The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 29, 2015

College Football Preview–December 4-5, 2015

And Down The Stretch They Come
Oklahoma is in the playoffs, short of some major questionable change by the Selection Committee.

Alabama needs to beat a Florida team that is at this point the third best team in the SEC East. The Tide would have to turn the ball over about four times in their own territory before the SEC Championship Game could get close. Should Florida pull the monumental upset, then Alabama is out and Ohio State is in.

The Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game should decide another playoff spot. If Clemson wins, the Tigers should be the #1 seed, while a Tar Heel victory should elevate UNC into the #4 seed spot. There is a chance that Ohio State could steal this spot, but only if Michigan State wins the Big Ten Championship by a lot of points.

Which brings us to the final playoff spot. Either Michigan State or Iowa will get in. If Iowa loses, there is almost no chance the Hawkeyes could still be in the picture, unless Alabama and Clemson both lose, and Iowa loses in overtime or by 1 or 2 points.

As for the rest of the New Year’s 6 Bowls, Notre Dame is a near lock at 10-2. A 10-3 Florida team should still get in, as the SEC is always going to have a team in addition to the Playoffs. If Ohio State does not get in the playoffs via the scenarios above, the Buckeyes will be in the NY6 action along with the loser of the Big Ten Championship Game. Ditto for the ACC Championship loser. The Pac-12 champion will be in the Rose Bowl, and one of the 10-2 Big 12 teams should earn a bid. The final spot will go to the winner of the AAC Championship Game, either Houston or Temple.

The FCS began its 24-team playoff this past weekend, and we have included the scores from the opening round games, as well as this week’s second round games and kickoff times. All games will be available on ESPN3.

What if the FBS did something crazy and extended their playoffs to 24 teams? We will talk about that Tomorrow.

For now, enjoy Championship Week. Next week, there will be just one college game–Army and Navy.

PiRate Retrodictive
# Team
1 Alabama
2 Oklahoma
3 Clemson
4 Ohio St.
5 Michigan St.
6 Iowa
7 Stanford
8 Notre Dame
9 Florida St.
10 TCU
11 North Carolina
12 Ole Miss
13 Baylor
14 Oklahoma St.
15 Houston
16 LSU
17 Oregon
18 USC
19 Florida
20 Northwestern
21 Utah
22 Michigan
23 Tennessee
24 Wisconsin
25 Georgia
26 Temple
27 Navy
28 Arkansas
29 Memphis
30 West Virginia
31 Mississippi St.
32 UCLA
33 Toledo
34 Western Kentucky
35 Bowling Green
36 Texas A&M
37 BYU
38 California
39 Pittsburgh
40 Miami (Fla.)
41 Washington
42 South Florida
43 Washington St.
44 Texas Tech
45 Louisville
46 Penn St.
47 Appalachian St.
48 San Diego St.
49 Georgia Southern
50 Auburn
51 Arizona St.
52 North Carolina St.
53 Boise St.
54 Virginia Tech
55 Western Michigan
56 Cincinnati
57 Nebraska
58 Southern Miss.
59 Indiana
60 Kansas St.
61 Marshall
62 Duke
63 Northern Illinois
64 Air Force
65 Arkansas St.
66 Minnesota
67 Louisiana Tech
68 Texas
69 Illinois
70 Arizona
71 Central Michigan
72 Ohio
73 Georgia Tech
74 Utah St.
75 Connecticut
76 Missouri
77 East Carolina
78 Middle Tennessee
79 Virginia
80 Iowa St.
81 South Carolina
82 Vanderbilt
83 Akron
84 Tulsa
85 Maryland
86 Colorado St.
87 Syracuse
88 Kentucky
89 New Mexico
90 Colorado
91 San Jose St.
92 Rutgers
93 Boston College
94 Wake Forest
95 Nevada
96 Georgia St.
97 Buffalo
98 Oregon St.
99 Purdue
100 South Alabama
101 Florida Int’l.
102 Troy
103 Louisiana-Lafayette
104 Ball St.
105 Florida Atlantic
106 Rice
107 SMU
108 Idaho
109 Old Dominion
110 Massachusetts
111 UNLV
112 UTEP
113 Fresno St.
114 Tulane
115 Kent St.
116 New Mexico St.
117 Texas St.
118 UTSA
119 Miami (O)
120 Kansas
121 Hawaii
122 Wyoming
123 Army
124 North Texas
125 Louisiana-Monroe
126 Charlotte
127 Eastern Michigan
128 Central Florida

