The Pi-Rate Ratings

September 22, 2015

College Football Preview: September 24-26, 2015

It was an interesting Week 3 in the college football world with Ole Miss topping off an incredible day by topping Alabama in Tuscaloosa.  Ohio State and TCU looked very beatable in narrow wins over Northern Illinois and SMU, while Georgia and Notre Dame pulled off convincing wins.

We start to ruminate about the playoff teams for this year, and you will see our first look at who we believe are the leaders in the clubhouse.  One of our readers, Gary in Toronto, has sent us a comment asking who we believe would have been the four playoff teams in recent years before the playoffs were real.  Gary, we did this one better.  We calculated who we thought would have made the playoffs all the way back to 1969, when we first began compiling ratings.

What follows is not who WE thought should have been in the playoffs; this is who we believe the COMMITTEE of the time period would have selected based on the same criteria they use today, plus our personal belief that politics do play a part.  Thus, deserving undefeated teams like Miami of Ohio and Toledo in the 1970’s, and maybe even Dartmouth in 1970 would have been excluded for one and two-loss teams from the power leagues.  For you trivia buffs, Dartmouth was actually a ranked team in 1970, the last Ivy League team to finish the season ranked in the then top 20 (Yale was the last Ivy League team to appear in the weekly rankings in 1972).

Here they are:

2013: 1-Florida St.,  2-Auburn,  3-Michigan St., 4-Alabama
2012: 1-Alabama, 2-Notre Dame, 3-Oregon, 4-Stanford
2011: 1-LSU, 2-Alabama, 3-Oklahoma St., 4-Oregon
2010: 1-Auburn, 2-Oregon, 3-TCU, 4-Stanford
2009: 1-Alabama, 2-Texas, 3-Florida, 4-Boise St.
2008: 1-Florida, 2-Oklahoma, 3-USC, 4-Utah
2007: 1-LSU, 2-Ohio St., 3-Kansas, 4-West Virginia
2006: 1-Ohio St., 2-Florida, 3-Michigan, 4-USC
2005: 1-Texas, 2-USC, 3-Penn St., 4-Virginia Tech
2004: 1-USC, 2-Oklahoma, 3-Auburn, 4-Utah
2003: 1-LSU, 2-Oklahoma, 3-USC, 4-Michigan
2002: 1-Ohio St., 2-Miami, 3-Georgia, 4-USC
2001: 1-Miami, 2-Nebraska, 3-Oregon, 4-Colorado
2000: 1-Oklahoma, 2-Florida St., 3-Miami, 4-Washington
1999: 1-Florida St., 2-Virginia Tech, 3-Nebraska, 4-Kansas St.
1998: 1-Tennessee. 2-Florida St., 3-Ohio St., 4-Kansas St.
1997: 1-Nebraska, 2-Michigan, 3-Florida St., 4-Tennessee
1996: 1-Florida St., 2-Florida, 3-Ohio St., 4-Arizona St.
1995: 1-Nebraska, 2-Florida, 3-Tennessee, 4-Ohio St.
1994: 1-Nebraska, 2-Penn St., 3-Miami, 4-Colorado
1993: 1-Florida St., 2-Notre Dame, 3-West Virginia, 4-Nebraska
1992: 1-Alabama. 2-Miami, 3-Texas A&M, 4-Florida St.
1991: 1-Miami, 2-Washington, 3-Alabama, 4-Michigan
1990: 1: Georgia Tech, 2-Colorado, 3-Miami, 4-Washington
1989: 1-Miami, 2-Notre Dame, 3-Colorado, 4-Tennessee
1988: 1-Notre Dame, 2-West Virginia, 3-Miami, 4-Florida St.
1987: 1-Miami, 2-Oklahoma 3-Florida St., 4-Syracuse
1986: 1-Miami, 2-Penn St., 3-Oklahoma, 4-Michigan
1985: 1-Oklahoma, 2-Penn St., 3-Michigan, 4-Miami
1984: 1-BYU, 2-Washington, 3-Nebraska, 4-Boston College
1983: 1-Nebraska, 2-Texas, 3-Miami, 4-Auburn
1982: 1-Georgia, 2-Penn St., 3-Nebraska, 4-SMU
1981: 1-Clemson, 2-Pittsburgh, 3-Georgia, 4-Penn St.
1980: 1-Georgia, 2-Pittsburgh, 3-Notre Dame, 4-Nebraska
1979: 1-Alabama, 2-USC, 3-Ohio St., 4-Oklahoma
1978: 1-Penn St., 2-USC, 3-Alabama, 4-Oklahoma
1977: 1-Texas, 2-Notre Dame, 3-Alabama, 4-Michigan
1976: 1-Pittsburgh, 2-Michigan, 3-Georgia, 4-USC
1975: 1-Ohio St., 2-Alabama, 3-Oklahoma, 4-Arizona St.
1974: 1-Alabama, 2-Ohio St., 3-USC, 4-Michigan
1973: 1-Notre Dame, 2-Alabama, 3-Penn St., 4-Ohio St.
1972: 1-USC, 2-Oklahoma, 3-Texas, 4-Michigan
1971: 1-Nebraska, 2-Oklahoma, 3-Alabama, 4-Michigan
1970: 1-Texas, 2-Nebraska, 3-Tennessee, 4-Notre Dame
1969: 1-Texas, 2-Penn St., 3-USC, 4-Missouri

