College Football Preview–December 12, 2015

There is just one regular season FBS game remaining, and it’s the Army-Navy game this week to be played at Franklin Financial Field in Philadelphia.

 

Because our ratings rely on the results of all teams, we cannot post our bowl predictions until this game is finished. Our spreads of all 40 bowl games/playoff games will be posted after this game concludes.

This Week’s Game
Opponent	Opponent	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Saturday, December 12
Army	Navy	-27.8	-24.3	-27.6
Game to be played in Philadelphia

PiRate Ratings For This Week

PiRate Retrodictive
#	Team
1	Alabama
2	Clemson
3	Oklahoma
4	Ohio St.
5	Michigan St.
6	Stanford
7	Notre Dame
8	Iowa
9	Florida St.
10	TCU
11	Ole Miss
12	North Carolina
13	Houston
14	Oklahoma St.
15	LSU
16	Oregon
17	Baylor
18	Florida
19	Northwestern
20	Michigan
21	Utah
22	USC
23	Tennessee
24	Wisconsin
25	Georgia
26	Navy
27	Memphis
28	Arkansas
29	Western Kentucky
30	Bowling Green
31	Mississippi St.
32	UCLA
33	Toledo
34	Temple
35	Texas A&M
36	BYU
37	California
38	Pittsburgh
39	West Virginia
40	Miami (Fla.)
41	Washington
42	South Florida
43	Washington St.
44	Appalachian St.
45	San Diego St.
46	Texas Tech
47	Louisville
48	Penn St.
49	North Carolina St.
50	Auburn
51	Arizona St.
52	Western Michigan
53	Boise St.
54	Virginia Tech
55	Cincinnati
56	Arkansas St.
57	Nebraska
58	Kansas St.
59	Southern Miss.
60	Indiana
61	Georgia Southern
62	Marshall
63	Duke
64	Texas
65	Northern Illinois
66	Air Force
67	Minnesota
68	Louisiana Tech
69	Illinois
70	Arizona
71	Central Michigan
72	Ohio
73	Georgia Tech
74	Utah St.
75	Connecticut
76	Missouri
77	East Carolina
78	Middle Tennessee
79	Virginia
80	Iowa St.
81	South Carolina
82	Vanderbilt
83	Akron
84	Tulsa
85	Maryland
86	Colorado St.
87	Syracuse
88	Georgia St.
89	Kentucky
90	New Mexico
91	Colorado
92	San Jose St.
93	Rutgers
94	Boston College
95	Wake Forest
96	Nevada
97	Buffalo
98	Oregon St.
99	Purdue
100	South Alabama
101	Troy
102	Florida Int’l.
103	Ball St.
104	Florida Atlantic
105	Rice
106	SMU
107	Idaho
108	Old Dominion
109	Massachusetts
110	UNLV
111	UTEP
112	Louisiana-Lafayette
113	Fresno St.
114	Tulane
115	Kent St.
116	Miami (O)
117	Texas St.
118	UTSA
119	Kansas
120	New Mexico St.
121	Hawaii
122	Wyoming
123	Louisiana-Monroe
124	Army
125	North Texas
126	Charlotte
127	Eastern Michigan
128	Central Florida

 

