Less Smiles in Baton Rouge
On Sunday, LSU fired Coach Les Miles after Miles’ team lost at Auburn Saturday night in a game that could have gone LSU’s way had the officials decided that the final play was run in time. The clock ran out on a play in which it was plain to see that the head referee never signaled to start the clock.
Of course, Miles did not lose his job on this one play. We believe he lost his job because LSU has not been able to secure a star quarterback since Zach Mettenberger left. Miles actually had two commitments from potential stars and then lost them at the eleventh hour. Braxton Miller was set to come to LSU, and that would have made the Tigers much stronger. Gunner Kiel committed to LSU before de-committing and committing to Notre Dame, before de-committing and committing to Cincinnati, before quitting, before returning as the third string QB for the Bearcats.
Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron was let go as well, and former Ole Miss head coach and USC interim Ed Orgeron takes over as the interim in Baton Rouge. We believe Orgeron has about a 0.3% chance (1 in about 333) of getting the gig full-time. LSU would have to run the table from here, win the SEC Championship Game, and then win convincingly in the Sugar Bowl for that to happen.
So, who replaces Miles at LSU. Immediately, the name of Art Briles came up in some circles. Some say that Briles was merely a scapegoat, and that he will land somewhere in 2017. There will be numerous openings at schools where winning is all that matters. We don’t believe Briles will end up in Baton Rouge.
Two names that we feel could be more serious candidates are Florida State’s Jimbo Fisher and Houston’s Tom Herman. Prior to becoming the coach in waiting and then the head coach at Florida State, Fisher was the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at LSU during a time when the Bengal Tigers produced JaMarcus Russell and won a national championship in 2003.
Herman was Urban Meyer’s offensive guru at Ohio State prior to taking the Houston job. With the Cougars undefeated and facing a probable run into the top four before playing Louisville in November, if UH runs the table and makes the NCAA Playoffs, there is no way he could leave for another job at that point, and LSU’s recruiting effort for 2017 would be shot by then.
There are a few other options. Bobby Petrino at Louisville and Todd Graham at Arizona State have proven to be as nomadic as Larry Brown on the basketball court. A few extra pesos thrown their way can get them to jump. Then there is the potential NFL route. USC took Pete Carroll and reaped many rewards. What if Sean Payton was available before the season ended? Or, how about Bruce Arians?
A Lot of Haves
It’s still early in the season, but there are an inordinate amount of teams still undefeated four weeks into the season. By December, the number will whittle down to two or three at most, but until then, there are some interesting match ups on the schedule ahead.
It starts this week, when Stanford and Washington square off in Seattle Friday night. The game will air on ESPN at 9PM Eastern Time for those that want to watch the unofficial crowning of the Pac-12 North champion. It continues Saturday, when Michigan host Wisconsin at 3:30 PM Eastern Time on ABC. Then, in prime-time, Louisville ventured to Deaf Valley to face Clemson at 8 PM Eastern on ABC.
In the coming weeks, there are potential unbeaten contests between Tennessee and Texas A&M, Tennessee or Texas A&M against Alabama, Ohio State and Wisconsin, Ohio State and Nebraska, Nebraska and Wisconsin, Washington and Utah, Washington and Arizona State, Utah and Arizona State, Louisville and Houston, and Boise State and San Diego State in the MWC Championship Game. Oh, and then there is the possibility that Ohio State and Michigan could square off in the Giant Horseshoe on November 26 with “everything” on the line. The two rivals have been in this boat before. Both teams were undefeated heading into this game in 1970, 1973, and 2006.
Bowl Projections Begin Today
We usually wait until after the first week in October to post our initial bowl projections, but we went ahead and scooted that up a week this year. The reason why we did it is that we feel there are already fewer than 80 teams on pace to win six games. With teams like USC, Oregon, California LSU, Texas Tech, Connecticut, Duke, and others looking at potential 5-7 seasons, it isn’t going to be easy finding some good bowl games. Then, there are possibilities where a top 20 team could be squaring off against a 6-6 or 5-7 team in a bowl. Although we do not favor 5-7 or even 6-6 teams getting post-season rewards, we will remind you that three 5-7 teams played in bowls last season, and all three won. See our projections at the end of this feature.
