The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 26, 2016

College Football Ratings & Spreads For September 29-October 1, 2016

Less Smiles in Baton Rouge

On Sunday, LSU fired Coach Les Miles after Miles’ team lost at Auburn Saturday night in a game that could have gone LSU’s way had the officials decided that the final play was run in time.  The clock ran out on a play in which it was plain to see that the head referee never signaled to start the clock.

Of course, Miles did not lose his job on this one play.  We believe he lost his job because LSU has not been able to secure a star quarterback since Zach Mettenberger left.  Miles actually had two commitments from potential stars and then lost them at the eleventh hour.  Braxton Miller was set to come to LSU, and that would have made the Tigers much stronger.  Gunner Kiel committed to LSU before de-committing and committing to Notre Dame, before de-committing and committing to Cincinnati, before quitting, before returning as the third string QB for the Bearcats.

Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron was let go as well, and former Ole Miss head coach and USC interim Ed Orgeron takes over as the interim in Baton Rouge.  We believe Orgeron has about a 0.3% chance (1 in about 333) of getting the gig full-time.  LSU would have to run the table from here, win the SEC Championship Game, and then win convincingly in the Sugar Bowl for that to happen.

So, who replaces Miles at LSU.  Immediately, the name of Art Briles came up in some circles.  Some say that Briles was merely a scapegoat, and that he will land somewhere in 2017.  There will be numerous openings at schools where winning is all that matters.  We don’t believe Briles will end up in Baton Rouge.

Two names that we feel could be more serious candidates are Florida State’s Jimbo Fisher and Houston’s Tom Herman.  Prior to becoming the coach in waiting and then the head coach at Florida State, Fisher was the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at LSU during a time when the Bengal Tigers produced JaMarcus Russell and won a national championship in 2003.

Herman was Urban Meyer’s offensive guru at Ohio State prior to taking the Houston job.  With the Cougars undefeated and facing a probable run into the top four before playing Louisville in November, if UH runs the table and makes the NCAA Playoffs, there is no way he could leave for another job at that point, and LSU’s recruiting effort for 2017 would be shot by then.

There are a few other options.  Bobby Petrino at Louisville and Todd Graham at Arizona State have proven to be as nomadic as Larry Brown on the basketball court.  A few extra pesos thrown their way can get them to jump.  Then there is the potential NFL route.  USC took Pete Carroll and reaped many rewards.  What if Sean Payton was available before the season ended?  Or, how about Bruce Arians?

 

A Lot of Haves

It’s still early in the season, but there are an inordinate amount of teams still undefeated four weeks into the season.  By December, the number will whittle down to two or three at most, but until then, there are some interesting match ups on the schedule ahead.

It starts this week, when Stanford and Washington square off in Seattle Friday night.  The game will air on ESPN at 9PM Eastern Time for those that want to watch the unofficial crowning of the Pac-12 North champion.  It continues Saturday, when Michigan host Wisconsin at 3:30 PM Eastern Time on ABC.  Then, in prime-time, Louisville ventured to Deaf Valley to face Clemson at 8 PM Eastern on ABC.

In the coming weeks, there are potential unbeaten contests between Tennessee and Texas A&M, Tennessee or Texas A&M against Alabama, Ohio State and Wisconsin, Ohio State and Nebraska, Nebraska and Wisconsin, Washington and Utah, Washington and Arizona State, Utah and Arizona State, Louisville and Houston, and Boise State and San Diego State in the MWC Championship Game.  Oh, and then there is the possibility that Ohio State and Michigan could square off in the Giant Horseshoe on November 26 with “everything” on the line.  The two rivals have been in this boat before.  Both teams were undefeated heading into this game in 1970, 1973, and 2006.

