The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 22, 2015

College Football Preview: November 24-28, 2015

Need Nine More
As of today, there are 71 bowl eligible teams with nine more needed to avoid having to invite a team with a losing record. Good news, because there are 18 teams that still have a chance to become bowl eligible, so just half of these teams need to get to six wins. At the present time, we project 82 teams to become bowl eligible, meaning two teams will not get invitations.

Here is a breakdown by conference.

POWER 5 CONFERENCES
Atlantic Coast
Championship Game: Saturday, December 5, 7:45 PM or 8:00 PM Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC on ABC or ESPN

Atlantic Division Champion: Clemson

Coastal Division Champion: North Carolina

Bowl Eligible: 8 (9)
Clemson, Duke, Florida St., Louisville, Miami, North Carolina, North Carolina St., Pittsburgh, (Notre Dame)

Still Alive
Virginia Tech 5-6 must defeat Virginia this week
Note: Notre Dame can receive any ACC Bowl, and they can jump ahead of any ACC team with one more win than they have.

Big 12
No Championship Game
Championship Scenarios
Oklahoma controls its own destiny. If they beat Oklahoma St., the Sooners are champs.
Oklahoma State can win title if TCU beats Baylor, and Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma.
Baylor can win title if they beat TCU and Texas and Oklahoma St. beats Oklahoma.

Bowl Eligible: 6
Baylor, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St., TCU, Texas Tech, West Virginia

Still Alive
Kansas St. 4-6 must beat Kansas and West Virginia
Texas 4-6 must beat Texas Tech and Baylor

Big Ten
Championship Game: Saturday, December 5, 8:15 PM Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN on Fox Sports

East Division Scenarios
Michigan St. controls its own destiny. If they beat Penn St., the Spartans are division champions
If Michigan St. loses, the Ohio St.-Michigan winner wins the division title

West Division Champion: Iowa

Bowl Eligible: 7
Iowa, Michigan, Michigan St., Northwestern, Ohio St., Penn St., Wisconsin

Still Alive
Illinois 5-6 must beat Northwestern
Indiana 5-6 must beat Purdue
Minnesota 5-6 must beat Wisconsin
Nebraska 5-6 must beat Iowa

Pac-12
Championship Game: Saturday, December 5, 7:45 PM or 8:00 PM Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA on ABC or ESPN

North Division Champion: Stanford
South Division Champion: UCLA-USC winner

Bowl Eligible: 9
Arizona, Arizona St., California, Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, USC, Utah, Washington St.

Still Alive
Washington 5-6 must beat Washington St.

Southeastern
Championship Game: Saturday, December 5, 4:00 PM Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA on CBS

East Division Champion: Florida

West Division Champion Scenarios
Alabama controls its own destiny. If they beat Auburn, they are West Division champions
Ole Miss can win the division if they beat Mississippi St., and Auburn beats Alabama

Bowl Eligible: 10
Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss, Mississippi St., Tennessee, Texas A&M

Still Alive
Kentucky 5-6 must beat Louisville
Missouri 5-6 must beat Arkansas

GROUP OF 5 CONFERENCES
American Athletic
Championship Game: Saturday, December 5, 12:00 Noon at West Division Champion on ABC or ESPN

East Division Scenarios
Temple controls their own destiny. If they beat Connecticut, the Owls are in the AAC Championship Game.
If South Florida beats Central Florida and Temple loses, then USF is division champ.
West Division Champion: Houston-Navy winner will host Championship Game

Bowl Eligible: 7
Cincinnati, Connecticut, Houston, Memphis, Navy, South Florida, Temple

Still Alive
East Carolina 5-6 must beat Cincinnati
Tulsa 5-6 must beat Tulane

Conference USA
Championship Game: Saturday, December 5, 12:00 Noon at home stadium of team with the better record, on ESPN2

East Division Champion: Western Kentucky-Marshall winner

West Division Champion: Louisiana Tech-Southern Miss. winner

Bowl Eligible: 5
Louisiana Tech, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, Southern Miss., Western Kentucky

Still Alive
Old Dominion 5-6 must beat Florida Atlantic

Independents
Notre Dame is bowl eligible and figures in the ACC bowls
BYU is bowl eligible and will play in the Las Vegas or Hawaii Bowl
Army is not bowl eligible, opening up an at-large spot in the Poinsettia Bowl

Mid-American
Championship Game: Friday, December 4, 8:00 PM Ford Field, Detroit, MI on ESPN2

East Division Champion: Bowling Green

West Division Scenarios
Northern Illinois controls its own destiny. If the Broncos beat Ohio, they are division champs.
Toledo wins the division title if they beat Western Michigan, and Ohio beats Northern Illinois.

