The Pi-Rate Ratings

January 6, 2014

Simper Bowl VII

Filed under: 2013 Simulated NCAA Playoffs — Tags: , , , , — piratings @ 7:23 pm

1. This is a 12-team tournament, using bowls for the first two rounds to get from 12 to 8 to 4.

 

2. The champions of the ACC, Big 12, Big Ten, SEC, and Pac-12 received automatic bids.

 

3. The champions of the AAC, CUSA, MAC, MWC, and Sunbelt received automatic bids if any finished in the top 16 of the RPI rankings, which replaced the BCS and has mathematical values that multiple mathematicians can determine and cannot be finagled in any way by football politicians in a back room.  For this experiment, we used an average of the top college ratings, including the PiRate Ratings.

 

4. We then selected the two to seven highest RPI-ranked teams (to fill the bracket at 12 total) not automatically selected and gave them berths in the tournament.

 

5. We then seeded the teams by RPI ranking from 1-12.  The top 4 teams received a first round bye as a reward for being one of the top four, while seeds 5-12 faced off in the first round.

 

This year, there were six automatic qualifiers and six at-large selections.  Florida St., Baylor, Michigan St., Auburn, and Stanford satisfy the #2 criteria above, whereas Central Florida satisfies #3.  The six at-large teams are: Alabama, Missouri, Ohio St., South Carolina, Oregon, and Oklahoma.

 

If this were next year, there would be a gross miscarriage of justice to the teams that are not number four.  Florida St., Auburn, and Alabama would definitely be three of the teams chosen.  Baylor, Michigan St., Stanford, Ohio St., Missouri, South Carolina, and Oregon would all have reason to be that fourth team, and only one of this seven would be chosen.  Now, the first team out is Clemson, not quite as deserving as any of the seven above, all of whom now make the 12-team tournament.

 

For this computer simulation, games were simulated on a simulator located on a major university campus.

 

Here are the teams, seeded 1-12

 

1. Florida St.

2. Auburn

3. Alabama

4. Stanford

5. Michigan St.

6. Missouri

7. Ohio St.

8. South Carolina

9. Baylor

10. Oregon

11. Oklahoma

12. Central Florida

 

The top four seeds received first round byes, while teams 5-12 played at neutral site bowls in round one.

 

In the first round, which can be viewed at:

https://piratings.wordpress.com/2013/12/20/1555/

 

South Carolina, Oregon, Missouri, and Michigan St. advanced to the quarterfinal round.

 

In the quarterfinal round, which can be viewed at:

https://piratings.wordpress.com/2013/12/28/2013-14-ncaa-football-computer-simulation-playoffs-quarterfinals/

 

South Carolina upset Florida St., Stanford defeated Michigan St., Oregon upset Auburn, and Missouri upset Alabama to make this the first time in the PiRate Simulation history that a top-3 seed did not make the semifinal round.

 

In the semifinals, which can be viewed at:

https://piratings.wordpress.com/2014/01/01/pirate-ratings-computer-simulated-college-football-playoffs-semifinals/

 

Stanford defeated South Carolina and Oregon knocked off Missouri to set up an all Pac-12 North National Championship Simulation, Simper Bowl VII.

 

And without further adieu, your winner for 2013-14 is: Oregon!  The Ducks win their third consecutive Simper Bowl.

 

Final Score: Oregon 32  Stanford 10

 

Stan

Team

Ore

 

 

 

13

FD

22

 

 

 

35-88

Rushing

52-331

 

 

 

182

Passing

218

 

 

 

17-32-3

Passes

19-29-1

 

 

 

67

Play

81

 

 

 

270

Yards

549

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

2

3

4

F

Stan

3

0

7

0

10

Ore

10

6

9

7

32

 

Note: Oregon lost three fumbles and had one punt blocked, which led to both of Stanford’s scores.

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