 

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Ratings
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Ohio St. 133.4 124.0 134.3 130.6
2 Ole Miss 130.2 123.8 128.8 127.6
3 LSU 125.8 121.8 125.6 124.4
4 TCU 127.4 117.2 128.5 124.4
5 Alabama 125.0 123.3 124.6 124.3
6 Baylor 123.7 119.8 124.2 122.6
7 Notre Dame 123.4 119.4 123.9 122.2
8 Georgia 124.4 116.8 123.7 121.6
9 USC 121.5 118.2 121.9 120.5
10 Oklahoma 121.1 118.4 121.4 120.3
11 Georgia Tech 123.0 115.0 122.6 120.2
12 Oregon 122.8 114.8 122.2 119.9
13 UCLA 122.6 116.1 120.5 119.7
14 Texas A&M 120.4 118.6 119.4 119.5
15 Michigan St. 121.2 115.3 121.1 119.2
16 Tennessee 120.6 116.4 120.4 119.1
17 Stanford 118.4 117.2 118.6 118.1
18 California 118.1 113.1 118.6 116.6
19 Auburn 116.9 114.9 115.9 115.9
20 Clemson 115.3 116.5 115.2 115.7
21 Utah 117.8 112.1 117.0 115.6
22 Arkansas 117.4 111.1 116.3 114.9
23 Florida St. 114.9 115.3 113.6 114.6
24 Virginia Tech 115.4 111.8 115.8 114.3
25 North Carolina 113.7 113.7 113.3 113.6
26 West Virginia 115.0 109.6 114.4 113.0
27 Oklahoma St. 112.0 112.6 112.7 112.4
28 Arizona St. 114.7 109.4 113.2 112.4
29 Arizona 114.9 107.8 113.0 111.9
30 Mississippi St. 113.4 108.9 113.4 111.9
31 Michigan 112.8 108.9 112.1 111.3
32 Wisconsin 111.2 112.0 110.2 111.1
33 Florida 111.8 108.4 111.2 110.5
34 Missouri 111.4 108.5 110.5 110.1
35 Boise St. 112.2 106.7 111.5 110.1
36 Nebraska 110.9 108.3 110.5 109.9
37 North Carolina St. 109.3 111.4 108.3 109.7
38 Miami 109.0 109.9 109.4 109.4
39 BYU 108.9 107.0 110.3 108.7
40 Minnesota 109.3 107.5 109.1 108.6
41 Temple 107.2 109.4 108.5 108.4
42 Louisville 107.2 109.8 107.4 108.1
43 Texas Tech 111.0 101.6 110.8 107.8
44 Northwestern 106.8 107.8 106.8 107.1
45 Penn St. 105.7 107.8 105.9 106.5
46 Texas 107.1 105.8 106.6 106.5
47 Illinois 107.2 104.8 106.2 106.1
48 Memphis 105.2 105.1 106.7 105.7
49 South Carolina 107.3 103.6 105.8 105.6
50 Kentucky 106.3 102.9 105.6 104.9
51 Pittsburgh 103.7 105.8 104.9 104.8
52 Kansas St. 109.6 96.3 108.2 104.7
53 Colorado 105.8 101.5 105.1 104.1
54 Washington 103.7 101.9 104.1 103.2
55 Iowa 101.8 104.7 102.5 103.0
56 Duke 102.4 103.0 103.0 102.8
57 Cincinnati 101.8 102.9 102.8 102.5
58 Boston College 101.2 106.1 99.5 102.3
59 Virginia 103.0 100.1 102.5 101.9
60 Houston 97.7 105.8 100.4 101.3
61 Western Kentucky 100.9 98.5 102.0 100.5
