College Football Preview–December 4-5, 2015

And Down The Stretch They Come
Oklahoma is in the playoffs, short of some major questionable change by the Selection Committee.

Alabama needs to beat a Florida team that is at this point the third best team in the SEC East. The Tide would have to turn the ball over about four times in their own territory before the SEC Championship Game could get close. Should Florida pull the monumental upset, then Alabama is out and Ohio State is in.

The Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game should decide another playoff spot. If Clemson wins, the Tigers should be the #1 seed, while a Tar Heel victory should elevate UNC into the #4 seed spot. There is a chance that Ohio State could steal this spot, but only if Michigan State wins the Big Ten Championship by a lot of points.

Which brings us to the final playoff spot. Either Michigan State or Iowa will get in. If Iowa loses, there is almost no chance the Hawkeyes could still be in the picture, unless Alabama and Clemson both lose, and Iowa loses in overtime or by 1 or 2 points.

As for the rest of the New Year’s 6 Bowls, Notre Dame is a near lock at 10-2. A 10-3 Florida team should still get in, as the SEC is always going to have a team in addition to the Playoffs. If Ohio State does not get in the playoffs via the scenarios above, the Buckeyes will be in the NY6 action along with the loser of the Big Ten Championship Game. Ditto for the ACC Championship loser. The Pac-12 champion will be in the Rose Bowl, and one of the 10-2 Big 12 teams should earn a bid. The final spot will go to the winner of the AAC Championship Game, either Houston or Temple.

The FCS began its 24-team playoff this past weekend, and we have included the scores from the opening round games, as well as this week’s second round games and kickoff times. All games will be available on ESPN3.

What if the FBS did something crazy and extended their playoffs to 24 teams? We will talk about that Tomorrow.

For now, enjoy Championship Week. Next week, there will be just one college game–Army and Navy.

PiRate Retrodictive
#	Team
1	Alabama
2	Oklahoma
3	Clemson
4	Ohio St.
5	Michigan St.
6	Iowa
7	Stanford
8	Notre Dame
9	Florida St.
10	TCU
11	North Carolina
12	Ole Miss
13	Baylor
14	Oklahoma St.
15	Houston
16	LSU
17	Oregon
18	USC
19	Florida
20	Northwestern
21	Utah
22	Michigan
23	Tennessee
24	Wisconsin
25	Georgia
26	Temple
27	Navy
28	Arkansas
29	Memphis
30	West Virginia
31	Mississippi St.
32	UCLA
33	Toledo
34	Western Kentucky
35	Bowling Green
36	Texas A&M
37	BYU
38	California
39	Pittsburgh
40	Miami (Fla.)
41	Washington
42	South Florida
43	Washington St.
44	Texas Tech
45	Louisville
46	Penn St.
47	Appalachian St.
48	San Diego St.
49	Georgia Southern
50	Auburn
51	Arizona St.
52	North Carolina St.
53	Boise St.
54	Virginia Tech
55	Western Michigan
56	Cincinnati
57	Nebraska
58	Southern Miss.
59	Indiana
60	Kansas St.
61	Marshall
62	Duke
63	Northern Illinois
64	Air Force
65	Arkansas St.
66	Minnesota
67	Louisiana Tech
68	Texas
69	Illinois
70	Arizona
71	Central Michigan
72	Ohio
73	Georgia Tech
74	Utah St.
75	Connecticut
76	Missouri
77	East Carolina
78	Middle Tennessee
79	Virginia
80	Iowa St.
81	South Carolina
82	Vanderbilt
83	Akron
84	Tulsa
85	Maryland
86	Colorado St.
87	Syracuse
88	Kentucky
89	New Mexico
90	Colorado
91	San Jose St.
92	Rutgers
93	Boston College
94	Wake Forest
95	Nevada
96	Georgia St.
97	Buffalo
98	Oregon St.
99	Purdue
100	South Alabama
101	Florida Int’l.
102	Troy
103	Louisiana-Lafayette
104	Ball St.
105	Florida Atlantic
106	Rice
107	SMU
108	Idaho
109	Old Dominion
110	Massachusetts
111	UNLV
112	UTEP
113	Fresno St.
114	Tulane
115	Kent St.
116	New Mexico St.
117	Texas St.
118	UTSA
119	Miami (O)
120	Kansas
121	Hawaii
122	Wyoming
123	Army
124	North Texas
125	Louisiana-Monroe
126	Charlotte
127	Eastern Michigan
128	Central Florida

