The Pi-Rate Ratings

November 25, 2013

PiRate Ratings: College Football–November 26-30, 2013

Filed under: College Football — piratings @ 10:25 am

The Conference Scenarios

 

AAC

Central Florida wins the league outright if they win out.  They still have games remaining against South Florida and SMU.  If UCF loses both games, then the winner of the Louisville-Cincinnati game wins the AAC.

If Central Florida loses one game, and Cincinnati beats Louisville, the team with the higher BCS ranking will earn the league’s automatic invitation to a BCS Bowl.  As of now, UCF is rated 19, and Cincinnati is rated 28.  UCF would more than likely drop four to eight spots if they lost to SMU, more if they lost to South Florida, while Cincinnati would expect to rise about three to four spots, so it would be a close call if the two finished tied at 7-1.

 

ACC

If Duke beats North Carolina, Duke is Coastal Division Champions and would face Florida St. in the ACC Championship Game in Charlotte.

If North Carolina beats Duke, there will be a tie for the division title between at least three teams, North Carolina, Duke, and Georgia Tech.

If Virginia Tech and Miami lose, there will be a three-way tie for first.  A three-way tie goes to: GEORGIA TECH

If, Virginia Tech and Miami win, there will be a five-way tie for first.  A five-way tie goes to: VIRGINIA TECH

If Miami wins and Virginia Tech loses, the four way tie goes to: MIAMI

If Virginia Tech wins and Miami loses, the four way tie goes to: VIRGINIA TECH

Big 12

If Oklahoma St. beats Oklahoma  on December 7, the Cowboys are Big 12 Champions and will earn the Fiesta Bowl bid.

If Oklahoma beats Oklahoma St., then there are numerous scenarios that come into play:

If Texas beats Texas Tech and Baylor beats TCU, then the Texas-Baylor winner would win the Big 12.  If only one of these teams wins next week, they will still win the Big 12 title if they also win their December 7 matchup.

If the Texas-Baylor winner on December 7 loses this week, there will be a four-way tie for first.  Oklahoma St. would win this tiebreaker.

Oklahoma St. also wins a three-team tiebreaker with Oklahoma and either Texas or Baylor.

Big Ten

Ohio St. will meet Michigan St. in the Big Ten Championship Game in Indianapolis.

CUSA

In the East Division, this week’s Marshall-East Carolina winner earns the trip to the conference championship game.

Rice leads Tulane, North Texas, and UTSA by a game in the West.  If the Owls beat Tulane this week, they advance to the conference championship game.

If Tulane beats Rice, there are multiple scenarios.

If UTSA beats Louisiana Tech and North Texas beats Tulsa, there will be a four-way tie for first.  In this case, UTSA wins the division title.  The Roadrunners also win a three-way tie with Rice and Tulane.

If there is a three-way tie between Rice, Tulane, and North Texas, the division title goes to: TULANE

Because UTSA is still in its transition phase to FBS, the Roadrunners can only earn a bowl bid if there are no other bowl eligible teams to fill bowl spots.  Because there are now six bowl-eligible teams in CUSA, UTSA cannot earn one of these bids.  There will be more than 70 bowl-eligible teams for the 35 bowls, so UTSA could win the CUSA Championship and not be eligible for a bowl.

Independents

Notre Dame, BYU, and Navy are all bowl-eligible.  Notre Dame has a minor shot at earning a BCS At-large bid if they close the regular season with a win at Stanford, but more than likely, the Irish will receive an at-large bid to another bowl.  BYU will play in the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl, and Navy will play in the Armed Forces Bowl.

Army is not bowl-eligible, and this means the Poinsettia will need to find an at-large team to fill the Black Knights’ spot.

MAC

The winner of this week’s Buffalo-Bowling Green game will play Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship Game in Detroit.  Northern Illinois moved two spots ahead of Fresno St. in the latest BCS Standings.  If the Huskies win out, they should stay ahead of Fresno, because NIU has one weak team to play (Western Michigan) and a good East Division Champion (Buffalo/Bowling Green), while Fresno has two weak teams left (New Mexico, San Jose St.) plus at least a four-loss Utah St. or Boise St. team in the MWC Championship Game.