62 Louisiana Tech 101.3 98.2 102.1 100.5
63 Navy 98.3 101.4 98.8 99.5
64 Toledo 99.7 97.7 100.6 99.3
65 Middle Tennessee 98.3 98.0 98.0 98.1
66 Purdue 98.8 98.2 96.8 97.9
67 Bowling Green 95.3 99.8 97.4 97.5
68 Wake Forest 95.5 100.2 94.5 96.7
69 Air Force 94.7 99.9 94.5 96.4
70 Rutgers 98.0 94.9 96.1 96.3
71 Washington St. 98.5 93.3 96.7 96.2
72 Marshall 95.8 95.6 96.4 95.9
73 Vanderbilt 98.2 92.2 97.1 95.8
74 San Diego St. 93.7 98.9 94.7 95.8
75 Syracuse 94.4 98.7 93.8 95.6
76 Georgia Southern 94.5 96.6 95.0 95.4
77 Utah St. 95.9 94.4 96.0 95.4
78 Indiana 94.8 96.4 94.6 95.3
79 Northern Illinois 94.2 96.8 94.6 95.2
80 Western Michigan 94.6 95.1 95.5 95.1
81 Colorado St. 96.3 93.8 94.8 95.0
82 Maryland 95.3 93.0 94.2 94.2
83 Iowa St. 95.7 92.4 94.6 94.2
84 Tulsa 91.5 97.4 92.9 93.9
85 Ohio 91.5 96.4 93.2 93.7
86 Appalachian St. 92.0 95.0 94.1 93.7
87 Hawaii 91.8 94.0 92.4 92.7
88 Nevada 91.4 95.3 90.9 92.5
89 Oregon St. 92.8 91.1 91.7 91.9
90 East Carolina 90.0 94.5 90.1 91.5
91 Central Florida 89.4 93.2 90.8 91.1
92 Florida International 89.3 92.1 91.2 90.9
93 San Jose St. 90.2 92.9 89.5 90.9
94 Arkansas St. 90.5 90.3 91.5 90.8
95 New Mexico 90.6 91.4 90.0 90.7
96 Fresno St. 88.1 95.1 87.4 90.2
97 South Florida 88.1 94.9 87.5 90.2
98 Rice 87.8 92.6 88.6 89.7
99 SMU 88.1 92.0 88.2 89.4
100 Massachusetts 87.5 91.1 89.1 89.2
101 Tulane 87.9 90.3 86.0 88.1
102 Buffalo 83.8 91.3 86.4 87.2
103 UL-Lafayette 85.3 89.4 85.7 86.8
104 Southern Mississippi 86.5 87.0 85.5 86.3
105 Ball St. 84.9 87.8 85.8 86.2
106 Akron 83.0 89.5 84.4 85.6
107 Central Michigan 83.0 88.9 84.9 85.6
108 Texas St. 83.8 87.6 83.5 85.0
109 Kent St. 83.2 86.0 83.9 84.4
110 Connecticut 81.8 87.9 82.0 83.9
111 Florida Atlantic 82.0 86.2 82.6 83.6
112 Old Dominion 80.7 88.0 79.8 82.8
113 UTEP 81.8 84.8 81.6 82.7
114 North Texas 79.9 86.4 80.4 82.2
115 South Alabama 77.9 85.7 79.7 81.1
116 Army 76.9 87.6 78.2 80.9
117 UL-Monroe 81.7 78.3 81.0 80.3
118 UNLV 79.2 81.6 79.9 80.2
119 Miami (O) 76.6 83.0 76.7 78.8
120 UT-San Antonio 77.2 80.7 78.3 78.7
121 Eastern Michigan 75.0 84.9 75.0 78.3
122 Wyoming 78.0 80.0 76.2 78.1
123 Kansas 78.9 72.6 76.6 76.0
124 Troy 75.3 75.0 77.0 75.8
125 Georgia St. 75.7 74.5 75.4 75.2
126 New Mexico St. 73.6 74.8 73.5 74.0
127 Idaho 70.6 79.1 72.1 73.9
128 Charlotte 69.0 71.0 68.5 69.5

