The Pi-Rate Ratings

October 19, 2015

College Football Preview: October 20-24, 2015

Weekday Bonanza
Other than on Thanksgiving, we are not particularly fans of weekday games in football. However, this week, every weekday game presents an interesting proposition. Take a look at what will be available to you to watch.

Tuesday Night
Louisiana-Lafayette at Arkansas St.: Consider this week a sort of FInal Four in the Sun Belt Conference, as two teams with undefeated SBC records face off in Jonesboro, Arkansas. The winner is almost guaranteed a bowl bid, while the loser will have to fight to get the fourth bid from the league. Expect a lot of fireworks and a high scoring game.

Thursday Night
Temple at East Carolina: Not only is first place up for grabs in the American Athletic Conference East Division, this game serves as a New Year’s Six Bowl Eliminator for Temple. The Owls own a win at Penn State, and a win in this road game would give Temple a resume equal to Houston, Memphis, and Toledo, the three teams contending with the Owls for that big bowl bid. ECU is tough to beat at home, and the Owl defense will have to be ready to play.

Georgia Southern at Appalachian St.: This is the other “semifinal” game in the Sun Belt this week, and it is the battle of the top two teams in the league. Both teams are undefeated in SBC play and 5-1 overall, and both teams’ coaches are on the radar at big schools. This game will be a nice contrast in playing styles, and we are not sure either defense can stop the other teams’ offense.

California at UCLA: These two teams cannot afford another conference loss and remain in contention for their respective divisions in the Pac-12. UCLA lost in a trainwreck last week in the Bruins’ annual punishment at the hands of Stanford. Cal had a week off after blowing a chance to win at Utah.

Friday Night
Memphis at Tulsa: Can Memphis go on the road and win a tough game less than a week after pulling off their most important victory in over 50 years, if not ever? The Tigers sit on top of the Group of 5 poll today, and it they win out, they will be playing in the Fiesta Bowl at season’s end. There are a couple of big impediments in their way, and this game is one of them. Tulsa is looking at seven or eight wins, so you cannot discount them in this game.

Utah St. at San Diego St.: This might be a preview of the Mountain West Conference Championship Game. After destroying Boise St., the Aggies are in control of the Mountain Division race, and after blasting San Jose St., the Aztecs should cruise to the West Division title. Utah St. has the hot offense, and San Diego St. has the tough defense, so this one should be quite entertaining.

 

Don’t think that you can take Saturday off this week. There are a host of games worth watching, including these:
Clemson at Miami: The Hurricanes did everything but beat Florida State two weeks ago, and an upset in this game might save Al Golden’s job. CU has a clear path to the NCAA Playoffs if they win this game, as the remaining toughies are at home.

Auburn at Arkansas: This could be one of those Bowl Eliminator games, with the loser probably dropping to 5-7 at the end of the year.

Duke at Virginia Tech: If the Blue Devils go to Blacksburg and pull off a win, then the Duke-North Carolina game could be the deciding game for the ACC Coastal Division championship. A Tech loss might be the end of the Hokies’ bowl hopes this year and might seal Frank Beamer’s fate, bringing an announcement that he will retire at the end of this season.

Tennessee at Alabama: This rivlary game might still not be back to where it was for decades, but Tennessee had an extra week to prepare, while ‘Bama had to play at Texas A&M. There are just so many weeks that a team can get up for a big game, so this contest may be a lot closer than people expect. The Tide offense is still mostly one dimensional, but that one dimension, the running game, is close to incredible. Still, if Tennessee does not turn the ball over like A&M, the Vols could still be in contention in the fourth quarter.

Washington St. at Arizona: The Pirate has the Cougars in bowl contention. Coach Mike Leach’s Washington State team is sitting at 4-2 with enough winnable games ahead to go bowling this year. Arizona sits in the same position this week and should find its way to bowl eligibility. This one is for jockeying position with the winner having a leg up on going to a warmer locale in December.

Western Kentucky at LSU: Okay, we are not saying that the Hilltoppers will challenge for an upset in this game, but LSU has had defensive lulls in the middle of every game this year. If the Tigers have that issue in this game, WKU could score 21 to 28 points in a hurry, making Leonard Fournette play all four quarters. LSU needs a couple of breather games to rest Fournette for the upcoming game at Alabama.