 

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Alabama 131.7 129.4 131.8 131.0
2 Oklahoma 130.2 126.5 130.9 129.2
3 Ohio St. 129.0 124.6 129.8 127.8
4 Baylor 126.7 122.8 126.9 125.5
5 Ole Miss 124.7 120.2 123.9 122.9
6 Stanford 123.2 120.3 123.0 122.2
7 North Carolina 121.8 122.4 122.2 122.1
8 Clemson 121.1 121.6 120.5 121.1
9 TCU 123.1 115.6 124.0 120.9
10 Notre Dame 121.2 118.9 120.9 120.3
11 Arkansas 121.3 116.4 120.8 119.5
12 USC 121.0 116.4 120.6 119.3
13 Michigan St. 119.9 117.3 120.0 119.1
14 Tennessee 120.1 116.2 120.2 118.8
15 LSU 119.8 116.4 119.4 118.5
16 UCLA 120.5 114.8 118.9 118.1
17 Florida St. 117.2 118.4 117.1 117.6
18 Oregon 118.6 113.3 118.8 116.9
19 Utah 118.1 112.3 116.3 115.6
20 Mississippi St. 116.5 113.1 116.5 115.4
21 Washington 115.9 112.6 115.8 114.8
22 Michigan 115.8 113.0 115.3 114.7
23 Texas A&M 116.4 112.9 114.4 114.6
24 Georgia 116.1 111.2 115.4 114.2
25 Oklahoma St. 115.1 111.9 114.7 113.9
26 West Virginia 115.6 110.5 115.4 113.8
27 Florida 114.3 111.1 114.0 113.1
28 California 115.0 109.7 114.1 112.9
29 Arizona St. 114.4 109.5 114.0 112.6
30 Iowa 111.5 113.2 112.2 112.3
31 Auburn 113.6 110.4 112.3 112.1
32 Houston 109.3 114.8 111.3 111.8
33 Wisconsin 111.6 111.2 110.8 111.2
34 Virginia Tech 110.7 110.4 110.8 110.6
35 Bowling Green 107.9 112.7 111.0 110.5
36 Western Kentucky 109.4 109.8 110.9 110.0
37 North Carolina St. 109.4 110.4 107.9 109.2
38 Temple 107.4 110.3 109.1 108.9
39 BYU 108.1 108.3 109.3 108.6
40 Louisville 108.0 109.5 107.9 108.5
41 Memphis 107.7 108.8 108.0 108.2
42 San Diego St. 106.0 110.5 107.9 108.1
43 Pittsburgh 107.5 108.1 107.8 107.8
44 Nebraska 108.5 106.9 107.8 107.7
45 Georgia Tech 109.1 106.5 107.5 107.7
46 Washington St. 108.5 105.1 109.3 107.6
47 Navy 105.9 109.9 107.0 107.6
48 Miami 106.1 106.7 107.2 106.7
49 Northwestern 106.4 106.6 106.6 106.5
50 Boise St. 107.3 105.1 107.2 106.5
51 South Carolina 107.3 104.2 106.3 105.9
52 Arizona 107.9 102.4 106.8 105.7
53 Texas Tech 108.1 100.4 108.3 105.6
54 Missouri 106.9 103.4 105.6 105.3
55 Toledo 103.7 105.0 104.9 104.5
56 South Florida 102.1 107.8 103.4 104.4
57 Minnesota 105.1 103.6 104.2 104.3
58 Western Michigan 102.6 103.8 104.0 103.5
59 Penn St. 103.8 103.3 103.0 103.4
60 Colorado 105.3 100.5 103.7 103.2
61 Texas 104.7 100.4 104.1 103.1
