The Pi-Rate Ratings

March 8, 2014

PiRate Ratings College Basketball Report for Saturday, March 8, 2014

Last Updated: March 8, 2014 12:05 AM EST

*** Harvard wins at Yale to earn the first of the 68 invitations to the Big Dance ***

 

The Bubbler

The higher up each team is on this bubble list, the better.  As of today, the cut-off line to get into the Dance is #17, with teams listed at #14 through #17 as opening round teams as part of the last four in.  Teams listed at 18 and lower are not in the tournament, with teams listed #18 through #21 as the first four out.  As conference tournament upsets occur, the bubble teams in the tournament will begin to shrink.  So, far, no major upsets have occurred, as the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament in St. Louis is the only current tournament that can cause a bubble to burst.  If Wichita St. loses in Arch Madness, one bubble will pop.  The West Coast Conference begins to expose Gonzaga starting tonight, so there will be two potential bubble-bursting games played Saturday.

Additionally, there are some bubble-bursting head-to-head games today, such as Missouri at Tennessee, where the winner will move up a few spots, and the loser will fall into quicksand.

There has been some movement due to strength of scheduling from opponents, and even though no bubble teams played last night, there were several changes in “The Bubbler.”  Expect wholesale movement today with so many games affecting the bubble.

 

1. Kansas St.

2. George Washington

3. Arizona St.

4. Colorado

5. S M U

6. Oregon

7. Baylor

8. Oklahoma St.

9. Gonzaga (if they do not win the WCC Tournament)

10. St. Joseph’s

11. Stanford

12. Arkansas

13. Xavier

——————————

14. Pittsburgh

15. B Y U

16. Dayton

17. Nebraska

——————————

18. Georgetown

19. California

20. Tennessee

21. Providence

——————————

22. Minnesota

23. Missouri

24. Utah

25. St. John’s

26. Florida St.

27. Marquette

28. Louisiana Tech

29. Southern Miss.

 

Games Affecting The Bubble Tonight

Arizona

@

Oregon

Georgetown

@

Villanova

Providence

@

Creighton

Oklahoma St.

@

Iowa St.

S M U

@

Memphis

St. John’s

@

Marquette

Baylor

@

Kansas St.

Utah

@

Stanford

Pittsburgh

@

Clemson

Missouri

@

Tennessee

Arkansas

@

Alabama

Arizona St.

@

Oregon St.

George Washington

@

Fordham

Colorado

@

California

Richmond

@

Dayton

 

CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS

Leagues Earning A Dance Ticket Today

Ohio Valley

Semifinal Rounds

Big South

Horizon

Missouri Valley

Northeast

Patriot

Quarterfinal Rounds

America East

Colonial

Metro Atlantic

Southern

Summit (one of three quarterfinal round games with two more tomorrow)

West Coast

 

Schedules & Results

All times are Eastern Standard

Last Night’s Games in Red

Today’s Games in Blue

America East Conference

Location—SEFCU Arena, Albany, NY

 

Quarterfinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G1: #1 Vermont (15-1/21-9) vs. #8 New Hampshire (4-12/6-23)—12 Noon on ESPN3

G2: #4 Albany (9-7/15-14) vs. #5 UMBC (5-11/9-20)—2:20 PM on ESPN3

G3: #2 Stony Brook (13-3/21-9) vs. #7 Maine (4-12/6-22)—6:00 PM on ESPN3

G4: #3 Hartford (10-6/16-15) vs. #6 Binghamton (4-12/7-22)—8:20 PM on ESPN3

 

Semifinal Round—Sunday, March 9

G5: Game 1 winner vs. Game 2 winner—5:00 PM on ESPN3

G6: Game 3 winner vs. Game 4 winner—7:20 PM on ESPN3

 

Championship Game—Saturday, March 15

Game 5 winner vs. Game 6 winner—11:30 AM on ESPN2

 

 

Atlantic Sun Conference

Location—All Games Played on Campus Sites of Higher Seed

 

Quarterfinal Round—Tuesday, March 4

G1: #1 Florida Gulf Coast 77  #8 Stetson 55

G2: #4 East Tennessee 89  #5 Lipscomb 88 2ot

G3: #2 Mercer 85  #7 Jacksonville 64

G4: #3 USC-Upstate 80  #6 North Florida 74

 

Semifinal Round—Thursday, March 6

G5: #1 Florida Gulf Coast 69  #4 East Tennessee 64

G6: #2 Mercer 78  #3 USC-Upstate 75 2ot

 

Championship Game—Sunday, March 9

#2 Mercer (14-4/25-8) at #1 Florida Gulf Coast (14-4/22-11)—2:00 PM on ESPN2

 