Utah at USC: This game has “that look.” Utah is in position to earn a surprise playoff berth, but they have a minefield in front of their way to a possible 13-0 record. USC is struggling to even get to 6-6 after all the issues this team has dealt with this season. This is the Trojans’ first home game since the dismissal of Steve Sarkisian, and teams usually play the best they are going to play in their first home game under an interim coach. The Trojans looked good at Notre Dame, and it figures that they will be ready to give the Utes all they can handle.

 

This Week’s Ratings

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Baylor 130.4 127.2 131.5 129.7
2 Alabama 129.2 127.1 129.0 128.4
3 TCU 128.1 119.2 128.6 125.3
4 Ohio St. 126.7 120.9 127.4 125.0
5 Utah 125.8 120.2 125.3 123.8
6 Oklahoma 124.3 120.9 124.2 123.1
7 Stanford 123.5 122.1 123.5 123.0
8 LSU 123.0 119.7 122.9 121.9
9 Notre Dame 123.0 119.7 123.0 121.9
10 USC 120.2 116.7 120.2 119.0
11 Texas A&M 119.8 117.4 118.5 118.6
12 Clemson 117.7 118.5 118.0 118.1
13 Florida 118.8 115.8 119.0 117.9
14 Michigan 119.0 115.7 118.8 117.8
15 Tennessee 119.4 114.7 118.9 117.7
16 North Carolina 117.5 117.9 117.5 117.6
17 Ole Miss 120.3 114.3 117.9 117.5
18 UCLA 120.3 114.0 118.1 117.5
19 Georgia 119.7 112.4 118.5 116.9
20 California 117.8 112.8 117.9 116.2
21 Arkansas 118.2 112.6 117.4 116.1
22 Michigan St. 116.3 112.6 115.9 114.9
23 Florida St. 114.6 115.4 113.8 114.6
24 Arizona St. 116.1 111.1 115.2 114.1
25 Mississippi St. 114.4 110.9 114.5 113.3
26 Oregon 115.6 108.7 114.8 113.0
27 Georgia Tech 114.3 111.6 113.0 113.0
28 Oklahoma St. 113.3 111.4 113.5 112.7
29 Auburn 113.8 111.6 112.8 112.7
30 West Virginia 114.6 109.3 113.9 112.6
31 Iowa 110.6 113.2 111.5 111.8
32 Boise St. 113.0 108.8 112.8 111.5
33 Wisconsin 110.3 110.8 109.8 110.3
34 North Carolina St. 109.9 111.1 108.8 109.9
35 Nebraska 110.8 108.9 110.1 109.9
36 Arizona 111.8 106.1 110.8 109.6
37 Memphis 109.1 109.1 110.3 109.5
38 Duke 108.9 109.7 109.9 109.5
39 Virginia Tech 110.1 108.8 109.7 109.5
40 Louisville 108.6 110.9 108.6 109.4
41 Temple 108.1 110.2 108.8 109.0
42 Missouri 110.3 107.0 109.5 108.9
43 Western Kentucky 107.7 108.0 109.7 108.5
44 Miami 107.9 108.5 108.7 108.4
45 Pittsburgh 107.3 108.2 108.5 108.0
46 Houston 104.3 112.0 107.0 107.8
47 Washington 107.4 104.8 108.0 106.7
48 Texas 107.3 104.9 107.2 106.5
49 Texas Tech 109.0 100.2 108.8 106.0
50 BYU 105.7 104.9 106.6 105.7
51 Illinois 106.7 104.5 105.6 105.6
52 Toledo 104.2 105.0 105.9 105.0
53 South Carolina 106.8 103.1 104.9 104.9
54 Penn St. 104.2 105.5 104.4 104.7