 

PiRate Ratings
#	Team	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	Alabama	131.7	129.4	131.8	131.0
2	Oklahoma	130.2	126.5	130.9	129.2
3	Ohio St.	129.0	124.6	129.8	127.8
4	Baylor	126.7	122.8	126.9	125.5
5	Ole Miss	124.7	120.2	123.9	122.9
6	Stanford	123.2	120.3	123.0	122.2
7	North Carolina	121.8	122.4	122.2	122.1
8	Clemson	121.1	121.6	120.5	121.1
9	TCU	123.1	115.6	124.0	120.9
10	Notre Dame	121.2	118.9	120.9	120.3
11	Arkansas	121.3	116.4	120.8	119.5
12	USC	121.0	116.4	120.6	119.3
13	Michigan St.	119.9	117.3	120.0	119.1
14	Tennessee	120.1	116.2	120.2	118.8
15	LSU	119.8	116.4	119.4	118.5
16	UCLA	120.5	114.8	118.9	118.1
17	Florida St.	117.2	118.4	117.1	117.6
18	Oregon	118.6	113.3	118.8	116.9
19	Utah	118.1	112.3	116.3	115.6
20	Mississippi St.	116.5	113.1	116.5	115.4
21	Washington	115.9	112.6	115.8	114.8
22	Michigan	115.8	113.0	115.3	114.7
23	Texas A&M	116.4	112.9	114.4	114.6
24	Georgia	116.1	111.2	115.4	114.2
25	Oklahoma St.	115.1	111.9	114.7	113.9
26	West Virginia	115.6	110.5	115.4	113.8
27	Florida	114.3	111.1	114.0	113.1
28	California	115.0	109.7	114.1	112.9
29	Arizona St.	114.4	109.5	114.0	112.6
30	Iowa	111.5	113.2	112.2	112.3
31	Auburn	113.6	110.4	112.3	112.1
32	Houston	109.3	114.8	111.3	111.8
33	Wisconsin	111.6	111.2	110.8	111.2
34	Virginia Tech	110.7	110.4	110.8	110.6
35	Bowling Green	107.9	112.7	111.0	110.5
36	Western Kentucky	109.4	109.8	110.9	110.0
37	North Carolina St.	109.4	110.4	107.9	109.2
38	Temple	107.4	110.3	109.1	108.9
39	BYU	108.1	108.3	109.3	108.6
40	Louisville	108.0	109.5	107.9	108.5
41	Memphis	107.7	108.8	108.0	108.2
42	San Diego St.	106.0	110.5	107.9	108.1
43	Pittsburgh	107.5	108.1	107.8	107.8
44	Nebraska	108.5	106.9	107.8	107.7
45	Georgia Tech	109.1	106.5	107.5	107.7
46	Washington St.	108.5	105.1	109.3	107.6
47	Navy	105.9	109.9	107.0	107.6
48	Miami	106.1	106.7	107.2	106.7
49	Northwestern	106.4	106.6	106.6	106.5
50	Boise St.	107.3	105.1	107.2	106.5
51	South Carolina	107.3	104.2	106.3	105.9
52	Arizona	107.9	102.4	106.8	105.7
53	Texas Tech	108.1	100.4	108.3	105.6
54	Missouri	106.9	103.4	105.6	105.3
55	Toledo	103.7	105.0	104.9	104.5
56	South Florida	102.1	107.8	103.4	104.4
57	Minnesota	105.1	103.6	104.2	104.3
58	Western Michigan	102.6	103.8	104.0	103.5
59	Penn St.	103.8	103.3	103.0	103.4
60	Colorado	105.3	100.5	103.7	103.2
61	Texas	104.7	100.4	104.1	103.1