Big South Conference

Location—The HTC Center, Conway, SC (Myrtle Beach)

 

Opening Round—Wednesday, March 5

G1: #4S Winthrop 77  vs. #5N Liberty 65

G2: #3N Radford 78  vs. #6S Presbyterian 73

G3: #5S Chas. Southern 81  #4N Campbell 71

G4: #3S Gardner-Webb 81  #6N Longwood 65

 

Quarterfinal Round—Friday, March 7

G5: #4S Winthrop 62  #1N High Point 60

G6: #2S UNC-Asheville 96  #3N Radford 87

G7: #1S Coastal Carolina 73  #5S Chas. Southern 68 2ot

G8: #2N VMI 90  #3S Gardner-Webb 77

 

Semifinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G9: #4S Winthrop (10-6/19-12) vs. #2S UNC-Asheville (10-6/17-14)—12 Noon on ESPN3

G10: #1S Coastal Carolina (11-5/19-12) vs. #2N V M I (11-5/19-11)—2:00 PM on ESPN3

 

Championship Game—Sunday, March 9

Game 9 winner vs. Game 10 winner—12 Noon on ESPN2

 

Colonial Athletic Association

Location—Baltimore Arena, Baltimore

 

Opening Round—Friday, March 7

G1: #8 Hofstra 78  #9 UNC-Wilmington 70

 

Quarterfinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G2: #1 Delaware (14-2/22-9) vs. #8 Hofstra (5-11/10-22)—12 Noon on Comcast Sports Net/CSS

G3: #4 Drexel (8-8/16-13) vs. #5 Northeastern (7-9/10-20)—2:30 PM on Comcast Sports Net/CSS

G4: #2 Towson (13-3/22-9) vs. #7 James Madison (6-10/11-19)—6:00 PM on Comcast Sports Net/CSS

G5: #3 Wm. & Mary (10-6/18-11) vs. #6 Charleston (6-10/14-17)—8:30 PM on Comcast Sports Net/CSS

 

Semifinal Round—Sunday, March 9

G6: Game 2 winner vs. Game 3 winner—2:30 PM on NBCSN

G7: Game 4 winner vs. Game 5 winner—5:00 PM on NBCSN

 

Championship Game—Monday, March 10

Game 6 winner vs. Game 7 winner—7:00 PM on NBCSN

 

Conference USA

Location—Don Haskins Center, El Paso, TX

 

Opening Round—Tuesday, March 11 (all games televised online @ C-USA DN)

G1: #10 North Texas (6-10/15-15) vs. #15 Rice (2-14/7-22)—5:30 PM

G2: #11 Florida Atlantic (5-11/10-21) vs. #14 Marshall (4-12/10-21)—8:00 PM

G3: #12 East Carolina (5-11/16-15) vs. #13 U T S A (4-12/8-21)—10:30 PM

 

2nd Round—Wednesday, March 12 (all games televised online @ C-USA DN)

G4: #7 Tulane (8-8/16-15) vs. Game 1 winner—2:00 PM

G5: #6 Old Dominion (9-7/15-16) vs. Game 2 winner—4:30 PM

G6: #5 U T E P (12-4/22-9) vs. Game 3 winner—8:00 PM

G7: #8 U A B (7-9/18-12) vs. Game 4 winner—10:30 PM

 

Quarterfinal Round—Thursday, March 13 (all games televised online @ C-USA DN)

G8: #2 Tulsa (13-3/18-12) vs. Game 4 winner—2:00 PM

G9: #3 Middle Tennessee (13-3/23-8) vs. Game 5 winner—4:30 PM

G10: #4 Southern Miss. (13-3/26-5) vs. Game 6 winner—8:00 PM

G11: #1 Louisiana Tech (13-3/25-6) vs/ Game 7 winner—10:30 PM

 

Semifinal Round—Friday, March 14 (both games televised on CBS SN)

G12: Game 8 winner vs. Game 9 winner—4:00 PM

G13: Game 10 winner vs. Game 11 winner—6:30 PM

 

Championship Game—Saturday, March 15 (on CBS)

Game 12 winner vs. Game 13 winner—11:35 AM

 

Horizon League

Location—First Round Games played at the higher seed.  The quarterfinal and semifinal round games will be played at Green Bay, and the championship game will be played at the higher seed.