55 Kentucky 105.9 102.5 105.0 104.5
56 Utah St. 104.1 104.1 104.6 104.3
57 Bowling Green 101.7 106.5 104.2 104.1
58 Cincinnati 103.7 103.7 104.7 104.0
59 Minnesota 104.1 102.6 103.2 103.3
60 Northwestern 103.0 103.2 102.4 102.9
61 Kansas St. 106.3 95.7 105.7 102.6
62 Appalachian St. 100.8 103.9 102.8 102.5
63 Colorado 104.4 99.1 102.8 102.1
64 Navy 100.3 103.4 101.1 101.6
65 Washington St. 102.7 98.4 102.0 101.0
66 Boston College 100.2 104.3 98.5 101.0
67 Western Michigan 99.7 99.8 101.1 100.2
68 San Diego St. 98.0 103.0 99.4 100.1
69 Louisiana Tech 99.8 97.8 100.0 99.2
70 Vanderbilt 101.0 95.9 100.5 99.1
71 Virginia 99.7 97.2 98.8 98.6
72 East Carolina 96.4 100.0 97.4 97.9
73 Georgia Southern 96.5 98.9 97.5 97.6
74 Rutgers 98.6 95.9 97.2 97.2
75 Purdue 97.9 97.2 96.4 97.2
76 Northern Illinois 95.1 98.5 95.9 96.5
77 Marshall 95.8 96.9 96.6 96.4
78 Indiana 96.3 96.8 95.7 96.3
79 Wake Forest 94.9 98.6 94.0 95.8
80 Middle Tennessee 95.7 94.8 95.4 95.3
81 Syracuse 93.7 96.8 92.9 94.5
82 South Florida 91.5 98.1 92.2 93.9
83 Air Force 92.4 96.0 91.5 93.3
84 Iowa St. 94.9 90.7 94.0 93.2
85 Colorado St. 93.9 92.1 92.6 92.9
86 Central Michigan 90.6 94.8 93.1 92.8
87 Maryland 94.1 91.3 93.0 92.8
88 Tulsa 90.4 95.2 91.3 92.3
89 Florida International 91.1 93.4 92.5 92.3
90 San Jose St. 91.0 94.0 90.8 91.9
91 Ohio 89.6 93.7 91.2 91.5
92 Southern Mississippi 90.1 91.3 90.4 90.6
93 Arkansas St. 89.0 89.6 90.1 89.6
94 Nevada 88.5 92.2 87.8 89.5
95 Oregon St. 91.0 87.8 89.0 89.3
96 New Mexico 88.5 89.2 87.3 88.3
97 Connecticut 85.9 91.4 86.6 88.0
98 Hawaii 87.2 89.4 87.2 87.9
99 Massachusetts 85.8 88.9 86.9 87.2
100 SMU 85.1 89.0 85.1 86.4
101 Central Florida 84.6 88.0 85.3 86.0
102 Akron 83.3 89.6 84.7 85.9
103 Tulane 85.2 87.6 83.9 85.6
104 Rice 83.9 87.8 84.4 85.4
105 UL-Lafayette 83.9 87.7 84.5 85.4
106 Kent St. 83.3 85.8 84.1 84.4
107 UNLV 82.7 85.3 83.4 83.8
108 Buffalo 80.6 87.4 82.8 83.6
109 Fresno St. 82.1 86.2 80.7 83.0
110 Florida Atlantic 81.1 84.4 81.1 82.2
111 Ball St. 81.4 83.2 81.6 82.1
112 UT-San Antonio 80.6 83.0 81.6 81.7
113 Army 77.6 87.1 79.1 81.3
114 Texas St. 79.9 83.4 79.0 80.8
115 Wyoming 80.1 82.8 79.3 80.7
116 South Alabama 75.7 82.1 77.1 78.3
117 Old Dominion 76.2 81.4 74.9 77.5
118 UL-Monroe 78.2 76.2 78.0 77.5
119 Georgia St. 76.8 76.4 77.0 76.7
120 UTEP 75.7 78.1 75.3 76.4
121 Kansas 78.1 71.4 76.1 75.2
122 Eastern Michigan 72.6 80.1 72.0 74.9
123 Troy 73.9 75.3 75.4 74.9
124 Idaho 72.0 78.5 73.6 74.7
125 Miami (O) 72.7 77.1 72.5 74.1
126 New Mexico St. 73.6 74.6 73.6 73.9
127 North Texas 72.1 77.0 71.8 73.6
128 Charlotte 69.5 72.1 69.6 70.4

 

