College Football Ratings & Spreads For September 29-October 1, 2016

Less Smiles in Baton Rouge

On Sunday, LSU fired Coach Les Miles after Miles’ team lost at Auburn Saturday night in a game that could have gone LSU’s way had the officials decided that the final play was run in time.  The clock ran out on a play in which it was plain to see that the head referee never signaled to start the clock.

Of course, Miles did not lose his job on this one play.  We believe he lost his job because LSU has not been able to secure a star quarterback since Zach Mettenberger left.  Miles actually had two commitments from potential stars and then lost them at the eleventh hour.  Braxton Miller was set to come to LSU, and that would have made the Tigers much stronger.  Gunner Kiel committed to LSU before de-committing and committing to Notre Dame, before de-committing and committing to Cincinnati, before quitting, before returning as the third string QB for the Bearcats.

Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron was let go as well, and former Ole Miss head coach and USC interim Ed Orgeron takes over as the interim in Baton Rouge.  We believe Orgeron has about a 0.3% chance (1 in about 333) of getting the gig full-time.  LSU would have to run the table from here, win the SEC Championship Game, and then win convincingly in the Sugar Bowl for that to happen.

So, who replaces Miles at LSU.  Immediately, the name of Art Briles came up in some circles.  Some say that Briles was merely a scapegoat, and that he will land somewhere in 2017.  There will be numerous openings at schools where winning is all that matters.  We don’t believe Briles will end up in Baton Rouge.

Two names that we feel could be more serious candidates are Florida State’s Jimbo Fisher and Houston’s Tom Herman.  Prior to becoming the coach in waiting and then the head coach at Florida State, Fisher was the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at LSU during a time when the Bengal Tigers produced JaMarcus Russell and won a national championship in 2003.

Herman was Urban Meyer’s offensive guru at Ohio State prior to taking the Houston job.  With the Cougars undefeated and facing a probable run into the top four before playing Louisville in November, if UH runs the table and makes the NCAA Playoffs, there is no way he could leave for another job at that point, and LSU’s recruiting effort for 2017 would be shot by then.

There are a few other options.  Bobby Petrino at Louisville and Todd Graham at Arizona State have proven to be as nomadic as Larry Brown on the basketball court.  A few extra pesos thrown their way can get them to jump.  Then there is the potential NFL route.  USC took Pete Carroll and reaped many rewards.  What if Sean Payton was available before the season ended?  Or, how about Bruce Arians?

 

A Lot of Haves

It’s still early in the season, but there are an inordinate amount of teams still undefeated four weeks into the season.  By December, the number will whittle down to two or three at most, but until then, there are some interesting match ups on the schedule ahead.

It starts this week, when Stanford and Washington square off in Seattle Friday night.  The game will air on ESPN at 9PM Eastern Time for those that want to watch the unofficial crowning of the Pac-12 North champion.  It continues Saturday, when Michigan host Wisconsin at 3:30 PM Eastern Time on ABC.  Then, in prime-time, Louisville ventured to Deaf Valley to face Clemson at 8 PM Eastern on ABC.

In the coming weeks, there are potential unbeaten contests between Tennessee and Texas A&M, Tennessee or Texas A&M against Alabama, Ohio State and Wisconsin, Ohio State and Nebraska, Nebraska and Wisconsin, Washington and Utah, Washington and Arizona State, Utah and Arizona State, Louisville and Houston, and Boise State and San Diego State in the MWC Championship Game.  Oh, and then there is the possibility that Ohio State and Michigan could square off in the Giant Horseshoe on November 26 with “everything” on the line.  The two rivals have been in this boat before.  Both teams were undefeated heading into this game in 1970, 1973, and 2006.