Bowl Projections Begin Today

We usually wait until after the first week in October to post our initial bowl projections, but we went ahead and scooted that up a week this year.  The reason why we did it is that we feel there are already fewer than 80 teams on pace to win six games.  With teams like USC, Oregon, California LSU, Texas Tech, Connecticut, Duke, and others looking at potential 5-7 seasons, it isn’t going to be easy finding some good bowl games.  Then, there are possibilities where a top 20 team could be squaring off against a 6-6 or 5-7 team in a bowl.  Although we do not favor 5-7 or even 6-6 teams getting post-season rewards, we will remind you that three 5-7 teams played in bowls last season, and all three won.  See our projections at the end of this feature.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Alabama 131.2 124.1 131.0 128.8
2 Louisville 127.9 122.3 128.1 126.1
3 Michigan 124.7 122.2 125.2 124.0
4 Ohio St. 123.2 122.5 124.7 123.5
5 Clemson 124.0 115.9 122.9 120.9
6 Tennessee 121.9 118.0 121.8 120.6
7 LSU 122.4 117.0 121.4 120.3
8 Oklahoma 120.1 117.4 120.0 119.2
9 Stanford 121.7 114.7 120.6 119.0
10 Houston 117.8 115.8 120.2 117.9
11 Miami 120.3 113.0 120.2 117.8
12 Florida St. 119.6 112.7 118.8 117.0
13 Washington 119.4 111.9 119.3 116.9
14 Virginia Tech 116.4 116.0 116.9 116.4
15 Texas A&M 116.5 115.0 116.4 116.0
16 Auburn 115.5 113.7 115.4 114.9
17 North Carolina 117.0 110.5 116.6 114.7
18 Pittsburgh 116.1 111.4 115.3 114.3
19 Ole Miss 116.4 110.1 115.9 114.1
20 Oklahoma St. 113.7 114.7 113.6 114.0
21 Wisconsin 114.2 112.2 114.7 113.7
22 TCU 113.3 114.6 113.1 113.7
23 Florida 112.8 115.7 111.1 113.2
24 Iowa 114.3 111.3 113.8 113.1
25 Baylor 112.3 112.4 113.3 112.7
26 Texas 112.2 113.7 111.3 112.4
27 Nebraska 113.0 109.4 113.2 111.9
28 USC 113.5 108.9 110.8 111.1
29 UCLA 111.4 110.2 111.0 110.9
30 Notre Dame 112.5 109.2 110.9 110.9
31 Mississippi St. 111.8 109.6 110.9 110.8
32 Oregon 111.3 109.8 110.5 110.5
33 Colorado 111.6 107.3 112.1 110.4
34 Arkansas 112.3 107.9 109.7 110.0
35 Michigan St. 110.9 109.8 109.2 110.0
36 Boise St. 108.8 109.6 110.6 109.7
37 South Florida 109.9 106.9 110.8 109.2
38 Utah 111.3 105.8 109.2 108.8
39 Kansas St. 107.2 110.2 107.1 108.2
40 Georgia Tech 109.7 105.7 108.7 108.0
41 Georgia 108.2 108.1 107.4 107.9
42 Arizona St. 108.2 108.1 107.0 107.8
43 BYU 109.9 103.8 109.5 107.7
44 Western Michigan 107.1 105.3 108.9 107.1
45 West Virginia 107.6 106.4 107.0 107.0
46 Washington St. 107.7 104.9 107.6 106.8
47 North Carolina St. 107.0 104.8 106.4 106.1
48 San Diego St. 106.0 103.1 108.4 105.9
49 Memphis 107.2 103.1 105.5 105.3
50 Penn St. 104.9 107.1 103.7 105.2
51 Arizona 105.6 103.0 104.6 104.4