This Week’s PiRate Ratings
PiRate Ratings | |||||
# | Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
1 | Alabama | 131.2 | 124.1 | 131.0 | 128.8 |
2 | Louisville | 127.9 | 122.3 | 128.1 | 126.1 |
3 | Michigan | 124.7 | 122.2 | 125.2 | 124.0 |
4 | Ohio St. | 123.2 | 122.5 | 124.7 | 123.5 |
5 | Clemson | 124.0 | 115.9 | 122.9 | 120.9 |
6 | Tennessee | 121.9 | 118.0 | 121.8 | 120.6 |
7 | LSU | 122.4 | 117.0 | 121.4 | 120.3 |
8 | Oklahoma | 120.1 | 117.4 | 120.0 | 119.2 |
9 | Stanford | 121.7 | 114.7 | 120.6 | 119.0 |
10 | Houston | 117.8 | 115.8 | 120.2 | 117.9 |
11 | Miami | 120.3 | 113.0 | 120.2 | 117.8 |
12 | Florida St. | 119.6 | 112.7 | 118.8 | 117.0 |
13 | Washington | 119.4 | 111.9 | 119.3 | 116.9 |
14 | Virginia Tech | 116.4 | 116.0 | 116.9 | 116.4 |
15 | Texas A&M | 116.5 | 115.0 | 116.4 | 116.0 |
16 | Auburn | 115.5 | 113.7 | 115.4 | 114.9 |
17 | North Carolina | 117.0 | 110.5 | 116.6 | 114.7 |
18 | Pittsburgh | 116.1 | 111.4 | 115.3 | 114.3 |
19 | Ole Miss | 116.4 | 110.1 | 115.9 | 114.1 |
20 | Oklahoma St. | 113.7 | 114.7 | 113.6 | 114.0 |
21 | Wisconsin | 114.2 | 112.2 | 114.7 | 113.7 |
22 | TCU | 113.3 | 114.6 | 113.1 | 113.7 |
23 | Florida | 112.8 | 115.7 | 111.1 | 113.2 |
24 | Iowa | 114.3 | 111.3 | 113.8 | 113.1 |
25 | Baylor | 112.3 | 112.4 | 113.3 | 112.7 |
26 | Texas | 112.2 | 113.7 | 111.3 | 112.4 |
27 | Nebraska | 113.0 | 109.4 | 113.2 | 111.9 |
28 | USC | 113.5 | 108.9 | 110.8 | 111.1 |
29 | UCLA | 111.4 | 110.2 | 111.0 | 110.9 |
30 | Notre Dame | 112.5 | 109.2 | 110.9 | 110.9 |
31 | Mississippi St. | 111.8 | 109.6 | 110.9 | 110.8 |
32 | Oregon | 111.3 | 109.8 | 110.5 | 110.5 |
33 | Colorado | 111.6 | 107.3 | 112.1 | 110.4 |
34 | Arkansas | 112.3 | 107.9 | 109.7 | 110.0 |
35 | Michigan St. | 110.9 | 109.8 | 109.2 | 110.0 |
36 | Boise St. | 108.8 | 109.6 | 110.6 | 109.7 |
37 | South Florida | 109.9 | 106.9 | 110.8 | 109.2 |
38 | Utah | 111.3 | 105.8 | 109.2 | 108.8 |
39 | Kansas St. | 107.2 | 110.2 | 107.1 | 108.2 |
40 | Georgia Tech | 109.7 | 105.7 | 108.7 | 108.0 |
41 | Georgia | 108.2 | 108.1 | 107.4 | 107.9 |
42 | Arizona St. | 108.2 | 108.1 | 107.0 | 107.8 |
43 | BYU | 109.9 | 103.8 | 109.5 | 107.7 |
44 | Western Michigan | 107.1 | 105.3 | 108.9 | 107.1 |
45 | West Virginia | 107.6 | 106.4 | 107.0 | 107.0 |
46 | Washington St. | 107.7 | 104.9 | 107.6 | 106.8 |
47 | North Carolina St. | 107.0 | 104.8 | 106.4 | 106.1 |
48 | San Diego St. | 106.0 | 103.1 | 108.4 | 105.9 |
49 | Memphis | 107.2 | 103.1 | 105.5 | 105.3 |
50 | Penn St. | 104.9 | 107.1 | 103.7 | 105.2 |
51 | Arizona | 105.6 | 103.0 | 104.6 | 104.4 |
52 | Toledo | 104.4 | 103.0 | 105.4 | 104.3 |
53 | Texas Tech | 105.6 | 103.4 | 103.5 | 104.2 |
54 | Missouri | 104.4 | 103.6 | 104.2 | 104.1 |
55 | Northwestern | 105.7 | 100.7 | 104.0 | 103.5 |
56 | Minnesota | 103.9 | 102.3 | 103.6 | 103.3 |
57 | Central Michigan | 101.6 | 103.7 | 102.6 | 102.6 |
58 | Indiana | 101.2 | 105.1 | 100.5 | 102.3 |
59 | Wake Forest | 102.9 | 101.2 | 102.3 | 102.2 |
60 | Maryland | 101.6 | 105.2 | 99.4 | 102.1 |
61 | Air Force | 101.1 | 101.7 | 101.6 | 101.5 |
62 | California | 104.8 | 97.1 | 102.5 | 101.5 |
