Weather will not be as much of a factor this week as it was last week with sub-zero temperatures. There is a chance for a wet field in the Carolina-Seattle game on Sunday.
The computer simulation was conducted earlier today, and the results are in.
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http://westwoodonesports.com/stations/
Saturday, January 16, 2016
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots
Kickoff: 4:35 PM EST
TV: CBS
Las Vegas Line: New England by 4 1/2 to 5
Totals: 42 to 42 1/2
Money Line Avg.: New England -230 Kansas City +190
PiRate Ratings
PiRate: New England by 2.2
Mean: New England by 0.6
Bias: New England by 0.1
100 Simulations
New England wins: 50
Kansas City wins: 50
Average score: New England 24.8 Kansas City 24.5
St. Deviation: 11.4
Outlier NE win: 42-14
Outlier KC win: 29-6
Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals
Kickoff: 8:15 PM EST
TV: NBC
Las Vegas Line: Arizona by 7
Totals: 49 1/2 to 50
Money Line Avg.: Arizona -320 Green Bay +260
PiRate Ratings
PiRate: Arizona by 7.7
Mean: Arizona by 7.9
Bias: Arizona by 8.7
100 Simulations
Arizona wins: 73
Green Bay wins: 27
Average Score: Arizona 32.1 Green Bay 23.8
St Deviation: 8.4
Outlier Ari win: 45-16
Outlier GB win: 35-23
Sunday, January 17, 2016
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers
Kickoff: 1:05 PM EST
TV: Fox
Las Vegas Line: Carolina by 1 1/2 to 2
Totals: 44
Money Line Avg.: Carolina -125 Seattle +105
PiRate Ratings
PiRate: Carolina by 0.4
Mean: Carolina by 1.2
Bias: Carolina by 1.9
100 Simulations
Carolina wins 43
Seattle wins 57
Average Score: Seattle 19.9 Carolina 18.8
St Deviation: 7.2
Outlier Car win: 26-10
Outlier Sea win: 24-3
Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos
Kickoff: 4:40 PM EST
TV: CBS
Las Vegas Line: Denver by 7 to 7 1/2
Totals: 38 1/2 to 39
Money Line Avg.: Denver -340 Pittsburgh +285
PiRate Ratings
PiRate: Pittsburgh by 0.8
Mean: Pittsburgh by 1.5
Bias: Pittsburgh by 1.2
100 Simulations
Denver wins: 55
Pittsburgh wins: 45
Average Score: Denver 20.0 Pittsburgh 18.6
St Deviation: 8.4
Outlier Den win: 31-10
Outlier Pit win: 24-9
Does this take into account Pitt not having Antonio Brown?
Comment by Thomas — January 15, 2016 @ 10:52 am
Yes, it included Brown’s injury as well as others like Jeremy Maclin in his game and Peyton Manning playing less than healthy.
We plug in the projected starters for offense, defense, and special teams in the simulator. It then creates a random number that affects the game and predicts the outcome based on the random number and the talent comps.
Comment by piratings — January 18, 2016 @ 2:49 pm