62 Cincinnati 102.0 103.9 103.3 103.1
63 Duke 103.0 103.0 102.8 102.9
64 Illinois 104.1 101.9 102.8 102.9
65 Virginia 102.7 101.8 103.1 102.5
66 Georgia Southern 100.7 103.5 102.6 102.3
67 Kansas St. 105.3 96.2 104.6 102.0
68 Indiana 101.0 101.3 101.3 101.2
69 Boston College 100.3 102.6 98.8 100.6
70 Southern Mississippi 98.9 101.5 99.9 100.1
71 Kentucky 101.8 98.4 100.1 100.1
72 Air Force 98.4 101.4 98.1 99.3
73 Iowa St. 100.4 96.3 100.1 98.9
74 Appalachian St. 97.0 100.2 98.9 98.7
75 Louisiana Tech 98.3 98.6 99.1 98.7
76 Vanderbilt 100.2 96.0 99.4 98.5
77 Northern Illinois 96.6 100.4 97.5 98.2
78 Marshall 97.9 98.5 97.6 98.0
79 Wake Forest 96.5 99.3 96.1 97.3
80 Utah St. 97.6 97.8 96.0 97.1
81 Middle Tennessee 96.6 96.2 96.7 96.5
82 East Carolina 94.7 98.5 95.6 96.3
83 Syracuse 95.1 97.9 95.0 96.0
84 Arkansas St. 94.2 95.7 96.3 95.4
85 Purdue 95.1 94.1 93.4 94.2
86 Maryland 94.5 93.4 94.4 94.1
87 Connecticut 91.0 95.5 92.3 92.9
88 San Jose St. 92.2 94.2 92.2 92.9
89 Colorado St. 92.8 93.3 92.3 92.8
90 New Mexico 92.3 93.4 91.8 92.5
91 Central Michigan 90.3 94.2 91.7 92.1
92 Rutgers 93.5 90.8 91.2 91.8
93 Tulsa 89.8 93.9 90.9 91.5
94 Nevada 89.7 93.6 90.0 91.1
95 Ohio 88.8 93.2 90.9 91.0
96 Akron 86.1 92.9 88.4 89.1
97 Oregon St. 88.7 85.3 86.6 86.9
98 Florida Atlantic 84.1 87.5 84.9 85.5
99 Florida International 83.8 86.2 83.9 84.6
100 SMU 83.3 86.9 82.9 84.4
101 Massachusetts 82.6 86.1 83.4 84.0
102 Buffalo 81.1 86.3 81.7 83.0
103 Tulane 82.2 84.7 80.9 82.6
104 UNLV 81.9 83.6 81.9 82.5
105 Georgia St. 81.2 82.9 82.6 82.2
106 Troy 81.2 82.5 81.8 81.8
107 Fresno St. 81.5 84.2 79.7 81.8
108 Army 78.1 85.6 79.4 81.0
109 UL-Lafayette 80.1 82.6 79.8 80.8
110 Wyoming 80.0 81.6 79.2 80.3
111 Rice 78.6 81.4 78.4 79.5
112 Ball St. 78.7 80.7 78.9 79.4
113 UTEP 78.4 81.0 78.2 79.2
114 Old Dominion 76.7 80.6 76.4 77.9
115 Kent St. 77.1 79.0 77.4 77.8
116 Hawaii 77.9 79.0 76.3 77.7
117 UT-San Antonio 76.8 79.2 77.1 77.7
118 Miami (O) 75.4 80.3 76.3 77.3
119 Idaho 74.1 79.1 75.5 76.2
120 South Alabama 74.4 79.1 74.9 76.1
121 Central Florida 74.9 77.8 74.6 75.8
122 Texas St. 74.2 76.9 74.0 75.0
123 Eastern Michigan 71.5 77.6 71.7 73.6
124 New Mexico St. 72.9 74.7 73.0 73.5
125 North Texas 72.4 75.8 72.2 73.5
126 Kansas 75.5 68.7 72.9 72.4
127 UL-Monroe 71.1 70.5 70.7 70.8
128 Charlotte 67.5 69.1 67.0 67.9