52 Toledo 104.4 103.0 105.4 104.3
53 Texas Tech 105.6 103.4 103.5 104.2
54 Missouri 104.4 103.6 104.2 104.1
55 Northwestern 105.7 100.7 104.0 103.5
56 Minnesota 103.9 102.3 103.6 103.3
57 Central Michigan 101.6 103.7 102.6 102.6
58 Indiana 101.2 105.1 100.5 102.3
59 Wake Forest 102.9 101.2 102.3 102.2
60 Maryland 101.6 105.2 99.4 102.1
61 Air Force 101.1 101.7 101.6 101.5
62 California 104.8 97.1 102.5 101.5
63 Cincinnati 100.8 101.5 101.1 101.2
64 Vanderbilt 102.6 98.4 101.2 100.8
65 Duke 100.9 101.3 99.5 100.6
66 Virginia 101.5 99.1 101.0 100.5
67 Boston College 100.7 99.7 100.2 100.2
68 Syracuse 101.9 98.2 100.3 100.2
69 Tulsa 98.7 101.0 99.4 99.7
70 Western Kentucky 100.7 96.3 101.8 99.6
71 South Carolina 99.9 99.2 99.2 99.5
72 Temple 99.1 99.6 99.3 99.4
73 Navy 99.0 98.9 98.5 98.8
74 Appalachian St. 97.7 96.8 99.7 98.1
75 Rutgers 98.3 95.7 96.9 97.0
76 Iowa St. 97.4 97.0 96.2 96.9
77 Purdue 97.7 95.7 96.9 96.8
78 Army 92.6 101.0 95.6 96.4
79 Illinois 97.7 94.4 96.7 96.3
80 Kentucky 95.9 98.2 94.8 96.3
81 Connecticut 97.0 94.7 96.6 96.1
82 Oregon St. 97.6 93.4 95.5 95.5
83 Southern Mississippi 94.4 94.4 95.5 94.8
84 Utah St. 93.7 96.3 93.3 94.4
85 Ohio 91.2 99.8 92.2 94.4
86 Middle Tennessee 93.8 95.1 94.3 94.4
87 East Carolina 93.5 95.6 93.7 94.3
88 Troy 91.4 96.2 93.3 93.7
89 New Mexico 92.3 95.3 93.1 93.6
90 Nevada 91.5 94.6 92.5 92.9
91 Northern Illinois 91.7 92.9 92.4 92.3
92 Central Florida 91.2 93.8 91.3 92.1
93 Georgia Southern 91.3 91.1 93.6 92.0
94 SMU 91.2 90.7 93.5 91.8
95 Louisiana Tech 90.0 92.2 91.1 91.1
96 Marshall 89.0 92.8 90.8 90.9
97 UNLV 87.7 92.3 87.7 89.2
98 Akron 86.7 92.7 88.2 89.2
99 Arkansas St. 87.5 89.5 89.0 88.7
100 Colorado St. 87.2 89.5 87.7 88.1
101 San Jose St. 87.4 87.5 87.6 87.5
102 Old Dominion 86.0 89.3 86.2 87.2
103 Ball St. 86.1 88.2 87.1 87.1
104 Kansas 85.0 92.5 82.3 86.6
105 Tulane 84.3 88.1 84.6 85.7
106 Miami (O) 84.7 85.4 86.2 85.4
107 Bowling Green 85.7 84.5 85.1 85.1
108 Kent St. 84.0 85.3 84.2 84.5
109 Massachusetts 81.1 88.6 82.8 84.2
110 Georgia St. 81.6 86.7 83.3 83.9
111 Wyoming 83.3 83.6 83.5 83.5
112 Florida Atlantic 81.5 84.8 83.0 83.1
113 Rice 80.7 88.0 80.5 83.1
114 South Alabama 79.8 87.4 81.2 82.8
115 Fresno St. 81.5 85.6 81.1 82.7
116 UTSA 79.0 86.5 81.6 82.4
117 Buffalo 79.0 87.6 80.5 82.4
118 Eastern Michigan 80.5 85.1 81.4 82.3
119 UL-Lafayette 77.0 84.9 78.8 80.3
120 Idaho 77.8 83.4 79.2 80.1
121 Florida International 77.2 83.9 77.8 79.6
122 Hawaii 77.2 75.9 76.3 76.5
123 North Texas 75.4 78.3 75.6 76.5
124 New Mexico St. 72.9 75.7 73.7 74.1
125 UTEP 71.7 76.0 73.1 73.6
126 Charlotte 70.8 77.2 72.1 73.4
127 UL-Monroe 70.2 75.3 70.8 72.1
128 Texas St. 69.8 71.0 70.8 70.5

