The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 30, 2015

If Big-time FBS Football Held Its Own 24-Team Playoff

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — piratings @ 7:16 am

The Football Championship Series of the NCAA conducts a 24-team playoff. The conference champions of all the FCS leagues except the Ivy League, The Southwest Athletic Conference, and the Mideastern Athletic Conference receive an automatic bid.  The Ivy League refuses its teams from playing postseason football, while the SWAC and MEAC champions play in the Celebration Bowl.

The 24-team tournament awards first round byes to the top eight seeds, while the remaining 16 teams play to cut the number from 24 to 16.

What if the Football Bowl Series held a 24-team playoff rather than a four-team playoff? There is still a week to go in the regular season, but if there was a move to a 24-team playoff, this would be the opening week of the playoffs, and the conference championship games would be eliminated in lieu of adding 20 playoff teams.

We will have to surmise the actual conference champions of leagues that still have championships up for grabs, but a 24-team FBS playoff would look something like this.
American Athletic Conference: Houston
Atlantic Coast Conference: Clemson
Big 12 Conference: Oklahoma
Big Ten Conference: Iowa
Conference USA: Western Kentucky
Mid-American Conference: Bowling Green
Mountain West Conference: San Diego St.
Pac-12 Conference: Stanford
Southeastern Conference: Alabama
Sun Belt Conference: Arkansas St.

To those 10 automatic bids, the following 14 teams would receive at-large bids.
Michigan St.
Ohio St.
North Carolina
Notre Dame
Florida St.
Oklahoma St.
Ole Miss

The first round games to be played this week would look something like this.
Numbers in parentheses represent seedings

G1: (24) Arkansas St. at (9) Notre Dame
G2: (23) Bowling Green at (10) Florida St.
G3: (22) Western Kentucky at (11) TCU
G4: (21) San Diego St. at (12) Baylor
G5: (20) Utah at (13) Northwestern
G6: (19) Michgan at (14) Oklahoma St.
G7: (18) Florida at (15) Oregon
G8: (17) Houston at (16) Ole Miss

The Second Round would look like this.
G1 winner at (8) North Carolina
G2 winner at (7) Stanford
G3 winner at (6) Ohio St.
G4 winner at (5) Michigan St.
G5 winner at (4) Iowa
G6 winner at (3) Oklahoma
G7 winner at (2) Alabama
G8 winner at (1) Clemson

If you have been a reader here for long enough, you know that we have access to a large computer that allows us to input all the statistics of each team and simulate games. We inputted the statistics this morning and played all 23 games of this simulated tournament.

We will reveal the results of Round one later this week.


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