The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 9, 2015

America’s Most Accurate Bracketology Composite—March 9, 2015

Championship Week has arrived, and in less than 150 hours, the field of 68 will be set.

This week, the bubble shrunk to just five teams over the limit, and as of today, March 9, no bubbles have been burst by dark horse teams winning their conference tournament.  For 30 minutes yesterday, Illinois St. threatened to pop one bubble, but Northern Iowa staged a magnificent comeback to earn the automatic bid from the Missouri Valley Conference.

Here are the four teams already in the Big Dance

Atlantic Sun
North Florida (23-11) (16-seed)
Big South
Coastal Carolina (24-9) (16-seed)
Missouri Valley
Northern Iowa (30-3) (4-seed)
Ohio Valley
Belmont (22-10) (15-seed)

A host of other leagues are in the middle or nearing the end of their conference tournaments.  Here are where these already in progress tournaments stand this afternoon.  The number in parentheses indicates the probable seed should the best remaining team win each tournament.

America East (16)
3 Stony Brook (23-10) at 1 Albany (23-8)
Saturday, March 14 11AM EDT
Colonial (15)
1 William & Mary (20-11) vs. 3 Northeastern (22-11)
Monday, March 9 7 PM EDT NBC Sports Net.
Horizon (13)
2 Green Bay (24-7) at 1 Valparaiso (27-5)
Tuesday, March 10 7 PM EDT
Ivy (13)
1 Harvard (21-7) vs. 1 Yale (21-9)
Saturday, March 14 @Palestra (Time TBA)
Metro Atlantic (13)
1 Iona (26-7) vs. 3 Manhattan (18-13)
Monday, March 9   9PM EDT   ESPN2
Northeast (16)
2 Robert Morris (18-14) at 1 St. Francis (NY) (23-10)
Tuesday, March 10 7 PM EDT
Patriot (16)
6 American (17-15) at 4 Lafayette (19-12)
Tuesday, March 11 7 PM EDT
Southern (12)
1 Wofford (27-6) vs. 10 Furman (11-21)
Monday, March 9 7 PM EDT   ESPN2
Summit (14)
1 South Dakota St. (22-9) vs. 5 South Dakota (17-15)
Monday, March 9 7 PM EDT
2 North Dakota St. (21-9) vs. 3 Oral Roberts (18-13)
Monday March 9, 30 minutes after 1st game ends
West Coast
1 Gonzaga (30-2) vs. 4 Pepperdine (18-12)
Monday, March 9 9PM EDT   ESPN
2 BYU (24-8) vs. 6 Portland (17-14)
Monday March 9, 11:30 PM EDT ESPN2

All remaining conference tournaments begin this week, and for the best look at the brackets, go to one of these two excellent links.

ESPN:

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/champweek2015/

CBS: http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/schedules/conference-tournament

Let’s take a look at how the 26 experts show the field as of today.  Teams in Bold have already clinched a spot.

Seed Team Conference
1 Kentucky SEC
1 Villanova Big East
1 Virginia ACC
1 Duke ACC
2 Wisconsin Big Ten
2 Arizona Pac-12
2 Kansas Big 12
2 Gonzaga West Coast
3 Maryland Big Ten
3 Iowa St. Big 12
3 Oklahoma Big 12
3 Baylor Big 12
4 Notre Dame ACC
4 Louisville ACC
4 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley
4 North Carolina ACC
5 Utah Pac-12
5 West Virginia Big 12
5 Wichita St. Missouri Valley
5 Arkansas SEC
6 Georgetown Big East
6 Butler Big East
6 SMU American
6 Providence Big East
7 Iowa Big Ten
7 Michigan St. Big Ten
7 VCU Atlantic 10
7 San Diego St. Mountain West
8 St. John’s Big East
8 Ohio State Big Ten
8 Oregon Pacific-12
8 Cincinnati American
9 Xavier Big East
9 Dayton Atlantic 10
9 Colorado St. Mountain West
9 N. C. St. ACC
10 Davidson Atlantic 10
10 Oklahoma St. Big 12
10 Georgia SEC
10 LSU SEC
11 Boise St. Mountain West
11 Ole Miss SEC
11 Texas Big 12
11 Purdue Big Ten
11 Temple American
12 BYU West Coast
12 Indiana Big Ten
1-Bid Leagues
12 Stephen F. Austin Southland
12 Wofford Southern
12 Louisiana Tech CUSA
13 Valparaiso Horizon
13 Harvard/Yale Ivy
13 Iona MAAC
13 Central Michigan MAC
14 UC Davis Big West
14 Georgia St. Sun Belt
14 Eastern Washington Big Sky
14 South Dakota St. Summit
15 William & Mary Colonial
15 UNC-Central MEAC
15 Belmont Ohio Valley
15 New Mexico St. WAC
16 Albany America East
16 Coastal Carolina Big South
16 North Florida Atlantic Sun
16 Texas Southern SWAC
16 Lafayette Patriot
16 St. Francis (NY) Northeast

The First 5 Out (In Order)

Texas A&M

Tulsa

Illinois

UCLA

Miami (FL)

Opening Round Games

Purdue vs. Temple

BYU vs. Indiana

North Florida vs. St. Francis (NY)

Texas Southern vs. Lafayette

Sweet 16 Schedule if Top 4 Seeds Hold

East

Villanova vs. Notre Dame

Kansas vs. Iowa St.

South

Kentucky vs. North Carolina

Gonzaga vs. Maryland

Midwest

Duke vs. Northern Iowa

Wisconsin vs. Baylor

West

Virginia vs. Louisville

Arizona vs. Oklahoma

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