Here are the matchups for Thursday’s Sweet 16 games with our criteria comparisons. Remember, the criteria spread is not the predicted spread for each game. We have commenced with adding a predicted score from the interpretation of the criteria spread.
Sweet 16 Thursday Schedule
7:15 PM EDT on CBS
South Region—Stanford vs. Dayton
Stanford will have a decided advantage on the boards, while almost all other criteria are about equal. Look for a close game, but the Cardinal will take advantage of a few extra opportunities in second chance points to pull it out in the end.
PiRate Criteria: Stanford by 1 Predicted Score: Stanford 72 Dayton 68
7:47 PM EDT on TBS
West Region—Wisconsin vs. Baylor
Baylor has the rebounding advantage, but Wisconsin has the turnover margin advantage. Shooting is about equal, but Wisconsin’s range of shooting is a little better. Baylor has the R+T advantage, so this game is a real tossup. The criteria score shows it to be a possible overtime game.
PiRate Criteria: Wisconsin by less than 1 Predicted Score: Wisconsin 64 Baylor 63
Approx. 9:30 PM EDT on CBS
South Region—Florida vs. U C L A
Florida has slightly superior numbers in shooting, defense, and rebounding, while UCLA has a little turnover margin advantage. The Gators have the R+T advantage as well, and this game looks to be the biggest mismatch of the night, even though it may not show that in the final score.
PiRate Criteria: Florida by 4 Predicted Score: Florida 69 UCLA 58
Approx. 10:17 PM EDT on TBS
West Region—Arizona vs. San Diego St.
This is an excellent contrast game. Arizona is a lot more physical, but San Diego St. is quite a bit quicker. If the game becomes a volleyball match inside, the Wildcats will be too strong for the Aztecs; but, if the game becomes a quicker-pace, running game, SDSU has the talent to actually run Arizona off the floor. The criteria tilt in favor of the number one seed advancing, and we will go with Arizona as the individual game pick tonight, but remember that we actually selected San Diego St. to be the surprise Final Four team in our original bracket selection.
PiRate Criteria: Arizona by 2 Predicted Score: Arizona 75 San Diego St. 70