Bowl Eligible: 7
Akron, Bowling Green, Central Michigan, Northern Illinois, Ohio, Toledo, Western Michigan

Still Alive
Buffalo 5-6 must beat Massachusetts

Mountain West
Championship Game: Saturday, December 5, 7:30 PM at Air Force on ESPN2

Mountain Division Champion: Air Force

West Division Champion: San Diego St.

Bowl Eligible: 7
Air Force, Boise St., Colorado St., New Mexico, Nevada, San Diego St., Utah St.

Still Alive
San Jose St. 5-6 must beat Boise St.

Sun Belt
No Championship Game

Championship Scenarios
Arkansas St. 6-0 controls its own destiny and has New Mexico St. and Texas St. remaining
Appalachian St. 5-1 wins the SBC if Arkansas St. loses both games, and Appy beats ULL and South Alabama
Georgia Southern 5-1 wins the SBC if Arkansas St. loses both games, Appy St. loses one game, and GSU beats South Alabama and Georgia St.

Bowl Eligible: 3
Appalachian St., Arkansas St., Georgia Southern

Still Alive
Georgia St. 4-6 must beat Troy and Georgia Southern
UL-Lafayette 4-6 must beat Appalachian St. and Troy
South Alabama 5-5 must beat either Georgia Southern or Appalachian St.