MWC

Fresno St. can clinch the West Division title with a win against either New Mexico or San Jose St. and will face either Boise St. or Utah St. in the MWC Championship Game in Fresno.

Utah St. now holds a one game lead over Boise St.  The Aggies close with Colorado St. and Wyoming at home, while Boise St. plays at San Diego St. and hosts New Mexico.

Should Fresno St. lose twice, and San Diego St. wins out (less than 1% chance this will happen), SDSU wins the West over Fresno St.  Realistically, FSU needs Northern Illinois to lose in order to have a shot at a BCS bowl.

Pac-12

Stanford will play Arizona St. in the Pac-12 Championship Game.  If Arizona St. beats Arizona this week, the Sun Devils will host the game.  If ASU loses to UA, then the Cardinal will host the game.

SEC

In the East, if Missouri beats Texas A&M this week, the Tigers advance to the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta.  If TAMU beats Missouri, South Carolina will win the East and advance to the title game.

The Alabama-Auburn winner this week will win the West and advance to Atlanta.

Sunbelt

UL-Lafayette leads Arkansas St. by a game and would have to lose to both UL-Monroe and South Alabama to be dethroned, as the Ragin’ Cajuns hold the tiebreaker over ASU based on head-to-head victory.

Arkansas St. plays at Western Kentucky, and if WKU wins, ULL is the league champion regardless of what happens against South Alabama.

Note: Western Kentucky is bowl eligible with seven wins, but they may be punished for leaving the conference next year for CUSA.  The same thing happened to an eight-win Middle Tennessee team last year.

This Week’s PiRate Ratings

PiRate Regular

1

Alabama

137.0

2

Florida St.

136.5

3

Ohio St.

129.1

4

Stanford

128.1

5

Oklahoma St.

127.7

6

Oregon

127.4

7

Baylor

126.3

8

Missouri

125.0

9

L S U

124.8

10

Arizona St.

124.4

11

Wisconsin

123.8

12

Washington

122.5

13

Michigan St.

122.1

14

Clemson

122.0

15

South Carolina

119.6

16

Auburn

119.3

17

Texas A&M

119.2

18

U C L A

118.8

19

U S C

118.7

20

Ole Miss

118.5

21

Oklahoma

117.0

22

Georgia

116.9

23

Arizona

116.3

24

Texas

115.8

25

Louisville

113.2

26

Notre Dame

112.9

27

Kansas St.

112.8

28

B Y U

112.7

29

Oregon St.

112.2

30

Nebraska

111.3

31

Georgia Tech

111.1

32

Michigan

110.9

33

Miami

110.1

34

North Carolina

109.6

35

Utah

108.9

36

Fresno St.

108.7

37

Cincinnati

108.5

38

Vanderbilt

108.4

39

East Carolina

107.8

40

Florida

107.7

41

Texas Tech

107.5

42

Iowa

107.4

43

Central Florida

107.3

44

Virginia Tech

107.3

45

Mississippi St.

107.1

46

Northwestern

107.1

47

Bowling Green

106.7

48

T C U

106.7

49

Northern Illinois

106.3

50

Minnesota

106.3

51

Duke

105.6

52

Washington St.

105.5

53

Utah St.

105.3

54

Penn St.

104.6

55

Boise St.

103.8

56

Houston

102.4

57

Tennessee

102.1

58

Boston College

101.9

59

Marshall

101.2

60

Indiana

101.2

61

Buffalo

101.1

62

West Virginia

101.0

63

Pittsburgh

100.8

64

Ball St.

100.1

65

Toledo

100.0

66

Syracuse

98.6

67

Wake Forest

98.0

68

North Texas

97.2

69

Navy

97.1

70

Arkansas

97.0

71

Maryland

96.9

72

Rice

96.5

73

Illinois

96.4

74

Kentucky

96.4

75

Colorado St.

96.2

76

S M U

95.6

77

San Diego St.

95.5

78

San Jose St.

95.2

79

Iowa St.