62	Cincinnati	102.0	103.9	103.3	103.1
63	Duke	103.0	103.0	102.8	102.9
64	Illinois	104.1	101.9	102.8	102.9
65	Virginia	102.7	101.8	103.1	102.5
66	Georgia Southern	100.7	103.5	102.6	102.3
67	Kansas St.	105.3	96.2	104.6	102.0
68	Indiana	101.0	101.3	101.3	101.2
69	Boston College	100.3	102.6	98.8	100.6
70	Southern Mississippi	98.9	101.5	99.9	100.1
71	Kentucky	101.8	98.4	100.1	100.1
72	Air Force	98.4	101.4	98.1	99.3
73	Iowa St.	100.4	96.3	100.1	98.9
74	Appalachian St.	97.0	100.2	98.9	98.7
75	Louisiana Tech	98.3	98.6	99.1	98.7
76	Vanderbilt	100.2	96.0	99.4	98.5
77	Northern Illinois	96.6	100.4	97.5	98.2
78	Marshall	97.9	98.5	97.6	98.0
79	Wake Forest	96.5	99.3	96.1	97.3
80	Utah St.	97.6	97.8	96.0	97.1
81	Middle Tennessee	96.6	96.2	96.7	96.5
82	East Carolina	94.7	98.5	95.6	96.3
83	Syracuse	95.1	97.9	95.0	96.0
84	Arkansas St.	94.2	95.7	96.3	95.4
85	Purdue	95.1	94.1	93.4	94.2
86	Maryland	94.5	93.4	94.4	94.1
87	Connecticut	91.0	95.5	92.3	92.9
88	San Jose St.	92.2	94.2	92.2	92.9
89	Colorado St.	92.8	93.3	92.3	92.8
90	New Mexico	92.3	93.4	91.8	92.5
91	Central Michigan	90.3	94.2	91.7	92.1
92	Rutgers	93.5	90.8	91.2	91.8
93	Tulsa	89.8	93.9	90.9	91.5
94	Nevada	89.7	93.6	90.0	91.1
95	Ohio	88.8	93.2	90.9	91.0
96	Akron	86.1	92.9	88.4	89.1
97	Oregon St.	88.7	85.3	86.6	86.9
98	Florida Atlantic	84.1	87.5	84.9	85.5
99	Florida International	83.8	86.2	83.9	84.6
100	SMU	83.3	86.9	82.9	84.4
101	Massachusetts	82.6	86.1	83.4	84.0
102	Buffalo	81.1	86.3	81.7	83.0
103	Tulane	82.2	84.7	80.9	82.6
104	UNLV	81.9	83.6	81.9	82.5
105	Georgia St.	81.2	82.9	82.6	82.2
106	Troy	81.2	82.5	81.8	81.8
107	Fresno St.	81.5	84.2	79.7	81.8
108	Army	78.1	85.6	79.4	81.0
109	UL-Lafayette	80.1	82.6	79.8	80.8
110	Wyoming	80.0	81.6	79.2	80.3
111	Rice	78.6	81.4	78.4	79.5
112	Ball St.	78.7	80.7	78.9	79.4
113	UTEP	78.4	81.0	78.2	79.2
114	Old Dominion	76.7	80.6	76.4	77.9
115	Kent St.	77.1	79.0	77.4	77.8
116	Hawaii	77.9	79.0	76.3	77.7
117	UT-San Antonio	76.8	79.2	77.1	77.7
118	Miami (O)	75.4	80.3	76.3	77.3
119	Idaho	74.1	79.1	75.5	76.2
120	South Alabama	74.4	79.1	74.9	76.1
121	Central Florida	74.9	77.8	74.6	75.8
122	Texas St.	74.2	76.9	74.0	75.0
123	Eastern Michigan	71.5	77.6	71.7	73.6
124	New Mexico St.	72.9	74.7	73.0	73.5
125	North Texas	72.4	75.8	72.2	73.5
126	Kansas	75.5	68.7	72.9	72.4
127	UL-Monroe	71.1	70.5	70.7	70.8
128	Charlotte	67.5	69.1	67.0	67.9