63 | Cincinnati | 100.8 | 101.5 | 101.1 | 101.2 |
64 | Vanderbilt | 102.6 | 98.4 | 101.2 | 100.8 |
65 | Duke | 100.9 | 101.3 | 99.5 | 100.6 |
66 | Virginia | 101.5 | 99.1 | 101.0 | 100.5 |
67 | Boston College | 100.7 | 99.7 | 100.2 | 100.2 |
68 | Syracuse | 101.9 | 98.2 | 100.3 | 100.2 |
69 | Tulsa | 98.7 | 101.0 | 99.4 | 99.7 |
70 | Western Kentucky | 100.7 | 96.3 | 101.8 | 99.6 |
71 | South Carolina | 99.9 | 99.2 | 99.2 | 99.5 |
72 | Temple | 99.1 | 99.6 | 99.3 | 99.4 |
73 | Navy | 99.0 | 98.9 | 98.5 | 98.8 |
74 | Appalachian St. | 97.7 | 96.8 | 99.7 | 98.1 |
75 | Rutgers | 98.3 | 95.7 | 96.9 | 97.0 |
76 | Iowa St. | 97.4 | 97.0 | 96.2 | 96.9 |
77 | Purdue | 97.7 | 95.7 | 96.9 | 96.8 |
78 | Army | 92.6 | 101.0 | 95.6 | 96.4 |
79 | Illinois | 97.7 | 94.4 | 96.7 | 96.3 |
80 | Kentucky | 95.9 | 98.2 | 94.8 | 96.3 |
81 | Connecticut | 97.0 | 94.7 | 96.6 | 96.1 |
82 | Oregon St. | 97.6 | 93.4 | 95.5 | 95.5 |
83 | Southern Mississippi | 94.4 | 94.4 | 95.5 | 94.8 |
84 | Utah St. | 93.7 | 96.3 | 93.3 | 94.4 |
85 | Ohio | 91.2 | 99.8 | 92.2 | 94.4 |
86 | Middle Tennessee | 93.8 | 95.1 | 94.3 | 94.4 |
87 | East Carolina | 93.5 | 95.6 | 93.7 | 94.3 |
88 | Troy | 91.4 | 96.2 | 93.3 | 93.7 |
89 | New Mexico | 92.3 | 95.3 | 93.1 | 93.6 |
90 | Nevada | 91.5 | 94.6 | 92.5 | 92.9 |
91 | Northern Illinois | 91.7 | 92.9 | 92.4 | 92.3 |
92 | Central Florida | 91.2 | 93.8 | 91.3 | 92.1 |
93 | Georgia Southern | 91.3 | 91.1 | 93.6 | 92.0 |
94 | SMU | 91.2 | 90.7 | 93.5 | 91.8 |
95 | Louisiana Tech | 90.0 | 92.2 | 91.1 | 91.1 |
96 | Marshall | 89.0 | 92.8 | 90.8 | 90.9 |
97 | UNLV | 87.7 | 92.3 | 87.7 | 89.2 |
98 | Akron | 86.7 | 92.7 | 88.2 | 89.2 |
99 | Arkansas St. | 87.5 | 89.5 | 89.0 | 88.7 |
100 | Colorado St. | 87.2 | 89.5 | 87.7 | 88.1 |
101 | San Jose St. | 87.4 | 87.5 | 87.6 | 87.5 |
102 | Old Dominion | 86.0 | 89.3 | 86.2 | 87.2 |
103 | Ball St. | 86.1 | 88.2 | 87.1 | 87.1 |
104 | Kansas | 85.0 | 92.5 | 82.3 | 86.6 |
105 | Tulane | 84.3 | 88.1 | 84.6 | 85.7 |
106 | Miami (O) | 84.7 | 85.4 | 86.2 | 85.4 |
107 | Bowling Green | 85.7 | 84.5 | 85.1 | 85.1 |
108 | Kent St. | 84.0 | 85.3 | 84.2 | 84.5 |
109 | Massachusetts | 81.1 | 88.6 | 82.8 | 84.2 |
110 | Georgia St. | 81.6 | 86.7 | 83.3 | 83.9 |
111 | Wyoming | 83.3 | 83.6 | 83.5 | 83.5 |
112 | Florida Atlantic | 81.5 | 84.8 | 83.0 | 83.1 |
113 | Rice | 80.7 | 88.0 | 80.5 | 83.1 |
114 | South Alabama | 79.8 | 87.4 | 81.2 | 82.8 |
115 | Fresno St. | 81.5 | 85.6 | 81.1 | 82.7 |
116 | UTSA | 79.0 | 86.5 | 81.6 | 82.4 |
117 | Buffalo | 79.0 | 87.6 | 80.5 | 82.4 |
118 | Eastern Michigan | 80.5 | 85.1 | 81.4 | 82.3 |
119 | UL-Lafayette | 77.0 | 84.9 | 78.8 | 80.3 |
120 | Idaho | 77.8 | 83.4 | 79.2 | 80.1 |
121 | Florida International | 77.2 | 83.9 | 77.8 | 79.6 |
122 | Hawaii | 77.2 | 75.9 | 76.3 | 76.5 |
123 | North Texas | 75.4 | 78.3 | 75.6 | 76.5 |
124 | New Mexico St. | 72.9 | 75.7 | 73.7 | 74.1 |
125 | UTEP | 71.7 | 76.0 | 73.1 | 73.6 |
126 | Charlotte | 70.8 | 77.2 | 72.1 | 73.4 |
127 | UL-Monroe | 70.2 | 75.3 | 70.8 | 72.1 |
128 | Texas St. | 69.8 | 71.0 | 70.8 | 70.5 |
PiRate Retrodictive | |
# | Team |
1 | Alabama |
2 | Ohio St. |
3 | Clemson |
4 | Houston |