94.2

80

Florida Atlantic

94.1

81

Louisiana–Lafayette

93.3

82

U T S A

93.0

83

Rutgers

92.5

84

Memphis

92.3

85

Western Kentucky

92.3

86

Colorado

91.3

87

Kansas

91.0

88

Arkansas St.

90.4

89

North Carolina St.

90.3

90

Tulane

90.2

91

Kent St.

89.6

92

Virginia

89.3

93

Middle Tennessee

88.5

94

U N L V

88.4

95

Temple

88.3

96

California

88.2

97

South Alabama

87.6

98

Purdue

86.8

99

Tulsa

86.3

100

South Florida

86.2

101

Nevada

85.9

102

Wyoming

85.3

103

Ohio

84.8

104

Central Michigan

84.8

105

Connecticut

84.8

106

Louisiana–Monroe

84.1

107

Hawaii

83.3

108

Troy

83.2

109

Akron

82.2

110

Army

82.0

111

New Mexico

79.6

112

Texas St.

79.5

113

U A B

78.8

114

Louisiana Tech

78.2

115

Air Force

78.1

116

U T E P

75.7

117

Western Michigan

75.6

118

Massachusetts

70.2

119

New Mexico St.

70.1

120

Miami (O)

69.1

121

Eastern Michigan

68.6

122

Georgia St.

68.1

123

Idaho

67.8

124

Florida Int’l

65.7

125

Southern Miss.

64.5

 

PiRate Mean

1

Florida St.

140.5

2

Alabama

133.2

3

Ohio St.

128.3

4

Wisconsin

124.8

5

Clemson

123.5

6

Missouri

123.5

7

Oregon

123.5

8

Arizona St.

123.4

9

L S U

122.9

10

Michigan St.

122.6

11

Stanford

121.3

12

Oklahoma St.

120.0

13

Baylor

119.4

14

Auburn

118.6

15

Washington

118.2

16

South Carolina

117.0

17

Texas A&M

116.7

18

U S C

115.5

19

Ole Miss

115.2

20

Georgia

115.1

21

U C L A

114.4

22

Arizona

112.9

23

Louisville

112.5

24

Oklahoma

111.9

25

North Carolina

111.3

26

B Y U

111.2

27

Notre Dame

110.9

28

Miami

110.9

29

Central Florida

110.7

30

Michigan

110.6

31

Georgia Tech

110.4

32

East Carolina

110.1

33

Cincinnati

109.9

34

Nebraska

109.8

35

Northern Illinois

109.2

36

Fresno St.

108.8

37

Virginia Tech

108.1

38

Houston

108.1

39

Bowling Green

107.9

40

Texas

107.5

41

Duke

107.2

42

Iowa

106.9

43

Vanderbilt

106.8

44

Utah

106.6

45

Minnesota

106.5

46

Kansas St.

105.8

47

Penn St.

105.1

48

Mississippi St.

105.1

49

Oregon St.

105.0

50

Florida

104.9

51

Washington St.

104.8

52

Marshall

104.8

53

Northwestern

104.7

54

Utah St.

103.7

55

Buffalo

103.7

56

Ball St.

103.4

57

Boston College

103.2

58

Indiana

102.7

59

Texas Tech

102.6

60

Toledo

102.0

61

T C U

101.1

62

Tennessee

100.9

63

Boise St.

100.7

64

Wake Forest

100.6

65

Pittsburgh

100.4

66

Maryland

99.9

67

North Texas

99.7

68

Rice

99.0

69

Arkansas

99.0

70

Navy

98.5

71

Syracuse

98.4

72

Illinois

97.9

73

S M U

96.8

74

Memphis

96.8

75

Colorado St.

96.0

76

U T S A

95.2

77

Rutgers

95.0

78

Louisiana–Lafayette

95.0

79

Florida Atlantic

94.8

80

Kentucky

94.8

81

Western Kentucky

94.5

82

San Diego St.

94.3

83

West Virginia

94.2

84

Tulane

93.7

85

North Carolina St.

93.5

86

San Jose St.

93.2

87

Middle Tennessee

92.8

88

Kent St.

92.6

89

Colorado

91.5

90

Virginia

91.2

91

South Alabama

90.3

92

U N L V

90.2

93

Arkansas St.