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Temple	7-1	10-2	107.4	110.3	109.1	108.9
South Florida	6-2	8-4	102.1	107.8	103.4	104.4
Cincinnati	4-4	7-5	102.0	103.9	103.3	103.1
East Carolina	3-5	5-7	94.7	98.5	95.6	96.3
Connecticut	4-4	6-6	91.0	95.5	92.3	92.9
Central Florida	0-8	0-12	74.9	77.8	74.6	75.8
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Houston	7-1	11-1	109.3	114.8	111.3	111.8
Memphis	5-3	9-3	107.7	108.8	108.0	108.2
Navy	7-1	9-2	105.9	109.9	107.0	107.6
Tulsa	3-5	6-6	89.8	93.9	90.9	91.5
SMU	1-7	2-10	83.3	86.9	82.9	84.4
Tulane	1-7	3-9	82.2	84.7	80.9	82.6
AAC Averages			95.9	99.4	96.6	97.3
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Clemson	8-0	12-0	121.1	121.6	120.5	121.1
Florida St.	6-2	10-2	117.2	118.4	117.1	117.6
North Carolina St.	3-5	7-5	109.4	110.4	107.9	109.2
Louisville	5-3	7-5	108.0	109.5	107.9	108.5
Boston College	0-8	3-9	100.3	102.6	98.8	100.6
Wake Forest	1-7	3-9	96.5	99.3	96.1	97.3
Syracuse	2-6	4-8	95.1	97.9	95.0	96.0
Coastal Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
North Carolina	8-0	11-1	121.8	122.4	122.2	122.1
Virginia Tech	4-4	6-6	110.7	110.4	110.8	110.6
Pittsburgh	6-2	8-4	107.5	108.1	107.8	107.8
Georgia Tech	1-7	3-9	109.1	106.5	107.5	107.7
Miami	5-3	8-4	106.1	106.7	107.2	106.7
Duke	4-4	7-5	103.0	103.0	102.8	102.9
Virginia	3-5	4-8	102.7	101.8	103.1	102.5
ACC Averages			107.8	108.5	107.5	107.9
Big 12 Conference
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Oklahoma	8-1	11-1	130.2	126.5	130.9	129.2
Baylor	6-2	9-2	126.7	122.8	126.9	125.5
TCU	7-2	10-2	123.1	115.6	124.0	120.9
Oklahoma St.	7-2	10-2	115.1	111.9	114.7	113.9
West Virginia	4-4	7-4	115.6	110.5	115.4	113.8
Texas Tech	4-5	7-5	108.1	100.4	108.3	105.6
Texas	3-5	4-7	104.7	100.4	104.1	103.1
Kansas St.	2-6	5-6	105.3	96.2	104.6	102.0
Iowa St.	2-7	3-9	100.4	96.3	100.1	98.9
Kansas	0-9	0-12	75.5	68.7	72.9	72.4
Big 12 Averages			110.5	104.9	110.2	108.5
Big Ten Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Ohio St.	7-1	11-1	129.0	124.6	129.8	127.8
Michigan St.	7-1	11-1	119.9	117.3	120.0	119.1
Michigan	6-2	9-3	115.8	113.0	115.3	114.7
Penn St.	4-4	7-5	103.8	103.3	103.0	103.4
Indiana	2-6	6-6	101.0	101.3	101.3	101.2
Maryland	1-7	3-9	94.5	93.4	94.4	94.1
Rutgers	1-7	4-8	93.5	90.8	91.2	91.8
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Iowa	8-0	12-0	111.5	113.2	112.2	112.3
Wisconsin	6-2	9-3	111.6	111.2	110.8	111.2
Nebraska	3-5	5-7	108.5	106.9	107.8	107.7
Northwestern	6-2	10-2	106.4	106.6	106.6	106.5
Minnesota	2-6	5-7	105.1	103.6	104.2	104.3
Illinois	2-6	5-7	104.1	101.9	102.8	102.9
Purdue	1-7	2-10	95.1	94.1	93.4	94.2
Big Ten Averages			107.1	105.8	106.6	106.5
Conference USA
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Western Kentucky	8-0	10-2	109.4	109.8	110.9	110.0
Marshall	6-2	9-3	97.9	98.5	97.6	98.0
Middle Tennessee	6-2	7-5	96.6	96.2	96.7	96.5
Florida Atlantic	3-5	3-9	84.1	87.5	84.9	85.5
Florida International	3-5	5-7	83.8	86.2	83.9	84.6
Old Dominion	3-5	5-7	76.7	80.6	76.4	77.9
Charlotte	0-8	2-10	67.5	69.1	67.0	67.9
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Southern Mississippi	7-1	9-3	98.9	101.5	99.9	100.1
Louisiana Tech	6-2	8-4	98.3	98.6	99.1	98.7
Rice	3-5	5-7	78.6	81.4	78.4	79.5
UTEP	3-5	5-7	78.4	81.0	78.2	79.2
UT-San Antonio	3-5	3-9	76.8	79.2	77.1	77.7
North Texas	1-7	1-11	72.4	75.8	72.2	73.5
CUSA Averages			86.1	88.1	86.3	86.8
FBS Independents
Team		Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Notre Dame		10-2	121.2	118.9	120.9	120.3