5 | Michigan |
6 | Tennessee |
7 | Stanford |
8 | Washington |
9 | Louisville |
10 | Texas A&M |
11 | Wisconsin |
12 | Baylor |
13 | Nebraska |
14 | Arkansas |
15 | Florida St. |
16 | Utah |
17 | Oklahoma |
18 | Ole Miss |
19 | Miami (Fla) |
20 | LSU |
21 | Michigan St. |
22 | Georgia |
23 | San Diego St. |
24 | Florida |
25 | Toledo |
26 | Western Michigan |
27 | North Carolina |
28 | South Florida |
29 | Boise St. |
30 | Iowa |
31 | TCU |
32 | West Virginia |
33 | Oregon |
34 | Navy |
35 | UCLA |
36 | Arizona St. |
37 | Virginia Tech |
38 | Memphis |
39 | Notre Dame |
40 | Oklahoma St. |
41 | Central Michigan |
42 | Auburn |
43 | USC |
44 | Georgia Tech |
45 | California |
46 | Minnesota |
47 | Colorado |
48 | Pittsburgh |
49 | Texas |
50 | Western Kentucky |
51 | Texas Tech |
52 | Kansas St. |
53 | Penn St. |
54 | BYU |
55 | Mississippi St. |
56 | Air Force |
57 | Washington St. |
58 | Georgia Southern |
59 | Wake Forest |
60 | Maryland |
61 | Indiana |
62 | North Carolina St. |
63 | Cincinnati |
64 | Tulsa |
65 | Missouri |
66 | Army |
67 | South Carolina |
68 | Arizona |
69 | Southern Miss. |
70 | Troy |
71 | Appalachian St. |
72 | Northwestern |
73 | East Carolina |
74 | Temple |
75 | Utah St. |
76 | Akron |
77 | Louisiana Tech |
78 | Duke |
79 | Vanderbilt |
80 | Middle Tennessee |
81 | Marshall |
82 | Boston College |
83 | Rutgers |
84 | Connecticut |
85 | Ohio |
86 | Syracuse |
87 | Nevada |
88 | Colorado St. |
89 | Ball St. |
90 | Kentucky |
91 | Illinois |
92 | SMU |
93 | Virginia |
94 | Purdue |
95 | Oregon St. |
96 | Bowling Green |
97 | Tulane |
98 | San Jose St. |
99 | Wyoming |
100 | UL-Lafayette |
101 | Idaho |
102 | Central Florida |
103 | Arkansas St. |
104 | South Alabama |
105 | Texas St. |
106 | New Mexico |
107 | Northern Illinois |
108 | Fresno St. |
109 | Iowa St. |
110 | Florida Atlantic |
111 | UNLV |
112 | Old Dominion |
113 | UTEP |
114 | Massachusetts |
115 | Georgia St. |
116 | Kansas |
117 | Rice |
118 | UTSA |
119 | Eastern Michigan |
120 | UL-Monroe |
121 | New Mexico St. |
122 | Hawaii |
123 | Kent St. |
124 | North Texas |
125 | Buffalo |
126 | Miami (O) |
127 | Florida Int’l. |
128 | Charlotte |
PiRate Rating By Conference
American Athletic Conference | ||||
East Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
South Florida | 109.9 | 106.9 | 110.8 | 109.2 |
Cincinnati | 100.8 | 101.5 | 101.1 | 101.2 |
Temple | 99.1 | 99.6 | 99.3 | 99.4 |
Connecticut | 97.0 | 94.7 | 96.6 | 96.1 |
East Carolina | 93.5 | 95.6 | 93.7 | 94.3 |
Central Florida | 91.2 | 93.8 | 91.3 | 92.1 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Houston | 117.8 | 115.8 | 120.2 | 117.9 |
Memphis | 107.2 | 103.1 | 105.5 | 105.3 |
Tulsa | 98.7 | 101.0 | 99.4 | 99.7 |
Navy | 99.0 | 98.9 | 98.5 | 98.8 |
SMU | 91.2 | 90.7 | 93.5 | 91.8 |
Tulane | 84.3 | 88.1 | 84.6 | 85.7 |
AAC Averages | 99.2 | 99.2 | 99.5 | 99.3 |
Atlantic Coast Conference | ||||
Atlantic Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Louisville | 127.9 | 122.3 | 128.1 | 126.1 |
Clemson | 124.0 | 115.9 | 122.9 | 120.9 |
Florida St. | 119.6 | 112.7 | 118.8 | 117.0 |
North Carolina St. | 107.0 | 104.8 | 106.4 | 106.1 |
