The Pi-Rate Ratings

December 7, 2015

College Football Preview–December 12, 2015

Filed under: College Football — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 6:42 am

There is just one regular season FBS game remaining, and it’s the Army-Navy game this week to be played at Franklin Financial Field in Philadelphia.

 

Because our ratings rely on the results of all teams, we cannot post our bowl predictions until this game is finished. Our spreads of all 40 bowl games/playoff games will be posted after this game concludes.

This Week’s Game
         
Opponent Opponent PiRate Mean Bias
Saturday, December 12
Army Navy -27.8 -24.3 -27.6
Game to be played in Philadelphia

PiRate Ratings For This Week

PiRate Retrodictive
# Team
1 Alabama
2 Clemson
3 Oklahoma
4 Ohio St.
5 Michigan St.
6 Stanford
7 Notre Dame
8 Iowa
9 Florida St.
10 TCU
11 Ole Miss
12 North Carolina
13 Houston
14 Oklahoma St.
15 LSU
16 Oregon
17 Baylor
18 Florida
19 Northwestern
20 Michigan
21 Utah
22 USC
23 Tennessee
24 Wisconsin
25 Georgia
26 Navy
27 Memphis
28 Arkansas
29 Western Kentucky
30 Bowling Green
31 Mississippi St.
32 UCLA
33 Toledo
34 Temple
35 Texas A&M
36 BYU
37 California
38 Pittsburgh
39 West Virginia
40 Miami (Fla.)
41 Washington
42 South Florida
43 Washington St.
44 Appalachian St.
45 San Diego St.
46 Texas Tech
47 Louisville
48 Penn St.
49 North Carolina St.
50 Auburn
51 Arizona St.
52 Western Michigan
53 Boise St.
54 Virginia Tech
55 Cincinnati
56 Arkansas St.
57 Nebraska
58 Kansas St.
59 Southern Miss.
60 Indiana
61 Georgia Southern
62 Marshall
63 Duke
64 Texas
65 Northern Illinois
66 Air Force
67 Minnesota
68 Louisiana Tech
69 Illinois
70 Arizona
71 Central Michigan
72 Ohio
73 Georgia Tech
74 Utah St.
75 Connecticut
76 Missouri
77 East Carolina
78 Middle Tennessee
79 Virginia
80 Iowa St.
81 South Carolina
82 Vanderbilt
83 Akron
84 Tulsa
85 Maryland
86 Colorado St.
87 Syracuse
88 Georgia St.
89 Kentucky
90 New Mexico
91 Colorado
92 San Jose St.
93 Rutgers
94 Boston College
95 Wake Forest
96 Nevada
97 Buffalo
98 Oregon St.
99 Purdue
100 South Alabama
101 Troy
102 Florida Int’l.
103 Ball St.
104 Florida Atlantic
105 Rice
106 SMU
107 Idaho
108 Old Dominion
109 Massachusetts
110 UNLV
111 UTEP
112 Louisiana-Lafayette
113 Fresno St.
114 Tulane
115 Kent St.
116 Miami (O)
117 Texas St.
118 UTSA
119 Kansas
120 New Mexico St.
121 Hawaii
122 Wyoming
123 Louisiana-Monroe
124 Army
125 North Texas
126 Charlotte
127 Eastern Michigan
128 Central Florida

 