Bowl Projections Begin Today

We usually wait until after the first week in October to post our initial bowl projections, but we went ahead and scooted that up a week this year.  The reason why we did it is that we feel there are already fewer than 80 teams on pace to win six games.  With teams like USC, Oregon, California LSU, Texas Tech, Connecticut, Duke, and others looking at potential 5-7 seasons, it isn’t going to be easy finding some good bowl games.  Then, there are possibilities where a top 20 team could be squaring off against a 6-6 or 5-7 team in a bowl.  Although we do not favor 5-7 or even 6-6 teams getting post-season rewards, we will remind you that three 5-7 teams played in bowls last season, and all three won.  See our projections at the end of this feature.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	131.2	124.1	131.0	128.8
2	Louisville	127.9	122.3	128.1	126.1
3	Michigan	124.7	122.2	125.2	124.0
4	Ohio St.	123.2	122.5	124.7	123.5
5	Clemson	124.0	115.9	122.9	120.9
6	Tennessee	121.9	118.0	121.8	120.6
7	LSU	122.4	117.0	121.4	120.3
8	Oklahoma	120.1	117.4	120.0	119.2
9	Stanford	121.7	114.7	120.6	119.0
10	Houston	117.8	115.8	120.2	117.9
11	Miami	120.3	113.0	120.2	117.8
12	Florida St.	119.6	112.7	118.8	117.0
13	Washington	119.4	111.9	119.3	116.9
14	Virginia Tech	116.4	116.0	116.9	116.4
15	Texas A&M	116.5	115.0	116.4	116.0
16	Auburn	115.5	113.7	115.4	114.9
17	North Carolina	117.0	110.5	116.6	114.7
18	Pittsburgh	116.1	111.4	115.3	114.3
19	Ole Miss	116.4	110.1	115.9	114.1
20	Oklahoma St.	113.7	114.7	113.6	114.0
21	Wisconsin	114.2	112.2	114.7	113.7
22	TCU	113.3	114.6	113.1	113.7
23	Florida	112.8	115.7	111.1	113.2
24	Iowa	114.3	111.3	113.8	113.1
25	Baylor	112.3	112.4	113.3	112.7
26	Texas	112.2	113.7	111.3	112.4
27	Nebraska	113.0	109.4	113.2	111.9
28	USC	113.5	108.9	110.8	111.1
29	UCLA	111.4	110.2	111.0	110.9
30	Notre Dame	112.5	109.2	110.9	110.9
31	Mississippi St.	111.8	109.6	110.9	110.8
32	Oregon	111.3	109.8	110.5	110.5
33	Colorado	111.6	107.3	112.1	110.4
34	Arkansas	112.3	107.9	109.7	110.0
35	Michigan St.	110.9	109.8	109.2	110.0
36	Boise St.	108.8	109.6	110.6	109.7
37	South Florida	109.9	106.9	110.8	109.2
38	Utah	111.3	105.8	109.2	108.8
39	Kansas St.	107.2	110.2	107.1	108.2
40	Georgia Tech	109.7	105.7	108.7	108.0
41	Georgia	108.2	108.1	107.4	107.9
42	Arizona St.	108.2	108.1	107.0	107.8
43	BYU	109.9	103.8	109.5	107.7
44	Western Michigan	107.1	105.3	108.9	107.1
45	West Virginia	107.6	106.4	107.0	107.0
46	Washington St.	107.7	104.9	107.6	106.8
47	North Carolina St.	107.0	104.8	106.4	106.1
48	San Diego St.	106.0	103.1	108.4	105.9
49	Memphis	107.2	103.1	105.5	105.3
50	Penn St.	104.9	107.1	103.7	105.2
51	Arizona	105.6	103.0	104.6	104.4