89.9

94

Temple

89.1

95

Ohio

87.9

96

Nevada

87.5

97

Army

87.5

98

Central Michigan

87.3

99

Iowa St.

86.8

100

Wyoming

86.2

101

Kansas

86.1

102

Tulsa

86.1

103

Akron

85.9

104

Troy

85.8

105

Louisiana–Monroe

85.0

106

Purdue

84.8

107

Texas St.

84.1

108

California

84.1

109

South Florida

83.9

110

Hawaii

83.7

111

New Mexico

82.8

112

Connecticut

82.1

113

Air Force

81.3

114

U A B

80.0

115

Louisiana Tech

79.8

116

U T E P

77.7

117

Western Michigan

77.5

118

Massachusetts

75.0

119

Georgia St.

73.6

120

New Mexico St.

72.9

121

Idaho

71.7

122

Miami (O)

71.6

123

Eastern Michigan

71.0

124

Florida Int’l

67.6

125

Southern Miss.

65.0

 

PiRate Bias

1

Florida St.

138.4

2

Alabama

137.7

3

Ohio St.

129.3

4

Oklahoma St.

128.6

5

Baylor

127.7

6

Stanford

127.5

7

Oregon

127.3

8

L S U

125.8

9

Missouri

125.2

10

Wisconsin

125.1

11

Arizona St.

124.2

12

Clemson

123.5

13

Michigan St.

122.1

14

Washington

121.9

15

Auburn

119.4

16

South Carolina

118.5

17

Texas A&M

118.5

18

U S C

118.4

19

U C L A

117.7

20

Ole Miss

117.1

21

Georgia

116.9

22

Oklahoma

116.6

23

Arizona

115.0

24

Texas

114.4

25

B Y U

113.0

26

Louisville

112.8

27

Kansas St.

111.9

28

Notre Dame

111.7

29

North Carolina

111.2

30

Georgia Tech

110.8

31

Oregon St.

110.5

32

Michigan

110.0

33

Nebraska

109.9

34

Miami

109.6

35

Utah

108.9

36

East Carolina

108.8

37

Cincinnati

108.6

38

Central Florida

108.6

39

Fresno St.

108.5

40

Vanderbilt

108.2

41

Northern Illinois

107.9

42

Iowa

107.6

43

Bowling Green

107.6

44

Mississippi St.

107.3

45

Virginia Tech

106.9

46

Florida

106.9

47

Utah St.

106.8

48

Texas Tech

106.7

49

Washington St.

106.4

50

Northwestern

106.4

51

Minnesota

106.3

52

T C U

106.2

53

Duke

105.7

54

Boise St.

104.8

55

Penn St.

103.7

56

Houston

103.5

57

Boston College

103.2

58

Buffalo

102.9

59

Marshall

102.8

60

Tennessee

101.0

61

Ball St.

100.9

62

Pittsburgh

100.8

63

Toledo

100.7

64

Indiana

100.7

65

West Virginia

100.0

66

Maryland

98.0

67

North Texas

98.0

68

Syracuse

98.0

69

Wake Forest

98.0

70

Navy

97.6

71

Colorado St.

97.1

72

Rice

96.7

73

San Diego St.

96.4

74

Kentucky

96.1

75

Arkansas

96.0

76

Florida Atlantic

95.5

77

Illinois

95.5

78

San Jose St.

95.5

79

S M U

95.3

80

Memphis

93.9

81

Louisiana–Lafayette

93.6

82

U T S A

93.2

83

Iowa St.

93.2

84

Western Kentucky

92.6

85

Rutgers

92.2

86

Tulane

90.9

87

North Carolina St.

90.5

88

Arkansas St.

90.4

89

Kent St.

90.3

90

Kansas

90.2

91

Colorado

90.1

92

Virginia

89.8

93

Middle Tennessee

89.2

94

U N L V

89.1

95

South Alabama

88.4

96

Temple

87.7

97

California

86.1

98

Nevada

85.9

99

Tulsa

85.9

100

Wyoming

85.8

101

South Florida

85.5

102

Purdue

84.7

103

Ohio

84.6

104

Central Michigan

84.6

105

Connecticut

84.6

106

Troy

84.2

107

Hawaii

84.1

108

Louisiana–Monroe

83.7

109

Army

83.4

110

Akron

82.6

111

New Mexico

79.9

112

Texas St.