This Week’s Ratings

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Alabama 131.7 129.4 131.8 131.0
2 Oklahoma 127.7 124.0 128.4 126.7
3 Baylor 127.3 123.6 127.7 126.2
4 Ohio St. 126.7 121.9 127.0 125.2
5 Stanford 123.4 120.6 123.4 122.5
6 North Carolina 121.8 122.2 122.2 122.1
7 Ole Miss 124.0 119.2 122.6 121.9
8 Clemson 121.5 122.5 121.4 121.8
9 TCU 123.0 115.3 123.7 120.7
10 Notre Dame 121.0 118.6 120.5 120.0
11 UCLA 121.9 116.2 120.8 119.6
12 Arkansas 120.5 115.6 119.7 118.6
13 Tennessee 119.8 115.8 119.7 118.4
14 Oregon 120.1 114.8 120.3 118.4
15 USC 119.6 115.0 118.7 117.8
16 LSU 119.3 115.6 118.4 117.8
17 Michigan 117.8 115.4 117.8 117.0
18 Utah 119.3 113.6 117.8 116.9
19 Oklahoma St. 117.6 114.4 117.2 116.4
20 Mississippi St. 116.9 113.8 117.5 116.1
21 Michigan St. 117.1 114.2 116.8 116.0
22 Florida 116.7 113.4 116.7 115.6
23 Florida St. 115.2 116.5 114.8 115.5
24 Texas A&M 116.9 113.7 115.4 115.3
25 Georgia 116.1 110.8 115.4 114.1
26 West Virginia 115.2 109.7 114.4 113.1
27 California 115.0 109.7 114.1 112.9
28 Arizona St. 114.4 109.5 114.0 112.6
29 Washington 113.4 110.1 113.3 112.3
30 Auburn 113.6 110.4 112.3 112.1
31 Iowa 110.9 112.7 111.4 111.7
32 Virginia Tech 110.8 110.7 111.1 110.9
33 Wisconsin 111.0 110.3 109.5 110.3
34 Houston 107.7 113.1 109.1 110.0
35 Washington St. 110.5 107.1 111.3 109.6
36 Navy 107.5 111.6 109.2 109.4
37 North Carolina St. 109.4 110.6 107.9 109.3
38 Western Kentucky 108.9 109.0 109.9 109.3
39 Pittsburgh 108.6 109.6 109.5 109.2
40 Bowling Green 106.6 111.2 109.5 109.1
41 Nebraska 109.1 107.4 108.6 108.4
42 San Diego St. 106.1 110.7 108.2 108.3
43 Temple 107.1 109.3 108.3 108.2
44 Georgia Tech 109.1 106.9 107.5 107.8
45 BYU 107.3 107.2 107.9 107.5
46 Louisville 107.0 108.9 106.4 107.4
47 Missouri 108.2 104.7 107.2 106.7
48 Toledo 105.4 106.9 107.1 106.5
49 Penn St. 106.3 106.1 105.9 106.1
50 Boise St. 107.0 104.0 106.5 105.8
51 Northwestern 105.6 105.9 105.7 105.7
52 Arizona 107.9 102.4 106.8 105.7
53 Memphis 105.2 106.3 105.5 105.7
54 Minnesota 105.7 104.5 105.5 105.2
55 South Carolina 106.9 103.3 105.4 105.2
56 Texas Tech 107.9 99.7 107.7 105.1
57 Miami 104.7 104.9 105.2 104.9
58 Illinois 104.9 102.6 103.7 103.7
59 Texas 104.9 101.1 104.7 103.6
60 Cincinnati 102.0 103.9 103.3 103.1
61 Duke 103.0 102.7 102.7 102.8
62 South Florida 100.3 106.1 101.4 102.6
63 Colorado 104.6 99.7 102.7 102.3
64 Virginia 102.6 101.5 102.8 102.3
65 Western Michigan 101.2 102.2 102.1 101.8
66 Louisiana Tech 101.3 101.6 102.1 101.7
67 Kansas St. 105.1 95.6 104.1 101.6
68 Boston College 100.8 103.3 99.5 101.2
69 Air Force 99.8 103.5 100.1 101.1
70 Kentucky 102.8 99.0 101.6 101.1
71 Georgia Southern 99.7 102.1 101.2 101.0
72 Northern Illinois 98.2 102.3 99.6 100.0
73 Iowa St. 100.8 97.1 101.1 99.7
74 Indiana 99.6 99.7 99.5 99.6
75 Vanderbilt 100.5 96.4 99.9 98.9
76 Marshall 98.4 99.3 98.6 98.8
77 Appalachian St. 96.9 100.2 98.9 98.7
78 Utah St. 98.4 98.9 97.4 98.2
79 Wake Forest 96.5 99.6 96.2 97.4
80 Southern Mississippi 95.4 98.0 96.4 96.6
81 East Carolina 94.7 98.5 95.6 96.3
82 Purdue 96.5 95.7 95.2 95.8
83 Syracuse 94.6 97.2 94.3 95.4
84 Arkansas St. 93.9 95.1 95.5 94.8
85 Middle Tennessee 94.6 93.9 94.4 94.3
86 Colorado St. 93.6 94.0 93.5 93.7
87 Connecticut 91.3 96.5 93.1 93.6
88 San Jose St. 92.5 95.3 92.9 93.6
89 Maryland 94.0 92.7 93.7 93.5
90 Central Michigan 91.1 95.2 93.3 93.2
91 Rutgers 94.0 91.5 91.9 92.5
92 Tulsa 89.4 93.4 90.3 91.0
93 Nevada 89.6 93.4 89.7 90.9
94 New Mexico 90.9 91.3 89.8 90.7
95 Ohio 87.2 91.3 88.8 89.1
96 Akron 85.0 91.0 87.1 87.7
97 SMU 85.3 88.9 84.9 86.4
98 Oregon St. 87.7 84.3 85.6 85.9
99 Florida Atlantic 84.2 87.6 85.1 85.6
100 Florida International 83.8 86.2 83.9 84.6
101 Buffalo 81.5 87.1 82.6 83.7
102 Massachusetts 82.2 85.3 82.5 83.3
103 UNLV 82.3 84.2 82.9 83.1
104 Tulane 82.6 85.2 81.5 83.1
105 Troy 81.9 83.4 82.9 82.7
106 Georgia St. 80.5 82.0 81.5 81.3
107 Army 78.1 85.6 79.4 81.0
108 Fresno St. 80.7 83.5 78.5 80.9
109 Ball St. 80.0 82.2 80.4 80.9
110 UL-Lafayette 80.2 82.6 79.8 80.9
111 UT-San Antonio 78.8 81.5 79.4 79.9
112 Wyoming 79.6 81.0 78.2 79.6
113 Kent St. 78.2 80.9 78.7 79.3
114 UTEP 78.4 81.0 78.2 79.2
115 Rice 78.2 80.9 77.6 78.9
116 Hawaii 78.2 79.8 76.9 78.3
117 Old Dominion 76.6 80.5 76.2 77.8
118 Central Florida 76.7 79.5 76.6 77.6
119 South Alabama 75.4 80.5 76.3 77.4
120 Miami (O) 75.4 80.3 76.3 77.3
121 Idaho 73.8 78.8 75.0 75.9
122 Texas St. 74.5 77.2 74.5 75.4
123 New Mexico St. 73.2 75.3 73.8 74.1
124 North Texas 72.4 75.8 72.2 73.5
125 Kansas 75.7 69.3 73.4 72.8
126 Eastern Michigan 70.7 76.6 70.1 72.5
127 UL-Monroe 70.8 69.7 70.1 70.2
128 Charlotte 67.9 69.6 67.8 68.4

