 Pro Bowl teams, just like today’s Cleveland Cavaliers would run the Boston Celtics of the Red Auerbach era out of the gym, and many high school sprinters of today could win the Gold Medal in the 1896 Olympics.

However, we could say it another way. LeBron James might only have grown to 6 foot 4 had he lived 50 years ago. Compared to Elgin Baylor or Connie Hawkins, he might have been a bench-warmer back then. Had Jesse Owens been born in 1994, he might make Usain Bolt look slow. You have to compare talent to its historical time frame.

So, with the above caveat, where does Alabama currently rank among all-time teams? We can use our PiRate formula to determine how they rank among teams since about 1970. The formula has been tweaked through the years, but we have kept records to know how to compare a rating from 1979 with a rating from today. To be considered great, a team in our PiRate and Bias ratings needs to top 135.0, and in the Mean rating, 130.0. Alabama tops 135 in the PiRate and Bias, but they are a tad under 130 in the Mean. 135 means that a team is 5 touchdowns better than the average team.

Very few teams have finished the season five touchdowns better than the average team. Since 1970, that group is limited to:

1971–Nebraska
1972–Southern Cal
1974–Oklahoma
1995–Nebraska
2001–Miami
2004–Southern Cal
2005–Texas

The 1995 Nebraska team remains the top ever in our PiRate Ratings’ history. USC in 1972 and Nebraska in 1971 are close behind in a tie for second (The 1971 Oklahoma team almost made this list).

There are no doubt other teams prior to our ratings that are as good or even better than the teams we have listed. Army in 1944 and 1945 was much like an all-star team. Notre Dame between 1946 and 1949 stocked the NFL with more than 30 players. Oklahoma once won 47 games in a row in the middle 1950’s and went 107-8-2 over an 11-year span.

If the season ended today, this Alabama team would rank 6th all-time in our PiRate Ratings, behind 1995 Nebraska, 1972 USC, 1971 Nebraska, 2001 Miami, and 2004 USC. Check below to see how we rate the Tide against unbeaten Texas A&M this week.

PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Alabama 135.6 128.6 135.5 133.2
2 Michigan 129.3 126.8 129.8 128.6
3 Washington 128.5 121.1 128.6 126.1
4 Ohio St. 125.6 124.9 126.5 125.7
5 Louisville 126.5 121.3 126.4 124.7
6 Clemson 126.3 119.0 125.3 123.5
7 LSU 123.8 119.1 123.2 122.0
8 Oklahoma 120.2 118.3 120.1 119.5
9 Auburn 118.5 116.6 118.7 117.9
10 Tennessee 118.7 115.6 118.1 117.5
11 Virginia Tech 117.2 116.4 117.5 117.0
12 Texas A&M 117.3 115.5 117.1 116.6
13 Miami 118.8 112.2 118.5 116.5
14 Florida St. 118.7 112.3 117.7 116.2
15 Colorado 116.5 112.3 116.8 115.2
16 Wisconsin 115.3 113.4 116.0 114.9
17 USC 116.9 112.4 114.6 114.6
18 North Carolina 116.6 110.1 116.4 114.4
19 Oklahoma St. 114.1 115.1 113.9 114.4
20 Houston 114.3 112.6 116.1 114.3
21 Baylor 113.8 114.1 114.4 114.1
22 Ole Miss 116.2 110.4 115.3 114.0
23 Florida 113.7 116.0 112.0 113.9
24 Pittsburgh 114.9 111.2 114.1 113.4
25 Western Michigan 113.1 111.7 115.0 113.3
26 Washington St. 113.2 110.1 113.3 112.2
27 Nebraska 113.0 109.9 113.0 112.0
28 Stanford 114.2 107.8 113.1 111.7
29 Iowa 112.2 109.5 112.1 111.3
30 Texas 110.9 112.1 110.2 111.1
31 UCLA 111.6 110.2 111.1 111.0
32 West Virginia 111.4 110.1 110.9 110.8
33 South Florida 111.3 109.0 112.0 110.8
34 Arkansas 112.8 107.9 110.7 110.5
35 Notre Dame 112.0 108.4 110.3 110.2
36 TCU 109.6 111.1 109.1 109.9
37 North Carolina St. 110.2 107.2 110.0 109.1
38 Boise St. 108.1 109.3 109.4 108.9
39 Georgia Tech 109.5 105.3 108.6 107.8
40 Mississippi St. 108.8 106.7 107.8 107.8
41 Georgia 108.2 107.4 107.5 107.7
42 Utah 110.1 104.7 108.0 107.6
43 Penn St. 107.1 109.1 105.9 107.4
44 BYU 109.3 103.6 108.8 107.2
45 Northwestern 109.2 104.5 107.9 107.2
46 Kansas St. 106.4 108.9 106.2 107.2
47 Minnesota 105.7 104.5 105.2 105.1
48 Arizona St. 105.8 104.9 104.6 105.1
49 Oregon 105.9 104.3 104.9 105.0
50 Michigan St. 105.4 104.4 103.3 104.4
51 Memphis 105.8 102.4 104.6 104.3
52 Indiana 103.0 105.6 102.7 103.8
53 Toledo 103.4 102.8 104.0 103.4
54 Wake Forest 104.1 101.7 103.8 103.2
55 Texas Tech 103.4 102.7 101.4 102.5
56 Virginia 103.0 100.8 102.4 102.1
57 California 105.1 97.8 102.8 101.9
58 Maryland 101.4 104.3 99.5 101.7
59 Syracuse 103.1 99.8 101.5 101.5
60 San Diego St. 101.2 99.9 103.3 101.5
61 Missouri 101.6 100.9 101.1 101.2
62 Duke 101.1 101.3 100.2 100.9
63 Navy 100.9 100.8 100.6 100.8
64 Temple 100.7 100.6 100.7 100.7
65 Vanderbilt 101.6 98.4 100.3 100.1
66 Tulsa 99.1 101.3 99.9 100.1
67 Arizona 100.9 98.8 99.4 99.7
68 South Carolina 99.5 99.0 98.9 99.2
69 Appalachian St. 98.4 98.6 100.3 99.1
70 Boston College 99.2 98.6 98.9 98.9
71 Western Kentucky 99.1 96.2 99.9 98.4
72 Central Michigan 97.6 99.3 98.3 98.4
73 Air Force 97.7 98.9 97.9 98.2
74 Kentucky 97.8 99.4 96.9 98.0
75 Iowa St. 98.3 97.8 97.6 97.9
76 Cincinnati 97.7 98.0 97.8 97.9
77 Army 93.3 101.7 96.3 97.1
78 Connecticut 97.6 95.4 97.5 96.9
79 Illinois 97.4 93.9 96.6 96.0
80 Troy 92.8 97.4 94.8 95.0
81 Middle Tennessee 94.5 95.5 95.1 95.0
82 Central Florida 94.0 96.3 94.4 94.9
83 Louisiana Tech 93.9 95.3 95.4 94.9
84 Utah St. 93.2 95.7 92.9 93.9
85 Oregon St. 95.6 91.1 93.9 93.5
86 Northern Illinois 92.7 94.0 93.8 93.5
87 New Mexico 92.2 94.6 92.9 93.3
88 Purdue 94.2 92.3 92.9 93.1
89 East Carolina 91.9 93.9 92.1 92.6
90 Georgia Southern 91.6 91.5 93.8 92.3
91 Ohio 89.4 96.4 89.8 91.9
92 SMU 91.2 90.8 93.3 91.8
93 Southern Mississippi 91.3 91.8 91.7 91.6
94 Old Dominion 89.0 92.5 89.6 90.4
95 UNLV 88.5 91.8 88.8 89.7
96 Arkansas St. 87.9 89.9 89.6 89.1
97 Wyoming 88.9 88.9 89.5 89.1
98 Akron 86.6 92.6 88.1 89.1
99 Rutgers 90.2 88.0 88.6 89.0
100 Colorado St. 87.3 89.1 88.2 88.2
101 Ball St. 86.5 88.5 87.7 87.6
102 Marshall 85.8 88.9 87.0 87.2
103 Nevada 85.7 88.4 86.5 86.9
104 Tulane 85.3 89.4 85.9 86.9
105 South Alabama 83.5 90.4 84.8 86.2
106 Kent St. 85.3 87.0 85.9 86.1
107 Eastern Michigan 85.1 87.6 85.3 86.0
108 UTSA 82.6 89.6 85.3 85.9
109 Kansas 83.7 89.5 81.0 84.8
110 Georgia St. 82.5 87.0 84.4 84.6
111 Bowling Green 84.3 84.4 84.2 84.3
112 Miami (O) 83.4 84.7 84.8 84.3
113 San Jose St. 84.3 83.9 83.5 83.9
114 Hawaii 84.0 82.8 83.6 83.5
115 Rice 80.7 87.5 80.9 83.0
116 Fresno St. 80.4 84.3 80.2 81.6
117 Idaho 79.0 84.6 80.5 81.4
118 Florida International 79.3 84.5 79.4 81.1
119 Massachusetts 78.3 85.0 79.4 80.9
120 North Texas 79.1 81.7 79.7 80.2
121 Florida Atlantic 76.8 81.7 80.0 79.5
122 UL-Lafayette 76.0 82.8 77.6 78.8
123 Buffalo 74.8 82.0 75.4 77.4
124 Charlotte 71.1 76.7 71.5 73.1
125 UTEP 70.5 75.1 71.5 72.4
126 New Mexico St. 70.7 74.1 71.4 72.1
127 UL-Monroe 69.8 74.6 70.3 71.6
128 Texas St. 69.1 70.6 70.1 69.9