Wake Forest | 102.9 | 101.2 | 102.3 | 102.2 |
Boston College | 100.7 | 99.7 | 100.2 | 100.2 |
Syracuse | 101.9 | 98.2 | 100.3 | 100.2 |
Coastal Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Miami | 120.3 | 113.0 | 120.2 | 117.8 |
Virginia Tech | 116.4 | 116.0 | 116.9 | 116.4 |
North Carolina | 117.0 | 110.5 | 116.6 | 114.7 |
Pittsburgh | 116.1 | 111.4 | 115.3 | 114.3 |
Georgia Tech | 109.7 | 105.7 | 108.7 | 108.0 |
Duke | 100.9 | 101.3 | 99.5 | 100.6 |
Virginia | 101.5 | 99.1 | 101.0 | 100.5 |
ACC Averages | 111.8 | 108.0 | 111.2 | 110.4 |
Big 12 Conference | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Oklahoma | 120.1 | 117.4 | 120.0 | 119.2 |
Oklahoma St. | 113.7 | 114.7 | 113.6 | 114.0 |
TCU | 113.3 | 114.6 | 113.1 | 113.7 |
Baylor | 112.3 | 112.4 | 113.3 | 112.7 |
Texas | 112.2 | 113.7 | 111.3 | 112.4 |
Kansas St. | 107.2 | 110.2 | 107.1 | 108.2 |
West Virginia | 107.6 | 106.4 | 107.0 | 107.0 |
Texas Tech | 105.6 | 103.4 | 103.5 | 104.2 |
Iowa St. | 97.4 | 97.0 | 96.2 | 96.9 |
Kansas | 85.0 | 92.5 | 82.3 | 86.6 |
Big 12 Averages | 107.4 | 108.3 | 106.7 | 107.5 |
Big Ten Conference | ||||
East Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Michigan | 124.7 | 122.2 | 125.2 | 124.0 |
Ohio St. | 123.2 | 122.5 | 124.7 | 123.5 |
Michigan St. | 110.9 | 109.8 | 109.2 | 110.0 |
Penn St. | 104.9 | 107.1 | 103.7 | 105.2 |
Indiana | 101.2 | 105.1 | 100.5 | 102.3 |
Maryland | 101.6 | 105.2 | 99.4 | 102.1 |
Rutgers | 98.3 | 95.7 | 96.9 | 97.0 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Wisconsin | 114.2 | 112.2 | 114.7 | 113.7 |
Iowa | 114.3 | 111.3 | 113.8 | 113.1 |
Nebraska | 113.0 | 109.4 | 113.2 | 111.9 |
Northwestern | 105.7 | 100.7 | 104.0 | 103.5 |
Minnesota | 103.9 | 102.3 | 103.6 | 103.3 |
Purdue | 97.7 | 95.7 | 96.9 | 96.8 |
Illinois | 97.7 | 94.4 | 96.7 | 96.3 |
Big Ten Averages | 108.0 | 106.7 | 107.3 | 107.3 |
Conference USA | ||||
East Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Western Kentucky | 100.7 | 96.3 | 101.8 | 99.6 |
Middle Tennessee | 93.8 | 95.1 | 94.3 | 94.4 |
Marshall | 89.0 | 92.8 | 90.8 | 90.9 |
Old Dominion | 86.0 | 89.3 | 86.2 | 87.2 |
Florida Atlantic | 81.5 | 84.8 | 83.0 | 83.1 |
Florida International | 77.2 | 83.9 | 77.8 | 79.6 |
Charlotte | 70.8 | 77.2 | 72.1 | 73.4 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Southern Mississippi | 94.4 | 94.4 | 95.5 | 94.8 |
Louisiana Tech | 90.0 | 92.2 | 91.1 | 91.1 |
Rice | 80.7 | 88.0 | 80.5 | 83.1 |
UTSA | 79.0 | 86.5 | 81.6 | 82.4 |
North Texas | 75.4 | 78.3 | 75.6 | 76.5 |
UTEP | 71.7 | 76.0 | 73.1 | 73.6 |
CUSA Averages | 83.9 | 87.3 | 84.9 | 85.4 |
FBS Independents | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Notre Dame | 112.5 | 109.2 | 110.9 | 110.9 |
BYU | 109.9 | 103.8 | 109.5 | 107.7 |
Army | 92.6 | 101.0 | 95.6 | 96.4 |
Massachusetts | 81.1 | 88.6 | 82.8 | 84.2 |
Independents Averages | 99.0 | 100.7 | 99.7 | 99.8 |
Mid-American Conference | ||||
East Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Ohio | 91.2 | 99.8 | 92.2 | 94.4 |
Akron | 86.7 | 92.7 | 88.2 | 89.2 |
Miami (O) | 84.7 | 85.4 | 86.2 | 85.4 |
Bowling Green | 85.7 | 84.5 | 85.1 | 85.1 |