 

PiRate Retrodictive
# Team
1 Alabama
2 Clemson
3 Oklahoma
4 Ohio St.
5 Notre Dame
6 Iowa
7 Baylor
8 Michigan St.
9 Stanford
10 Oklahoma St.
11 Michigan
12 TCU
13 Florida
14 North Carolina
15 Ole Miss
16 Florida St.
17 Navy
18 Mississippi St.
19 Northwestern
20 Oregon
21 Utah
22 LSU
23 USC
24 UCLA
25 Toledo
26 Tennessee
27 Houston
28 Pittsburgh
29 Wisconsin
30 Texas A&M
31 Washington St.
32 Arkansas
33 Georgia
34 West Virginia
35 Temple
36 Memphis
37 California
38 BYU
39 Penn St.
40 Western Kentucky
41 Bowling Green
42 Texas Tech
43 Auburn
44 South Florida
45 Miami (Fla)
46 Washington
47 North Carolina St.
48 Arizona St.
49 Appalachian St.
50 San Diego St.
51 Northern Illinois
52 Louisville
53 Georgia Southern
54 Nebraska
55 Air Force
56 Virginia Tech
57 Minnesota
58 Louisiana Tech
59 Marshall
60 Texas
61 Indiana
62 Boise St.
63 Kansas St.
64 Duke
65 Southern Miss.
66 Central Michigan
67 Cincinnati
68 Illinois
69 Arkansas St.
70 Arizona
71 Connecticut
72 Virginia
73 Western Michigan
74 Georgia Tech
75 Utah St.
76 Kentucky
77 Iowa St.
78 Ohio
79 Tulsa
80 Missouri
81 Vanderbilt
82 East Carolina
83 South Carolina
84 Rutgers
85 Middle Tennessee
86 Syracuse
87 Maryland
88 San Jose St.
89 Buffalo
90 Boston College
91 Colorado
92 Akron
93 Colorado St.
94 Wake Forest
95 Nevada
96 Troy
97 New Mexico
98 Purdue
99 South Alabama
100 Oregon St.
101 Georgia St.
102 SMU
103 Florida Int’l.
104 Old Dominion
105 Louisiana-Lafayette
106 UNLV
107 Tulane
108 Ball St.
109 Rice
110 Florida Atlantic
111 UTSA
112 Idaho
113 New Mexico St.
114 Texas St.
115 Kent St.
116 Fresno St.
117 Kansas
118 Massachusetts
119 UTEP
120 Miami (O)
121 Army
122 Hawaii
123 Wyoming
124 Louisiana-Monroe
125 North Texas
126 Charlotte
127 Eastern Michigan
128 Central Florida

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Temple 6-1 9-2 107.1 109.3 108.3 108.2
Cincinnati 3-4 6-5 102.0 103.9 103.3 103.1
South Florida 5-2 7-4 100.3 106.1 101.4 102.6
East Carolina 3-4 5-6 94.7 98.5 95.6 96.3
Connecticut 4-3 6-5 91.3 96.5 93.1 93.6
Central Florida 0-7 0-11 76.7 79.5 76.6 77.6
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Houston 6-1 10-1 107.7 113.1 109.1 110.0
Navy 7-0 9-1 107.5 111.6 109.2 109.4
Memphis 4-3 8-3 105.2 106.3 105.5 105.7
Tulsa 2-5 5-6 89.4 93.4 90.3 91.0
SMU 1-6 2-9 85.3 88.9 84.9 86.4
Tulane 1-6 3-8 82.6 85.2 81.5 83.1
             
AAC Averages     95.8 99.4 96.6 97.2
             
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Clemson 8-0 11-0 121.5 122.5 121.4 121.8
Florida St. 6-2 9-2 115.2 116.5 114.8 115.5
North Carolina St. 3-4 7-4 109.4 110.6 107.9 109.3
Louisville 5-3 6-5 107.0 108.9 106.4 107.4
Boston College 0-7 3-8 100.8 103.3 99.5 101.2
Wake Forest 1-6 3-8 96.5 99.6 96.2 97.4
Syracuse 1-6 3-8 94.6 97.2 94.3 95.4
             