 

PiRate Retrodictive
# Team
1 Alabama
2 Ohio St.
3 Clemson
4 Houston
5 Michigan
6 Tennessee
7 Stanford
8 Washington
9 Louisville
10 Texas A&M
11 Wisconsin
12 Baylor
13 Nebraska
14 Arkansas
15 Florida St.
16 Utah
17 Oklahoma
18 Ole Miss
19 Miami (Fla)
20 LSU
21 Michigan St.
22 Georgia
23 San Diego St.
24 Florida
25 Toledo
26 Western Michigan
27 North Carolina
28 South Florida
29 Boise St.
30 Iowa
31 TCU
32 West Virginia
33 Oregon
34 Navy
35 UCLA
36 Arizona St.
37 Virginia Tech
38 Memphis
39 Notre Dame
40 Oklahoma St.
41 Central Michigan
42 Auburn
43 USC
44 Georgia Tech
45 California
46 Minnesota
47 Colorado
48 Pittsburgh
49 Texas
50 Western Kentucky
51 Texas Tech
52 Kansas St.
53 Penn St.
54 BYU
55 Mississippi St.
56 Air Force
57 Washington St.
58 Georgia Southern
59 Wake Forest
60 Maryland
61 Indiana
62 North Carolina St.
63 Cincinnati
64 Tulsa
65 Missouri
66 Army
67 South Carolina
68 Arizona
69 Southern Miss.
70 Troy
71 Appalachian St.
72 Northwestern
73 East Carolina
74 Temple
75 Utah St.
76 Akron
77 Louisiana Tech
78 Duke
79 Vanderbilt
80 Middle Tennessee
81 Marshall
82 Boston College
83 Rutgers
84 Connecticut
85 Ohio
86 Syracuse
87 Nevada
88 Colorado St.
89 Ball St.
90 Kentucky
91 Illinois
92 SMU
93 Virginia
94 Purdue
95 Oregon St.
96 Bowling Green
97 Tulane
98 San Jose St.
99 Wyoming
100 UL-Lafayette
101 Idaho
102 Central Florida
103 Arkansas St.
104 South Alabama
105 Texas St.
106 New Mexico
107 Northern Illinois
108 Fresno St.
109 Iowa St.
110 Florida Atlantic
111 UNLV
112 Old Dominion
113 UTEP
114 Massachusetts
115 Georgia St.
116 Kansas
117 Rice
118 UTSA
119 Eastern Michigan
120 UL-Monroe
121 New Mexico St.
122 Hawaii
123 Kent St.
124 North Texas
125 Buffalo
126 Miami (O)
127 Florida Int’l.
128 Charlotte

PiRate Rating By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
South Florida 109.9 106.9 110.8 109.2
Cincinnati 100.8 101.5 101.1 101.2
Temple 99.1 99.6 99.3 99.4
Connecticut 97.0 94.7 96.6 96.1
East Carolina 93.5 95.6 93.7 94.3
Central Florida 91.2 93.8 91.3 92.1
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Houston 117.8 115.8 120.2 117.9
Memphis 107.2 103.1 105.5 105.3
Tulsa 98.7 101.0 99.4 99.7
Navy 99.0 98.9 98.5 98.8
SMU 91.2 90.7 93.5 91.8
Tulane 84.3 88.1 84.6 85.7
         
AAC Averages 99.2 99.2 99.5 99.3
         
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Louisville 127.9 122.3 128.1 126.1
Clemson 124.0 115.9 122.9 120.9
Florida St. 119.6 112.7 118.8 117.0
North Carolina St. 107.0 104.8 106.4 106.1
Wake Forest 102.9 101.2 102.3 102.2
Boston College 100.7 99.7 100.2 100.2
Syracuse 101.9 98.2 100.3 100.2
         
Coastal Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Miami 120.3 113.0 120.2 117.8
Virginia Tech 116.4 116.0 116.9 116.4
North Carolina 117.0 110.5 116.6 114.7
Pittsburgh 116.1 111.4 115.3 114.3
Georgia Tech 109.7 105.7 108.7 108.0
Duke 100.9 101.3 99.5 100.6
Virginia 101.5 99.1 101.0 100.5
         
ACC Averages 111.8 108.0 111.2 110.4
         
Big 12 Conference
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Oklahoma 120.1 117.4 120.0 119.2
Oklahoma St. 113.7 114.7 113.6 114.0
TCU 113.3 114.6 113.1 113.7
Baylor 112.3 112.4 113.3 112.7
Texas 112.2 113.7 111.3 112.4
Kansas St. 107.2 110.2 107.1 108.2
West Virginia 107.6 106.4 107.0 107.0
Texas Tech 105.6 103.4 103.5 104.2
Iowa St. 97.4 97.0 96.2 96.9
Kansas 85.0 92.5 82.3 86.6
         