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	131.5	129.1	131.4	130.7
2	Oklahoma	130.2	126.5	130.9	129.2
3	Ohio St.	129.0	124.6	129.8	127.8
4	Stanford	124.5	121.7	124.9	123.7
5	Ole Miss	124.7	120.2	123.9	122.9
6	Clemson	121.8	122.6	122.0	122.1
7	Baylor	122.9	118.8	122.7	121.5
8	North Carolina	121.1	121.4	120.7	121.1
9	TCU	123.1	115.6	124.0	120.9
10	Notre Dame	121.2	118.9	120.9	120.3
11	Arkansas	121.3	116.4	120.8	119.5
12	Michigan St.	119.7	117.2	119.7	118.9
13	Tennessee	120.1	116.2	120.2	118.8
14	LSU	119.8	116.4	119.4	118.5
15	UCLA	120.5	114.8	118.9	118.1
16	USC	119.7	115.0	118.7	117.8
17	Florida St.	117.2	118.4	117.1	117.6
18	Oregon	118.6	113.3	118.8	116.9
19	Utah	118.1	112.3	116.3	115.6
20	Mississippi St.	116.5	113.1	116.5	115.4
21	Washington	115.9	112.6	115.8	114.8
22	Michigan	115.8	113.0	115.3	114.7
23	Texas A&M	116.4	112.9	114.4	114.6
24	Georgia	116.1	111.2	115.4	114.2
25	Oklahoma St.	115.1	111.9	114.7	113.9
26	Florida	114.5	111.4	114.4	113.4
27	California	115.0	109.7	114.1	112.9
28	West Virginia	114.9	109.2	114.3	112.8
29	Arizona St.	114.4	109.5	114.0	112.6
30	Iowa	111.7	113.3	112.5	112.5
31	Houston	109.8	115.2	112.0	112.3
32	Auburn	113.6	110.4	112.3	112.1
33	Wisconsin	111.6	111.2	110.8	111.2
34	Bowling Green	108.5	113.3	111.6	111.1
35	Virginia Tech	110.7	110.4	110.8	110.6
36	Western Kentucky	109.5	110.4	111.2	110.4
37	North Carolina St.	109.4	110.4	107.9	109.2
38	BYU	108.1	108.3	109.3	108.6
39	Louisville	108.0	109.5	107.9	108.5
40	Temple	106.9	109.9	108.4	108.4
41	Memphis	107.7	108.8	108.0	108.2
42	Pittsburgh	107.5	108.1	107.8	107.8
43	Nebraska	108.5	106.9	107.8	107.7
44	Georgia Tech	109.1	106.5	107.5	107.7
45	Washington St.	108.5	105.1	109.3	107.6
46	Navy	105.9	109.9	107.0	107.6
47	San Diego St.	105.7	109.8	106.9	107.5
48	Miami	106.1	106.7	107.2	106.7
49	Northwestern	106.4	106.6	106.6	106.5
50	Boise St.	107.3	105.1	107.2	106.5
51	Texas	107.5	103.4	107.3	106.1
52	South Carolina	107.3	104.2	106.3	105.9
53	Arizona	107.9	102.4	106.8	105.7
54	Texas Tech	108.1	100.4	108.3	105.6
55	Missouri	106.9	103.4	105.6	105.3
56	Toledo	103.7	105.0	104.9	104.5
57	South Florida	102.1	107.8	103.4	104.4
58	Minnesota	105.1	103.6	104.2	104.3
59	Western Michigan	102.6	103.8	104.0	103.5
60	Penn St.	103.8	103.3	103.0	103.4
61	Colorado	105.3	100.5	103.7	103.2
62	Kansas St.	106.0	97.5	105.7	103.1
63	Cincinnati	102.0	103.9	103.3	103.1
64	Duke	103.0	103.0	102.8	102.9
65	Illinois	104.1	101.9	102.8	102.9
66	Virginia	102.7	101.8	103.1	102.5
67	Indiana	101.0	101.3	101.3	101.2
68	Boston College	100.3	102.6	98.8	100.6
69	Kentucky	101.8	98.4	100.1	100.1
70	Air Force	98.7	102.1	99.1	100.0
71	Southern Mississippi	98.8	100.9	99.6	99.8
72	Iowa St.	100.4	96.3	100.1	98.9
73	Georgia Southern	97.2	100.0	99.1	98.8
74	Louisiana Tech	98.3	98.6	99.1	98.7
75	Vanderbilt	100.2	96.0	99.4	98.5
76	Marshall	97.9	98.5	97.6	98.0
77	Appalachian St.	96.4	99.5	97.9	97.9
78	Northern Illinois	96.0	99.8	96.9	97.6
79	Wake Forest	96.5	99.3	96.1	97.3
80	Utah St.	97.6	97.8	96.0	97.1
81	Arkansas St.	95.2	97.0	97.5	96.6
82	Middle Tennessee	96.6	96.2	96.7	96.5
83	East Carolina	94.7	98.5	95.6	96.3
84	Syracuse	95.1	97.9	95.0	96.0
85	Purdue	95.1	94.1	93.4	94.2
86	Maryland	94.5	93.4	94.4	94.1
87	Connecticut	91.0	95.5	92.3	92.9
88	San Jose St.	92.2	94.2	92.2	92.9
89	Colorado St.	92.8	93.3	92.3	92.8
90	New Mexico	92.3	93.4	91.8	92.5
91	Central Michigan	90.3	94.2	91.7	92.1
92	Rutgers	93.5	90.8	91.2	91.8
93	Tulsa	89.8	93.9	90.9	91.5
94	Nevada	89.7	93.6	90.0	91.1
95	Ohio	88.8	93.2	90.9	91.0
96	Akron	86.1	92.9	88.4	89.1
97	Georgia St.	86.2	87.9	87.6	87.2
98	Oregon St.	88.7	85.3	86.6	86.9
99	Florida Atlantic	84.1	87.5	84.9	85.5
100	Troy	84.2	85.5	84.8	84.8
101	Florida International	83.8	86.2	83.9	84.6
102	SMU	83.3	86.9	82.9	84.4
103	Massachusetts	82.6	86.1	83.4	84.0
104	Buffalo	81.1	86.3	81.7	83.0
105	Tulane	82.2	84.7	80.9	82.6
106	UNLV	81.9	83.6	81.9	82.5
107	Fresno St.	81.5	84.2	79.7	81.8
108	Army	78.1	85.6	79.4	81.0
109	Wyoming	80.0	81.6	79.2	80.3
110	Rice	78.6	81.4	78.4	79.5
111	Ball St.	78.7	80.7	78.9	79.4
112	UTEP	78.4	81.0	78.2	79.2
113	Old Dominion	76.7	80.6	76.4	77.9
114	Kent St.	77.1	79.0	77.4	77.8
115	Hawaii	77.9	79.0	76.3	77.7
116	UT-San Antonio	76.8	79.2	77.1	77.7
117	Miami (O)	75.4	80.3	76.3	77.3
118	UL-Lafayette	76.6	79.1	76.3	77.3
119	South Alabama	75.0	79.8	75.9	76.9
120	Idaho	74.1	79.1	75.5	76.2
121	Central Florida	74.9	77.8	74.6	75.8
122	Texas St.	73.2	75.6	72.8	73.9
123	Eastern Michigan	71.5	77.6	71.7	73.6
124	North Texas	72.4	75.8	72.2	73.5
125	New Mexico St.	72.6	73.8	72.0	72.8
126	Kansas	75.5	68.7	72.9	72.4
127	UL-Monroe	71.4	71.4	71.7	71.5
128	Charlotte	67.5	69.1	67.0	67.9