PiRate Retrodictive
# Team
1 Ohio St.
2 Alabama
3 TCU
4 Utah
5 Baylor
6 LSU
7 Oklahoma
8 Clemson
9 Florida St.
10 Michigan St.
11 Iowa
12 Michigan
13 Stanford
14 Florida
15 Notre Dame
16 California
17 Memphis
18 Oklahoma St.
19 Toledo
20 Houston
21 Mississippi St.
22 Texas A&M
23 BYU
24 Duke
25 Pittsburgh
26 North Carolina
27 Ole Miss
28 Temple
29 UCLA
30 Navy
31 Wisconsin
32 Utah St.
33 Georgia
34 Northwestern
35 Texas Tech
36 Boise St.
37 Tennessee
38 USC
39 Western Kentucky
40 Auburn
41 Oregon
42 Miami (FL)
43 Bowling Green
44 West Virginia
45 Appalachian St.
46 Illinois
47 Penn St.
48 Texas
49 Marshall
50 Georgia Southern
51 Arizona St.
52 Arizona
53 Washington
54 East Carolina
55 Nebraska
56 Washington St.
57 Kentucky
58 Arkansas
59 Kansas St.
60 Missouri
61 North Carolina St.
62 Western Michigan
63 South Carolina
64 Louisville
65 Northern Illinois
66 Rutgers
67 Central Michigan
68 South Florida
69 Cincinnati
70 Louisiana Tech
71 San Diego St.
72 Virginia Tech
73 Georgia Tech
74 Indiana
75 Minnesota
76 Boston College
77 Iowa St.
78 Virginia
79 Ohio U
80 Arkansas St.
81 Southern Miss.
82 Syracuse
83 Air Force
84 Maryland
85 Tulsa
86 Colorado St.
87 Vanderbilt
88 Wake Forest
89 Rice
90 Middle Tennessee
91 Kent St.
92 Oregon St.
93 Colorado
94 Connecticut
95 San Jose St.
96 Akron
97 New Mexico
98 South Alabama
99 Old Dominion
100 Purdue
101 UNLV
102 Louisiana-Lafayette
103 SMU
104 Florida Int’l.
105 Ball St.
106 Army
107 Buffalo
108 Nevada
109 Idaho
110 Tulane
111 Hawaii
112 Massachusetts
113 Fresno St.
114 Idaho
115 Louisiana-Monroe
116 Kansas
117 Georgia St.
118 Wyoming
119 UT-San Antonio
120 Texas St.
121 Central Florida
122 Troy
123 Miami (O)
124 Eastern Michigan
125 UTEP
126 Charlotte
127 North Texas
128 New Mexico St.

 

American Athletic Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Temple 3-0 6-0 108.1 110.2 108.8 109.0
Cincinnati 0-2 3-3 103.7 103.7 104.7 104.0
East Carolina 2-1 4-3 96.4 100.0 97.4 97.9
South Florida 1-1 3-3 91.5 98.1 92.2 93.9
Connecticut 1-2 3-4 85.9 91.4 86.6 88.0
Central Florida 0-3 0-7 84.6 88.0 85.3 86.0
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Memphis 2-0 6-0 109.1 109.1 110.3 109.5
Houston 3-0 6-0 104.3 112.0 107.0 107.8
Navy 2-0 4-1 100.3 103.4 101.1 101.6
Tulsa 0-2 3-3 90.4 95.2 91.3 92.3
SMU 0-2 1-5 85.1 89.0 85.1 86.4
Tulane 1-2 2-4 85.2 87.6 83.9 85.6
             
AAC Averages     95.4 99.0 96.1 96.8
             
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Clemson 3-0 6-0 117.7 118.5 118.0 118.1
Florida St. 4-0 6-0 114.6 115.4 113.8 114.6
North Carolina St. 0-2 4-2 109.9 111.1 108.8 109.9
Louisville 1-2 2-4 108.6 110.9 108.6 109.4
Boston College 0-4 3-4 100.2 104.3 98.5 101.0
Wake Forest 1-3 3-4 94.9 98.6 94.0 95.8
Syracuse 1-1 3-3 93.7 96.8 92.9 94.5
             