52	Toledo	104.4	103.0	105.4	104.3
53	Texas Tech	105.6	103.4	103.5	104.2
54	Missouri	104.4	103.6	104.2	104.1
55	Northwestern	105.7	100.7	104.0	103.5
56	Minnesota	103.9	102.3	103.6	103.3
57	Central Michigan	101.6	103.7	102.6	102.6
58	Indiana	101.2	105.1	100.5	102.3
59	Wake Forest	102.9	101.2	102.3	102.2
60	Maryland	101.6	105.2	99.4	102.1
61	Air Force	101.1	101.7	101.6	101.5
62	California	104.8	97.1	102.5	101.5
63	Cincinnati	100.8	101.5	101.1	101.2
64	Vanderbilt	102.6	98.4	101.2	100.8
65	Duke	100.9	101.3	99.5	100.6
66	Virginia	101.5	99.1	101.0	100.5
67	Boston College	100.7	99.7	100.2	100.2
68	Syracuse	101.9	98.2	100.3	100.2
69	Tulsa	98.7	101.0	99.4	99.7
70	Western Kentucky	100.7	96.3	101.8	99.6
71	South Carolina	99.9	99.2	99.2	99.5
72	Temple	99.1	99.6	99.3	99.4
73	Navy	99.0	98.9	98.5	98.8
74	Appalachian St.	97.7	96.8	99.7	98.1
75	Rutgers	98.3	95.7	96.9	97.0
76	Iowa St.	97.4	97.0	96.2	96.9
77	Purdue	97.7	95.7	96.9	96.8
78	Army	92.6	101.0	95.6	96.4
79	Illinois	97.7	94.4	96.7	96.3
80	Kentucky	95.9	98.2	94.8	96.3
81	Connecticut	97.0	94.7	96.6	96.1
82	Oregon St.	97.6	93.4	95.5	95.5
83	Southern Mississippi	94.4	94.4	95.5	94.8
84	Utah St.	93.7	96.3	93.3	94.4
85	Ohio	91.2	99.8	92.2	94.4
86	Middle Tennessee	93.8	95.1	94.3	94.4
87	East Carolina	93.5	95.6	93.7	94.3
88	Troy	91.4	96.2	93.3	93.7
89	New Mexico	92.3	95.3	93.1	93.6
90	Nevada	91.5	94.6	92.5	92.9
91	Northern Illinois	91.7	92.9	92.4	92.3
92	Central Florida	91.2	93.8	91.3	92.1
93	Georgia Southern	91.3	91.1	93.6	92.0
94	SMU	91.2	90.7	93.5	91.8
95	Louisiana Tech	90.0	92.2	91.1	91.1
96	Marshall	89.0	92.8	90.8	90.9
97	UNLV	87.7	92.3	87.7	89.2
98	Akron	86.7	92.7	88.2	89.2
99	Arkansas St.	87.5	89.5	89.0	88.7
100	Colorado St.	87.2	89.5	87.7	88.1
101	San Jose St.	87.4	87.5	87.6	87.5
102	Old Dominion	86.0	89.3	86.2	87.2
103	Ball St.	86.1	88.2	87.1	87.1
104	Kansas	85.0	92.5	82.3	86.6
105	Tulane	84.3	88.1	84.6	85.7
106	Miami (O)	84.7	85.4	86.2	85.4
107	Bowling Green	85.7	84.5	85.1	85.1
108	Kent St.	84.0	85.3	84.2	84.5
109	Massachusetts	81.1	88.6	82.8	84.2
110	Georgia St.	81.6	86.7	83.3	83.9
111	Wyoming	83.3	83.6	83.5	83.5
112	Florida Atlantic	81.5	84.8	83.0	83.1
113	Rice	80.7	88.0	80.5	83.1
114	South Alabama	79.8	87.4	81.2	82.8
115	Fresno St.	81.5	85.6	81.1	82.7
116	UTSA	79.0	86.5	81.6	82.4
117	Buffalo	79.0	87.6	80.5	82.4
118	Eastern Michigan	80.5	85.1	81.4	82.3
119	UL-Lafayette	77.0	84.9	78.8	80.3
120	Idaho	77.8	83.4	79.2	80.1
121	Florida International	77.2	83.9	77.8	79.6
122	Hawaii	77.2	75.9	76.3	76.5
123	North Texas	75.4	78.3	75.6	76.5
124	New Mexico St.	72.9	75.7	73.7	74.1
125	UTEP	71.7	76.0	73.1	73.6
126	Charlotte	70.8	77.2	72.1	73.4
127	UL-Monroe	70.2	75.3	70.8	72.1
128	Texas St.	69.8	71.0	70.8	70.5