PiRate Ratings by Conference

American Athletic Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Temple 1-0 3-0 107.2 109.4 108.5 108.4
Cincinnati 0-1 2-1 101.8 102.9 102.8 102.5
East Carolina 0-1 1-2 90.0 94.5 90.1 91.5
Central Florida 0-0 0-3 89.4 93.2 90.8 91.1
South Florida 0-0 1-2 88.1 94.9 87.5 90.2
Connecticut 0-0 2-1 81.8 87.9 82.0 83.9
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Memphis 0-0 3-0 105.2 105.1 106.7 105.7
Houston 0-0 2-0 97.7 105.8 100.4 101.3
Navy 1-0 2-0 98.3 101.4 98.8 99.5
Tulsa 0-0 2-1 91.5 97.4 92.9 93.9
SMU 0-0 1-2 88.1 92.0 88.2 89.4
Tulane 0-0 1-2 87.9 90.3 86.0 88.1
             
AAC Averages     93.9 97.9 94.6 95.5
             
Atlantic Coast Conference
Atlantic Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Clemson 1-0 3-0 115.3 116.5 115.2 115.7
Florida St. 1-0 3-0 114.9 115.3 113.6 114.6
North Carolina St. 0-0 3-0 109.3 111.4 108.3 109.7
Louisville 0-1 0-3 107.2 109.8 107.4 108.1
Boston College 0-1 2-1 101.2 106.1 99.5 102.3
Wake Forest 0-1 2-1 95.5 100.2 94.5 96.7
Syracuse 1-0 3-0 94.4 98.7 93.8 95.6
             
Coastal Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Georgia Tech 0-0 2-1 123.0 115.0 122.6 120.2
Virginia Tech 0-0 2-1 115.4 111.8 115.8 114.3
North Carolina 0-0 2-1 113.7 113.7 113.3 113.6
Miami 0-0 3-0 109.0 109.9 109.4 109.4
Pittsburgh 0-0 2-1 103.7 105.8 104.9 104.8
Duke 0-0 2-1 102.4 103.0 103.0 102.8
Virginia 0-0 1-2 103.0 100.1 102.5 101.9
             
ACC Averages     107.7 108.4 107.4 107.8
             
Big 12 Conference
  Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
TCU 0-0 3-0 127.4 117.2 128.5 124.4
Baylor 0-0 2-0 123.7 119.8 124.2 122.6
Oklahoma 0-0 3-0 121.1 118.4 121.4 120.3
West Virginia 0-0 2-0 115.0 109.6 114.4 113.0
Oklahoma St. 0-0 3-0 112.0 112.6 112.7 112.4
Texas 0-0 1-2 107.1 105.8 106.6 106.5
Texas Tech 0-0 3-0 111.0 101.6 110.8 107.8
Kansas St. 0-0 3-0 109.6 96.3 108.2 104.7
Iowa St. 0-0 1-2 95.7 92.4 94.6 94.2
Kansas 0-0 0-2 78.9 72.6 76.6 76.0
             
Big 12 Averages     110.2 104.6 109.8 108.2
             
Big Ten Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ohio St. 0-0 3-0 133.4 124.0 134.3 130.6
Michigan St. 0-0 3-0 121.2 115.3 121.1 119.2
Michigan 0-0 2-1 112.8 108.9 112.1 111.3
Penn St. 1-0 2-1 105.7 107.8 105.9 106.5
Rutgers 0-1 1-2 98.0 94.9 96.1 96.3
Indiana 0-0 3-0 94.8 96.4 94.6 95.3
Maryland 0-0 2-1 95.3 93.0 94.2 94.2
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Wisconsin 0-0 2-1 111.2 112.0 110.2 111.1
Nebraska 0-0 1-2 110.9 108.3 110.5 109.9
Minnesota 0-0 2-1 109.3 107.5 109.1 108.6
Northwestern 0-0 3-0 106.8 107.8 106.8 107.1
Illinois 0-0 2-1 107.2 104.8 106.2 106.1
Iowa 0-0 3-0 101.8 104.7 102.5 103.0
Purdue 0-0 1-2 98.8 98.2 96.8 97.9
             