Coastal Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
North Carolina 2-0 5-1 117.5 117.9 117.5 117.6
Georgia Tech 0-4 2-5 114.3 111.6 113.0 113.0
Duke 2-0 5-1 108.9 109.7 109.9 109.5
Virginia Tech 1-2 3-4 110.1 108.8 109.7 109.5
Miami 1-1 4-2 107.9 108.5 108.7 108.4
Pittsburgh 3-0 5-1 107.3 108.2 108.5 108.0
Virginia 1-1 2-4 99.7 97.2 98.8 98.6
             
ACC Averages     107.5 108.4 107.2 107.7
             
Big 12 Conference
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Baylor 3-0 6-0 130.4 127.2 131.5 129.7
TCU 4-0 7-0 128.1 119.2 128.6 125.3
Oklahoma 2-1 5-1 124.3 120.9 124.2 123.1
Oklahoma St. 3-0 6-0 113.3 111.4 113.5 112.7
West Virginia 0-3 3-3 114.6 109.3 113.9 112.6
Texas 1-2 2-4 107.3 104.9 107.2 106.5
Texas Tech 2-2 5-2 109.0 100.2 108.8 106.0
Kansas St. 0-3 3-3 106.3 95.7 105.7 102.6
Iowa St. 1-2 2-4 94.9 90.7 94.0 93.2
Kansas 0-3 0-6 78.1 71.4 76.1 75.2
             
Big 12 Averages     110.6 105.1 110.4 108.7
             
Big Ten Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ohio St. 3-0 7-0 126.7 120.9 127.4 125.0
Michigan 2-1 5-2 119.0 115.7 118.8 117.8
Michigan St. 3-0 7-0 116.3 112.6 115.9 114.9
Penn St. 2-1 5-2 104.2 105.5 104.4 104.7
Rutgers 1-2 3-3 98.6 95.9 97.2 97.2
Indiana 0-3 4-3 96.3 96.8 95.7 96.3
Maryland 0-2 2-4 94.1 91.3 93.0 92.8
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Iowa 3-0 7-0 110.6 113.2 111.5 111.8
Wisconsin 2-1 5-2 110.3 110.8 109.8 110.3
Nebraska 1-2 3-4 110.8 108.9 110.1 109.9
Illinois 1-1 4-2 106.7 104.5 105.6 105.6
Minnesota 1-2 4-3 104.1 102.6 103.2 103.3
Northwestern 1-2 5-2 103.0 103.2 102.4 102.9
Purdue 0-3 1-6 97.9 97.2 96.4 97.2
             
Big Ten Averages     107.0 105.7 106.5 106.4
             
Conference USA
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Kentucky 4-0 6-1 107.7 108.0 109.7 108.5
Marshall 3-0 6-1 95.8 96.9 96.6 96.4
Middle Tennessee 2-1 3-4 95.7 94.8 95.4 95.3
Florida International 1-2 3-4 91.1 93.4 92.5 92.3
Florida Atlantic 1-2 1-5 81.1 84.4 81.1 82.2
Old Dominion 1-1 3-3 76.2 81.4 74.9 77.5
Charlotte 0-3 2-4 69.5 72.1 69.6 70.4
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Louisiana Tech 2-1 4-3 99.8 97.8 100.0 99.2
Southern Mississippi 2-1 4-3 90.1 91.3 90.4 90.6
Rice 2-1 3-3 83.9 87.8 84.4 85.4
UT-San Antonio 1-2 1-6 80.6 83.0 81.6 81.7
UTEP 0-2 2-4 75.7 78.1 75.3 76.4
North Texas 0-3 0-6 72.1 77.0 71.8 73.6
             
CUSA Averages     86.1 88.2 86.4 86.9
             
FBS Independents
Team   Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Notre Dame   6-1 123.0 119.7 123.0 121.9
BYU   5-2 105.7 104.9 106.6 105.7
Army   2-5 77.6 87.1 79.1 81.3
             