Big 12 Averages 107.4 108.3 106.7 107.5
         
Big Ten Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Michigan 124.7 122.2 125.2 124.0
Ohio St. 123.2 122.5 124.7 123.5
Michigan St. 110.9 109.8 109.2 110.0
Penn St. 104.9 107.1 103.7 105.2
Indiana 101.2 105.1 100.5 102.3
Maryland 101.6 105.2 99.4 102.1
Rutgers 98.3 95.7 96.9 97.0
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Wisconsin 114.2 112.2 114.7 113.7
Iowa 114.3 111.3 113.8 113.1
Nebraska 113.0 109.4 113.2 111.9
Northwestern 105.7 100.7 104.0 103.5
Minnesota 103.9 102.3 103.6 103.3
Purdue 97.7 95.7 96.9 96.8
Illinois 97.7 94.4 96.7 96.3
         
Big Ten Averages 108.0 106.7 107.3 107.3
         
Conference USA
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Kentucky 100.7 96.3 101.8 99.6
Middle Tennessee 93.8 95.1 94.3 94.4
Marshall 89.0 92.8 90.8 90.9
Old Dominion 86.0 89.3 86.2 87.2
Florida Atlantic 81.5 84.8 83.0 83.1
Florida International 77.2 83.9 77.8 79.6
Charlotte 70.8 77.2 72.1 73.4
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Southern Mississippi 94.4 94.4 95.5 94.8
Louisiana Tech 90.0 92.2 91.1 91.1
Rice 80.7 88.0 80.5 83.1
UTSA 79.0 86.5 81.6 82.4
North Texas 75.4 78.3 75.6 76.5
UTEP 71.7 76.0 73.1 73.6
         
CUSA Averages 83.9 87.3 84.9 85.4
         
FBS Independents
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Notre Dame 112.5 109.2 110.9 110.9
BYU 109.9 103.8 109.5 107.7
Army 92.6 101.0 95.6 96.4
Massachusetts 81.1 88.6 82.8 84.2
         
Independents Averages 99.0 100.7 99.7 99.8
         
Mid-American Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ohio 91.2 99.8 92.2 94.4
Akron 86.7 92.7 88.2 89.2
Miami (O) 84.7 85.4 86.2 85.4
Bowling Green 85.7 84.5 85.1 85.1
Kent St. 84.0 85.3 84.2 84.5
Buffalo 79.0 87.6 80.5 82.4
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Michigan 107.1 105.3 108.9 107.1
Toledo 104.4 103.0 105.4 104.3
Central Michigan 101.6 103.7 102.6 102.6
Northern Illinois 91.7 92.9 92.4 92.3
Ball St. 86.1 88.2 87.1 87.1
Eastern Michigan 80.5 85.1 81.4 82.3
         
MAC Averages 90.2 92.8 91.2 91.4
         
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Boise St. 108.8 109.6 110.6 109.7
Air Force 101.1 101.7 101.6 101.5
Utah St. 93.7 96.3 93.3 94.4
New Mexico 92.3 95.3 93.1 93.6
Colorado St. 87.2 89.5 87.7 88.1
Wyoming 83.3 83.6 83.5 83.5
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
San Diego St. 106.0 103.1 108.4 105.9
Nevada 91.5 94.6 92.5 92.9
UNLV 87.7 92.3 87.7 89.2
San Jose St. 87.4 87.5 87.6 87.5
Fresno St. 81.5 85.6 81.1 82.7
Hawaii 77.2 75.9 76.3 76.5
         
MWC Averages 91.5 93.0 91.9 92.1
         
Pac-12 Conference
North Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Stanford 121.7 114.7 120.6 119.0
Washington 119.4 111.9 119.3 116.9
Oregon 111.3 109.8 110.5 110.5
Washington St. 107.7 104.9 107.6 106.8
California 104.8 97.1 102.5 101.5
Oregon St. 97.6 93.4 95.5 95.5
         
South Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
USC 113.5 108.9 110.8 111.1
UCLA 111.4 110.2 111.0 110.9
Colorado 111.6 107.3 112.1 110.4
Utah 111.3 105.8 109.2 108.8
Arizona St. 108.2 108.1 107.0 107.8
Arizona 105.6 103.0 104.6 104.4
         
Pac-12 Averages 110.3 106.3 109.2 108.6
         
Southeastern Conference
East Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Tennessee 121.9 118.0 121.8 120.6
Florida 112.8 115.7 111.1 113.2
Georgia 108.2 108.1 107.4 107.9
Missouri 104.4 103.6 104.2 104.1
Vanderbilt 102.6 98.4 101.2 100.8
South Carolina 99.9 99.2 99.2 99.5
Kentucky 95.9 98.2 94.8 96.3
         