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Temple 7-1 10-2 107.4 110.3 109.1 108.9
South Florida 6-2 8-4 102.1 107.8 103.4 104.4
Cincinnati 4-4 7-5 102.0 103.9 103.3 103.1
East Carolina 3-5 5-7 94.7 98.5 95.6 96.3
Connecticut 4-4 6-6 91.0 95.5 92.3 92.9
Central Florida 0-8 0-12 74.9 77.8 74.6 75.8
West Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Houston 7-1 11-1 109.3 114.8 111.3 111.8
Memphis 5-3 9-3 107.7 108.8 108.0 108.2
Navy 7-1 9-2 105.9 109.9 107.0 107.6
Tulsa 3-5 6-6 89.8 93.9 90.9 91.5
SMU 1-7 2-10 83.3 86.9 82.9 84.4
Tulane 1-7 3-9 82.2 84.7 80.9 82.6
AAC Averages 95.9 99.4 96.6 97.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Clemson 8-0 12-0 121.1 121.6 120.5 121.1
Florida St. 6-2 10-2 117.2 118.4 117.1 117.6
North Carolina St. 3-5 7-5 109.4 110.4 107.9 109.2
Louisville 5-3 7-5 108.0 109.5 107.9 108.5
Boston College 0-8 3-9 100.3 102.6 98.8 100.6
Wake Forest 1-7 3-9 96.5 99.3 96.1 97.3
Syracuse 2-6 4-8 95.1 97.9 95.0 96.0
Coastal Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
North Carolina 8-0 11-1 121.8 122.4 122.2 122.1
Virginia Tech 4-4 6-6 110.7 110.4 110.8 110.6
Pittsburgh 6-2 8-4 107.5 108.1 107.8 107.8
Georgia Tech 1-7 3-9 109.1 106.5 107.5 107.7
Miami 5-3 8-4 106.1 106.7 107.2 106.7
Duke 4-4 7-5 103.0 103.0 102.8 102.9
Virginia 3-5 4-8 102.7 101.8 103.1 102.5
ACC Averages 107.8 108.5 107.5 107.9
Big 12 Conference
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Oklahoma 8-1 11-1 130.2 126.5 130.9 129.2
Baylor 6-2 9-2 126.7 122.8 126.9 125.5
TCU 7-2 10-2 123.1 115.6 124.0 120.9
Oklahoma St. 7-2 10-2 115.1 111.9 114.7 113.9
West Virginia 4-4 7-4 115.6 110.5 115.4 113.8
Texas Tech 4-5 7-5 108.1 100.4 108.3 105.6
Texas 3-5 4-7 104.7 100.4 104.1 103.1
Kansas St. 2-6 5-6 105.3 96.2 104.6 102.0
Iowa St. 2-7 3-9 100.4 96.3 100.1 98.9
Kansas 0-9 0-12 75.5 68.7 72.9 72.4
Big 12 Averages 110.5 104.9 110.2 108.5
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ohio St. 7-1 11-1 129.0 124.6 129.8 127.8
Michigan St. 7-1 11-1 119.9 117.3 120.0 119.1
Michigan 6-2 9-3 115.8 113.0 115.3 114.7
Penn St. 4-4 7-5 103.8 103.3 103.0 103.4
Indiana 2-6 6-6 101.0 101.3 101.3 101.2
Maryland 1-7 3-9 94.5 93.4 94.4 94.1
Rutgers 1-7 4-8 93.5 90.8 91.2 91.8
West Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Iowa 8-0 12-0 111.5 113.2 112.2 112.3
Wisconsin 6-2 9-3 111.6 111.2 110.8 111.2
Nebraska 3-5 5-7 108.5 106.9 107.8 107.7
Northwestern 6-2 10-2 106.4 106.6 106.6 106.5
Minnesota 2-6 5-7 105.1 103.6 104.2 104.3
Illinois 2-6 5-7 104.1 101.9 102.8 102.9
Purdue 1-7 2-10 95.1 94.1 93.4 94.2
Big Ten Averages 107.1 105.8 106.6 106.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Kentucky 8-0 10-2 109.4 109.8 110.9 110.0
Marshall 6-2 9-3 97.9 98.5 97.6 98.0
Middle Tennessee 6-2 7-5 96.6 96.2 96.7 96.5
Florida Atlantic 3-5 3-9 84.1 87.5 84.9 85.5
Florida International 3-5 5-7 83.8 86.2 83.9 84.6
Old Dominion 3-5 5-7 76.7 80.6 76.4 77.9
Charlotte 0-8 2-10 67.5 69.1 67.0 67.9
West Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Southern Mississippi 7-1 9-3 98.9 101.5 99.9 100.1
Louisiana Tech 6-2 8-4 98.3 98.6 99.1 98.7
Rice 3-5 5-7 78.6 81.4 78.4 79.5
UTEP 3-5 5-7 78.4 81.0 78.2 79.2
UT-San Antonio 3-5 3-9 76.8 79.2 77.1 77.7
North Texas 1-7 1-11 72.4 75.8 72.2 73.5
CUSA Averages 86.1 88.1 86.3 86.8
FBS Independents
Team Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Notre Dame 10-2 121.2 118.9 120.9 120.3
