The Pi-Rate Ratings

February 23, 2015

America’s Most Accurate Bracketology Composite—February 23, 2015

And down the stretch they come! By the end of this week, the first conference tournament brackets will be finalized, and by the end of the following week, the rest of the leagues will follow suit.

Not a lot changed last week, but there has been subtle updates to the field of 68. Without further adieu, let’s take a look at the 1-bid leagues first. Here are the contenders for each of these low-major leagues, with the highest rated team displaying their predicted seed if they win their conference tournament (conference championship in Ivy).

America East Conf. Overall Seed
Albany 13-1 19-8 16 *
Vermont 11-3 16-11
Stony Brook 11-4 19-10
New Hampshire 11-4 17-10
Atlantic Sun Conf. Overall Seed
Florida Gulf Coast 11-1 21-7 15
North Florida 10-2 18-11
USC Upstate 7-5 20-9
Big Sky Conf. Overall Seed
Sacramento St. 12-3 18-8
Montana 12-3 16-10
Eastern Washington 11-3 20-7 14
Northern Arizona 10-4 15-12
Portland St. 8-7 14-11
Big South Conf. Overall Seed
High Point 12-4 21-7 15
Charleston Southern 12-4 18-9
Coastal Carolina 11-5 20-8
Radford 11-5 20-9
Winthrop 11-5 16-11
Gardner-Webb 9-7 17-12
UNC Asheville 9-7 13-14
Big West Conf. Overall Seed
UC Davis 11-1 21-4 14
UC Irvine 9-3 16-10
UC Santa Barbara 7-5 14-12
Long Beach St. 7-5 13-15
UC Riverside 7-6 14-13
Colonial Conf. Overall Seed
Northeastern 11-5 19-10 15
William & Mary 11-5 17-10
James Madison 11-5 18-11
UNC Wilmington 11-5 16-11
Hofstra 9-7 18-11
Conference USA Conf. Overall Seed
Louisiana Tech 12-3 21-7 13
UTEP 11-3 19-7
UAB 11-4 15-13
Old Dominion 9-5 20-6
Western Kentucky 9-5 16-10
Middle Tennessee 8-7 15-13
UT San Antonio 7-7 13-12
North Texas 7-7 13-13
Horizon Conf. Overall Seed
Valparaiso 12-2 25-4 12
Cleveland St. 11-4 17-12
Green Bay 10-4 21-7
Oakland 10-4 15-14
Milwaukee 7-7 12-16
Ivy Conf. Overall Seed
Harvard 9-1 19-5 12
Yale 8-2 19-8
Metro Atlantic Conf. Overall Seed
Iona 16-2 23-6 13
Rider 13-5 19-10
Monmouth 12-6 16-13
Manhattan 11-6 14-12
Canisius 10-8 15-12
Mid-American Conf. Overall Seed
Central Michigan 10-4 20-5 14
Kent State 10-4 19-8
Toledo 10-4 18-9
Bowling Green 9-5 17-8
Buffalo 8-6 17-9
Akron 8-6 17-10
Mid-Eastern Conf. Overall Seed
North Carolina Central 13-0 21-6 16
Norfolk St 10-3 17-11
UM-Eastern Shore 9-5 16-13
Howard 8-5 14-13
Delaware St. 7-5 13-14
Hampton 7-6 11-15
South Carolina St. 7-6 10-18
Northeast Conf. Overall Seed
St. Francis (NY) 14-2 20-9 16 *
Mt. St. Mary’s 10-6 14-13
Robert Morris 10-6 14-14
Bryant 10-6 13-14
St. Francis (PA) 8-8 14-13
LIU Brooklyn 8-8 12-15
Wagner 8-8 10-17
Ohio Valley Conf. Overall Seed
Murray St. 14-0 24-4 13
Belmont 10-5 18-10
Tenn-Martin 9-5 17-10
Eastern Kentucky 8-5 16-10
Eastern Illinois 9-6 16-12
Morehead St. 7-6 12-16
SIU-Edwardsville 8-7 12-14
Patriot Conf. Overall Seed
Bucknell 12-4 17-12 16 *
Colgate 10-6 13-16
Lehigh 9-7 15-12
Lafayette 8-8 16-11
Boston University 8-8 12-15
Southern Conf. Overall Seed
Wofford 14-2 23-6 12
Chattanooga 13-3 20-9
Mercer 11-5 16-13
East Tennessee St. 8-8 16-11
Western Carolina 8-8 13-15
Southland Conf. Overall Seed
Sam Houston St. 13-1 22-5 13
Stephen F. Austin 12-1 22-4
Northwestern St. 10-4 15-10
Texas A&M-CC 9-5 14-12
Southwestern Conf. Overall Seed
Texas Southern 11-2 14-12 16 *
Prairie View 8-5 10-16
Jackson St. 7-7 9-18
Summit Conf. Overall Seed
South Dakota St. 12-3 21-8 15
North Dakota St. 12-3 20-8
IPFW 8-6 15-12
Oral Roberts 8-6 15-13
South Dakota 8-6 15-14
Sun Belt Conf. Overall Seed
Georgia Southern 12-4 19-6 14
Georgia St. 12-4 19-8
UL Monroe 12-4 18-9
UL Lafayette 10-7 16-12
UT-Arlington 9-7 15-11
Western Ath. Conf. Overall Seed
New Mexico St. 11-1 19-10 16
CSU Bakersfield 7-5 12-16
UMKC 6-5 11-17
Seattle 6-6 13-13
Note: Asterisk (*) indicates opening round participant

Here is how our expert bracketologists see the multi-bid conferences as of today.