Independents Averages     102.1 103.9 102.9 103.0
             
Mid-American Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Bowling Green 3-0 5-2 101.7 106.5 104.2 104.1
Ohio 2-1 5-2 89.6 93.7 91.2 91.5
Massachusetts 0-2 1-5 85.8 88.9 86.9 87.2
Akron 1-2 3-4 83.3 89.6 84.7 85.9
Kent St. 2-1 3-4 83.3 85.8 84.1 84.4
Buffalo 0-2 2-4 80.6 87.4 82.8 83.6
Miami (O) 0-3 1-6 72.7 77.1 72.5 74.1
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Toledo 3-0 6-0 104.2 105.0 105.9 105.0
Western Michigan 2-0 3-3 99.7 99.8 101.1 100.2
Northern Illinois 2-1 4-3 95.1 98.5 95.9 96.5
Central Michigan 2-1 3-4 90.6 94.8 93.1 92.8
Ball St. 1-2 2-5 81.4 83.2 81.6 82.1
Eastern Michigan 0-3 1-6 72.6 80.1 72.0 74.9
             
MAC Averages     87.7 91.6 88.9 89.4
             
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Boise St. 2-1 5-2 113.0 108.8 112.8 111.5
Utah St. 3-0 4-2 104.1 104.1 104.6 104.3
Air Force 2-1 3-3 92.4 96.0 91.5 93.3
Colorado St. 1-2 3-4 93.9 92.1 92.6 92.9
New Mexico 2-1 4-3 88.5 89.2 87.3 88.3
Wyoming 1-2 1-6 80.1 82.8 79.3 80.7
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
San Diego St. 3-0 4-3 98.0 103.0 99.4 100.1
San Jose St. 2-2 3-4 91.0 94.0 90.8 91.9
Nevada 1-2 3-4 88.5 92.2 87.8 89.5
Hawaii 0-3 2-5 87.2 89.4 87.2 87.9
UNLV 1-2 2-5 82.7 85.3 83.4 83.8
Fresno St. 1-3 2-5 82.1 86.2 80.7 83.0
             
MWC Averages     91.8 93.6 91.5 92.3
             
Pac-12 Conference
North Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Stanford 4-0 5-1 123.5 122.1 123.5 123.0
California 2-1 5-1 117.8 112.8 117.9 116.2
Oregon 2-2 4-3 115.6 108.7 114.8 113.0
Washington 1-2 3-3 107.4 104.8 108.0 106.7
Washington St. 2-1 4-2 102.7 98.4 102.0 101.0
Oregon St. 0-3 2-4 91.0 87.8 89.0 89.3
             
South Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Utah 3-0 6-0 125.8 120.2 125.3 123.8
USC 1-2 3-3 120.2 116.7 120.2 119.0
UCLA 1-2 4-2 120.3 114.0 118.1 117.5
Arizona St. 2-2 4-3 116.1 111.1 115.2 114.1
Arizona 2-2 5-2 111.8 106.1 110.8 109.6
Colorado 0-3 3-4 104.4 99.1 102.8 102.1
             
Pac-12 Averages     113.1 108.5 112.3 111.3
             
Southeastern Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Florida 4-1 6-1 118.8 115.8 119.0 117.9
Tennessee 1-2 3-3 119.4 114.7 118.9 117.7
Georgia 3-2 5-2 119.7 112.4 118.5 116.9
Missouri 1-3 4-3 110.3 107.0 109.5 108.9
South Carolina 1-4 3-4 106.8 103.1 104.9 104.9
Kentucky 2-2 4-2 105.9 102.5 105.0 104.5
Vanderbilt 0-3 2-4 101.0 95.9 100.5 99.1
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Alabama 3-1 6-1 129.2 127.1 129.0 128.4
LSU 4-0 6-0 123.0 119.7 122.9 121.9
Texas A&M 2-1 5-1 119.8 117.4 118.5 118.6
Ole Miss 2-1 5-2 120.3 114.3 117.9 117.5
Arkansas 1-2 2-4 118.2 112.6 117.4 116.1
Mississippi St. 1-2 5-2 114.4 110.9 114.5 113.3
Auburn 1-2 4-2 113.8 111.6 112.8 112.7
             
SEC Averages     115.8 111.8 115.0 114.2
             
Sunbelt Conference
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Appalachian St. 2-0 5-1 100.8 103.9 102.8 102.5
Georgia Southern 3-0 5-1 96.5 98.9 97.5 97.6
Arkansas St. 2-0 3-3 89.0 89.6 90.1 89.6
UL-Lafayette 1-0 2-3 83.9 87.7 84.5 85.4
Texas St. 0-1 1-4 79.9 83.4 79.0 80.8
South Alabama 1-1 3-3 75.7 82.1 77.1 78.3
UL-Monroe 0-2 1-5 78.2 76.2 78.0 77.5
Georgia St. 1-1 2-4 76.8 76.4 77.0 76.7
Troy 0-2 1-5 73.9 75.3 75.4 74.9
Idaho 1-2 2-4 72.0 78.5 73.6 74.7
New Mexico St. 0-2 0-6 73.6 74.6 73.6 73.9
             