Coastal Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
North Carolina 7-0 10-1 121.8 122.2 122.2 122.1
Virginia Tech 3-4 5-6 110.8 110.7 111.1 110.9
Pittsburgh 6-1 8-3 108.6 109.6 109.5 109.2
Georgia Tech 1-7 3-8 109.1 106.9 107.5 107.8
Miami 4-3 7-4 104.7 104.9 105.2 104.9
Duke 3-4 6-5 103.0 102.7 102.7 102.8
Virginia 3-4 4-7 102.6 101.5 102.8 102.3
             
ACC Averages     107.5 108.4 107.3 107.7
             
Big 12 Conference
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Oklahoma 7-1 10-1 127.7 124.0 128.4 126.7
Baylor 6-1 9-1 127.3 123.6 127.7 126.2
TCU 6-2 9-2 123.0 115.3 123.7 120.7
Oklahoma St. 7-1 10-1 117.6 114.4 117.2 116.4
West Virginia 3-4 6-4 115.2 109.7 114.4 113.1
Texas Tech 3-5 6-5 107.9 99.7 107.7 105.1
Texas 3-4 4-6 104.9 101.1 104.7 103.6
Kansas St. 1-6 4-6 105.1 95.6 104.1 101.6
Iowa St. 2-6 3-8 100.8 97.1 101.1 99.7
Kansas 0-8 0-11 75.7 69.3 73.4 72.8
             
Big 12 Averages     110.5 105.0 110.2 108.6
             
Big Ten Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ohio St. 6-1 10-1 126.7 121.9 127.0 125.2
Michigan 6-1 9-2 117.8 115.4 117.8 117.0
Michigan St. 6-1 10-1 117.1 114.2 116.8 116.0
Penn St. 4-3 7-4 106.3 106.1 105.9 106.1
Indiana 1-6 5-6 99.6 99.7 99.5 99.6
Maryland 0-7 2-9 94.0 92.7 93.7 93.5
Rutgers 1-6 4-7 94.0 91.5 91.9 92.5
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Iowa 7-0 11-0 110.9 112.7 111.4 111.7
Wisconsin 5-2 8-3 111.0 110.3 109.5 110.3
Nebraska 3-4 5-6 109.1 107.4 108.6 108.4
Northwestern 5-2 9-2 105.6 105.9 105.7 105.7
Minnesota 2-5 5-6 105.7 104.5 105.5 105.2
Illinois 2-5 5-6 104.9 102.6 103.7 103.7
Purdue 1-6 2-9 96.5 95.7 95.2 95.8
             
Big Ten Averages     107.1 105.8 106.6 106.5
             
Conference USA
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Kentucky 7-0 9-2 108.9 109.0 109.9 109.3
Marshall 6-1 9-2 98.4 99.3 98.6 98.8
Middle Tennessee 5-2 6-5 94.6 93.9 94.4 94.3
Florida Atlantic 2-5 2-9 84.2 87.6 85.1 85.6
Florida International 3-5 5-7 83.8 86.2 83.9 84.6
Old Dominion 3-4 5-6 76.6 80.5 76.2 77.8
Charlotte 0-7 2-9 67.9 69.6 67.8 68.4
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Louisiana Tech 6-1 8-3 101.3 101.6 102.1 101.7
Southern Mississippi 6-1 8-3 95.4 98.0 96.4 96.6
UT-San Antonio 3-4 3-8 78.8 81.5 79.4 79.9
UTEP 2-5 4-7 78.4 81.0 78.2 79.2
Rice 2-5 4-7 78.2 80.9 77.6 78.9
North Texas 1-6 1-10 72.4 75.8 72.2 73.5
             
CUSA Averages     86.1 88.1 86.3 86.8
             
FBS Independents
Team   Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Notre Dame   10-1 121.0 118.6 120.5 120.0
BYU   8-3 107.3 107.2 107.9 107.5
Army   2-9 78.1 85.6 79.4 81.0
             