Kent St. | 84.0 | 85.3 | 84.2 | 84.5 |
Buffalo | 79.0 | 87.6 | 80.5 | 82.4 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Western Michigan | 107.1 | 105.3 | 108.9 | 107.1 |
Toledo | 104.4 | 103.0 | 105.4 | 104.3 |
Central Michigan | 101.6 | 103.7 | 102.6 | 102.6 |
Northern Illinois | 91.7 | 92.9 | 92.4 | 92.3 |
Ball St. | 86.1 | 88.2 | 87.1 | 87.1 |
Eastern Michigan | 80.5 | 85.1 | 81.4 | 82.3 |
MAC Averages | 90.2 | 92.8 | 91.2 | 91.4 |
Mountain West Conference | ||||
Mountain Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Boise St. | 108.8 | 109.6 | 110.6 | 109.7 |
Air Force | 101.1 | 101.7 | 101.6 | 101.5 |
Utah St. | 93.7 | 96.3 | 93.3 | 94.4 |
New Mexico | 92.3 | 95.3 | 93.1 | 93.6 |
Colorado St. | 87.2 | 89.5 | 87.7 | 88.1 |
Wyoming | 83.3 | 83.6 | 83.5 | 83.5 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
San Diego St. | 106.0 | 103.1 | 108.4 | 105.9 |
Nevada | 91.5 | 94.6 | 92.5 | 92.9 |
UNLV | 87.7 | 92.3 | 87.7 | 89.2 |
San Jose St. | 87.4 | 87.5 | 87.6 | 87.5 |
Fresno St. | 81.5 | 85.6 | 81.1 | 82.7 |
Hawaii | 77.2 | 75.9 | 76.3 | 76.5 |
MWC Averages | 91.5 | 93.0 | 91.9 | 92.1 |
Pac-12 Conference | ||||
North Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Stanford | 121.7 | 114.7 | 120.6 | 119.0 |
Washington | 119.4 | 111.9 | 119.3 | 116.9 |
Oregon | 111.3 | 109.8 | 110.5 | 110.5 |
Washington St. | 107.7 | 104.9 | 107.6 | 106.8 |
California | 104.8 | 97.1 | 102.5 | 101.5 |
Oregon St. | 97.6 | 93.4 | 95.5 | 95.5 |
South Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
USC | 113.5 | 108.9 | 110.8 | 111.1 |
UCLA | 111.4 | 110.2 | 111.0 | 110.9 |
Colorado | 111.6 | 107.3 | 112.1 | 110.4 |
Utah | 111.3 | 105.8 | 109.2 | 108.8 |
Arizona St. | 108.2 | 108.1 | 107.0 | 107.8 |
Arizona | 105.6 | 103.0 | 104.6 | 104.4 |
Pac-12 Averages | 110.3 | 106.3 | 109.2 | 108.6 |
Southeastern Conference | ||||
East Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Tennessee | 121.9 | 118.0 | 121.8 | 120.6 |
Florida | 112.8 | 115.7 | 111.1 | 113.2 |
Georgia | 108.2 | 108.1 | 107.4 | 107.9 |
Missouri | 104.4 | 103.6 | 104.2 | 104.1 |
Vanderbilt | 102.6 | 98.4 | 101.2 | 100.8 |
South Carolina | 99.9 | 99.2 | 99.2 | 99.5 |
Kentucky | 95.9 | 98.2 | 94.8 | 96.3 |
West Division | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Alabama | 131.2 | 124.1 | 131.0 | 128.8 |
LSU | 122.4 | 117.0 | 121.4 | 120.3 |
Texas A&M | 116.5 | 115.0 | 116.4 | 116.0 |
Auburn | 115.5 | 113.7 | 115.4 | 114.9 |
Ole Miss | 116.4 | 110.1 | 115.9 | 114.1 |
Mississippi St. | 111.8 | 109.6 | 110.9 | 110.8 |
Arkansas | 112.3 | 107.9 | 109.7 | 110.0 |
SEC Averages | 112.3 | 109.9 | 111.5 | 111.2 |
Sunbelt Conference | ||||
Team | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
Appalachian St. | 97.7 | 96.8 | 99.7 | 98.1 |
Troy | 91.4 | 96.2 | 93.3 | 93.7 |
Georgia Southern | 91.3 | 91.1 | 93.6 | 92.0 |
Arkansas St. | 87.5 | 89.5 | 89.0 | 88.7 |
Georgia St. | 81.6 | 86.7 | 83.3 | 83.9 |
South Alabama | 79.8 | 87.4 | 81.2 | 82.8 |
UL-Lafayette | 77.0 | 84.9 | 78.8 | 80.3 |
Idaho | 77.8 | 83.4 | 79.2 | 80.1 |
New Mexico St. | 72.9 | 75.7 | 73.7 | 74.1 |
UL-Monroe | 70.2 | 75.3 | 70.8 | 72.1 |