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
South Florida 111.3 109.0 112.0 110.8
Temple 100.7 100.6 100.7 100.7
Cincinnati 97.7 98.0 97.8 97.9
Connecticut 97.6 95.4 97.5 96.9
Central Florida 94.0 96.3 94.4 94.9
East Carolina 91.9 93.9 92.1 92.6
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Houston 114.3 112.6 116.1 114.3
Memphis 105.8 102.4 104.6 104.3
Navy 100.9 100.8 100.6 100.8
Tulsa 99.1 101.3 99.9 100.1
SMU 91.2 90.8 93.3 91.8
Tulane 85.3 89.4 85.9 86.9
         
AAC Averages 99.2 99.3 99.6 99.3
         
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Louisville 126.5 121.3 126.4 124.7
Clemson 126.3 119.0 125.3 123.5
Florida St. 118.7 112.3 117.7 116.2
North Carolina St. 110.2 107.2 110.0 109.1
Wake Forest 104.1 101.7 103.8 103.2
Syracuse 103.1 99.8 101.5 101.5
Boston College 99.2 98.6 98.9 98.9
         
Coastal Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Virginia Tech 117.2 116.4 117.5 117.0
Miami 118.8 112.2 118.5 116.5
North Carolina 116.6 110.1 116.4 114.4
Pittsburgh 114.9 111.2 114.1 113.4
Georgia Tech 109.5 105.3 108.6 107.8
Virginia 103.0 100.8 102.4 102.1
Duke 101.1 101.3 100.2 100.9
         
ACC Averages 112.1 108.4 111.5 110.7
         
Big 12 Conference
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Oklahoma 120.2 118.3 120.1 119.5
Oklahoma St. 114.1 115.1 113.9 114.4
Baylor 113.8 114.1 114.4 114.1
Texas 110.9 112.1 110.2 111.1
West Virginia 111.4 110.1 110.9 110.8
TCU 109.6 111.1 109.1 109.9
Kansas St. 106.4 108.9 106.2 107.2
Texas Tech 103.4 102.7 101.4 102.5
Iowa St. 98.3 97.8 97.6 97.9
Kansas 83.7 89.5 81.0 84.8
         
Big 12 Averages 107.2 108.0 106.5 107.2
         
Big Ten Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Michigan 129.3 126.8 129.8 128.6
Ohio St. 125.6 124.9 126.5 125.7
Penn St. 107.1 109.1 105.9 107.4
Michigan St. 105.4 104.4 103.3 104.4
Indiana 103.0 105.6 102.7 103.8
Maryland 101.4 104.3 99.5 101.7
Rutgers 90.2 88.0 88.6 89.0
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Wisconsin 115.3 113.4 116.0 114.9
Nebraska 113.0 109.9 113.0 112.0
Iowa 112.2 109.5 112.1 111.3
Northwestern 109.2 104.5 107.9 107.2
Minnesota 105.7 104.5 105.2 105.1
Illinois 97.4 93.9 96.6 96.0
Purdue 94.2 92.3 92.9 93.1
         