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Alabama 131.5 129.1 131.4 130.7
2 Oklahoma 130.2 126.5 130.9 129.2
3 Ohio St. 129.0 124.6 129.8 127.8
4 Stanford 124.5 121.7 124.9 123.7
5 Ole Miss 124.7 120.2 123.9 122.9
6 Clemson 121.8 122.6 122.0 122.1
7 Baylor 122.9 118.8 122.7 121.5
8 North Carolina 121.1 121.4 120.7 121.1
9 TCU 123.1 115.6 124.0 120.9
10 Notre Dame 121.2 118.9 120.9 120.3
11 Arkansas 121.3 116.4 120.8 119.5
12 Michigan St. 119.7 117.2 119.7 118.9
13 Tennessee 120.1 116.2 120.2 118.8
14 LSU 119.8 116.4 119.4 118.5
15 UCLA 120.5 114.8 118.9 118.1
16 USC 119.7 115.0 118.7 117.8
17 Florida St. 117.2 118.4 117.1 117.6
18 Oregon 118.6 113.3 118.8 116.9
19 Utah 118.1 112.3 116.3 115.6
20 Mississippi St. 116.5 113.1 116.5 115.4
21 Washington 115.9 112.6 115.8 114.8
22 Michigan 115.8 113.0 115.3 114.7
23 Texas A&M 116.4 112.9 114.4 114.6
24 Georgia 116.1 111.2 115.4 114.2
25 Oklahoma St. 115.1 111.9 114.7 113.9
26 Florida 114.5 111.4 114.4 113.4
27 California 115.0 109.7 114.1 112.9
28 West Virginia 114.9 109.2 114.3 112.8
29 Arizona St. 114.4 109.5 114.0 112.6
30 Iowa 111.7 113.3 112.5 112.5
31 Houston 109.8 115.2 112.0 112.3
32 Auburn 113.6 110.4 112.3 112.1
33 Wisconsin 111.6 111.2 110.8 111.2
34 Bowling Green 108.5 113.3 111.6 111.1
35 Virginia Tech 110.7 110.4 110.8 110.6
36 Western Kentucky 109.5 110.4 111.2 110.4
37 North Carolina St. 109.4 110.4 107.9 109.2
38 BYU 108.1 108.3 109.3 108.6
39 Louisville 108.0 109.5 107.9 108.5
40 Temple 106.9 109.9 108.4 108.4
41 Memphis 107.7 108.8 108.0 108.2
42 Pittsburgh 107.5 108.1 107.8 107.8
43 Nebraska 108.5 106.9 107.8 107.7
44 Georgia Tech 109.1 106.5 107.5 107.7
45 Washington St. 108.5 105.1 109.3 107.6
46 Navy 105.9 109.9 107.0 107.6
47 San Diego St. 105.7 109.8 106.9 107.5
48 Miami 106.1 106.7 107.2 106.7
49 Northwestern 106.4 106.6 106.6 106.5
50 Boise St. 107.3 105.1 107.2 106.5
51 Texas 107.5 103.4 107.3 106.1
52 South Carolina 107.3 104.2 106.3 105.9
53 Arizona 107.9 102.4 106.8 105.7
54 Texas Tech 108.1 100.4 108.3 105.6
55 Missouri 106.9 103.4 105.6 105.3
56 Toledo 103.7 105.0 104.9 104.5
57 South Florida 102.1 107.8 103.4 104.4
58 Minnesota 105.1 103.6 104.2 104.3
59 Western Michigan 102.6 103.8 104.0 103.5
60 Penn St. 103.8 103.3 103.0 103.4
61 Colorado 105.3 100.5 103.7 103.2