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
#	League	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	SEC	115.1	111.4	114.3	113.6
2	Pac-12	113.1	108.5	112.3	111.3
3	Big 12	110.4	104.8	110.1	108.4
4	ACC	107.8	108.5	107.5	107.9
5	Big Ten	107.1	105.8	106.6	106.5
6	Indep.	102.5	104.3	103.2	103.3
7	AAC	95.9	99.4	96.6	97.3
8	MWC	91.5	93.1	91.1	91.9
9	MAC	87.9	91.7	89.1	89.5
10	CUSA	86.1	88.1	86.3	86.8
11	SBC	82.0	84.4	82.8	83.1

 

Bowl Pairings

Bowl	Conferences		Team	vs.	Team
Cure	AAC	SBC	San Jose St. *	vs.	Georgia St.
New Mexico	MWC	CUSA	New Mexico	vs.	Arizona *
Las Vegas	Pac-12	MWC/BYU	Utah	vs.	BYU
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Ohio	vs.	Appalachian St.
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC	Louisiana Tech	vs.	Arkansas St.
Miami Beach	AAC	CUSA	South Florida	vs.	Western Kentucky
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Akron	vs.	Utah St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Temple	vs.	Toledo
Poinsettia	MWC	Army	Boise St.	vs.	Northern Illinois
GoDaddy	MAC	SBC	Bowling Green	vs.	Georgia Southern
Bahamas	CUSA	MAC	Middle Tennessee	vs.	Western Michigan
Hawaii	AAC	MWC/BYU	Cincinnati	vs.	San Diego St.
St. Petersburg	AAC	CUSA	Connecticut	vs.	Marshall
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Miami	vs.	Washington St.
Heart of Dallas	Big 12	CUSA	Washington *	vs.	Southern Miss.
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Duke	vs.	Indiana
Independence	SEC	ACC	Tulsa *	vs.	Virginia Tech
Foster Farms	Big Ten	Pac-12	Nebraska	vs.	UCLA
Military	ACC	AAC	Pittsburgh	vs.	Navy
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Central Michigan *	vs.	Minnesota
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	California *	vs.	Air Force
Russell Athletic	ACC	Big 12	North Carolina	vs.	Baylor
Arizona	CUSA	MWC	Colorado St. *	vs.	Nevada
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Texas Tech	vs.	LSU
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Memphis	vs.	Auburn
Belk	ACC	SEC	North Carolina St.	vs.	Mississippi St.
Music City	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Louisville	vs.	Texas A&M
Peach	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	Florida St.	vs.	Houston
Cotton	Playoff	Playoff	Alabama	vs.	Michigan St.
Orange	Playoff	Playoff	Clemson	vs.	Oklahoma
Holiday	Big Ten	Pac-12	Wisconsin	vs.	USC
Ouback	Big Ten	SEC	Northwestern	vs.	Tennessee
Citrus	Big Ten	SEC	Michigan	vs.	Florida
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	Oklahoma St.	vs.	Ole Miss
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Iowa	vs.	Stanford
Fiesta	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	Ohio St.	vs.	Notre Dame
TaxSlayer	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	vs.	Georgia
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	Kansas St.	vs.	Arkansas
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	TCU	vs.	Oregon
Cactus	Big 12	Pac-12	West Virginia	vs.	Arizona St.
Nat’l Champ.	Semifinal	Winners	Michigan St.	vs.	Oklahoma
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot

 

FCS Playoffs

2nd Round
Jacksonville St.	41	ot
Chattanooga	35
Charleston Sou.	14
Citadel	6
Colgate	44
James Madison	38
Sam Houston	34
McNeese St.	29
North Dakota St.	37
Montana	6
Northern Iowa	29
Portland St.	17
Richmond	48
William & Mary	13
Illinois St.	36
Western Illinois	19

 

Quarterfinal Round Games

Quarterfinals	D. 11-13	All times ET
@ Illinois St.	10-2	D.11 7:30 PM
Richmond	9-3	ESPN3
@ Sam Houston	10-3	D.12 8PM
Colgate	9-4	No TV
@ Jacksonville St.	11-1	D.11 8 PM
Charleston Southern	10-2	ESPN2
@ North Dakota St.	10-2	D.13 12 AM
Northern Iowa	9-4	ESPN

 

 

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