 

Opening Round—Tuesday, March 4

G1: #5 Milwaukee 83  #8 Detroit 73

G2: #4 Valparaiso 73  #9 Illinois-Chicago 63

G3: #6 Oakland 96  #7 Youngstown St. 92 ot

 

Quarterfinal Round—Friday, March 7

G4: #3 Wright St. 73  #6 Oakland 57

G5: #5 Milwaukee 74  #4 Valparaiso 57

 

Semifinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G6: #2 Cleveland St. (12-4/21-10) vs. #3  Wright St. (10-6/19-13)—7:00 PM on ESPNU at 11:30 PM taped

G7: #1 Green Bay (14-2/24-5) vs. #5 Milwaukee (7-9/19-13)—9:30 PM on ESPNU

 

Championship Game—Tuesday, March 11

Game 6 winner vs. Game 7 winner—7:00 PM on ESPN

 

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

Location—Mass Mutual Center, Springfield, MA

 

Opening Round—Thursday, March 6

G1: #8 Rider 71  #9 Monmouth 60

G2: #7 St. Peter’s 65  #10 Fairfield 62 ot

G3: #11 Niagara 78  #6 Marist 76

 

Quarterfinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G4: #1 Iona (17-3/20-9) vs. Rider (9-11/14-16)—12 Noon on ESPN3

G5: #4 Canisius (14-6/20-11) vs. #5 Siena (11-9/15-16)—2:30 PM on ESPN3

G6: #2 Manhattan (15-5/22-7) vs. #7 St. Peter’s (9-11/14-16)—6:30 PM on ESPN3

G7: #3 Quinnipiac (14-6/19-10) vs. #11 Niagara (3-17/7-25)—9:00 PM on ESPN3

 

Semifinal Round—Sunday, March 9

G8: Game 4 winner vs. Game 5 winner—4:30 PM on ESPN3

G9: Game 6 winner vs. Game 7 winner—7:00 PM on ESPN3

 

Championship Game—Monday, March 10

Game 8 winner vs. Game 9 winner—7:00 PM on ESPN2

 

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Location: Norfolk Scope Arena, Norfolk, VA

 

Opening Round—Monday, March 10 & Tuesday, March 11

G1: #4 Norfolk St. (11-5/17-13) vs. #13 Maryland-Eastern Shore (4-12/6-23)—3/10 @ 6:30 PM

G2: #5 Savannah St. (10-6/12-18) vs. #12 South Carolina St. (5-11/9-20)—3/10 @ 9:00 PM

G3: #8 Howard (5-11/7-24) vs. #9 North Carolina A&T (5-11/9-22)—3/11 @ 4:00 PM

G4: #7 Coppin St. (7-9/10-19) vs. #10 Bethune-Cookman (5-11/7-24)—3/11 @ 6:30 PM

G5: #6 Florida A&M (8-8/13-17) vs/ #11 Delaware St. (5-11/9-20)—3/11 @ 9:00 PM

 

Quarterfinal Round—Wednesday, March 12 & Thursday, March 13

G6: #1 UNC-Central (15-1/25-5) vs. Game 3 winner—3/12 @ 6:00 PM

G7: #2 Hampton (13-3/18-11) vs. Game 4 winner—3/12 @ 8:30 PM

G8: #3 Morgan St. (11-5/13-15) vs. Game 5 winner—3/13 @ 6:00 PM

G9: Game 1 winner vs. Game 2 winner—3/13 @ 8:30 PM

 

Semifinal Round—Friday, March 14

G10: Game 6 winner vs. Game 9 winner—6:00 PM

G11: Game 7 winner vs. Game 8 winner—8:30 PM

 

Championship Game—Saturday, March 15

Game 10 winner vs. Game 11 winner—6:00 PM on ESPNU

 

 

Missouri Valley Conference (Arch Madness)

Location: Scottrade Center, St. Louis

 

All Games until the Championship on MVC TV Network

 

Opening Round—Thursday, March 6

G1: #9 Evansville 69  #8 Drake 61  

G2: #10 Loyola (Chi) 74 (4-14/10-21) #7 Bradley 72  

 

Quarterfinal Round—Friday, March 7

G3: #1 Wichita St. 80  #9 Evansville 58

G4: #4 Missouri St. 53  #5 Illinois St. 48

G5: #2 Indiana St. 75  #10 Loyola (Chi) 62

G6: #6 Southern Illinois 63  #3 Northern Iowa 58 

 

Semifinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G7: #1 Wichita St. (18-0/32-0) vs. Missouri St. (9-9/20-11)—2:35 PM

G8: #2 Indiana St. (12-6/22-9) vs. #6 Southern Illinois (9-9/14-18)—5:05 PM

 

Championship Game—Sunday, March 9

Game 7 winner vs. Game 8 winner—2:05 PM on CBS

 