Independents Averages     102.1 103.8 102.6 102.8
             
Mid-American Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Bowling Green 6-1 8-3 106.6 111.2 109.5 109.1
Ohio 4-3 7-4 87.2 91.3 88.8 89.1
Akron 4-3 6-5 85.0 91.0 87.1 87.7
Buffalo 3-4 5-6 81.5 87.1 82.6 83.7
Massachusetts 1-6 2-9 82.2 85.3 82.5 83.3
Kent St. 2-5 3-8 78.2 80.9 78.7 79.3
Miami (O) 2-6 3-9 75.4 80.3 76.3 77.3
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Toledo 6-1 9-1 105.4 106.9 107.1 106.5
Western Michigan 5-2 6-5 101.2 102.2 102.1 101.8
Northern Illinois 6-1 8-3 98.2 102.3 99.6 100.0
Central Michigan 5-2 6-5 91.1 95.2 93.3 93.2
Ball St. 2-5 3-8 80.0 82.2 80.4 80.9
Eastern Michigan 0-7 1-10 70.7 76.6 70.1 72.5
             
MAC Averages     87.9 91.7 89.1 89.6
             
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Boise St. 4-3 7-4 107.0 104.0 106.5 105.8
Air Force 6-1 8-3 99.8 103.5 100.1 101.1
Utah St. 5-3 6-5 98.4 98.9 97.4 98.2
Colorado St. 4-3 6-5 93.6 94.0 93.5 93.7
New Mexico 4-3 6-5 90.9 91.3 89.8 90.7
Wyoming 1-6 1-10 79.6 81.0 78.2 79.6
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
San Diego St. 7-0 8-3 106.1 110.7 108.2 108.3
San Jose St. 4-3 5-6 92.5 95.3 92.9 93.6
Nevada 4-3 6-5 89.6 93.4 89.7 90.9
UNLV 2-5 3-8 82.3 84.2 82.9 83.1
Fresno St. 2-6 3-8 80.7 83.5 78.5 80.9
Hawaii 0-8 2-10 78.2 79.8 76.9 78.3
             
MWC Averages     91.6 93.3 91.2 92.0
             
Pac-12 Conference
North Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Stanford 8-1 9-2 123.4 120.6 123.4 122.5
Oregon 6-2 8-3 120.1 114.8 120.3 118.4
California 3-5 6-5 115.0 109.7 114.1 112.9
Washington 3-5 5-6 113.4 110.1 113.3 112.3
Washington St. 6-2 8-3 110.5 107.1 111.3 109.6
Oregon St. 0-8 2-9 87.7 84.3 85.6 85.9
             
South Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
UCLA 5-3 8-3 121.9 116.2 120.8 119.6
USC 5-3 7-4 119.6 115.0 118.7 117.8
Utah 5-3 8-3 119.3 113.6 117.8 116.9
Arizona St. 4-4 6-5 114.4 109.5 114.0 112.6
Arizona 3-6 6-6 107.9 102.4 106.8 105.7
Colorado 1-7 4-8 104.6 99.7 102.7 102.3
             
Pac-12 Averages     113.2 108.6 112.4 111.4
             
Southeastern Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Tennessee 4-3 7-4 119.8 115.8 119.7 118.4
Florida 7-1 10-1 116.7 113.4 116.7 115.6
Georgia 5-3 8-3 116.1 110.8 115.4 114.1
Missouri 1-6 5-6 108.2 104.7 107.2 106.7
South Carolina 1-7 3-8 106.9 103.3 105.4 105.2
Kentucky 2-6 5-6 102.8 99.0 101.6 101.1
Vanderbilt 2-5 4-7 100.5 96.4 99.9 98.9
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Alabama 6-1 10-1 131.7 129.4 131.8 131.0
Ole Miss 5-2 8-3 124.0 119.2 122.6 121.9
Arkansas 4-3 6-5 120.5 115.6 119.7 118.6
LSU 4-3 7-3 119.3 115.6 118.4 117.8
Mississippi St. 4-3 8-3 116.9 113.8 117.5 116.1
Texas A&M 4-3 8-3 116.9 113.7 115.4 115.3
Auburn 2-5 6-5 113.6 110.4 112.3 112.1
             
SEC Averages     115.3 111.5 114.5 113.8
             
Sunbelt Conference
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Georgia Southern 5-1 7-3 99.7 102.1 101.2 101.0
Appalachian St. 5-1 8-2 96.9 100.2 98.9 98.7
Arkansas St. 6-0 7-3 93.9 95.1 95.5 94.8
Troy 2-4 3-7 81.9 83.4 82.9 82.7
Georgia St. 3-3 4-6 80.5 82.0 81.5 81.3
UL-Lafayette 3-3 4-6 80.2 82.6 79.8 80.9
South Alabama 3-3 5-5 75.4 80.5 76.3 77.4
Idaho 2-5 3-8 73.8 78.8 75.0 75.9
Texas St. 2-4 3-7 74.5 77.2 74.5 75.4
New Mexico St. 3-3 3-7 73.2 75.3 73.8 74.1
UL-Monroe 0-7 1-10 70.8 69.7 70.1 70.2
             