Big Ten Averages     107.7 106.0 107.2 106.9
             
Conference USA
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Western Kentucky 1-0 2-1 100.9 98.5 102.0 100.5
Middle Tennessee 1-0 2-1 98.3 98.0 98.0 98.1
Marshall 0-0 2-1 95.8 95.6 96.4 95.9
Florida International 0-0 2-1 89.3 92.1 91.2 90.9
Florida Atlantic 0-0 0-3 82.0 86.2 82.6 83.6
Old Dominion 0-0 2-1 80.7 88.0 79.8 82.8
Charlotte 0-1 2-1 69.0 71.0 68.5 69.5
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Louisiana Tech 0-1 1-2 101.3 98.2 102.1 100.5
Rice 1-0 2-1 87.8 92.6 88.6 89.7
Southern Mississippi 0-0 2-1 86.5 87.0 85.5 86.3
UTEP 0-0 1-2 81.8 84.8 81.6 82.7
North Texas 0-1 0-2 79.9 86.4 80.4 82.2
UT-San Antonio 0-0 0-3 77.2 80.7 78.3 78.7
             
CUSA Averages     87.0 89.2 87.3 87.8
             
FBS Independents
Team   Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Notre Dame   3-0 123.4 119.4 123.9 122.2
BYU   2-1 108.9 107.0 110.3 108.7
Army   0-3 76.9 87.6 78.2 80.9
             
Independents Averages     103.1 104.7 104.1 104.0
             
Mid-American Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Bowling Green 0-0 1-2 95.3 99.8 97.4 97.5
Ohio 0-0 3-0 91.5 96.4 93.2 93.7
Massachusetts 0-0 0-2 87.5 91.1 89.1 89.2
Buffalo 0-0 2-1 83.8 91.3 86.4 87.2
Akron 0-0 1-2 83.0 89.5 84.4 85.6
Kent St. 0-0 1-2 83.2 86.0 83.9 84.4
Miami (O) 0-0 1-2 76.6 83.0 76.7 78.8
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Toledo 0-0 2-0 99.7 97.7 100.6 99.3
Northern Illinois 0-0 2-1 94.2 96.8 94.6 95.2
Western Michigan 0-0 1-2 94.6 95.1 95.5 95.1
Ball St. 1-0 2-1 84.9 87.8 85.8 86.2
Central Michigan 0-0 1-2 83.0 88.9 84.9 85.6
Eastern Michigan 0-1 1-2 75.0 84.9 75.0 78.3
             
MAC Averages     87.1 91.4 88.3 88.9
             
Mountain West Conference
Mountain Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Boise St. 0-0 2-1 112.2 106.7 111.5 110.1
Air Force 1-0 2-1 94.7 99.9 94.5 96.4
Utah St. 0-0 1-2 95.9 94.4 96.0 95.4
Colorado St. 0-0 1-2 96.3 93.8 94.8 95.0
New Mexico 0-0 1-2 90.6 91.4 90.0 90.7
Wyoming 0-0 0-3 78.0 80.0 76.2 78.1
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
San Diego St. 0-0 1-2 93.7 98.9 94.7 95.8
Hawaii 0-0 2-1 91.8 94.0 92.4 92.7
Nevada 0-0 1-2 91.4 95.3 90.9 92.5
San Jose St. 0-1 1-2 90.2 92.9 89.5 90.9
Fresno St. 0-0 1-2 88.1 95.1 87.4 90.2
UNLV 0-0 0-3 79.2 81.6 79.9 80.2
             
MWC Averages     91.8 93.7 91.5 92.3
             
Pac-12 Conference
North Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Oregon 0-0 2-1 122.8 114.8 122.2 119.9
Stanford 1-0 2-1 118.4 117.2 118.6 118.1
California 0-0 3-0 118.1 113.1 118.6 116.6
Washington 0-0 2-1 103.7 101.9 104.1 103.2
Washington St. 0-0 2-1 98.5 93.3 96.7 96.2
Oregon St. 0-0 2-1 92.8 91.1 91.7 91.9
             
South Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
USC 0-1 2-1 121.5 118.2 121.9 120.5
UCLA 0-0 3-0 122.6 116.1 120.5 119.7
Utah 0-0 3-0 117.8 112.1 117.0 115.6
Arizona St. 0-0 2-1 114.7 109.4 113.2 112.4
Arizona 0-0 3-0 114.9 107.8 113.0 111.9
Colorado 0-0 2-1 105.8 101.5 105.1 104.1
             