 

PiRate Retrodictive
#	Team
1	Alabama
2	Ohio St.
3	Clemson
4	Houston
5	Michigan
6	Tennessee
7	Stanford
8	Washington
9	Louisville
10	Texas A&M
11	Wisconsin
12	Baylor
13	Nebraska
14	Arkansas
15	Florida St.
16	Utah
17	Oklahoma
18	Ole Miss
19	Miami (Fla)
20	LSU
21	Michigan St.
22	Georgia
23	San Diego St.
24	Florida
25	Toledo
26	Western Michigan
27	North Carolina
28	South Florida
29	Boise St.
30	Iowa
31	TCU
32	West Virginia
33	Oregon
34	Navy
35	UCLA
36	Arizona St.
37	Virginia Tech
38	Memphis
39	Notre Dame
40	Oklahoma St.
41	Central Michigan
42	Auburn
43	USC
44	Georgia Tech
45	California
46	Minnesota
47	Colorado
48	Pittsburgh
49	Texas
50	Western Kentucky
51	Texas Tech
52	Kansas St.
53	Penn St.
54	BYU
55	Mississippi St.
56	Air Force
57	Washington St.
58	Georgia Southern
59	Wake Forest
60	Maryland
61	Indiana
62	North Carolina St.
63	Cincinnati
64	Tulsa
65	Missouri
66	Army
67	South Carolina
68	Arizona
69	Southern Miss.
70	Troy
71	Appalachian St.
72	Northwestern
73	East Carolina
74	Temple
75	Utah St.
76	Akron
77	Louisiana Tech
78	Duke
79	Vanderbilt
80	Middle Tennessee
81	Marshall
82	Boston College
83	Rutgers
84	Connecticut
85	Ohio
86	Syracuse
87	Nevada
88	Colorado St.
89	Ball St.
90	Kentucky
91	Illinois
92	SMU
93	Virginia
94	Purdue
95	Oregon St.
96	Bowling Green
97	Tulane
98	San Jose St.
99	Wyoming
100	UL-Lafayette
101	Idaho
102	Central Florida
103	Arkansas St.
104	South Alabama
105	Texas St.
106	New Mexico
107	Northern Illinois
108	Fresno St.
109	Iowa St.
110	Florida Atlantic
111	UNLV
112	Old Dominion
113	UTEP
114	Massachusetts
115	Georgia St.
116	Kansas
117	Rice
118	UTSA
119	Eastern Michigan
120	UL-Monroe
121	New Mexico St.
122	Hawaii
123	Kent St.
124	North Texas
125	Buffalo
126	Miami (O)
127	Florida Int’l.
128	Charlotte