62 Kansas St. 106.0 97.5 105.7 103.1
63 Cincinnati 102.0 103.9 103.3 103.1
64 Duke 103.0 103.0 102.8 102.9
65 Illinois 104.1 101.9 102.8 102.9
66 Virginia 102.7 101.8 103.1 102.5
67 Indiana 101.0 101.3 101.3 101.2
68 Boston College 100.3 102.6 98.8 100.6
69 Kentucky 101.8 98.4 100.1 100.1
70 Air Force 98.7 102.1 99.1 100.0
71 Southern Mississippi 98.8 100.9 99.6 99.8
72 Iowa St. 100.4 96.3 100.1 98.9
73 Georgia Southern 97.2 100.0 99.1 98.8
74 Louisiana Tech 98.3 98.6 99.1 98.7
75 Vanderbilt 100.2 96.0 99.4 98.5
76 Marshall 97.9 98.5 97.6 98.0
77 Appalachian St. 96.4 99.5 97.9 97.9
78 Northern Illinois 96.0 99.8 96.9 97.6
79 Wake Forest 96.5 99.3 96.1 97.3
80 Utah St. 97.6 97.8 96.0 97.1
81 Arkansas St. 95.2 97.0 97.5 96.6
82 Middle Tennessee 96.6 96.2 96.7 96.5
83 East Carolina 94.7 98.5 95.6 96.3
84 Syracuse 95.1 97.9 95.0 96.0
85 Purdue 95.1 94.1 93.4 94.2
86 Maryland 94.5 93.4 94.4 94.1
87 Connecticut 91.0 95.5 92.3 92.9
88 San Jose St. 92.2 94.2 92.2 92.9
89 Colorado St. 92.8 93.3 92.3 92.8
90 New Mexico 92.3 93.4 91.8 92.5
91 Central Michigan 90.3 94.2 91.7 92.1
92 Rutgers 93.5 90.8 91.2 91.8
93 Tulsa 89.8 93.9 90.9 91.5
94 Nevada 89.7 93.6 90.0 91.1
95 Ohio 88.8 93.2 90.9 91.0
96 Akron 86.1 92.9 88.4 89.1
97 Georgia St. 86.2 87.9 87.6 87.2
98 Oregon St. 88.7 85.3 86.6 86.9
99 Florida Atlantic 84.1 87.5 84.9 85.5
100 Troy 84.2 85.5 84.8 84.8
101 Florida International 83.8 86.2 83.9 84.6
102 SMU 83.3 86.9 82.9 84.4
103 Massachusetts 82.6 86.1 83.4 84.0
104 Buffalo 81.1 86.3 81.7 83.0
105 Tulane 82.2 84.7 80.9 82.6
106 UNLV 81.9 83.6 81.9 82.5
107 Fresno St. 81.5 84.2 79.7 81.8
108 Army 78.1 85.6 79.4 81.0
109 Wyoming 80.0 81.6 79.2 80.3
110 Rice 78.6 81.4 78.4 79.5
111 Ball St. 78.7 80.7 78.9 79.4
112 UTEP 78.4 81.0 78.2 79.2
113 Old Dominion 76.7 80.6 76.4 77.9
114 Kent St. 77.1 79.0 77.4 77.8
115 Hawaii 77.9 79.0 76.3 77.7
116 UT-San Antonio 76.8 79.2 77.1 77.7
117 Miami (O) 75.4 80.3 76.3 77.3
118 UL-Lafayette 76.6 79.1 76.3 77.3
119 South Alabama 75.0 79.8 75.9 76.9
120 Idaho 74.1 79.1 75.5 76.2
121 Central Florida 74.9 77.8 74.6 75.8
122 Texas St. 73.2 75.6 72.8 73.9
123 Eastern Michigan 71.5 77.6 71.7 73.6
124 North Texas 72.4 75.8 72.2 73.5
125 New Mexico St. 72.6 73.8 72.0 72.8
126 Kansas 75.5 68.7 72.9 72.4
127 UL-Monroe 71.4 71.4 71.7 71.5
128 Charlotte 67.5 69.1 67.0 67.9