BYU		9-3	108.1	108.3	109.3	108.6
Army		2-9	78.1	85.6	79.4	81.0
Independents Averages			102.5	104.3	103.2	103.3
Mid-American Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Bowling Green	7-1	9-3	107.9	112.7	111.0	110.5
Ohio	5-3	8-4	88.8	93.2	90.9	91.0
Akron	5-3	7-5	86.1	92.9	88.4	89.1
Massachusetts	2-6	3-9	82.6	86.1	83.4	84.0
Buffalo	3-5	5-7	81.1	86.3	81.7	83.0
Kent St.	2-6	3-9	77.1	79.0	77.4	77.8
Miami (O)	2-6	3-9	75.4	80.3	76.3	77.3
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Toledo	6-2	9-2	103.7	105.0	104.9	104.5
Western Michigan	6-2	7-5	102.6	103.8	104.0	103.5
Northern Illinois	6-2	8-4	96.6	100.4	97.5	98.2
Central Michigan	6-2	7-5	90.3	94.2	91.7	92.1
Ball St.	2-6	3-9	78.7	80.7	78.9	79.4
Eastern Michigan	0-8	1-11	71.5	77.6	71.7	73.6
MAC Averages			87.9	91.7	89.1	89.5
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Boise St.	5-3	8-4	107.3	105.1	107.2	106.5
Air Force	6-2	8-4	98.4	101.4	98.1	99.3
Utah St.	5-3	6-6	97.6	97.8	96.0	97.1
Colorado St.	5-3	7-5	92.8	93.3	92.3	92.8
New Mexico	5-3	7-5	92.3	93.4	91.8	92.5
Wyoming	2-6	2-10	80.0	81.6	79.2	80.3
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
San Diego St.	8-0	9-3	106.0	110.5	107.9	108.1
San Jose St.	4-4	5-7	92.2	94.2	92.2	92.9
Nevada	4-4	6-6	89.7	93.6	90.0	91.1
UNLV	2-6	3-9	81.9	83.6	81.9	82.5
Fresno St.	2-6	3-9	81.5	84.2	79.7	81.8
Hawaii	0-8	3-10	77.9	79.0	76.3	77.7
MWC Averages			91.5	93.1	91.1	91.9
Pac-12 Conference
North Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Stanford	8-1	10-2	123.2	120.3	123.0	122.2
Oregon	7-2	9-3	118.6	113.3	118.8	116.9
Washington	4-5	6-6	115.9	112.6	115.8	114.8
California	4-5	7-5	115.0	109.7	114.1	112.9
Washington St.	6-3	8-4	108.5	105.1	109.3	107.6
Oregon St.	0-9	2-10	88.7	85.3	86.6	86.9
South Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
USC	6-3	8-4	121.0	116.4	120.6	119.3
UCLA	5-4	8-4	120.5	114.8	118.9	118.1
Utah	6-3	9-3	118.1	112.3	116.3	115.6
Arizona St.	4-5	6-6	114.4	109.5	114.0	112.6
Arizona	3-6	6-6	107.9	102.4	106.8	105.7
Colorado	1-8	4-9	105.3	100.5	103.7	103.2
Pac-12 Averages			113.1	108.5	112.3	111.3
Southeastern Conference
East Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Tennessee	5-3	8-4	120.1	116.2	120.2	118.8
Georgia	5-3	9-3	116.1	111.2	115.4	114.2
Florida	7-1	10-2	114.3	111.1	114.0	113.1
South Carolina	1-7	3-9	107.3	104.2	106.3	105.9
Missouri	1-7	5-7	106.9	103.4	105.6	105.3
Kentucky	2-6	5-7	101.8	98.4	100.1	100.1
Vanderbilt	2-6	4-8	100.2	96.0	99.4	98.5
West Division
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Alabama	7-1	11-1	131.7	129.4	131.8	131.0
Ole Miss	6-2	9-3	124.7	120.2	123.9	122.9
Arkansas	5-3	7-5	121.3	116.4	120.8	119.5
LSU	5-3	8-3	119.8	116.4	119.4	118.5
Mississippi St.	4-4	8-4	116.5	113.1	116.5	115.4
Texas A&M	4-4	8-4	116.4	112.9	114.4	114.6
Auburn	2-6	6-6	113.6	110.4	112.3	112.1
SEC Averages			115.1	111.4	114.3	113.6
Sunbelt Conference
Team	Conference	Overall	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
Georgia Southern	6-1	8-3	100.7	103.5	102.6	102.3
Appalachian St.	6-1	9-2	97.0	100.2	98.9	98.7
Arkansas St.	7-0	8-3	94.2	95.7	96.3	95.4
Georgia St.	4-3	5-6	81.2	82.9	82.6	82.2
Troy	2-5	3-8	81.2	82.5	81.8	81.8
UL-Lafayette	3-4	4-7	80.1	82.6	79.8	80.8
Idaho	3-5	4-8	74.1	79.1	75.5	76.2
South Alabama	3-4	5-6	74.4	79.1	74.9	76.1
Texas St.	2-5	3-8	74.2	76.9	74.0	75.0
New Mexico St.	3-4	3-8	72.9	74.7	73.0	73.5
UL-Monroe	0-7	1-11	71.1	70.5	70.7	70.8
Sun Belt Averages			81.9	84.3	82.7	83.0