Northeast Conference

Location—All Games Played On Campus Sites of Higher Seeds

Tournament Re-seeds teams after quarterfinal round (like NFL Playoffs)

 

Quarterfinal Round—Wednesday, March 5 (All Games at 7:00 PM)

G1: #1 Robert Morris 60  #8 Fairleigh-Dickinson 53

G2: #2 Wagner 83  #7 Central Connecticut 59

G3: #6 St. Francis (PA) 55  #3 Bryant 54 

G4: #5 Mt. St. Mary’s 72  #4 St. Francis (NY) 71 

 

Semifinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G5: #2 Wagner (12-4/19-11) vs. #5 Mt. St. Mary’s (9-7/15-16)—12 Noon on MSG+/FCS

G6: #1 Robert Morris (14-2/20-12) vs. #6 St. Francis (PA) (7-9/10-20)— 2:00 PM on MSG+/FCS

 

Championship Game—Tuesday, March 11

Game 5 winner vs. Game 6 winner—7:00 PM on ESPN or ESPN2

 

Ohio Valley Conference

Location—Municipal Auditorium, Nashville

 

Opening Round—Wednesday, March 5

G1: #5 Tennessee Tech 74  #8 SIU-Edwards. 67

G2: #6 Southeast Missouri 79  #7 E. Illinois 61

 

Quarterfinal Round—Thursday, March 6

G3: #4 Morehead St. 76  #5 Tennessee Tech 61

G4: #3 Eastern Kentucky 84  #6 S.E. Missouri 76

 

Semifinal Round—Friday, March 7

G5: #1 Belmont 86  #4 Morehead St. 63

G6: #3 Eastern Kentucky 86  #2 Murray St. 83  

 

Championship Game—Saturday, March 8

#1 Belmont (14-2/24-8) vs. #3 Eastern Kentucky (11-5/23-9)—7:00 PM on ESPN2

 

Patriot League

Location—All Games Played on Campus Sites at Higher Seed

 

Opening Round—Monday, March 3

G1: #9 Lafayette 84  #8 Loyola (MD) 71

G2: #7 Colgate  #10 Navy 51

 

Quarterfinal Round—Wednesday, March 5

G3: #1 Boston U. 91  #9 Lafayette 54

G4: #5 Army 72  #4 Bucknell 71

G5: #3 Holy Cross 54  #6 Lehigh 48

G6: #2 American 59  #7 Colgate 50

 

Semifinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G7: #1 Boston U (15-3/23-9) vs. #5 Army (10-8/15-15)—3:30 PM on CBS SN

G8: #3 Holy Cross (12-6/19-12) vs. #2 American (13-5/18-12)—5:30 PM on CBS SN

 

Championship Game—Wednesday, March 12

Game 7 winner vs. Game 8 winner—7:30 PM on CBS SN

 

Southern Conference

Location—U.S. Cellular Center, Asheville, NC

 

Opening Round—Friday, March 7

G1: #8 Samford 70  #9 Appalachian St. 56

G2: #7 Georgia Southern 65  #10 Furman 50

G3: #11 Citadel 86  #6 UNCG 76 

 

Quarterfinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G4: #1 Davidson (15-1/19-11) vs. #8 Samford (6-10/13-19)—12 Noon on ESPN3

G5: #4 Elon (11-5/18-13) vs. #5 Western Carolina (10-6/17-14)—2:30 PM on ESPN3

G6: #2 Chattanooga (12-4/18-13) vs. #7 Georgia Southern (6-10/14-18)—6:00 PM on ESPN3

G7: #3 Wofford (11-5/17-12) vs. #11 Citadel (2-14/7-25)—8:30 PM on ESPN3

 

Semifinal Round—Sunday, March 9

G8: Game 4 winner vs. Game 5 winner—6:00 PM on ESPN3/CSS

G9: Game 6 winner vs. Game 7 winner—8:30 PM on ESPN3/CSS

 

Championship Game—Monday, March 10

Game 8 winner vs. Game 9 winner—9:00 PM on ESPN2

 

Summit League

Location—Sioux Falls Arena, Sioux Falls, SD

 

Quarterfinal Round—Saturday, March 8 & Sunday, March 9

G1: #2 IPFW (10-4/22-9) vs. #7 IUPUI (1-13/6-25)—3/8 7:00 PM on MidcoSN & FCS

G2: #4 Denver (8-6/15-14) vs. #5 S. Dakota (6-8/12-17)—3/9 7:00 PM on MidcoSN & FCS