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 SEC 115.1 111.4 114.3 113.6
2 Pac-12 113.1 108.5 112.3 111.3
3 Big 12 110.4 104.8 110.1 108.4
4 ACC 107.8 108.5 107.5 107.9
5 Big Ten 107.1 105.8 106.6 106.5
6 Indep. 102.5 104.3 103.2 103.3
7 AAC 95.9 99.4 96.6 97.3
8 MWC 91.5 93.1 91.1 91.9
9 MAC 87.9 91.7 89.1 89.5
10 CUSA 86.1 88.1 86.3 86.8
11 SBC 82.0 84.4 82.8 83.1

 

Bowl Pairings

Bowl Conferences Team vs. Team
Cure AAC SBC San Jose St. * vs. Georgia St.
New Mexico MWC CUSA New Mexico vs. Arizona *
Las Vegas Pac-12 MWC/BYU Utah vs. BYU
Camellia MAC SBC Ohio vs. Appalachian St.
New Orleans CUSA SBC Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas St.
Miami Beach AAC CUSA South Florida vs. Western Kentucky
Idaho Potato MAC MWC Akron vs. Utah St.
Boca Raton AAC MAC Temple vs. Toledo
Poinsettia MWC Army Boise St. vs. Northern Illinois
GoDaddy MAC SBC Bowling Green vs. Georgia Southern
Bahamas CUSA MAC Middle Tennessee vs. Western Michigan
Hawaii AAC MWC/BYU Cincinnati vs. San Diego St.
St. Petersburg AAC CUSA Connecticut vs. Marshall
Sun ACC Pac-12 Miami vs. Washington St.
Heart of Dallas Big 12 CUSA Washington * vs. Southern Miss.
Pinstripe ACC Big Ten Duke vs. Indiana
Independence SEC ACC Tulsa * vs. Virginia Tech
Foster Farms Big Ten Pac-12 Nebraska vs. UCLA
Military ACC AAC Pittsburgh vs. Navy
Quick Lane ACC Big Ten Central Michigan * vs. Minnesota
Armed Forces Big Ten MWC California * vs. Air Force
Russell Athletic ACC Big 12 North Carolina vs. Baylor
Arizona CUSA MWC Colorado St. * vs. Nevada
Texas Big 12 SEC Texas Tech vs. LSU
Birmingham AAC SEC Memphis vs. Auburn
Belk ACC SEC North Carolina St. vs. Mississippi St.
Music City ACC/Big Ten SEC Louisville vs. Texas A&M
Peach N. Y. 6 N. Y. 6 Florida St. vs. Houston
Cotton Playoff Playoff Alabama vs. Michigan St.
Orange Playoff Playoff Clemson vs. Oklahoma
Holiday Big Ten Pac-12 Wisconsin vs. USC
Ouback Big Ten SEC Northwestern vs. Tennessee
Citrus Big Ten SEC Michigan vs. Florida
Sugar Big 12 SEC Oklahoma St. vs. Ole Miss
Rose Big Ten Pac-12 Iowa vs. Stanford
Fiesta N. Y. 6 N. Y. 6 Ohio St. vs. Notre Dame
TaxSlayer ACC/Big Ten SEC Penn St. vs. Georgia
Liberty Big 12 SEC Kansas St. vs. Arkansas
Alamo Big 12 Pac-12 TCU vs. Oregon
Cactus Big 12 Pac-12 West Virginia vs. Arizona St.
Nat’l Champ. Semifinal Winners Michigan St. vs. Oklahoma
           
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot

 

FCS Playoffs

2nd Round    
Jacksonville St. 41 ot
Chattanooga 35  
     
Charleston Sou. 14  
Citadel 6  
     
Colgate 44  
James Madison 38  
     
Sam Houston 34  
McNeese St. 29  
     
North Dakota St. 37  
Montana 6  
     
Northern Iowa 29  
Portland St. 17  
     
Richmond 48  
William & Mary 13  
     
Illinois St. 36  
Western Illinois 19  

 

Quarterfinal Round Games

Quarterfinals D. 11-13 All times ET
@ Illinois St. 10-2 D.11 7:30 PM
Richmond 9-3 ESPN3
     
@ Sam Houston 10-3 D.12 8PM
Colgate 9-4  No TV
     
@ Jacksonville St. 11-1 D.11 8 PM
Charleston Southern 10-2 ESPN2
     
@ North Dakota St. 10-2 D.13 12 AM
Northern Iowa 9-4 ESPN

 

 

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