79.5

113

U A B

78.2

114

Air Force

77.8

115

Louisiana Tech

76.8

116

Western Michigan

75.5

117

U T E P

74.8

118

Massachusetts

70.0

119

Georgia St.

69.5

120

New Mexico St.

69.5

121

Idaho

67.6

122

Eastern Michigan

67.4

123

Miami (O)

67.3

124

Florida Int’l

64.9

125

Southern Miss.

63.7

 

PiRate Ratings By Conference

American Athletic Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisville

6-1

10-1

113.2

112.5

112.8

Cincinnati

6-1

9-2

108.5

109.9

108.6

Central Florida

6-0

9-1

107.3

110.7

108.6

Houston

4-3

7-4

102.4

108.1

103.5

S M U

4-2

5-5

95.6

96.8

95.3

Rutgers

2-4

5-5

92.5

95.0

92.2

Memphis

1-5

3-7

92.3

96.8

93.9

Temple

0-7

1-10

88.3

89.1

87.7

South Florida

2-4

2-8

86.2

83.9

85.5

Connecticut

1-5

1-9

84.8

82.1

84.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

League Averages

 

 

97.1

98.5

97.3

 

Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Florida St.

8-0

11-0

136.5

140.5

138.4

Clemson

7-1

10-1

122.0

123.5

123.5

Boston College

4-3

7-4

101.9

103.2

103.2

Syracuse

3-4

5-6

98.6

98.4

98.0

Wake Forest

2-6

4-7

98.0

100.6

98.0

Maryland

2-5

6-5

96.9

99.9

98.0

North Carolina St.

0-7

3-8

90.3

93.5

90.5

     

 

 

 

Coastal Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Georgia Tech

5-3

7-4

111.1

110.4

110.8

Miami

4-3

8-3

110.1

110.9

109.6

North Carolina

4-3

6-5

109.6

111.3

111.2

Virginia Tech

4-3

7-4

107.3

108.1

106.9

Duke

5-2

9-2

105.6

107.2

105.7

Pittsburgh

3-4

6-5

100.8

100.4

100.8

Virginia

0-7

2-9

89.3

91.2

89.8

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

105.6

107.1

106.0

 

Big 12 Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Oklahoma St.

7-1

10-1

127.7

120.0

128.6

Baylor

6-1

9-1

126.3

119.4

127.7

Oklahoma

6-2

9-2

117.0

111.9

116.6

Texas

6-1

7-3

115.8

107.5

114.4

Kansas St.

4-4

6-5

112.8

105.8

111.9

Texas Tech

4-4

7-4

107.5

102.6

106.7

T C U

2-6

4-7

106.7

101.1

106.2

West Virginia

2-6

4-7

101.0

94.2

100.0

Iowa St.

1-7

2-9

94.2

86.8

93.2

Kansas

1-7

3-8

91.0

86.1

90.2

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

110.0

103.5

109.6

 

Big Ten Conference

Leaders Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Ohio St.

7-0

11-0

129.1

128.3

129.3

Wisconsin

6-1

9-2

123.8

124.8

125.1

Penn St.

3-4

6-5

104.6

105.1

103.7

Indiana

2-5

4-7

101.2

102.7

100.7

Illinois

1-6

4-7

96.4

97.9

95.5

Purdue

0-7

1-10

86.8

84.8

84.7

     

 

 

 

Legends Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Michigan St.

7-0

10-1

122.1

122.6

122.1

Nebraska

5-2

8-3

111.3

109.8

109.9

Michigan

3-4

7-4

110.9

110.6

110.0

Iowa

4-3

7-4

107.4

106.9

107.6

Northwestern

0-7

4-7

107.1

104.7

106.4

Minnesota

4-3

8-3

106.3

106.5

106.3

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

108.9

108.7

108.4

 

Conference USA

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

East Carolina

6-1

9-2

107.8

110.1

108.8

Marshall

6-1

8-3

101.2

104.8

102.8

Florida Atlantic

3-4

5-6

94.1

94.8

95.5

Middle Tennessee

5-2

7-4

88.5

92.8

89.2

U A B

1-6

2-9

78.8

80.0

78.2

Florida Int’l

1-6

1-10

65.7

67.6

64.9

Southern Miss.

