The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 5, 2016

PiRate Ratings NFL Wildcard Round

The 2016 NFL Playoffs on paper look like the most competitive in many years.  In the AFC, there is no clear cut winner, and it would not shock us at all if almost every game on this side was close.

 

The NFC appeared to have been top heavy with the top two seeds clearly better than the rest, but in the final two weeks, Carolina and Arizona appeared to be having some issues, while Minnesota and Seattle looked to be hitting their peaks.  The Washington Redskins closed on a nice streak as well, and only the Green Bay Packers really limped into the playoffs.

 

Final Regular Season NFL PiRate Ratings
N F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Washington 99.7 100.4 101.6 100.6 9-7-0 388 379
Philadelphia 98.0 97.8 98.3 98.0 7-9-0 377 430
N.Y. Giants 98.4 97.8 97.4 97.9 6-10-0 420 442
Dallas 97.8 96.3 96.0 96.7 4-12-0 275 374
               
North PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Minnesota 105.4 105.5 108.2 106.4 11-5-0 365 302
Green Bay 103.8 103.2 103.4 103.5 10-6-0 368 323
Detroit 100.1 99.4 100.1 99.9 7-9-0 358 400
Chicago 97.0 96.5 96.6 96.7 6-10-0 335 397
               
South PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Carolina 108.7 109.1 110.5 109.4 15-1-0 500 308
Atlanta 97.1 96.9 96.4 96.8 8-8-0 339 345
New Orleans 95.7 94.9 96.4 95.7 7-9-0 408 476
Tampa Bay 93.2 92.5 91.6 92.4 6-10-0 342 417
               
West PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Seattle 111.4 111.0 111.6 111.3 10-6-0 423 277
Arizona 109.8 109.7 111.0 110.2 13-3-0 489 313
St. Louis 96.8 97.5 97.5 97.3 7-9-0 280 330
San Francisco 94.2 93.0 93.9 93.7 5-11-0 238 387
               
A F C
East PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
New England 107.0 106.4 105.5 106.3 12-4-0 465 315
N. Y. Jets 102.4 103.1 102.8 102.8 10-6-0 387 314
Buffalo 101.2 101.8 101.4 101.5 8-8-0 379 359
Miami 96.5 96.3 95.4 96.1 6-10-0 310 389
               
North PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Pittsburgh 107.3 107.5 107.2 107.3 10-6-0 423 319
Cincinnati 106.8 107.3 107.3 107.1 12-4-0 419 279
Baltimore 98.3 97.6 97.3 97.7 5-11-0 328 401
Cleveland 92.5 92.0 92.5 92.3 3-13-0 278 432
               
South PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Houston 100.9 102.5 102.3 101.9 9-7-0 339 313
Indianapolis 95.6 95.8 95.3 95.6 8-8-0 333 408
Jacksonville 92.2 93.2 90.8 92.1 5-11-0 376 448
Tennessee 89.3 89.4 88.6 89.1 3-13-0 299 423
               
West PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Kansas City 105.6 106.4 105.8 105.9 11-5-0 405 287
Denver 103.9 103.6 103.8 103.8 12-4-0 355 296
San Diego 96.9 97.5 97.2 97.2 4-12-0 320 398
Oakland 96.5 98.1 96.5 97.0 7-9-0 359 399

 

The Playoff Teams Ratings

Current NFL Playoffs PiRate Ratings
NFC PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Seattle 111.4 111.0 111.6 111.3 10-6-0 423 277
Arizona 109.8 109.7 111.0 110.2 13-3-0 489 313
Carolina 108.7 109.1 110.5 109.4 15-1-0 500 308
Minnesota 105.4 105.5 108.2 106.4 11-5-0 365 302
Green Bay 103.8 103.2 103.4 103.5 10-6-0 368 323
Washington 99.7 100.4 101.6 100.6 9-7-0 388 379
               
AFC PiRate Mean Bias Average W-L-T Pts Opp
Pittsburgh 107.3 107.5 107.2 107.3 10-6-0 423 319
Cincinnati 106.8 107.3 107.3 107.1 12-4-0 419 279
New England 107.0 106.4 105.5 106.3 12-4-0 465 315
Kansas City 105.6 106.4 105.8 105.9 11-5-0 405 287
Denver 103.9 103.6 103.8 103.8 12-4-0 355 296
Houston 100.9 102.5 102.3 101.9 9-7-0 339 313

Note: Computer Simulations of the Wildcard Playoff Round will be published on Friday, January 8

This Week’s Games
         
Week Number: Wildcard Round      
Date of Games: January 9-10      
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Houston Kansas City -1.7 -0.9 -0.5
Cincinnati Pittsburgh 2.0 2.3 2.6
Minnesota Seattle -3.0 -2.5 -0.4
Washington Green Bay -1.1 0.2 1.2
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