BYU 9-3 108.1 108.3 109.3 108.6
Army 2-9 78.1 85.6 79.4 81.0
Independents Averages 102.5 104.3 103.2 103.3
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Bowling Green 7-1 9-3 107.9 112.7 111.0 110.5
Ohio 5-3 8-4 88.8 93.2 90.9 91.0
Akron 5-3 7-5 86.1 92.9 88.4 89.1
Massachusetts 2-6 3-9 82.6 86.1 83.4 84.0
Buffalo 3-5 5-7 81.1 86.3 81.7 83.0
Kent St. 2-6 3-9 77.1 79.0 77.4 77.8
Miami (O) 2-6 3-9 75.4 80.3 76.3 77.3
West Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Toledo 6-2 9-2 103.7 105.0 104.9 104.5
Western Michigan 6-2 7-5 102.6 103.8 104.0 103.5
Northern Illinois 6-2 8-4 96.6 100.4 97.5 98.2
Central Michigan 6-2 7-5 90.3 94.2 91.7 92.1
Ball St. 2-6 3-9 78.7 80.7 78.9 79.4
Eastern Michigan 0-8 1-11 71.5 77.6 71.7 73.6
MAC Averages 87.9 91.7 89.1 89.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Boise St. 5-3 8-4 107.3 105.1 107.2 106.5
Air Force 6-2 8-4 98.4 101.4 98.1 99.3
Utah St. 5-3 6-6 97.6 97.8 96.0 97.1
Colorado St. 5-3 7-5 92.8 93.3 92.3 92.8
New Mexico 5-3 7-5 92.3 93.4 91.8 92.5
Wyoming 2-6 2-10 80.0 81.6 79.2 80.3
West Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
San Diego St. 8-0 9-3 106.0 110.5 107.9 108.1
San Jose St. 4-4 5-7 92.2 94.2 92.2 92.9
Nevada 4-4 6-6 89.7 93.6 90.0 91.1
UNLV 2-6 3-9 81.9 83.6 81.9 82.5
Fresno St. 2-6 3-9 81.5 84.2 79.7 81.8
Hawaii 0-8 3-10 77.9 79.0 76.3 77.7
MWC Averages 91.5 93.1 91.1 91.9
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Stanford 8-1 10-2 123.2 120.3 123.0 122.2
Oregon 7-2 9-3 118.6 113.3 118.8 116.9
Washington 4-5 6-6 115.9 112.6 115.8 114.8
California 4-5 7-5 115.0 109.7 114.1 112.9
Washington St. 6-3 8-4 108.5 105.1 109.3 107.6
Oregon St. 0-9 2-10 88.7 85.3 86.6 86.9
South Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
USC 6-3 8-4 121.0 116.4 120.6 119.3
UCLA 5-4 8-4 120.5 114.8 118.9 118.1
Utah 6-3 9-3 118.1 112.3 116.3 115.6
Arizona St. 4-5 6-6 114.4 109.5 114.0 112.6
Arizona 3-6 6-6 107.9 102.4 106.8 105.7
Colorado 1-8 4-9 105.3 100.5 103.7 103.2
Pac-12 Averages 113.1 108.5 112.3 111.3
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Tennessee 5-3 8-4 120.1 116.2 120.2 118.8
Georgia 5-3 9-3 116.1 111.2 115.4 114.2
Florida 7-1 10-2 114.3 111.1 114.0 113.1
South Carolina 1-7 3-9 107.3 104.2 106.3 105.9
Missouri 1-7 5-7 106.9 103.4 105.6 105.3
Kentucky 2-6 5-7 101.8 98.4 100.1 100.1
Vanderbilt 2-6 4-8 100.2 96.0 99.4 98.5
West Division
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Alabama 7-1 11-1 131.7 129.4 131.8 131.0
Ole Miss 6-2 9-3 124.7 120.2 123.9 122.9
Arkansas 5-3 7-5 121.3 116.4 120.8 119.5
LSU 5-3 8-3 119.8 116.4 119.4 118.5
Mississippi St. 4-4 8-4 116.5 113.1 116.5 115.4
Texas A&M 4-4 8-4 116.4 112.9 114.4 114.6
Auburn 2-6 6-6 113.6 110.4 112.3 112.1
SEC Averages 115.1 111.4 114.3 113.6
Sunbelt Conference
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Georgia Southern 6-1 8-3 100.7 103.5 102.6 102.3
Appalachian St. 6-1 9-2 97.0 100.2 98.9 98.7
Arkansas St. 7-0 8-3 94.2 95.7 96.3 95.4
Georgia St. 4-3 5-6 81.2 82.9 82.6 82.2
Troy 2-5 3-8 81.2 82.5 81.8 81.8
UL-Lafayette 3-4 4-7 80.1 82.6 79.8 80.8
Idaho 3-5 4-8 74.1 79.1 75.5 76.2
South Alabama 3-4 5-6 74.4 79.1 74.9 76.1
Texas St. 2-5 3-8 74.2 76.9 74.0 75.0
New Mexico St. 3-4 3-8 72.9 74.7 73.0 73.5
UL-Monroe 0-7 1-11 71.1 70.5 70.7 70.8
Sun Belt Averages 81.9 84.3 82.7 83.0