Texas St. | 69.8 | 71.0 | 70.8 | 70.5 |
Sun Belt Averages | 81.5 | 85.3 | 83.0 | 83.3 |
Conference Ratings
PiRate Ratings By Conference | |||||
# | League | PiRate | Mean | Bias | Average |
1 | SEC | 112.3 | 109.9 | 111.5 | 111.2 |
2 | ACC | 111.8 | 108.0 | 111.2 | 110.4 |
3 | Pac-12 | 110.3 | 106.3 | 109.2 | 108.6 |
4 | Big 12 | 107.4 | 108.3 | 106.7 | 107.5 |
5 | Big Ten | 108.0 | 106.7 | 107.3 | 107.3 |
6 | Independents | 99.0 | 100.7 | 99.7 | 99.8 |
7 | AAC | 99.2 | 99.2 | 99.5 | 99.3 |
8 | MWC | 91.5 | 93.0 | 91.9 | 92.1 |
9 | MAC | 90.2 | 92.8 | 91.2 | 91.4 |
10 | CUSA | 83.9 | 87.3 | 84.9 | 85.4 |
11 | Sun Belt | 81.5 | 85.3 | 83.0 | 83.3 |
This Week’s Games–September 29-October 1 | ||||
Home | Visitor | PiRate | Mean | Bias |
Thursday, September 29 | ||||
Texas Tech | Kansas | 23.6 | 13.9 | 24.2 |
Houston | Connecticut | 23.8 | 24.1 | 26.6 |
Friday, September 30 | ||||
BYU | Toledo | 9.0 | 4.3 | 7.6 |
Washington | Stanford | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 |
Saturday, October 1 | ||||
Boston College | Buffalo | 24.2 | 14.6 | 22.2 |
Pittsburgh | Marshall | 29.1 | 20.6 | 26.5 |
Ole Miss | Memphis | 11.2 | 9.0 | 12.4 |
Massachusetts | Tulane | -0.2 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
Penn St. | Minnesota | 4.0 | 7.8 | 3.1 |
Iowa | Northwestern | 11.6 | 13.6 | 12.8 |
Ohio St. | Rutgers | 27.9 | 29.8 | 30.8 |
West Virginia | Kansas St. | 3.4 | -0.8 | 2.9 |
Duke | Virginia | 2.4 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
Syracuse | Notre Dame | -7.6 | -8.0 | -7.6 |
Cincinnati | South Florida | -6.1 | -2.4 | -6.7 |
Temple | SMU | 10.9 | 11.9 | 8.8 |
Charlotte | Old Dominion | -13.2 | -10.1 | -12.1 |
North Texas | Middle Tennessee | -15.4 | -13.8 | -15.7 |
Louisiana Tech | UTEP | 21.3 | 19.2 | 21.0 |
Florida Int’l | Florida Atlantic | -12.3 | 1.1 | -3.2 |
Central Michigan | Western Michigan | -3.5 | 0.4 | -4.3 |
Ball St. | Northern Illinois | -3.1 | -1.8 | -2.8 |
Bowling Green | Eastern Michigan | 7.7 | 1.9 | 6.2 |
Miami (O) | Ohio | -4.5 | -12.4 | -4.0 |
East Carolina | Central Florida | 5.3 | 4.8 | 5.4 |
Kent St. | Akron | -0.7 | -5.4 | -2.0 |
Maryland | Purdue | 6.9 | 12.5 | 5.5 |
Georgia Tech | Miami (Fla) | -7.6 | -4.3 | -8.5 |
Nebraska | Illinois | 18.3 | 18.0 | 19.5 |
Michigan | Wisconsin | 13.5 | 13.0 | 13.5 |
Clemson | Louisville | -0.9 | -3.4 | -2.2 |
Florida St. | North Carolina | 5.6 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
Auburn | UL-Monroe | 48.3 | 41.4 | 47.6 |
Air Force | Navy | 5.1 | 5.8 | 6.1 |
Southern Miss. | Rice | 16.7 | 9.4 | 18.3 |
Colorado St. | Wyoming | 5.9 | 7.9 | 6.2 |
Alabama | Kentucky | 38.3 | 39.9 | 39.2 |
Georgia | Tennessee | -10.7 | -6.9 | -11.4 |
Appalachian St. | Georgia St. | 19.1 | 13.1 | 19.4 |
Vanderbilt | Florida | -7.7 | -14.8 | -7.4 |
California | Utah | -3.5 | -5.7 | -3.7 |
Oklahoma St. | Texas | 4.5 | 4.0 | 5.3 |
Colorado | Oregon St. | 17.0 | 16.9 | 19.6 |
North Carolina St. | Wake Forest | 6.6 | 6.1 | 6.6 |
South Carolina | Texas A&M | -13.6 | -12.8 | -14.2 |
UCLA | Arizona | 8.8 | 10.2 | 9.4 |
USC | Arizona St. | 8.3 | 3.8 | 6.8 |
Iowa St. | Baylor | -11.9 | -12.4 | -14.1 |