0-7

0-11

64.5

65.0

63.7

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

North Texas

5-2

7-4

97.2

99.7

98.0

Rice

6-1

8-3

96.5

99.0

96.7

U T S A

5-2

6-5

93.0

95.2

93.2

Tulane

5-2

7-4

90.2

93.7

90.9

Tulsa

2-5

3-8

86.3

86.1

85.9

Louisiana Tech

3-4

4-7

78.2

79.8

76.8

U T E P

1-6

2-9

75.7

77.7

74.8

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

87.0

89.0

87.1

 

Independents

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Notre Dame

 

8-3

112.9

110.9

111.7

B Y U

 

7-4

112.7

111.2

113.0

Navy

 

7-4

97.1

98.5

97.6

Army

 

3-7

82.0

87.5

83.4

New Mexico St.

 

1-10

70.1

72.9

69.5

Idaho

 

1-10

67.8

71.7

67.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

Independent Avg’s.

 

 

90.4

92.1

90.5

 

Mid-American Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Bowling Green

6-1

8-3

106.7

107.9

107.6

Buffalo

6-1

8-3

101.1

103.7

102.9

Kent St.

3-5

4-8

89.6

92.6

90.3

Ohio

3-4

6-5

84.8

87.9

84.6

Akron

3-4

4-7

82.2

85.9

82.6

Massachusetts

1-6

1-10

70.2

75.0

70.0

Miami (O)

0-6

0-10

69.1

71.6

67.3

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Northern Illinois

7-0

11-0

106.3

109.2

107.9

Ball St.

6-1

9-2

100.1

103.4

100.9

Toledo

5-2

7-4

100.0

102.0

100.7

Central Michigan

4-3

5-6

84.8

87.3

84.6

Western Michigan

1-7

1-11

75.6

77.5

75.5

Eastern Michigan

1-6

2-9

68.6

71.0

67.4

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

87.6

90.4

87.9

 

Mountain West Conference

Mountain Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Utah St.

6-1

7-4

105.3

103.7

106.8

Boise St.

5-2

7-4

103.8

100.7

104.8

Colorado St.

4-3

6-6

96.2

96.0

97.1

Wyoming

3-4

5-6

85.3

86.2

85.8

New Mexico

1-6

3-8

79.6

82.8

79.9

Air Force

0-7

2-9

78.1

81.3

77.8

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Fresno St.

7-0

10-0

108.7

108.8

108.5

San Diego St.

6-1

7-4

95.5

94.3

96.4

San Jose St.

4-3

5-6

95.2

93.2

95.5

U N L V

4-3

6-5

88.4

90.2

89.1

Nevada

3-5

4-7

85.9

87.5

85.9

Hawaii

0-8

0-11

83.3

83.7

84.1

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

92.1

92.4

92.6

 

Pacific 12 Conference

North Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Stanford

7-2

9-2

128.1

121.3

127.5

Oregon

6-2

9-2

127.4

123.5

127.3

Washington

4-4

7-4

122.5

118.2

121.9

Oregon St.

4-4

6-5

112.2

105.0

110.5

Washington St.

4-4

6-5

105.5

104.8

106.4

California

0-9

1-11

88.2

84.1

86.1

     

 

 

 

South Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Arizona St.