Sun Belt Averages     81.8 84.2 82.6 82.9

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 SEC 115.8 111.8 115.0 114.2
2 Pac-12 113.1 108.5 112.3 111.3
3 Big 12 110.6 105.1 110.4 108.7
4 ACC 107.5 108.4 107.2 107.7
5 Big Ten 107.0 105.7 106.5 106.4
6 Indep. 102.1 103.9 102.9 103.0
7 AAC 95.4 99.0 96.1 96.8
8 MWC 91.8 93.6 91.5 92.3
9 MAC 87.7 91.6 88.9 89.4
10 CUSA 86.1 88.2 86.4 86.9
11 SBC 81.8 84.2 82.6 82.9

 

NCAA Playoffs
1 Ohio St.
2 LSU
3 Utah
4 Clemson

 

Group of 5 Contenders For Automatic New Year’s Six Bowl Bid
# Team      
1 Memphis      
2 Houston      
3 Toledo      
4 Temple      
5 Navy

 

Power 5 Bottom 10

# Team
10 Virginia
9 Rutgers
8 Purdue
7 Indiana
6 Wake Forest
5 Syracuse
4 Iowa St.
3 Maryland
2 Oregon St.
1 Kansas

 

FCS Top 10
# Team PiRate
1 Jacksonville St. 96.8
2 Harvard 94.9
3 Coastal Carolina 91.7
4 Dartmouth 91.6
5 North Dakota St. 91.3
6 South Dakota St. 91.3
7 James Madison 90.2
8 Illinois St. 90.0
9 McNeese St. 89.4
10 Portland St. 88.9

 

This Week’s Games
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Tuesday, October 20        
Arkansas St. Louisiana-Lafayette 7.6 4.4 8.1
         
Thursday, October 22        
East Carolina Temple -8.7 -7.2 -8.4
Appalachian St. Georgia Southern 6.8 7.5 7.8
UCLA California 5.5 4.2 3.2
         
Friday, October 23        
Tulsa Memphis -15.7 -10.9 -16.0
San Diego St. Utah St. -3.1 1.9 -2.2
         
Saturday, October 24        
Miami (Fla) Clemson -6.8 -7.0 -6.3
Arkansas Auburn 7.4 4.0 7.6
Wake Forest North Carolina St. -13.0 -10.5 -12.8
Syracuse Pittsburgh -10.6 -8.4 -12.6
Texas Kansas St. 4.0 12.2 4.5
Rice Army 9.3 3.7 8.3
Baylor Iowa St. 38.5 39.5 40.5
Nebraska Northwestern 10.8 8.7 10.7
Charlotte Southern Miss. -18.1 -16.7 -18.3
Central Florida Houston -17.2 -21.5 -19.2
Louisville Boston College 11.4 9.6 13.1
Navy Tulane 18.1 18.8 20.2
Kent St. Bowling Green -16.4 -18.7 -18.1
Air Force Fresno St. 13.3 12.8 13.8
Western Michigan Miami (O) 29.5 25.2 31.1
Massachusetts Toledo -15.4 -13.1 -16.0
Ball St. Central Michigan -6.7 -9.1 -9.0
Buffalo Ohio U -6.0 -3.3 -5.4
Northern Illinois Eastern Michigan 25.5 21.4 26.9
Louisiana Tech Middle Tennessee 7.1 6.0 7.6
Marshall North Texas 26.7 22.9 27.8
Oklahoma Texas Tech 18.3 23.7 18.4
Oklahoma St. Kansas 38.2 43.0 40.4
Illinois Wisconsin -0.6 -3.3 -1.2
Maryland Penn St. -7.6 -11.7 -8.9
Michigan St. Indiana 23.0 18.8 23.2
Georgia Tech Florida St. 2.7 -0.8 2.2
Virginia Tech Duke 4.2 2.1 2.8
Alabama Tennessee 12.8 15.4 13.1
North Carolina Virginia 20.8 23.7 21.7
Arizona Washington St. 12.1 10.7 11.8
Vanderbilt Missouri -7.3 -9.1 -7.0
South Florida SMU 9.4 12.1 10.1
Nevada Hawaii 5.3 6.8 4.6
Cincinnati Connecticut 20.8 15.3 21.1
Idaho Louisiana-Monroe -3.2 5.3 -1.4
Florida Int’l. Old Dominion 17.9 15.0 20.6
UTEP Florida Atlantic -2.9 -3.8 -3.3
Ole Miss Texas A&M 3.5 -0.1 2.4
LSU Western Kentucky 18.3 14.7 16.2
Texas St. South Alabama 6.7 3.8 4.4
San Jose St. New Mexico 5.5 7.8 6.5
Mississippi St. Kentucky 11.5 11.4 12.5
USC Utah -2.6 -0.5 -2.1
Rutgers Ohio St. -25.1 -22.0 -27.2
New Mexico St. Troy 2.2 1.8 0.7
Boise St. Wyoming 35.9 29.0 36.5
Oregon St. Colorado -10.4 -8.3 -10.8
Stanford Washington 19.1 20.3 18.5
         