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
#	League	PiRate	Mean	Bias	Average
1	SEC	115.1	111.4	114.3	113.6
2	Pac-12	113.1	108.5	112.3	111.3
3	Big 12	110.5	104.9	110.2	108.5
4	ACC	107.8	108.5	107.5	107.9
5	Big Ten	107.1	105.8	106.6	106.5
6	Indep.	102.5	104.3	103.2	103.3
7	AAC	95.9	99.4	96.6	97.3
8	MWC	91.5	93.1	91.1	91.9
9	MAC	87.9	91.7	89.1	89.5
10	CUSA	86.1	88.1	86.3	86.8
11	SBC	81.9	84.3	82.7	83.0

 

FCS Playoffs
1st Round
Chattanooga	50
Fordham	20
Citadel	41
Coastal Carolina	38
Montana	24
South Dakota St.	17
Northern Iowa	53
Eastern Illinois	17
2nd Round	Dec. 5	ESPN3
Jacksonville St.	10-1	2 PM ET
Chattanooga	9-3
Charleston Sou.	9-2	1 PM ET
Citadel	9-3
James Madison	9-2	1 PM ET
Colgate	8-4
McNeese St.	10-0	7 PM ET
Sam Houston	9-3
North Dakota St.	9-2	3:30 PM ET
Montana	8-4
Portland St.	9-2	10 PM ET
Northern Iowa	8-4
Richmond	8-3	12 PM ET
William & Mary	9-3
Illinois St.	9-2	2 PM ET
Western Illinois	7-5

 

This Week’s Games
Home	Visitor	PiRate	Mean	Bias
Friday, December 4
Bowling Green (n)	Northern Illinois	11.3	12.3	13.5
Saturday, December 5
Houston	Temple	4.9	7.5	5.2
Baylor	Texas	24.5	24.9	25.3
Western Kentucky	Southern Miss.	13.5	11.3	14.0
Georgia Southern	Georgia St.	21.5	22.6	22.0
Arkansas St.	Texas St.	23.0	21.8	25.3
Louisiana-Monroe	New Mexico St.	0.7	-1.7	0.2
Kansas St.	West Virginia	-7.3	-11.3	-7.8
Alabama (n)	Florida	17.4	18.3	17.8
Louisiana-Lafayette	Troy	1.4	2.6	0.5
South Alabama	Appalachian St.	-19.6	-18.1	-21.0
Air Force	San Diego St.	-4.6	-6.1	-6.8
Stanford (n)	USC	3.7	5.4	3.9
Iowa (n)	Michigan St.	-8.4	-4.1	-7.8
Clemson (n)	North Carolina	-0.7	-0.8	-1.7