Sun Belt Averages     81.9 84.3 82.7 82.9

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 SEC 115.3 111.5 114.5 113.8
2 Pac-12 113.2 108.6 112.4 111.4
3 Big 12 110.5 105.0 110.2 108.6
4 ACC 107.5 108.4 107.3 107.7
5 Big Ten 107.1 105.8 106.6 106.5
6 Indep. 102.1 103.8 102.6 102.8
7 AAC 95.8 99.4 96.6 97.2
8 MWC 91.6 93.3 91.2 92.0
9 MAC 87.9 91.7 89.1 89.6
10 CUSA 86.1 88.1 86.3 86.8
11 SBC 81.9 84.3 82.7 82.9

 

Projected Playoff Teams

NCAA Playoffs
1 Clemson
2 Alabama
3 Iowa
4 Oklahoma

 

Group of 5 Contenders For Automatic New Year’s Six Bowl Bid
# Team
1 Navy
2 Houston
3 Toledo
4 Western Kentucky
5 Air Force

 

Power 5 Conferences Bottom 10
# Team
10 Iowa St.
9 Indiana
8 Vanderbilt
7 Wake Forest
6 Purdue
5 Syracuse
4 Maryland
3 Rutgers
2 Oregon St.
1 Kansas

 

FCS Top 10
# Team PiRate
1 Jacksonville St. 97.5
2 North Dakota St. 91.9
3 Dartmouth 91.8
4 Harvard 91.6
5 McNeese St. 91.5
6 Illinois St. 91.0
7 Charleston Southern 90.1
8 Portland St. 89.8
9 James Madison 89.7
10 Citadel 89.6

 

This Week’s Games
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Tuesday, November 24        
Ball St. Bowling Green -24.1 -26.5 -26.6
Northern Illinois Ohio 14.0 14.0 13.8
         
Thursday, November 26        
Central Florida South Florida -21.6 -24.6 -22.8
Texas Texas Tech 0.0 4.4 0.0
         
Friday, November 27        
Pittsburgh Miami (Fla.) 6.9 7.7 7.3
Western Kentucky Marshall 13.5 12.7 14.3
Houston Navy 3.2 4.5 2.9
Toledo Western Michigan 7.2 7.7 8.0
Akron Kent St. 9.3 2.6 10.9
Central Michigan Eastern Michigan 22.9 21.1 25.7
Georgia St. Troy 0.6 0.6 0.6
Arkansas Missouri 15.3 13.9 15.5
Oregon Oregon St. 34.4 32.5 36.7
Washington Washington St. 4.9 5.0 4.0
Nebraska Iowa 1.2 -2.3 0.2
San Jose St. Boise St. -11.5 -5.7 -10.6
Buffalo Massachusetts 1.8 4.3 2.6
TCU Baylor -1.8 -5.8 -1.5
Tulane Tulsa -4.3 -5.7 -6.3
         