West Division        
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Alabama 131.2 124.1 131.0 128.8
LSU 122.4 117.0 121.4 120.3
Texas A&M 116.5 115.0 116.4 116.0
Auburn 115.5 113.7 115.4 114.9
Ole Miss 116.4 110.1 115.9 114.1
Mississippi St. 111.8 109.6 110.9 110.8
Arkansas 112.3 107.9 109.7 110.0
         
SEC Averages 112.3 109.9 111.5 111.2
         
Sunbelt Conference
Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
Appalachian St. 97.7 96.8 99.7 98.1
Troy 91.4 96.2 93.3 93.7
Georgia Southern 91.3 91.1 93.6 92.0
Arkansas St. 87.5 89.5 89.0 88.7
Georgia St. 81.6 86.7 83.3 83.9
South Alabama 79.8 87.4 81.2 82.8
UL-Lafayette 77.0 84.9 78.8 80.3
Idaho 77.8 83.4 79.2 80.1
New Mexico St. 72.9 75.7 73.7 74.1
UL-Monroe 70.2 75.3 70.8 72.1
Texas St. 69.8 71.0 70.8 70.5
         
Sun Belt Averages 81.5 85.3 83.0 83.3

Conference Ratings

PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 SEC 112.3 109.9 111.5 111.2
2 ACC 111.8 108.0 111.2 110.4
3 Pac-12 110.3 106.3 109.2 108.6
4 Big 12 107.4 108.3 106.7 107.5
5 Big Ten 108.0 106.7 107.3 107.3
6 Independents 99.0 100.7 99.7 99.8
7 AAC 99.2 99.2 99.5 99.3
8 MWC 91.5 93.0 91.9 92.1
9 MAC 90.2 92.8 91.2 91.4
10 CUSA 83.9 87.3 84.9 85.4
11 Sun Belt 81.5 85.3 83.0 83.3

 

This Week’s Games–September 29-October 1
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Thursday, September 29      
Texas Tech Kansas 23.6 13.9 24.2
Houston Connecticut 23.8 24.1 26.6
         
Friday, September 30      
BYU Toledo 9.0 4.3 7.6
Washington Stanford 0.7 0.2 1.7
         
Saturday, October 1      
Boston College Buffalo 24.2 14.6 22.2
Pittsburgh Marshall 29.1 20.6 26.5
Ole Miss Memphis 11.2 9.0 12.4
Massachusetts Tulane -0.2 3.5 1.2
Penn St. Minnesota 4.0 7.8 3.1
Iowa Northwestern 11.6 13.6 12.8
Ohio St. Rutgers 27.9 29.8 30.8
West Virginia Kansas St. 3.4 -0.8 2.9
Duke Virginia 2.4 5.2 1.5
Syracuse Notre Dame -7.6 -8.0 -7.6
Cincinnati South Florida -6.1 -2.4 -6.7
Temple SMU 10.9 11.9 8.8
Charlotte Old Dominion -13.2 -10.1 -12.1
North Texas Middle Tennessee -15.4 -13.8 -15.7
Louisiana Tech UTEP 21.3 19.2 21.0
Florida Int’l Florida Atlantic -12.3 1.1 -3.2
Central Michigan Western Michigan -3.5 0.4 -4.3
Ball St. Northern Illinois -3.1 -1.8 -2.8
Bowling Green Eastern Michigan 7.7 1.9 6.2
Miami (O) Ohio -4.5 -12.4 -4.0
East Carolina Central Florida 5.3 4.8 5.4
Kent St. Akron -0.7 -5.4 -2.0
Maryland Purdue 6.9 12.5 5.5
Georgia Tech Miami (Fla) -7.6 -4.3 -8.5
Nebraska Illinois 18.3 18.0 19.5
Michigan Wisconsin 13.5 13.0 13.5
Clemson Louisville -0.9 -3.4 -2.2
Florida St. North Carolina 5.6 5.2 5.2
Auburn UL-Monroe 48.3 41.4 47.6
Air Force Navy 5.1 5.8 6.1
Southern Miss. Rice 16.7 9.4 18.3
Colorado St. Wyoming 5.9 7.9 6.2
Alabama Kentucky 38.3 39.9 39.2
Georgia Tennessee -10.7 -6.9 -11.4
Appalachian St. Georgia St. 19.1 13.1 19.4
Vanderbilt Florida -7.7 -14.8 -7.4
California Utah -3.5 -5.7 -3.7
Oklahoma St. Texas 4.5 4.0 5.3
Colorado Oregon St. 17.0 16.9 19.6
North Carolina St. Wake Forest 6.6 6.1 6.6
South Carolina Texas A&M -13.6 -12.8 -14.2
UCLA Arizona 8.8 10.2 9.4
USC Arizona St. 8.3 3.8 6.8
Iowa St. Baylor -11.9 -12.4 -14.1
Indiana Michigan St. -6.7 -1.7 -5.7
TCU Oklahoma -3.8 0.2 -3.9
LSU Missouri 21.0 16.4 20.2
South Alabama San Diego St. -22.7 -12.2 -23.7
New Mexico St. UL-Lafayette -1.6 -6.7 -2.6
Idaho Troy -10.6 -9.8 -11.1
New Mexico San Jose St. 7.9 10.8 8.5
Boise St. Utah St. 18.1 16.3 20.3
Washington St. Oregon -0.6 -1.9 0.1
UNLV Fresno St. 9.2 9.7 9.6
Hawaii Nevada -10.3 -14.7 -12.2