         
FBS vs. FCS Week 8 PiRate    
BYU Wagner 51    

 

Bowl Conferences Team vs. Team
Cure AAC SBC Temple vs. Arkansas St.
New Mexico MWC CUSA San Jose St. vs. Florida Int’l.
Las Vegas Pac-12 MWC/BYU Washington St. vs. Utah St.
Camellia MAC SBC Ohio vs. South Alabama
New Orleans CUSA SBC Louisiana Tech vs. Appalachian St.
Miami Beach AAC CUSA Memphis vs. Marshall
Idaho Potato MAC MWC Akron vs. Boise St.
Boca Raton AAC MAC South Florida vs. Northern Illinois
Poinsettia MWC Army San Diego St. vs. USC *
GoDaddy MAC SBC Bowling Green vs. Georgia Southern
Bahamas CUSA MAC Western Kentucky vs. Toledo
Hawaii AAC MWC/BYU Tulsa vs. BYU
St. Petersburg AAC CUSA East Carolina vs. Southern Miss.
Sun ACC Pac-12 Pittsburgh vs. UCLA
Heart of Dallas Big 12 CUSA Texas vs. Rice
Pinstripe ACC Big Ten Duke vs. Rutgers
Independence SEC ACC Kentucky vs. Miami (Fl)
Foster Farms Big Ten Pac-12 Northwestern vs. Oregon
Military ACC AAC Virginia Tech vs. Navy
Quick Lane ACC Big Ten Boston College vs. Indiana
Armed Forces Big Ten MWC Louisiana-Lafayette * vs. Air Force
Russell Athletic ACC Big 12 Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma
Arizona CUSA MWC Middle Tennessee vs. Colorado St.
Texas Big 12 SEC Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss
Birmingham AAC SEC Cincinnati vs. Auburn
Belk ACC SEC North Carolina vs. Tennessee
Music City ACC/Big Ten SEC Louisville vs. Mississippi St.
Peach N. Y. 6 N. Y. 6 Clemson vs. Michigan St.
Cotton Playoff Playoff Baylor vs. Florida St.
Orange Playoff Playoff Ohio St. vs. Alabama
Holiday Big Ten Pac-12 Penn St. vs. Arizona St.
Ouback Big Ten SEC Michigan vs. Texas A&M
Citrus Big Ten SEC Wisconsin vs. Florida
Sugar Big 12 SEC LSU vs. TCU
Rose Big Ten Pac-12 Stanford vs. Iowa
Fiesta N. Y. 6 N. Y. 6 Utah vs. Houston
TaxSlayer ACC/Big Ten SEC Illinois vs. Georgia
Liberty Big 12 SEC West Virginia vs. Arkansas
Alamo Big 12 Pac-12 Oklahoma St. vs. California
Cactus Big 12 Pac-12 Kansas St. vs. Arizona
Nat’l Champ. Semifinal Winners Ohio St. vs. Baylor
           
* = At-large selection due to contracted conference not having an eligible team for this slot

 

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