7-1

9-2

124.4

123.4

124.2

U C L A

5-3

8-3

118.8

114.4

117.7

U S C

6-2

9-3

118.7

115.5

118.4

Arizona

4-4

7-4

116.3

112.9

115.0

Utah

1-7

4-7

108.9

106.6

108.9

Colorado

1-7

4-7

91.3

91.5

90.1

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

113.5

110.1

112.8

 

Southeastern Conference

East Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Missouri

6-1

10-1

125.0

123.5

125.2

South Carolina

6-2

9-2

119.6

117.0

118.5

Georgia

4-3

7-4

116.9

115.1

116.9

Vanderbilt

4-4

7-4

108.4

106.8

108.2

Florida

3-5

4-7

107.7

104.9

106.9

Tennessee

1-6

4-7

102.1

100.9

101.0

Kentucky

0-7

2-9

96.4

94.8

96.1

     

 

 

 

West Division

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Alabama

7-0

11-0

137.0

133.2

137.7

L S U

4-3

8-3

124.8

122.9

125.8

Auburn

6-1

10-1

119.3

118.6

119.4

Texas A&M

4-3

8-3

119.2

116.7

118.5

Ole Miss

3-4

7-4

118.5

115.2

117.1

Mississippi St.

2-5

5-6

107.1

105.1

107.3

Arkansas

0-7

3-8

97.0

99.0

96.0

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

114.2

112.4

113.9

 

Sunbelt Conference

Team

Conf.

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Louisiana–Lafayette

5-0

8-2

93.3

95.0

93.6

Western Kentucky

3-3

7-4

92.3

94.5

92.6

Arkansas St.

5-1

7-4

90.4

89.9

90.4

South Alabama

2-3

4-6

87.6

90.3

88.4

Louisiana–Monroe

3-3

5-6

84.1

85.0

83.7

Troy

3-3

5-6

83.2

85.8

84.2

Texas St.

2-4

6-5

79.5

84.1

79.5

Georgia St.

0-6

0-11

68.1

73.6

69.5

     

 

 

 

League Averages    

84.8

87.3

85.2

 

Transitioning Teams

Team

 

Overall

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Georgia Southern

 

7-4

88.1

90.4

94.8

Old Dominion

 

8-4

83.4

84.7

89.2

Appalachian St.

 

3-8

74.1

73.0

80.8

Charlotte

 

5-6

58.4

63.0

65.5

           
Not figured in regular averages to 100

76.0

77.8

82.6

 

This Week’s PiRate Rating Spreads

Home Visitor

PiRate

Mean

Bias

Northern Illinois Western Michigan

33.7

34.7

35.4

Mississippi St. Ole Miss

-9.4

-8.1

-7.8

Texas Texas Tech

11.3

7.9

10.7

Nebraska Iowa

6.9

5.9

5.3

Houston S M U

9.3

13.8

10.7

Marshall East Carolina

-3.6

-2.3

-3.0

Akron Toledo

-15.3

-13.6

-15.6

Ball St. Miami (O)

34.0

34.8

36.6

Buffalo Bowling Green

-2.6

-1.2

-1.7

Ohio Massachusetts

17.6

15.9

17.6

Central Michigan Eastern Michigan

18.2

18.3

19.2

Troy Texas St.

6.2

4.2

7.2

L S U Arkansas

30.8

26.9

32.8

Florida Atlantic Florida Int’l

30.4

29.2

32.6

San Jose St. Fresno St.

-11.0

-13.1

-10.5

Pittsburgh Miami

-5.8

-7.0

-5.3

Washington Washington St.

19.0

15.4

17.5

Oregon Oregon St.

17.2

20.5

18.8

Central Florida South Florida

23.1

28.8

25.1

Florida Florida St.

-26.8

-33.6

-29.5

Michigan Ohio St.

-15.2

-14.7

-16.3

Michigan St. Minnesota

18.8

19.1

18.8

Connecticut Rutgers

-5.2

-10.4

-5.1

North Carolina Duke

6.0

6.1

7.5

Memphis Temple

7.0

7.7

9.2

Kansas Kansas St.

-19.8

-17.7

-19.7

Vanderbilt Wake Forest

13.4

9.2

13.2

North Carolina St. Maryland

-3.6

-3.4

-4.5

U A B Southern Miss.

16.8

17.5

17.0

Colorado St. Air Force

20.6

17.2

21.8

Utah Colorado

20.6

18.1

21.8

Utah St. Wyoming

23.0

20.5

24.0

Georgia St. South Alabama

-17.0

-14.2

-16.4

Tulsa North Texas

-7.9

-10.6

-9.1

Rice Tulane

9.3

8.3

8.8

Nevada B Y U

-23.8

-20.7

-24.1

Auburn Alabama

-15.2

-12.1

-15.8

T C U Baylor

-17.1

-15.8

-19.0

Wisconsin Penn St.