This Week’s FBS vs. FCS Games

FBS vs. FCS Week 5  
Home Visitor PiRate
Arkansas Alcorn St. 50
Western Kentucky Houston Baptist 45
Texas St. Incarnate Word 15

Bowl Projections

Bowl Conferences Team vs. Team
New Mexico MWC CUSA New Mexico vs. Old Dominion
Las Vegas Pac-12 MWC USC vs. Boise St.
Cure AAC SBC [Akron] vs. UL-Lafayette
Camellia MAC SBC Ball St. vs. Ga. Southern
New Orleans CUSA SBC W. Kentucky vs. Troy
Miami Beach AAC MAC Cincinnati vs. W. Michigan
Boca Raton AAC CUSA Memphis vs. Sou. Miss.
Poinsettia MWC BYU Air Force vs. BYU
Idaho Potato MAC MWC C. Michigan vs. Colorado St.
Bahamas AAC/CUSA MAC/CUSA Tulsa vs. Toledo
Armed Forces Navy Big 12 Navy vs. Texas Tech
Dollar General MAC SBC Ohio vs. Appy St.
Hawaii CUSA MWC Marshall vs. San Diego St.
St. Petersburg AAC ACC/ND Connecticut vs. Notre Dame
Quick Lane ACC/ND Big Ten Pittsburgh vs. Indiana
Independence SEC ACC/ND [Army] vs. Georgia Tech
Heart of Dallas Big Ten CUSA Maryland vs. Middle Tenn.
Military ACC/ND AAC N. C. State vs. Temple
Holiday Big Ten Pac-12 Michigan St. vs. Colorado
Cactus Big 12 Pac-12 Texas vs. Oregon
Pinstripe ACC/ND Big Ten Wake Forest vs. Minnesota
Russell Athletic ACC/ND Big 12 Florida St. vs. West Virginia
Foster Farms Big Ten Pac-12 Iowa vs. Arizona St.
Texas Big 12 SEC Kansas St. vs. Arkansas
Birmingham AAC SEC South Florida vs. [Duke]
Belk ACC/ND SEC Virginia Tech vs. Georgia
Alamo Big 12 Pac-12 TCU vs. Utah
Liberty Big 12 SEC Oklahoma St. vs. LSU
Sun ACC/ND Pac-12 N. Carolina vs. UCLA
Arizona CUSA/SBC MWC/SBC La. Tech vs. Utah St.
Music City ACC/ND/B10 SEC Penn St. vs. [California]
Orange ACC/ND B10/SEC Louisville vs. Baylor
Citrus ACC/ND/B10 SEC Wisconsin vs. Ole Miss
TaxSlayer ACC/ND/B10 SEC Miami (Fla.) vs. Auburn
Peach Semifinal Semifinal Alabama vs. Washington
Fiesta Semifinal Semifinal Ohio St. vs. Clemson
Outback Big Ten SEC Nebraska vs. Florida
Cotton At-Large At-Large Houston vs. Texas A&M
Rose Big Ten Pac-12 Michigan vs. Stanford
Sugar Big 12 SEC Tennessee vs. Oklahoma
Nat’l Champ. Semifinal Winners Alabama vs. Ohio St.

 

 

 

 

 

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