BOWL PROJECTIONS

Bowl	Conferences		Team	vs.	Team
Cure	AAC	SBC	South Florida	vs.	Georgia Southern
New Mexico	MWC	CUSA	New Mexico	vs.	Arizona *
Las Vegas	Pac-12	MWC/BYU	Utah	vs.	BYU
Camellia	MAC	SBC	Ohio	vs.	San Jose St. *
New Orleans	CUSA	SBC	Louisiana Tech	vs.	Arkansas St.
Miami Beach	AAC	CUSA	Houston	vs.	Western Kentucky
Idaho Potato	MAC	MWC	Western Michigan	vs.	Boise St.
Boca Raton	AAC	MAC	Connecticut	vs.	Toledo
Poinsettia	MWC	Army	Colorado St.	vs.	Akron *
GoDaddy	MAC	SBC	Bowling Green	vs.	Appalachian St.
Bahamas	CUSA	MAC	Middle Tennessee	vs.	Northern Illinois
Hawaii	AAC	MWC/BYU	Tulsa	vs.	San Diego St.
St. Petersburg	AAC	CUSA	Memphis	vs.	Southern Miss.
Sun	ACC	Pac-12	Pittsburgh	vs.	Washington St.
Heart of Dallas	Big 12	CUSA	Nevada *	vs.	Marshall
Pinstripe	ACC	Big Ten	Duke	vs.	Indiana
Independence	SEC	ACC	Missouri	vs.	Miami (Fla.)
Foster Farms	Big Ten	Pac-12	Nebraska	vs.	UCLA
Military	ACC	AAC	Virginia Tech	vs.	Navy
Quick Lane	ACC	Big Ten	Central Michigan *	vs.	Minnesota
Armed Forces	Big Ten	MWC	Washington *	vs.	Air Force
Russell Athletic	ACC	Big 12	Florida St.	vs.	Oklahoma St.
Arizona	CUSA	MWC	California *	vs.	Utah St.
Texas	Big 12	SEC	Texas Tech	vs.	Texas A&M
Birmingham	AAC	SEC	Cincinnati	vs.	Auburn
Belk	ACC	SEC	North Carolina St.	vs.	Mississippi St.
Music City	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Penn St.	vs.	Tennessee
Peach	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	Clemson	vs.	Temple
Cotton	Playoff	Playoff	Oklahoma	vs.	Michigan St.
Orange	Playoff	Playoff	Alabama	vs.	North Carolina
Holiday	Big Ten	Pac-12	Michigan	vs.	Oregon
Ouback	Big Ten	SEC	Northwestern	vs.	Georgia
Citrus	Big Ten	SEC	Wisconsin	vs.	Ole Miss
Sugar	Big 12	SEC	TCU	vs.	Florida
Rose	Big Ten	Pac-12	Ohio St.	vs.	Stanford
Fiesta	N. Y. 6	N. Y. 6	Iowa	vs.	Notre Dame
TaxSlayer	ACC/Big Ten	SEC	Louisville	vs.	LSU
Liberty	Big 12	SEC	West Virginia	vs.	Arkansas
Alamo	Big 12	Pac-12	Baylor	vs.	USC
Cactus	Big 12	Pac-12	Kansas St.	vs.	Arizona St.
Nat’l Champ.	Semifinal	Winners	Alabama	vs.	Oklahoma
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot
Note: We have 4 teams with 5-7 in this week’s bowl projections based on highest APR Scores.
As of yet, no definitive protocol has been officially given to the bowls, and we believe there is
a strong possibility that the bowls will use their influence to invite only those 5-7 teams that will
be the top ones to provide financial success to the bowls. Thus, a San Jose St. may lose out.