Saturday, November 21        
East Carolina Cincinnati -4.3 -2.4 -4.7
Memphis SMU 22.9 20.4 23.6
West Virginia Iowa St. 17.4 15.6 16.3
Purdue Indiana -1.1 -2.0 -2.3
Rutgers Maryland 2.5 1.3 0.7
Louisiana Tech Southern Miss. 8.4 6.1 8.2
Michigan Ohio St. -5.9 -3.5 -6.2
Old Dominion Florida Atlantic -5.1 -4.6 -6.4
South Carolina Clemson -12.6 -17.2 -14.0
Virginia Virginia Tech -6.2 -7.2 -6.3
Georgia Tech Georgia -5.0 -1.9 -5.9
Kentucky Louisville -2.2 -7.9 -2.8
Syracuse Boston College -3.7 -3.6 -2.7
Wake Forest Duke -4.5 -1.1 -4.5
Appalachian St. Louisiana-Lafayette 19.2 20.1 21.6
Wyoming UNLV -0.2 -0.7 -2.2
Georgia Southern South Alabama 26.8 24.1 27.4
UTSA Middle Tennessee -13.3 -9.9 -12.5
Utah Colorado 17.7 16.9 18.1
North Carolina St. North Carolina -10.4 -9.6 -12.3
Auburn Alabama -16.1 -17.0 -17.5
Rice Charlotte 12.3 13.3 11.8
Michigan St. Penn St. 13.8 11.1 13.9
Minnesota Wisconsin -2.3 -2.8 -1.0
North Texas UTEP -4.0 -3.2 -4.0
USC UCLA -0.3 2.0 -0.1
Northwestern (Chi.) Illinois 0.7 3.3 2.0
Utah St. BYU -6.9 -6.3 -8.5
New Mexico St. Arkansas St. -18.2 -17.3 -19.2
Kansas Kansas St. -27.4 -24.3 -28.7
Tennessee Vanderbilt 22.3 22.4 22.8
Idaho Texas St. 1.8 4.1 3.0
Temple Connecticut 18.3 15.3 17.7
Mississippi St. Ole Miss -5.1 -3.4 -3.1
Stanford Notre Dame 5.4 5.0 5.9
Florida Florida St. 3.5 -1.1 3.9
LSU Texas A&M 5.4 4.9 16.0
Oklahoma St. Oklahoma -8.1 -7.6 -9.2
Fresno St. Colorado St. -10.4 -8.0 -12.5
California Arizona St. 3.6 3.2 3.1
New Mexico Air Force -5.9 -9.2 -7.3
San Diego St. Nevada 19.5 20.3 21.5
Hawaii Louisiana-Monroe 11.4 14.1 10.8

 

Bowl Conferences Team vs. Team
Cure AAC SBC Cincinnati vs. Washington *
New Mexico MWC CUSA New Mexico vs. Tulsa *
Las Vegas Pac-12 MWC/BYU USC vs. BYU
Camellia MAC SBC Ohio vs. Georgia Southern
New Orleans CUSA SBC Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas St.
Miami Beach AAC CUSA South Florida vs. Western Kentucky
Idaho Potato MAC MWC Akron vs. Boise St.
Boca Raton AAC MAC Connecticut vs. Northern Illinois
Poinsettia MWC Army Air Force vs. Arizona St. *
GoDaddy MAC SBC Toledo vs. Appalachian St.
Bahamas CUSA MAC Southern Miss. vs. Bowling Green
Hawaii AAC MWC/BYU Houston vs. San Diego St.
St. Petersburg AAC CUSA Memphis vs. Marshall
Sun ACC Pac-12 Pittsburgh vs. Utah
Heart of Dallas Big 12 CUSA Utah St. * vs. Middle Tennessee
Pinstripe ACC Big Ten Duke vs. Indiana
Independence SEC ACC Kentucky vs. Miami (Fla.)
Foster Farms Big Ten Pac-12 Minnesota vs. California
Military ACC AAC Louisville vs. Temple
Quick Lane ACC Big Ten Central Michigan * vs. San Jose St. *
Armed Forces Big Ten MWC Washington St. * vs. Colorado St.
Russell Athletic ACC Big 12 Florida St. vs. Oklahoma St.
Arizona CUSA MWC Old Dominion vs. Nevada
Texas Big 12 SEC Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Birmingham AAC SEC East Carolina vs. Auburn
Belk ACC SEC Virginia Tech vs. LSU
Music City ACC/B10 SEC Penn St. vs. Tennessee
Peach N. Y. 6 N. Y. 6 Clemson vs. Navy
Cotton Playoff Playoff Alabama vs. North Carolina
Orange Playoff Playoff Oklahoma vs. Iowa
Holiday Big Ten Pac-12 Wisconsin vs. UCLA
Ouback Big Ten SEC Northwestern vs. Georgia
Citrus Big Ten SEC Ohio St. vs. Mississippi St.
Sugar Big 12 SEC Baylor vs. Florida
Rose Big Ten Pac-12 Michigan St. vs. Stanford
Fiesta N. Y. 6 N. Y. 6 Michigan vs. Notre Dame
TaxSlayer ACC/B10 SEC North Carolina St. vs. Ole Miss
Liberty Big 12 SEC West Virginia vs. Arkansas
Alamo Big 12 Pac-12 TCU vs. Oregon
Cactus Big 12 Pac-12 Kansas St. vs. Arizona
Nat’l Champ. Semifinal Winners Alabama vs. Oklahoma
           
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot

 

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