Pac-12 Averages     112.6 108.0 111.9 110.9
             
Southeastern Conference
East Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Georgia 2-0 3-0 124.4 116.8 123.7 121.6
Tennessee 0-0 2-1 120.6 116.4 120.4 119.1
Florida 1-0 3-0 111.8 108.4 111.2 110.5
Missouri 0-0 3-0 111.4 108.5 110.5 110.1
South Carolina 0-2 1-2 107.3 103.6 105.8 105.6
Kentucky 1-1 2-1 106.3 102.9 105.6 104.9
Vanderbilt 0-1 1-2 98.2 92.2 97.1 95.8
             
West Division            
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Ole Miss 1-0 3-0 130.2 123.8 128.8 127.6
LSU 2-0 2-0 125.8 121.8 125.6 124.4
Alabama 0-1 2-1 125.0 123.3 124.6 124.3
Texas A&M 0-0 3-0 120.4 118.6 119.4 119.5
Auburn 0-1 2-1 116.9 114.9 115.9 115.9
Arkansas 0-0 1-2 117.4 111.1 116.3 114.9
Mississippi St. 0-1 2-1 113.4 108.9 113.4 111.9
             
SEC Averages     116.4 112.2 115.6 114.7
             
Sunbelt Conference
Team Conference Overall PiRate Mean Bias Average
Georgia Southern 0-0 2-1 94.5 96.6 95.0 95.4
Appalachian St. 0-0 1-1 92.0 95.0 94.1 93.7
Arkansas St. 0-0 1-2 90.5 90.3 91.5 90.8
UL-Lafayette 0-0 1-1 85.3 89.4 85.7 86.8
Texas St. 0-0 1-2 83.8 87.6 83.5 85.0
South Alabama 0-0 2-1 77.9 85.7 79.7 81.1
UL-Monroe 0-0 1-1 81.7 78.3 81.0 80.3
Troy 0-0 1-2 75.3 75.0 77.0 75.8
Georgia St. 1-0 1-2 75.7 74.5 75.4 75.2
New Mexico St. 0-1 0-3 73.6 74.8 73.5 74.0
Idaho 0-0 1-2 70.6 79.1 72.1 73.9
             
Sun Belt Averages     81.9 84.2 82.6 82.9
PiRate Ratings By Conference
# League PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 SEC 116.4 112.2 115.6 114.7
2 Pac-12 112.6 108.0 111.9 110.9
3 Big 12 110.2 104.6 109.8 108.2
4 ACC 107.7 108.4 107.4 107.8
5 Big Ten 107.7 106.0 107.2 106.9
6 Independents 103.1 104.7 104.1 104.0
7 AAC 93.9 97.9 94.6 95.5
8 MWC 91.8 93.7 91.5 92.3
9 MAC 87.1 91.4 88.3 88.9
10 CUSA 87.0 89.2 87.3 87.8
11 Sun Belt 81.9 84.2 82.6 82.9

 

Group of 5 Contenders For Automatic New Year’s Six Bowl Bid
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
1 Boise St. 112.2 106.7 111.5 110.1
2 BYU 108.9 107.0 110.3 108.7
3 Temple 107.2 109.4 108.5 108.4
4 Memphis 105.2 105.1 106.7 105.7
5 Cincinnati 101.8 102.9 102.8 102.5
6 Houston 97.7 105.8 100.4 101.3
7 Western Kentucky 100.9 98.5 102.0 100.5
8 Louisiana Tech 101.3 98.2 102.1 100.5
9 Navy 98.3 101.4 98.8 99.5
10 Toledo 99.7 97.7 100.6 99.3

 

Power 5 Conferences Bottom 10
# Team PiRate Mean Bias Average
10 Wake Forest 95.5 100.2 94.5 96.7
9 Rutgers 98.0 94.9 96.1 96.3
8 Washington St. 98.5 93.3 96.7 96.2
7 Vanderbilt 98.2 92.2 97.1 95.8
6 Syracuse 94.4 98.7 93.8 95.6
5 Indiana 94.8 96.4 94.6 95.3
4 Maryland 95.3 93.0 94.2 94.2
3 Iowa St. 95.7 92.4 94.6 94.2
2 Oregon St. 92.8 91.1 91.7 91.9
1 Kansas 78.9 72.6 76.6 76.0