G3: #3 S. Dakota St. (10-4/18-11) vs. #6 W. Illinois (4-10/10-19)—3/9 9:30 PM on MidcoSN & FCS

 

Semifinal Round—Monday, March 10

G4: #1 N. Dakota St. (12-2/23-6) vs. Game 2 winner—7:00 PM on MidcoSN & FCS

G5: Game 1 winner vs. Game 3 winner—9:30 PM on MidcoSN & FCS

 

Championship Game—Tuesday, March 11

Game 4 winner vs. Game 5 winner—9:00 PM on ESPN2

 

West Coast Conference

Location—Orleans Arena, Las Vegas

 

Opening Round—Thursday, March 6

G1: #10 Loyola Marymount 67  #7 Portland 64 

G2: #9 Santa Clara 81  #8 Pacific 64

 

Quarterfinal Round—Saturday, March 8

G3: #3 San Francisco (13-5/20-10) vs. #6 San Diego (7-11/16-15)—3:00 PM on BYU-TV

G4: #2 B Y U (13-5/21-10) vs. #10 Loyola Marymount (4-14/13-18)—5:00 PM on BYU-TV

G5: #1 Gonzaga (15-3/25-6) vs. #9 Santa Clara (6-12/14-18)—9:00 PM on ESPN2

G6: #4 St. Mary’s (11-7/21-10) vs. #5 Pepperdine (8-10/15-15)—11:00 PM on ESPN2

 

Semifinal Round—Monday, March 10

G7: Game 3 winner vs. Game 4 winner—Time TBD on ESPN or ESPN2

G8: Game 5 winner vs. Game 6 winner—Time TBD on ESPN or ESPN2

 

Championship Game—Tuesday, March 11

Game 7 winner vs. Game 8 winner—9:00 PM on ESPN

 

Bracketologist Average as of Friday, March 07, 2014

Here is the field of 68 averaged from the nation’s 30 most accurate Bracketologists.

Teams in Italics are the top contenders for the one-bid leagues

 

Seed

Team Conference

Score

1

Arizona Pac-12

1.00

1

Florida SEC

1.00

1

Wichita St. MVC

1.12

1

Kansas Big 12

1.47

2

Villanova Big East

1.58

2

Wisconsin Big Ten

1.95

2

Virginia ACC

2.26

2

Michigan Big Ten

2.35

3

Syracuse ACC

2.63

3

Duke ACC

2.95

3

Creighton Big East

3.16

3

Iowa St. Big 12

3.77

4

Cincinnati American

3.93

4

San Diego St. MWC

3.98

4

Michigan St. Big Ten

4.14

4

North Carolina ACC

4.33

5

Louisville American

4.42

5

Oklahoma Big 12

5.07

5

Texas Big 12

5.49

5

UCLA Pac-12

5.51

6

St. Louis A-10

5.86

6

U Conn American

5.91

6

U Mass A-10

6.00

6

Kentucky SEC

6.30

7

New Mexico MWC

6.47

7

Ohio St. Big Ten

6.58

7

V C U A-10

6.84

7

Memphis American

7.65

8

Iowa Big Ten

7.67

8

George Washington A-10

8.47

8

Arizona St. Pac-12

8.53

8

Kansas St. Big 12

8.74

9

S M U American

8.95

9

Gonzaga WCC

8.95

9

Colorado Pac-12

8.95

9

Baylor Big 12

9.28

10

Oklahoma St. Big 12

9.35

10

Oregon Pac-12

9.37

10

St. Joseph‘s A-10

10.05

10

Xavier Big East

11.16

11

Stanford Pac-12

11.28

11

Pittsburgh ACC

11.35

11

Arkansas SEC

11.47

11

Dayton A-10

12.30

11

B Y U WCC

12.81

12

Providence Big East

14.49

12

Tennessee SEC

15.16

12

Green Bay Horizon

12.09

12

Harvard Ivy

12.21

12

Toledo MAC

12.70

13

N. Dakota St. Summit

12.91

13

S. F. Austin Southland

13.19

13

Southern Miss. CUSA

13.30

13

Belmont OVC

13.37

14

Delaware Colonial

14.26

14

Iona MAAC

14.28

14

Georgia St. Sun Belt

14.44

14

Boston U Patriot

14.67

15

UNC-Central MEAC

15.07

15

Vermont America East

15.16

15

Davidson Southern

15.70

15

Mercer A-Sun

15.74

16

UC-Irvine Big West

15.79

16

Robert Morris NEC

16.00

16

Weber St. Big Sky

16.14

16

Alabama St. SWAC

16.37

16

Utah Valley WAC

16.44

16

High Point Big South

16.56

 

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