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 SEC 115.1 111.4 114.3 113.6
2 Pac-12 113.1 108.5 112.3 111.3
3 Big 12 110.5 104.9 110.2 108.5
4 ACC 107.8 108.5 107.5 107.9
5 Big Ten 107.1 105.8 106.6 106.5
6 Indep. 102.5 104.3 103.2 103.3
7 AAC 95.9 99.4 96.6 97.3
8 MWC 91.5 93.1 91.1 91.9
9 MAC 87.9 91.7 89.1 89.5
10 CUSA 86.1 88.1 86.3 86.8
11 SBC 81.9 84.3 82.7 83.0

 

FCS Playoffs
1st Round    
Chattanooga 50  
Fordham 20  
     
Citadel 41  
Coastal Carolina 38  
     
Montana 24  
South Dakota St. 17  
     
Northern Iowa 53  
Eastern Illinois 17  
     
2nd Round Dec. 5  ESPN3
Jacksonville St. 10-1 2 PM ET
Chattanooga 9-3  
     
Charleston Sou. 9-2 1 PM ET
Citadel 9-3  
     
James Madison 9-2 1 PM ET
Colgate 8-4  
     
McNeese St. 10-0 7 PM ET
Sam Houston 9-3  
     
North Dakota St. 9-2 3:30 PM ET
Montana 8-4  
     
Portland St. 9-2 10 PM ET
Northern Iowa 8-4  
     
Richmond 8-3 12 PM ET
William & Mary 9-3  
     
Illinois St. 9-2 2 PM ET
Western Illinois 7-5  

 

This Week’s Games
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Friday, December 4        
Bowling Green (n) Northern Illinois 11.3 12.3 13.5
         