PiRate Rating By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
South Florida	109.9	106.9	110.8	109.2
Cincinnati	100.8	101.5	101.1	101.2
Temple	99.1	99.6	99.3	99.4
Connecticut	97.0	94.7	96.6	96.1
East Carolina	93.5	95.6	93.7	94.3
Central Florida	91.2	93.8	91.3	92.1
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Houston	117.8	115.8	120.2	117.9
Memphis	107.2	103.1	105.5	105.3
Tulsa	98.7	101.0	99.4	99.7
Navy	99.0	98.9	98.5	98.8
SMU	91.2	90.7	93.5	91.8
Tulane	84.3	88.1	84.6	85.7
AAC Averages	99.2	99.2	99.5	99.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Louisville	127.9	122.3	128.1	126.1
Clemson	124.0	115.9	122.9	120.9
Florida St.	119.6	112.7	118.8	117.0
North Carolina St.	107.0	104.8	106.4	106.1
Wake Forest	102.9	101.2	102.3	102.2
Boston College	100.7	99.7	100.2	100.2
Syracuse	101.9	98.2	100.3	100.2
Coastal Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Miami	120.3	113.0	120.2	117.8
Virginia Tech	116.4	116.0	116.9	116.4
North Carolina	117.0	110.5	116.6	114.7
Pittsburgh	116.1	111.4	115.3	114.3
Georgia Tech	109.7	105.7	108.7	108.0
Duke	100.9	101.3	99.5	100.6
Virginia	101.5	99.1	101.0	100.5
ACC Averages	111.8	108.0	111.2	110.4
Big 12 Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	120.1	117.4	120.0	119.2
Oklahoma St.	113.7	114.7	113.6	114.0
TCU	113.3	114.6	113.1	113.7
Baylor	112.3	112.4	113.3	112.7
Texas	112.2	113.7	111.3	112.4
Kansas St.	107.2	110.2	107.1	108.2
West Virginia	107.6	106.4	107.0	107.0
Texas Tech	105.6	103.4	103.5	104.2
Iowa St.	97.4	97.0	96.2	96.9
Kansas	85.0	92.5	82.3	86.6
Big 12 Averages	107.4	108.3	106.7	107.5
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Michigan	124.7	122.2	125.2	124.0
Ohio St.	123.2	122.5	124.7	123.5
Michigan St.	110.9	109.8	109.2	110.0
Penn St.	104.9	107.1	103.7	105.2
Indiana	101.2	105.1	100.5	102.3
Maryland	101.6	105.2	99.4	102.1
Rutgers	98.3	95.7	96.9	97.0
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Wisconsin	114.2	112.2	114.7	113.7
Iowa	114.3	111.3	113.8	113.1
Nebraska	113.0	109.4	113.2	111.9
Northwestern	105.7	100.7	104.0	103.5
Minnesota	103.9	102.3	103.6	103.3
Purdue	97.7	95.7	96.9	96.8
Illinois	97.7	94.4	96.7	96.3
Big Ten Averages	108.0	106.7	107.3	107.3
Conference USA
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	100.7	96.3	101.8	99.6
Middle Tennessee	93.8	95.1	94.3	94.4
Marshall	89.0	92.8	90.8	90.9
Old Dominion	86.0	89.3	86.2	87.2
Florida Atlantic	81.5	84.8	83.0	83.1
Florida International	77.2	83.9	77.8	79.6
Charlotte	70.8	77.2	72.1	73.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Southern Mississippi	94.4	94.4	95.5	94.8
Louisiana Tech	90.0	92.2	91.1	91.1
Rice	80.7	88.0	80.5	83.1
UTSA	79.0	86.5	81.6	82.4
North Texas	75.4	78.3	75.6	76.5
UTEP	71.7	76.0	73.1	73.6
CUSA Averages	83.9	87.3	84.9	85.4
FBS Independents
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame	112.5	109.2	110.9	110.9
BYU	109.9	103.8	109.5	107.7
Army	92.6	101.0	95.6	96.4
Massachusetts	81.1	88.6	82.8	84.2
Independents Averages	99.0	100.7	99.7	99.8
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio	91.2	99.8	92.2	94.4
Akron	86.7	92.7	88.2	89.2
Miami (O)	84.7	85.4	86.2	85.4
Bowling Green	85.7	84.5	85.1	85.1
Kent St.	84.0	85.3	84.2	84.5
Buffalo	79.0	87.6	80.5	82.4
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Michigan	107.1	105.3	108.9	107.1
Toledo	104.4	103.0	105.4	104.3
Central Michigan	101.6	103.7	102.6	102.6
Northern Illinois	91.7	92.9	92.4	92.3
Ball St.	86.1	88.2	87.1	87.1
Eastern Michigan	80.5	85.1	81.4	82.3
MAC Averages	90.2	92.8	91.2	91.4
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	108.8	109.6	110.6	109.7
Air Force	101.1	101.7	101.6	101.5
Utah St.	93.7	96.3	93.3	94.4
New Mexico	92.3	95.3	93.1	93.6
Colorado St.	87.2	89.5	87.7	88.1
Wyoming	83.3	83.6	83.5	83.5
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	106.0	103.1	108.4	105.9
Nevada	91.5	94.6	92.5	92.9
UNLV	87.7	92.3	87.7	89.2
San Jose St.	87.4	87.5	87.6	87.5
Fresno St.	81.5	85.6	81.1	82.7
Hawaii	77.2	75.9	76.3	76.5
MWC Averages	91.5	93.0	91.9	92.1
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Stanford	121.7	114.7	120.6	119.0
Washington	119.4	111.9	119.3	116.9
Oregon	111.3	109.8	110.5	110.5
Washington St.	107.7	104.9	107.6	106.8
California	104.8	97.1	102.5	101.5
Oregon St.	97.6	93.4	95.5	95.5
South Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
USC	113.5	108.9	110.8	111.1
UCLA	111.4	110.2	111.0	110.9
Colorado	111.6	107.3	112.1	110.4
Utah	111.3	105.8	109.2	108.8
Arizona St.	108.2	108.1	107.0	107.8
Arizona	105.6	103.0	104.6	104.4
Pac-12 Averages	110.3	106.3	109.2	108.6
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Tennessee	121.9	118.0	121.8	120.6
Florida	112.8	115.7	111.1	113.2
Georgia	108.2	108.1	107.4	107.9
Missouri	104.4	103.6	104.2	104.1
Vanderbilt	102.6	98.4	101.2	100.8
South Carolina	99.9	99.2	99.2	99.5
Kentucky	95.9	98.2	94.8	96.3
West Division
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	131.2	124.1	131.0	128.8
LSU	122.4	117.0	121.4	120.3
Texas A&M	116.5	115.0	116.4	116.0
Auburn	115.5	113.7	115.4	114.9
Ole Miss	116.4	110.1	115.9	114.1
Mississippi St.	111.8	109.6	110.9	110.8
Arkansas	112.3	107.9	109.7	110.0
SEC Averages	112.3	109.9	111.5	111.2
Sunbelt Conference
Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Appalachian St.	97.7	96.8	99.7	98.1
Troy	91.4	96.2	93.3	93.7
Georgia Southern	91.3	91.1	93.6	92.0
Arkansas St.	87.5	89.5	89.0	88.7
Georgia St.	81.6	86.7	83.3	83.9
South Alabama	79.8	87.4	81.2	82.8
UL-Lafayette	77.0	84.9	78.8	80.3
Idaho	77.8	83.4	79.2	80.1
New Mexico St.	72.9	75.7	73.7	74.1
UL-Monroe	70.2	75.3	70.8	72.1
Texas St.	69.8	71.0	70.8	70.5
Sun Belt Averages	81.5	85.3	83.0	83.3