Big Ten Averages 107.8 106.5 107.1 107.2
         
Conference USA
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Kentucky 99.1 96.2 99.9 98.4
Middle Tennessee 94.5 95.5 95.1 95.0
Old Dominion 89.0 92.5 89.6 90.4
Marshall 85.8 88.9 87.0 87.2
Florida International 79.3 84.5 79.4 81.1
Florida Atlantic 76.8 81.7 80.0 79.5
Charlotte 71.1 76.7 71.5 73.1
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Louisiana Tech 93.9 95.3 95.4 94.9
Southern Mississippi 91.3 91.8 91.7 91.6
UTSA 82.6 89.6 85.3 85.9
Rice 80.7 87.5 80.9 83.0
North Texas 79.1 81.7 79.7 80.2
UTEP 70.5 75.1 71.5 72.4
         
CUSA Averages 84.1 87.5 85.2 85.6
         
FBS Independents
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Notre Dame 112.0 108.4 110.3 110.2
BYU 109.3 103.6 108.8 107.2
Army 93.3 101.7 96.3 97.1
Massachusetts 78.3 85.0 79.4 80.9
         
Indep. Averages 98.2 99.7 98.7 98.9
         
Mid-American Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ohio 89.4 96.4 89.8 91.9
Akron 86.6 92.6 88.1 89.1
Kent St. 85.3 87.0 85.9 86.1
Bowling Green 84.3 84.4 84.2 84.3
Miami (O) 83.4 84.7 84.8 84.3
Buffalo 74.8 82.0 75.4 77.4
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Michigan 113.1 111.7 115.0 113.3
Toledo 103.4 102.8 104.0 103.4
Central Michigan 97.6 99.3 98.3 98.4
Northern Illinois 92.7 94.0 93.8 93.5
Ball St. 86.5 88.5 87.7 87.6
Eastern Michigan 85.1 87.6 85.3 86.0
         
MAC Averages 90.2 92.6 91.0 91.3
         
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Boise St. 108.1 109.3 109.4 108.9
Air Force 97.7 98.9 97.9 98.2
Utah St. 93.2 95.7 92.9 93.9
New Mexico 92.2 94.6 92.9 93.3
Wyoming 88.9 88.9 89.5 89.1
Colorado St. 87.3 89.1 88.2 88.2
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
San Diego St. 101.2 99.9 103.3 101.5
UNLV 88.5 91.8 88.8 89.7
Nevada 85.7 88.4 86.5 86.9
San Jose St. 84.3 83.9 83.5 83.9
Hawaii 84.0 82.8 83.6 83.5
Fresno St. 80.4 84.3 80.2 81.6
         
MWC Averages 91.0 92.3 91.4 91.6
         
Pac-12 Conference
North Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Washington 128.5 121.1 128.6 126.1
Washington St. 113.2 110.1 113.3 112.2
Stanford 114.2 107.8 113.1 111.7
Oregon 105.9 104.3 104.9 105.0
California 105.1 97.8 102.8 101.9
Oregon St. 95.6 91.1 93.9 93.5
         
South Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Colorado 116.5 112.3 116.8 115.2
USC 116.9 112.4 114.6 114.6
UCLA 111.6 110.2 111.1 111.0
Utah 110.1 104.7 108.0 107.6
Arizona St. 105.8 104.9 104.6 105.1
Arizona 100.9 98.8 99.4 99.7
         
Pac-12 Averages 110.4 106.3 109.3 108.6
         
Southeastern Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Tennessee 118.7 115.6 118.1 117.5
Florida 113.7 116.0 112.0 113.9
Georgia 108.2 107.4 107.5 107.7
Missouri 101.6 100.9 101.1 101.2
Vanderbilt 101.6 98.4 100.3 100.1
South Carolina 99.5 99.0 98.9 99.2
Kentucky 97.8 99.4 96.9 98.0
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Alabama 135.6 128.6 135.5 133.2
LSU 123.8 119.1 123.2 122.0
Auburn 118.5 116.6 118.7 117.9
Texas A&M 117.3 115.5 117.1 116.6
Ole Miss 116.2 110.4 115.3 114.0
Arkansas 112.8 107.9 110.7 110.5
Mississippi St. 108.8 106.7 107.8 107.8
         