Saturday, December 5        
Houston Temple 4.9 7.5 5.2
Baylor Texas 24.5 24.9 25.3
Western Kentucky Southern Miss. 13.5 11.3 14.0
Georgia Southern Georgia St. 21.5 22.6 22.0
Arkansas St. Texas St. 23.0 21.8 25.3
Louisiana-Monroe New Mexico St. 0.7 -1.7 0.2
Kansas St. West Virginia -7.3 -11.3 -7.8
Alabama (n) Florida 17.4 18.3 17.8
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 1.4 2.6 0.5
South Alabama Appalachian St. -19.6 -18.1 -21.0
Air Force San Diego St. -4.6 -6.1 -6.8
Stanford (n) USC 3.7 5.4 3.9
Iowa (n) Michigan St. -8.4 -4.1 -7.8
Clemson (n) North Carolina -0.7 -0.8 -1.7

BOWL PROJECTIONS

Bowl Conferences Team vs. Team
Cure AAC SBC South Florida vs. Georgia Southern
New Mexico MWC CUSA New Mexico vs. Arizona *
Las Vegas Pac-12 MWC/BYU Utah vs. BYU
Camellia MAC SBC Ohio vs. San Jose St. *
New Orleans CUSA SBC Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas St.
Miami Beach AAC CUSA Houston vs. Western Kentucky
Idaho Potato MAC MWC Western Michigan vs. Boise St.
Boca Raton AAC MAC Connecticut vs. Toledo
Poinsettia MWC Army Colorado St. vs. Akron *
GoDaddy MAC SBC Bowling Green vs. Appalachian St.
Bahamas CUSA MAC Middle Tennessee vs. Northern Illinois
Hawaii AAC MWC/BYU Tulsa vs. San Diego St.
St. Petersburg AAC CUSA Memphis vs. Southern Miss.
Sun ACC Pac-12 Pittsburgh vs. Washington St.
Heart of Dallas Big 12 CUSA Nevada * vs. Marshall
Pinstripe ACC Big Ten Duke vs. Indiana
Independence SEC ACC Missouri vs. Miami (Fla.)
Foster Farms Big Ten Pac-12 Nebraska vs. UCLA
Military ACC AAC Virginia Tech vs. Navy
Quick Lane ACC Big Ten Central Michigan * vs. Minnesota
Armed Forces Big Ten MWC Washington * vs. Air Force
Russell Athletic ACC Big 12 Florida St. vs. Oklahoma St.
Arizona CUSA MWC California * vs. Utah St.
Texas Big 12 SEC Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Birmingham AAC SEC Cincinnati vs. Auburn
Belk ACC SEC North Carolina St. vs. Mississippi St.
Music City ACC/Big Ten SEC Penn St. vs. Tennessee
Peach N. Y. 6 N. Y. 6 Clemson vs. Temple
Cotton Playoff Playoff Oklahoma vs. Michigan St.
Orange Playoff Playoff Alabama vs. North Carolina
Holiday Big Ten Pac-12 Michigan vs. Oregon
Ouback Big Ten SEC Northwestern vs. Georgia
Citrus Big Ten SEC Wisconsin vs. Ole Miss
Sugar Big 12 SEC TCU vs. Florida
Rose Big Ten Pac-12 Ohio St. vs. Stanford
Fiesta N. Y. 6 N. Y. 6 Iowa vs. Notre Dame
TaxSlayer ACC/Big Ten SEC Louisville vs. LSU
Liberty Big 12 SEC West Virginia vs. Arkansas
Alamo Big 12 Pac-12 Baylor vs. USC
Cactus Big 12 Pac-12 Kansas St. vs. Arizona St.
Nat’l Champ. Semifinal Winners Alabama vs. Oklahoma
           
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot
 
Note: We have 4 teams with 5-7 in this week’s bowl projections based on highest APR Scores.
As of yet, no definitive protocol has been officially given to the bowls, and we believe there is
a strong possibility that the bowls will use their influence to invite only those 5-7 teams that will
be the top ones to provide financial success to the bowls. Thus, a San Jose St. may lose out.
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