Conference Ratings

PiRate Ratings By Conference
#	League	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	SEC	112.3	109.9	111.5	111.2
2	ACC	111.8	108.0	111.2	110.4
3	Pac-12	110.3	106.3	109.2	108.6
4	Big 12	107.4	108.3	106.7	107.5
5	Big Ten	108.0	106.7	107.3	107.3
6	Independents	99.0	100.7	99.7	99.8
7	AAC	99.2	99.2	99.5	99.3
8	MWC	91.5	93.0	91.9	92.1
9	MAC	90.2	92.8	91.2	91.4
10	CUSA	83.9	87.3	84.9	85.4
11	Sun Belt	81.5	85.3	83.0	83.3

 

This Week’s Games–September 29-October 1
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Thursday, September 29
Texas Tech	Kansas	23.6	13.9	24.2
Houston	Connecticut	23.8	24.1	26.6
Friday, September 30
BYU	Toledo	9.0	4.3	7.6
Washington	Stanford	0.7	0.2	1.7
Saturday, October 1
Boston College	Buffalo	24.2	14.6	22.2
Pittsburgh	Marshall	29.1	20.6	26.5
Ole Miss	Memphis	11.2	9.0	12.4
Massachusetts	Tulane	-0.2	3.5	1.2
Penn St.	Minnesota	4.0	7.8	3.1
Iowa	Northwestern	11.6	13.6	12.8
Ohio St.	Rutgers	27.9	29.8	30.8
West Virginia	Kansas St.	3.4	-0.8	2.9
Duke	Virginia	2.4	5.2	1.5
Syracuse	Notre Dame	-7.6	-8.0	-7.6
Cincinnati	South Florida	-6.1	-2.4	-6.7
Temple	SMU	10.9	11.9	8.8
Charlotte	Old Dominion	-13.2	-10.1	-12.1
North Texas	Middle Tennessee	-15.4	-13.8	-15.7
Louisiana Tech	UTEP	21.3	19.2	21.0
Florida Int’l	Florida Atlantic	-12.3	1.1	-3.2
Central Michigan	Western Michigan	-3.5	0.4	-4.3
Ball St.	Northern Illinois	-3.1	-1.8	-2.8
Bowling Green	Eastern Michigan	7.7	1.9	6.2
Miami (O)	Ohio	-4.5	-12.4	-4.0
East Carolina	Central Florida	5.3	4.8	5.4
Kent St.	Akron	-0.7	-5.4	-2.0
Maryland	Purdue	6.9	12.5	5.5
Georgia Tech	Miami (Fla)	-7.6	-4.3	-8.5
Nebraska	Illinois	18.3	18.0	19.5
Michigan	Wisconsin	13.5	13.0	13.5
Clemson	Louisville	-0.9	-3.4	-2.2
Florida St.	North Carolina	5.6	5.2	5.2
Auburn	UL-Monroe	48.3	41.4	47.6
Air Force	Navy	5.1	5.8	6.1
Southern Miss.	Rice	16.7	9.4	18.3
Colorado St.	Wyoming	5.9	7.9	6.2
Alabama	Kentucky	38.3	39.9	39.2
Georgia	Tennessee	-10.7	-6.9	-11.4
Appalachian St.	Georgia St.	19.1	13.1	19.4
Vanderbilt	Florida	-7.7	-14.8	-7.4
California	Utah	-3.5	-5.7	-3.7
Oklahoma St.	Texas	4.5	4.0	5.3
Colorado	Oregon St.	17.0	16.9	19.6
North Carolina St.	Wake Forest	6.6	6.1	6.6
South Carolina	Texas A&M	-13.6	-12.8	-14.2
UCLA	Arizona	8.8	10.2	9.4
USC	Arizona St.	8.3	3.8	6.8
Iowa St.	Baylor	-11.9	-12.4	-14.1
Indiana	Michigan St.	-6.7	-1.7	-5.7
TCU	Oklahoma	-3.8	0.2	-3.9
LSU	Missouri	21.0	16.4	20.2
South Alabama	San Diego St.	-22.7	-12.2	-23.7
New Mexico St.	UL-Lafayette	-1.6	-6.7	-2.6
Idaho	Troy	-10.6	-9.8	-11.1
New Mexico	San Jose St.	7.9	10.8	8.5
Boise St.	Utah St.	18.1	16.3	20.3
Washington St.	Oregon	-0.6	-1.9	0.1
UNLV	Fresno St.	9.2	9.7	9.6
Hawaii	Nevada	-10.3	-14.7	-12.2