22.2

22.7

24.4

Georgia Tech Georgia

-1.8

-0.7

-2.1

Indiana Purdue

16.9

20.4

18.5

New Mexico St. Idaho

4.8

3.7

4.4

Syracuse Boston College

-0.3

-1.8

-2.2

Virginia Virginia Tech

-15.5

-14.4

-14.6

Illinois Northwestern

-8.2

-4.3

-8.4

U T S A Louisiana Tech

17.3

17.9

18.9

Middle Tennessee U T E P

15.8

18.1

17.4

Western Kentucky Arkansas St.

4.9

8.6

5.2

West Virginia Iowa St.

9.8

10.4

9.8

South Carolina Clemson

0.1

-4.0

-2.5

Stanford Notre Dame

18.2

13.4

18.8

Kentucky Tennessee

-2.7

-3.1

-1.9

UL-Lafayette UL-Monroe

11.2

12.0

11.9

Missouri Texas A&M

8.8

9.8

9.7

U S C U C L A

1.9

3.1

2.7

Arizona St. Arizona

10.6

13.0

11.7

Boise St. New Mexico

27.2

20.9

27.9

U N L V San Diego St.

-4.1

-1.1

-4.3

Hawaii Army

5.3

0.2

4.7

 

Bowl Projections

GAME

Team

vs.

Team

New Mexico

San Diego St.

vs.

Arizona

MAACO Bowl Las Vegas

Fresno St.

vs.

U C L A

Famous Idaho Potato

Colorado St.

vs.

Bowling Green

New Orleans

UL-Lafayette

vs.

Tulane

Beef ‘O’ Brady’s

Buffalo *

vs.

Middle Tennessee

Hawai’i

U N L V

vs.

North Texas

Little Caesars Pizza

Toledo

vs.

Syracuse *

Poinsettia

Boise St.

vs.

Washington St. *

Military Bowl

Pittsburgh

vs.

Marshall

Texas

Iowa

vs.

Texas Tech

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl

Washington

vs.

B Y U %

Pinstripe

Rutgers

vs.

Notre Dame *

Belk

Louisville

vs.

Georgia Tech

Russell Athletic

Cincinnati

vs.

Virginia Tech

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl

Oklahoma

vs.

Michigan

Armed Forces

Utah St.

vs.

Navy %

Music City

North Carolina

vs.

Ole Miss

Alamo

Texas

vs.

Stanford

Holiday

Kansas St.

vs.

Oregon

AdvoCare V100 Bowl

Western Kentucky *

vs.

Maryland

Sun

Miami

vs.

U S C

Liberty

Vanderbilt

vs.

Houston #

Chick-fil-A

Duke

vs.

Texas A&M

Heart Of Dallas

Rice

vs.

Oregon St. *

Gator

Minnesota

vs.

Georgia

Outback

Missouri

vs.

Nebraska

Capital One

Wisconsin

vs.

South Carolina

Rose

Michigan St.

vs.

Arizona St.

Fiesta

Oklahoma St.

vs.

Northern Illinois

Sugar

Auburn

vs.

Central Florida

Cotton

L S U

vs.

Baylor

Orange

Ohio St.

vs.

Clemson

BBVA Compass Bowl

East Carolina #

vs.

xxxxx

GoDaddy.com

Arkansas St.

vs.

Ball St.

BCS Championship

Alabama

vs.

Florida St.

 

 

 

 

* At-Large Selection

 

 

 

% Already Accepted Bid

 

 

 

#: The Liberty Bowl can veto the CUSA Champion and take a team from the AAC if it only receives one option from the SEC.  We project that Ole Miss will defeat Mississippi St. in the Egg Bowl this week, leaving Vanderbilt as the only option for the Liberty Bowl.  This allows the Liberty Bowl to select an AAC team.  We project the CUSA champion will then play in the BBVA Compass Bowl.

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