SEC Averages 112.4 110.1 111.7 111.4
         
Sunbelt Conference
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Appalachian St. 98.4 98.6 100.3 99.1
Troy 92.8 97.4 94.8 95.0
Georgia Southern 91.6 91.5 93.8 92.3
Arkansas St. 87.9 89.9 89.6 89.1
South Alabama 83.5 90.4 84.8 86.2
Georgia St. 82.5 87.0 84.4 84.6
Idaho 79.0 84.6 80.5 81.4
UL-Lafayette 76.0 82.8 77.6 78.8
New Mexico St. 70.7 74.1 71.4 72.1
UL-Monroe 69.8 74.6 70.3 71.6
Texas St. 69.1 70.6 70.1 69.9
         
Sun Belt Averages 81.9 85.6 83.4 83.7

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 SEC 112.4 110.1 111.7 111.4
2 ACC 112.1 108.4 111.5 110.7
3 Pac-12 110.4 106.3 109.3 108.6
4 Big 12 107.2 108.0 106.5 107.2
5 Big Ten 107.8 106.5 107.1 107.2
6 AAC 99.2 99.3 99.6 99.3
7 Independents 98.2 99.7 98.7 98.9
8 MWC 91.0 92.3 91.4 91.6
9 MAC 90.2 92.6 91.0 91.3
10 CUSA 84.1 87.5 85.2 85.6
11 Sun Belt 81.9 85.6 83.4 83.7

 

This Week’s Spreads

This Week’s Games–October 20-22
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Thursday, October 20      
Virginia Tech Miami (Fla.) 1.4 7.2 2.0
South Alabama Troy -7.3 -5.0 -8.0
Boise St. BYU 1.8 8.7 3.6
         
Friday, October 21      
Temple South Florida -7.6 -5.4 -8.3
San Diego St. San Jose St. 19.9 19.0 22.8
California Oregon 2.2 -3.5 0.9
         
Saturday, October 22      
Army North Texas 17.2 23.0 19.6
South Carolina Massachusetts 24.2 17.0 22.5
Connecticut Central Florida 6.6 2.1 6.1
Toledo Central Michigan 8.8 6.5 8.7
Bowling Green Miami (O) 2.9 1.7 1.4
Northwestern Indiana 8.7 1.4 7.7
Iowa Wisconsin -0.1 -0.9 -0.9
Louisville North Carolina St. 19.3 17.1 19.4
Kansas Oklahoma St. -27.4 -22.6 -29.9
Kansas St. Texas -1.5 -0.2 -1.0
Minnesota Rutgers 18.5 19.5 19.6
Boston College Syracuse -0.9 1.8 0.4
Kent St. Ohio U -2.1 -7.4 -1.9
Air Force Hawaii 17.2 19.6 17.8
Ball St. Akron 2.9 -1.1 2.6
Stanford Colorado 0.7 -1.5 -0.7
Virginia North Carolina -10.6 -6.3 -11.0
Navy Memphis -1.9 1.4 -1.0
Michigan Illinois 34.9 35.9 36.2
Nebraska Purdue 21.8 20.6 23.1
West Virginia TCU 4.8 2.0 4.8
Appalachian St. Idaho 22.9 17.5 23.3
Northern Illinois Buffalo 20.9 15.0 21.4
Alabama Texas A&M 21.3 16.1 21.4
Western Michigan Eastern Michigan 30.0 26.1 32.7
Tulsa Tulane 16.8 14.9 17.0
UCLA Utah 4.5 8.5 6.1
Missouri Middle Tennessee 10.1 8.4 9.0
UNLV Colorado St. 4.2 5.7 3.6
Marshall Charlotte 17.7 13.4 18.5
Auburn Arkansas 8.7 11.7 11.0
Washington Oregon St. 35.9 33.0 37.7
Florida Int’l. Louisiana Tech -11.6 -7.4 -13.0
Western Kentucky Old Dominion 13.1 6.7 13.3
UTSA UTEP 14.6 17.0 16.3
Cincinnati East Carolina 8.8 7.1 8.7
SMU Houston -20.9 -19.3 -20.3
Texas St. UL-Lafayette -4.4 -9.7 -5.0
Maryland Michigan St. -1.0 2.9 -0.8
Kentucky Mississippi St. -8.0 -4.3 -7.9
New Mexico St. Georgia Southern -17.9 -14.4 -19.4
Penn St. Ohio St. -15.5 -12.8 -17.6
Texas Tech Oklahoma -13.8 -12.6 -15.7
LSU Ole Miss 9.1 11.2 10.4
New Mexico UL-Monroe 25.4 23.0 25.6
Arizona St. Washington St. -4.4 -2.2 -5.7
Utah St. Fresno St. 15.8 14.4 15.7
Nevada Wyoming -0.2 2.5 -0.1