 

FCS Top 10
# Team PiRate
1 Jacksonville St. 97.1
2 South Dakota St. 94.1
3 North Dakota St. 92.3
4 Coastal Carolina 89.5
5 Chattanooga 89.0
6 Harvard 88.6
7 Illinois St. 88.2
8 Northern Iowa 88.1
9 Portland St. 87.8
10 James Madison 87.5

 

PiRate Speculation on Playoff Teams

NCAA Playoffs
1 Ohio St.
2 Ole Miss
3 TCU
4 Notre Dame

 

This Week’s Games
         
Home Visitor PiRate Mean Bias
Thursday, September 24        
Memphis Cincinnati 6.4 5.2 6.9
         
Friday, September 25   PiRate  Mean  Bias
Virginia Boise St. -5.7 -3.1 -5.5
Oregon St. Stanford -22.6 -23.1 -23.9
         
Saturday, September 26   PiRate  Mean  Bias
Connecticut Navy -14.0 -11.0 -14.3
Duke Georgia Tech -18.1 -9.5 -17.1
East Carolina Virginia Tech -22.4 -14.3 -22.7
Michigan BYU 6.9 4.9 4.8
Michigan St. Central Michigan 40.2 28.4 38.2
Purdue Bowling Green 6.0 0.9 1.9
Rutgers Kansas 21.6 20.8 22.0
South Carolina Central Florida 20.9 13.4 18.0
Syracuse LSU -28.4 -20.1 -28.8
Nebraska Southern Miss. 27.4 24.3 28.0
Wake Forest Indiana 3.2 6.3 2.4
Boston College Northern Illinois 10.0 12.3 7.9
Arkansas (Arlington, TX) Texas A&M -3.0 -7.5 -3.1
Louisiana Tech Florida Int’l 15.0 9.1 13.9
West Virginia Maryland 21.7 18.6 22.2
Baylor Rice 37.9 29.2 37.6
Arizona UCLA -4.7 -5.3 -4.5
Arizona St. USC -3.8 -5.8 -5.7
Oregon Utah 8.0 5.7 8.2
Wyoming New Mexico -10.1 -8.9 -11.3
Florida Tennessee -5.8 -5.0 -6.2
Houston Texas St. 16.4 20.7 19.4
Notre Dame Massachusetts 38.9 31.3 37.8
Ohio St. Western Michigan 41.8 31.9 41.8
Penn St. San Diego St. 16.0 12.9 15.2
Iowa North Texas 24.9 21.3 25.1
Minnesota Ohio U 20.8 14.1 18.9
Texas Oklahoma St. -1.9 -3.8 -3.1
Old Dominion Appalachian St. -8.8 -4.5 -11.8
Western Kentucky Miami (O) 26.8 18.0 27.8
Buffalo Nevada -3.6 0.0 -0.5
Kent St. Marshall -10.1 -7.1 -10.0
Alabama UL-Monroe 46.3 48.0 46.6
Illinois Middle Tennessee 11.9 9.8 11.2
Texas Tech TCU -13.4 -12.6 -14.7
Washington California -11.4 -8.2 -11.5
Eastern Michigan Army 0.6 -0.2 -0.7
Ole Miss Vanderbilt 35.0 34.6 34.7
Charlotte Florida Atlantic -10.5 -12.7 -11.6
UT-San Antonio Colorado St. -16.6 -10.6 -14.3
UL-Lafayette Akron 5.3 1.9 4.3
Toledo Arkansas St. 12.2 10.4 12.1
Kentucky Missouri -2.1 -2.6 -1.9
Auburn Mississippi St. 6.5 9.0 5.5
Northwestern Ball St. 24.4 22.5 23.5
South Alabama North Carolina St. -28.4 -22.7 -25.6
Wisconsin Hawaii 23.4 22.0 21.8
Idaho Georgia Southern -20.9 -14.5 -19.9
San Jose St. Fresno St. 4.6 0.3 0.6
         
         
FBS vs. FCS Week 4 PiRate    
Georgia Southern U 50    
North Carolina Delaware 35    
Colorado Nicholls St. 43    
Louisville Samford 23    
SMU James Madison 7    
UTEP Incarnate Word 18    
UNLV Idaho St. 15    

 

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