This Week’s FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS vs. FCS	Week 5
Home	Visitor	PiRate
Arkansas	Alcorn St.	50
Western Kentucky	Houston Baptist	45
Texas St.	Incarnate Word	15

Bowl Projections

Bowl	Conferences		Team	vs.	Team
New Mexico	MWC	CUSA	New Mexico	vs.	Old Dominion
Las Vegas	Pac-12	MWC	USC	vs.	Boise St.
Cure	AAC	SBC	[Akron]	vs.	UL-Lafayette
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Ball St.	vs.	Ga. Southern
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC	W. Kentucky	vs.	Troy
Miami Beach	AAC	MAC	Cincinnati	vs.	W. Michigan
Boca Raton	AAC	CUSA	Memphis	vs.	Sou. Miss.
Poinsettia	MWC	BYU	Air Force	vs.	BYU
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	C. Michigan	vs.	Colorado St.
Bahamas	AAC/CUSA	MAC/CUSA	Tulsa	vs.	Toledo
Armed Forces	Navy	Big 12	Navy	vs.	Texas Tech
Dollar General	MAC	SBC	Ohio	vs.	Appy St.
Hawaii	CUSA	MWC	Marshall	vs.	San Diego St.
St. Petersburg	AAC	ACC/ND	Connecticut	vs.	Notre Dame
Quick Lane	ACC/ND	Big Ten	Pittsburgh	vs.	Indiana
Independence	SEC	ACC/ND	[Army]	vs.	Georgia Tech
Heart of Dallas	Big Ten	CUSA	Maryland	vs.	Middle Tenn.
Military	ACC/ND	AAC	N. C. State	vs.	Temple
Holiday	Big Ten	Pac-12	Michigan St.	vs.	Colorado
Cactus	Big 12	Pac-12	Texas	vs.	Oregon
Pinstripe	ACC/ND	Big Ten	Wake Forest	vs.	Minnesota
Russell Athletic	ACC/ND	Big 12	Florida St.	vs.	West Virginia
Foster Farms	Big Ten	Pac-12	Iowa	vs.	Arizona St.
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Kansas St.	vs.	Arkansas
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	South Florida	vs.	[Duke]
Belk	ACC/ND	SEC	Virginia Tech	vs.	Georgia
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	TCU	vs.	Utah
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma St.	vs.	LSU
Sun	ACC/ND	Pac-12	N. Carolina	vs.	UCLA
Arizona	CUSA/SBC	MWC/SBC	La. Tech	vs.	Utah St.
Music City	ACC/ND/B10	SEC	Penn St.	vs.	[California]
Orange	ACC/ND	B10/SEC	Louisville	vs.	Baylor
Citrus	ACC/ND/B10	SEC	Wisconsin	vs.	Ole Miss
TaxSlayer	ACC/ND/B10	SEC	Miami (Fla.)	vs.	Auburn
Peach	Semifinal	Semifinal	Alabama	vs.	Washington
Fiesta	Semifinal	Semifinal	Ohio St.	vs.	Clemson
Outback	Big Ten	SEC	Nebraska	vs.	Florida
Cotton	At-Large	At-Large	Houston	vs.	Texas A&M
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Michigan	vs.	Stanford
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Tennessee	vs.	Oklahoma
Nat’l Champ.	Semifinal	Winners	Alabama	vs.	Ohio St.