Indiana | Michigan St. | -6.7 | -1.7 | -5.7 |
TCU | Oklahoma | -3.8 | 0.2 | -3.9 |
LSU | Missouri | 21.0 | 16.4 | 20.2 |
South Alabama | San Diego St. | -22.7 | -12.2 | -23.7 |
New Mexico St. | UL-Lafayette | -1.6 | -6.7 | -2.6 |
Idaho | Troy | -10.6 | -9.8 | -11.1 |
New Mexico | San Jose St. | 7.9 | 10.8 | 8.5 |
Boise St. | Utah St. | 18.1 | 16.3 | 20.3 |
Washington St. | Oregon | -0.6 | -1.9 | 0.1 |
UNLV | Fresno St. | 9.2 | 9.7 | 9.6 |
Hawaii | Nevada | -10.3 | -14.7 | -12.2 |
This Week’s FBS vs. FCS Games
FBS vs. FCS | Week 5 | |
Home | Visitor | PiRate |
Arkansas | Alcorn St. | 50 |
Western Kentucky | Houston Baptist | 45 |
Texas St. | Incarnate Word | 15 |
Bowl Projections
Bowl | Conferences | Team | vs. | Team | |
New Mexico | MWC | CUSA | New Mexico | vs. | Old Dominion |
Las Vegas | Pac-12 | MWC | USC | vs. | Boise St. |
Cure | AAC | SBC | [Akron] | vs. | UL-Lafayette |
Camellia | MAC | SBC | Ball St. | vs. | Ga. Southern |
New Orleans | CUSA | SBC | W. Kentucky | vs. | Troy |
Miami Beach | AAC | MAC | Cincinnati | vs. | W. Michigan |
Boca Raton | AAC | CUSA | Memphis | vs. | Sou. Miss. |
Poinsettia | MWC | BYU | Air Force | vs. | BYU |
Idaho Potato | MAC | MWC | C. Michigan | vs. | Colorado St. |
Bahamas | AAC/CUSA | MAC/CUSA | Tulsa | vs. | Toledo |
Armed Forces | Navy | Big 12 | Navy | vs. | Texas Tech |
Dollar General | MAC | SBC | Ohio | vs. | Appy St. |
Hawaii | CUSA | MWC | Marshall | vs. | San Diego St. |
St. Petersburg | AAC | ACC/ND | Connecticut | vs. | Notre Dame |
Quick Lane | ACC/ND | Big Ten | Pittsburgh | vs. | Indiana |
Independence | SEC | ACC/ND | [Army] | vs. | Georgia Tech |
Heart of Dallas | Big Ten | CUSA | Maryland | vs. | Middle Tenn. |
Military | ACC/ND | AAC | N. C. State | vs. | Temple |
Holiday | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Michigan St. | vs. | Colorado |
Cactus | Big 12 | Pac-12 | Texas | vs. | Oregon |
Pinstripe | ACC/ND | Big Ten | Wake Forest | vs. | Minnesota |
Russell Athletic | ACC/ND | Big 12 | Florida St. | vs. | West Virginia |
Foster Farms | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Iowa | vs. | Arizona St. |
Texas | Big 12 | SEC | Kansas St. | vs. | Arkansas |
Birmingham | AAC | SEC | South Florida | vs. | [Duke] |
Belk | ACC/ND | SEC | Virginia Tech | vs. | Georgia |
Alamo | Big 12 | Pac-12 | TCU | vs. | Utah |
Liberty | Big 12 | SEC | Oklahoma St. | vs. | LSU |
Sun | ACC/ND | Pac-12 | N. Carolina | vs. | UCLA |
Arizona | CUSA/SBC | MWC/SBC | La. Tech | vs. | Utah St. |
Music City | ACC/ND/B10 | SEC | Penn St. | vs. | [California] |
Orange | ACC/ND | B10/SEC | Louisville | vs. | Baylor |
Citrus | ACC/ND/B10 | SEC | Wisconsin | vs. | Ole Miss |
TaxSlayer | ACC/ND/B10 | SEC | Miami (Fla.) | vs. | Auburn |
Peach | Semifinal | Semifinal | Alabama | vs. | Washington |
Fiesta | Semifinal | Semifinal | Ohio St. | vs. | Clemson |
Outback | Big Ten | SEC | Nebraska | vs. | Florida |
Cotton | At-Large | At-Large | Houston | vs. | Texas A&M |
Rose | Big Ten | Pac-12 | Michigan | vs. | Stanford |
Sugar | Big 12 | SEC | Tennessee | vs. | Oklahoma |
Nat’l Champ. | Semifinal | Winners | Alabama | vs. | Ohio St. |