 

FBS vs. FCS Week 8  
Home Visitor PiRate
Georgia St. UT-Martin 15
Rice Prairie View 14
Vanderbilt Tennessee St. 25

Bowl Projections

This week, we project 78 teams to be bowl eligible, necessitating two 7-loss teams falling into bowl games.  A 6-7 Hawaii team trumps all other 7-loss teams.

Bowl Conferences Team vs. Team
New Mexico MWC CUSA New Mexico vs. Sou. Miss.
Las Vegas Pac-12 MWC Utah vs. Boise St.
Cure AAC SBC South Florida vs. Ga. Southern
Camellia MAC SBC Akron vs. S. Alabama
New Orleans CUSA SBC Old Dominion vs. Troy
Miami Beach AAC MAC Tulsa vs. Central Mich.
Boca Raton AAC CUSA Houston vs. Western Ky.
Poinsettia MWC BYU Air Force vs. BYU
Idaho Potato MAC MWC Eastern Mich. vs. Wyoming
Bahamas AAC/CUSA MAC/CUSA Memphis vs. Toledo
Armed Forces Navy Big 12 Navy vs. [Idaho]
Dollar General MAC SBC Ohio U vs. Appy St.
Hawaii CUSA MWC Middle Tenn. vs. {Hawaii}
St. Petersburg AAC ACC/ND Temple vs. Miami (Fla.)
Quick Lane ACC/ND Big Ten Georgia Tech vs. Indiana
Independence SEC ACC/ND {Boston Coll.} vs. [Florida Int’l.]
Heart of Dallas Big Ten CUSA Maryland vs. North Texas
Military ACC/ND AAC N. Carolina St. vs. Central Fla.
Holiday Big Ten Pac-12 Penn St. vs. Arizona St.
Cactus Big 12 Pac-12 [UNLV] vs. California
Pinstripe ACC/ND Big Ten Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota
Russell Athletic ACC/ND Big 12 Florida St. vs. TCU
Foster Farms Big Ten Pac-12 Iowa vs. Wash. St.
Texas Big 12 SEC Kansas St. vs. Ole Miss
Birmingham AAC SEC [Arkansas St.] vs. [Ball St.]
Belk ACC/ND SEC Wake Forest vs. Georgia
Alamo Big 12 Pac-12 Oklahoma vs. USC
Liberty Big 12 SEC Oklahoma St. vs. LSU
Sun ACC/ND Pac-12 N. Carolina vs. Stanford
Arizona CUSA/SBC MWC/SBC La. Tech vs. San Diego St.
Music City ACC/ND/B10 SEC Northwestern vs. [Army]
Orange ACC/ND B10/SEC Clemson vs. Tennessee
Citrus ACC/ND/B10 SEC Wisconsin vs. Arkansas
TaxSlayer ACC/ND/B10 SEC Virginia Tech vs. Auburn
Peach Semifinal Semifinal Ohio St. vs. Washington
Fiesta Semifinal Semifinal Alabama vs. West Virginia
Outback Big Ten SEC Nebraska vs. Florida
Cotton At-Large At-Large Louisville vs. Western Mich.
Rose Big Ten Pac-12 Michigan vs. Colorado
Sugar Big 12 SEC Baylor vs. Texas A&M
Nat’l Champ. Semifinal Winners Alabama vs. Ohio St.
           
[Team] At-Large Selection
{Team} At-Large Selection of projected 7-Loss Team

 

 

 

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