American Conf. Overall Seed
SMU 13-2 22-5 6
Tulsa 12-2 19-7 Bubble
Temple 10-5 19-9 11
Cincinnati 9-5 18-9 10
Memphis 9-5 17-10 Out
Connecticut 8-6 15-11 Out
Atlantic Coast Conf. Overall Seed
Virginia 13-1 25-1 1
Notre Dame 12-3 24-4 3
Duke 11-3 24-3 1
Louisville 9-5 21-6 4
North Carolina 9-5 19-8 4
Pittsburgh 7-7 18-10 Bubble
Miami (FL) 7-7 17-10 Bubble
N. C. St. 7-7 16-11 11
Atlantic 10 Conf. Overall Seed
VCU 11-3 21-6 5
Rhode Island 11-3 19-6 Bubble
Dayton 10-4 20-6 11
Davidson 10-4 19-6 Bubble
UMass 9-5 16-11 Bubble
Richmond 8-6 15-12 Out
George Washington 7-7 17-10 Bubble
St. Bonaventure 7-7 14-11 Out
La Salle 7-7 15-12 Out
Big East Conf. Overall Seed
Villanova 12-2 25-2 2
Georgetown 10-5 18-8 7
Providence 9-5 19-8 6
Butler 9-5 19-8 6
Xavier 8-7 18-10 8
St. John’s 7-7 18-9 9
Big Ten Conf. Overall Seed
Wisconsin 13-1 25-2 2
Maryland 10-4 22-5 4
Michigan St 10-4 19-8 7
Purdue 10-4 18-9 11
Indiana 9-6 19-9 8
Ohio State 8-6 19-8 8
Iowa 8-6 17-10 9
Illinois 7-7 17-10 12
Michigan 7-8 14-13 Out
Minnesota 5-10 16-12 Bubble
Big 12 Conf. Overall Seed
Kansas 11-3 22-5 2
Iowa State 10-4 20-6 3
Oklahoma 10-5 19-8 3
West Virginia 9-5 21-6 6
Baylor 8-6 20-7 4
Oklahoma St 7-8 17-10 7
Texas 6-8 17-10 10
Kansas St 6-9 13-15 Out
TCU 3-11 16-11 Bubble
Missouri Valley Conf. Overall Seed
Northern Iowa 15-1 26-2 5
Wichita St. 15-1 25-3 5
Mountain West Conf. Overall Seed
San Diego St 12-3 22-6 7
Wyoming 10-4 21-6 Out
Boise State 10-4 20-7 Bubble
Colorado St 10-5 23-5 9
Utah State 9-5 16-10 Out
Pac-12 Conf. Overall Seed
Arizona 12-2 24-3 2
Utah 11-3 21-5 3
Oregon 10-5 20-8 11
Stanford 8-6 17-9 12
Oregon St 8-7 17-10 Out
UCLA 8-7 16-12 Bubble
Arizona St 7-7 15-12 Bubble
Southeastern Conf. Overall Seed
Kentucky 14-0 27-0 1
Arkansas 11-3 22-5 5
Texas A&M 10-4 19-7 10
Ole Miss 10-4 19-8 8
LSU 8-6 19-8 10
Georgia 8-6 17-9 9
Florida 6-8 13-14 Bubble
West Coast Conf. Overall Seed
Gonzaga 16-0 28-1 1
Saint Mary’s 12-4 20-7 Out
BYU 11-5 21-8 Bubble

Here is the bubble–last 10 in and first 14 out.

Last 10 In #
Texas A&M 59
Cincinnati 60
LSU 61
Dayton 62
N. C. St. 63
Temple 64
Purdue 65
Oregon 66
Stanford 67
Illinois 68
1st 14 Out #
Tulsa 69
Pittsburgh 70
Boise St. 71
UCLA 72
Davidson 73
BYU 74
Miami (FL) 75
Florida 76
U Mass 77
Minnesota 78
Arizona St. 79
TCU 80
Rhode Island 81
George Washington 82

Here are the Opening Round participants to play at Dayton.

Opening Round Games (Dayton)
11 Oregon vs.
11 Purdue
12 Stanford vs.
12 Illinois
16 Albany vs.
16 St. Francis (NY)
16 Bucknell vs.
16 Texas Southern

And, here are the top four seeds by region.

Top 4 Seeds By Region
East Team
1 Virginia
2 Kansas
3 Iowa St.
4 Maryland
South Team
1 Kentucky
2 Arizona
3 Oklahoma
4 Louisville
Midwest Team
1 Duke
2 Villanova
3 Utah
4 Baylor
West Team
1 Gonzaga
2 Wisconsin
3 Notre Dame
4 North Carolina
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